A diagnostic score for the prediction of spontaneous resolution of acute hepatitis C virus infection.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: IL28B polymorphisms, jaundice, decline in HCV-RNA, IP-10, and gender have been proposed to be indicative of spontaneous clearance of acute hepatitis C virus infection. The aim of this study was to define a score enabling the discrimination of patients with spontaneous clearance of HCV from those with development of viral persistence and need for early antiviral treatment. METHODS: 136 patients (74 male; 35 ± 15 years) were analyzed. From variables predictive of spontaneous clearance, calculated by univariate analysis, three scores were built. Analogous cut-offs were evaluated by computing area under the receiver operating characteristic curves. Candidate variables and cut-offs were: (I) presence of IL28B C/C (p=0.027), (II) age (p=0.031; cut-off: 35 years), (III) peak-bilirubin (p=0.018; cut-off: 6 mg/dl), (IV) HCV-RNA decline within 4 weeks (p<0.001;cut-off: >2.5 log), (V) serum IP-10 (p=0.003; cut-off: 546 pg/ml), (VI) presence of CD4(+) Th1 cells (p=0.024). Each variable was allocated to 0 or 1 point, an HCV-RNA decline of ≥ 1 log 10 but <2.5 log 10 to 1 point, a decline of ≥ 2.5 log 10 to 2 points. Three scores were evaluated (Score 1: I-IV; Score 2: I-V; Score 3: I-VI). RESULTS: A cut-off of ≥ 3 points out of 5 in Score 1 (AUROC: 0.82; DeLong 95% CI: 0.76-0.93) predicted spontaneous clearance with a sensitivity of 71% (95% CI: 0.53-0.86) and specificity of 87% (95% CI: 0.73-0.95). PPV and NPV were 79% and 82%. Corresponding findings for Score 2 including IP-10 (AUROC: 0.93; DeLong 95% CI: 0.86-0.93) at a cut-off of ≥ 4 were: sensitivity 81%, specificity 95% (PPV: 100%; NPV: 77%). A cut-off of ≥ 5 in Score 3 (AUROC: 0.98; DeLong 95% CI: 0.95-1.0) predicted spontaneous resolution with a sensitivity of 75% and specificity of 100% (PPV: 100%; NPV: 88%). CONCLUSIONS: The scores enable a reliable discrimination between AHC-patients with high potential for spontaneous clearance from candidates for early therapeutic intervention due to marginal chance of spontaneous resolution.

Serum level of IP-10 increases predictive value of IL28B polymorphisms for spontaneous clearance of acute HCV infection.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in IL28B and serum levels of interferon γ inducible protein 10 (IP-10) predict outcomes of antiviral therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis C. We associated IL28B SNPs rs12979860 and rs8099917, along with serum levels of IP-10, with outcomes of patients with acute hepatitis C (AHC). METHODS: We studied 120 patients with AHC (64 male; 37 ± 16 years old) and 96 healthy individuals (controls). The IL28B SNPs rs12979860 and rs8099917 were detected using real-time polymerase chain reaction; serum concentrations of IP-10 were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays of 62 patients with AHC. RESULTS: Hepatitis C virus was cleared spontaneously from 59 patients (49.2%). The IL28B rs12979860 C/C genotype was more frequent among patients with AHC than controls (62.5% vs 39.6%; P < .001) and among patients with spontaneous clearance than those without (74.6% vs 51.7%; P = .02) (positive predictive value, 60.3%). Patients with IL28B rs12979860 C/C more frequently developed jaundice (53.2% vs 27.6%; P = .022) than carriers of the T allele. The median level of IP-10 was lower among patients with AHC and spontaneous clearance (764 [113-2470] pg/mL) than those without spontaneous clearance (1481 [141-4412] pg/mL; P = .006). Based on receiver operating characteristic analysis, 540 pg/mL IP-10 was set as the cutoff for patients most likely to have spontaneous clearance (positive predictive value, 71.4%; negative predictive value, 65.9%). Including data on IP-10 levels increased the ability of the IL28B rs12979860 C/C to identify patients most likely to have spontaneous clearance (83% of those who had an IP-10 level <540 pg/mL and 32% who had an IP-10 level >540 pg/mL) (P < .01). CONCLUSIONS: The combination of serum level of IP-10 and SNPs in IL28B can identify patients with AHC who are most likely to undergo spontaneous clearance and those in need of early antiviral therapy.

Impact of IL28B on treatment outcome in hepatitis C virus G1/4 patients receiving response-guided therapy with peginterferon alpha-2a (40KD)/ribavirin.

UNLABELLED: The IL28B genotype is the most important pretreatment predictor of treatment outcome in patients with chronic hepatitis C. The impact of the rs12979860 genotype on relapse was retrospectively evaluated in genotype 1/4 patients who received response-guided therapy with peginterferon alpha-2a 180 µg/week plus ribavirin 1,000/1,200 mg/day in a large, randomized, multicenter study. Patients with a rapid virologic response (RVR: hepatitis C virus [HCV] RNA <50 IU/mL) at week 4 were treated for 24 weeks; those with a slow virologic response (no RVR but undetectable HCV RNA or ≥ 2-log(10) decrease at week 12) were randomized to 48 (group A) or 72 weeks of treatment (group B). Relapse rates were compared by rs12979860 genotype (C/C versus combined T/C or T/T [T/*]) in patients with confirmed end-of-treatment response and known end-of-follow-up status (sustained virologic response [SVR] or relapse). The rs12979860 genotype was determined for 340/551 study participants. In patients with RVR and C/C or T/* genotype, relapse rates were similar (10.7% versus 15.2%). In patients randomized to groups A and B, relapse rates were similar in patients with C/C genotype randomized to group A (26.9%) and group B (20.0%). In contrast, relapse rates in T/* patients differed markedly between groups A and B, overall (42.9% and 18.8%; P < 0.025, respectively) and in those with low (<400,000 IU/mL: 37.5% versus 18.8%) and high (≥ 400,000 IU/mL: 45.0% versus 18.8%) baseline viral loads. CONCLUSION: The results suggest that the benefits of extended therapy are restricted to patients with a T allele. Relapse rates are highest in patients with T/* genotype and are markedly higher in slow responders treated for 48 weeks compared with 72 weeks.

Impact of IL28B genotype on the early and sustained virologic response in treatment-naïve patients with chronic hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the gene that encodes interleukin (IL)-28B predict response of patients with chronic hepatitis C to antiviral therapy. We investigated the roles of polymorphisms rs12979860 and rs8099917 on the early virologic response of treatment-naïve patients. METHODS: SNPs were identified by real-time polymerase chain reaction analysis of samples from 682 patients (genotype [GT]1=372, GT2/3=208, GT4=102) who were treated with 180 µg pegylated interferon-α2a and 400 or 800 mg (GT2/3, depending on the protocol) or 1000-1200 mg (GT1/4) ribavirin/day. The duration of treatment was 24 (GT2/3) or 24-72 weeks (GT1/4). RESULTS: Patients with C/C also had higher rates of rapid virologic response (RVR) (GT1, 38.3% vs 11.6%; GT4, 76.5% vs 23.5%; both P<.001) and sustained virologic responses (SVRs) (GT1, 79.1% vs 43.2%; GT4, 85.3% vs 44.1%; both P<.001). In patients with GT2/3, the RVR was more frequent in carriers of C/C (75.3% vs 52.6%, P<.01), but SVR rates were similar between those with C/C and T (80.5% vs 74.4%, P=.31). Results for rs8099917 were comparable. The positive predictive value of rs12979860 C/C for SVR was higher than that of rs8099917 T/T (80.5% vs 71.6%). Overall, RVR was the best predictor of SVR. In patients who did not have GT1, IL28B polymorphisms did not affect the SVR if RVR data were included in the multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: An early virologic response to pegylated interferon and ribavirin is more likely among carriers of rs12979860 C/C and rs8099917 T/T, which might underlie their high rates of SVR. Determination of the IL28B genotype and whether patients have an RVR might be used in future studies of patients with hepatitis C virus genotype 1 or 4.

Bleeding Dieulafoy lesions of the small bowel: a systematic study on the epidemiology and efficacy of enteroscopic treatment.

BACKGROUND: Dieulafoy lesions consist of aberrant submucosal arteries, which can cause severe GI bleeding. The predominant location of Dieulafoy lesions is the upper GI tract. OBJECTIVE: To our best knowledge, this is the first systematic study on the frequency of bleeding from Dieulafoy lesions in the small bowel and the efficacy of enteroscopic therapy regarding primary hemostasis and long-term follow-up. DESIGN: Multicenter, retrospective, observational study. SETTING: Nine Austrian centers doing double-balloon enteroscopy or single-balloon enteroscopy. PATIENTS: This study involved 284 consecutive patients who were referred for double-balloon enteroscopy or single-balloon enteroscopy because of suspicion of mid-GI bleeding. INTERVENTION: A total of 317 double-balloon enteroscopy and 78 single-balloon enteroscopy procedures were performed in 284 patients with suspected mid-GI bleeding. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: Demographic, clinical, procedural, and outcome data were collected. RESULTS: A Dieulafoy lesion in the small bowel was identified as the source of mid-GI bleeding in 3.5% of patients, with a mean of 1.5 enteroscopy sessions required per diagnosis. In 9 cases the Dieulafoy lesion was found by enteroscopy from an oral approach, and in 1 patient the lesion was found by an anal approach. In all patients primary endoscopic hemostasis was successful. Eight of 10 patients were free from rebleeding episodes (median follow-up 14.5 months, interquartile range 10.0-17.5 months). In 2 of 10 patients, rebleeding occurred, and a surgical intervention was necessary. LIMITATIONS: Retrospective study. CONCLUSION: Bleeding from Dieulafoy lesions of the small bowel seems to occur more frequently than previously estimated. Most of these lesions are located in the proximal jejunum and can be managed successfully by enteroscopy. After successful endoscopic hemostasis, rebleeding episodes occur in only 20% of patients.