Perceived Stress, Blood Biomarkers, and Cognitive Functioning in Older Adults.

INTRODUCTION: There is a substantial gap in knowledge regarding how perceived stress may influence the relationship between serum-measured biomarkers for Alzheimer's disease and cognitive decline. METHODS: This study consists of 1118 older adult participants from the Chicago Health and Aging Project (CHAP) (60% Black participants and 63% female participants). Linear mixed effects regression models were conducted to examine the role of perceived stress in the association between three blood biomarkers: total tau (t-tau), glial fibrillary acid protein (GFAP), and neurofilament light chain (NfL) on global cognitive decline. Stratified analysis by stress level was also conducted to evaluate the associations between each blood biomarker and baseline cognitive function and decline. All models adjusted for age, race, sex, education, time, and their interactions with time. RESULTS: The interaction of stress, NfL concentration, and time was statistically significant on global cognition ( ß = -0.064 [SE = 0.028], p = .023) and on episodic memory ( ß = -0.097 [SE = 0.036], p = .007). CONCLUSIONS: Greater stress level worsens the association between high NfL concentration and cognitive decline. Stress management interventions may be helpful to reduce the rate of cognitive decline in individuals with high concentrations of NfL.

External validation of dementia prediction models in Black or African American and White older adults: A longitudinal population-based study in the United States.

INTRODUCTION: Identifying people at high risk of Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia allows for timely intervention, which, if successful, will result in preventing or delaying the onset of the disease. METHODS: Utilizing data from the Chicago Health and Aging Project (CHAP; n = 2130), we externally evaluated four risk-prediction models for AD dementia, including Cardiovascular Risk Factors, Aging, and Dementia (CAIDE), Australian National University Alzheimer's Disease Risk Index (ANU-ADRI), Brief Dementia Screening Indicator (BDSI), and Dementia Risk Score (DRS), in Black or African American and White adults. RESULTS: BDSI had the highest discriminate abilities for AD dementia (c-statistics of 0.79 in Black and 0.77 in White adults), followed by ANU-ADRI, within the age range and follow-up period of the original development cohort. CAIDE had the lowest discriminating power (c-statistic ≤0.55). With increasing follow-up periods (i.e., 10-15 years), the discrimination abilities for all models declined. DISCUSSION: Because of racial disparities in AD dementia and longer preclinical and prodromal stages of disease development, race-specific models are needed to predict AD risk over 10 years. HIGHLIGHTS: Utilizing risk-prediction models to identify individuals at higher risk of Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia could benefit clinicians, patients, and policymakers. Clinicians could enroll high-risk individuals in clinical trials to test new risk-modifiable treatments or initiate lifestyle modifications, which, if successful, would slow cognitive decline and delay the onset of the disease. Current risk-prediction models had good discriminative power during the first 6 years of follow-up but decreased with longer follow-up time. Acknowledging the longer preclinical phase of AD dementia development and racial differences in dementia risk, there is a need to develop race-specific risk-prediction models that can predict 10 or 20 years of risk for AD and related dementias.

Race and Apolipoprotein E-e4 Allele Status Differences in the Association Between Loneliness and Cognitive Decline.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to examine race and apolipoprotein E-e4 allele (APOE-e4) status differences in the longitudinal associations between loneliness and cognitive decline. METHODS: The study sample is composed of participants ( N = 7696, 64% Black participants and 36% White participants) from the Chicago Health and Aging Project, a population-based cohort study. Mixed-effects regression models were conducted to examine the longitudinal associations between loneliness on global cognitive function and individual tests of cognitive function. Models were also stratified by race and APOE-e4. RESULTS: A greater percentage of Black participants (17%) reported loneliness at baseline visit compared with White participants (12%). Black and White participants who were lonely individuals had a similar rate of decline in global cognitive function at 0.075 (95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.082 to -0.068) standard deviation unit (SDU) per year for Black participants and at 0.075 (95% CI = -0.086 to -0.063) SDU per year for White participants. Lonely participants with APOE-e4 had a higher rate of global cognitive decline at -0.102 (95% CI = -0.115 to -0.088) SDU per year than for lonely participants without APOE-e4 at -0.052 (95% CI = -0.059 to -0.045) SDU per year. CONCLUSIONS: The burden of loneliness and its relation to cognitive decline is higher among participants with APOE-e4 compared with those without APOE-e4. Loneliness is associated with cognitive decline in both Black and White participants.

Cognitive Activity Is Associated with Cognitive Function over Time in a Diverse Group of Older Adults, Independent of Baseline Biomarkers.

BACKGROUND: More frequent engagement in cognitive activity is associated with better cognitive function in older adults, but the mechanism of action is not fully understood. Debate remains whether increased cognitive activity provides a meaningful benefit for cognitive health or if decreased cognitive activity represents a prodrome of cognitive impairment. Neurological biomarkers provide a novel way to examine this relationship in the context of cognitive aging. METHODS: We examined the association of self-reported cognitive activity, cognitive function, and concentrations of three biomarkers in community-dwelling participants of a longitudinal, population-based study. Cognitive activity was measured at baseline by asking participants to rate the frequency of 7 activities: (1) viewing television, (2) listening to the radio, (3) visiting a museum, (4) playing games, such as cards, checkers, crosswords, or other puzzles or games, (5) reading books, (6) reading magazines, and (7) reading newspapers. Cognitive function was measured with a battery of four tests (Mini-Mental State Examination, Digit Symbol Test, and the immediate and delayed recall of the East Boston Test) averaged into a composite score. At baseline, we evaluated the concentration of total tau (tau), neurofilament light (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP). RESULTS: The study sample comprised 1,168 older participants, primarily non-Hispanic Blacks (60%) and women (63%). At baseline, they were an average of 77 years old with 12.6 years of education. Mixed-effects models showed that cognitive activity was associated with better cognitive functioning at baseline and over time. These relationships remained after each biomarker was added to the model. Over an average of 6.4 years of follow-up, cognitive activity was associated with cognitive decline in the model with tau (estimate = 0.0123; p value = 0.03) and was mildly attenuated in the models with NfL (estimate = 0.0110; p value = 0.06) and GFAP (estimate = 0.0111; p value = 0.06). Biomarkers did not modify the association between cognitive activity and cognitive function over time. CONCLUSION: The benefits of cognitive activity on cognition appear to be independent of biomarkers: tau, NfL, and GFAP, measured at baseline. More frequent cognitive activity may benefit the cognitive health of older adults with a wide range of potential disease risk and presentations.

Serum neurofilament light chain, brain infarcts, and the risk of stroke: a prospective population-based cohort study.

Neurofilament light chain (NfL), a neuron-specific protein, has been related to several neurodegenerative diseases. In addition, elevated levels of NfL have also been observed in patients admitted to the hospital for stroke, suggesting that NfL as a biomarker may extend well beyond neurodegenerative diseases. Therefore, using data from the Chicago Health and Aging Project (CHAP), a population-based cohort study, we prospectively investigated the association of serum NfL levels with incident stroke and brain infarcts. During a follow-up of 3603 person-years, 133 (16.3%) individuals developed incident stroke, including ischemic and hemorrhagic. The HR (95%CI) of incident stroke was 1.28 (95%CI 1.10-1.50) per 1 standard deviation (SD) increase of log10 NfL serum levels. Compared to participants in the first tertile of NfL (i.e., lower levels), the risk of stroke was 1.68 times higher (95%CI 1.07-2.65) in those in the second tertile and 2.35 times higher (95%CI 1.45-3.81) in those in the third tertile of NfL. NfL levels were also positively associated with brain infarcts; 1-SD in log10 NfL levels was associated with 1.32 (95%CI 1.06-1.66) higher odds of one or more brain infarcts. These results suggest that NfL may serve as a biomarker of stroke in older adults.

Neuroticism, physical activity, and cognitive functioning in a population-based cohort of older adults.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about how physical activity influences the relationship between neuroticism and cognitive function and cognitive decline. METHODS: Data from the Chicago Health and Aging Project (CHAP) was utilized to conduct this study. CHAP is a population-based cohort study of chronic conditions in older adults. Participants completed in-home interviews cycles of three years from 1993-2012. Mixed effects regression models were conducted to test the associations between physical activity, neuroticism, and the interaction between neuroticism and physical activity on outcomes: global cognitive function, global cognitive decline, episodic memory, decline in episodic memory, perceptual speed, and decline in perceptual speed. Stratified mixed effects regression models by physical activity level were conducted to test the associations between neuroticism and global cognitive function and global cognitive decline. RESULTS: A total of 7,685 participants were eligible for this study. Participants were 62% female and 64% African American. We found statistically significant associations for the interaction of high physical activity and neuroticism on baseline global cognitive function (ß = 0.017 (SE = 0.007), p = .010) and on the interaction of neuroticism and high physical activity on baseline episodic memory (ß = 0.020 (SE = .009), p = .021) and on decline in episodic memory over time (ß = -0.003 (SE = .001), p = .039). CONCLUSION: Higher physical activity lessened the association between higher neuroticism and poor cognitive outcomes.

Prevalence of Alzheimer's disease dementia in the 50 US states and 3142 counties: A population estimate using the 2020 bridged-race postcensal from the National Center for Health Statistics.

INTRODUCTION: This study estimates the prevalence and number of people living with Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia in 50 US states and 3142 counties. METHODS: We used cognitive data from the Chicago Health and Aging Project, a population-based study, and combined it with the National Center for Health Statistics 2020 bridged-race population estimates to determine the prevalence of AD in adults ≥65 years. RESULTS: A higher prevalence of AD was estimated in the east and southeastern regions of the United States, with the highest in Maryland (12.9%), New York (12.7%), and Mississippi (12.5%). US states with the highest number of people with AD were California, Florida, and Texas. Among larger counties, those with the highest prevalence of AD were Miami-Dade County in Florida, Baltimore city in Maryland, and Bronx County in New York. DISCUSSION: The state- and county-specific estimates could help public health officials develop region-specific strategies for caring for people with AD.

Vitamin D intake and cognitive decline in Blacks and Whites: The role of diet and supplements.

INTRODUCTION: To determine the role of vitamin D intake on cognitive decline among Blacks and Whites. METHODS: Using data from the population-based Chicago Health and Aging Project, we studied 2061 Blacks and 1329 Whites with dietary vitamin D data and cognitive testing over 12 years of follow-up. Multivariable linear mixed-effects models were used to determine the association of vitamin D intake with cognitive decline. RESULTS: Vitamin D intake, particularly dietary vitamin D, was associated with a slower rate of decline in cognitive function among Blacks. In Blacks, comparing individuals in the lowest tertile of dietary intake, those in the highest tertile had a slower cognitive decline of 0.017 units/year (95% confidence interval 0.006, 0.027), independently of supplementation use. In Whites, vitamin D intake was not associated with cognitive decline. DISCUSSION: Dietary vitamin D may help to slow the decline in cognitive abilities among Blacks as they age.

Cardiovascular health and cognitive outcomes: Findings from a biracial population-based study in the United States.

INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to evaluate the association of cardiovascular health (CVH) with cognitive outcomes, including incident Alzheimer's dementia, rate of cognitive decline, and measures of brain injury and structure. METHODS: This study consisted of 1702 Black or African American and White participants living in the south side of Chicago, Illinois, and enrolled in the Chicago Health and Aging Project, a population-based cohort since 1993. CVH was based on seven risk factors, including diet, physical activity, body mass index, smoking, dyslipidemia, hypertension, and diabetes. RESULTS: In a multivariable-adjusted model, CVH was associated with a lower risk of Alzheimer's dementia. The hazard ratio per 1 additional point in CVH score was 0.84 (95% CI 0.76, 0.94). CVH was also associated with a slower rate of cognitive decline and less volume (injury) in white matter hyperintensities. DISCUSSION: Promoting CVH in communities with Black residents may lower the future risk of Alzheimer's dementia.

Genetic risk, adherence to a healthy lifestyle, and cognitive decline in African Americans and European Americans.

INTRODUCTION: We investigated the role of genetic risk and adherence to lifestyle factors on cognitive decline in African Americans and European Americans. METHODS: Using data from the Chicago Health and Aging Project (1993-2012; n = 3874), we defined the genetic risk based on presence of apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4$\varepsilon 4$ allele and determined a healthy lifestyle using a scoring of five factors: non-smoking, exercising, being cognitively active, having a high-quality diet, and limiting alcohol use. We used linear mixed-effects models to estimate cognitive decline by genetic risk and lifestyle score. RESULTS: APOE  ε4$\varepsilon 4$ allele was associated with faster cognitive decline in both races. However, within APOE  ε4$\varepsilon 4$ carriers, adherence to a healthy lifestyle (eg., 4 to 5 healthy factors) was associated with a slower cognitive decline by 0.023 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.004, 0.042) units/year in African Americans and 0.044 (95% CI 0.008, 0.080) units/year in European Americans. DISCUSSION: A healthy lifestyle was associated with a slower cognitive decline in African and European Americans.

Examination of a Composite Walking Measure on Cognitive Functioning Among Participants in the Chicago Health and Aging Project.

This study examined the relationship between walking and cognitive function among Chicago Health and Aging Project participants. Data collection occurred during six 3-year cycles, of which Cycles 4-6 were used for this specific analysis. Information was obtained regarding walking frequency and duration, demographics, chronic conditions, cognitive activities, apolipoprotein E4, physical function, and cognitive function (global and domains). A composite walking measure was developed and categorized as follows: no walking, ≤105 min/week, and >105 min/week. Mixed-effects regression analyses tested associations between walking and global cognitive function, episodic memory, and perceptual speed. The sample consisted of 4,320 participants (African American/Black: 65%; female: 65%; mean education: 13 years; mean age: 75 years). Composite or total walking had a statistically significant association with global cognitive function and perceptual speed, after adjustments were made.

Impact of the Apolipoprotein E ε4 Allele on the Relationship Between Healthy Lifestyle and Cognitive Decline: A Population-Based Study.

Adherence to a healthy lifestyle-characterized by abstaining from smoking, being physically and cognitively active, having a high-quality diet, and limiting alcohol use-is associated with slower cognitive decline in older adults, but whether this relationship extends to persons with a genetic predisposition (e.g., carriers of the ε4 allele of the apolipoprotein E gene (APOE*E4)) remains uncertain. Using data from a population-based study, the Chicago Health and Aging Project (Chicago, Illinois), we followed 3,886 individuals who underwent regular clinical and cognitive assessments from 1993 to 2012. Of 3,886 older adults, 1,269 (32.7%) were APOE*E4 carriers. Compared with noncarriers, APOE*E4 carriers had faster cognitive decline (ß = -0.027 units/year, 95% confidence interval (CI): -0.032, -0.023). In contrast, persons with 2-3 and 4-5 healthy lifestyle factors had slower cognitive decline (ß = 0.008 units/year (95% CI: 0.002, 0.014) and ß = 0.019 units/year (95% CI: 0.011, 0.026), respectively) compared with those with 0-1 factor. In analyses stratified by APOE*E4 status, adherence to a healthy lifestyle (e.g., 4-5 factors vs. 0-1 factors) was associated with a slower rate of cognitive decline in both APOE*E4 carriers (ß = 0.029, 95% CI: 0.013, 0.045) and noncarriers (ß = 0.013, 95% CI: 0.005, 0.022). These results underscore the impact of a healthy lifestyle on cognition, particularly among persons with a genetic predisposition, who are more vulnerable to cognitive decline as they age.

Remote Blood Biomarkers of Longitudinal Cognitive Outcomes in a Population Study.

OBJECTIVE: The longitudinal association of the blood biomarkers total tau (t-tau), neurofilament light (Nf-L), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) with common sporadic Alzheimer disease (AD) and cognitive decline is not established. METHODS: Using a single molecule array technology, ultrasensitive immunoassays for serum concentrations of t-tau, Nf-L, and GFAP were measured in a population sample of 1,327 participants (60% African Americans and women) who had a clinical evaluation for AD, had completed in-home cognitive assessments, and had undergone 1.5T structural magnetic resonance imaging. RESULTS: Higher concentrations of serum biomarkers were associated with the development of clinical AD; especially, the time-specific associations were notable: t-tau 8 to 16 years, and Nf-L and GFAP 4 to 8 years prior to clinical AD. Serum biomarkers were associated with faster cognitive decline over 16 years; baseline t-tau > 0.40pg/ml had 30% faster decline, Nf-L > 25.5pg/ml had 110% faster decline, and GFAP > 232pg/ml had 130% faster decline compared to those in the lowest quartile. Participants with baseline GFAP > 232pg/ml showed 160% faster decline in hippocampal volume compared to those with values < 160pg/ml. Additionally, higher baseline t-tau was associated with faster increase in 3rd ventricular volume, and baseline Nf-L and GFAP were associated with faster decline in cortical thickness. INTERPRETATION: Serum t-tau, Nf-L, and GFAP predict the development of sporadic AD and cognitive decline, and changes in structural brain characteristics, suggesting their usefulness not only as screening and predictive biomarkers, but also in capturing the pathogenesis of Alzheimer dementia. ANN NEUROL 2020;88:1065-1076.

Population estimate of people with clinical Alzheimer's disease and mild cognitive impairment in the United States (2020-2060).

INTRODUCTION: The estimate of people with clinical Alzheimer's disease (AD) and mild cognitive impairment provides an understanding of the disease burden. METHODS: We estimated people with cognitive impairment using a quasibinomial regression model in 10,342 participants with cognitive test scores. RESULTS: The 2020 US Census-adjusted prevalence of clinical AD was 11.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 10.7-11.9): 10.0% among non-Hispanic Whites, 14.0% among Hispanics, and 18.6% among non-Hispanic Blacks. We estimate that in 2020, 6.07 (95% CI = 5.75-6.38) million people were living with clinical AD, which increases to 13.85 (95% CI = 12.98-14.74) million in 2060, 423% higher among Hispanics, 192% higher among Blacks, and 63% higher among Whites. However, there are predicted to be more significant increases in later years among those over 85 and women compared to men. DISCUSSION: The number of people with clinical AD will increase as the "baby boom" generation reaches older ages, exerting a strong upward influence on disease burden.

Unhealthy foods may attenuate the beneficial relation of a Mediterranean diet to cognitive decline.

INTRODUCTION: It is unclear whether eating Western diet food components offsets the Mediterranean diet's (MedDiet) potential benefits on cognitive decline. METHODS: The study includes 5001 Chicago Health and Aging Project participants (63% African American, 36% males, 74 ± 6.0 years old), with food frequency questionnaires and ≥ two cognitive assessments over 6.3 ± 2.8 years of follow-up. Mixed-effects models were adjusted for age, sex, education, race, cognitive activities, physical activity, and total calories. RESULTS: Stratified analysis showed a significant effect of higher MedDiet on cognitive decline only with a low Western diet score (highest vs lowest MedDiet tertile: ß = 0.020, P = .002; p trend = 0.002) and not with a high Western diet score (highest vs lowest MedDiet tertile: ß = 0.010, P = .11; p trend = 0.09). CONCLUSION: This prospective study found that high consumption of Western diet components attenuates benefits of the MedDiet on cognition.

The "cognitive clock": A novel indicator of brain health.

INTRODUCTION: We identified a "cognitive clock," a novel indicator of brain health that provides person-specific estimates of cognitive age, and tested the hypothesis that cognitive age is a better predictor of brain health than chronological age in two independent datasets. METHODS: The initial analyses were based on 1057 participants from the Rush Memory and Aging Project and the Religious Orders Study who began without impairment and underwent cognitive assessments up to 24 years. A shape invariant model characterized the latent pattern of cognitive decline, conceptualized here as the "cognitive clock," and yielded person-specific estimates of cognitive age. Survival analyses examined cognitive versus chronological age for predicting Alzheimer's disease dementia, mild cognitive impairment and mortality, and regression analyses examined associations of cognitive versus chronological age with neuropathology and brain atrophy. Finally, we applied the cognitive clock to an independent validation sample of 2592 participants from the Chicago Health and Aging Project, a biracial population-based study, to confirm the predictive utility of cognitive age. RESULTS: The "cognitive clock" showed that cognition remained stable until a cognitive age of about 80, then declined moderately until 90, then declined precipitously. In the initial dataset, cognitive age was a better predictor of dementia, mild cognitive impairment and mortality than chronological age, and was more strongly associated with neuropathology and brain atrophy. Application of the cognitive clock to the independent validation sample provided further support for the utility of cognitive age as a strong prognostic indicator of adverse outcomes. DISCUSSION: Cognitive age is a robust prognostic indicator of adverse health outcomes and may serve as a useful biomarker in aging research.

Long-term community noise exposure in relation to dementia, cognition, and cognitive decline in older adults.

INTRODUCTION: Exposure to noise might influence risk of Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia. METHODS: Participants of the Chicago Health and Aging Project (≥65 years) underwent triennial cognitive assessments. For the 5 years preceding each assessment, we estimated 5227 participants' residential level of noise from the community using a spatial prediction model, and estimated associations of noise level with prevalent mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and AD, cognitive performance, and rate of cognitive decline. RESULTS: Among these participants, an increment of 10 A-weighted decibels (dBA) in noise corresponded to 36% and 29% higher odds of prevalent MCI (odds ratio [OR] = 1.36; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.15 to 1.62) and AD (OR = 1.29, 95% CI, 1.08 to 1.55). Noise level was associated with worse global cognitive performance, principally in perceptual speed (-0.09 standard deviation per 10 dBA, 95% CI: -0.16 to -0.03), but not consistently associated with cognitive decline. DISCUSSION: These results join emerging evidence suggesting that noise may influence late-life cognition and risk of dementia.

Blood pressure and risk of incident Alzheimer's disease dementia by antihypertensive medications and APOE ε4 allele.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association of blood pressure (BP) with incident Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia. METHODS: This work is based on a longitudinal, cohort study of 18 years, the Chicago Health and Aging Project (CHAP) performed in 2,137 participants (55% black) with systolic BP measured around 8.1 years before incident AD dementia. RESULTS: The association of BP with risk of AD dementia was U-shaped, with the lowest risks of AD dementia near the center of the systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) distributions, and modestly elevated risk at lower BPs, and greater risk at higher BPs. The degree of U-shape and the range of lowest risk (threshold ranges) varied with antihypertensive medication use and presence of the APOE ε4 allele. The U-shape was most prominent for the subgroup not taking antihypertensive medications and having an APOE ε4 allele. At higher BPs, those having the APOE ε4 allele and not receiving antihypertensive medication were at greater risk of AD dementia than other groups: The risk of incident AD dementia increased by 100% (relative risk [RR] = 2.00; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.70, 2.31) for every 10 mm Hg increase in SBP above 140 mm Hg. For DBP, the risk of incident of AD dementia increased by 57% (RR = 1.57; 95% CI = 1.33, 1.86) for every 5 mm Hg increase in DBP above 76 mm Hg. INTERPRETATION: The BP risk of AD dementia association is U-shaped, with elevated risk at lower and higher BPs. People having the APOE ε4 allele and not receiving antihypertensive medication with higher BPs have notably elevated risk of AD dementia. Ann Neurol 2018;83:935-944.

Memory complaints, dementia, and neuropathology in older blacks and whites.

OBJECTIVE: To determine relationships of memory complaints to cognitive function and decline, incident dementia, and neurodegenerative and other neuropathologies, as well as the population-attributable risk for dementia in older black and white persons. METHODS: A total of 4,015 community-based persons (28% black; 74% women; mean baseline age = 78 years) were enrolled in 1 of 4 longitudinal cohort studies, and another 2,937 in a population-based cohort. Memory scores, assessed using 2 questions (5-point Likert scales) were categorized as complaints present or absent. Global cognition and 5 cognitive domains were derived from annual neuropsychological tests. Dementia was assessed from these tests and additional data. Neuropathologic data were available for 1,350 deceased subjects with brain autopsies. Regression and mixed effects models were used to examine relationships of memory complaints to cognition and neuropathology. RESULTS: Baseline memory complaints (n = 1,310; 33% of 4,015) were associated with lower cognition and faster decline in all domains (global score estimate = -0.032, standard error = 0.004, p < 0.0001), during a mean follow-up of 6 (standard deviation = 2) years. Persons with memory complaints had higher dementia risk (hazard ratio = 1.64, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.42-1.89) and odds of pathologic Alzheimer disease (odds ratio [OR] = 1.96, 95% CI = 1.51-2.54), neocortical Lewy bodies (OR = 2.47, 95% CI = 1.54-3.96), and other neurodegenerative pathologies. Results for dementia risk were similar among blacks and whites. Among 2,937 older persons in a population-based cohort with similar data, the population-attributable risk for incident dementia due to memory complaints was 14.0% (95% CI = 2.6-23.0), and did not vary between the black and white groups. INTERPRETATION: Memory complaints are common in older black and white persons, and relate to cognitive decline, dementia risk, and neurodegenerative pathologies. Ann Neurol 2018;83:718-729.

Prevalence and incidence of clinically diagnosed Alzheimer's disease dementia from 1994 to 2012 in a population study.

INTRODUCTION: The trends in prevalence and incidence of Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia remain uncertain. METHODS: A sample of 2794 participants with a clinical diagnosis for AD dementia were included. RESULTS: The 2010 census standardized prevalence of AD dementia was 14.5% (95% CI = 13.7-15.3), and annual incidence was 2.3% (1.7-2.9). Both prevalence and incidence showed substantial variation over time, but no secular trends. The prevalence of AD dementia did not change significantly from 14.6% (95% CI = 13.0, 16.2) in 1994-1997 to 14.7% (95% CI = 13.2, 16.2) in 2010-2012 (P = .84). The annual incidence of AD dementia was 2.8% (95% CI = 2.2, 3.2) in 1998-2000 and 2.2% (95% CI = 1.6, 2.8) in 2004-2006 (P = .20) and remained steady in 2010-2012. The prevalence and incidence among African Americans were approximately twice than those among European Americans. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence and incidence of AD dementia showed substantial variation between 1994 and 2012, but no secular trend.