Early relapse within 18 months is a powerful dynamic predictor for prognosis and could revise static risk distribution in multiple myeloma.

BACKGROUND: The duration of response to treatment is a major prognostic factor, and early relapse (ER) strongly predicts inferior survival in multiple myeloma (MM). However, the definitions of ER in MM vary from study to study and how to dynamically integrate risk distribution is still unsolved. METHODS: This study evaluated these ER definitions and further investigated the underlying relationship with static risk distribution in 629 newly diagnosed MM (NDMM) patients from the National Longitudinal Cohort of Hematological Diseases in China (NCT04645199). RESULTS: These data indicated that early relapse within 18 months (ER18) after initial treatment was the best time point for identifying early progression and dynamic high-risk in MM. The ER18 population (114 of 587, 19.4%) presented with more aggressive biologic features and the inferior response to treatment compared to a reference cohort (p < .001), with a significantly short median overall survival (OS) of 28.9 months. Multivariate analyses confirmed the most significant prognostic value of ER18 on OS in the context of International Staging System stage, elevated lactate dehydrogenase, thrombocytopenia, cytogenetic abnormalities, and treatment (hazard ratio, 4.467; p < .001). The authors also described the specific transitions from static risk profile to dynamic risk distribution and then constructed a mixed-risk-pattern to identify four novel populations with distinct survival (p < .001). Additionally, the authors proposed a second-state model that predicts dynamic risk changes, enabling a complementary role to the Revised International Staging System model in facilitating individualized systematic treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Collectively, this study concludes that ER18 is a simple and dynamic prognostic predictor in MM. In addition to static risk assessment, dynamic risk plays an important role in survival prediction.

Unlocking the therapeutic potential of selective CDK7 and BRD4 Inhibition against multiple myeloma cell growth.

Multiple myeloma (MM) is a plasma cell malignancy considered incurable despite the recent therapeutic advances. Effective targeted therapies are therefore needed. Our previous studies proved that inhibiting CDK7 impairs the cell cycle and metabolic programs by disrupting E2F1 and MYC transcriptional activities, making it an appealing therapeutic target for MM. Given that CDK7 and BRD4 operate in two distinct regulatory axes in MM, we hypothesized that targeting these two complementary pathways simultaneously would lead to a deeper and more durable response. Indeed, combination therapy had superior activity against MM cell growth and viability, and induced apoptosis to a greater extent than single-agent therapy in both cell lines and patient cells. This synergistic activity was also observed in Waldenström's Macroglobulinemia (WM) cells and with other inhibitors of E2F1 activity. Dual inhibition effectively impaired the MYC and E2F transcriptional programs and MM tumor growth and progression in xenograft animal models, providing evidence for combination therapy's potential as a therapeutic strategy in MM and WM.

Minor clone of del(17p) provides a reservoir for relapse in multiple myeloma.

The deletion of chromosome 17p (del(17p)) is considered a crucial prognostic factor at the time of diagnosis in patients with multiple myeloma (MM). However, the impact of del(17p) on survival at different clonal sizes at relapse, as well as the patterns of clonal evolution between diagnosis and relapse and their prognostic value, has not been well described. To address these issues, we analyzed the interphase fluorescence in situ hybridization (iFISH) results of 995 newly diagnosed MM (NDMM) patients and 293 patients with MM at their first relapse. Among these patients, 197 had paired iFISH data at diagnosis and first relapse. Our analysis of paired iFISH revealed that a minor clone of del(17p) at relapse but not at diagnosis was associated with poor prognosis in MM (hazard ratio for median overall survival 1.64 vs. 1.44). Fifty-six and 12 patients developed one or more new cytogenetic abnormalities at relapse, mainly del(17p) and gain/amp(1q), respectively. We classified the patients into six groups based on the change patterns in the clonal size of del(17p) between the two time points. Patients who did not have del(17p) during follow-up showed the best outcomes, whereas those who acquired del(17p) during their disease course, experienced compromised survival (median overall survival: 61.3 vs. 49.4 months; hazard ratio =1.64; 95% confidence interval: 1.06-2.56; P<0.05). In conclusion, our data confirmed the adverse impact of a minor clone of del(17p) at relapse and highlighted the importance of designing optimal therapeutic strategies to eliminate high-risk cytogenetic abnormalities (clinicaltrials gov. identifier: NCT04645199).

Immunophenotypic profile defines cytogenetic stability and unveils distinct prognoses in patients with newly-diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM).

Prognostic significance of multiple immune antigens in multiple myeloma has been well established. However, a level of uncertainty remains regarding the intrinsic relationship between immunophenotypes and cytogenetic stability and precise risk stratification. To address these unresolved issues, we conducted a study involving 1389 patients enrolled in the National Longitudinal Cohort of Hematological Diseases in China (NCT04645199). Our results revealed that the correlation between antigen expression and cytogenetics is more prominent than cytopenia or organ dysfunction. Most immune antigens, apart from CD38, CD138, and CD81, exhibit significant associations with the incidence of at least one cytogenetic abnormality. In turn, we identified CD138-low/CD27-neg as specific adverse immunophenotypic profile, which remaining independent impact on progression-free survival (HR, 1.49; P = 0.007) and overall survival (HR, 1.77; P < 0.001) even in the context of cytogenetics. Importantly, CD138-low/CD27-neg profile was also associated with inferior survival after first relapse (P < 0.001). Moreover, the antigen expression profiles were not strictly similar when comparing diagnosis and relapse; in particular, the CD138-low/CD27-neg pattern was notably increased after disease progression (19.1 to 29.1%; P = 0.005). Overall, our study demonstrates that diverse immune profiles are strongly associated with cytogenetic stability, and a specific immunophenotype (CD138-low/CD27-neg) could effectively predict prognoses across different disease stages.

Development and validation of an individualized and weighted Myeloma Prognostic Score System (MPSS) in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma.

Current standard predictive models of disease risk do not adequately account for the heterogeneity of survival outcomes in patients with new-diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM). In this retrospective, multicohort study, we collected clinical and genetic data from 1792 NDMM patients and identified the prognostic impact of all features. Using the top-ranked predictive features, a weighted Myeloma Prognostic Score System (MPSS) risk model was formulated and validated to predict overall survival (OS). In the training cohort, elevated lactate dehydrogenase level (LDH), International Staging System (ISS) Stage III, thrombocytopenia, and cumulative high-risk cytogenetic aberration (HRA) numbers were found to have independent prognostic significance. Each risk factor was defined as its weighted value respectively according to their hazard ratio for OS (thrombocytopenia 2, elevated LDH 1, ISS III 2, one HRA 1, and ≥2 HRA 2, points). Patients were further stratified into four risk groups: MPSS I (22.5%, 0 points), II (17.6%, 1 points), III (38.6%, 2-3 points), and IV (21.3%, 4-7 points). MPSS risk stratification showed optimal discrimination, as well as calibration, of four risk groups with median OS of 91.0, 69.8, 45.0, and 28.0 months, for patients in MPSS I to IV groups (p < .001), respectively. Importantly, the MPSS model retained its prognostic value in the internal validation cohort and an independent external validation cohort, and exhibited significant risk distribution compared with conventional prognostic models (R-ISS, R2-ISS, and MASS). Utilization of the MPSS model in clinical practice could improve risk estimation in NDMM patients, thus prompting individualized treatment strategies.

Impact of residual tumor cells in the stem cell collection on multiple myeloma patients receiving autologous stem cell transplantation.

Autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) is the standard therapy for patients with transplant-eligible multiple myeloma (TEMM). However, the ideal depth of response required before ASCT and the impact of residual tumor cells in the stem cell collection (SCC) on survival remains unclear. Here we collected data of 89 patients with TEMM undergoing ASCT and analyzed the minimal residual disease of SCC (cMRD) and bone marrow (BM) (mMRD) before transplantation. Before ASCT, 31.5% and 76.4% of patients achieved MRD negativity in BM and SCC, respectively. Tumor cells were less in SCC samples than that in BM samples. Neoplastic cells in SCC could be observed in patients with different responses after induction therapy, and there were no significant differences in the percentage and level of cMRD among these subgroups (P > 0.05). No correlation was found between the cMRD status and the response patients achieved after ASCT (P > 0.05). The median follow-up was 26.8 months. mMRD negativity before ASCT was associated with longer PFS (55.9 vs. 27.1 months; P = 0.009) but not OS (not reached vs. 58.9 months; P = 0.115). Patients with different cMRD statuses before ASCT experienced similar PFS (40.5 vs. 76.4 months for negativity vs. positivity; P = 0.685) and OS (not reached vs. 58.8 months for negativity vs. positivity; P = 0.889). These results suggested that detectable cMRD does not significantly predict the inferior post-ASCT response or shorter survival, and patients are eligible to undergo ASCT upon achieving partial response.

More accurate prediction of treatment response than mean apparent diffusion coefficient value in multiple myeloma using whole body MRI histogram analysis.

Aim: To assess baseline histogram parameters from apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) images in predicting early treatment response in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) patients. Methods: The histogram parameters of lesions in 68 NDMM patients were obtained with the Firevoxel software. The presence of deep response after two cycles of induction was recorded. Results: Some parameters were significantly different between the two groups, for example, ADC 75% in lumbar spine (p = 0.026). No significant difference in mean ADC for any anatomic site was found (all p > 0.05). The combination of ADC 75, ADC 90 and ADC 95% in lumbar spine; ADC skewness and ADC kurtosis in rib achieved a sensitivity of 100% in predicting deep response. Conclusion: Histogram analysis of ADC images can describe NDMM heterogeneity and accurately predict treatment response.

YWHAE/14-3-3ε expression impacts the protein load, contributing to proteasome inhibitor sensitivity in multiple myeloma.

High protein load is a feature of multiple myeloma (MM), making the disease exquisitely sensitive to proteasome inhibitor (PIs). Despite the success of PIs in improving patient outcome, the majority of patients develop resistance leading to progressive disease; thus, the need to investigate the mechanisms driving the drug sensitivity vs resistance. With the well-recognized chaperone function of 14-3-3 proteins, we evaluated their role in affecting proteasome activity and sensitivity to PIs by correlating expression of individual 14-3-3 gene and their sensitivity to PIs (bortezomib and carfilzomib) across a large panel of MM cell lines. We observed a significant positive correlation between 14-3-3ε expression and PI response in addition to a role for 14-3-3ε in promoting translation initiation and protein synthesis in MM cells through binding and inhibition of the TSC1/TSC2 complex, as well as directly interacting with and promoting phosphorylation of mTORC1. 14-3-3ε depletion caused up to a 50% reduction in protein synthesis, including a decrease in the intracellular abundance and secretion of the light chains in MM cells, whereas 14-3-3ε overexpression or addback in knockout cells resulted in a marked upregulation of protein synthesis and protein load. Importantly, the correlation among 14-3-3ε expression, PI sensitivity, and protein load was observed in primary MM cells from 2 independent data sets, and its lower expression was associated with poor outcome in patients with MM receiving a bortezomib-based therapy. Altogether, these observations suggest that 14-3-3ε is a predictor of clinical outcome and may serve as a potential target to modulate PI sensitivity in MM.

Prediction of Early Treatment Response in Multiple Myeloma Using MY-RADS Total Burden Score, ADC, and Fat Fraction From Whole-Body MRI: Impact of Anemia on Predictive Performance.

BACKGROUND. The recently released Myeloma Response Assessment and Diagnosis System (MY-RADS) for multiple myeloma (MM) evaluation using whole-body MRI (WB-MRI) describes the total burden score. However, assessment is confounded by red bone marrow hyperplasia in anemia. OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this study is to assess the utility of the MY-RADS total burden score, ADC, and fat fraction (FF) from WB-MRI in predicting early treatment response in patients with newly diagnosed MM and to compare the utility of these measures between patients with and without anemia. METHODS. This retrospective study included 56 patients (40 men, 16 women; mean age, 57.4 ± 9.6 [SD] years) with newly diagnosed MM who underwent baseline WB-MRI including DWI and modified Dixon sequences. Two radiologists recorded total burden score using MY-RADS and measured the ADC and FF of diffuse and focal disease sites. Mean values across sites were derived. Interobserver agreement was evaluated, and the mean assessments of the readers were used for further analyses. Presence of deep response after four cycles of induction chemotherapy was recorded. Patients were classified as having anemia if their hemoglobin level was less than 100 g/L. The utility of WBMRI parameters in predicting deep response was assessed. RESULTS. A total of 24 of 56 patients showed deep response, and 25 of 56 patients had anemia. Interobserver agreement, which was expressed using intraclass correlation coefficients, ranged from 0.95 to 0.99. Among patients without anemia, those with deep response compared with those without deep response had a lower total burden score (9.0 vs 18.0), a lower ADC (0.79 × 10-3 mm2/s vs 1.08 × 10-3 mm2/s), and a higher FF (0.21 vs 0.10) (all p < .001). The combination of these three parameters (optimal cutoffs: ≤ 15 for total burden score, ≤ 0.84 × 10-3 mm2/s for ADC, and > 0.16 for FF) achieved sensitivity of 93.8%, specificity of 93.3%, and accuracy of 93.5% for predicting deep response. In patients with anemia, none of the three parameters were significantly different between patients with and without deep response (all p > .05), and the combination of parameters achieved sensitivity of 56.3%, specificity of 100.0%, and accuracy of 72.0%. CONCLUSION. Low total burden score, low ADC, and high FF from WB-MRI may predict deep response in patients with MM, although only among those without anemia. CLINICAL IMPACT. WB-MRI findings may help guide determination of prognosis and initial treatment selection in MM.

IgH translocation with undefined partners is associated with superior outcome in multiple myeloma patients.

BACKGROUND: In multiple myeloma (MM), impact of specific chromosomal translocations involving IgH (14q21 locus, including t(4;14), t(11;14), and t(14;16)) has been explored extensively. However, over 15% MM patients harboring IgH translocation with undefined partners have long been ignored. METHODS: A prospective non-randomized cohort study with a total of 715 newly-diagnosed MM cases was conducted, 13.6% of whom were t(14;undefined) positive. The whole cohort was divided into four groups: no IgH split (47.7%); t(14;undefined) (13.6%); t(11;14) (17.6%); and t(4;14) or t(14;16) group (21.1%). RESULTS: Median OS for the four groups was 84.2, not reached (NR), 58.7, and 44.2 months, respectively, with P values for t(14;undefined) vs no IgH split, t(11;14), and t(4;14)/t(14;16) groups of 0.197, 0.022, and 0.001, respectively. In bortezomib-based group, the survival advantage gained by t(14;undefined) group was much more significant compared to t(11;14) and t(4;14)/t(14;16) groups. Importantly, t(14;undefined) turned out to be an independent predictive factor for longer OS of MM patients in multivariate analysis, especially in the context of bortezomib treatment. Similar results were also observed in the PUMCH external validation cohort. CONCLUSION: Collectively, our data confirmed and externally validated the favorable prognosis of the t(14;undefined) groups, especially in the era of novel agents.