A randomized phase 3 trial of interferon-α vs hydroxyurea in polycythemia vera and essential thrombocythemia.

The goal of therapy for patients with essential thrombocythemia (ET) and polycythemia vera (PV) is to reduce thrombotic events by normalizing blood counts. Hydroxyurea (HU) and interferon-α (IFN-α) are the most frequently used cytoreductive options for patients with ET and PV at high risk for vascular complications. Myeloproliferative Disorders Research Consortium 112 was an investigator-initiated, phase 3 trial comparing HU to pegylated IFN-α (PEG) in treatment-naïve, high-risk patients with ET/PV. The primary endpoint was complete response (CR) rate at 12 months. A total of 168 patients were treated for a median of 81.0 weeks. CR for HU was 37% and 35% for PEG (P = .80) at 12 months. At 24 to 36 months, CR was 20% to 17% for HU and 29% to 33% for PEG. PEG led to a greater reduction in JAK2V617F at 24 months, but histopathologic responses were more frequent with HU. Thrombotic events and disease progression were infrequent in both arms, whereas grade 3/4 adverse events were more frequent with PEG (46% vs 28%). At 12 months of treatment, there was no significant difference in CR rates between HU and PEG. This study indicates that PEG and HU are both effective treatments for PV and ET. With longer treatment, PEG was more effective in normalizing blood counts and reducing driver mutation burden, whereas HU produced more histopathologic responses. Despite these differences, both agents did not differ in limiting thrombotic events and disease progression in high-risk patients with ET/PV. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT01259856.

Factors associated with diagnostic ultrasound for midgut volvulus and relevance of the non-diagnostic examination.

BACKGROUND: Few reports explore the frequency and factors associated with diagnostic ultrasound (US) for midgut volvulus. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate predictive factors for diagnostic US for midgut volvulus and clinical outcomes of patients with non-diagnostic US. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective study included infants imaged for midgut volvulus with US. Exams were rated as diagnostic (midgut volvulus present or absent) or non-diagnostic by a pediatric radiologist, and in cases of disagreement with the original report, an additional pediatric radiologist was the tie-breaker. For each exam, the following were recorded: age, weight, respiratory support, exam indication, sonographer experience, and gaseous dilated bowel loops on radiography. Logistic regression models with "stepwise" variable selection were used to investigate the association of diagnostic US for midgut volvulus with each of the independent variables. RESULTS: One hundred nineteen patients were imaged. US was diagnostic in 74% (88/119) of patients. In subsets of patients presenting with bilious emesis or age <28 days, US was diagnostic in 92% (22/24) and 90% (53/59), respectively. Logistic regression suggested that symptom type (bilious vs other) was the best predictor of diagnostic US (type 3 P=0.02). Out of 26 patients with available radiographs, US was diagnostic in 92% (12/13) of patients without bowel dilation on radiographs compared to 62% (8/13) of patients with bowel dilation (P=0.16). Weight, respiratory support, and sonographer experience did not differ between groups. Two sick neonates, ages 2 days and 30 days, in whom the primary clinical concern was dropping hematocrit and sepsis, respectively, had non-diagnostic ultrasounds in the setting of bowel dilation on radiography. Both were found to have midgut volvulus at surgery and both expired. CONCLUSION: US was most frequently diagnostic in patients with bilious emesis or age less than 28 days. Non-diagnostic US for midgut volvulus must prompt a predetermined follow-up strategy, such as an additional imaging study (e.g., upper GI series), particularly in a sick child, as non-diagnostic US may miss midgut volvulus.

Adherence to guidelines at the patient- and hospital-levels is associated with improved overall survival in patients with gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Adherence to evidence-based guidelines in gastric cancer is low. We aimed to evaluate adherence to National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) Guidelines for gastric cancer at both patient- and hospital-levels and examine associations between guideline adherence and treatment outcomes, including overall survival (OS). METHODS: We applied stage-specific, annual NCCN Guidelines (2004-2015) to patients with gastric cancer treated with curative-intent within the National Cancer Database and compared characteristics of patients who did and did not receive guideline-adherent care. Hospitals were evaluated by guideline adherence rate. We identified associations with OS through multivariable Cox regression. RESULTS: Of 37 659 patients included, 32% received NCCN Guideline-adherent treatment. OS was significantly associated with both guideline adherence (51 months for patients receiving guideline-adherent treatment vs. 22 for patients receiving nonadherent treatment, p < 0.001). Treatment at a hospital with higher adherence was associated with longer OS (21 months for patients treated at lowest adherence quartile hospitals vs. 37 months at highest adherence quartile hospitals, p < 0.001), regardless of type of treatment received. CONCLUSIONS: Guideline-adherent treatment was strongly associated with longer median OS. Guideline adherence should be used as a benchmark for focused quality improvement for physicians taking care of patients with gastric cancer and institutions at large.

Pegylated interferon alfa-2a for polycythemia vera or essential thrombocythemia resistant or intolerant to hydroxyurea.

Prior studies have reported high response rates with recombinant interferon-α (rIFN-α) therapy in patients with essential thrombocythemia (ET) and polycythemia vera (PV). To further define the role of rIFN-α, we investigated the outcomes of pegylated-rIFN-α2a (PEG) therapy in ET and PV patients previously treated with hydroxyurea (HU). The Myeloproliferative Disorders Research Consortium (MPD-RC)-111 study was an investigator-initiated, international, multicenter, phase 2 trial evaluating the ability of PEG therapy to induce complete (CR) and partial (PR) hematologic responses in patients with high-risk ET or PV who were either refractory or intolerant to HU. The study included 65 patients with ET and 50 patients with PV. The overall response rates (ORRs; CR/PR) at 12 months were 69.2% (43.1% and 26.2%) in ET patients and 60% (22% and 38%) in PV patients. CR rates were higher in CALR-mutated ET patients (56.5% vs 28.0%; P = .01), compared with those in subjects lacking a CALR mutation. The median absolute reduction in JAK2V617F variant allele fraction was -6% (range, -84% to 47%) in patients achieving a CR vs +4% (range, -18% to 56%) in patients with PR or nonresponse (NR). Therapy was associated with a significant rate of adverse events (AEs); most were manageable, and PEG discontinuation related to AEs occurred in only 13.9% of subjects. We conclude that PEG is an effective therapy for patients with ET or PV who were previously refractory and/or intolerant of HU. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT01259856.

Value of metalloproteinases in predicting COPD in heavy urban smokers.

BACKGROUND: Emphysema in asymptomatic heavy smokers can be detected during CT-scan screening for lung cancer. Metalloproteinases (MMPs) have been found to play a role in the pathogenesis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and to possibly serve as biomarkers for emphysema. METHODS: The NYU Lung Cancer Biomarker Center enrolled study subjects over 50 years of age with lung cancer risk factors from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2015. These subjects received chest multi-detector computed tomography, spirometry, and provided serum for immunoassays for metalloproteinases (MMP) -1, -2, -7, -9, -10 and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases (TIMP) -1 and -2. RESULTS: Three hundred sixteen study subjects were enrolled. Of the 222 patients who met the inclusion criteria, 46% had emphysema. Smokers with emphysema had increased pack-years of smoking compared to smokers without emphysema (51 ± 24 pack-years (mean ± sd) versus 37 ± 20; p < 0.0001). Smokers with emphysema also had lower FEV1/FVC percent compared to smokers without emphysema (68 ± 11 (mean ± sd) versus 75 ± 8; p < 0.0001). Increased age and pack-years of smoking were associated with increased odds of emphysema. None of the metalloproteinases or tissue inhibitors of metalloproteinases were useful to predict the presence of emphysema in smokers. CONCLUSION: Emphysema was detected by CT in almost half of heavy urban smokers. Serum MMP levels provided minimal additional information to improve the detection of mild emphysema among smokers given their clinical characteristics (age, pack-years, and FEV1/FVC ratio).

Comparison of Clinical Measures Among Interstitial Lung Disease (ILD) Patients with Usual Interstitial Pneumonia (UIP) Patterns on High-Resolution Computed Tomography.

PURPOSE: Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis is a progressive and fatal interstitial lung disease (ILD) characterized by a typical radiographic or histologic usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) pattern. In 2018, diagnostic categories of UIP based on computed tomography patterns were revised by the Fleischner Society. The study aimed to describe differences in comorbidities and spirometry in ILD patients that were characterized by high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) images as having a typical, probable, indeterminate, and alternative diagnosis of UIP. METHODS: We retrospectively studied 80 ILD patients from 2017 to 2019. Typical UIP was defined using the Fleischner Society diagnostic criteria for IPF. Atypical UIP was reached by consensus after a multidisciplinary clinical-radiological-pathological review of patient data. Baseline characteristics, comorbidities, and spirometry were compared among the four subgroups. RESULTS: Among 80 patients, 59% were male, 61% had a history of smoking, and the mean age was 67.7 ± 10 years (SD). A typical UIP pattern was more frequently observed among patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (p < 0.001) and pulmonary hypertension (p = 0.03). Of 30 patients with COPD, 14 had emphysema, while 10 had IPF. After adjusting for forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) in liters, change of FEV1% from baseline to 6-12 months, age, and sex, only COPD remained significantly associated with typical UIP (p = 0.018). Tobacco use was not significantly associated with any radiographic type (p = 0.199). CONCLUSION: Typical UIP was prevalent among COPD/emphysema patients. Although smoking has a strong association with IPF, we did not find a significant association with smoking and typical UIP in our cohort.

Ruxolitinib Therapy Followed by Reduced-Intensity Conditioning for Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation for Myelofibrosis: Myeloproliferative Disorders Research Consortium 114 Study.

We evaluated the feasibility of ruxolitinib therapy followed by a reduced-intensity conditioning (RIC) regimen for patients with myelofibrosis (MF) undergoing transplantation in a 2-stage Simon phase II trial. The aims were to decrease the incidence of graft failure (GF) and nonrelapse mortality (NRM) compared with data from the previous Myeloproliferative Disorders Research Consortium 101 Study. The plan was to enroll 11 patients each in related donor (RD) and unrelated donor (URD) arms, with trial termination if ≥3 failures (GF or death by day +100 post-transplant) occurred in the RD arm or ≥6 failures occurred in the URD. A total of 21 patients were enrolled, including 7 in the RD arm and 14 in the URD arm. The RD arm did not meet the predetermined criteria for proceeding to stage II. Although the URD arm met the criteria for stage II, the study was terminated owing to poor accrual and a significant number of failures. In all 19 transplant recipients, ruxolitinib was tapered successfully without significant side effects, and 9 patients (47%) had a significant decrease in symptom burden. The cumulative incidences of GF, NRM, acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD), and chronic GVHD at 24 months were 16%, 28%, 64%, and 76%, respectively. On an intention-to-treat basis, the 2-year overall survival was 61% for the RD arm and 70% for the URD arm. Ruxolitinib can be integrated as pretransplantation treatment for patients with MF, and a tapering strategy before transplantation is safe, allowing patients to commence conditioning therapy with a reduced symptom burden. However, GF and NRM remain significant.

Serial immunological parameters in a phase II trial of exemestane and low-dose oral cyclophosphamide in advanced hormone receptor-positive breast cancer.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Resistance to endocrine therapies in hormone receptor (HR)-positive breast cancer is a significant challenge. Prior studies have shown that low-dose oral cyclophosphamide can transiently deplete regulatory T cells (Tregs) and improve anti-tumor immunity. We investigated the combination of exemestane with cyclophosphamide in patients with advanced HR-positive breast cancer and assessed changes in circulating immune cell subsets. METHODS: This was a single-arm phase II trial of exemestane with cyclophosphamide in patients with metastatic HR-positive/HER2-negative breast cancer who had progressed on prior endocrine therapy (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01963481). Primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS) at 3 months (RECIST 1.1). Secondary objectives included median PFS, objective response rate, duration of response, and safety. Circulating Tregs (FOXP3+Helios+) and other immune cell subsets were monitored during treatment and compared with healthy controls. RESULTS: Twenty-three patients were enrolled. Treatment was well tolerated, without grade 4/5 toxicities. Objective responses were seen in 6/23 patients (26.1%; 95% CI 10.2-48.4%) and were durable (median 11.6 months). Three-month PFS rate was 50.1% (95% CI 33.0-76.0%); median PFS was 4.23 months (95% CI 2.8-11.7). No treatment-related decrease in Tregs was observed. However, elevated baseline levels of Naïve Tregs [greater than 2.5 (the median of the naïve Tregs)] were associated with relative risk of disease progression or death [hazard ratio 11.46 (95% CI 2.32-56.5)]. In addition, the baseline levels of Naïve Tregs (adj-p = 0.04), Memory Tregs (adj-p = 0.003), CD4 + Central Memory T cells (adj-p = 0.0004), PD-1 + CD4 + Central Memory T cells (adj-p = 0.008), and PD-1 + CD4 + Effector Memory T cells (adj-p = 0.009) were significantly greater in the patients than in the healthy controls; the baseline levels of  %CD4 + Naïve T cells (adj-p = 0.0004) were significantly lower in patients compared with healthy controls (n = 40). CONCLUSION: Treg depletion was not observed with low-dose cyclophosphamide when assessed by the specific marker FOXP3 + Helios +; however, baseline naïve Tregs were associated with 3-month PFS. Exemestane/cyclophosphamide combination had favorable safety profile with evidence of clinical activity in heavily pretreated patients.

Delivery of adjuvant chemotherapy among stage III colon cancer patients at a public versus private hospital in New York City.

PURPOSE: Prior studies of timeliness of adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) initiation in stage III colon cancer have suggested longer time to AC at public compared with private hospitals. Few studies have explored differences in AC completion. We investigated whether timely initiation and completion of AC differed between a public and private hospital, affiliated with the same academic institution in a large, urban setting. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of stage III colon cancer patients who had surgery and AC at the same medical center between 2008 and 2015, either at its affiliated public hospital (n = 43) or private hospital (n = 79). We defined timely initiation as receiving AC within 60 days postoperatively, and completion as receiving ≥ 75% of planned AC. Univariate and stepwise multivariable logistic regressions were used to identify factors associated with AC delivery. RESULTS: Median number of days to AC was significantly greater among patients at the public (53, range 31-231) compared with the private hospital (43, range 25-105; p = 0.002). However, the percentage of patients with timely AC initiation did not differ substantially by hospital (74 vs 81%, p = 0.40). In multivariable analysis, age (OR 0.95/year, 95% CI 0.91-0.99) and laparoscopic versus open surgery (OR 5.65, 95% CI 1.92-16.62) were significant factors associated with timely AC initiation. Moreover, AC completion did not differ significantly between public (83.7%) and private (89.9%) hospital patients (p = 0.32). CONCLUSIONS: The proportions of patients with timely initiation and completion of AC were similar at a public and private hospital affiliated with a large, urban medical center. Future research should investigate how specific system-level factors help alleviate this expected difference in timely care delivery.

Rapid Number Naming and Quantitative Eye Movements May Reflect Contact Sport Exposure in a Collegiate Ice Hockey Cohort.

BACKGROUND: The King-Devick (K-D) test of rapid number naming is a reliable visual performance measure that is a sensitive sideline indicator of concussion when time scores worsen (lengthen) from preseason baseline. Within cohorts of youth athletes <18 years old, baseline K-D times become faster with increasing age. We determined the relation of rapid number-naming time scores on the K-D test to electronic measurements of saccade performance during preseason baseline assessments in a collegiate ice hockey team cohort. Within this group of young adult athletes, we also sought to examine the potential role for player age in determining baseline scores. METHODS: Athletes from a collegiate ice hockey team received preseason baseline testing as part of an ongoing study of rapid rink-side performance measures for concussion. These included the K-D test (spiral-bound cards and tablet computer versions). Participants also performed a laboratory-based version of the K-D test with simultaneous infrared-based video-oculographic recordings using an EyeLink 1000+. This allowed measurement of the temporal and spatial characteristics of eye movements, including saccadic velocity, duration, and intersaccadic interval (ISI). RESULTS: Among 13 male athletes, aged 18-23 years (mean 20.5 ± 1.6 years), prolongation of the ISI (a combined measure of saccade latency and fixation duration) was the measure most associated with slower baseline time scores for the EyeLink-paired K-D (mean 38.2 ± 6.2 seconds, r = 0.88 [95% CI 0.63-0.96], P = 0.0001), the K-D spiral-bound cards (36.6 ± 5.9 seconds, r = 0.60 [95% CI 0.08-0.87], P = 0.03), and K-D computerized tablet version (39.1 ± 5.4 seconds, r = 0.79 [95% CI 0.42-0.93], P = 0.001). In this cohort, older age was a predictor of longer (worse) K-D baseline time performance (age vs EyeLink-paired K-D: r = 0.70 [95% CI 0.24-0.90], P = 0.008; age vs K-D spiral-bound cards: r = 0.57 [95% CI 0.03-0.85], P = 0.04; age vs K-D tablet version: r = 0.59 [95% CI 0.06-0.86], P = 0.03) as well as prolonged ISI (r = 0.62 [95% CI 0.11-0.87], P = 0.02). Slower baseline K-D times were not associated with greater numbers of reported prior concussions. CONCLUSIONS: Rapid number-naming performance using the K-D at preseason baseline in this small cohort of collegiate ice hockey players is best correlated with ISI among eye movement-recording measures. Baseline K-D scores notably worsened with increasing age, but not with numbers of prior concussions in this small cohort. While these findings require further investigation by larger studies of contact and noncontact sports athletes, they suggest that duration of contact sports exposure may influence preseason test performance.

Cell cycle features of C. elegans germline stem/progenitor cells vary temporally and spatially.

Many organisms accumulate a pool of germline stem cells during development that is maintained in later life. The dynamics of establishment, expansion and homeostatic maintenance of this pool are subject to both developmental and physiological influences including the availability of a suitable niche microenvironment, nutritional status, and age. Here, we investigated the dynamics of germline proliferation during stages of expansion and homeostasis, using the C. elegans germ line as a model. The vast majority of germ cells in the proliferative zone are in interphase stages of mitosis (G1, S, G2) rather than in the active mitotic (M) phase. We examined mitotic index and DNA content, comparing different life stages, mutants, and physiological conditions. We found that germ cells in larval stages cycle faster than in adult stages, but that this difference could not be attributed to sexual fate of the germ cells. We also found that larval germ cells exhibit a lower average DNA content compared to adult germ cells. We extended our analysis to consider the effects of distance from the niche and further found that the spatial pattern of DNA content differs between larval and adult stages in the wild type and among mutants in pathways that interfere with cell cycle progression, cell fate, or both. Finally, we characterized expansion of the proliferative pool of germ cells during adulthood, using a regeneration paradigm (ARD recovery) in which animals are starved and re-fed. We compared adult stage regeneration and larval stage expansion, and found that the adult germ line is capable of rapid accumulation but does not sustain a larval-level mitotic index nor does it recapitulate the larval pattern of DNA content. The regenerated germ line does not reach the number of proliferative zone nuclei seen in the continuously fed adult. Taken together, our results suggest that cell cycle dynamics are under multiple influences including distance from the niche, age and/or maturation of the germ line, nutrition and, possibly, latitude for physical expansion.

Lipocalin produced by myelofibrosis cells affects the fate of both hematopoietic and marrow microenvironmental cells.

Myelofibrosis (MF) is characterized by cytopenias, constitutional symptoms, splenomegaly, and marrow histopathological abnormalities (fibrosis, increased microvessel density, and osteosclerosis). The microenvironmental abnormalities are likely a consequence of the elaboration of a variety of inflammatory cytokines generated by malignant megakaryocytes and monocytes. We observed that levels of a specific inflammatory cytokine, lipocalin-2 (LCN2), were elevated in the plasmas of patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MF > polycythemia vera or essential thrombocythemia) and that LCN2 was elaborated by MF myeloid cells. LCN2 generates increased reactive oxygen species, leading to increased DNA strand breaks and apoptosis of normal, but not MF, CD34(+) cells. Furthermore, incubation of marrow adherent cells or mesenchymal stem cells with LCN2 increased the generation of osteoblasts and fibroblasts, but not adipocytes. LCN2 priming of mesenchymal stem cells resulted in the upregulation of RUNX2 gene as well as other genes that are capable of further affecting osteoblastogenesis, angiogenesis, and the deposition of matrix proteins. These data indicate that LCN2 is an additional MF inflammatory cytokine that likely contributes to the creation of a cascade of events that results in not only a predominance of the MF clone but also a dysfunctional microenvironment.

Phase II study of irinotecan in combination with bevacizumab in recurrent ovarian cancer.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of irinotecan and bevacizumab in recurrent ovarian cancer. The primary objective was to estimate the progression free survival (PFS) rate at 6months. Secondary objectives included estimation of overall survival (OS), objective response rate (ORR), duration of response, and an evaluation of toxicity. METHODS: Recurrent ovarian cancer patients with no limit on prior treatments were eligible. Irinotecan 250mg/m2 (amended to 175mg/m2 after toxicity assessment in first 6 patients) and bevacizumab 15mg/kg were administered every 3weeks until progression or toxicity. Response was assessed by RECIST or CA-125 criteria every 2cycles. RESULTS: Twenty nine patients enrolled (10 were platinum-sensitive and 19 were platinum-resistant). The median number of prior regimens was 5 (range 1-12); 13 patients had prior bevacizumab and 11 prior topotecan. The PFS rate at 6months was 55.2% (95% CI: 40%-77%). The median number of study cycles given was 7 (range 1-34). Median PFS was 6.8months (95% CI: 5.1-12.1months); median OS was 15.4months (95% CI: 11.9-20.4months). In this study, no complete response (CR) was observed. The objective response rate (ORR; PR or CR) for all patients entered was 27.6% (95% CI: 12.7%-47.2%) and the clinical benefit rate (CR+PR+SD) was 72.4% (95% CI: 52.8%-87.3%); twelve patients experienced duration of response longer than 6months. In the 24 patients with measurable disease, a partial response (PR) was documented in 8 (30%) patients; 13 patients maintained stable disease (SD) at first assessment. The most common grade 3/4 toxicity was diarrhea. No treatment-related deaths were observed. CONCLUSIONS: Irinotecan and bevacizumab has activity in heavily pre-treated patients with recurrent ovarian cancer, including those with prior bevacizumab and topoisomerase inhibitor use.

MPD-RC 101 prospective study of reduced-intensity allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in patients with myelofibrosis.

From 2007 to 2011, 66 patients with primary myelofibrosis or myelofibrosis (MF) preceded by essential thrombocythemia or polycythemia vera were enrolled into a prospective phase 2 clinical trial of reduced-intensity allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT), Myeloproliferative Disorder Research Consortium 101 trial. The study included patients with sibling donors (n = 32) receiving fludarabine/melphalan (FluMel) as a preparative regimen and patients with unrelated donors (n = 34) receiving conditioning with FluMel plus anti-thymocyte globulin (ATG). Patient characteristics in the 2 cohorts were similar. Engraftment occurred in 97% of siblings and 76% of unrelated transplants, whereas secondary graft failure occurred in 3% and 12%, respectively. With a median follow-up of 25 months for patients alive, the overall survival (OS) was 75% in the sibling group (median not reached) and 32% in the unrelated group (median OS: 6 months, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3, 25) (hazard ratio 3.9, 95% CI: 1.8,8.9) (P < .001). Nonrelapse mortality was 22% in sibling and 59% in unrelated AHSCT. Survival correlated with type of donor, but not with the degree of histocompatibility match, age, or JAK2(V617F) status. In patients with MF with sibling donors, AHSCT is an effective therapy, whereas AHSCT from unrelated donors with FluMel/ATG conditioning led to a high rate of graft failure and limited survival. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT00572897.

Likelihood ratio and score tests to test the non-inferiority (or equivalence) of the odds ratio in a crossover study with binary outcomes.

We consider the non-inferiority (or equivalence) test of the odds ratio (OR) in a crossover study with binary outcomes to evaluate the treatment effects of two drugs. To solve this problem, Lui and Chang (2011) proposed both an asymptotic method and a conditional method based on a random effects logit model. Kenward and Jones (1987) proposed a likelihood ratio test (LRTM ) based on a log linear model. These existing methods are all subject to model misspecification. In this paper, we propose a likelihood ratio test (LRT) and a score test that are independent of model specification. Monte Carlo simulation studies show that, in scenarios considered in this paper, both the LRT and the score test have higher power than the asymptotic and conditional methods for the non-inferiority test; the LRT, score, and asymptotic methods have similar power, and they all have higher power than the conditional method for the equivalence test. When data can be well described by a log linear model, the LRTM has the highest power among all the five methods (LRTM , LRT, score, asymptotic, and conditional) for both non-inferiority and equivalence tests. However, in scenarios for which a log linear model does not describe the data well, the LRTM has the lowest power for the non-inferiority test and has inflated type I error rates for the equivalence test. We provide an example from a clinical trial that illustrates our methods. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Local radiotherapy and granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor to generate abscopal responses in patients with metastatic solid tumours: a proof-of-principle trial.

BACKGROUND: An abscopal response describes radiotherapy-induced immune-mediated tumour regression at sites distant to the irradiated field. Granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor is a potent stimulator of dendritic cell maturation. We postulated that the exploitation of the pro-immunogenic effects of radiotherapy with granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor might result in abscopal responses among patients with metastatic cancer. METHODS: Patients with stable or progressing metastatic solid tumours, on single-agent chemotherapy or hormonal therapy, with at least three distinct measurable sites of disease, were treated with concurrent radiotherapy (35 Gy in ten fractions, over 2 weeks) to one metastatic site and granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (125 µg/m(2) subcutaneously injected daily for 2 weeks, starting during the second week of radiotherapy). This course was repeated, targeting a second metastatic site. A Simon's optimal two-stage design was chosen for this trial: an additional 19 patients could be enrolled in stage 2 only if at least one patient among the first ten had an abscopal response. If no abscopal responses were seen among the first ten patients, the study would be deemed futile and terminated. The primary endpoint was the proportion of patients with an abscopal response (defined as at least a 30% decrease in the longest diameter of the best responding abscopal lesion). Secondary endpoints were safety and survival. Analyses were done based on intention to treat. The trial has concluded accrual, and is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02474186. FINDINGS: From April 7, 2003, to April 3, 2012, 41 patients with metastatic cancer were enrolled. In stage 1 of the Simon's two-stage design, ten patients were enrolled: four of the first ten patients had abscopal responses. Thus, the trial proceeded to stage 2, as planned, and an additional 19 patients were enrolled. Due to protocol amendments 12 further patients were enrolled. Abscopal responses occurred in eight (27·6%, 95% CI 12·7-47·2) of the first 29 patients, and 11 (26·8%, 95% CI 14·2-42·9) of 41 accrued patients (specifically in four patients with non-small-cell lung cancer, five with breast cancer, and two with thymic cancer). The most common grade 3-4 adverse events were fatigue (six patients) and haematological (ten patients). Additionally, a serious adverse event of grade 4 pulmonary embolism occurred in one patient. INTERPRETATION: The combination of radiotherapy with granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor produced objective abscopal responses in some patients with metastatic solid tumours. This finding represents a promising approach to establish an in-situ anti-tumour vaccine. Further research is warranted in this area. FUNDING: New York University School of Medicine's Department of Radiation Oncology and Cancer Institute.

Characterization of the TGF-ß1 signaling abnormalities in the Gata1low mouse model of myelofibrosis.

Primary myelofibrosis (PMF) is characterized by fibrosis, ineffective hematopoiesis in marrow, and hematopoiesis in extramedullary sites and is associated with abnormal megakaryocyte (MK) development and increased transforming growth factor (TGF)-ß1 release. To clarify the role of TGF-ß1 in the pathogenesis of this disease, the TGF-ß1 signaling pathway of marrow and spleen of the Gata1(low) mouse model of myelofibrosis (MF) was profiled and the consequences of inhibition of TGF-ß1 signaling on disease manifestations determined. The expression of 20 genes in marrow and 36 genes in spleen of Gata1(low) mice was altered. David-pathway analyses identified alterations of TGF-ß1, Hedgehog, and p53 signaling in marrow and spleen and of mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) in spleen only and predicted that these alterations would induce consequences consistent with the Gata1(low) phenotype (increased apoptosis and G1 arrest both in marrow and spleen and increased osteoblast differentiation and reduced ubiquitin-mediated proteolysis in marrow only). Inhibition of TGF-ß1 signaling normalized the expression of p53-related genes, restoring hematopoiesis and MK development and reducing fibrosis, neovascularization, and osteogenesis in marrow. It also normalized p53/mTOR/Hedgehog-related genes in spleen, reducing extramedullary hematopoiesis. These data identify altered expression signatures of TGF-ß1 signaling that may be responsible for MF in Gata1(low) mice and may represent additional targets for therapeutic intervention in PMF.

Phase 2 trial of everolimus and carboplatin combination in patients with triple negative metastatic breast cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Rapamycin acts synergistically with platinum agents to induce apoptosis and inhibit proliferation in breast cancer cell lines. Combination of everolimus also known as RAD001 (oral mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) inhibitor) and carboplatin may have activity in metastatic triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). METHODS: The primary objective of this study was to determine clinical benefit rate (CBR), that is (complete remission (CR) + partial remission (PR) + stable disease (SD) lasting ≥6 months) and the toxicity of everolimus/carboplatin in women with metastatic TNBC. Prior carboplatin was allowed. Treatment consisted of intravenous carboplatin area under the curve (AUC) 6 (later decreased to AUC 5 and subsequently to AUC 4) every 3 weeks with daily 5 mg everolimus. RESULTS: We enrolled 25 patients in this study. Median age was 58 years. There were one CR, six PRs, seven SDs and eight PDs (progression of disease). CBR was 36% (95% confidence interval (CI) 21.1 to 57.4%). One SD was achieved in a patient progressing on single agent carboplatin. The median progression free survival (PFS) was 3 months (95% CI 1.6 to 4.6 months) and overall survival (OS) was 16.6 months (95% CI 7.3 months to not reached). There were seven patients (28%) with ≥ grade 3 thrombocytopenia; three (12%) with grade 3 neutropenia (no bleeding/febrile neutropenia) and one (4%) with grade 3 anemia. Greater hematological toxicity was seen in the first seven patients treated with carboplatin AUC5/6. After the amendment for starting dose of carboplatin to AUC 4, the regimen was well tolerated with only one out of 18 patients with grade 3 neutropenia and two patients with grade 3 thrombocytopenia. There was only one case of mucositis. CONCLUSION: Everolimus-carboplatin was efficacious in metastatic TNBC. Dose limiting hematological toxicity was observed when AUC5/6 of carboplatin was combined with everolimus. However, carboplatin AUC 4 was well tolerated in combination with everolimus with continuing responses. TRIAL REGISTRATIONS: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01127763.

Relation of carotid plaque with natural IgM antibodies in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus.

Noninvasive carotid measurements have proven value in the estimation of future cardiovascular (CV) outcomes in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Natural IgM-antibodies to phosphorylcholine (PC) epitopes can enhance apoptotic-cell clearance and induce anti-inflammatory pathways. Herein, we show that subclinical CV disease, as detected by carotid ultrasound, in a cross-sectional SLE cohort was associated with lower levels of IgM anti-PC, as well as lower levels of the ratio of IgM anti-PC/total IgM, compared to patients without plaque (p=0.004 and p=0.02, respectively). The IgM anti-PC/total IgM association remained significant after adjusting for age, cholesterol and hypertension. Adiponectin and sE-selectin were significantly elevated in patients with plaque, and statistical models showed that combining adiponectin, sE-selectin and IgM anti-PC/total IgM was better for predicting plaque than either test alone. These results support the hypothesis that IgM-natural autoantibodies may inhibit atherogenesis, and confirm the utility of IgM anti-PC levels as a biomarker for subclinical CV disease.

Proactive approach to lymphedema risk reduction: a prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Advances in cancer treatments continue to reduce the incidence of lymphedema. Yet, many breast cancer survivors still face long-term postoperative challenges as a result of developing lymphedema. The purpose of this study was to preliminarily evaluate The Optimal Lymph Flow program, a patient-centered education and behavioral program focusing on self-care strategies to enhance lymphedema risk reduction by promoting lymph flow and optimize body mass index (BMI). METHODS: A prospective, longitudinal, quasi-experimental design with repeated-measures was used. The study outcomes included lymph volume changes by infrared perometer, and BMI by a bioimpedance device at pre-surgery baseline, 2-4 weeks after surgery, 6-month and 12-month follow-up. A total of 140 patients were recruited and participated in The Optimal Lymph Flow program; 134 patients completed the study with 4 % attrition rate. RESULTS: Fifty-eight percent of patients had axillary node dissection and 42 % had sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB). The majority (97 %) of patients maintained and improved their preoperative limb volume (LV) and BMI at the study endpoint of 12 months following cancer surgery. Cumulatively, two patients with SLNB and two patients with axillary lymph node dissection had measurable lymphedema (>10 % LV change). At the 12-month follow-up, among the four patients with measurable lymphedema, two patients' LV returned to preoperative level without compression therapy but by maintaining The Optimal Lymph Flow exercises to promote daily lymph flow. CONCLUSIONS: This educational and behavioral program is effective in enhancing lymphedema risk reduction. The study provided initial evidence for emerging change in lymphedema care from treatment-focus to proactive risk reduction.