Comparative renal outcomes of matched cohorts of patients with type 2 diabetes receiving SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1 receptor agonists under routine care.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We compared the effects of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors (SGLT2i) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) on renal outcomes in individuals with type 2 diabetes, focusing on the changes in eGFR and albuminuria. METHODS: This was a multicentre retrospective observational study on new users of diabetes medications. Participant characteristics were assessed before and after propensity score matching. The primary endpoint, change in eGFR, was analysed using mixed-effects models. Secondary endpoints included categorical eGFR-based outcomes and changes in albuminuria. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed to assess robustness of the findings. RESULTS: After matching, 5701 participants/group were included. Participants were predominantly male, aged 61 years, with a 10 year duration of diabetes, a baseline HbA1c of 64 mmol/mol (8.0%) and BMI of 33 kg/m2. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) was present in 23% of participants. During a median of 2.1 years, from a baseline of 87 ml/min per 1.73 m2, eGFR remained higher in the SGLT2i group compared with the GLP-1RA group throughout the observation period by 1.2 ml/min per 1.73 m2. No differences were detected in albuminuria change. The SGLT2i group exhibited lower rates of worsening CKD class and favourable changes in BP compared with the GLP-1RA group, despite lesser HbA1c decline. SGLT2i also reduced eGFR decline better than GLP-1RA in participants without baseline CKD. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: In individuals with type 2 diabetes, treatment with SGLT2i was associated with better preservation of renal function compared with GLP-1RA, as evidenced by slower decline in eGFR. These findings reinforce SGLT2i as preferred agents for renal protection in this patient population.

Hyperglycaemic crises in adults with diabetes: a consensus report.

The American Diabetes Association (ADA), European Association for the Study of Diabetes (EASD), Joint British Diabetes Societies for Inpatient Care (JBDS), American Association of Clinical Endocrinology (AACE) and Diabetes Technology Society (DTS) convened a panel of internists and diabetologists to update the ADA consensus statement on hyperglycaemic crises in adults with diabetes, published in 2001 and last updated in 2009. The objective of this consensus report is to provide up-to-date knowledge about the epidemiology, pathophysiology, clinical presentation, and recommendations for the diagnosis, treatment and prevention of diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) and hyperglycaemic hyperosmolar state (HHS) in adults. A systematic examination of publications since 2009 informed new recommendations. The target audience is the full spectrum of diabetes healthcare professionals and individuals with diabetes.

PACE: randomized, controlled, multicentre, multinational, phase III study of PLX-PAD for critical limb ischaemia in patients unsuitable for revascularization: randomized clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Revascularization is the primary treatment modality for chronic limb-threatening ischaemia (CLTI), but is not feasible in all patients. PLX-PAD is an off-the-shelf, placental-derived, mesenchymal stromal cell-like cell therapy. This study aimed to evaluate whether PLX-PAD would increase amputation-free survival in people with CLTI who were not candidates for revascularization. METHODS: People with CLTI and minor tissue loss (Rutherford 5) who were unsuitable for revascularization were entered into a randomized, parallel-group, placebo-controlled, multinational, blinded, trial, in which PLX-PAD was compared with placebo (2 : 1 randomization), with 30 intramuscular injections (0.5 ml each) into the index leg on days 0 and 60. Planned follow-up was 12-36 months, and included vital status, amputations, lesion size, pain and quality-of-life assessments, haemodynamic parameters, and adverse events. RESULTS: Of 213 patients enrolled, 143 were randomized to PLX-PAD and 70 to placebo. Demographics and baseline characteristics were balanced. Most patients were Caucasian (96.2%), male (76.1%), and ambulatory (85.9%). Most patients (76.6%) reported at least one adverse event, which were mostly expected events in CLTI, such as skin ulcer or gangrene. The probability of major amputation or death was similar for placebo and PLX-PAD (33 and 28.6% respectively; HR 0.93, 95% c.i. 0.53 to 1.63; P = 0.788). Revascularization and complete wound healing rates were similar in the two groups. A post hoc analysis of a subpopulation of 121 patients with a baseline haemoglobin A1c level below 6.5% showed improved 12-month amputation-free survival (HR 0.46, 0.21 to 0.99; P = 0.048). CONCLUSION: Although there was no evidence that PLX-PAD reduced amputation-free survival in the entire study population, benefit was observed in patients without diabetes mellitus or whose diabetes was well controlled; this requires confirmation in further studies. Trial registration: NCT03006770 (http://www.clinicaltrials.gov); 2015-005532-18 (EudraCT Clinical Trials register - Search for 2015-005532-18).

Circulating haematopoietic stem cells and long-term outcomes of COVID-19.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: An acute depletion of circulating haematopoietic stem/progenitor cells (HSPCs) occurs during COVID-19, especially among patients with a poorer disease course. We herein examined whether HSPCs levels at hospital admission for COVID-19 predict 1-year mortality and the long-COVID syndrome. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in an infectious disease ward were consecutively enrolled. Circulating HSPC levels were assessed by flow cytometry as cells expressing CD34 and/or CD133. Follow-up was performed for 12 months after hospitalization through the review of electronic medical records and demographic local registers. RESULTS: The study included 100 patients, 36 of whom reported symptoms of long-COVID and 20 died during follow-up. The reduction of 1-SD of HSPCs was associated with a 3- to 5-fold increase in the risk of 1-year mortality. Age, admission hyperglycaemia, C-reactive protein peak, liver enzymes, the need of high-flow oxygen and/or invasive ventilation were predictors of mortality at univariate analysis. Among pre-existing comorbidities, coronary heart disease and chronic kidney disease, but not diabetes, were associated with 1-year mortality. In multivariate analyses, HSPCs remained significantly associated with 1-year mortality independently of confounders. The development of pneumonia an in-hospital treatment with glucocorticoids and convalescent plasma were associated with long-COVID symptoms at follow-up. HSPCs, diabetes and other comorbidities were not predictors of long-COVID. CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of patients hospitalized for COVID-19, lower HSPC levels at the time of admission were independent predictors of 1-year mortality. However, COVID-19 severity, but not HSPC level, was significantly associated with the development of long-COVID symptoms.

Recent developments in targets for ischemic foot disease.

Diabetes is a key risk factor for ischaemic foot disease, which causes pain, tissue loss, hospital admission, and major amputation. Currently, treatment focuses on revascularisation, but many patients are unsuitable for surgery and revascularisation is frequently unsuccessful. The authors describe recent research in animal models and clinical trials investigating novel medical targets for ischaemia, including theories about impaired wound healing, animal models for limb ischaemia and recent randomised controlled trials testing novel medical therapies. Novel targets identified in animal models included stimulating mobilisation of CD34+ progenitor cells through upregulating oncostatin M or microRNA-181, downregulating tumour necrosis factor superfamily member 14, or activating the Wingless pathway. Within the ischaemic limb vasculature, upregulation of apolipoprotein L domain containing 1, microRNA-130b or long noncoding RNA that enhances endothelial nitric oxide synthase expression promoted limb blood supply recovery, angiogenesis, and arteriogenesis. Similarly, administration of soluble guanylate cyclase stimulators riociguat or praliciguat or 3-ketoacyl-CoA thiolase inhibitor trimetazidine promoted blood flow recovery. Translating pre-clinical findings to patients has been challenging, mainly due to limitations in clinically translatable animal models of human disease. Promising results have been reported for administering plasmids encoding hepatocyte growth factor or intra-arterial injection of bone marrow derived cells in small clinical trials. It remains to be seen whether these high resource therapies can be developed to be widely applicable. In conclusion, an ever-expanding list of potential targets for medical revascularisation is being identified. It is hoped that through ongoing research and further larger clinical trials, these will translate into new broadly applicable therapies to improve outcomes.

Prevalence and risk factors of glomerular hyperfiltration in adults with type 2 diabetes: A population-based study.

AIMS: Glomerular hyperfiltration characterises the earliest stage of diabetic nephropathy and predicts adverse kidney and cardiovascular outcomes. We aimed to assess the prevalence and risk factors of glomerular hyperfiltration in a population-based contemporary cohort of individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D). MATERIALS AND METHODS: The prevalence of unequivocal glomerular hyperfiltration (defined by an estimated glomerular filtration rate >120 mL/min/1.73 m2 ) and its associated risk factors were identified in a cohort of 202,068 adult patients with T2D receiving specialist care in 2021-2022, whose center-aggregated data were automatically extracted from electronic medical records of 75 diabetes clinics in Italy. RESULTS: Glomerular hyperfiltration was identified in 1262 (0.6%) participants. The prevalence of glomerular hyperfiltration varied widely across centers (0%-3.4%) and correlated with mean center age, HbA1c , body mass index (BMI), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Patients in centers with high glomerular hyperfiltration prevalence (>0.8%) were more often men and had lower age and BMI, but more frequent albuminuria and worse glucose, lipid, and blood pressure control, compared with low-normal prevalence centers. CONCLUSIONS: Unequivocal glomerular hyperfiltration can be identified in up to 3.4% of patients receiving up-to-date specialist diabetes care. Glomerular hyperfiltration prevalence varies across centers and substantially increases with suboptimal control of metabolic risk factors, which would require improved management to mitigate the negative health consequences of this pathological condition.

Continuous glucose monitoring in patients with inherited metabolic disorders at risk for Hypoglycemia and Nutritional implications.

Managing Inherited Metabolic Disorders (IMDs) at risk for hypoglycemia, such as Glycogen Storage Diseases (GSDs), Hereditary Fructose Metabolism Disorders (HFMDs) and Congenital Hyperinsulinism (CH), poses challenges in dietary treatments and blood glucose monitoring. The effectiveness of Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) remains a subject of ongoing debate, with IMD guidelines maintaining caution. Therefore, a systematic evaluation is needed to understand the potential benefits of CGM during dietary interventions. A systematic literature review was conducted in PubMed according to the PICOS model and PRISMA recommendations on studies published from January 01, 2003, up to October 15, 2023 (PROSPERO CRD42024497744). The risk of bias was assessed using NIH Quality Assessment Tools. Twenty-four studies in GSDs (n = 13), CH (n = 10), and HFMDs (n = 1) were analyzed. In GSDs, Real-time CGM (Rt-CGM) was associated with metabolic benefits during nutritional interventions, proving to be an accurate system for hypoglycemia detection although with some concerns about reliability. Rt-CGM in CH, primarily involving children, also showed potential benefits for glycemic control and metabolic stability with acceptable accuracy, although its use during dietary changes was limited. Few experiences on Flash Glucose Monitoring (FGM) were reported, with some concerns about reliability. Overall, the studies analyzed presented different designs, and their quality was predominantly fair or poor. Heterogeneity and limited consensus on reliability and glycemic targets underscore the need for prospective studies and future recommendations for the use of CGM in optimizing nutritional status and providing personalized dietary education in individuals with IMDs prone to hypoglycemia.

The Elusive Nature of ABCC8-related Maturity-Onset Diabetes of the Young (ABCC8-MODY). A Review of the Literature and Case Discussion.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Maturity-onset diabetes of the young (MODY) are monogenic forms of diabetes resulting from genetic defects, usually transmitted in an autosomal dominant fashion, leading to ß-cell dysfunction. Due to the lack of homogeneous clinical features and univocal diagnostic criteria, MODY is often misdiagnosed as type 1 or type 2 diabetes, hence its diagnosis relies mostly on genetic testing. Fourteen subtypes of MODY have been described to date. Here, we review ABCC8-MODY pathophysiology, genetic and clinical features, and current therapeutic options. RECENT FINDINGS: ABCC8-MODY is caused by mutations in the adenosine triphosphate (ATP)-binding cassette transporter subfamily C member 8 (ABCC8) gene, involved in the regulation of insulin secretion. The complexity of ABCC8-MODY genetic picture is mirrored by a variety of clinical manifestations, encompassing a wide spectrum of disease severity. Such inconsistency of genotype-phenotype correlation has not been fully understood. A correct diagnosis is crucial for the choice of adequate treatment and outcome improvement. By targeting the defective gene product, sulfonylureas are the preferred medications in ABCC8-MODY, although efficacy vary substantially. We illustrate three case reports in whom a diagnosis of ABCC8-MODY was suspected after the identification of novel ABCC8 variants that turned out to be of unknown significance. We discuss that careful interpretation of genetic testing is needed even on the background of a suggestive clinical context. We highlight the need for further research to unravel ABCC8-MODY disease mechanisms, as well as to clarify the pathogenicity of identified ABCC8 variants and their influence on clinical presentation and response to therapy.

Oral or injectable semaglutide for the management of type 2 diabetes in routine care: A multicentre observational study comparing matched cohorts.

AIM: To investigate the real-world utilization and comparative clinical outcomes of injectable and oral semaglutide in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) with the aim of enhancing understanding of the practical implications associated with choosing between these formulations. METHODS: New users of oral or injectable semaglutide were selected from a cohort of 14 079 initiators of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists. Propensity-score matching (PSM) was employed to create balanced groups, ensuring comparability. The analysis encompassed dose exposure, drug persistence, and clinical outcomes, including changes in glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) and body weight, with up to 18 months' follow-up. RESULTS: We analysed two matched groups of 107 participants each, who comprised on average 63.6% men, aged 64 years, with diabetes duration of approximately 10 years, body mass index of 29 kg/m2 and HbA1c level of 7.7-7.8% (61-62 mmol/mol). The proportion of low, intermediate and high doses were similar with the oral and the injectable formulation. The change in HbA1c was similar between groups (-0.9% / -10 mmol/mol at 18 months) as was the proportion of individuals reaching HbA1c <6.5% (48 mmol/mol). The average change in body weight was similar in the two groups (-3.7 kg with injectable and -3.3 kg with oral at 18 months) but more new users of injectable semaglutide lost ≥5% body weight. Persistence on drug was longer with injectable than with oral semaglutide. CONCLUSION: In a real-world setting, improvements in HbA1c and body weight were similar after initiation of oral or injectable semaglutide. These results may be specific to the features of the matched cohorts under investigation, with limited generalizability to populations with different characteristics.

IDegLira for the real-world treatment of type 2 diabetes in Italy. Final results from the REX observational study.

AIM: The study was designed to generate real-world evidence on IDegLira in the Italian clinical practice in two groups of patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D), switching to IDegLira either from a basal only (basal group) or basal-bolus insulin regimen (BB group). MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a non-interventional, multicentre, single-cohort, prospective study assessing the long-term glycaemic control in patients with T2D, who switched to IDegLira from a basal insulin ± glucose-lowering medication regimen with or without a bolus insulin component for approximately 18 months, conducted in 28 Italian diabetes centres. The primary endpoint was the change in glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) levels from baseline to 6 months after IDegLira initiation. RESULTS: The study included 358 patients with a mean age 67.2 years and diabetes duration of 15.7 years. HbA1c significantly decreased from IDegLira start to all study time points in the overall population (basal group -1.19%; BB group -0.60% at the end of observation). Patients achieving HbA1c <7% levels increased from 12.9% (n = 43) to 40.3% (n = 110) at 18 months. Fasting blood glucose and body weight also significantly decreased in both groups, although more in the BB group. Overall, 14.3% of completed patients had an intensification of treatment (mainly in the basal group) and 48.6% had a simplification of treatment (mainly in the BB group). CONCLUSIONS: Switching to IDegLira in a real-world clinical setting is a valid therapeutic option for patients with T2D with inadequate glycaemic control on basal or BB insulin regimen and/or need to simplify their insulin therapy, with specific reasons and therapeutic goals according to different T2D management trajectories.

Improved prediction of long-term kidney outcomes in people with type 2 diabetes by levels of circulating haematopoietic stem/progenitor cells.

AIM/HYPOTHESIS: We examined whether prediction of long-term kidney outcomes in individuals with type 2 diabetes can be improved by measuring circulating levels of haematopoietic stem/progenitor cells (HSPCs), which are reduced in diabetes and are associated with cardiovascular risk. METHODS: We included individuals with type 2 diabetes who had a baseline determination of circulating HSPCs in 2004-2019 at the diabetes centre of the University Hospital of Padua and divided them into two groups based on their median value per ml of blood. We collected updated data on eGFR and albuminuria up to December 2022. The primary endpoint was a composite of new-onset macroalbuminuria, sustained ≥40% eGFR decline, end-stage kidney disease or death from any cause. The analyses were adjusted for known predictors of kidney disease in the population with diabetes. RESULTS: We analysed 342 participants (67.8% men) with a mean age of 65.6 years. Those with low HSPC counts (n=171) were significantly older and had a greater prevalence of hypertension, heart failure and nephropathy (45.0% vs 33.9%; p=0.036), as evidenced by lower eGFR and higher albuminuria at baseline. During a median follow-up of 6.7 years, participants with high vs low HSPC counts had lower rates of the composite kidney outcome (adjusted HR 0.69 [95% CI 0.49, 0.97]), slower decline in eGFR and a similar increase in albuminuria. Adding the HSPC information to the risk score of the CKD Prognosis Consortium significantly improved discrimination of individuals with future adverse kidney outcomes. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: HSPC levels predict worsening of kidney function and improve the identification of individuals with type 2 diabetes and adverse kidney outcomes over and beyond a clinical risk score.

The cardio-renal-metabolic connection: a review of the evidence.

Type 2 diabetes (T2D), cardiovascular disease (CVD) and chronic kidney disease (CKD), are recognized among the most disruptive public health issues of the current century. A large body of evidence from epidemiological and clinical research supports the existence of a strong interconnection between these conditions, such that the unifying term cardio-metabolic-renal (CMR) disease has been defined. This coexistence has remarkable epidemiological, pathophysiologic, and prognostic implications. The mechanisms of hyperglycemia-induced damage to the cardio-renal system are well validated, as are those that tie cardiac and renal disease together. Yet, it remains controversial how and to what extent CVD and CKD can promote metabolic dysregulation. The aim of this review is to recapitulate the epidemiology of the CMR connections; to discuss the well-established, as well as the putative and emerging mechanisms implicated in the interplay among these three entities; and to provide a pathophysiological background for an integrated therapeutic intervention aiming at interrupting this vicious crosstalks.

Impaired Hematopoietic Stem/Progenitor Cell Traffic and Multi-organ Damage in Diabetes.

During antenatal development, hematopoietic stem/progenitor cells (HSPCs) arise from a specialized endothelium and migrate from the extraembryonic mesoderm to the fetal liver before establishing hematopoiesis in the bone marrow (BM). It is still debated whether, in adulthood, HSPCs display such ontologic overlap with vascular cells and capacity for endothelial differentiation. Yet, adult HSPCs retain a prominent migratory activity and traffic in the bloodstream to secondary lymphoid organs and all peripheral tissues, before eventually returning to the BM. While patrolling parenchymatous organs, HSPCs locate close to the vasculature, where they establish local hematopoietic islands and contribute to tissue homeostasis by paracrine signals. Solid evidence shows that diabetes mellitus jeopardizes the traffic of HSPCs from BM to the circulation and peripheral tissues, a condition called "mobilopathy." A reduction in the levels of circulating HSPCs is the most immediate and apparent consequence, which has been consistently observed in human diabetes, and is strongly associated with future risk for multi-organ damage, including micro- and macro-angiopathy. But the shortage of HSPCs in the blood is only the visible tip of the iceberg. Abnormal HSPC traffic results from a complex interplay among metabolism, innate immunity, and hematopoiesis. Notably, mobilopathy is mechanistically connected with diabetes-induced myelopoiesis. Impaired traffic of HSPCs and enhanced generation of pro-inflammatory cells synergize for tissue damage and impair the resolution of inflammation. We herein summarize the current evidence that diabetes affects HSPC traffic, which are the causes and consequences of such alteration, and how it contributes to the overall disease burden.

Safety of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors in elderly patients with type 2 diabetes: A meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.

AIM: Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) are particularly effective in preventing adverse outcomes of heart failure and chronic kidney disease, which are highly prevalent in the elderly. Here, we aimed to access the safety of SGLT2i in elderly patients with type 2 diabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) reporting safety outcomes of the elderly (≥65 years) patients with type 2 diabetes, randomized to an SGLT2i or placebo. We recorded the incidence of acute kidney injury, volume depletion, genital tract infections, urinary tract infections, bone fractures, amputations, diabetic ketoacidosis, hypoglycaemia and drug discontinuation, by group of treatment. RESULTS: Of the 130 RCTs screened, only six reported data on elderly patients. In total, 19 986 patients were included. The SGLT2i discontinuation rate was approximately 20%. The risk of acute kidney injury was significantly lower among SGLT2i users compared with placebo [risk ratio (RR) 0.73; 95% CI 0.62-0.87]. SGLT2i were associated with a six-fold increased risk of genital tract infections (RR 6.55; 95% CI 2.09-20.5). The rate of amputations was increased only among canagliflozin users (RR 1.94, 95% CI 1.25-3). The risk of fractures, urinary tract infection, volume depletion, hypoglycaemia and diabetic ketoacidosis was similar between SGLT2i and placebo. CONCLUSIONS: SGLT2is were well tolerated in the elderly. However, older patients are underrepresented in most RCTs and a call for action is need to favour clinical trials reporting safety outcomes stratified by age.

A miR-125/Sirtuin-7 pathway drives the pro-calcific potential of myeloid cells in diabetic vascular disease.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Ectopic calcification is a typical feature of diabetic vascular disease and resembles an accelerated ageing phenotype. We previously found an excess of myeloid calcifying cells in diabetic individuals. We herein examined molecular and cellular pathways linking atherosclerotic calcification with calcification by myeloid cells in the diabetic milieu. METHODS: We first examined the associations among coronary calcification, myeloid calcifying cell levels and mononuclear cell gene expression in a cross-sectional study of 87 participants with type 2 diabetes undergoing elective coronary angiography. Then, we undertook in vitro studies on mesenchymal stem cells and the THP-1 myeloid cell line to verify the causal relationships of the observed associations. RESULTS: Coronary calcification was associated with 2.8-times-higher myeloid calcifying cell levels (p=0.037) and 50% elevated expression of the osteogenic gene RUNX2 in mononuclear cells, whereas expression of Sirtuin-7 (SIRT7) was inversely correlated with calcification. In standard differentiation assays of mesenchymal stem cells, SIRT7 knockdown activated the osteogenic program and worsened calcification, especially in the presence of high (20 mmol/l) glucose. In the myeloid cell line THP-1, SIRT7 downregulation drove a pro-calcific phenotype, whereas SIRT7 overexpression prevented high-glucose-induced calcification. Through the Janus kinase (JAK)/signal transducer and activator of transcription (STAT) pathway, high glucose induced miR-125b-5p, which in turn targeted SIRT7 in myeloid cells and was directly associated with coronary calcification. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: We describe a new pathway elicited by high glucose through the JAK/STAT cascade, involving regulation of SIRT7 by miR-125b-5p and driving calcification by myeloid cells. This pathway is associated with coronary calcification in diabetic individuals and may be a target against diabetic vascular disease. DATA AVAILABILITY: RNA sequencing data are deposited in GEO (accession number GSE193510; https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/query/acc.cgi?acc=GSE193510 ).

Time-resolved trajectory of glucose lowering medications and cardiovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes: a recurrent neural network analysis.

AIM: Treatment algorithms define lines of glucose lowering medications (GLM) for the management of type 2 diabetes (T2D), but whether therapeutic trajectories are associated with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) is unclear. We explored whether the temporal resolution of GLM usage discriminates patients who experienced a 4P-MACE (heart failure, myocardial infarction, stroke, death for all causes). METHODS: We used an administrative database (Veneto region, North-East Italy, 2011-2018) and implemented recurrent neural networks (RNN) with outcome-specific attention maps. The model input included age, sex, diabetes duration, and a matrix of GLM pattern before the 4P-MACE or censoring. Model output was discrimination, reported as area under receiver characteristic curve (AUROC). Attention maps were produced to show medications whose time-resolved trajectories were the most important for discrimination. RESULTS: The analysis was conducted on 147,135 patients for training and model selection and on 10,000 patients for validation. Collected data spanned a period of ~ 6 years. The RNN model efficiently discriminated temporal patterns of GLM ending in a 4P-MACE vs. those ending in an event-free censoring with an AUROC of 0.911 (95% C.I. 0.904-0.919). This excellent performance was significantly better than that of other models not incorporating time-resolved GLM trajectories: (i) a logistic regression on the bag-of-words encoding all GLM ever taken by the patient (AUROC 0.754; 95% C.I. 0.743-0.765); (ii) a model including the sequence of GLM without temporal relationships (AUROC 0.749; 95% C.I. 0.737-0.761); (iii) a RNN model with the same construction rules but including a time-inverted or randomised order of GLM. Attention maps identified the time-resolved pattern of most common first-line (metformin), second-line (sulphonylureas) GLM, and insulin (glargine) as those determining discrimination capacity. CONCLUSIONS: The time-resolved pattern of GLM use identified patients with subsequent cardiovascular events better than the mere list or sequence of prescribed GLM. Thus, a patient's therapeutic trajectory could determine disease outcomes.

Management of type 2 diabetes with a treat-to-benefit approach improved long-term cardiovascular outcomes under routine care.

BACKGROUND: Results of cardiovascular outcome trials enabled a shift from "treat-to-target" to "treat-to-benefit" paradigm in the management of type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, studies validating such approach are limited. Here, we examined whether treatment according to international recommendations for the pharmacological management of T2D had an impact on long-term outcomes. METHODS: This was an observational study conducted on outpatient data collected in 2008-2018 (i.e. prior to the "treat-to-benefit" shift). We defined 6 domains of treatment based on the ADA/EASD consensus covering all disease stages: first- and second-line treatment, intensification, use of insulin, cardioprotective, and weight-affecting drugs. At each visit, patients were included in Group 1 if at least one domain deviated from recommendation or in Group 2 if aligned with recommendations. We used Cox proportional hazard models with time-dependent co-variates or Cox marginal structural models (with inverse-probability of treatment weighing evaluated at each visit) to adjust for confounding factors and evaluate three outcomes: major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), hospitalization for heart failure or cardiovascular mortality (HF-CVM), and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: We included 5419 patients, on average 66-year old, 41% women, with a baseline diabetes duration of 7.6 years. Only 11.7% had pre-existing cardiovascular disease. During a median follow-up of 7.3 years, patients were seen 12 times at the clinic, and we recorded 1325 MACE, 1593 HF-CVM, and 917 deaths. By the end of the study, each patient spent on average 63.6% of time in Group 1. In the fully adjusted model, being always in Group 2 was associated with a 45% lower risk of MACE (HR 0.55; 95% C.I. 0.46-0.66; p < 0.0001) as compared to being in Group 1. The corresponding HF-CVM and mortality risk were similar (HR 0.56; 95%CI 0.47-0.66, p < 0.0001 and HR 0.56; 95% C.I. 0.45-0.70; p < 0.0001. respectively). Sensitivity analyses confirmed these results. No single domain individually explained the better outcome of Group 2, which remained significant in all subgroups. CONCLUSION: Managing patients with T2D according to a "treat-to-benefit" approach based international standards was associated with a lower risk of MACE, heart failure, and mortality. These data provide ex-post validation of the ADA/EASD treatment algorithm.

Challenges and opportunities in real-world evidence on the renal effects of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors.

With increasing population aging and prevalence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) worldwide, prevention of diabetic complications remains a major unmet need. While cardiovascular outcomes of diabetes are improving over time, diabetic kidney disease (DKD) still leads to an exceedingly high rate of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). A game-changing opportunity is offered by treatment with sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have indisputably shown that SGLT2 inhibitors reduce the rate of DKD progression, the decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and the development of ESKD. In parallel, SGLT2 inhibitors improve cardiovascular outcomes, especially the risk of hospitalization for heart failure. Real-world studies (RWSs) have largely confirmed the findings of RCTs in broader populations of subjects with T2D followed under routine care. In the present paper, we review RWSs exploring the renal effects of SGLT2 inhibitors and highlight the most critical challenges that can be encountered in designing and conducting such studies. Channelling bias (confounding by indication), time-lag bias, conditioning on the future, database heterogeneity, linearity of eGFR change over time, and duration of observation are critical issues that may undermine the robustness of RWS findings. We then elaborate on the new opportunities to overcome such limitations by describing the design and objectives of the DARWIN (DApagliflozin Real-World evIdeNce)-Renal study, a new RWS promoted by the Italian Diabetes Society. Fine-tuning of methods for comparative observational research will improve evidence derived from RWSs on the renal effects of SGLT2 inhibitors, aiding the evolving discussion regarding the place of SGLT2 inhibitors in T2D treatment algorithms in different stages of DKD.

Comparative effectiveness of Glargine 300 U/mL vs. Degludec 100 U/mL in patients with type 2 diabetes switching from 1° generation basal insulins.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Data on second generation basal insulin (2BI) in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) generated by clinical trials still need confirmation in real-world clinical settings. This study aimed at assessing the comparative effectiveness of 2BI [Glargine 300 U/mL (Gla-300) vs. Degludec 100 U/mL (Deg-100)] in T2D Italian patients switching from first generation basal insulins (1BI). METHODS AND RESULTS: This was a retrospective, non-inferiority, multicenter study. Patients switching to Gla-300 or Deg-100 from 1BI were 1:1 propensity score matched (PSM). Changes during 6 months in continuous endpoints were assessed through linear mixed models. Incidence rates (IR) of hypoglycemia (episodes per patient-months) were compared using Poisson regression. Each PSM cohort included 593 patients. HbA1c decreased from baseline (8.7%) to 6 months by -0.58% (95%CI -0.69;-0.47) in Gla-300 group and -0.50% (95%CI -0.61;-0.39) in Deg-100 group, confirming the non-inferiority of Gla-300 vs. Deg-100. No between-group differences emerged: FBG was reduced by about 20 mg/dl with both 2BI, mean dose of 2BI (24.5 U, 0.3 U/Kg at the first prescription) was suboptimally titrated during 6 months (+1.34 U in Gla-300 and + 1.76 U in Deg-100), body weight showed minor changes. IR of hypoglycemia <54 mg/dl was 0.32 (95%CI 0.21; 0.49) in Gla-300 group and 0.19 (95%CI 0.11; 0.33) in Deg-100 group (p = 0.14). CONCLUSION: In subjects with T2D, switching to 2BI from 1BI was associated with similar improvements in glycemic control, low hypoglycemia rates and no weight gain in real-life setting. Clinical inertia, represented by late treatment intensification and suboptimal titration, represents a major issue in Italy.

Fenofibrate increases circulating haematopoietic stem cells in people with diabetic retinopathy: a randomised, placebo-controlled trial.

AIM/HYPOTHESIS: In two large RCTs, fenofibrate reduced the progression of diabetic retinopathy. We investigated whether fenofibrate increases circulating haematopoietic stem/progenitor cells (HSPCs), which have vascular properties and have been shown to protect from retinopathy. METHODS: We conducted a 12 week parallel-group RCT comparing fenofibrate vs placebo. Patients with diabetic retinopathy and without other conditions that would affect HSPCs were enrolled at a tertiary diabetes outpatient clinic and randomised to receive fenofibrate or placebo based on a computer-generated sequence. Patients and study staff assessing the outcomes were blinded to group assignment. The primary endpoint was the change in the levels of circulating HSPCs, defined by expression of the stem cell markers CD34 and/or CD133. Secondary endpoints were the changes in endothelial progenitor cells, lipids, soluble mediators and gene expression. We used historical data on the association between HSPCs and retinopathy outcomes to estimate the effect of fenofibrate on retinopathy progression. RESULTS: Forty-two participants with diabetic retinopathy were randomised and 41 completed treatment and were analysed (20 in the placebo group and 21 in the fenofibrate group). Mean age was 57.4 years, diabetes duration was 18.2 years and baseline HbA1c was 60 mmol/mol (7.6%). When compared with placebo, fenofibrate significantly increased levels of HSPCs expressing CD34 and/or CD133. CD34+ HSPCs non-significantly declined in the placebo group (mean ± SD -44.2 ± 31.6 cells/106) and significantly increased in the fenofibrate group (53.8 ± 31.1 cells/106). The placebo-subtracted increase in CD34+ HSPCs from baseline was 30% (99.3 ± 43.3 cells/106; p = 0.027) which, projected onto the relationship between HSPC levels and retinopathy outcomes, yielded an OR of retinopathy progression of 0.67 for fenofibrate vs placebo. Endothelial differentiation of CD34+ cells, estimated by the %KDR (kinase insert domain receptor) expression, was significantly reduced by fenofibrate. Fenofibrate decreased serum triacylglycerols, but the change in triacylglycerols was unrelated to the change in HSPCs. No effect was observed for endothelial progenitor cells, cytokines/chemokines (stromal-cell derived factor-1, vascular endothelial growth factor, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1) and gene expression in peripheral blood mononuclear cells. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Fenofibrate increased HSPC levels in participants with diabetic retinopathy and this mechanism may explain why fenofibrate reduced retinopathy progression in previous studies. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01927315.