Resolution of tuberculosis blood RNA signatures fails to discriminate persistent sputum culture positivity after eight weeks of anti-tuberculous treatment.

BACKGROUND: Concerted efforts aim to reduce the burden of 6 months anti-tuberculous treatment for tuberculosis (TB). Treatment cessation at 8 weeks is effective for most but incurs increased risk of disease relapse. We tested the hypothesis that blood RNA signatures or C-reactive protein (CRP) measurements discriminate 8-week sputum culture status, as a prerequisite for a biomarker to stratify risk of relapse following treatment cessation at this time point. METHODS: We identified blood RNA signatures of TB disease or cure by systematic review. We evaluated these signatures and CRP measurements in a pulmonary TB cohort, pre-treatment, at 2 and 8 weeks of treatment, and sustained cure after treatment completion. We tested biomarker discrimination of 8-week sputum culture status using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analysis and, secondarily, assessed correlation of biomarker scores with time-to-culture positivity at 8 weeks of treatment. RESULTS: 12 blood RNA signatures were reproduced in the dataset from 44 individuals with sputum culture positive pulmonary TB. These normalised over time from TB treatment initiation. 11/44 cases with blood RNA, CRP and sputum culture results were sputum culture positive at 8 weeks of treatment. None of the contemporary blood RNA signatures discriminated sputum culture status at this time point or correlated with bacterial load. CRP achieved modest discrimination with AUROC of 0.69 (95% confidence interval 0.52-0.87). CONCLUSIONS: Selected TB blood RNA signatures and CRP do not provide biomarkers of microbiological clearance to support TB treatment cessation at 8 weeks. Resolution of blood transcriptional host-responses in sputum culture-positive individuals suggests Mycobacterium tuberculosis may colonise the respiratory tract without triggering a detectable immune response.

Thrombectomy for Stroke With Large Infarct on Noncontrast CT: The TESLA Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Recent large infarct thrombectomy trials used heterogeneous imaging modalities and time windows for patient selection. Noncontrast computed tomographic (CT) scan is the most common stroke imaging approach. It remains uncertain whether thrombectomy is effective for patients with large infarcts identified using noncontrast CT alone within 24 hours of stroke onset. Objective: To evaluate the effect of thrombectomy in patients with a large infarct on a noncontrast CT scan within 24 hours of onset. Design, Setting, and Participants: Open-label, blinded-end point, bayesian-adaptive randomized trial with interim analyses for early stopping (futility or success) or population enrichment, which was conducted at 47 US academic and community-based stroke thrombectomy centers. Three hundred patients presenting within 24 hours with anterior-circulation, large-vessel occlusion and large infarct on noncontrast CT scan, with Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Scores of 2 to 5, were randomized to undergo thrombectomy or usual care. Enrollment occurred July 16, 2019 to October 17, 2022; final follow-up, January 25, 2023. Intervention: The intervention patients (n = 152) underwent endovascular treatment using standard thrombectomy devices and usual medical care. Control patients (n = 148) underwent usual medical care alone. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary efficacy end point was improvement in 90-day functional outcome measured using mean utility-weighted modified Rankin Scale (UW-mRS) scores (range, 0 [death or severe disability] to 10 [no symptoms]; minimum clinically important difference, 0.3). A bayesian model determined the posterior probability that the intervention would be superior to usual care; statistical significance was a 1-sided posterior probability of .975 or more. The primary adverse event end point was 90-day mortality; secondary adverse event end points included symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage and radiographic intracranial hemorrhage. Results: The trial enrolled 300 patients (152 intervention, 148 control; 138 females [46%]; median age, 67 years), without early stopping or enrichment; 297 patients completed the 90-day follow-up. The mean (SD) 90-day UW-mRS score was 2.93 (3.39) for the intervention group vs 2.27 (2.98) for the control group with an adjusted difference of 0.63 (95% credible interval [CrI], -0.09 to 1.34; posterior probability for superiority of thrombectomy, .96). The 90-day mortality was similar between groups: 35.3% (53 of 150) for the intervention group vs 33.3% (49 of 147) for the control group. Six of 151 patients (4.0%) in the intervention group and 2 of 149 (1.3%) in the control group experienced 24-hour symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage. Fourteen patients of 148 (9.5%) in the intervention group vs 4 of 146 (2.7%) in the control group experienced parenchymal hematoma type 1 hemorrhages; 14 (9.5%) in the intervention group vs 5 (3.4%) in the control group experienced parenchymal hematoma type 2 hemorrhages; and 24 (16.2%) in the intervention group vs 9 (6.2%) in the control group experienced subarachnoid hemorrhages. Conclusions and Relevance: Among patients with a large infarct on noncontrast CT within 24 hours, thrombectomy did not demonstrate improvement in functional outcomes. But the width of the credible interval around the effect estimate includes the possibility of both no important effect and a clinically relevant benefit, so the potential role of thrombectomy with this imaging approach and time window will likely require additional study. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03805308.

Condylar Position is Maintained in Maxillomandibular Advancement Surgery Utilizing Custom Cutting Guides and Plates.

PURPOSE: The objective of this study is to compare virtual surgical planned (VSP) and postoperative condylar positioning outcomes in patients who underwent maxillomandibular advancement surgery with custom mandibular cutting guides and osteosynthesis plates to establish reliability and effectiveness using these forms of technology. METHODS: An ambispective case series was performed by obtaining preoperative and postoperative computed tomography (CT) scans of obstructive sleep apnea patients who underwent maxillomandibular advancement surgery with VSP and custom printed mandibular cutting guides and plates at the San Francisco Veterans Affairs Healthcare System from February 2019 to October 2021. The primary predictor variables were the use of custom guides and plates compared to VSP over the course of a year. The outcome variable was the maintained condylar position, defined as the mean differences between the VSP and postoperative positioning. The comparison group was the preoperative VSP position. Covariates were planned surgical movements, age, and gender. Measurements were taken bilaterally in sagittal CT sections measuring the condylar positioning within the posterior space, superior space, and anterior space of the glenoid fossae. Similarly, coronal CT section measurements were taken to measure the condylar positioning within the coronal lateral space, coronal central space, and coronal medial space. A Wilcoxon signed rank test was used. RESULTS: This study included 6 male participants (n = 6) aged 32 to 57 years (mean 46.5). The median differences for the posterior space, superior space, and anterior space planned versus postoperative position were 0.25 (0.40), 0.40 (0.35), and 0.40 (0.55) mm, respectively. The median differences for the coronal lateral space, coronal central space, and coronal medial space planned versus postoperative position were 0.30 (0.30), 0.78 (0.70), and 0.40 (0.30) mm, respectively. There was no statistically significant difference in the planned and postoperative condylar position (Wilcoxon signed rank test, P > .5). A qualitative analysis showed little to no displacement or rotation of the condyle in the virtually planned and postoperative condylar positions. CONCLUSIONS: Qualitative and quantitative comparisons of the preoperative virtual surgical planned and the postoperative condylar position with the use of custom-printed mandibular cutting guides and plates support the null hypothesis that there is no difference between planned and postoperative positioning.

Frequency and Outcomes of Cervical Spine Computed Tomography Imaging on Alcohol-Intoxicated Patients in the Emergency Department.

BACKGROUND: Cervical spinal (c-spine) injuries range greatly in severity from minor ligamentous injuries to osteoligamentous instability with spinal cord injuries. Initial evaluation begins with stabilization as needed and immediate immobilization. Current practice as to whether the c-spine can be cleared clinically without radiographic evaluation is often guided by using the National Emergency X-Radiography Utilization Study Low-Risk Criteria and the Canadian C-Spine Rule. Under these clinical decision guidelines, stable trauma patients presenting with alcohol intoxication cannot have the c-spine cleared clinically and imaging should be "considered." OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the frequency of computed tomography (CT) c-spine scans ordered for patients presenting with alcohol intoxication to the emergency department (ED), the timing of the studies, and subsequently determine the proportion of which showed a clinically significant result that required intervention. METHODS: In this retrospective medical record review, all clinically alcohol-intoxicated patients presenting to two academic EDs were included. Overall demographic characteristics, time to order of CT imaging, radiology reads, and outcomes of patient visits were determined. RESULTS: There were 8008 patient visits included in the study. Of these visits, 5 patients scanned in ≤3 h had acute findings on CT scan and no patients with a deferred timing of CT scan after patients metabolized had an acute finding on CT scan. No patients required operative management. CONCLUSIONS: This study's results suggest that it is a safe clinical practice to defer CT imaging for patients presenting to the ED with alcohol intoxication and low suspicion for c-spine injury per history and examination.

Underlying intracranial atherosclerotic disease is associated with worse outcomes in acute large vessel occlusion undergoing endovascular thrombectomy.

BACKGROUND: Data on large vessel occlusion (LVO) management due to intracranial atherosclerotic disease (ICAD) are scarce. OBJECTIVE: To compare clinical outcomes between patients with ICAD and those without ICAD following mechanical thrombectomy (MT). METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of consecutive patients who underwent MT for LVO in a large academic comprehensive stroke center, and compared in-hospital mortality, 90-day mortality, favorable functional outcome at 90 days, and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) using chi-squared tests and multivariate logistic regression analyses. We defined ICAD as observable plaque at occlusion site post-thrombectomy. RESULTS: Among 215 patients (mean age 67.1 ± 16.0 years; 60.5% female; 83.6% Black, median NIHSS score 16), ICAD was present in 38 patients (17.7%). Diabetes and dyslipidemia were more common in those with ICAD (57.9% vs. 38.4%, p = 0.027 and 29.0% vs. 14.7%, p = 0.035, respectively). Substantial reperfusion (TICI ≥2b) was achieved less often (84.2% vs. 94.4%, p = 0.031) but symptomatic ICH was also less common in ICAD patients (0% vs. 9.0%, p = 0.081). In-hospital and 90-day mortality were more common (36.8% vs. 15.8%, p = 0.003 and 52.6% vs. 26.6%, p = 0.002, respectively) and favorable functional outcome (mRS 0-2) at 90 days was less common (7.9% vs. 33.9%, p = 0.001) in ICAD patients. After adjusting for prognostic variables, ICAD was independently associated with in-hospital mortality (OR=4.1, 95% CI 1.7-9.7), 90-day mortality (OR=3.7, 95% CI 1.6-8.6), and poor functional outcome at 90 days (OR=5.5, 95% CI 1.6-19.4). CONCLUSION: Symptomatic ICAD in a predominantly African American cohort is associated with increased odds of mortality and poor functional outcome at 90 days in patients with LVO undergoing MT.

Prospective validation of the 4C prognostic models for adults hospitalised with COVID-19 using the ISARIC WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol.

PURPOSE: To prospectively validate two risk scores to predict mortality (4C Mortality) and in-hospital deterioration (4C Deterioration) among adults hospitalised with COVID-19. METHODS: Prospective observational cohort study of adults (age ≥18 years) with confirmed or highly suspected COVID-19 recruited into the International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infections Consortium (ISARIC) WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol UK (CCP-UK) study in 306 hospitals across England, Scotland and Wales. Patients were recruited between 27 August 2020 and 17 February 2021, with at least 4 weeks follow-up before final data extraction. The main outcome measures were discrimination and calibration of models for in-hospital deterioration (defined as any requirement of ventilatory support or critical care, or death) and mortality, incorporating predefined subgroups. RESULTS: 76 588 participants were included, of whom 27 352 (37.4%) deteriorated and 12 581 (17.4%) died. Both the 4C Mortality (0.78 (0.77 to 0.78)) and 4C Deterioration scores (pooled C-statistic 0.76 (95% CI 0.75 to 0.77)) demonstrated consistent discrimination across all nine National Health Service regions, with similar performance metrics to the original validation cohorts. Calibration remained stable (4C Mortality: pooled slope 1.09, pooled calibration-in-the-large 0.12; 4C Deterioration: 1.00, -0.04), with no need for temporal recalibration during the second UK pandemic wave of hospital admissions. CONCLUSION: Both 4C risk stratification models demonstrate consistent performance to predict clinical deterioration and mortality in a large prospective second wave validation cohort of UK patients. Despite recent advances in the treatment and management of adults hospitalised with COVID-19, both scores can continue to inform clinical decision making. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN66726260.

Acute annular outer retinopathy preceded by invasive ductal breast carcinoma: a case report.

BACKGROUND: Acute annular outer retinopathy (AAOR) is an uncommon disease. To date, there are few documented cases in the literature. Our case report is the first to describe a case of acute annular outer retinopathy in a patient with invasive ductal breast carcinoma. CASE PRESENTATION: The patient presented with photopsias and visual loss approximately 3 weeks prior to a diagnosis of invasive ductal breast carcinoma. We have documented the outer annular white ring seen in the acute phase of this disease and correlate it anatomically with Spectral-domain optical coherence tomography (SD-OCT) imaging. We identified RPE atrophy with nodular hyperreflectivity and loss of ellipsoid layer within the white annular ring with corresponding visual field loss. Fundus autofluorescence correlated with structural alterations seen on SD-OCT and showed both presumed active hyperautofluorescent zones with patchy hypoautofluorescent zones of atrophy and a classic annular hyperautofluorescent border. This case provides additional information about the natural history of this rare entity and its prognosis and varied presentation. CONCLUSIONS: The authors report a single case of acute annular outer retinopathy in a patient with invasive ductal breast carcinoma with the corresponding SD-OCT, fundus autofluorescence and visual field findings, during the acute phase of the disease. These findings provide new insight into the characteristic features, etiology and progression of this rare disease.

Epidemiological Surveillance of the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Stroke Care Using Artificial Intelligence.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The degree to which the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has affected systems of care, in particular, those for time-sensitive conditions such as stroke, remains poorly quantified. We sought to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 in the overall screening for acute stroke utilizing a commercial clinical artificial intelligence platform. METHODS: Data were derived from the Viz Platform, an artificial intelligence application designed to optimize the workflow of patients with acute stroke. Neuroimaging data on suspected patients with stroke across 97 hospitals in 20 US states were collected in real time and retrospectively analyzed with the number of patients undergoing imaging screening serving as a surrogate for the amount of stroke care. The main outcome measures were the number of computed tomography (CT) angiography, CT perfusion, large vessel occlusions (defined according to the automated software detection), and severe strokes on CT perfusion (defined as those with hypoperfusion volumes >70 mL) normalized as number of patients per day per hospital. Data from the prepandemic (November 4, 2019 to February 29, 2020) and pandemic (March 1 to May 10, 2020) periods were compared at national and state levels. Correlations were made between the inter-period changes in imaging screening, stroke hospitalizations, and thrombectomy procedures using state-specific sampling. RESULTS: A total of 23 223 patients were included. The incidence of large vessel occlusion on CT angiography and severe strokes on CT perfusion were 11.2% (n=2602) and 14.7% (n=1229/8328), respectively. There were significant declines in the overall number of CT angiographies (-22.8%; 1.39-1.07 patients/day per hospital, P<0.001) and CT perfusion (-26.1%; 0.50-0.37 patients/day per hospital, P<0.001) as well as in the incidence of large vessel occlusion (-17.1%; 0.15-0.13 patients/day per hospital, P<0.001) and severe strokes on CT perfusion (-16.7%; 0.12-0.10 patients/day per hospital, P<0.005). The sampled cohort showed similar declines in the rates of large vessel occlusions versus thrombectomy (18.8% versus 19.5%, P=0.9) and comprehensive stroke center hospitalizations (18.8% versus 11.0%, P=0.4). CONCLUSIONS: A significant decline in stroke imaging screening has occurred during the COVID-19 pandemic. This analysis underscores the broader application of artificial intelligence neuroimaging platforms for the real-time monitoring of stroke systems of care.

Stroke Imaging Selection Modality and Endovascular Therapy Outcomes in the Early and Extended Time Windows.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Advanced imaging has been increasingly used for patient selection in endovascular stroke therapy. The impact of imaging selection modality on endovascular stroke therapy clinical outcomes in extended time window remains to be defined. We aimed to study this relationship and compare it to that noted in early-treated patients. METHODS: Patients from a prospective multicentric registry (n=2008) with occlusions involving the intracranial internal carotid or the M1- or M2-segments of the middle cerebral arteries, premorbid modified Rankin Scale score 0 to 2 and time to treatment 0 to 24 hours were categorized according to treatment times within the early (0-6 hour) or extended (6-24 hour) window as well as imaging modality with noncontrast computed tomography (NCCT)±CT angiography (CTA) or NCCT±CTA and CT perfusion (CTP). The association between imaging modality and 90-day modified Rankin Scale, analyzed in ordinal (modified Rankin Scale shift) and dichotomized (functional independence, modified Rankin Scale score 0-2) manner, was evaluated and compared within and across the extended and early windows. RESULTS: In the early window, 332 patients were selected with NCCT±CTA alone while 373 also underwent CTP. After adjusting for identifiable confounders, there were no significant differences in terms of 90-day functional disability (ordinal shift: adjusted odd ratio [aOR], 0.936 [95% CI, 0.709-1.238], P=0.644) or independence (aOR, 1.178 [95% CI, 0.833-1.666], P=0.355) across the CTP and NCCT±CTA groups. In the extended window, 67 patients were selected with NCCT±CTA alone while 180 also underwent CTP. No significant differences in 90-day functional disability (aOR, 0.983 [95% CI, 0.81-1.662], P=0.949) or independence (aOR, 0.640 [95% CI, 0.318-1.289], P=0.212) were seen across the CTP and NCCT±CTA groups. There was no interaction between the treatment time window (0-6 versus 6-24 hours) and CT selection modality (CTP versus NCCT±CTA) in terms of functional disability at 90 days (P=0.45). CONCLUSIONS: CTP acquisition was not associated with better outcomes in patients treated in the early or extended time windows. While confirmatory data is needed, our data suggests that extended window endovascular stroke therapy may remain beneficial even in the absence of advanced imaging.

Early Infarct Growth Rate Correlation With Endovascular Thrombectomy Clinical Outcomes: Analysis From the SELECT Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Time elapsed from last-known well (LKW) and baseline imaging results are influential on endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) outcomes. METHODS: In a prospective multicenter cohort study of imaging selection for endovascular thrombectomy (SELECT [Optimizing Patient's Selection for Endovascular Treatment in Acute Ischemic Stroke], the early infarct growth rate (EIGR) was defined as ischemic core volume on perfusion imaging (relative cerebral blood flow<30%) divided by the time from LKW to imaging. The optimal EIGR cutoff was identified by maximizing the sum of the sensitivity and specificity to correlate best with favorable outcome and to improve its the predictability. Patients were stratified into slow progressors if EIGR2. The primary outcome was 90-day functional independence (modified Rankin Scale score =0-2). RESULTS: Of 445 consented, 361 (285 EVT, 76 medical management only) patients met the study inclusion criteria. The optimal EIGR was <10 mL/h; 200 EVT patients were slow and 85 fast progressors. Fast progressors had a higher median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (19 versus 15, P<0.001), shorter time from LKW to groin puncture (180 versus 266 minutes, P<0.001). Slow progressors had better collaterals on computed tomography perfusion: hypoperfusion intensity ratio (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 5.11 [2.43-10.76], P<0.001) and computed tomography angiography: collaterals-score (aOR: 4.43 [1.83-10.73], P=0.001). EIGR independently correlated with functional independence after EVT, adjusting for age, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, time LKW to groin puncture, reperfusion (modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction score of ≥2b), IV-tPA (intravenous tissue-type plasminogen activator), and transfer status (aOR: 0.78 [0.65-0.94], P=0.01). Slow progressors had higher functional independence rates (121 [61%] versus 30 [35%], P<0.001) and had 3.5 times the likelihood of achieving modified Rankin Scale score =0-2 with EVT (aOR=2.94 [95% CI, 1.53-5.61], P=0.001) as compared to fast progressors, who had substantially worse clinical outcomes both in early and late time window. The odds of good outcome decreased by 14% for each 5 mL/h increase in EIGR (aOR, 0.87 [0.80-0.94], P<0.001) and declined more rapidly in fast progressors. CONCLUSIONS: The EIGR strongly correlates with both collateral status and clinical outcomes after EVT. Fast progressors demonstrated worse outcomes when receiving EVT beyond 6 hours of stroke onset as compared to those who received EVT within 6 hours. Registration: URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT02446587.

New Class of Radially Adjustable Stentrievers for Acute Ischemic Stroke: Primary Results of the Multicenter TIGER Trial.

[Figure: see text].

Efficacy and safety of nerinetide for the treatment of acute ischaemic stroke (ESCAPE-NA1): a multicentre, double-blind, randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Nerinetide, an eicosapeptide that interferes with post-synaptic density protein 95, is a neuroprotectant that is effective in preclinical stroke models of ischaemia-reperfusion. In this trial, we assessed the efficacy and safety of nerinetide in human ischaemia-reperfusion that occurs with rapid endovascular thrombectomy in patients who had an acute ischaemic stroke. METHODS: For this multicentre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled study done in 48 acute care hospitals in eight countries, we enrolled patients with acute ischaemic stroke due to large vessel occlusion within a 12 h treatment window. Eligible patients were aged 18 years or older with a disabling ischaemic stroke at the time of randomisation, had been functioning independently in the community before the stroke, had an Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (ASPECTS) greater than 4, and vascular imaging showing moderate-to-good collateral filling, as determined by multiphase CT angiography. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive intravenous nerinetide in a single dose of 2·6 mg/kg, up to a maximum dose of 270 mg, on the basis of estimated or actual weight (if known) or saline placebo by use of a real-time, dynamic, internet-based, stratified randomised minimisation procedure. Patients were stratified by intravenous alteplase treatment and declared endovascular device choice. All trial personnel and patients were masked to sequence and treatment allocation. All patients underwent endovascular thrombectomy and received alteplase in usual care when indicated. The primary outcome was a favourable functional outcome 90 days after randomisation, defined as a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 0-2. Secondary outcomes were measures of neurological disability, functional independence in activities of daily living, excellent functional outcome (mRS 0-1), and mortality. The analysis was done in the intention-to-treat population and adjusted for age, sex, baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, ASPECTS, occlusion location, site, alteplase use, and declared first device. The safety population included all patients who received any amount of study drug. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02930018. FINDINGS: Between March 1, 2017, and Aug 12, 2019, 1105 patients were randomly assigned to receive nerinetide (n=549) or placebo (n=556). 337 (61·4%) of 549 patients with nerinetide and 329 (59·2%) of 556 with placebo achieved an mRS score of 0-2 at 90 days (adjusted risk ratio 1·04, 95% CI 0·96-1·14; p=0·35). Secondary outcomes were similar between groups. We observed evidence of treatment effect modification resulting in inhibition of treatment effect in patients receiving alteplase. Serious adverse events occurred equally between groups. INTERPRETATION: Nerinetide did not improve the proportion of patients achieving good clinical outcomes after endovascular thrombectomy compared with patients receiving placebo. FUNDING: Canadian Institutes for Health Research, Alberta Innovates, and NoNO.

Modification of a domiciliary ventilator to increase FiO2: an off-label modification which may be of value in COVID-19.

Although nasal continuous positive airway pressure or non-invasive ventilation is used to manage some patients with acute lung injury due to COVID-19, such patients also demonstrate increased minute ventilation which makes it hard, if the device is used in line with the manufacturer's instructions, to achieve adequate oxygen delivery. In addition, if a hospital contains many such patients, then it is possible that the oxygen requirements will exceed infrastructure capacity. Here we describe a simple modification of two exemplar ventilators normally used for domiciliary ventilation, which substantially increased the fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2) delivered.

Evaluation and improvement of the National Early Warning Score (NEWS2) for COVID-19: a multi-hospital study.

BACKGROUND: The National Early Warning Score (NEWS2) is currently recommended in the UK for the risk stratification of COVID-19 patients, but little is known about its ability to detect severe cases. We aimed to evaluate NEWS2 for the prediction of severe COVID-19 outcome and identify and validate a set of blood and physiological parameters routinely collected at hospital admission to improve upon the use of NEWS2 alone for medium-term risk stratification. METHODS: Training cohorts comprised 1276 patients admitted to King's College Hospital National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust with COVID-19 disease from 1 March to 30 April 2020. External validation cohorts included 6237 patients from five UK NHS Trusts (Guy's and St Thomas' Hospitals, University Hospitals Southampton, University Hospitals Bristol and Weston NHS Foundation Trust, University College London Hospitals, University Hospitals Birmingham), one hospital in Norway (Oslo University Hospital), and two hospitals in Wuhan, China (Wuhan Sixth Hospital and Taikang Tongji Hospital). The outcome was severe COVID-19 disease (transfer to intensive care unit (ICU) or death) at 14 days after hospital admission. Age, physiological measures, blood biomarkers, sex, ethnicity, and comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular, respiratory and kidney diseases) measured at hospital admission were considered in the models. RESULTS: A baseline model of 'NEWS2 + age' had poor-to-moderate discrimination for severe COVID-19 infection at 14 days (area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in training cohort = 0.700, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.680, 0.722; Brier score = 0.192, 95% CI 0.186, 0.197). A supplemented model adding eight routinely collected blood and physiological parameters (supplemental oxygen flow rate, urea, age, oxygen saturation, C-reactive protein, estimated glomerular filtration rate, neutrophil count, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio) improved discrimination (AUC = 0.735; 95% CI 0.715, 0.757), and these improvements were replicated across seven UK and non-UK sites. However, there was evidence of miscalibration with the model tending to underestimate risks in most sites. CONCLUSIONS: NEWS2 score had poor-to-moderate discrimination for medium-term COVID-19 outcome which raises questions about its use as a screening tool at hospital admission. Risk stratification was improved by including readily available blood and physiological parameters measured at hospital admission, but there was evidence of miscalibration in external sites. This highlights the need for a better understanding of the use of early warning scores for COVID.

Optimizing Patient Selection for Endovascular Treatment in Acute Ischemic Stroke (SELECT): A Prospective, Multicenter Cohort Study of Imaging Selection.

OBJECTIVE: The primary imaging modalities used to select patients for endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) are noncontrast computed tomography (CT) and CT perfusion (CTP). However, their relative utility is uncertain. We prospectively assessed CT and CTP concordance/discordance and correlated the imaging profiles on both with EVT treatment decisions and clinical outcomes. METHODS: A phase 2, multicenter, prospective cohort study of large-vessel occlusions presented up to 24 hours from last known well was conducted. Patients received a unified prespecified imaging evaluation (CT, CT angiography, and CTP with Rapid Processing of Perfusion and Diffusion software mismatch determination). The treatment decision, EVT versus medical management, was nonrandomized and at the treating physicians' discretion. An independent, blinded, neuroimaging core laboratory adjudicated favorable profiles based on predefined criteria (CT:Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score ≥ 6, CTP:regional cerebral blood flow (<30%) < 70ml with mismatch ratio ≥ 1.2 and mismatch volume ≥ 10ml). RESULTS: Of 4,722 patients screened from January 2016 to February 2018, 361 patients were included. Two hundred eighty-five (79%) received EVT, of whom 87.0% had favorable CTs, 91% favorable CTPs, 81% both favorable profiles, 16% discordant, and 3% both unfavorable. Favorable profiles on the 2 modalities correlated similarly with 90-day functional independence rates (favorable CT = 56% vs favorable CTP = 57%, adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 1.91, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.40-9.01, p = 0.41). Having a favorable profile on both modalities significantly increased the odds of receiving thrombectomy as compared to discordant profiles (aOR = 3.97, 95% CI = 1.97-8.01, p < 0.001). Fifty-eight percent of the patients with favorable profiles on both modalities achieved functional independence as compared to 38% in discordant profiles and 0% when both were unfavorable (p < 0.001 for trend). In favorable CT/unfavorable CTP profiles, EVT was associated with high symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) (24%) and mortality (53%) rates. INTERPRETATION: Patients with favorable imaging profiles on both modalities had higher odds of receiving EVT and high functional independence rates. Patients with discordant profiles achieved reasonable functional independence rates, but those with an unfavorable CTP had higher adverse outcomes. Ann Neurol 2020;87:419-433.

Early Experience with Comaneci, a Newly FDA-Approved Controllable Assist Device for Wide-Necked Intracranial Aneurysm Coiling.

BACKGROUND: Comaneci (Rapid Medical) is a compliant, adjustable mesh that provides temporary scaffolding during coiling of wide-necked intracranial aneurysms (WNAs) that preserves antegrade flow. We report our early multi-institutional experience with the Comaneci device in the USA. METHOD: We reviewed all patients with WNAs that were treated using the Comaneci device for coil remodeling of ruptured and unruptured aneurysms at 4 institutions between July 2019 and May 2020. Clinical characteristics, angiographic variables, and endovascular results were assessed. RESULTS: A total of 26 patients were included (18 women). The mean age was 62.7 years (range 44-81). Fifteen patients presented with ruptured aneurysms and 11 with unruptured aneurysms. The mean aneurysm neck width was 3.91 mm (range 1.9-6.5) with a mean dome-to-neck ratio of 1.57 (range 0.59-3.39). The mean maximum width was 5.80 mm (range 3.0-9.9) and the mean maximum height was 5.61 mm (range 2.0-11.8). Successful aneurysm occlusion was achieved in 25 of 26 patients. Complete occlusion was achieved in 16 patients, near-complete occlusion was observed in 9 patients, and 1 patient demonstrated residual filling. The mean time of device exposure was 24 min (range 8-76). No vasospasm was observed at the device location. Clot formation on the device was noted in 2 separate cases, but there were no clinical sequelae. There was 1 intraprocedural complication in a case that involved the simultaneous use of 2 Comaneci devices. CONCLUSIONS: Our initial experience shows that the Comaneci device is a promising and reliable tool that can safely support coil remodeling of WNAs.

Quantitative IFN-γ Release Assay and Tuberculin Skin Test Results to Predict Incident Tuberculosis. A Prospective Cohort Study.

Rationale: Development of diagnostic tools with improved predictive value for tuberculosis (TB) is a global research priority.Objectives: We evaluated whether implementing higher diagnostic thresholds than currently recommended for QuantiFERON Gold-in-Tube (QFT-GIT), T-SPOT.TB, and the tuberculin skin test (TST) might improve prediction of incident TB.Methods: Follow-up of a UK cohort of 9,610 adult TB contacts and recent migrants was extended by relinkage to national TB surveillance records (median follow-up 4.7 yr). Incidence rates and rate ratios, sensitivities, specificities, and predictive values for incident TB were calculated according to ordinal strata for quantitative results of QFT-GIT, T-SPOT.TB, and TST (with adjustment for prior bacillus Calmette-Guérin [BCG] vaccination).Measurements and Main Results: For all tests, incidence rates and rate ratios increased with the magnitude of the test result (P < 0.0001). Over 3 years' follow-up, there was a modest increase in positive predictive value with the higher thresholds (3.0% for QFT-GIT ≥0.35 IU/ml vs. 3.6% for ≥4.00 IU/ml; 3.4% for T-SPOT.TB ≥5 spots vs. 5.0% for ≥50 spots; and 3.1% for BCG-adjusted TST ≥5 mm vs. 4.3% for ≥15 mm). As thresholds increased, sensitivity to detect incident TB waned for all tests (61.0% for QFT-GIT ≥0.35 IU/ml vs. 23.2% for ≥4.00 IU/ml; 65.4% for T-SPOT.TB ≥5 spots vs. 27.2% for ≥50 spots; 69.7% for BCG-adjusted TST ≥5 mm vs. 28.1% for ≥15 mm).Conclusions: Implementation of higher thresholds for QFT-GIT, T-SPOT.TB, and TST modestly increases positive predictive value for incident TB, but markedly reduces sensitivity. Novel biomarkers or validated multivariable risk algorithms are required to improve prediction of incident TB.

Effectiveness of BCG Vaccination Against Mycobacterium tuberculosis Infection in Adults: A Cross-sectional Analysis of a UK-Based Cohort.

BACKGROUND: BCG appears to reduce acquisition of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection in children, measured using interferon-gamma release assays (IGRAs). We explored whether BCG vaccination continues to be associated with decreased prevalence of M. tuberculosis infection in adults. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of data from adult contacts of tuberculosis cases participating in a UK cohort study. Vaccine effectiveness (VE) of BCG, ascertained based on presence of a scar or vaccination history, against latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI), measured via IGRA, was assessed using multivariable logistic regression. The effects of age at BCG and time since vaccination were also explored. RESULTS: Of 3453 recent tuberculosis contacts, 27.5% had LTBI. There was strong evidence of an association between BCG and LTBI (adjusted odds ratio = 0.70; 95% confidence interval, .56-.87; P = .0017) yielding a VE of 30%. VE declined with time since vaccination but there was evidence that LTBI prevalence was lower amongst vaccinated individuals even >20 years after vaccination, compared with nonvaccinated participants. CONCLUSIONS: BCG is associated with lower prevalence of LTBI in adult contacts of tuberculosis. These results contribute to growing evidence that suggests BCG may protect against M. tuberculosis infection as well as disease. This has implications for immunization programs, vaccine development, and tuberculosis control efforts worldwide. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT01162265.

Components and Trends in Door to Treatment Times for Endovascular Therapy in Get With The Guidelines-Stroke Hospitals.

BACKGROUND: Endovascular therapy (EVT) is standard of care in patients with acute disabling ischemic stroke attributable to large-vessel occlusion and is more effective when delivered quickly. It is currently unclear whether time targets achieved in clinical trials can be achieved in clinical practice. We describe interval times from patient arrival in the emergency department (door) to first pass (treatment initiation) in patients receiving EVT within Get With The Guidelines-Stroke hospitals and analyze patient- and hospital-level variables associated with these times. METHODS: Data are from sites participating fully as Comprehensive Stroke Centers within Get With The Guidelines-Stroke hospitals from October 2014 to September 2016. Workflow times analyzed include door to imaging, imaging to arterial access, arterial access to first pass, and the composite door to first pass time. Data are described overall and by calendar-year quarters. Multivariable modeling was used to identify patient- and hospital-level variables associated with workflow times. RESULTS: Among 2929 patients with EVT from 195 hospitals (median age, 71 years [interquartile range {IQR}, 60-81]; 50.7% female; median baseline National Institute of Health Stroke Score, 17 [IQR, 12-22]; median annual EVT administration number, 16 [IQR, 10-27]), median door to first pass time was 130 minutes (IQR, 101-170 minutes), door to imaging time was 12 minutes (IQR, 7-20 minutes), imaging to arterial puncture time was 93 minutes (IQR, 68-126 minutes), and arterial puncture to first pass time was 18 minutes (IQR, 4-31 minutes). Overall, 3% patients achieved a door to first pass time ≤60 minutes. A statistically significant linear time trend was noted for door to first pass time (quarter 4 year 2014 median time, 134.5 minutes to quarter 3 year 2016 median time, 128 minutes, P=0.002). In multivariable analysis, older age, arrival during nonregular hours, and history of diabetes mellitus were associated with longer door to first pass time. Hospitals achieving shorter door to intravenous alteplase administration (door to needle) times were more likely to achieve faster door to first pass time ( P<0.001). Each 5 cases/y increase in EVT case volume was associated with a 3% shorter door to first pass time, up to a case volume of 40 per year ( P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Although EVT treatment times are modestly improving, additional efforts are needed to streamline workflow so that the true potential of this treatment is realized. These data may inform benchmark goals for EVT workflow times.

Blood Transcriptomic Stratification of Short-term Risk in Contacts of Tuberculosis.

BACKGROUND: The highest risk of tuberculosis arises in the first few months after exposure. We reasoned that this risk reflects incipient disease among tuberculosis contacts. Blood transcriptional biomarkers of tuberculosis may predate clinical diagnosis, suggesting they offer improved sensitivity to detect subclinical incipient disease. Therefore, we sought to test the hypothesis that refined blood transcriptional biomarkers of active tuberculosis will improve stratification of short-term disease risk in tuberculosis contacts. METHODS: We combined analysis of previously published blood transcriptomic data with new data from a prospective human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-negative UK cohort of 333 tuberculosis contacts. We used stability selection as an alternative computational approach to identify an optimal signature for short-term risk of active tuberculosis and evaluated its predictive value in independent cohorts. RESULTS: In a previously published HIV-negative South African case-control study of patients with asymptomatic Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection, a novel 3-gene transcriptional signature comprising BATF2, GBP5, and SCARF1 achieved a positive predictive value (PPV) of 23% for progression to active tuberculosis within 90 days. In a new UK cohort of 333 HIV-negative tuberculosis contacts with a median follow-up of 346 days, this signature achieved a PPV of 50% (95% confidence interval [CI], 15.7-84.3) and negative predictive value of 99.3% (95% CI, 97.5-99.9). By comparison, peripheral blood interferon gamma release assays in the same cohort achieved a PPV of 5.6% (95% CI, 2.1-11.8). CONCLUSIONS: This blood transcriptional signature provides unprecedented opportunities to target therapy among tuberculosis contacts with greatest risk of incident disease.