International External Validation Study of the 2014 European Society of Cardiology Guidelines on Sudden Cardiac Death Prevention in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy (EVIDENCE-HCM).

BACKGROUND: Identification of people with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) who are at risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) and require a prophylactic implantable cardioverter defibrillator is challenging. In 2014, the European Society of Cardiology proposed a new risk stratification method based on a risk prediction model (HCM Risk-SCD) that estimates the 5-year risk of SCD. The aim was to externally validate the 2014 European Society of Cardiology recommendations in a geographically diverse cohort of patients recruited from the United States, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. METHODS: This was an observational, retrospective, longitudinal cohort study. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 3703 patients. Seventy three (2%) patients reached the SCD end point within 5 years of follow-up (5-year incidence, 2.4% [95% confidence interval {CI}, 1.9-3.0]). The validation study revealed a calibration slope of 1.02 (95% CI, 0.93-1.12), C-index of 0.70 (95% CI, 0.68-0.72), and D-statistic of 1.17 (95% CI, 1.05-1.29). In a complete case analysis (n= 2147; 44 SCD end points at 5 years), patients with a predicted 5-year risk of <4% (n=1524; 71%) had an observed 5-year SCD incidence of 1.4% (95% CI, 0.8-2.2); patients with a predicted risk of ≥6% (n=297; 14%) had an observed SCD incidence of 8.9% (95% CI, 5.96-13.1) at 5 years. For every 13 (297/23) implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantations in patients with an estimated 5-year SCD risk ≥6%, 1 patient can potentially be saved from SCD. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms that the HCM Risk-SCD model provides accurate prognostic information that can be used to target implantable cardioverter defibrillator therapy in patients at the highest risk of SCD.

Early Diastolic Strain Rate in Relation to Systolic and Diastolic Function and Prognosis in Aortic Stenosis.

OBJECTIVES: This study examined the impact of early mitral inflow velocity-to-early diastolic strain rate (E/SRe) ratio on long-term outcome after aortic valve replacement (AVR) in aortic stenosis (AS). BACKGROUND: In AS, increased filling pressures are associated with a poor prognosis and can be estimated using the early diastolic mitral inflow velocity-to-early diastolic velocity of the mitral annulus (E/e') ratio. Recent studies suggest that the E/SRe ratio surpasses the E/e' ratio in estimating outcome. METHODS: Pre-operative evaluation was performed in 121 patients with severe AS (aortic valve area <1 cm(2)) and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) of >40% who were scheduled for AVR. Patients were divided according to E/SRe median and followed for 5 years. The primary endpoint was overall mortality. RESULTS: LVEF was lower (53 ± 7% vs. 56 ± 7%, respectively; p = 0.03) and a restrictive filling pattern more common (28% vs. 8%, respectively, p = 0.005) in patients with increased E/SRe ratio. Five-year overall mortality was increased in patients with high E/SRe (40% vs. 15%, respectively; p = 0.007). In univariate Cox regression analysis, E/SRe, age, European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE), LV mass index, left atrial volume index, LVEF, global longitudinal strain, E/e' ratio, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide level were univariate predictors of overall mortality, although when we adjusted for the predefined variables age, history of diabetes mellitus and LVEF, only E/SRe and left atrial volume index remained associated with overall mortality. Even when we included left atrial volume index in the multivariate model, E/SRe was significantly associated with overall mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.2; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.1 to 4.4; p < 0.05); additionally, in a model with forward selection, E/SRe was the sole predictor (HR: 2.9; 95% CI: 1.6 to 5.5; p = 0.001. The overall log likelihood chi-square analysis of the predictive power of the multivariate model containing E/SRe was statistically superior to models based on the E/e' ratio. CONCLUSIONS: Pre-operative E/SRe ratio was significantly associated with long-term post-operative survival and was superior to the E/e' ratio in patients with severe AS undergoing AVR. (Effect of Angiotensin II Receptor Blockers (ARB) on Left Ventricular Reverse Remodelling After Aortic Valve Replacement in Severe Valvular Aortic Stenosis; NCT00294775).