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PURPOSE: Our purpose was to investigate the association between family history of renal cell carcinoma (RCC) and RCC risk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: RCC cases diagnosed in Sweden between 2005 and 2014 and 10 matched controls were identified using the Renal Cell Cancer Database Sweden, with linkage to the Multigeneration Register and the Swedish Cancer Registry. The association between a family history of RCC and RCC was investigated, overall and by sex and age groups. RESULTS: Among 9416 RCC cases, 294 (3.1%) had 1 or more parent or sibling (first-degree relative [FDR]) with RCC. Median age at diagnosis for cases with an affected FDR was 65 years (IQR 59-71) and 68 years (IQR 60-75) for all cases. The proportion of women was significantly higher among familial RCC compared to sporadic RCC (44.6% vs 38.5%, P = .035). RCC was twice as likely with 1 or more FDR with RCC (OR 1.9; CI 1.65-2.16). Stratified analysis showed an OR of 2.4 for women (CI 1.93-2.92) and 1.6 for men (CI 1.35-1.93). Two or more FDRs was associated with a sixfold increased risk (95% CI 2.37-15.5). Familial RCC was strongly associated with bilateral and multifocal tumors (OR 5.5; CI 2.36-13.0, OR 3.5; CI 1.89-6.49). CONCLUSIONS: In this Swedish data set, 3.1% of RCC patients have 1 or more FDR diagnosed with RCC. There was no statistical difference in median age between sporadic RCC and familial RCC. Having 1 or more FDR with RCC approximately doubles the risk of RCC with a higher risk increase for women than for men. People with 2 FDRs with RCC constitute a small high-risk group that may benefit from screening.
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Carcinoma de Células Renais , Neoplasias Renais , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Carcinoma de Células Renais/epidemiologia , Carcinoma de Células Renais/genética , Carcinoma de Células Renais/patologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Neoplasias Renais/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Renais/genética , Neoplasias Renais/patologia , Família , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
PURPOSE: The SWENOTECA-MIR prospective multicenter study aims to assess the clinical value of miR-371a-3p as a novel marker in metastatic germ cell tumor patients undergoing retroperitoneal lymph node dissection (RPLND), to predict the presence of viable residual tumor. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 114 patients (86 nonseminomas, 28 seminomas) who underwent surgery for presumed metastatic disease pre chemotherapy (primary RPLND) and post chemotherapy RPLND were included. The expression of miR-371a-3p was evaluated using reverse transcription-digital droplet polymerase chain reaction before and after RPLND. Pre- and postoperative miR-371a-3p levels were statistically compared, and optimism-corrected performance calculations compared with conventional serum tumor markers. Associations were evaluated by logistic regression. Patients who underwent primary RPLND were categorized into seminoma and nonseminoma groups. RESULTS: Among the seminoma patients (n = 24) undergoing primary RPLND, all had normal conventional markers. Six patients received adjuvant treatment before surgery. miR-371a-3p exhibited a sensitivity of 74%, specificity of 100%, positive predictive value of 100%, and negative predictive value of 21% for viable tumor. The levels of miR-371a-3p significantly decreased after surgery. In the nonseminoma group (n = 18) treated with primary RPLND, 22% had elevated conventional markers and 3 had received prior adjuvant treatment. miR-371a-3p showed a sensitivity of 34%, specificity of 88%, positive predictive value of 67%, and negative predictive value of 62% for the primary nonseminoma patients. No association was observed between stage or prior adjuvant treatment and the outcome of the miR test. In the postchemotherapy group (n = 72), the miR-371a-3p sensitivity was 9%, reducing to 0 when excluding patients with seminoma (n = 4). Teratomas and benign histology were essentially negative. CONCLUSIONS: Our study highlights miR-371a-3p as a fairly sensitive and highly specific marker for prechemotherapy seminomas, outperforming conventional markers. However, in prechemotherapy nonseminomas as well as in postchemotherapy patients, we observed low sensitivity and no significant differences in miR-371a-3p levels before and after surgery, suggesting limited utility for miR-371a-3p in this context.
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Biomarcadores Tumorais , Excisão de Linfonodo , Metástase Linfática , MicroRNAs , Neoplasias Embrionárias de Células Germinativas , Neoplasias Testiculares , Humanos , Neoplasias Testiculares/patologia , Neoplasias Testiculares/cirurgia , Neoplasias Testiculares/genética , Neoplasias Testiculares/sangue , Masculino , MicroRNAs/sangue , MicroRNAs/genética , Estudos Prospectivos , Adulto , Metástase Linfática/patologia , Biomarcadores Tumorais/sangue , Biomarcadores Tumorais/genética , Neoplasias Embrionárias de Células Germinativas/cirurgia , Neoplasias Embrionárias de Células Germinativas/genética , Neoplasias Embrionárias de Células Germinativas/sangue , Neoplasias Embrionárias de Células Germinativas/patologia , Espaço Retroperitoneal , Seminoma/genética , Seminoma/sangue , Seminoma/cirurgia , Seminoma/patologia , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Adulto Jovem , Neoplasia Residual , Pessoa de Meia-IdadeRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To validate Vergouwe's prediction model using the Swedish and Norwegian Testicular Cancer Group (SWENOTECA) RETROP database and to define its clinical utility. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Vergouwe's prediction model for benign histopathology in post-chemotherapy retroperitoneal lymph node dissection (PC-RPLND) uses the following variables: presence of teratoma in orchiectomy specimen; pre-chemotherapy level of alpha-fetoprotein; ß-Human chorionic gonadotropin and lactate dehydrogenase; and lymph node size pre- and post-chemotherapy. Our validation cohort consisted of patients included in RETROP, a prospective population-based database of patients in Sweden and Norway with metastatic nonseminoma, who underwent PC-RPLND in the period 2007-2014. Discrimination and calibration analyses were used to validate Vergouwe's prediction model results. Calibration plots were created and a Hosmer-Lemeshow test was calculated. Clinical utility, expressed as opt-out net benefit (NBopt-out ), was analysed using decision curve analysis. RESULTS: Overall, 284 patients were included in the analysis, of whom 130 (46%) had benign histology after PC-RPLND. Discrimination analysis showed good reproducibility, with an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.82 (95% confidence interval 0.77-0.87) compared to Vergouwe's prediction model (AUC between 0.77 and 0.84). Calibration was acceptable with no recalibration. Using a prediction threshold of 70% for benign histopathology, NBopt-out was 0.098. Using the model and this threshold, 61 patients would have been spared surgery. However, only 51 of 61 were correctly classified as benign. CONCLUSIONS: The model was externally validated with good reproducibility. In a clinical setting, the model may identify patients with a high chance of benign histopathology, thereby sparing patients of surgery. However, meticulous follow-up is required.
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Neoplasias Embrionárias de Células Germinativas , Neoplasias Testiculares , Masculino , Humanos , Neoplasias Testiculares/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias Testiculares/cirurgia , Neoplasias Testiculares/patologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Espaço Retroperitoneal/cirurgia , Excisão de Linfonodo/métodos , Neoplasias Embrionárias de Células Germinativas/patologia , FibroseRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Several risk factors for end-stage renal disease (ESRD), in patients undergoing surgical treatment for renal cell carcinoma (RCC), have been suggested by others. This study aimed to investigate such risk factors and disclose the effect of developing ESRD, postoperatively, on overall survival. The risk of developing ESRD after RCC diagnosis was also evaluated. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The data of 16,220 patients with RCC and 162,199 controls were extracted from the Renal Cell Cancer Database Sweden, with linkages across multiple national registers between 2005 and 2020. Cox proportional hazards regression, Kaplan-Meier curves and cumulative incidence were used for statistical analysis. RESULTS: The 5-year cumulative incidence of ESRD following RCC diagnosis was 2.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.1-2.6) and 0.4% (95% CI 0.3-0.4) for the patients with RCC and controls, respectively. Age, chronic kidney disease, higher T-stage and radical nephrectomy (RN) were significant risk factors for ESRD within 1-year of surgery. A total of 104 and 12,152 patients with and without ESRD, respectively, survived 1-year postoperatively. The 5-year overall survival rates of patients with ESRD and those with RCC only were 50% (95% CI 0.40-0.60) and 80% (95% CI 0.80-0.81), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Patients who developed ESRD following renal cancer surgery had significantly poorer survival outcomes. Advanced age, comorbidities, higher-stage tumours and RN were identified as risk factors for developing ESRD. Surgical decisions are crucial. Efforts to spare renal function, including nephron-sparing surgery and active surveillance in appropriate cases, are highly relevant to reduce the development of severe kidney dysfunction.
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Carcinoma de Células Renais , Falência Renal Crônica , Neoplasias Renais , Nefrectomia , Humanos , Neoplasias Renais/cirurgia , Neoplasias Renais/mortalidade , Falência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Falência Renal Crônica/complicações , Masculino , Feminino , Fatores de Risco , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Carcinoma de Células Renais/cirurgia , Carcinoma de Células Renais/mortalidade , Taxa de Sobrevida , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Suécia/epidemiologia , Incidência , Adulto , Idoso de 80 Anos ou maisRESUMO
Background and objective: There is an unmet need to avoid long-term morbidity associated with standard cytotoxic treatment for low-volume metastatic seminoma. Our aim was to assess the oncological efficacy and surgical safety of retroperitoneal lymph node dissection (RPLND) as treatment in a population-based cohort of metastatic seminoma patients with limited retroperitoneal lymphadenopathy. Methods: Sixty-two seminoma patients in Norway and Sweden were included in the cohort from 2019 to 2022. Patients with lymphadenopathy ≤3 cm, having primary clinical stage (CS) IIA/B or CS I with a relapse, were operated with uni- or bilateral template RPLND, open or robot assisted. The outcome measures included surgical complications as per Clavien-Dindo, and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates for 24-mo progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Key findings and limitations: In the cohort, 33 (53%) had CS I with a relapse during surveillance, six (10%) CS I with a relapse following adjuvant chemotherapy, and 23 (37%) initial CS IIA/B. Metastatic seminoma was verified in 58 patients (94%) with a median largest diameter of 18 mm (interquartile range [IQR] 13-24). Robot-assisted RPLND was performed in 40 patients (65%). Clavien-Dindo III complications were observed in three patients (5%); no grade ≥IV complications occurred. Eighteen patients (29%) received adjuvant chemotherapy after surgery. The median follow-up was 23 mo (IQR 16-30), and recurrence occurred in six patients (10%) after a median of 8 mo (IQR 4-14). PFS was 90% (95% confidence interval: 0.86-1) and OS was 100% at 24 mo. Conclusions and clinical implications: RPLND as primary treatment is an option for selected low-stage seminomas with a limited burden of disease, showing low complications and low relapse rates, with the potential to reduce long-term morbidity. Patient summary: In seminoma patients with limited metastatic spread, surgery is a treatment option offering an alternative to chemotherapy or radiation. This paper covers the first 62 patients operated in Norway and Sweden.
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OBJECTIVE: Nationwide register data provide unique opportunities for real-world assessment of complications from different surgical methods. This study aimed to assess incidence of, and predictors for, post-operative complications and to evaluate 90-day mortality following different surgical procedures and thermal ablation for renal cell carcinoma (RCC). MATERIAL AND METHODS: All patients undergoing surgical treatment and thermal ablation for RCC in Sweden during 2015-2019 were identified from the National Swedish Kidney Cancer Register. Frequencies and types of post-operative complications were analysed. Logistic regression models were used to identify predictors for 90-day major (Clavien-Dindo grades III-V) complications, including death. RESULTS: The overall complication rate was 24% (1295/5505), of which 495 (8.7%) were major complications. Most complications occurred following open surgery, of which bleeding and infection were the most common. Twice as many complications were observed in patients undergoing open surgery compared to minimally invasive surgery (20% vs. 10%, P < 0.001). Statistically significant predictors for major complications irrespective of surgical category and technique were American society of anesthiologists (ASA) score, tumour diameter and serum creatinine. Separating radical and partial nephrectomy, surgical technique remained a significant risk factor for major complications. Most complications occurred within the first 20 days. The overall 90-day readmission rate was 6.2%, and 30- and 90-day mortality rates were 0.47% and 1.5%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, bleeding and infection were the most common major complications after RCC surgery. Twice as many patients undergoing open surgery suffer a major post-operative complication as compared to patients subjected to minimally invasive surgery. General predictors for major complications were ASA score, tumour size, kidney function and surgical technique.
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Carcinoma de Células Renais , Neoplasias Renais , Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Humanos , Carcinoma de Células Renais/cirurgia , Rim , Neoplasias Renais/cirurgia , Nefrectomia/efeitos adversos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , IncidênciaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the long-term efficacy of selective arterial embolisation in renal angiomyolipoma (AML), with emphasis on tumour shrinkage, potential regrowth and the necessity of supplementary procedures. Material and methods: A retrospective review of all 58 consecutive embolisations at two institutions, between 1999 and 2018, was performed. Clinical notes, laboratory data and imaging were reviewed. RESULTS: The overall complication rate was 6.8%, with no Clavien-Dindo grades III-V complications. Kidney function was unaffected by embolisation as measured by creatinine. Median radiological follow-up was 4.8 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 2.8-7.8), and median clinical follow-up was 7.5 years (IQR: 4.7-14.0). Decreasing AML size was observed in 96% of procedures. Maximal shrinkage (30% median diameter decrease; IQR: 15-44) was reached after median 2.2 years (IQR: 0.6-4.8). During follow-up, regrowth occurred in 38% of patients, and four bleeding episodes occurred in three patients with tuberous sclerosis. Growing size and/or rebleeding prompted a redo embolisation in 9% of spontaneous AML and 50% of tuberous sclerosis-associated AML. CONCLUSIONS: Being a well-tolerated treatment with few complications, selective arterial embolisation renders a pronounced size-reduction in most patients with AML, and kidney function is preserved. Regrowth is common, and a radiological follow-up is necessary. Tuberous sclerosis is a risk factor for the need of reintervention.
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Angiomiolipoma , Embolização Terapêutica , Neoplasias Renais , Leucemia Mieloide Aguda , Esclerose Tuberosa , Humanos , Angiomiolipoma/terapia , Esclerose Tuberosa/complicações , Esclerose Tuberosa/terapia , Neoplasias Renais/terapia , Embolização Terapêutica/efeitos adversosRESUMO
Objectives: We aim to determine if robot-assisted retroperitoneal lymph node dissection (R-RPLND) can be performed as a safe option to open RPLND in selected patients with metastatic germ cell cancer. Patients and methods: This population-based prospective study was performed at a one of two national referral centres for RPLND in Sweden. All patients referred during January 2017-March 2021 were screened for possible inclusion. R-RPLND was performed using the Da Vinci Xi surgical system. Perioperative parameters, postoperative complications (Clavien-Dindo), final pathology, preservation of antegrade ejaculation and relapse rates were evaluated. Classifiers for selecting patients to open versus robotic RPLND were analysed by logistic regression modelling. The median follow-up was 23 months. Results: Of 87 patients referred, 29 were selected for R-RPLND, 19 in a post-chemotherapy setting. In median, retroperitoneal tumour diameter was 18 mm, BMI 24 kg/m2, operative time 433 min, estimated blood loss 50 ml and length of stay 3 days. One patient underwent open conversion due to failure to progress. Four patients had Clavien-Dindo grade 3 complications, of which three were chylous-related. No in-field recurrences occurred during follow-up. Conclusion: This population-based study suggests that R-RPLND can be safely performed in at least one third of patients referred for an RPLND. A relatively high rate of lymph-leakage may represent a potential drawback. Tumour size may be the most important discriminator when deciding on robotic versus open RPLND. Further studies with longer follow-up are needed to validate the results.
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BACKGROUND: The distribution of retroperitoneal lymph node metastases for patients with nonseminoma and a residual tumour of 10-49 mm in a population-based setting is unknown. This information is needed to justify selection of patients for a unilateral template resection. OBJECTIVE: To describe the location of retroperitoneal metastases and recurrences in patients with nonseminoma germ cell tumour (NSGCT) with a residual tumour of 10-49 mm. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: RETROP is a population-based prospective observational mapping study of 213 patients in Sweden and Norway with a retroperitoneal residual tumour of 10-49 mm who underwent postchemotherapy retroperitoneal lymph node dissection for metastatic NSGCT during 2007-2014 with median follow-up of 100 mo. Patients were classified according to the testis primary tumour and the distribution of unilateral or bilateral lymph node metastases (with reference to the aorta) present on pre- and/or postchemotherapy computed tomography (CT) scans. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: The distribution and rate of teratoma or cancer in unilateral or bilateral retroperitoneal fields and the location and rate of retroperitoneal recurrence were measured. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: In total, 65% of the patients had unilateral retroperitoneal lymph node metastases (RLNMs) on CT scans. Patients with unilateral RLNMs had a low risk of contralateral teratoma or cancer (1.6% for right- and 2.6% for left-sided NSGCT) or retroperitoneal recurrence (0% for right- and 4% for left-sided NSGCT). A weakness of the study is that the pathology specimen could not be fully designated to one specific area for some of the patients. CONCLUSIONS: Men with postchemotherapy residual disease of 10-49 mm and unilateral metastases on pre- and postchemotherapy CT scans have a low risk of contralateral disease and should be considered for a unilateral template resection. PATIENT SUMMARY: The surgeon can use computed tomography (CT) scans in deciding on the extent of lymph node dissection in patients with testicular cancer.
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Neoplasias Embrionárias de Células Germinativas , Neoplasias Retroperitoneais , Teratoma , Neoplasias Testiculares , Humanos , Excisão de Linfonodo/métodos , Metástase Linfática , Masculino , Neoplasia Residual/cirurgia , Neoplasias Embrionárias de Células Germinativas/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias Embrionárias de Células Germinativas/cirurgia , Neoplasias Retroperitoneais/cirurgia , Suécia/epidemiologia , Teratoma/cirurgia , Neoplasias Testiculares/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias Testiculares/patologia , Neoplasias Testiculares/cirurgiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: This study examined whether previously reported results, indicating that prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening can reduce prostate cancer (PC) mortality regardless of sociodemographic inequality, could be corroborated in an 18 year follow-up. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In 1994, 20,000 men aged 50-64 years were randomized from the Göteborg population register to PSA screening or control (1:1) (study ID: ISRCTN54449243). Men in the screening group (n = 9950) were invited for biennial PSA testing up to the median age of 69 years. Prostate biopsy was recommended for men with PSA ≥2.5 ng/ml. Last follow-up was on 31 December 2012. RESULTS: In the screening group, 77% (7647/9950) attended at least once. After 18 years, 1396 men in the screening group and 962 controls had been diagnosed with PC [hazard ratio 1.51, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.39-1.64]. Cumulative PC mortality was 0.98% (95% CI 0.78-1.22%) in the screening group versus 1.50% (95% CI 1.26-1.79%) in controls, an absolute reduction of 0.52% (95% CI 0.17-0.87%). The rate ratio (RR) for PC death was 0.65 (95% CI 0.49-0.87). To prevent one death from PC, the number needed to invite was 231 and the number needed to diagnose was 10. Systematic PSA screening demonstrated greater benefit in PC mortality for men who started screening at age 55-59 years (RR 0.47, 95% CI 0.29-0.78) and men with low education (RR 0.49, 95% CI 0.31-0.78). CONCLUSIONS: These data corroborate previous findings that systematic PSA screening reduces PC mortality and suggest that systematic screening may reduce sociodemographic inequality in PC mortality.
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Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Antígeno Prostático Específico/sangue , Neoplasias da Próstata/diagnóstico , Seguimentos , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Próstata/patologia , Neoplasias da Próstata/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Próstata/mortalidade , Sistema de Registros , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Taxa de Sobrevida , Suécia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and targeted biopsies (TB) have shown potential to more accurately detect significant prostate cancer compared with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and systematic biopsies (SB). OBJECTIVE: To compare sequential screening (PSA+MRI) with conventional PSA screening. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Of 384 attendees in the 10th screening round of the Göteborg randomised screening trial, 124 men, median age 69.5 yr, had a PSA of ≥ 1.8 ng/ml and underwent a prebiopsy MRI. Men with suspicious lesions on MRI and/or PSA ≥ 3.0ng/ml were referred for biopsy. SB was performed blinded to MRI results and TB was performed in men with tumour-suspicious findings on MRI. Three screening strategies were compared (PSA ≥ 3.0+SB; PSA ≥ 3.0+MRI+TB and PSA ≥ 1.8+MRI+TB). OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Cancer detection rates, sensitivity, and specificity were calculated per screening strategy and compared using McNemar's test. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: In total, 28 cases of prostate cancer were detected, of which 20 were diagnosed in biopsy-naïve men. Both PSA ≥ 3.0+MRI and PSA ≥ 1.8+MRI significantly increased specificity compared with PSA ≥ 3.0+SB (0.92 and 0.79 vs 0.52; p<0.002 for both), while sensitivity was significantly higher for PSA ≥ 1.8+MRI compared with PSA ≥ 3.0+MRI (0.73 vs 0.46, p=0.008). The detection rate of significant cancer was higher with PSA ≥ 1.8+MRI compared with PSA ≥ 3.0+SB (5.9% vs 4.0%), while the detection rate of insignificant cancer was lowered by PSA ≥ 3.0+MRI (0.3% vs 1.2%). The primary limitation of this study is the small sample of men. CONCLUSION: A screening strategy with a lowered PSA cut-off followed by TB in MRI-positive men seems to increase the detection of significant cancers while improving specificity. If replicated, these results may contribute to a paradigm shift in future screening. PATIENT SUMMARY: Major concerns in prostate-specific antigen screening are overdiagnosis and underdiagnosis. We evaluated whether prostate magnetic resonance imaging could improve the balance of benefits to harm in prostate cancer screening screening, and we found a promising potential of using magnetic resonance imaging in addition to prostate-specific antigen.
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Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Antígeno Prostático Específico/sangue , Neoplasias da Próstata/sangue , Neoplasias da Próstata/diagnóstico , Idoso , Biópsia/métodos , Humanos , Masculino , Projetos Piloto , Neoplasias da Próstata/patologia , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Método Simples-CegoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In a previous publication from the Göteborg randomised screening trial from 2010, biennial prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening for men ≤69 yr of age was shown to lower prostate cancer (PCa) mortality by 44%. The evidence of the optimal age to stop screening, however, is limited. OBJECTIVE: To examine the risk of PCa after the discontinuation of screening. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In December 1994, 20 000 men in Göteborg, Sweden, between the ages of 50 and 65 yr were randomised to a screening arm (invited biennially to PSA testing) and a control arm (not invited). At the upper age limit (average: 69 yr), a total of 13 423 men (6449 and 6974 in the screening and control arms, respectively) were still alive without PCa. The incidence of PCa hereafter was established by matching with the Western Swedish Cancer Register. Participants were followed until a diagnosis of PCa, death, or final follow-up on June 30, 2012, or for a maximum of 12 yr after the last invitation. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Incidence rates and disease-free survival were calculated with life table models and Kaplan-Meier estimates. A competing risk model was also applied. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Postscreening, 173 cases of PCa were diagnosed in the screening arm (median follow-up: 4.8 yr) and 371 in the control arm (median follow-up: 4.9 yr). Up to 9 yr postscreening, all risk groups were more commonly diagnosed in the control arm, but after 9 yr the rates in the screening arm caught up, other than those for the low-risk group. PCa mortality also caught up after 9 yr. CONCLUSIONS: Nine years after the termination of PSA testing, the incidence of potentially lethal cancers equals that of nonscreened men. Considering the high PCa mortality rate in men >80 yr of age, a general age of 70 yr to discontinue screening might be too low. Instead, a flexible age to discontinue based on individual risk stratification should be recommended.