Propensity scores as a novel method to guide sample allocation and minimize batch effects during the design of high throughput experiments.

BACKGROUND: We developed a novel approach to minimize batch effects when assigning samples to batches. Our algorithm selects a batch allocation, among all possible ways of assigning samples to batches, that minimizes differences in average propensity score between batches. This strategy was compared to randomization and stratified randomization in a case-control study (30 per group) with a covariate (case vs control, represented as ß1, set to be null) and two biologically relevant confounding variables (age, represented as ß2, and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), represented as ß3). Gene expression values were obtained from a publicly available dataset of expression data obtained from pancreas islet cells. Batch effects were simulated as twice the median biological variation across the gene expression dataset and were added to the publicly available dataset to simulate a batch effect condition. Bias was calculated as the absolute difference between observed betas under the batch allocation strategies and the true beta (no batch effects). Bias was also evaluated after adjustment for batch effects using ComBat as well as a linear regression model. In order to understand performance of our optimal allocation strategy under the alternative hypothesis, we also evaluated bias at a single gene associated with both age and HbA1c levels in the 'true' dataset (CAPN13 gene). RESULTS: Pre-batch correction, under the null hypothesis (ß1), maximum absolute bias and root mean square (RMS) of maximum absolute bias, were minimized using the optimal allocation strategy. Under the alternative hypothesis (ß2 and ß3 for the CAPN13 gene), maximum absolute bias and RMS of maximum absolute bias were also consistently lower using the optimal allocation strategy. ComBat and the regression batch adjustment methods performed well as the bias estimates moved towards the true values in all conditions under both the null and alternative hypotheses. Although the differences between methods were less pronounced following batch correction, estimates of bias (average and RMS) were consistently lower using the optimal allocation strategy under both the null and alternative hypotheses. CONCLUSIONS: Our algorithm provides an extremely flexible and effective method for assigning samples to batches by exploiting knowledge of covariates prior to sample allocation.

DNA Methylation Near DLGAP2 May Mediate the Relationship between Family History of Type 1 Diabetes and Type 1 Diabetes Risk.

Given the differential risk of type 1 diabetes (T1D) in offspring of affected fathers versus affected mothers and our observation that T1D cases have differential DNA methylation near the imprinted DLGAP2 gene compared to controls, we examined whether methylation near DLGAP2 mediates the association between T1D family history and T1D risk. In a nested case-control study of 87 T1D cases and 87 controls from the Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young, we conducted causal mediation analyses at 12 DLGAP2 region CpGs to decompose the effect of family history on T1D risk into indirect and direct effects. These effects were estimated from two regression models adjusted for the human leukocyte antigen DR3/4 genotype: a linear regression of family history on methylation (mediator model) and a logistic regression of family history and methylation on T1D (outcome model). For 8 of the 12 CpGs, we identified a significant interaction between T1D family history and methylation on T1D risk. Accounting for this interaction, we found that the increased risk of T1D for children with affected mothers compared to those with no family history was mediated through differences in methylation at two CpGs (cg27351978, cg00565786) in the DLGAP2 region, as demonstrated by a significant pure natural indirect effect (odds ratio (OR) = 1.98, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06-3.71) and nonsignificant total natural direct effect (OR = 1.65, 95% CI: 0.16-16.62) (for cg00565786). In contrast, the increased risk of T1D for children with an affected father or sibling was not explained by DNA methylation changes at these CpGs. Results were similar for cg27351978 and robust in sensitivity analyses. Lastly, we found that DNA methylation in the DLGAP2 region was associated (P<0:05) with gene expression of nearby protein-coding genes DLGAP2, ARHGEF10, ZNF596, and ERICH1. Results indicate that the maternal protective effect conferred through exposure to T1D in utero may operate through changes to DNA methylation that have functional downstream consequences.

Inverse probability weighting is an effective method to address selection bias during the analysis of high dimensional data.

Omics studies frequently use samples collected during cohort studies. Conditioning on sample availability can cause selection bias if sample availability is nonrandom. Inverse probability weighting (IPW) is purported to reduce this bias. We evaluated IPW in an epigenome-wide analysis testing the association between DNA methylation (261,435 probes) and age in healthy adolescent subjects (n = 114). We simulated age and sex to be correlated with sample selection and then evaluated four conditions: complete population/no selection bias (all subjects), naïve selection bias (no adjustment), and IPW selection bias (selection bias with IPW adjustment). Assuming the complete population condition represented the "truth," we compared each condition to the complete population condition. Bias or difference in associations between age and methylation was reduced in the IPW condition versus the naïve condition. However, genomic inflation and type 1 error were higher in the IPW condition relative to the naïve condition. Postadjustment using bacon, type 1 error and inflation were similar across all conditions. Power was higher under the IPW condition compared with the naïve condition before and after inflation adjustment. IPW methods can reduce bias in genome-wide analyses. Genomic inflation is a potential concern that can be minimized using methods that adjust for inflation.

Physical activity and progression to type 1 diabetes in children and youth with islet autoimmunity: The diabetes autoimmunity study in the young.

AIMS/HYPOTHESES: Physical inactivity may contribute to islet autoimmunity and progression to clinical type 1 diabetes. To test this hypothesis, we evaluated physical activity, assessed by accelerometer, as an independent risk factor for progression to clinical diabetes among genetically at risk for type 1 diabetes children and youth with islet autoimmunity. METHODS: Accelerometer data were obtained for 95 children and youth participating in the diabetes autoimmunity study in the young who had islet autoimmunity. Islet autoimmunity was defined as the presence of islet autoantibodies to insulin, glutamic acid decarboxylase, tyrosine phosphatase-like protein IA-2, or zinc transporter 8. RESULTS: During prospective follow-up for up to 7 years, 13 of the 95 participants progressed to clinical diabetes. In multivariable survival analysis, none of the physical activity parameters examined predicted a higher risk of developing diabetes. In survival analysis with time-varying physical activity parameters, none of the physical activity parameters over time were associated with the risk of developing type 1 diabetes. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: It does not appear that low-physical activity is a risk factor for progression from islet autoantibodies to diabetes in children and youth at high-genetic risk for type 1 diabetes.

Improving clinical utility of GAD65 autoantibodies by electrochemiluminescence assay and clinical phenotype when identifying autoimmune adult-onset diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: It is important to differentiate the two major phenotypes of adult-onset diabetes, autoimmune type 1 diabetes and non-autoimmune type 2 diabetes, especially as type 1 diabetes presents in adulthood. Serum GAD65 autoantibodies (GADA) are the most sensitive biomarker for adult-onset autoimmune type 1 diabetes, but the clinical value of GADA by current standard radiobinding assays (RBA) remains questionable. The present study focused on the clinical utility of GADA differentiated by a new electrochemiluminescence (ECL) assay in patients with adult-onset diabetes. METHODS: Two cohorts were analysed including 771 diabetic participants, 30-70 years old, from the Action LADA study (n = 6156), and 2063 diabetic participants, 20-45 years old, from the Diabetes in Young Adults (DiYA) study. Clinical characteristics of participants, including requirement of early insulin treatment, BMI and development of multiple islet autoantibodies, were analysed according to the status of RBA-GADA and ECL-GADA, respectively, and compared between these two assays. RESULTS: GADA was the most prevalent and predominant autoantibody, >90% in both cohorts. GADA positivity by either RBA or ECL assay significantly discriminated clinical type 1 from type 2 diabetes. However, in both cohorts, participants with ECL-GADA positivity were more likely to require early insulin treatment, have multiple islet autoantibodies, and be less overweight (for all p < 0.0001). However, clinical phenotype, age at diagnosis and BMI independently improved positive predictive value (PPV) for the requirement of insulin treatment, even augmenting ECL-GADA. Participants with GADA detectable by RBA, but not confirmed by ECL, had a phenotype more similar to type 2 diabetes. These RBA-GADA positive individuals had lower affinity GADA compared with participants in which GADA was confirmed by ECL assay. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Detection of GADA by ECL assay, given technical advantages over RBA-GADA, identified adult-onset diabetes patients at higher risk of requiring early insulin treatment, as did clinical phenotype, together allowing for more accurate clinical diagnosis and management.

The oxylipin profile is associated with development of type 1 diabetes: the Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young (DAISY).

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Oxylipins are lipid mediators derived from polyunsaturated fatty acids. Some oxylipins are proinflammatory (e.g. those derived from arachidonic acid [ARA]), others are pro-resolving of inflammation (e.g. those derived from α-linolenic acid [ALA], docosahexaenoic acid [DHA] and eicosapentaenoic acid [EPA]) and others may be both (e.g. those derived from linoleic acid [LA]). The goal of this study was to examine whether oxylipins are associated with incident type 1 diabetes. METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control analysis in the Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young (DAISY), a prospective cohort study of children at risk of type 1 diabetes. Plasma levels of 14 ARA-derived oxylipins, ten LA-derived oxylipins, six ALA-derived oxylipins, four DHA-derived oxylipins and two EPA-related oxylipins were measured by ultra-HPLC-MS/MS at multiple timepoints related to autoantibody seroconversion in 72 type 1 diabetes cases and 71 control participants, which were frequency matched on age at autoantibody seroconversion (of the case), ethnicity and sample availability. Linear mixed models were used to obtain an age-adjusted mean of each oxylipin prior to type 1 diabetes. Age-adjusted mean oxylipins were tested for association with type 1 diabetes using logistic regression, adjusting for the high risk HLA genotype HLA-DR3/4,DQB1*0302. We also performed principal component analysis of the oxylipins and tested principal components (PCs) for association with type 1 diabetes. Finally, to investigate potential critical timepoints, we examined the association of oxylipins measured before and after autoantibody seroconversion (of the cases) using PCs of the oxylipins at those visits. RESULTS: The ARA-related oxylipin 5-HETE was associated with increased type 1 diabetes risk. Five LA-related oxylipins, two ALA-related oxylipins and one DHA-related oxylipin were associated with decreased type 1 diabetes risk. A profile of elevated LA- and ALA-related oxylipins (PC1) was associated with decreased type 1 diabetes risk (OR 0.61; 95% CI 0.40, 0.94). A profile of elevated ARA-related oxylipins (PC2) was associated with increased diabetes risk (OR 1.53; 95% CI 1.03, 2.29). A critical timepoint analysis showed type 1 diabetes was associated with a high ARA-related oxylipin profile at post-autoantibody-seroconversion but not pre-seroconversion. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: The protective association of higher LA- and ALA-related oxylipins demonstrates the importance of both inflammation promotion and resolution in type 1 diabetes. Proinflammatory ARA-related oxylipins may play an important role once the autoimmune process has begun.

Mass Screening for Celiac Disease: The Autoimmunity Screening for Kids Study.

INTRODUCTION: The Autoimmunity Screening for Kids (ASK) study is a large scale pediatric screening study in Colorado for celiac disease (CD) and type 1 diabetes. This is a report of the CD outcomes for the first 9,973 children screened through ASK. METHODS: ASK screens children aged 1-17 years for CD using 2 highly sensitive assays for tissue transglutaminase autoantibodies (TGA): a radiobinding (RBA) assay for IgA TGA and an electrochemiluminescence (ECL) assay that detects all TGA isotypes. Children who test positive on either assay are asked to return for confirmatory testing. Those with a confirmed RBA TGA level ≥ 0.1 (twice the upper limit of normal) are referred to the Colorado Center for Celiac Disease for further evaluation; all others are referred to primary care. RESULTS: Of the initial 9,973 children screened, 242 children were TGA+ by any assay. Of those initially positive, 185 children (76.4%) have completed a confirmation blood draw with 149 children (80.5%) confirming positive by RBA TGA. Confirmed RBA TGA+ was associated with a family history of CD (odds ratio [OR] = 1.83; 95% confidence interval 1.06-3.16), non-Hispanic white ethnicity (OR = 3.34; 2.32-4.79), and female sex (OR = 1.43; 1.03-1.98). Gastrointestinal symptoms of CD, assessed at the initial screening, were reported equally often among the RBA TGA+ vs TGA- children (32.1% vs 30.5%, P = 0.65). DISCUSSION: The initial results of this ongoing mass-screening program confirm a high prevalence of undiagnosed CD autoimmunity in a screened US population. Symptoms at initial screening were not associated with TGA status (see Visual abstract, Supplementary Digital Content 5, http://links.lww.com/AJG/B587).

Predictors of oxylipins in a healthy pediatric population.

BACKGROUND: Oxylipins are formed from oxidation of omega-6 (n6) and omega-3 (n3) fatty acids (FAs). Evidence for inflammatory effects comes mostly from adults. METHODS: Oxylipins from n6 FA (27 n6-oxylipins) and n3 FA (12 n3-oxylipins) were measured through ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) in plasma from 111 children at risk of type 1 diabetes (age 1-17 years) studied longitudinally. Oxylipin precursor FAs (arachidonic acid, linoleic acid, alpha-linolenic acid, docosahexaenoic acid, eicosapentaenoic acid) were measured in red blood cell (RBC) membrane and plasma. Precursor FAs dietary intake was measured through food frequency questionnaire and environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) through questionnaires. Linear mixed models were used to test oxylipins with predictors. RESULTS: Age associated with 15 n6- and 6 n3-oxylipins; race/ethnicity associated with 3 n6- and 1 n3-oxylipins; sex associated with 2 n6-oxylipins. ETS associated with lipoxin-A4. Oxylipins associated with precursor FAs in plasma more often than RBC. RBC levels and dietary intake of precursor FAs more consistently associated with n3-oxylipins than with n6-oxylipins. CONCLUSIONS: In healthy children, oxylipin levels change with age. Oxylipins associated with precursor FAs more often in plasma than RBC or diet, suggesting that inflammatory regulation leading to FA release into plasma may also be a determinant of oxylipin generation. IMPACT: This is the first study to examine predictors of oxylipins in healthy children at risk of type 1 diabetes. In healthy children at risk of type 1 diabetes, many oxylipins change with age, and most oxylipins do not differ by sex or race/ethnicity. Environmental tobacco smoke exposure was associated with the presence of lipoxin A4. Omega-6- and omega-3-related oxylipin levels were consistently associated with their respective precursor fatty acid levels measured in the plasma. Proportionally more omega-3 compared to omega-6 oxylipins were associated with dietary intake and red blood cell membrane levels of the respective precursor fatty acid.

DNA methylation near the INS gene is associated with INS genetic variation (rs689) and type 1 diabetes in the Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young.

OBJECTIVE: Mechanisms underlying the role of non-human leukocyte antigen (HLA) genetic risk variants in type 1 diabetes (T1D) are poorly understood. We aimed to test the association between methylation and non-HLA genetic risk. METHODS: We conducted a methylation quantitative trait loci (mQTL) analysis in a nested case-control study from the Dietary Autoimmunity Study in the Young. Controls (n = 83) were frequency-matched to T1D cases (n = 83) based on age, race/ethnicity, and sample availability. We evaluated 13 non-HLA genetic markers known be associated with T1D. Genome-wide methylation profiling was performed on peripheral blood samples collected prior to T1D using the Illumina 450 K (discovery set) and infinium methylation EPIC beadchip (EPIC validation) platforms. Linear regression models, adjusting for age and sex, were used to test to each single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) -probe combination. Logistic regression models were used to test the association between T1D and methylation levels among probes with a significant mQTL. A meta-analysis was used to combine odds ratios from the two platforms. RESULTS: We identified 10 SNP-methylation probe pairs (false discovery rate (FDR) adjusted P < .05 and validation P < .05). Probes were associated with the GSDMB, C1QTNF6, IL27, and INS genes. The cg03366382 (OR: 1.9, meta-P = .0495), cg21574853 (OR: 2.5, meta-P = .0232), and cg25336198 (odds ratio: 6.6, meta-P = .0081) probes were significantly associated with T1D. The three probes were located upstream from the INS transcription start site. CONCLUSIONS: We confirmed an association between DNA methylation and rs689 that has been identified in related studies. Measurements in our study preceded the onset of T1D suggesting methylation may have a role in the relationship between INS variation and T1D development.

Childhood growth prior to screen-detected celiac disease: prospective follow-up of an at-risk birth cohort.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the association between childhood growth prior to the development of celiac disease (CD) and CD autoimmunity (CDA) identified by periodic serological screening. STUDY DESIGN: The Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young cohort includes 1979 genetically at-risk children from Denver, Colorado, with annual growth measurements from age nine months until ten years. Between 1993 and February 2019, 120 children developed CDA defined by persistent positive tissue transglutaminase autoantibodies (TGA); among these, 71 met our criteria for CD based on histopathological findings or high TGA levels. Age- and sex-specific z-scores of weight, body mass index (BMI), and height prior to seroconversion were derived using US reference charts as standards. Joint modeling of serial growth measurements was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) accounting for celiac-associated human leukocyte antigens, early-life feeding practices, and socio-demographics. RESULTS: In the first 10 years of life, there were no significant associations between the child's current weight, BMI and height and the risk of screening-detected CDA or CD, neither was the weight nor BMI velocity associated with CDA or CD as identified by screening (all aHRs approximated 1). Increased height velocity was associated with later CD, but not CDA, development (aHR per 0.01-z score/year, 1.28; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.18-1.38 and 1.03; 0.97-1.09, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: In the first 10 years of life, from prospectively collected serial growth measurements, we found no evidence of impaired childhood growth before CD and CDA development as identified through early and periodic screening.

Gluten Intake and Risk of Celiac Disease: Long-Term Follow-up of an At-Risk Birth Cohort.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the association between the amount of gluten intake in childhood and later celiac disease (CD), for which data are currently scarce. METHODS: The prospective Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young cohort includes 1875 at-risk children with annual estimates of gluten intake (grams/d) from age 1 year. From 1993 through January 2017, 161 children, using repeated tissue transglutaminase (tTGA) screening, were identified with CD autoimmunity (CDA) and persistent tTGA positivity; of these children, 85 fulfilled CD criteria of biopsy-verified histopathology or persistently high tTGA levels. Cox regression, modeling gluten intake between ages 1 and 2 years (i.e., in 1-year-olds), and joint modeling of cumulative gluten intake throughout childhood were used to estimate hazard ratios adjusted for confounders (aHR). RESULTS: Children in the highest third of gluten intake between the ages of 1 and 2 years had a 2-fold greater hazard of CDA (aHR 2.17; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.22-3.88; P value = 0.01) and CD (aHR 1.96; 95% CI, 0.90-4.24; P value = 0.09) than those in the lowest third. The risk of developing CDA increased by 5% per daily gram increase in gluten intake (aHR 1.05; 95% CI, 1.00-1.09; P value = 0.04) in 1-year-olds. The association between gluten intake in 1-year-olds and later CDA or CD did not differ by the child's human leukocyte antigen genotype. The incidence of CD increased with increased cumulative gluten intake throughout childhood (e.g., aHR 1.15 per SD increase in cumulative gluten intake at age 6; 95% CI, 1.00-1.32; P value = 0.04). DISCUSSION: Gluten intake in 1-year-olds is associated with the future onset of CDA and CD in children at risk for the disease.

Unmethylated Insulin as an Adjunctive Marker of Beta Cell Death and Progression to Type 1 Diabetes in Participants at Risk for Diabetes.

Islet autoantibody (iAb)-positive individuals have a high risk of progression to type 1 diabetes (T1D), although the rate of progression is highly variable and factors involved in the rate of progression are largely unknown. The ratio of unmethylated/methylated insulin DNA levels (unmethylated INS ratio) has been shown to be higher in participants at high risk of T1D compared to healthy controls. We aimed to evaluate whether an unmethylated INS ratio may be a useful biomarker of beta cell death and rate of progression to T1D. In TrialNet participants who were followed in the Pathway to Prevention Study and progressed to diabetes (n = 57, median age of onset 15.3 years), we measured unmethylated INS ratio and autoantibodies by electrochemiluminescence (ECL) assays (ECL-IAA, ECL-GADA, and ECL-IA2) and radioimmunoassays (RIA) (mIAA, GADA, IA2A, and ZnT8A) longitudinally for 24 months prior to diagnosis. Linear models were used to test the association between unmethylated INS ratio and the age at T1D diagnosis and unmethylated INS ratio and iAb over time. Close to diabetes onset, the unmethylated INS ratio was associated with mIAA (p = 0.003), ECL-IAA (p = 0.002), and IA2A (p = 0.01) levels, but not with GADA, ECL-GADA, ECL-IA2, or ZnT8A levels. No significant associations were found at baseline (24 months prior to T1D diagnosis). Only mIAA levels were significantly associated with an unmethylated INS ratio over time, with a 0.24 change in the ratio for each 0.1 change in mIAA z-score (p = 0.02). Adjusting for a baseline unmethylated INS ratio, an increased rate of change in unmethylated INS ratio from baseline to diabetes onset was associated with a five-year decrease in age at T1D diagnosis (p = 0.04).

High Incidence of Celiac Disease in a Long-term Study of Adolescents With Susceptibility Genotypes.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Little is known about the incidence of celiac disease in the general population of children in the United States. We aimed to estimate the cumulative incidence of celiac disease in adolescents born in the Denver metropolitan area. METHODS: We collected data on HLA-DR, DQ genotypes of 31,766 infants, born from 1993 through 2004 at St. Joseph's Hospital in Denver, from the Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young. Subjects with susceptibility genotypes for celiac disease and type 1 diabetes were followed up for up to 20 years for development of tissue transglutaminase autoantibodies (tTGA). Outcomes were the development of celiac disease autoimmunity (CDA) or celiac disease. CDA was defined as persistence of tTGA for at least 3 months or development of celiac disease. Celiac disease was defined based on detection of Marsh 2 or greater lesions in biopsy specimens or persistent high levels of tTGA. For each genotype, the cumulative incidence of CDA and celiac disease were determined. To estimate the cumulative incidence in the Denver general population, outcomes by each genotype were weighted according to the frequency of each of these genotypes in the general population. RESULTS: Of 1339 subjects followed up, 66 developed CDA and met criteria for celiac disease and 46 developed only CDA. Seropositivity for tTGA resolved spontaneously, without treatment, in 21 of the 46 subjects with only CDA (46%). The estimated cumulative incidence for CDA in the Denver general population at 5, 10, and 15 years of age was 2.4%, 4.3%, and 5.1%, respectively, and incidence values for celiac disease were 1.6%, 2.8%, and 3.1%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In a 20-year prospective study of 1339 children with genetic risk factors for celiac disease, we found the cumulative incidence of CDA and celiac disease to be high within the first 10 years. Although more than 5% of children may experience a period of CDA, not all children develop celiac disease or require gluten-free diets.

Predicting progression to diabetes in islet autoantibody positive children.

While full oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) helps improve prediction, it requires intravenous access with 6 sample collections for glucose and C-peptide. The objective of this study was to explore less costly and less time-consuming options. All children being prospectively followed by the Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young (DAISY) who had a complete baseline OGTT and at least one confirmed islet autoantibody (Ab+) were included in this study (n = 68). Of 68 Ab+ subjects with a baseline OGTT, 25 developed diabetes after a mean follow-up 5.7 yrs, at a mean age of 12.4 yrs. Univariate proportional hazards (PH) models suggested that age at seroconversion, number of Ab+, IA-2A levels, HbA1c and metabolic variables from the OGTT predicted progression to diabetes, while HLA DR3/4, BMI, levels of IAA or GADA did not. Five multivariate PH predictive models were similar (p = 0.32). All five models included age at seroconversion, number of Ab+, IA-2A levels and HbA1c, and in addition included: model 1 - 1 h glucose and 1 h C-peptide; model 2 - 2 h glucose and 2 h C-peptide; model 3 - glucose sum and C-peptide sum; model 4 - glucose AUC and C-peptide AUC; and model 5: index 60. A model containing age at seroconversion, number of Ab+, IA-2A levels, HbA1c, 1 h glucose and 1 h C-peptide was as predictive for type 1 diabetes progression as models including all sum or AUC values for glucose and C-peptide from full OGTT. The performance of this model should be confirmed in an independent population of Ab+ children.

Late-onset islet autoimmunity in childhood: the Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young (DAISY).

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We sought to assess the frequency, determinants and prognosis for future diabetes in individuals with islet autoimmunity and whether these factors differ depending on the age of onset of islet autoimmunity. METHODS: A prospective cohort (n = 2547) of children from the general population who had a high-risk HLA genotype and children who had a first-degree relative with type 1 diabetes were followed for up to 21 years. Those with the persistent presence of one or more islet autoantibodies were categorised as early-onset (<8 years of age, n = 143, median 3.3 years) or late-onset (≥8 years of age, n = 64, median 11.1 years), and were followed for a median of 7.4 and 4.7 years, respectively. Progression to diabetes was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier analysis with logrank test. Factors associated with progression to diabetes were analysed using the parametric accelerated failure time model. RESULTS: Children with late-onset islet autoimmunity were more likely to be Hispanic or African-American than non-Hispanic white (p = 0.004), and less likely to be siblings of individuals with type 1 diabetes (p = 0.04). The frequencies of the HLA-DR3/4 genotype and non-HLA gene variants associated with type 1 diabetes did not differ between the two groups. However, age and HLA-DR3/4 were important predictors of rate of progression to both the presence of additional autoantibodies and type 1 diabetes. Late-onset islet autoimmunity was more likely to present with a single islet autoantibody (p = 0.01) and revert to an antibody-negative state (p = 0.01). Progression to diabetes was significantly slower in children with late-onset islet autoimmunity (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: A late onset of islet autoimmunity is more common in African-American and Hispanic individuals. About half of those with late-onset islet autoimmunity progress to show multiple islet autoantibodies and develop diabetes in adolescence or early adulthood. Further investigation of environmental determinants of late-onset autoimmunity may lead to an understanding of and ability to prevent adolescent and adult-onset type 1 diabetes.

Predictors of slow progression to diabetes in children with multiple islet autoantibodies.

Although most children with multiple islet autoantibodies develop type 1 diabetes, rate of progression is highly variable. The goal of this study was to explore potential factors involved in rate of progression to diabetes in children with multiple islet autoantibodies. The Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young (DAISY) has followed 118 children with multiple islet autoantibodies for progression to diabetes. After excluding 27 children currently diabetes-free but followed for <10 years, the study population was grouped into: rapid progressors (N = 39) who developed diabetes in <5 years; moderate progressors (N = 25), diagnosed with diabetes within 5-10 years; and slow progressors (N = 27), diabetes-free for >10 years. Islet autoimmunity appeared at 4.0 ± 3.5, 3.2 ± 1.8 and 5.8 ± 3.1 years of age in rapid, moderate and slow progressors, respectively (p = 0.006). Insulin autoantibody levels were lower in slow progressors compared to moderate and rapid progressors. The groups did not differ by gender, ethnicity, family history, susceptibility HLA and non-HLA genes. The rate of development of individual islet autoantibodies including mIAA, GADA, IA-2A and ZnT8A were all slower in the slow versus moderate/rapid progressors. In multivariate analyses, older age at seroconversion and lower initial mIAA levels independently predicted slower progression to diabetes. Later onset of islet autoimmunity and lower autoantibody levels predicted slower progression to diabetes among children with multiple islet autoantibodies. These factors may need to be considered in the design of trials to prevent type 1 diabetes.

Characteristics of maturity onset diabetes of the young in a large diabetes center.

Maturity onset diabetes of the young (MODY) is a monogenic form of diabetes caused by a mutation in a single gene, often not requiring insulin. The aim of this study was to estimate the frequency and clinical characteristics of MODY at the Barbara Davis Center. A total of 97 subjects with diabetes onset before age 25, a random C-peptide ≥0.1 ng/mL, and negative for all diabetes autoantibodies (GADA, IA-2, ZnT8, and IAA) were enrolled, after excluding 21 subjects with secondary diabetes or refusal to participate. Genetic testing for MODY 1-5 was performed through Athena Diagnostics, and all variants of unknown significance were further analyzed at Exeter, UK. A total of 22 subjects [20 (21%) when excluding two siblings] were found to have a mutation in hepatocyte nuclear factor 4A (n = 4), glucokinase (n = 8), or hepatocyte nuclear factor 1A (n = 10). Of these 22 subjects, 13 had mutations known to be pathogenic and 9 (41%) had novel mutations, predicted to be pathogenic. Only 1 of the 22 subjects had been given the appropriate MODY diagnosis prior to testing. Compared with MODY-negative subjects, the MODY-positive subjects had lower hemoglobin A1c level and no diabetic ketoacidosis at onset; however, these characteristics are not specific for MODY. In summary, this study found a high frequency of MODY mutations with the majority of subjects clinically misdiagnosed. Clinicians should have a high index of suspicion for MODY in youth with antibody-negative diabetes.

Improving prediction of type 1 diabetes by testing non-HLA genetic variants in addition to HLA markers.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to explore whether non-human leukocyte antigen (non-HLA) genetic markers can improve type 1 diabetes(T1D) prediction in a prospective cohort with high-risk HLA-DR,DQ genotypes. METHODS: The Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young (DAISY) follows prospectively for the development of T1D and islet autoimmunity (IA)children at increased genetic risk. A total of 1709 non-Hispanic White DAISY participants have been genotyped for 27 non-HLA single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and one microsatellite. RESULTS: In multivariate analyses adjusting for family history and HLA-DR3/4 genotype, PTPN22 (rs2476601) and two UBASH3A (rs11203203 and rs9976767) SNPs were associated with development of IA [hazard ratio(HR)=1.87, 1.55, and 1.54, respectively, all p ≤ 0.003], while GLIS3 and IL2RA showed borderline association with development of IA. INS,UBASH3A, and IFIH1 were significantly associated with progression from IA to diabetes (HR=1.65, 1.44, and 1.47, respectively, all p ≤ 0.04), while PTPN22 and IL27 showed borderline association with progression from IA to diabetes. In survival analysis, 45% of general population DAISY children with PTPN22 rs2476601 TT or HLA-DR3/4 and UBASH3A rs11203203 AA developed diabetes by age 15, compared with 3% of children with all other genotypes (p<0.0001). Addition of non-HLA markers to HLA-DR3/4,DQ8 did not improve diabetes prediction in first-degree relatives. CONCLUSION: Addition of PTPN22 and UBASH3A SNPs to HLA-DR,DQ genotyping can improve T1D risk prediction.

Efficacy and Safety of Tirzepatide in Adults With Type 1 Diabetes: A Proof of Concept Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: Tirzepatide is approved by the United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for the management of type 2 diabetes. The efficacy and safety of this drug have not been studied in people with type 1 diabetes (T1D). METHODS: In this single-center, retrospective, observational study, hemoglobin A1C (HbA1c), weight, body mass index (BMI), and continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) data were collected from electronic health records of adults with T1D at initiation of tirzepatide and at subsequent clinic visits over 8 months. Primary outcomes were reduction in HbA1c and percent change in body weight and secondary outcomes were change in CGM metrics and BMI over 8 months from baseline. RESULTS: The mean (±SD) age of the 26 adults (54% female) with T1D was 42 ± 8 years with a mean BMI of 36.7 ± 5.3 kg/m2. There was significant reduction in HbA1c by 0.45% at 3 months and 0.59% at 8 months, and a significant reduction in body weight by 3.4%, 10.5%, and 10.1% at 3, 6, and 8 months after starting tirzepatide. Time in target range (TIR = 70-180 mg/dL) and time in tight target range (TITR = 70-140 mg/dL) increased (+12.6%, P = .002; +10.7%, P = .0016, respectively) and time above range (TAR >180 mg/dL) decreased (-12.6%, P = .002) at 3 months, and these changes were sustained over 8 months. The drug was relatively safe and well tolerated with only 2 patients discontinuing the medication. CONCLUSIONS: Tirzepatide significantly reduced HbA1c and body weight in adults with T1D. A randomized controlled trial is needed to establish efficacy and safety of this drug in T1D.

Decrease in multiple complement proteins associated with development of islet autoimmunity and type 1 diabetes.

Type 1 diabetes (T1D) is a chronic condition caused by autoimmune destruction of the insulin-producing pancreatic ß cells. While it is known that gene-environment interactions play a key role in triggering the autoimmune process leading to T1D, the pathogenic mechanism leading to the appearance of islet autoantibodies-biomarkers of autoimmunity-is poorly understood. Here we show that disruption of the complement system precedes the detection of islet autoantibodies and persists through disease onset. Our results suggest that children who exhibit islet autoimmunity and progress to clinical T1D have lower complement protein levels relative to those who do not progress within a similar time frame. Thus, the complement pathway, an understudied mechanistic and therapeutic target in T1D, merits increased attention for use as protein biomarkers of prediction and potentially prevention of T1D.