Increased Glucagon Immunoreactivity in a Rat Model of Diet-induced Obesity following Sleeve Gastrectomy.

OBJECTIVE: Bariatric surgery is currently the most effective treatment for obesity, and procedures such as Roux-en Y gastric bypass and sleeve gastrectomy (SG) also result in rapid improvements in insulin sensitivity and glucose tolerance. In addition, these procedures cause changes in the secretion of various gut-derived hormones. The role these hormones play in the mechanism of the beneficial effects of bariatric surgery is still debated, but nonetheless, their importance provides inspiration for novel obesity-targeted pharmacotherapies. METHODS: Male Sprague Dawley rats were fed either regular chow or a cafeteria diet to induce obesity. A sub-group of the obese animals then underwent either sham surgery or SG. RESULTS: Following a 4-week recovery period, SG rats weighed significantly less than obese or sham-operated rats. Improvements in glucose tolerance and insulin sensitivity also occurred in the SG group, but these were not always statistically significant. We measured the intracellular lipid content of liver samples and found that obese rats showed signs of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, which were significantly ameliorated by SG. There were significantly higher glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) and glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP) responses to a standard mixed meal in the SG group, as well as paradoxically higher glucagon secretion. CONCLUSION: These data highlight the need for more specific anti-glucagon antibodies to characterize the changes in proglucagon-derived peptide concentrations that occur following SG. Further studies are required to determine whether these peptides contribute to the therapeutic effects of SG.

The impact of ABO blood groups on clinical outcomes and susceptibility to COVID-19: A retrospective study in an unselected population.

BACKGROUND: ABO blood groups have been linked to susceptibility to infection with certain microorganisms, including coronaviruses. We examined the relationship between blood group and clinical outcomes in individuals infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) and compared their blood group distribution with the general population. METHODS: At the inception of the pandemic, all individuals testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 in Kuwait were admitted to one designated coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) hospital and enrolled in a prospective registry. Patients admitted from February 24 to May 27, 2020, were stratified according to blood group. As a control, blood groups of 3,730,027 anonymized individuals representing almost Kuwait's entire population were obtained from a national database. RESULTS: Of 3305 SARS-CoV-2-positive patients, 37.1%, 25.5%, 28.9%, and 8.5% were groups O, A, B, and AB, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed no significant differences in severe clinical outcomes or death among the blood groups. However, multivariable analysis demonstrated that group A individuals had higher odds of developing pneumonia compared with non-group A (adjusted odds ratio 1.32, 95% confidence interval 1.02-1.72, p < .036). Compared with the general population, the COVID-19 cohort had a lower frequency of group O, equivalent frequency of A, and higher frequency of B and AB. No significant difference in the RhD group was found. CONCLUSION: This study supports potential involvement of the ABO blood group system in predisposing to infection with SARS-CoV-2 in an unselected population. Examination of the mechanistic link between blood group and COVID-19 and its implications on controlling the current pandemic is warranted.

Probabilities of ICU admission and hospital discharge according to patient characteristics in the designated COVID-19 hospital of Kuwait.

BACKGROUND: Subsequent epidemic waves have already emerged in many countries and in the absence of highly effective preventive and curative options, the role of patient characteristics on the development of outcomes needs to be thoroughly examined, especially in middle-east countries where such epidemiological studies are lacking. There is a huge pressure on the hospital services and in particular, on the Intensive Care Units (ICU). Describing the need for critical care as well as the chance of being discharged from hospital according to patient characteristics, is essential for a more efficient hospital management. The objective of this study is to describe the probabilities of admission to the ICU and the probabilities of hospital discharge among positive COVID-19 patients according to demographics and comorbidities recorded at hospital admission. METHODS: A prospective cohort study of all patients with COVID-19 found in the Electronic Medical Records of Jaber Al-Ahmad Al-Sabah Hospital in Kuwait was conducted. The study included 3995 individuals (symptomatic and asymptomatic) of all ages who tested positive from February 24th to May 27th, 2020, out of which 315 were treated in the ICU and 3619 were discharged including those who were transferred to a different healthcare unit without having previously entered the ICU. A competing risk analysis considering two events, namely, ICU admission and hospital discharge using flexible hazard models was performed to describe the association between event-specific probabilities and patient characteristics. RESULTS: Results showed that being male, increasing age and comorbidities such as chronic kidney disease (CKD), asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and weakened immune system increased the risk of ICU admission within 10 days of entering the hospital. CKD and weakened immune system decreased the probabilities of discharge in both females and males however, the age-related pattern differed by gender. Diabetes, which was the most prevalent comorbid condition, had only a moderate impact on both probabilities (18% overall) in contrast to CKD which had the largest effect, but presented only in 7% of those admitted to ICU and in 1% of those who got discharged. For instance, within 5 days a 50-year-old male had 19% (95% C.I.: [15,23]) probability of entering the ICU if he had none of these comorbidities, yet this risk jumped to 31% (95% C.I.: [20,46]) if he had also CKD, and to 27% in the presence of asthma/COPD (95% C.I.: [19,36]) or of weakened immune system (95% C.I.: [16,42]). CONCLUSIONS: This study provides useful insight in describing the probabilities of ICU admission and hospital discharge according to age, gender, and comorbidities among confirmed COVID-19 cases in Kuwait. A web-tool is also provided to allow the user to estimate these probabilities for any combination of these covariates. These probabilities enable deeper understanding of the hospital demand according to patient characteristics which is essential to hospital management and useful for developing a vaccination strategy.

A biomarker based severity progression indicator for COVID-19: the Kuwait prognosis indicator score.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 is a worldwide pandemic that is mild in most patients but can result in a pneumonia like illness with progression to acute respiratory distress syndrome and death. Predicting the disease severity at time of diagnosis can be helpful in prioritizing hospital admission and resources. METHODS: We prospectively recruited 1096 consecutive patients of whom 643 met the inclusion criterion with COVID-19 from Jaber Hospital, a COVID-19 facility in Kuwait, between 24 February and 20 April 2020. The primary endpoint of interest was disease severity defined algorithmically. Predefined risk variables were collected at the time of PCR based diagnosis of the infection. Prognostic model development used 5-fold cross-validated regularized logit regression. The model was externally validated against data from Wuhan, China. RESULTS: There were 643 patients with clinical course data of whom 94 developed severe COVID-19. In the final model, age, CRP, procalcitonin, lymphocyte percentage, monocyte percentages and serum albumin were independent predictors of a more severe illness course. The final prognostic model demonstrated good discrimination, and both discrimination and calibration were confirmed with an external dataset. CONCLUSION: We developed and validated a simple score calculated at time of diagnosis that can predict patients with severe COVID-19 disease reliably and that has been validated externally. The KPI score calculator is now available online at covidkscore.com.

COVID-19 clinical outcomes and nationality: results from a Nationwide registry in Kuwait.

BACKGROUND: In light of the COVID-19 pandemic, many have flagged racial and ethnic differences in health outcomes in western countries as an urgent global public health priority. Kuwait has a unique demographic profile with two-thirds of the population consisting of non-nationals, most of which are migrant workers. We aimed to explore whether there is a significant difference in health outcomes between non-Kuwaiti and Kuwaiti patients diagnosed with COVID-19. METHODS: We used a prospective COVID-19 registry of all patients (symptomatic and asymptomatic) in Kuwait who tested positive from February 24th to April 20th, 2020, collected from Jaber Al-Ahmad Al-Sabah Hospital, the officially-designated COVID-19 healthcare facility in the country. We ran separate logistic regression models comparing non-Kuwaitis to Kuwaitis for death, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and pneumonia. RESULTS: The first 1123 COVID-19 positive patients in Kuwait were all recruited in the study. About 26% were Kuwaitis and 73% were non-Kuwaiti. With adjustments made to age, gender, smoking and selected co-morbidities, non-Kuwaitis had two-fold increase in the odds of death or being admitted to the intensive care unit compared to Kuwaitis (OR: 2.14, 95% CI 1.12-4.32). Non-Kuwaitis had also higher odds of ARDS (OR:2.44, 95% CI 1.23-5.09) and pneumonia (OR: 2.24, 95% CI 1.27-4.12). CONCLUSION: This is the first study to report on COVID-19 outcomes between Kuwaiti and non-Kuwaiti patients. The current pandemic may have amplified the differences of health outcomes among marginalized subpopulations. A number of socioeconomic and environmental factors could explain this health disparity. More research is needed to advance the understanding of policymakers in Kuwait in order to make urgent public health interventions.

Perceptions, Knowledge, and Behaviors Related to COVID-19 Among Social Media Users: Cross-Sectional Study.

BACKGROUND: Social media is one of the most rapid and impactful ways of obtaining and delivering information in the modern era. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to rapidly obtain information on public perceptions, knowledge, and behaviors related to COVID-19 in order to identify deficiencies in key areas of public education. METHODS: Using a cross-sectional study design, a survey web link was posted on the social media and messaging platforms Instagram, Twitter, and WhatsApp by the study investigators. Participants, aged ≥18 years, filled out the survey on a voluntary basis. The main outcomes measured were knowledge of COVID-19 symptoms, protective measures against COVID-19, and source(s) of information about COVID-19. Subgroup analyses were conducted to determine the effects of age, gender, underlying illness, and working or studying in the health care industry on the perceived likelihood of acquiring COVID-19 and getting vaccinated. RESULTS: A total of 5677 subjects completed the survey over the course of 1 week. "Fever or chills" (n=4973, 87.6%) and "shortness of breath" (n=4695, 82.7%) were identified as the main symptoms of COVID-19. Washing and sanitizing hands (n=4990, 87.9%) and avoiding public places and crowds (n=4865, 85.7%) were identified as the protective measures most frequently used against COVID-19. Social media was the most utilized source for information on the disease (n=4740, 83.5%), followed by the World Health Organization (n=2844, 50.1%). Subgroup analysis revealed that younger subjects (<35 years), males, and those working or studying in health care reported a higher perceived likelihood of acquiring COVID-19, whereas older subjects, females, and those working or studying in non-health care areas reported a lower perceived likelihood of acquiring COVID-19. Similar trends were observed for vaccination against COVID-19, with older subjects, females, and those working or studying in non-health care sectors reporting a lower likelihood of vaccinating against COVID-19. CONCLUSIONS: Our results are indicative of a relatively well-informed cohort implementing appropriate protective measures. However, key knowledge deficiencies exist with regards to vaccination against COVID-19, which future efforts should aim at correcting.

Laparoscopy in Acute Care Surgery: Repair of Perforated Duodenal Ulcer.

INTRODUCTION: The use of laparoscopic management as a first choice for the treatment of duodenal perforation is gaining ground but is not routine in many centers. In this report, we aim to report our experience with laparoscopy as the first approach for the repair of duodenal perforation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a retrospective review of patients during our initial experience with the use of laparoscopy for the treatment of duodenal perforation between 2009 and 2013. RESULTS: A total of 100 patients underwent management of duodenal perforation. Laparoscopy was attempted initially in 76 patients (76%) and completed in 64 patients (64%). The length of hospital stay was shorter in the laparoscopic group (mean 2.6) than in the open group (mean 3.1) (p = 0.008). Complications developed in 14 patients (20%). There was a tendency towards fewer admissions to intensive care, less acute kidney injuries, and less acute respiratory distress syndrome in the laparoscopic group. In patients who underwent laparoscopic surgery, the chances of uneventful recovery were 4.3 times higher than in those patients who underwent open surgery (95% CI 1.3-13.5, p = 0.014). CONCLUSIONS: Laparoscopy in the treatment of perforated duodenal ulcer is safe and can be utilized as a routine approach for the treatment of this pathology.

The McGill Brisbane Symptom Score in relation to survival in pancreatic adenocarcinoma: a validation study.

PURPOSE: The McGill Brisbane Symptom Score (MBSS) is a clinical score for pancreatic cancer patients upon initial presentation that takes into account four variables (weight loss, abdominal pain, jaundice, and history of smoking) to stratify them into two MBSS intensity categories. Several studies have suggested that these categories are strongly associated with eventual survival in patients with resectable (rPCa) and unresectable (uPCa) pancreatic cancer. This study aimed to validate the MBSS in a cohort of patients with pancreatic cancer from a single institution. METHODS: Survival time by resection status and MBSS intensity category were analyzed among 633 patients from our institution between 2001 and 2010. Hazard ratios for death using Cox proportional hazards models, with age as the timescale, adjustment for sex and year of diagnosis, and stratified by adjuvant chemotherapy status were estimated. RESULTS: Median survival time was the longest in patients with low-intensity MBSS and rPCa (817 days), whereas the shortest survival time was found among patients with uPCa regardless of MBSS status (144-147 days). After consideration of age and chemotherapy status, high-intensity MBSS was associated with poorer survival for both rPCa (HR 1.64; 95 % CI 1.07-2.52) and uPCa (HR 1.35; 95 % CI 1.06-1.72). CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative MBSS intensity is a useful prognostic indicator of survival in resectable as well as unresectable pancreatic cancer.

Thromboembolic events in bariatric surgery: a large multi-institutional referral center experience.

INTRODUCTION: The risk of venous thromboembolic (VTE) events is increased in patients undergoing bariatric surgery. Population studies examining VTE rates after bariatric surgery often lack details and uniformity regarding the prophylactic regimens used. The aim of this study was to determine the incidence of VTE in patients undergoing laparoscopic bariatric surgery. METHODS: Database searches from Cleveland Clinic bariatric surgery programs in Cleveland, OH, and Weston, FL, were conducted from January 2005 to January 2013. Mechanical and chemical prophylaxes were provided for all patients as per protocol. Data on age, gender, body mass index (BMI), interval between procedure and VTE, inpatient versus outpatient status, anticoagulation prophylaxis, type of surgery and mortality were collected. RESULTS: A total of 4,293 patients underwent primary or revisional bariatric surgery during this 8-year time period. VTE events were identified in 57 patients (1.3 %). Pulmonary embolism (PE) was identified in 39 patients (0.9 %), and 15 of these patients had negative duplex studies of the lower extremities. Deep venous thrombosis only was identified in 18 patients (0.4 %). VTE rates for gastric bypass (n = 2,945), sleeve gastrectomy (n = 709), gastric banding (n = 467) and revisional procedures (n = 171) were 1.1, 2.9, 0.2 and 6.4 %, respectively. Eight patients had VTE diagnosed during their inpatient stay. The mean time to VTE diagnosis after surgery was 24 days. Seventeen patients who developed VTE had been prescribed extended prophylaxis for 2-4 weeks after discharge. There was only one VTE-related mortality from PE reported in this cohort (0.02 %). Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed age, BMI, open and revisional surgery as predictive of VTE (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: The risk of VTE among morbidly obese patients undergoing bariatric surgery is persistent despite use of laparoscopy and aggressive prophylactic anticoagulation policy. Patients with advanced age, higher BMI and those undergoing open or revisional surgery are at higher risk of postoperative VTE.

Effects of the reduction of surgical residents' work hours and implications for surgical residency programs: a narrative review.

BACKGROUND: The widespread implementation of resident work hour restrictions has led to significant alterations in surgical training and the postgraduate educational experience. We evaluated the experience of surgical residency programs as reflected in the literature from 2008 onward in order to summarize current challenges and identify key areas in need of further research. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE and EMBASE for English-language articles published from January 2008 to December 2011 related to work hour restrictions in surgical residency programs, including those pertaining to personal well-being, education and training, patient care, and faculty experiences. RESULTS: We retrieved 240 unique abstracts and included 24 studies in the current review. Of the 10 studies examining effects on operating room experience, 4 reported negative or mixed outcomes and 6 reported neutral outcomes, although non-compliance was demonstrated in 2 of these studies. Effects on surgical faculty perceptions were consistently reported as negative, while the effect on patient outcomes and professionalism were found to be neutral and unchanged. CONCLUSIONS: Further studies are needed to characterize operative experience at varying levels of training, particularly in the context of strict adherence to new work hours. Research that examines the effect of the work hour limitations on professionalism and non-operative educational activities, such as reading and simulation-based training, as well as sign-over practices, would also be of benefit.

Pancreatic cancer and predictors of survival: comparing the CA 19-9/bilirubin ratio with the McGill Brisbane Symptom Score.

INTRODUCTION: Few tools predict survival from pancreatic cancer (PAC). The McGill Brisbane Symptom Score (MBSS) based on symptoms at presentation (weight loss, pain, jaundice and smoking) was recently validated. The present study compares the ability of four strategies to predict 9-month survival: MBSS, carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) alone, CA19-9-to-bilirubin ratio and a combination of MBSS and the CA19-9-to-bilirubin ratio. METHODOLOGY: A retrospective review of 133 patients diagnosed with PAC between 2005 and 2011 was performed. Survival was determined from the Quebec civil registry. Blood CA 19-9 and bilirubin values were collected (n = 52) at the time of diagnosis. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to determine a cutoff for optimal test characteristics of CA 19-9 and CA19-9-to-total bilirubin ratio in predicting survival at 9 months. Predictive characteristics were then calculated for the four strategies. RESULTS: Of the four strategies, the one with the greatest negative predictive value was the MBSS: negative predictive value (NPV) was 90.2% (76.9-97.3%) and the positive likelihood ratio (LR) was the greatest. The ability of CA 19-9 levels alone, at baseline, to predict survival was low. For the CA19-9-to-bilirubin ratio, the test characteristics improved but remained non-significant. The best performing strategy according to likelihood ratios was the combined MBSS and CA19-9 to the bilirubin ratio. CONCLUSION: CA19-9 levels and the CA19-9-to-bilirubin ratio are poor predictors of survival for PAC, whereas the MBSS is a far better predictor, confirming its clinical value. By adding the CA19-9-to-bilirubin ratio to the MBSS the predictive characteristics improved.

Staged hepatectomy for bilobar colorectal hepatic metastases.

OBJECTIVES: This study describes the management of patients with bilobar colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). METHODS: A retrospective collection of data on all patients with CRLM who were considered for staged resection (n= 85) from January 2003 to January 2011 was performed. Patients who underwent one hepatic resection were considered to have had a failed staged resection (FSR), whereas those who underwent a second or third hepatic resection to produce a cure were considered to have had a successful staged resection (SSR). Survival was calculated from the date of diagnosis of liver metastases. Complete follow-up and dates of death were obtained from the Government of Quebec population database. RESULTS: Median survival was 46 months (range: 30-62 months) in the SSR group and 22 months (range: 19-29 months) in the FSR group. Rates of 5-year survival were 42% and 4% in the SSR and FSR groups, respectively. Fifteen of the 19 patients who remained alive at the last follow-up date belonged to the SSR group. CONCLUSIONS: In patients in whom staged resection for bilobar CRLM is feasible, surgery would appear to offer benefit.

Changes in the expression of meteorin-like (METRNL), irisin (FNDC5), and uncoupling proteins (UCPs) after bariatric surgery.

OBJECTIVE: Bariatric surgery is currently the most effective treatment for severe obesity. This study aims to investigate the changes in expression levels of meteorin-like protein (METRNL), irisin (FNDC5), and uncoupling proteins (UCP) 1/2/3 following bariatric surgery to understand their involvement in enhancing metabolism after surgery. METHOD: A total of 40 participants were enrolled in this interventional study, 20 with obesity BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2 and 20 with BMI ≤ 25 kg/m2 . Bariatric surgery (laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy and Roux-en-Y gastric bypass) was performed. The levels of various molecules of interest were analyzed before and after surgery. RESULTS: Gene expression analysis revealed significantly higher levels of METRNL, UCP1, and UCP3 in individuals with obesity when compared with healthy individuals before surgery (p < 0.05). Gene expression levels of METRNL and UCP2 showed a significant increase after bariatric surgery (p < 0.05). METRNL plasma level was significantly higher in individuals with obesity before surgery (mean [SEM], 55,222.6 [1,421.1] pg/mL, p = 0.0319), as well as at 6 and 12 months (57,537.3 [1,303.9] pg/mL, p = 0.0005; 59,334.9 [1,214.3] pg/mL, p < 0.0001) after surgery. CONCLUSION: The changes in the levels of various molecules of interest support their possible involvement in the inflammatory and thermogenic responses following bariatric surgery.

Impact of the sentinel node frozen section result on the probability of additional nodal metastases as predicted by the MSKCC nomogram in breast cancer.

OBJECTIVE: Sentinel lymph node frozen section is used to obviate the need for a second operation in breast cancer patients with involved nodes. However, the overall sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of sentinel lymph node frozen section are debated, and the impact of sentinel lymph node frozen section positivity on the risk of additional nodal metastases is not known and was the focus of this investigation. METHODS: We used our hospital record system to identify 176 sentinel lymph node biopsies done out of 354 cases of Stage T1-3N0 breast cancers managed from 2005 to 2007 and evaluated the sentinel lymph node frozen section results against the predictions of additional nodal metastases based on the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Breast Cancer Nomogram which is a validated tool for this purpose. RESULTS: Sentinel lymph node metastases size was an independent predictor of sentinel lymph node frozen section sensitivity and those with macrometastases had 15 times the odds (odds ratio, 15.4; 95% confidence interval, 3.4-69.1) of having a true-positive frozen section when compared with those with micrometastases. The breast cancer nomogram predicted that the latter patients have a very low probability of additional nodal metastases with a median probability at 10% (inter-quartile range, 7-14%). CONCLUSIONS: A negative sentinel lymph node frozen section is also associated with a low probability of additional nodal metastases. Additional prognostic factors in the breast cancer nomogram are of little clinical impact because the most predictive factor in the nomogram is the method of detection.

Mouse Embryonic Fibroblast Adipogenic Potential: A Comprehensive Transcriptome Analysis.

Our understanding of adipose tissue has progressed from an inert tissue for energy storage to be one of the largest endocrine organs regulating metabolic homoeostasis through its ability to synthesize and release various adipokines that regulate a myriad of pathways. The field of adipose tissue biology is growing due to this association with various chronic metabolic diseases. An important process in the regulation of adipose tissue biology is adipogenesis, which is the formation of new adipocytes. Investigating adipogenesis in vitro is currently a focus for identifying factors that might be utilized in clinically. A powerful tool for such work is high-throughput sequencing which can rapidly identify changes at gene expression level. Various cell models exist for studying adipogenesis and has been used in high-throughput studies, yet little is known about transcriptome profile that underlies adipogenesis in mouse embryonic fibroblasts. This study utilizes RNA-sequencing and computational analysis with DESeq2, gene ontology, protein-protein networks, and robust rank analysis to understand adipogenesis in mouse embryonic fibroblasts in-depth. Our analyses confirmed the requirement of mitotic clonal expansion prior to adipogenesis in this cell model and highlight the role of Cebpa and Cebpb in regulating adipogenesis through interactions of large numbers of genes.

A Study Examining the Orbera365 Intragastric Balloon Safety and Effects on Weight Loss.

INTRODUCTION: The Orbera365 is a new balloon that can stay in the stomach for up to 12 months. The aim of this study is to investigate the safety and effect of Orbera365. METHOD: Prospective study on our initial experience with a consecutive group of patients who underwent the insertion of Orbera365 in the period between September 2019 and August 2020. The patients were followed up to assess, pain, nausea, and vomiting after procedure, weight loss, and the complication rate. RESULTS: A total of 97 patients underwent Orbera365 placement. Mean weight and BMI before the procedure were 93.8 ± 15.2 kg and 35.2 ± 4.4 kg/m2, respectively, which dropped to 80.6 ± 13.1 kg and 29.8 ± 4.0 kg/m2 by 8.2 months and were 82.4 ± 16.1 and 30.4 ± 4.6 at the last day of follow-up of 12.9 months. Fourteen patients did not tolerate the balloon, and had to have it removed, six of them in the first week, and eight within the first 8 months of insertion. Other than intolerance, two patients had balloon rupture, three patients had leakage at time of insertion requiring balloon replacement, two patient had pancreatitis, one patient had spontaneous balloon hyperinflation, and one patient had balloon deflation and vomited the balloon. At day of last follow-up, total body weight loss % (TBWL%) was 16.2 ± 10.1 and %EWL was 54.6 ± 38.3. CONCLUSION: Orbera365 is safe and effective for weight loss.

Prevalence and risk factors of barotrauma in Covid-19 patients admitted to an intensive care unit in Kuwait; a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The development of barotrauma has been suggested to complicate the management of mechanically ventilated COVID-19 patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). This study aims to identify potential risk factors associated with the development of barotrauma related complications in COVID-19 patients receiving mechanical ventilation. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was carried out in a single COVID-19 designated center in Kuwait. Three hundred and forty-three confirmed COVID-19 patients transferred and/or admitted to our institution between February 26, 2020 and June 20, 2020 were included in the study. All patients were admitted into the ICU with the majority being mechanically ventilated (81.3%). RESULTS: Fifty-four (15.4%) patients developed barotrauma, of which 49 (90.7%) presented with pneumothorax, and 14.8% and 3.7% due to pneumomediastinum and pneumopericardium respectively. Of those that developed barotrauma, 52 (96.3%) patients were in acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Biochemically, the white blood cells (p = 0.001), neutrophil percentage (p = 0.012), lymphocyte percentage (p = 0.014), neutrophil: lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (p=<0.001) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (p = 0.002) were found to be significantly different in patients that developed barotrauma. Intubation due to low level of consciousness (p = 0.007), a high admission COVID-GRAM score (p = 0.042), and a positive-end expiratory pressure (PEEP) higher than the control group (p = 0.016) were identified as potential risk factors for the development of barotrauma. CONCLUSION: Patients infected with COVID-19 have a significant risk of developing barotrauma when receiving invasive mechanical ventilation. This poses a substantial impact on the hospital course of the patients and clinical outcome, correlating to a higher mortality rate in this cohort of patients.

The Impact of Strict Public Health Measures on COVID-19 Transmission in Developing Countries: The Case of Kuwait.

Background: Many countries have succeeded in curbing the initial outbreak of COVID-19 by imposing strict public health control measures. However, little is known about the effectiveness of such control measures in curbing the outbreak in developing countries. In this study, we seek to assess the impact of various outbreak control measures in Kuwait to gain more insight into the outbreak progression and the associated healthcare burden. Methods: We use a SEIR mathematical model to simulate the first wave of the epidemic outbreak of COVID-19 in Kuwait with additional testing and hospitalization compartments. We calibrate our model by using a NBD observational framework for confirmed case and death counts. We simulate trajectories of model forecasts and assess the effectiveness of public health interventions by using maximum likelihood to estimate both the basic and effective reproduction numbers. Results: Our results indicate that the early strict control measures had the effect of delaying the intensity of the outbreak but were unsuccessful in reducing the effective reproduction number below 1. Forecasted model trajectories suggest a need to expand the healthcare system capacity to cope with the associated epidemic burden of such ineffectiveness. Conclusion: Strict public health interventions may not always lead to the same desired outcomes, particularly when population and demographic factors are not accounted for as in the case in some developing countries. Real-time dynamic modeling can provide an early assessment of the impact of such control measures as well as a forecasting tool to support outbreak surveillance and the associated healthcare expansion planning.

Prevalence, predictors and outcomes of bleeding events in patients with COVID-19 infection on anticoagulation: Retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: This study aims to examine risk factors and complications associated with bleeding events in patients with COVID-19 who are on anticoagulation. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We conducted retrospective review of all patients who were admitted with COVID-19 and developed bleeding events between March and June 2020. Data were analyzed in accordance with three major outcomes. Mortality within 30 days of bleeding episode, resolution of the bleeding event, and the type of bleeding event. RESULTS: Of 122 bleeds, there was 55 (28 %) gastrointestinal (GI) bleeds. Overall mortality was 59 % (n = 72). The prevalence of therapeutic invasive interventions was 11.5 % (n = 14) all were successful in resolving the bleeding event. We found that having a GI bleeds was associated with higher risk of mortality compared to non-GI bleeds (p = 0.04) and having occult bleeds to be associated with 15 times increased risk of mortality (OR 15, 95%CI 1.97-29.1, p = 0.01). Furthermore, patients who were on no anticoagulation (none) (OR 0.1, 95%CI 0.01-0.86, p < 0.00), on prophylactic dose anticoagulation (OR 0.07, 95%CI 0.02-0.28, p = 0.03) or intermediate dose anticoagulation (OR 0.36, 95%CI 0.09-1.34, p = 0.13) were less likely to die than patients on therapeutic dose. CONCLUSIONS: The best approach to manage COVID-19 bleeding patients is to prioritize therapies that manage sepsis induce coagulopathy and shock over other approaches. In COVID-19 patients' routine prescription of supra-prophylactic dose anticoagulation should be revisited and more individualized approach to prescription should be the norm. Regardless of the cause of bleeding event it appears that the majority of bleeding events resolve with noninvasive interventions and when invasive interventions were necessary, they were associated with high success rate despite the delay.