A cohort study in university students: investigation of risk factors for cytomegalovirus infection.

Little is known about the main routes of human cytomegalovirus (HCMV) transmission in young adult populations. This study investigated risk factors for HCMV transmission in young adults attending university over a 3-year period. Blood samples were tested for HCMV specific viral capsid antigen IgG by enzyme immunoassay. Being born in a developing country and having lived in Africa were associated with HCMV seropositivity at study onset. No risk factors were associated with HCMV seroconversion over the 3-year follow-up. In contrast to previous reports, sexual activity was not associated with HCMV seroprevalence or seroconversion.

Cancer risk in patients with constitutional chromosome deletions: a nationwide British cohort study.

The finding of increased risks of specific cancers in individuals with constitutional deletions of chromosomes 11p and 13q led to the discovery of cancer predisposition genes at these locations, but there have been no systematic studies of cancer risks in patients with constitutional deletions, across the chromosome complement. Therefore, we assessed cancer incidence in comparison with national cancer incidence rates in a follow-up of 2561 patients with constitutional autosomal chromosome deletions diagnosed by microscopy or fluorescence in situ hybridisation in Britain during the period 1965-2002. Thirty cancers other than non-melanoma skin cancer occurred in the cohort (standardised incidence ratio (SIR)=2.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.6-3.5). There were significantly increased risks of renal cancer in persons with 11p deletions (SIR=1869, 95% CI 751-3850; P=4 x 10(-21)), eye cancer with 13q deletions (SIR=1084, 95% CI 295-2775; P=2 x 10(-11)), and anogenital cancer with 11q deletions (SIR=305, 95% CI 63-890; P=3 x 10(-7)); all the three latter cancers were in the 11 subjects with 11q24 deletions. The results strongly suggest that in addition to suppressor genes relating to Wilms' tumour risk on 11p and retinoblastoma on 13q, there are suppressor genes around 11q24 that greatly affect anogenital cancer risk.

Growth hormone treatment of children with brain tumors and risk of tumor recurrence.

GH is increasingly used for treatment of children and adults. It is mitogenic, however, and there is therefore concern about its safety, especially when used to treat cancer patients who have become GH deficient after cranial radiotherapy. We followed 180 children with brain tumors attending three large hospitals in the United Kingdom and treated with GH during 1965-1996, and 891 children with brain tumors at these hospitals who received radiotherapy but not GH. Thirty-five first recurrences occurred in the GH-treated children and 434 in the untreated children. The relative risk of first recurrence in GH-treated compared with untreated patients, adjusted for potentially confounding prognostic variables, was decreased (0. 6; 95% confidence interval, 0.4-0.9) as was the relative risk of mortality (0.5; 95% confidence interval, 0.3-0.8). There was no significant trend in relative risk of recurrence with cumulative time for which GH treatment had been given or with time elapsed since this treatment started. The relative risk of mortality increased significantly with time since first GH treatment. The results, based on much larger numbers than previous studies, suggest that GH does not increase the risk of recurrence of childhood brain tumors, although the rising trend in mortality relative risks with longer follow-up indicates the need for continued surveillance.

Risk of lymphoid neoplasia after cardiothoracic transplantation. a cohort study of the relation to Epstein-Barr virus.

BACKGROUND: Organ transplantation is associated with a greatly increased risk of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-associated lymphoproliferative disease (LPD), which is often fatal. There has been little epidemiological analysis, however, of the risk factors for LPD in transplant patients and none on whether the risks of non-EBV-associated lymphoid neoplasms are also increased. METHODS: The risk of lymphoid neoplasia was assessed in a cohort of 1563 patients who underwent cardiothoracic transplantation at Harefield Hospital, UK from 1980 to 1994 and were followed until December 1995. EBV antibody was assessed in the patients before transplantation, and lymphoid neoplasms were assessed for EBV RNA and latent EBV gene expression. RESULTS: Thirty cases of LPD occurred during follow-up. One lymphoma of unknown EBV status occurred. There were also six cases of EBV-negative non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (EBV-negative NHL), a highly significant excess over expectations from the general population rates of NHL (standardized incidence ratio 10.2 [95% confidence interval, 4.6-22.8]). The risk of LPD was significantly 10-fold raised in individuals who were EBV seronegative before transplantation; independently of this, it decreased steeply with age at transplantation and was greatest in the first year after transplantation. The risk was significantly raised in young seronegative recipients if the donor was older than the recipient. EBV-negative NHL occurred entirely in men 45 years old and older who were EBV seropositive before transplantation, and risk was not related to duration since transplantation. CONCLUSIONS: The risk factors found for LPD accord with EBV etiology and with greater hazard from primary infection than from reactivation. A second non-Hodgkin's lymphoid neoplasm, not related to EBV, seems also to be a consequence of transplantation and immunosuppression but is unlikely to be due to first infection by a ubiquitous agent. Its etiology and prevention need investigation separately from LPD.

Risk of death from motor-vehicle injury in Brazilian steelworkers: a nested case-control study.

OBJECTIVES: In a cohort of 21,816 Brazilian steelworkers we found mortality from motor-vehicle injury was twice that in the State population. A nested case-control study was therefore undertaken to investigate possible socio-demographic, medical and occupational risk factors for this increased risk. METHODS: Cases were defined as all steelworkers in the cohort who died of motor-vehicle injury during employment in the period 1977-1992. For each case, four controls were selected at random from workers in the cohort who were employed at the time of death of the case, and who were born in the same year as the case. Data on socio-demographic factors, and medical and occupational histories were obtained from personnel, industrial hygiene and medical records, and the relation of these factors to risk of motor-vehicle injury was analysed using conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: In a multivariate analysis, the risk of death from motor-vehicle injury was independently associated with being unmarried (odds ratio [OR] compared to married = 3.21, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.84-5.59), having a hearing defect (OR = 2.28, 95% CI: 1.10-4.74) and exposure to moderate (OR = 1.71, 95% CI: 1.03-2.83) or high (OR = 2.00, 95% CI: 1.18-3.39) levels of noise at work. The risk of fatal motor-vehicle injury increased with intensity of occupational noise exposure (P = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: The raised risk of motor-vehicle injury death associated with single marital status is likely to relate to selective factors in the types of individual who remain single, and behaviours associated with being unmarried. The raised risks in relation to hearing defects and exposure to occupational noise, factors that do not appear to have been examined previously, imply that occupational noise exposures might be a cause of fatal motor-vehicle accidents outside the workplace. This finding may have widespread public health consequences since high levels of noise in the workplace and occupationally acquired hearing deficits are prevalent in several occupations. Further investigation is needed to confirm the associated and its mechanisms and, if it is causal, to develop preventive strategies.

Risk of testicular cancer in cohort of boys with cryptorchidism.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the risk of testicular cancer in relation to undescended testis and its treatment based on recorded details of the maldescent, treatment, and biopsy from case notes. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: Hospital for Sick Children, Great Ormond Street, London. SUBJECTS: 1075 boys with cryptorchidism treated by orchidopexy or hormones at the hospital during 1951-64. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Relative risk of testicular cancer in the cohort compared with men in the general population. RESULTS: 12 testicular cancers occurred in 11 of the patients during follow up to mid-1990 (relative risk of cancer in males with cryptorchidism = 7.5 (95% confidence interval 3.9 to 12.8)). The relative risk fell significantly beyond 15 years after orchidopexy but did not decrease with younger age at orchidopexy. Risk was significantly raised in testes that had had biopsy samples removed during orchidopexy (relative risk = 66.7 (23.9 to 143.3) compared with a testis in a man in the general population) and was significantly greater in these testes than in undescended testes that had not had biopsy samples taken at orchidopexy (6.7 (2.7 to 13.5)). No reasons for biopsy or distinguishing clinical aspects of the testes that had had biopsy samples taken and later developed malignancies were evident in the case notes. No histological abnormalities were evident at initial biopsy except in one testis that had features of dysgenesis. CONCLUSIONS: Biopsy seems to be a stronger risk factor for testicular cancer than any factor previously identified. The trauma of open biopsy may contribute substantially to risk of malignancy or the testes may have been selected for biopsy on the basis of clinical factors predictive of malignancy but not mentioned in the case notes.

Season of birth and diagnosis of children with leukaemia: an analysis of over 15 000 UK cases occurring from 1953-95.

If infections are involved in the aetiology of childhood leukaemia then seasonal variation in the birth or onset dates of the malignancy may be apparent. Previous studies that have examined seasonality of these dates have produced conflicting results. Using population-based data from the National Registry of Childhood Tumours we conducted a larger study than any to date of 15 835 cases of childhood leukaemia born and diagnosed in the UK between 1953-95. We found no evidence of seasonality in either month of birth or month of diagnosis overall or in any subgroups by age, sex, histology or immunophenotype. We did however find a significant (P = 0.01) February peak in month of birth for cases born before 1960 and a significant (P = 0.02) August peak in month of diagnosis for those diagnosed before 1962. Whilst these findings may be due to chance they are also consistent with changes over time in the seasonality of exposure, or immunological response, to a relevant infection. Changes in the seasonal variation in the fatality rate of a pre-leukaemic illness, such as pneumonia, could be another explanation.

Mortality from injuries and other causes in a cohort of 21,800 Brazilian steel workers.

OBJECTIVES: Injury is the leading cause of death in the male working population of Brazil. An important fraction of these deaths are work related. Very few cohort studies of steel workers, and none from developing countries, have reported on mortality from injuries. This paper analyses mortality from work and non-work related injuries among Brazilian steel workers. METHODS: Deaths during employment from 1 January 1977 to 30 November 1992 were analysed in a cohort of 21,816 male steel workers. Mortality rates specific for age and calendar year among the workers were compared with those of the male population of the state where the plant is located. Work related injuries were analysed by comparing the mortality rates for different subgroups of the cohort. RESULTS: The number of deaths (391) was less than half that expected based on death rates of the general population. Over 60% (242) of deaths were due to injuries. Mortality from most causes was substantially below that in the general population, but that from unintentional injury, was 50% above that of the general population. Standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) were highest for the youngest and the oldest employees and for labourers and clerical workers. Mortality from motor vehicle injury was twice that expected from population rates (SMR = 209, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 176-244). There was a 67% fall in the age adjusted mortality from occupational injuries in the study period. CONCLUSION: The healthy worker effect in this cohort was greater than that commonly found in studies of occupational groups in developed countries, probably because of a greater socioeconomic gap between employed and unemployed populations in Brazil, and unequal distribution of health care resources. Mortality was especially high for motor vehicle injuries. The fall in mortality from occupational injuries during the study period was probably due to improvement in safety standards, increased automation, and better medical care. There is a need to investigate risk factors for unintentional injuries among steel workers, especially those due to motor vehicle injuries. Prevention of occupational and nonoccupational injuries should be a main priority in Brazil.

Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease in United Kingdom patients treated with human pituitary growth hormone.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate risk factors for Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (CJD) in patients in the United Kingdom treated with human pituitary growth hormone (hGH). METHODS: Incidence rates of CJD, based on person-year denominators, were assessed in a cohort of 1,848 patients treated with hGH in the United Kingdom from 1959 through 1985 and followed to the end of 2000. RESULTS: CJD developed in 38 patients. Risk of CJD was significantly increased by treatment with hGH prepared by the Wilhelmi method of extraction from human pituitaries. Risk was further raised if this treatment was administered at ages 8 to 10 years. The peak risk of CJD was estimated to occur 20 years after first exposure, and the estimated lifetime cumulative risk of CJD in Wilhelmi-treated patients was 4.5%. CONCLUSIONS: Size-exclusion chromatography, used in non-Wilhelmi preparation methods, may prevent CJD infection. Susceptibility to CJD may vary with age, and susceptibility may be present in only a few percent of the population.

A nested case-control study of fatal work related injuries among Brazilian steel workers.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the relative risk of death from work related injury in a steelworks, associated with exposure to various occupational hazards, sociodemographic factors, and medical history. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The study was a nested case-control design. It was based on a cohort of men employed in the steel plant of USIMINAS, Brazil between January 1977 and August 1990, who were followed up to November 1992. The cases were defined as all workers in the cohort who died from injury in the study period and whose death had been notified to the Brazilian Ministry of Labour as being related to work. Four controls per case, matched to cases on year of birth, were randomly selected from among workers employed in the plant at the time of death of the matching case. Data on potential risk factors for occupational injury were extracted from company records; for the controls these data were abstracted for the period preceding the death of the matching case. RESULTS: There were 37 deaths related to work injuries during the study period. Four surviving workers were selected as controls for each case, but for eight the personnel records were incomplete, leaving 140 controls in all. Significantly increased risk of fatal injury related to work was associated with exposure to noise, heat, dust and fumes, gases and vapours, rotating shift work, being a manual worker, and working in the steel mill, coke ovens, blast furnaces, and energy and water supply areas. Risk of fatal injury related to work increased with intensity of exposure to noise (P (trend) = 0.004) and heat (P < 0.001), and increased greatly with a hazard score that combined information on noise, heat, dust, and gas exposure (P < 0.001). Number of years of schooling (P = 0.03) and salary level (P = 0.03) were both negatively associated with risk. In a multivariate analysis including all these significant factors, only hazard score and area of work remained associated with death from injury related to work. The highest risks were for men exposed to all four environmental hazards (odds ratio (OR) 19.4; 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.1 to 352.1) and those working in the energy supply area (OR 18.0; 1.6 to 198.1). CONCLUSIONS: The study identified parts of the steelworks and types of hazard associated with greatly increased risk of fatal accident. Research and measures to prevent accidents need to concentrate on these areas and the people working in them. The use of a hazard score was successful in identifying high risk, and similar scoring might prove useful in other industrial situations.

Risk of cancer in patients treated with human pituitary growth hormone in the UK, 1959-85: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Growth hormone raises serum concentrations of insulin-like growth factor IGF-I, which is mitogenic and antiapoptotic. There is evidence that raised endogenous levels of growth hormone and IGF-I might be associated with increased risk of certain solid cancers, but there have been no data on long-term risks of solid cancers after growth hormone treatment. METHODS: We did a cohort study to investigate cancer incidence and mortality in 1848 patients in the UK who were treated during childhood and early adulthood with human pituitary growth hormone during the period from 1959 to 1985. Patients were followed up for cancer incidence to December, 1995 and for mortality to December, 2000. Risk of cancer in the cohort was compared with that in the general population, controlling for age, sex, and calendar period. FINDINGS: Patients treated with human pituitary growth hormone had significantly raised risks of mortality from cancer overall (standardised mortality ratio 2.8, 95% CI 1.3-5.1; ten cases), colorectal cancer (10.8, 1.3-38.8; two cases), and Hodgkin's disease (11.4, 1.4-41.3; two cases). Incidence of colorectal cancer was also greatly raised (7.9, 1.0-28.7). After exclusion of patients whose original diagnosis rendered them at high risk of cancer, the significance and size of the risks of colorectal cancer incidence and mortality, and of Hodgkin's disease mortality were increased. INTERPRETATION: Although based on small numbers, the risk of colorectal cancer is of some concern and further investigation in other cohorts is needed. We have no evidence as to whether growth hormone in modern dosage regimens is associated with an increased risk of colorectal cancer.

Non-fatal work related injuries in a cohort of Brazilian steelworkers.

OBJECTIVES: Workers in the steel industry are exposed to various severe hazards. This study investigated risk factors for non-fatal injury occurring in the workplace and during travel to and from work in steelworkers in Brazil. METHODS: Non-fatal work related injuries during employment from January 1977 to September 1992 were analysed in a cohort of 21 732 male workers in the steel plant of USIMINAS, Brazil. RESULTS: There were 14 972 non-fatal injuries during follow up, with 10 891 injuries in the workplace and 4081 during travel to and from work (travel to work injury). The rate of injury in the workplace was 5.6/100 person-years and that of travel to work injury was 2.1/100 person-years. The most common injuries were to hands, arms, and eyes, with 90% of the eye injuries caused by a foreign body. Both rates of workplace and travel to work injury increased significantly with the number of injuries previously experienced, and decreased with number of years in employment and calendar period. The rates of travel to work injury also seemed to decrease with age, but age was not an independent predictor of workplace injury when we controlled for duration of employment. The rate of workplace injury was increased eightfold for workers who had experienced more than six previous injuries compared with those with no previous workplace injuries after adjusting for duration of employment and calendar period. Labourers were most at risk of workplace injury, with about eight injuries per 100 person-years. Travel to work injury was most common among support workers, with nearly half of the travel to work injuries affecting the eyes. CONCLUSION: The rate of injury was high in these steelworks, both for workplace and travel to work injuries. Characteristics of the work areas and the employees can identify high risk groups; protective measures, safety, health training, and injury programmes should concentrate particularly on these groups. Prevention of eye injury needs special attention in steelworks.

Cancer mortality in relation to monitoring for radionuclide exposure in three UK nuclear industry workforces.

Cancer mortality in 40,761 employees of three UK nuclear industry facilities who had been monitored for external radiation exposure was examined according to whether they had also been monitored for possible internal exposure to tritium, plutonium or other radionuclides (uranium, polonium, actinium or other unspecified). Death rates from cancer were compared both with national rates and with rates in radiation workers not monitored for exposure to any radionuclides. Among workers monitored for tritium exposure, overall cancer mortality was significantly below national rates [standardized mortality ratio (SMR) = 83, 165 deaths; 2P = 0.02] and none of the cancer-specific death rates was significantly above either the national average or rates in non-monitored workers. Although the overall death rate from cancer in workers monitored for plutonium exposure was also significantly low relative to national rates (SMR = 89, 581 deaths; 2P = 0.005), mortality from pleural cancer was significantly raised (SMR = 357, nine deaths; 2P = 0.002); none of the rates differed significantly from those of non-monitored workers. Workers monitored for radionuclides other than tritium or plutonium also had a death rate from all cancers combined that was below the national average (SMR = 86, 418 deaths; 2P = 0.002) but prostatic cancer mortality was raised both in relation to death rates in the general population (SMR = 153, 37 deaths; 2P = 0.02) and to death rates in radiation workers who had not been monitored for exposure to any radionuclide [rate ratio (RR) = 1.65; 2P = 0.03]. Mortality from cancer of the lung was also significantly increased in workers monitored for other radionuclides compared with those of radiation workers not monitored for exposure to radionuclides (RR = 1.31, 164 deaths; 2P = 0.01). For cancers of the lung, prostate and all cancers combined, death rates in monitored workers were examined according to the timing and duration of monitoring for radionuclide exposure, with rates of radiation workers not monitored for any radionuclide forming the comparison group. In tritium-monitored workers, RRs for prostatic cancer varied significantly according to the number of years in which they were monitored (2P = 0.03). In workers monitored for plutonium exposure, RRs for all cancers combined increased with the number of years in which they were monitored (2P = 0.04) and with the number of years since first monitoring (2P = 0.0003). There was little suggestion of systematic variation in RRs for workers monitored for other radionuclides in relation to the timing or duration of monitoring, nor did it appear that their raised rates of cancer of the lung and prostate were explained by external radiation dose. These analyses of cancer mortality in relation to monitoring for radionuclide exposure reported in a large cohort of nuclear industry workers suggest that certain patterns of monitoring for some radionuclides may be associated with higher death rates from cancers of the lung, pleura, prostate and all cancers combined. Some of these findings may be due to chance. Moreover, because of the paucity of related data and lack of information about other possible exposures, such as whether plutonium workers are more likely to be exposed to asbestos, firm conclusions cannot be drawn at this stage. Further investigations of the relationship between radionuclide exposure and cancer in nuclear industry workers are needed.

Mortality in patients with congenital adrenal hyperplasia: a cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine mortality in patients with congenital adrenal hyperplasia (CAH) compared with that in the general population. DESIGN: We identified 333 children with CAH, treated at several pediatric endocrinology departments in the United Kingdom since 1964, and monitored their mortality to mid 1996. Standardized mortality ratios were calculated, comparing mortality in the cohort with that in the general population, adjusted for sex, age, and calendar period. RESULTS: All-cause mortality in the cohort was 3 times that expected. Mortality was significantly increased at ages 1 to 4 years (standardized mortality ratio = 18.3) but not at older ages and was significantly increased in patients of Indian-subcontinent ethnicity (standardized mortality ratio = 20.4), particularly in girls. From case notes and death certificates, it appears that most deaths were caused by adrenal crisis, often after infection. CONCLUSIONS: Although survival of patients with CAH has greatly improved since steroid therapy has been used, this disease can still have fatal consequences. The high mortality rate in Indian ethnic girls may well reflect lack of parental acceptance and understanding of the disease, as well as of the action required when their child becomes acutely ill. Better communication with and education of parents of children with CAH, especially those from immigrant ethnic minorities, is important.