Gender and age differences in the associations between cortical thickness and hand osteoarthritis severity: data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate gender differences in the association between metacarpal cortical thickness (Tcort)-a surrogate for bone density-and severity of radiographic hand osteoarthritis (HOA) in a longitudinal observational study. METHOD: Hand radiographs of 3575 participants (2039 F/1536 M) from the Osteoarthritis Initiative were assessed at baseline and 48 months. A reader used a semi-automated software tool to calculate Tcort, a measurement of the cortical thickness, for metacarpals 2-4. Average Tcort at baseline and change in Tcort from baseline to 48 months was determined and stratified by gender and age for 7 5-year age groups. Spearman's rank correlation coefficients were calculated for the association of baseline Tcort and 2 measures of baseline HOA severity: the sum of Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grade and total number of joints with radiographic HOA. Longitudinally, logistic regression was used to assess the relationship of Tcort loss to new finger joint radiographic HOA, increase in KL grades, and incident hand pain. RESULTS: Male Tcort was higher than females. Significant correlations between Tcort and radiographic severity were noted for women but not men, with stronger associations among women >60 years (rho = -0.25; 95% confidence interval (CI) = -0.31 to -0.19). Statistically significant associations were seen between Tcort change and radiographic osteoarthritis change among women but not men, with substantial gender differences for Tcort change, particularly ages 50 to 70 years (p < 0.01; e.g., Tcort change ages 55 to <60: males = -0.182 (0.118), females = -0.219 (0.124)). CONCLUSION: We found significant HOA-related gender differences in Tcort, suggesting the involvement of female bone loss during and after menopause.

Associations of inflammatory and metabolic biomarkers with incident erosive hand osteoarthritis in the osteoarthritis initiative cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Erosive hand osteoarthritis (eHOA) is a subtype of hand osteoarthritis (OA) that develops in finger joints with pre-existing OA and is differentiated by clinical characteristics (hand pain/disability, inflammation, and erosions) that suggest inflammatory or metabolic processes. METHOD: This was a longitudinal nested case-cohort design among Osteoarthritis Initiative participants who had hand radiographs at baseline and 48-months, and biospecimens collected at baseline. We classified incident radiographic eHOA in individuals with ≥1 joint with Kellgren-Lawrence ≥2 and a central erosion present at 48-months but not at baseline. We used a random representative sample (n = 1282) for comparison. We measured serum biomarkers of inflammation, insulin resistance and dysglycemia, and adipokines using immunoassays and enzymatic colorimetric procedures, blinded to case status. RESULTS: Eighty-six participants developed incident radiographic eHOA. In the multivariate analyses adjusted for age, gender, race, smoking, and body mass index, and after adjustment for multiple analyses, incident radiographic eHOA was associated with elevated levels of interleukin-7 (risk ratio (RR) per SD = 1.30 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.09, 1.55] p trend 0.01). CONCLUSION: This exploratory study suggests an association of elevated interleukin-7, an inflammatory cytokine, with incident eHOA, while other cytokines or biomarkers of metabolic inflammation were not associated. Interleukin-7 may mediate inflammation and tissue damage in susceptible osteoarthritic finger joints and participate in erosive progression.

Knee cartilage change on magnetic resonance imaging: Should we lump or split topographical regions? A 2-year study of data from the osteoarthritis initiative.

OBJECTIVE: We challenge the paradigm that a simplistic approach evaluating anatomic regions (e.g., medial femur or tibia) is ideal for assessing articular cartilage loss on magnetic resonance (MR) imaging. We used a data-driven approach to explore whether specific topographical locations of knee cartilage loss may identify novel patterns of cartilage loss over time that current assessment strategies miss. DESIGN: We assessed 60 location-specific measures of articular cartilage on a sample of 99 knees with baseline and 24-month MR images from the Osteoarthritis Initiative, selected as a group with a high likelihood to change. We performed factor analyses of the change in these measures in two ways: (1) summing the measures to create one measure for each of the six anatomically regional-based summary (anatomic regions; e.g., medial tibia) and (2) treating each location separately for a total of 60 measures (location-specific measures). RESULTS: The first analysis produced three factors accounting for 66% of the variation in the articular cartilage changes that occur over 24 months of follow-up: (1) medial tibiofemoral, (2) medial and lateral patellar, and (3) lateral tibiofemoral. The second produced 20 factors accounting for 75% of the variance in cartilage changes. Twelve factors only involved one anatomic region. Five factors included locations from adjoining regions (defined by the first analysis; e.g., medial tibiofemoral). Three factors included articular cartilage loss from disparate locations. CONCLUSIONS: Novel patterns of cartilage loss occur within each anatomic region and across these regions, including in disparate regions. The traditional anatomic regional approach is simpler to implement and interpret but may obscure meaningful patterns of change.

Radiographic joint space width in individuals with hand osteoarthritis: Are their "healthy" joints really healthy?

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to investigate the systemic nature of hand osteoarthritis (OA). We hypothesized that people who suffer from hand OA would display narrower radiographic joint space width (JSW) - not only in joints with apparent radiographic OA but also in their unaffected "healthy" joints. METHOD: We examined 3394 participants from the Osteoarthritis Initiative with available dominant hand radiographs at baseline. Cases were defined as having interphalangeal OA (IPOA) based on a Kellgren and Lawrence (KL) score of ≥2 in two or more finger joints, whereas controls did not have IPOA. We used custom software to make JSW measurements of the metacarpophalangeal, proximal interphalangeal, and distal interphalangeal joints in fingers 2-5 per hand. In joint-level analyses, we included only KL score=0, allowing us to compare all joints without IPOA in cases and controls. We used generalized estimating equation models to compare JSW between both groups, adjusted for age, gender, metacarpal length, and joint type. RESULTS: Finger joints without radiographic OA had significantly narrower JSW in the IPOA group compared to finger joints in the control group (p < 0.001). The differences were significant across all joint types and for both total JSW measurements as well as for central and lateral sub-regions within each joint group (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Unaffected finger joints in people with IPOA had narrower joint space than joints of healthy controls. This implies a systemic nature of hand OA, in which people may have a predisposition for general cartilage deterioration.

Hand joints without radiographic osteoarthritis maintain their joint space width over 4 years despite what's happening elsewhere in the hand.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to determine if hand osteoarthritis is characterized by systemic cartilage loss by assessing if radiographically normal joints had greater joint space width (JSW) loss during four years in hands with incident or prevalent osteoarthritis elsewhere in the hand compared with hands without osteoarthritis. METHODS: We used semi-automated software to measure JSW in the distal and proximal interphalangeal joints of 3,368 participants in the Osteoarthritis Initiative who had baseline and 48-month hand radiographs. A reader scored 16 hand joints (including the thumb-base) for Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) Grade. A joint had osteoarthritis if scored as KL ≥ 2. We identified three groups based on longitudinal hand osteoarthritis status: 1) no hand osteoarthritis (KL < 2 in all 16 joints) at the baseline and 48-month visits, 2) incident hand osteoarthritis (KL < 2in all 16 joints at baseline and then ≥1 joint with KL ≥ 2 at 48-months), and 3) prevalent hand osteoarthritis (≥1 joint with KL ≥ 2 at baseline and 48-months). We then assessed if JSW in radiographically normal joints (KL = 0) differed across these three groups. We calculated unpooled effect sizes to help interpret the differences between groups. RESULTS: We observed small differences in JSW loss that are unlikely to be clinically important between radiographically normal joints between those without hand osteoarthritis (n = 1054) and those with incident (n = 102) or prevalent hand osteoarthritis (n = 2212) (effect size range: -0.01 to 0.24). These findings were robust when examining JSW loss dichotomized based on meaningful change and in other secondary analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Hand osteoarthritis is not a systemic disease of cartilage.

The Prognostic Potential of End-Stage Knee Osteoarthritis and Its Components to Predict Knee Replacement: Data From the Osteoarthritis Initiative.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to determine how 2 definitions of end-stage knee osteoarthritis (esKOA) and each component (knee symptoms, persistent knee pain, radiographic severity, and presence of limited mobility or instability) related to future knee replacement (KR). METHODS: We performed knee-based analyses of Osteoarthritis Initiative data from baseline to the first 4 annual follow-up visits, and data on KR from baseline until the fifth yearly contact. We calculated a base model using common risk factors for KR in logistic regression models with generalized estimating equations. We assessed model performance with area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) and Hosmer-Lemeshow test. We then added esKOA or each component from the visit (< 12 months) before a KR and change in the year before a KR. We calculated the net reclassification improvement (NRI) index and the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) index. RESULTS: Our sample was mostly female (58%), ≥ 65 years old, White (82%), and without radiographic knee osteoarthritis (50%). At the visit before a KR, Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grades (ordinal scale; AUC 0.88, NRI 1.12, IDI 0.11), the alternate definition of esKOA (AUC 0.84, NRI 1.16, IDI 0.12), and a model with every component of esKOA (AUC 0.91, NRI 1.30, IDI 0.17) had the best performances. During the year before a KR, change in esKOA status (alternate definition) had the best performance (AUC 0.86, NRI 1.24, IDI 0.12). CONCLUSION: Radiographic severity may be a screening tool to find a knee that will likely receive a KR. However, esKOA may be an ideal outcome in clinical trials because a change in esKOA state predicts future KR.

Increased risk of incident knee osteoarthritis in those with greater work-related physical activity.

OBJECTIVE: Occupations involving greater physical activity may increase risk for knee osteoarthritis (OA). Existing studies have not evaluated work-related physical activity before OA onset. Hence, we aimed to evaluate the association between work-related physical activity and knee OA incidence. METHODS: We performed a person-based longitudinal study using Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) data among people who volunteered or worked for pay without baseline radiographic knee OA or knee pain. Bilateral knee radiographs were obtained at baseline and annual follow-ups. We defined radiographic OA as Kellgren-Lawrence grade ≥2. Questions from the Physical Activity Scale for the Elderly at baseline and annual OAI visits provided information about work-related physical activity level and hours. We performed logistic regression with work-related physical activity level ( mainly sitting , standing and some walking , walking while handling some materials ) and hours as predictors. The outcome was incident person-based radiographic OA within the ensuing 12 months, over 48 months. RESULTS: Among 951 participants (2819 observations), higher work-related physical activity levels had greater adjusted ORs for incident radiographic OA (people with jobs with standing and some walking : 1.11 (0.60-2.08), and walking while handling some materials : 1.90 (1.03-3.52), when compared with those with mainly sitting work-related activity ). There was no association between number of hours worked and incident radiographic OA. CONCLUSIONS: People performing work that require walking while handling some materials have greater odds of incident knee OA than those with jobs mostly involving sitting. Strategies are needed to mitigate risk factors predisposing them to radiographic OA.

A novel approach to studying early knee osteoarthritis illustrates that bilateral medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis is a heritable phenotype: an offspring study.

To assess the potential of studying offspring of people with and without knee osteoarthritis to understand the risk factors and heritability for knee osteoarthritis. We selected two groups of Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) participants from one clinical site: (1) participants with bilateral radiographic medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis and (2) those without tibiofemoral osteoarthritis. We then invited biological offspring ≥ 18 years old to complete an online survey that inquired about osteoarthritis risk factors and symptoms. Among the survey respondents, we recruited ten offspring of members from each group for a clinic visit with bilateral knee posterior-anterior radiographs and magnetic resonance imaging of the right knee. We established contact with 269/413 (65%) eligible OAI participants. Most (227/269, 84%) had ≥ 1 eligible biological offspring, and 213 (94%) were willing to share information about the new family study with their offspring. Our survey was completed by 188 offspring from 110 OAI participants: mean age of 43.0 (10.4) years, mean body mass index of 23.7 (5.9) kg/m2, 65% female. Offspring obesity (OR = 2.7, 95% CI 1.0-7.3), hypertension (OR = 3.7, 95% CI 1.2-11.3), and Heberden's nodes (OR = 3.6, 95% CI 1.0-13.2) were associated with parental osteoarthritis status; however, adjusted models were not statistically significant. Radiographic tibiofemoral osteoarthritis (16/18 knees vs. 2/20 knees) and meniscal abnormalities (7/9 vs. 2/10 index knees) were more common among offspring with parental osteoarthritis status than not. We established the potential of a novel offspring study design within the OAI, and our results are consistent with bilateral radiographic medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis being a heritable phenotype of osteoarthritis.

The incidence and characteristics of accelerated knee osteoarthritis among women: the Chingford cohort.

BACKGROUND: Prior research on accelerated knee osteoarthritis (AKOA) was primarily confined to the Osteoarthritis Initiative, which was enriched with people with risk factors for knee osteoarthritis (KOA). It is unclear how often AKOA develops in a community-based cohort and whether we can replicate prior findings from the Osteoarthritis Initiative in another cohort. Hence, we determined the incidence and characteristics of AKOA among women in the Chingford Study, which is a prospective community-based cohort. METHODS: The Chingford Study had 1003 women with quinquennial knee radiographs over 15 years. We divided the 15-year observation period into three consecutive 5-year phases. Within each 5-year phase, we selected 3 groups of participants among women who started a phase without KOA (Kellgren-Lawrence [KL] < 2): 1) incident AKOA developed KL grade ≥ 3, 2) typical KOA increased radiographic scoring (excluding AKOA), and 3) no KOA had the same KL grade over time. Study staff recorded each participant's age, body mass index (BMI), and blood pressure at baseline, 5-year, and 10-year study visits. We used multinomial logistic regression models to test the association between groups (outcome) and age, BMI, and blood pressure at the start of each phase. The cumulative incidences and odds ratios (OR) from each phase were pooled using a fixed-effect meta-analysis model. RESULTS: The person-based cumulative incidence of AKOA was 3.9% over 5 years (pooled estimate across the three 5-year phases). Among incident cases of KOA, AKOA represented ~ 15% of women with incident KOA. Women with AKOA were older than those with typical (OR = 1.56, 95%CI = 1.16-2.11) or no KOA (OR = 1.84, 95%CI = 1.40-2.43). Women with AKOA had a greater BMI than those without KOA (OR = 1.52, 95%CI = 1.17-1.97). We observed no association between group and blood pressure. CONCLUSIONS: In a community-based cohort, > 1 in 7 women with incident KOA had AKOA. Like the Osteoarthritis Initiative, people with AKOA were more likely to have greater age and BMI.

Composite quantitative knee structure metrics predict the development of accelerated knee osteoarthritis: data from the osteoarthritis initiative.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to determine if composite structural measures of knee osteoarthritis (KOA) progression on magnetic resonance (MR) imaging can predict the radiographic onset of accelerated knee osteoarthritis. METHODS: We used data from a nested case-control study among participants from the Osteoarthritis Initiative without radiographic KOA at baseline. Participants were separated into three groups based on radiographic disease progression over 4 years: 1) accelerated (Kellgren-Lawrence grades [KL] 0/1 to 3/4), 2) typical (increase in KL, excluding accelerated osteoarthritis), or 3) no KOA (no change in KL). We assessed tibiofemoral cartilage damage (four regions: medial/lateral tibia/femur), bone marrow lesion (BML) volume (four regions: medial/lateral tibia/femur), and whole knee effusion-synovitis volume on 3 T MR images with semi-automated programs. We calculated two MR-based composite scores. Cumulative damage was the sum of standardized cartilage damage. Disease activity was the sum of standardized volumes of effusion-synovitis and BMLs. We focused on annual images from 2 years before to 2 years after radiographic onset (or a matched time for those without knee osteoarthritis). To determine between group differences in the composite metrics at all time points, we used generalized linear mixed models with group (3 levels) and time (up to 5 levels). For our prognostic analysis, we used multinomial logistic regression models to determine if one-year worsening in each composite metric change associated with future accelerated knee osteoarthritis (odds ratios [OR] based on units of 1 standard deviation of change). RESULTS: Prior to disease onset, the accelerated KOA group had greater average disease activity compared to the typical and no KOA groups and this persisted up to 2 years after disease onset. During a pre-radiographic disease period, the odds of developing accelerated KOA were greater in people with worsening disease activity [versus typical KOA OR (95% confidence interval [CI]): 1.58 (1.08 to 2.33); versus no KOA: 2.39 (1.55 to 3.71)] or cumulative damage [versus typical KOA: 1.69 (1.14 to 2.51); versus no KOA: 2.11 (1.41 to 3.16)]. CONCLUSIONS: MR-based disease activity and cumulative damage metrics may be prognostic markers to help identify people at risk for accelerated onset and progression of knee osteoarthritis.

Risk factors and the natural history of accelerated knee osteoarthritis: a narrative review.

BACKGROUND: Osteoarthritis is generally a slowly progressive disorder. However, at least 1 in 7 people with incident knee osteoarthritis develop an abrupt progression to advanced-stage radiographic disease, many within 12 months. We summarize what is known - primarily based on findings from the Osteoarthritis Initiative - about the risk factors and natural history of accelerated knee osteoarthritis (AKOA) - defined as a transition from no radiographic knee osteoarthritis to advanced-stage disease < 4 years - and put these findings in context with typical osteoarthritis (slowly progressing disease), aging, prior case reports/series, and relevant animal models. Risk factors in the 2 to 4 years before radiographic manifestation of AKOA (onset) include older age, higher body mass index, altered joint alignment, contralateral osteoarthritis, greater pre-radiographic disease burden (structural, symptoms, and function), or low fasting glucose. One to 2 years before AKOA onset people often exhibit rapid articular cartilage loss, larger bone marrow lesions and effusion-synovitis, more meniscal pathology, slower chair-stand or walking pace, and increased global impact of arthritis than adults with typical knee osteoarthritis. Increased joint symptoms predispose a person to new joint trauma, which for someone who develops AKOA is often characterized by a destabilizing meniscal tear (e.g., radial or root tear). One in 7 people with AKOA onset subsequently receive a knee replacement during a 9-year period. The median time from any increase in radiographic severity to knee replacement is only 2.3 years. Despite some similarities, AKOA is different than other rapidly progressive arthropathies and collapsing these phenomena together or extracting results from one type of osteoarthritis to another should be avoided until further research comparing these types of osteoarthritis is conducted. Animal models that induce meniscal damage in the presence of other risk factors or create an incongruent distribution of loading on joints create an accelerated form of osteoarthritis compared to other models and may offer insights into AKOA. CONCLUSION: Accelerated knee osteoarthritis is unique from typical knee osteoarthritis. The incidence of AKOA in the Osteoarthritis Initiative and Chingford Study is substantial. AKOA needs to be taken into account and studied in epidemiologic studies and clinical trials.

Reliability of a Novel Semiautomated Ultrasound Segmentation Technique for Assessing Average Regional Femoral Articular Cartilage Thickness.

CONTEXT: Ultrasound imaging is a clinically feasible tool to assess femoral articular cartilage and may have utility in tracking early knee osteoarthritis development. Traditional assessment techniques focus on measurements at a single location, which can be challenging to adopt for novice raters. OBJECTIVE: To introduce a novel semiautomated ultrasound segmentation technique and determine the intrarater and interrater reliability of average regional femoral articular cartilage thickness and echo intensity of a novice and expert rater. DESIGN: Descriptive observational study. SETTING: Orthopedic clinic. PATIENTS OR OTHER PARTICIPANTS: Fifteen participants (mean [SD]; age 23.5 [4.6] y, height = 172.6 [9.3] cm, mass = 79.8 [15.7] kg) with a unilateral history of anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction participated. INTERVENTION: None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: One rater captured anterior femoral cartilage images of the participants' contralateral knees using a transverse suprapatellar ultrasound assessment. The total femoral cartilage cross-sectional area of each image was segmented by a novice and expert rater. A novel custom program automatically separated the cartilage segmentations into medial, lateral, and intercondylar regions to determine the cross-sectional area and cartilage length. The average cartilage thickness in each region was calculated by dividing the cross-sectional area by the cartilage length. Echo intensity was calculated as the average gray-scale pixel value of each region. Two-way random effect intraclass correlations coefficient (ICC) for absolute agreement were used to determine the interrater reliability between a novice and expert rater, as well as the intrarater reliability of the novice rater. RESULTS: The novice rater demonstrated excellent intrarater (ICC [2,k] range = .993-.997) and interrater (ICC [2,k] range = .944-.991) reliability with the expert rater of all femoral articular cartilage average thickness and echo intensity regions. CONCLUSIONS: The novel semiautomated average cartilage thickness and echo-intensity assessment is efficient, systematic, and reliable between an expert and novice rater with minimal training.

Effusion-synovitis and infrapatellar fat pad signal intensity alteration differentiate accelerated knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether greater effusion-synovitis volume and infrapatellar fat pad (IFP) signal intensity alteration differentiate incident accelerated knee OA (KOA) from a gradual onset of KOA or no KOA. METHODS: We classified three sex-matched groups of participants in the Osteoarthritis Initiative who had a knee with no radiographic KOA at baseline (recruited 2004-06; Kellgren-Lawrence <2; n = 125/group): accelerated KOA: ⩾1 knee progressed to Kellgren-Lawrence grade ⩾3 within 48 months; common KOA: ⩾1 knee increased in radiographic scoring within 48 months; and no KOA: both knees had the same Kellgren-Lawrence grade at baseline and 48 months. The observation period included up to 2 years before and after when the group criteria were met. Two musculoskeletal radiologists reported presence of IFP signal intensity alteration and independent readers used a semi-automated method to segment effusion-synovitis volume. We used generalized linear mixed models with group and time as independent variables, as well as testing a group-by-time interaction. RESULTS: Starting at 2 years before disease onset, adults who developed accelerated KOA had greater effusion-synovitis volume than their peers (accelerated KOA: 11.94 ± 0.90 cm3, KOA: 8.29 ± 1.19 cm3, no KOA: 8.14 ± 0.90 cm3) and have greater odds of having IFP signal intensity alteration than those with no KOA (odds ratio = 2.07, 95% CI = 1.14-3.78). Starting at 1 year prior to disease onset, those with accelerated KOA have greater than twice the odds of having IFP signal intensity alteration than those with common KOA. CONCLUSION: People with IFP signal intensity alteration and/or greater effusion-synovitis volume in the absence of radiographic KOA may be at high risk for accelerated KOA, which may be characterized by local inflammation.

Exercise prescription for weight management in obese adults at risk for osteoarthritis: synthesis from a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this systematic review was to identify principles of exercise interventions associated with improved physical function, weight management or musculoskeletal pain relief among young and middle-aged adults with obesity and propose an evidence-based exercise prescription that could assist in secondary prevention of osteoarthritis. METHODS: A structured electronic review was conducted using MEDLINE, PubMed, and SPORTDiscus. The search string included 1) "obes*" AND "exercise" AND "interven*" AND "musculoskeletal pain OR knee pain OR hip pain". Studies 1) were randomized controlled trials of humans, with a non-exercise control, 2) included participants aged 18-50 years, and 3) had outcomes that included physical function, musculoskeletal pain, and/or body composition. Studies were excluded if participants had peri-menopausal status, cancer, or obesity-related co-morbidities. A recommended exercise prescription was developed based on common principles used in the included exercise interventions with greatest change in function or pain. RESULTS: Seven studies were included. Similarities in exercise intensity (40-80% VO2max), frequency (three times per week), duration (30-60 min), and exercise mode (treadmill, cross-trainer, stationary bike, aquatic exercise) were observed in exercise interventions that resulted in improved physical function and/or pain, compared to non-exercise control groups. CONCLUSION: Common principles in exercise prescription for improvements in weight management, physical function and pain relief among otherwise healthy people with obesity. Exercise prescription including moderate intensity exercise for 30-60 min, three times per week can be considered an effective treatment for weight management and obesity-related musculoskeletal symptoms. Exercise should be recommended to at-risk individuals as part of secondary prevention of osteoarthritis.

Early pre-radiographic structural pathology precedes the onset of accelerated knee osteoarthritis.

BACKGROUND: Accelerated knee osteoarthritis (AKOA) is characterized by more pain, impaired physical function, and greater likelihood to receive a joint replacement compared to individuals who develop the typical gradual onset of disease. Prognostic tools are needed to determine which structural pathologies precede the development of AKOA compared to individuals without AKOA. Therefore, the purpose of this manuscript was to determine which pre-radiographic structural features precede the development of AKOA. METHODS: The sample comprised participants in the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) who had at least one radiographically normal knee at baseline (Kellgren-Lawrence [KL] grade < 1). Participants were classified into 2 groups based on radiographic progression from baseline to 48 months: AKOA (KL grade change from < 1 to > 3) and No AKOA. The index visit was the study visit when participants met criteria for AKOA or a matched timepoint for those who did not develop AKOA. Magnetic resonance (MR) images were assessed for 12 structural features at the OAI baseline, and 1 and 2 years prior to the index visit. Separate logistic regression models (i.e. OAI baseline, 1 and 2 years prior) were used to determine which pre-radiographic structural features were more likely to antedate the development of AKOA compared to individuals not developing AKOA. RESULTS: At the OAI baseline visit, degenerative cruciate ligaments (Odds Ratio [OR] = 2.2, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] = 1.3,3.5), infrapatellar fat pad signal intensity alteration (OR = 2.0, 95%CI = 1.2,3.2), medial/lateral meniscal pathology (OR = 2.1/2.4, 95%CI = 1.3,3.4/1.5,3.8), and greater quantitative knee effusion-synovitis (OR = 2.2, 95%CI = 1.4,3.4) were more likely to antedate the development of AKOA when compared to those that did not develop AKOA. These results were similar at one and two years prior to disease onset. Additionally, medial meniscus extrusion at one year prior to disease onset (OR = 3.5, 95%CI = 2.1,6.0) increased the likelihood of developing AKOA. CONCLUSIONS: Early ligamentous degeneration, effusion/synovitis, and meniscal pathology precede the onset of AKOA and may be prognostic biomarkers.

Accelerated knee osteoarthritis is associated with pre-radiographic degeneration of the extensor mechanism and cruciate ligaments: data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative.

BACKGROUND: To determine if adults with incident accelerated knee osteoarthritis (KOA) are more likely to have degenerative knee ligaments or tendons compared to individuals with typical or no KOA. METHODS: We identified 3 sex-matched groups among Osteoarthritis Initiative participants who had a knee without radiographic KOA at baseline (Kellgren-Lawrence [KL] < 2): 1) accelerated KOA: at least 1 knee had KL grade ≥ 3 in ≤48 months, 2) typical KOA: at least 1 knee increased in radiographic scoring within 48 months, 3) no KOA: both knees had the same KL grade at baseline and 48 months. We evaluated knee magnetic resonance images up to 2 years before and after a visit when the accelerated or typical KOA criteria were met (index visit). Radiologists reported degenerative signal changes for cruciate and collateral ligaments, and extensor mechanism and proximal gastrocnemius tendons. We used generalized linear mixed models with 2 independent variables: group and time. RESULTS: Starting at least 2 years before onset, adults with accelerated KOA were twice as likely to have degenerative cruciate ligaments than no KOA (odds ratio = 2.10, 95% CI = 1.18, 3.74). A weaker association (not statistically significant) was detected for adults with accelerated versus typical KOA (OR = 1.72, 95%CI = 0.99, 3.02). Regardless of time, adults with accelerated (odds ratio = 2.13) or typical KOA (odds ratio = 2.16) were twice as likely to have a degenerative extensor mechanism than no KOA. No other structural features were statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: Degenerative cruciate ligaments or extensor mechanism antedate radiographic onset of accelerated KOA. Hence, knee instability may precede accelerated KOA, which might help identify patients at high-risk for accelerated KOA and novel prevention strategies.

Diffuse tibiofemoral cartilage change prior to the development of accelerated knee osteoarthritis: Data from the osteoarthritis initiative.

We compared the spatial distribution of tibiofemoral cartilage change between individuals who will develop accelerated knee osteoarthritis (KOA) versus typical onset of KOA prior to the development of radiographic KOA. We conducted a longitudinal case-control analysis of 129 individuals from the Osteoarthritis Initiative. We assessed the percent change in tibiofemoral cartilage on magnetic resonance images at 36 informative locations from 2 to 1 year prior to the development of accelerated (n = 44) versus typical KOA (n = 40). We defined cartilage change in the accelerated and typical KOA groups at 36 informative locations based on thresholds of cartilage percent change in a no KOA group (n = 45). We described the spatial patterns of cartilage change in the accelerated KOA and typical KOA groups and performed a logistic regression to determine if diffuse cartilage change (predictor; at least half of the tibiofemoral regions demonstrating change in multiple informative locations) was associated with KOA group (outcome). There was a non-significant trend that individuals with diffuse tibiofemoral cartilage change were 2.2 times more likely to develop accelerated knee OA when compared with individuals who develop typical knee OA (OR [95% CI] = 2.2 [0.90-5.14]. Adults with accelerated or typical KOA demonstrate heterogeneity in spatial distribution of cartilage thinning and thickening. These results provide preliminary evidence of a different spatial pattern of cartilage change between individuals who will develop accelerated versus typical KOA. These data suggest there may be different mechanisms driving the early structural disease progression between accelerated versus typical KOA. Clin. Anat. 32:369-378, 2019. © 2018 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.