Personality and suicide risk: the impact of economic crisis in Japan.

BACKGROUND: The interactive effect of personal factors and social factors upon suicide risk is unclear. We conducted prospective cohort study to investigate whether the impact of the economic crisis in 1997-1998 upon suicide risk differed according to Neuroticism and Psychoticism personality traits. METHODS: The Miyagi Cohort Study in Japan with a follow-up for 19 years from 1990 to 2008 has 29,432 subjects aged 40-64 years at baseline who completed a questionnaire about various health habits and the Japanese version of the Eysenck Personality Questionnaire - Revised Short Form in 1990. RESULTS: The suicide mortality rate increased from 4.6 per 100,000 person-years before 1998 to 27.8 after 1998. Although both Neuroticism and Psychoticism were significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality during the whole period from 1990 to 2008, the impact of the economic crisis upon suicide risk differed between the Neuroticism and Psychoticism personality traits. Compared with the lowest category, the hazard ratios (HRs) for the highest Neuroticism increased from 0.66 before 1998 to 2.45 after 1998. On the other hand, the HRs for the highest Psychoticism decreased from 7.85 before 1998 to 2.05 after 1998. CONCLUSIONS: The impact of the 1997-1998 economic crisis upon suicide risk differed according to personality. Suicide risk increased among these with higher Neuroticism after the economic crisis, but this was not the case for other personality subscales.

The effects of co-morbidity in defining major depression subtypes associated with long-term course and severity.

BACKGROUND: Although variation in the long-term course of major depressive disorder (MDD) is not strongly predicted by existing symptom subtype distinctions, recent research suggests that prediction can be improved by using machine learning methods. However, it is not known whether these distinctions can be refined by added information about co-morbid conditions. The current report presents results on this question. METHOD: Data came from 8261 respondents with lifetime DSM-IV MDD in the World Health Organization (WHO) World Mental Health (WMH) Surveys. Outcomes included four retrospectively reported measures of persistence/severity of course (years in episode; years in chronic episodes; hospitalization for MDD; disability due to MDD). Machine learning methods (regression tree analysis; lasso, ridge and elastic net penalized regression) followed by k-means cluster analysis were used to augment previously detected subtypes with information about prior co-morbidity to predict these outcomes. RESULTS: Predicted values were strongly correlated across outcomes. Cluster analysis of predicted values found three clusters with consistently high, intermediate or low values. The high-risk cluster (32.4% of cases) accounted for 56.6-72.9% of high persistence, high chronicity, hospitalization and disability. This high-risk cluster had both higher sensitivity and likelihood ratio positive (LR+; relative proportions of cases in the high-risk cluster versus other clusters having the adverse outcomes) than in a parallel analysis that excluded measures of co-morbidity as predictors. CONCLUSIONS: Although the results using the retrospective data reported here suggest that useful MDD subtyping distinctions can be made with machine learning and clustering across multiple indicators of illness persistence/severity, replication with prospective data is needed to confirm this preliminary conclusion.

Critical review of 'Public domain application': a flexible drug approval system in Japan.

BACKGROUND: 'Public domain application' is a flexible drug approval system in Japan, similar to the fast track designation in the United States. METHODS: From 1999 to 2009, four drugs and three regimens received approval from `Public domain application'. The data from the review reports were extracted, and the reviewing process was critically re-evaluated. RESULTS: The study drugs were categorized into three groups according to the sizes of the studies and evidence levels in the original articles that were submitted. Carboplatin was categorized into the first group with a large number of study patients and a high evidence level; the review report had studies with more than 15 000 total patients and 8 phase III studies. The ifosfamide and vinblastine regimen was categorized into the second group, with a low number of study patients and a low evidence level; the review report had studies with less than 1000 total patients and 1 phase III study. Dacarbazine; cytarabine; methotrexate, vinblastine, doxorubicin, and cisplatin; bleomycin, etoposide, and cisplatin; and fludarabine were categorized into the remaining third group, with a moderate number of study patients and evidence level. CONCLUSIONS: Drugs with various backgrounds, including evidence levels and physicians' experiences, were approved via `Public domain application'. The approvals of most drugs were evaluated to be appropriate.

Outcome measurement of extensive implementation of antimicrobial stewardship in patients receiving intravenous antibiotics in a Japanese university hospital.

BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial stewardship has not always prevailed in a wide variety of medical institutions in Japan. METHODS: The infection control team was involved in the review of individual use of antibiotics in all inpatients (6348 and 6507 patients/year during the first and second annual interventions, respectively) receiving intravenous antibiotics, according to the published guidelines, consultation with physicians before prescription of antimicrobial agents and organisation of education programme on infection control for all medical staff. The outcomes of extensive implementation of antimicrobial stewardship were evaluated from the standpoint of antimicrobial use density, treatment duration, duration of hospital stay, occurrence of antimicrobial-resistant bacteria and medical expenses. RESULTS: Prolonged use of antibiotics over 2 weeks was significantly reduced after active implementation of antimicrobial stewardship (2.9% vs. 5.2%, p < 0.001). Significant reduction in the antimicrobial consumption was observed in the second-generation cephalosporins (p = 0.03), carbapenems (p = 0.003), aminoglycosides (p < 0.001), leading to a reduction in the cost of antibiotics by 11.7%. The appearance of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus and the proportion of Serratia marcescens to Gram-negative bacteria decreased significantly from 47.6% to 39.5% (p = 0.026) and from 3.7% to 2.0% (p = 0.026), respectively. Moreover, the mean hospital stay was shortened by 2.9 days after active implementation of antimicrobial stewardship. CONCLUSION: Extensive implementation of antimicrobial stewardship led to a decrease in the inappropriate use of antibiotics, saving in medical expenses, reduction in the development of antimicrobial resistance and shortening of hospital stay.

A multinational study of mental disorders, marriage, and divorce.

OBJECTIVE: Estimate predictive associations of mental disorders with marriage and divorce in a cross-national sample. METHOD: Population surveys of mental disorders included assessment of age at first marriage in 19 countries (n = 46,128) and age at first divorce in a subset of 12 countries (n = 30,729). Associations between mental disorders and subsequent marriage and divorce were estimated in discrete time survival models. RESULTS: Fourteen of 18 premarital mental disorders are associated with lower likelihood of ever marrying (odds ratios ranging from 0.6 to 0.9), but these associations vary across ages of marriage. Associations between premarital mental disorders and marriage are generally null for early marriage (age 17 or younger), but negative associations come to predominate at later ages. All 18 mental disorders are positively associated with divorce (odds ratios ranging from 1.2 to 1.8). Three disorders, specific phobia, major depression, and alcohol abuse, are associated with the largest population attributable risk proportions for both marriage and divorce. CONCLUSION: This evidence adds to research demonstrating adverse effects of mental disorders on life course altering events across a diverse range of socioeconomic and cultural settings. These effects should be included in considerations of public health investments in preventing and treating mental disorders.

Adiposity, adult weight change and breast cancer risk in postmenopausal Japanese women: the Miyagi Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The role of adult weight change in breast cancer (BC) risk is unclear in Japanese women. METHODS: A total of 10,106 postmenopausal women aged 40-64 years (the Miyagi Cohort) were followed from 1990 to 2003, and 108 BC cases were identified. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated according to body mass index (BMI) at the current age and at the of age 20 years, and weight change since age 20 years. RESULTS: Higher current BMI was associated with an increased risk of BC (P for trend=0.02), whereas higher BMI at the age 20 years was inversely associated with this risk (P for trend=0.002). There was a significant association between weight change since age 20 years and BC risk (P for trend=0.0086). Compared with stable weight, HR was 0.35 for weight loss of 5 kg or more (P for weight loss trend=0.04) and 1.55 for weight gain of 12 kg or more (P for weight gain trend=0.05). CONCLUSION: Adiposity at younger and current age has differential effects on BC risk among postmenopausal women; weight gain in adulthood being associated with an increased, and weight loss with a decreased risk.

Receiver operating characteristic analysis on fasting plasma glucose, HbA1c, and fructosamine on diabetes screening.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the efficacy of HbA1c and fructosamine as alternatives to fasting plasma glucose (FPG) for diabetes screening. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was conducted on the above tests. Comparison among tests was based on the area under ROC curve of a test. World Health Organization criteria for classifying glucose tolerance status of the subjects was used. The study consisted of subjects (n = 583) who visited the clinic from September to October 1989 and all diabetic cases (n = 36) from November 1989 to March 1990, after excluding those less than 40 yr of age or with hypoglycemic therapies (469 were normal, 88 with impaired glucose tolerance ( IGT], and 62 with diabetes). RESULTS: Area under ROC curve of HbA1c was not different from that of FPG. Area under curve of fructosamine was significantly smaller than that of FPG. For all tests, overall efficacy of a test to detect IGT and diabetes was considerably diminished compared with detection of diabetes alone. CONCLUSIONS: The discriminating ability of HbA1c is almost the same as that of FPG, therefore HbA1c is a good alternative to FPG. Fructosamine is not suitable for diabetes screening.

Prediction of mortality by ambulatory blood pressure monitoring versus screening blood pressure measurements: a pilot study in Ohasama.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the prediction of mortality by ambulatory blood pressure monitoring and screening blood pressure measurements in a general population. DESIGN: A prospective cohort study. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We obtained blood pressure data for 1542 subjects (565 men and 977 women) aged > or = 40 years who were followed up for up to 8.1 years (mean 5.1 years). Subjects were subdivided into five groups according to their ambulatory and screening blood pressure levels. The prognostic significance of blood pressure for mortality was examined by the Cox proportional hazards regression model. RESULTS: The association between blood pressure level and mortality was more distinctive for the ambulatory blood pressure than it was for the screening blood pressure. The risk of cardiovascular mortality increased significantly for the highest quintiles of 24 h ambulatory blood pressure, whereas there was no significant association between the screening blood pressure and the cardiovascular mortality. When both 24 h and screening blood pressure values were included in the Cox model, only the systolic ambulatory blood pressure was related significantly to the increased risk of cardiovascular mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The ambulatory blood pressure had a stronger predictive power for mortality than did the screening blood pressure. This appears to have been the first study of the prognostic significance of ambulatory blood pressure monitoring versus screening blood pressure measurements in a general population.

Accuracy of self-report for stomach cancer screening.

Limited evidence is available regarding the accuracy of recall for cancer screenings. We compared the self-report of stomach cancer screening with medical records in 337 residents of a rural town in northeastern Japan, who were eligible for annual screening offered by the town. Frequencies of attendance within the last 5 years were asked in a self-administered questionnaire, and determined from the records of the organization conducting the screening. When the frequencies were dichotomized as ever/never screened within 5 years, the self-report agreed substantially with medical records, but tended to overestimate the actual attendance (kappa = 0.68, sensitivity = 100%, specificity = 75.6%). Past history of gastroduodenal diseases and family history of stomach cancer were associated with the overreport. Although the population studied was highly selective (rural Japanese volunteers), review of the previous studies on mammography and Pap smear also showed that self-reports tended to be exaggerated. Self-report of cancer screening should be regarded as an overestimated indicator of its true prevalence.

The independent association of smoking and drinking with serum beta-carotene levels among males in Miyagi, Japan.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies indicated that serum beta-carotene levels were low among smokers and drinkers. However these findings may result from the strong relationship between smoking and drinking. METHODS: Data were collected from 1902 males randomly selected from participants of a cohort study. The effects of smoking on serum beta-carotene levels were assessed according to drinking status (non-drinker, ex-drinker and current drinker), and those of drinking were assessed according to smoking status (ex-smoker and current smoker) using general linear model including other factors (age, intake of green-yellow vegetables, intake of carrot or pumpkin, body mass index serum cholesterol levels.) RESULTS: An inverse dose-response relationship between daily consumption of alcohol and beta-carotene levels was observed regardless of smoking status, and also between number of cigarettes smoked per day and beta-carotene levels regardless of drinking status. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that cigarette smoking and alcohol drinking reduce beta-carotene levels independently.

Proposal of reference values for home blood pressure measurement: prognostic criteria based on a prospective observation of the general population in Ohasama, Japan.

The purpose of this study was to propose reference values, from a viewpoint of prognostic significance, for blood pressure (BP) measured at home with a semiautomated device (home BP measurement) to differentiate normotension and hypertension. We obtained home BP measurements for 1,913 population-based subjects aged 40 years and over in a rural Japanese community and followed up their survival for a mean duration of 5.0 years. There were 141 deaths during the follow-up period. The association between baseline BP values and the overall mortality was examined by Cox proportional hazards regression model, adjusted for age, gender, and the use of antihypertensive medication. The results indicated that the predictive power of home BP level for subsequent mortality was stronger than that of casual screening BP. There was a linear association between home systolic BP and mortality. The association between home diastolic BP and mortality was nonlinear and well approximated with the secondary degree equation of diastolic BP values. Based on this relation, we propose that the reference value for hypertension is 137/84 mm Hg, and normotension is below 137 mm Hg for home systolic BP and between 66 and 83 mm Hg for home diastolic BP. Home diastolic BP below 66 mm Hg should be considered as low diastolic blood pressure. In this population, home systolic BP of 137 mm Hg and home diastolic BP of 84 mm Hg corresponded to the 80th and 87th percentiles, respectively. Then, 29% of the subjects were classified as having hypertension, 52% as normotension, and 19% as low diastolic blood pressure. All previous studies proposing reference values for home BP measurement, derived from cross-sectional observations, were based on the statistical distribution of home BP values. The reference value must, however, be the one that best predicts the risk for morbidity and mortality from hypertension-related complications. This is the first report proposing reference values for home BP measurement based on prognostic criteria.

Active life expectancy among elderly Japanese.

BACKGROUND: This study estimated the active life expectancy (ALE) among the elderly in a Japanese urban society to determine whether or not the Japanese live long lives at the expense of life quality. METHODS: Survival and ability to perform activities of daily living (ADLs) were followed up on a probability sample (n = 3,459) of the aged people living in Sendai City, Japan, between 1988 and 1991. ALE was calculated by an increment-decrement life table method. RESULTS: At age 65, ALE was 14.7 years for men and 17.7 years for women. The duration of active life occupied 91% of the total life expectancy for men and 87% for women. These values were further compared with those reported for the elderly in the United States. ALE among the Japanese subjects was longer than that among the American elderly. The percentage of remaining life that was active was comparable with that in the United States. However, the interpretation of the results requires caution because of the difficulty in comparing self-reported disabilities across cultures. CONCLUSION: The authors conclude that it is premature at this time to judge which country is better in terms of functional status among the elderly. An international comparison of ALE would create an opportunity to evaluate and promote health and function of the elderly population worldwide. For this purpose, an international standardization of ALE measurement is urgently needed.

Mortality and cancer incidence in patients with Parkinson's disease.

To investigate the risks of mortality and cancer incidence in Parkinson's disease (PD) we studied the prognosis of 246 PD patients in a community. The cohort of PD patients was identified in 1984, and survival, mortality, relocation, and cancer incidence during 1984-1992 were examined retrospectively in 1994. The risk was measured by a standard effect estimate, i.e., the standardized mortality ratio (SMR) or the standardized incidence ratio (SIR), compared with the rates in the general population. During the observation period 696 person-years in PD men and 1018 person-years in PD women were accumulated, and 49 PD men and 53 PD women died. The risk of mortality in PD was significantly increased in both sexes (SMR: men 1.74, women 1.97). In addition, the risk of cancer incidence was evaluated in 228 patients aged under 80 years; 8 PD men and 7 PD women developed cancer. The risk of overall cancer incidence in PD was less than 1 in either sex, but not significantly. The risk of breast cancer in PD women was significantly increased (SIR: 5.49), but the 95% confidence interval was wide (1.10-16.03). The results indicate that PD patients in a community have a twofold higher risk of mortality, and that PD may be associated with an increased risk of breast cancer in women.

Smoking behaviour and personality: a population-based study in Japan.

AIMS: The aim of our study was to determine whether the previously reported findings also apply to a general population in Japan and whether, among current smokers, such personality characteristics can be correlated with the age they started to smoke and their present daily consumption of cigarettes. DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey. SETTING: Miyagi prefecture, in northern Japan. PARTICIPANTS: 20,538 residents in Miyagi, aged 40-64 years. MEASUREMENT: A self-administered questionnaire involving smoking status (current, ex- and non-smokers) and patterns and the Japanese version of the short-form Eysenck Personality Questionnaire-Revised (EPQ-R). FINDINGS: (1) Current and ex-smokers were higher on Extraversion and Psychoticism than non-smokers for both genders. (2) Heavy smokers were higher on Psychoticism than light smokers and those who started to smoke prior to the legally permitted age were higher on Psychoticism than those who did not. CONCLUSIONS: (1) Our study confirmed that the findings which had been previously reported in selected samples in western countries also apply to a general population in Japan; (2) current smokers were found to be heterogeneous in terms of Psychoticism when the age they started to smoke and their present daily consumption of cigarettes were taken into account.

Persistently increased gastrin and decreased pepsinogen concentrations in serum from some patients with Graves' disease of triiodothyronine-predominant type and common type.

This study aimed to investigate the cause of persistently increased serum gastrin concentration seen in some Graves' disease patients even when euthyroid during antithyroid drug treatment. The subjects studied consisted of three groups: 33 patients with a common-type of Graves' disease, 14 with triiodothyronine (T3)-predominant Graves' disease (characterized from previous studies as having potent immunologic abnormalities including greater concentrations of thyroid-stimulating antibodies together with larger goiter size), and a group of 20 normal subjects. Fasting serum gastrin concentrations in common Graves' disease patients were significantly higher than those of normal subjects (58.4 +/- 38.9 pmol/L vs. 37.8 +/- 18.9 pmol/L [mean +/- SD], p < 0.05). The serum gastrin concentrations were even greater in T3-predominant Graves' disease patients than common Graves' disease patients (162.9 +/- 224.0 pmol/L vs. 58.4 +/- 38.9 pmol/L, p < .05). Serum pepsinogen I (PGI) concentrations were significantly lower in the T3-predominant patient group than the common Graves' group (24.0 +/- 12.9 ng/mL vs. 39.7 +/- 19.6 ng/mL, p < .05). Serum ratios of PG I to PG II were significantly lower in the T3-predominant Graves' disease patients than normal subjects (3.59 +/- 2.66 vs. 5.97 +/- 1.56, p < .01). The ratios also had a significant (p < .05) inverse correlation with serum gastrin concentrations in T3-predominant Graves' disease patients. The results suggest that autoimmune gastritis is associated with Graves' disease, particularly in patients with potent thyroid-autoimmunity.

HPV, histologic grade and age. Risk factors for the progression of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the clinical significance of human papillomavirus (HPV) type, grade of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) and age on the progression of CIN. STUDY DESIGN: Clinical follow-up data, histopathologic diagnosis, polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and HPV DNA typing were available on 194 patients, 119 with CIN 2/moderate dysplasia and 75 with CIN 3/severe dysplasia. RESULTS: HPV 16 was observed most frequently (47.0%) in progressed CIN, while HPV-negative cases (57.7%) were most frequently regressed. HPV positivity (P = .0466), especially HPV 16 positivity (P = .0104), was significantly more frequent than HPV negativity in the progression group. The rate of CIN progression was higher with HPV (50.5%) than without HPV (35.4%). Of the CIN cases with HPV 16, 56.5% progressed, while 30.8% of the CIN cases with HPV 6 and/or 11 and 35.4% of the CIN cases without HPV progressed. The probability of progression was 1.87-fold higher in the HPV-positive group than that in the HPV-negative group (P = .03). Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that HPV (odds ratio 2.23, P = .0103) and grade of the lesion (odds ratio 3.30, P = .0002) in the initial biopsy strongly and independently correlated with progression of CIN. CONCLUSION: HPV status and histologic grade are independent predictive risk factors for progression and may be useful in the management of CIN.

Cervical cancer screening in Japan. A case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: To prove the effectiveness of mass screening for cervical cancer with the cervical cytologic smear in Japan. STUDY DESIGN: The cases consisted of 109 patients with invasive carcinoma who were identified by mass screening for cervical cancer between 1984 and 1989. For each case, two age-matched controls were chosen from females who underwent mass screening in the same district during the same period. The odds ratio (OR) for invasive cervical cancer and that of each histologic type for the previously screened vs. unscreened females were calculated. In addition, the OR for invasive cervical cancer according to the screening interval was calculated. RESULTS: The OR of invasive cervical cancer for the previously screened vs. unscreened females was significant (P < .16). According to the histologic type, the OR of squamous cell carcinoma for the previously screened vs. unscreened females was significant (P < .14), while that for adenocarcinoma was not significant (P < .45). According to screening interval, the OR for screening at a one- or two-year interval was significant (P < .11 and .33, respectively). CONCLUSION: This case-control study statistically showed the usefulness of screening for cervical cancer in Japan.

Physical status and dementia risk: a three-year prospective study in urban Japan.

A three-year prospective study of 3,180 non-dementia persons in Sendai City, Japan was conducted to examine the effects of physical status and diseases diagnosed on dementia incidence. This cohort had been made at the initial survey in 1988 and the evaluation for incident dementia was performed on 2,461 respondents (77.4%) in a follow-up survey in 1991. Regarding physical status, the logistic regression including sex, age, health status, ambulatory activity and activities of daily living indicated that the poor health status and the limitation of ambulatory activity were significantly associated with an increased risk of dementia. The significant positive association with dementia was observed on stroke, respiratory disease and depression. This study identified the high risk population for dementia in the aspect of physical status.

[Response rate, missing values, validity and reproducibility of responses in mark-sheet and conventional questionnaires].

A self-administered questionnaire using the mark-sheet method (MSM), in which responses of subjects are computer processed directly through an optical scanning device, has recently been utilized in epidemiologic surveys. Compared to the data coding process for a conventional questionnaire, in which a keypuncher enters the responses manually into a computer (manual method; MM), optical scanning requires less time and cost. Accuracy of the MSM for use in the general population in Japan, however, remains uncertain. Therefore the response rates, frequencies of missing values, validity and reproducibility of the answers in self-administered questionnaires were compared between the MSM and MM. Subjects were 463 residents aged 40-69 years living in 6 local districts of a rural town in northeastern Japan. They were randomly allocated, by district basis, to the MSM group (n = 242) or the MM group (n = 221). The questionnaire was delivered and collected at the subject's home by volunteers. Two weeks after collecting the original questionnaire, the same type of questionnaire was again distributed to half of the responders randomly chosen to investigate reproducibility. The overall response rate did not differ in MSM and MM (96.7% vs 98.2%, p = 0.312). Among questions with a multiple-choice type of answer, proportions of missing values were not different for most of the items, but it was lower in MSM for all of the 33 food frequency items. Reproducibilities of food frequency items measured by Spearman's rank correlation did not differ substantially in two groups.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

[Effectiveness and feasibility of a strategy for increasing participation in the Japanese Stomach Cancer Examination programs by incorporating serum pepsinogen tests].

The number of people examined in "the Japanese Stomach Cancer Examination" programs under "Health Services Law for the Aged" has not increased, and a strategy is needed to increase participation in the programs. We have thought out a plan to persuade people to the programs by using serum pepsinogen tests without changing the framework of the programs. The plan is as follows: The subjects are those who undergo phlebotomy in "the General Health Examination" programs and who do not undergo the Stomach Examination programs. Serum pepsinogen levels are measured using the sera and those with high risk for stomach cancer are persuaded to attend "the Stomach Examination" programs. To estimate the effect of the plan, we asked several local governments to complete a questionnaire on the numbers of subjects. The ratio of the number of the subjects in the plan to the number of screenees in recent Stomach Examination programs was 0.61. An increase of about 15% was expected in screenees of the Stomach Examination Programs, if 40% of the subjects in the plan were diagnosed as high risk and 60% of the high risk subjects attended the Stomach Examination programs. From the economical stand point, it was expected that detection rate would increase and that the plan did not raise the cost for detecting a patient with stomach cancer. We also conducted a questionnaire survey of those who would be the subjects of the plan. Eighty-two percent of the subjects answered that they would attend the Stomach Examination programs, if they were told that their risk of stomach cancer was high by the serum pepsinogen tests. These results seem to suggest that more people would participate in cancer examination programs when informed that their risk for cancer is high as determined by blood tests.