Arthritis in patients with very early systemic sclerosis: a comprehensive clinical and prognostic analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Arthritis is associated with a worse prognosis in established systemic sclerosis (SSc). However, knowledge about its relevance in very early SSc (veSSc) is scarce. We aimed to assess the prevalence and phenotype of arthritis, as well as its prognostic impact, in patients with veSSc. METHODS: We analysed patients with veSSc, defined as presence of Raynaud's phenomenon and/or at least one of: puffy fingers, antinuclear antibodies (ANA), abnormal capillaroscopy, not fulfilling the ACR/EULAR classification criteria for SSc at baseline. We investigated associations between arthritis and clinical parameters, followed by a longitudinal analysis to investigate arthritis as a potential predictor of progression towards established SSc. RESULTS: We included 159 patients, of whom 108 had at least one follow-up visit. SSc-related arthritis occurred in 22/159 (13.8%) patients at baseline. Arthritis was mostly seronegative, symmetrical, oligo- or polyarticular, non-erosive, and rarely associated with elevation of inflammatory markers. More than half of the patients needed treatment with DMARDs. Anti-centromere antibodies were negatively associated with arthritis (OR: 0.707, 95% confidence interval 0.513-0.973, p = 0.033). Overall, 43/108 (39.8%) patients with follow-up progressed to established SSc during the observation time. Arthritis was not a significant predictor for progression to established SSc in a multivariable Cox regression. CONCLUSION: In this first comprehensive analysis, we found a similar prevalence of arthritis in veSSc as seen in established SSc. Moreover, the use of DMARDs indirectly suggests a relevant disease burden.

Treatment strategies and survival of patients with connective tissue disease and pulmonary arterial hypertension: a COMPERA analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) occurs in various connective tissue diseases (CTDs). We sought to assess contemporary treatment patterns and survival of patients with various forms of CTD-PAH. METHODS: We analysed data from COMPERA, a European pulmonary hypertension registry, to describe treatment strategies and survival in patients with newly diagnosed PAH associated with SSc, SLE, MCTD, UCTD and other types of CTD. All-cause mortality was analysed according to the underlying CTD. For patients with SSc-PAH, we also assessed survival according to initial therapy with endothelin receptor antagonists (ERAs), phosphodiesterase type 5 inhibitors (PDE5is) or a combination of these two drug classes. RESULTS: This analysis included 607 patients with CTD-PAH. Survival estimates at 1, 3 and 5 years for SSc-PAH (n = 390) were 85%, 59% and 42%; for SLE-PAH (n = 34) they were 97%, 77% and 61%; for MCTD-PAH (n = 33) they were 97%, 70% and 59%; for UCTD-PAH (n = 60) they were 88%, 67% and 52%; and for other CTD-PAH (n = 90) they were 92%, 69% and 55%, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, the survival of patients with SSc-PAH was significantly worse compared with the other conditions (P = 0.001). In these patients, the survival estimates were significantly better with initial ERA-PDE5i combination therapy than with initial ERA or PDE5i monotherapy (P = 0.016 and P = 0.012, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Mortality remains high in patients with CTD-PAH, especially for patients with SSc-PAH. However, for patients with SSc-PAH, our results suggest that long-term survival may be improved with initial ERA-PDE5i combination therapy compared with initial monotherapy.

Histogram-Based Densitometry Index to Assess the Severity of Interstitial Lung Disease in Systemic Sclerosis in Standard and Low-Dose Computed Tomography.

OBJECTIVE: Mean lung attenuation, skewness, and kurtosis are histogram-based densitometry variables that quantify systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) and were recently merged into a computerized integrated index (CII). Our work tested the CII in low-dose 9-slice (reduced) and standard high-resolution computed tomography (CT) scans to evaluate extensive SSc-ILD and predict mortality. METHODS: CT scans from patients with SSc-ILD were assessed using the software Horos to compute standard and reduced CIIs. Extensive ILD was determined following the Goh staging system. The association between CIIs and extensive ILD was analyzed with a generalized estimating equation regression model, the predictive ability of CIIs by the area under the receiver-operation characteristic curve (AUC), and the association between CIIs and death by Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS: Among 243 patients with standard and reduced CT scans available, 157 CT scans from 119 patients with SSc-ILD constituted the derivation cohort. The validation cohort included 116 standard and 175 reduced CT scans. Both CIIs from standard (odds ratio [OR] 0.53, 95% CI 0.37-0.75; AUC 0.77, 95% CI 0.68-0.87) and reduced CT scans (OR 0.54, 95% CI 0.35-0.82; AUC 0.78, 95% CI 0.70-0.87) were significantly associated with extensive ILD. A threshold of CII ≤ -0.96 for standard CT scans and CII ≤ -1.85 for reduced CT scans detected extensive ILD with high sensitivity in both derivation and validation cohorts. Extensive ILD according to Goh staging (OR 2.94, 95% CI 1.10-7.82) and standard CII ≤ -0.96 (OR 1.78, 95% CI 1.24-2.56) significantly predicted mortality; a marginal P value was observed for reduced CII ≤ -1.85 (OR 1.27, 95% CI 0.93-1.75). CONCLUSION: Thresholds for both standard and reduced CII to identify extensive ILD were developed and validated, with an additional association with mortality. CIIs might help in clinical practice when radiology expertise is missing.

Nailfold capillaroscopy in SSc: innocent bystander or promising biomarker for novel severe organ involvement/progression?

OBJECTIVES: Nailfold videocapillaroscopy (NVC) plays a well-established role in differentiating primary from secondary RP due to SSc. However, the association of NVC with novel severe organ involvement/progression in SSc has never been evaluated in a multicentre, multinational study, which we now perform for the first time. METHODS: Follow-up data from 334 SSc patients [265 women; 18 limited SSc (lSSc)/203 lcSSc/113 dcSSc] registered between November 2008 and January 2016 by seven tertiary centres in the EUSTAR-database, were analysed. Novel severe organ involvement/progression was defined as new/progressive involvement of the peripheral vasculature, lungs, heart, skin, gastrointestinal tract, kidneys, musculoskeletal system, or death, at the 12- or 24-month follow-up. NVC images at enrolment were quantitatively and qualitatively evaluated according to the standardized definitions of the EULAR Study Group on Microcirculation in Rheumatic Diseases. Uni- and multivariable logistic regression modelling (ULR, MLR) was performed. RESULTS: Of the 334 included SSc patients, 257 (76.9%) developed novel overall severe organ involvement/progression. Following MLR, normal capillary density was associated with less-frequent novel overall severe organ involvement/progression [odds ratio (OR) = 0.77, P < 0.001] and novel peripheral vascular involvement (OR = 0.79, P = 0.043); microhaemorrhages were associated with less novel pulmonary hypertension (OR = 0.47, P = 0.029); and a 'severe' (active/late) NVC pattern was associated with novel overall severe organ involvement/progression (OR = 2.14, P = 0.002) and skin progression (OR = 1.70, P = 0.049). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that NVC may be a promising biomarker in SSc, certainly warranting further investigation. Despite the participation of tertiary centres, which follow their patients in a standardized way, we were underpowered to detect associations with infrequent severe organ involvement/progression.

Diagnostic measures for patients with systemic sclerosis-associated myopathy.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the clinico-serological profile and to assess diagnostic parameters of myopathy in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc)-associated myopathy. METHODS: We explored the profiles of SSc-myopathy patients and matched non-myopathy SSc patients as well as different diagnostic measures for muscle affection. Additionally, the muscle performance of SSc-myopathy patients, assessed by the Manual Muscle Test for 8 muscle groups (MMT-8) and the Functional Index-2 (FI-2), was compared with that of patients with primary myositis. RESULTS: In SSc-myopathy patients, the following features occurred significantly more often even after Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons: immunosuppressive treatment (56.0% vs. 24.1%; p=0.0003), elevated levels of creatine kinase (CK) (48.3% vs. 5.3%, p<0.0001), anti-PM-Scl antibodies (30.4% vs. 4%, p=0.00048), and absence of RNA Polymerase III antibodies (7.3% vs. 28.3%, p<0.0001). The MMT-8 showed a mild muscle weakness in SSc-myopathy as well as in primary myositis patients with similar age and sex. Muscle endurance tested by the FI-2 was generally compromised in both cohorts, yet the distribution pattern of affected muscle groups differed between the two cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: We confirmed previously described clinic-serological characteristics of SSc-myopathy patients. Our study suggests that autoantibody profile and CK levels may be helpful in establishing the diagnosis of SSc-myopathy. Whole-body MRI might be more accurate to capture the disease extent than MRI of selected muscle groups. Functional muscle tests validated for primary myositis did not perform well for the assessment of muscle function in patients with SSc-myopathy. Both, potential confounders such as skin, joint, and cardiovascular involvement as well as lack of sensitivity might have negatively affected the test performance in this population.

The Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale in patients with systemic sclerosis: a psychometric and factor analysis in a monocentric cohort.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the feasibility, validity, reliability, and responsiveness of the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) and to analyse its model structure in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). METHODS: In this study, 316 SSc patients were included; of these, 159 participated in the responsiveness analysis. Psychometric properties were tested in analogy to the Outcome Measures in Rheumatology (OMERACT) filter and an exploratory and confirmatory factor analysis was performed to examine the structure of HADS. RESULTS: The HADS showed adequate feasibility, validity, reliability, and responsiveness to clinically relevant worsening of the disease. For our population of SSc patients, the HADS model with two sub-scales, HADS-A and HADS-D, and a general scale HADS-S, measuring anxiety, depression, and distress, respectively, was most appropriate. The rates of anxiety, depression, mixed anxiety-depressive disorder (MADD) and distress identified by HADS were 32.2%, 25.9%, 18.5%, and 49.5%, respectively, in our cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The psychometric properties of the HADS make it useful for screening in SSc, where anxiety, depression, MADD, and distress represent a significant burden to patients.

Haemodynamic phenotypes and survival in patients with systemic sclerosis: the impact of the new definition of pulmonary arterial hypertension.

BACKGROUND: In this study, we investigated the impact of the new haemodynamic definition of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) as proposed by the 6th PH World Symposium on phenotypes and survival in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). METHODS: In SSc patients who were prospectively and consecutively screened for PAH including right heart catheterisation in Heidelberg or Zurich, haemodynamic and clinical variables have been reassessed according to the new PAH definition. Patients have been followed for 3.7±3.7 (median 3.4) years; Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed. Patients with significant lung or left heart disease were excluded from comparative analyses. RESULTS: The final dataset included 284 SSc patients, 146 patients (49.2%) had mean pulmonary arterial pressure (mPAP) ≤20 mm Hg, 19.3% had mPAP 21-24 mm Hg and 29.4% had mPAP ≥25 mm Hg. In the group of mildly elevated mPAP, only four patients (1.4% of the whole SSc cohort) had pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR) values ≥3 Wood Units (WU) and could be reclassified as manifest SSc-APAH. Twenty-eight (9.8%) patients with mPAP of 21-24 mm Hg and PVR ≥2 WU already presented with early pulmonary vascular disease with decreased 6 min walking distance (6MWD) (p<0.001), TAPSE (p=0.004) and pulmonary arterial compliance (p<0.001). A PVR ≥2 WU was associated with reduced long-term survival (p=0.002). PVR and 6MWD were independent prognostic predictors in multivariate analysis. CONCLUSION: The data of this study show that a PVR threshold ≥3 WU is too high to enable an early diagnosis of PAH. A PVR threshold ≥2 WU was already associated with pulmonary vascular disease, significantly reduced survival and would be more appropriate in SSc patients with mild PAH.

Incidence and risk factors for gangrene in patients with systemic sclerosis from the EUSTAR cohort.

OBJECTIVE: In patients with SSc, peripheral vasculopathy can promote critical ischaemia and gangrene. The aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence, incidence and risk factors for gangrene in the EUSTAR cohort. METHODS: We included patients from the EUSTAR database fulfilling the ACR 1980 or the ACR/EULAR 2013 classification criteria for SSc, with at least one visit recording data on gangrene. Centres were asked for supplementary data on traditional cardiovascular risk factors. We analysed the cross-sectional relationship between gangrene and its potential risk factors by univariable and multivariable logistic regression. Longitudinal data were analysed by Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: 1757 patients were analysed (age 55.9 [14.5] years, disease duration 7.9 [10.3] years, male sex 16.7%, 24.6% diffuse cutaneous subset [dcSSc]). At inclusion, 8.9% of patients had current or previous digital gangrene, 16.1% had current digital ulcers (DUs) and 42.7% had ever had DUs (current or previous). Older age, DUs ever and dcSSc were statistically significant risk factors for gangrene in the cross-sectional multivariable model. During a median follow-up of 13.1 months, 16/771 (0.9%) patients developed gangrene. All 16 patients who developed gangrene had previously had DUs and gangrene. Further risk factors for incident gangrene were the dcSSc subset and longer disease duration. CONCLUSION: In unselected SSc patients, gangrene occurs in about 9% of SSc patients. DUs ever and, to a lesser extent, the dcSSc subset are strongly and independently associated with gangrene, while traditional cardiovascular risk factors could not be identified as risk factors.

Impaired micronutrients and prealbumin in patients with established and very early systemic sclerosis.

OBJECTIVES: Gastrointestinal involvement and impaired nutritional status are frequent in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). Hereby, we hypothesised that micronutrients and/or prealbumin could be deficitary in SSc. METHODS: Patients with SSc and very early SSc (veSSc) were prospectively included. Clinical assessment, data recording and quality controls followed EUSTAR standards. The UCLA SCTCGIT 2.0 questionnaire was applied and the serum levels of zinc, selenium, prealbumin, holotranscobalamin, folic acid were measured. RESULTS: Half (52.4%) of the 176 patients with established SSc showed a deficiency in at least one of the measured nutrients. The most frequent deficit was seen in folic acid (17.9%), followed closely by selenium, prealbumin and zinc (around 15% each). Nearly a fifth (19%) of these patients had multiple deficiencies. Patients with more severe disease, including advanced skin fibrosis, positive ACR 1980 classification criteria, anemia and elevated serum inflammation markers were more likely to be nutrient deficient. Lower BMI<20kg/m2 was associated with several nutrient deficiencies. Prealbumin deficiency was associated with more frequent stomach symptoms and methotrexate therapy. A third of veSSc patients (27%, 44/74) presented a nutrient deficiency, mostly of zinc (10%). Surprisingly, micronutrient deficiencies were not associated with usual parameters of gastrointestinal involvement. CONCLUSIONS: These novel data reveal deficiencies in micronutrients and/or prealbumin are a frequent burden in patients with SSc. Moreover, these correlate with clinical aspects of the disease. Especially patients with advanced disease appear at high risk for an impaired nutrient status, suggesting that screening of micronutrients status should be performed in these patients.

Progressive skin fibrosis is associated with a decline in lung function and worse survival in patients with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis in the European Scleroderma Trials and Research (EUSTAR) cohort.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether progressive skin fibrosis is associated with visceral organ progression and mortality during follow-up in patients with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc). METHODS: We evaluated patients from the European Scleroderma Trials and Research database with dcSSc, baseline modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS) ≥7, valid mRSS at 12±3 months after baseline and ≥1 annual follow-up visit. Progressive skin fibrosis was defined as an increase in mRSS >5 and ≥25% from baseline to 12±3 months. Outcomes were pulmonary, cardiovascular and renal progression, and all-cause death. Associations between skin progression and outcomes were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and multivariable Cox regression. RESULTS: Of 1021 included patients, 78 (7.6%) had progressive skin fibrosis (skin progressors). Median follow-up was 3.4 years. Survival analyses indicated that skin progressors had a significantly higher probability of FVC decline ≥10% (53.6% vs 34.4%; p<0.001) and all-cause death (15.4% vs 7.3%; p=0.003) than non-progressors. These significant associations were also found in subgroup analyses of patients with either low baseline mRSS (≤22/51) or short disease duration (≤15 months). In multivariable analyses, skin progression within 1 year was independently associated with FVC decline ≥10% (HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.20 to 2.65) and all-cause death (HR 2.58, 95% CI 1.31 to 5.09). CONCLUSIONS: Progressive skin fibrosis within 1 year is associated with decline in lung function and worse survival in dcSSc during follow-up. These results confirm mRSS as a surrogate marker in dcSSc, which will be helpful for cohort enrichment in future trials and risk stratification in clinical practice.

Increased expression of the TNF superfamily member LIGHT/TNFSF14 and its receptors (HVEM and LTßR) in patients with systemic sclerosis.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to assess the potential role of the TNF superfamily member lymphocyte T-related inducible ligand that competes for glycoprotein D binding to herpesvirus entry mediator on T cells (LIGHT) in SSc through evaluation of: skin expression of LIGHT and its receptors, herpesvirus entry mediator and lymphotoxin ß-related receptor, and serum concentration of LIGHT in SSc patients. METHODS: Expression of LIGHT and its receptors was investigated by immunohistochemistry and evaluated semi-quantitatively in skin biopsies from 19 SSc patients and 9 healthy controls. Serum levels of LIGHT were measured using ELISA in 329 patients with SSc and 50 control subjects. RESULTS: Expression of LIGHT and both receptors was higher in SSc patients compared with controls (P < 0.05 for all comparisons). Patients with early SSc (⩽ 3 years from the first non-Raynaud's phenomenon symptom) showed higher expression of LIGHT and herpesvirus entry mediator compared with patients with longer disease duration (P < 0.05 for both comparisons). The mean serum concentration of LIGHT was significantly higher in SSc patients compared with the controls (P < 0.05). High serum concentration of LIGHT was associated with male sex, presence of digital ulcers, muscle involvement (defined by elevated serum creatine kinase levels), steroid treatment and lack of ACA. However, in multivariate regression analysis only presence of digital ulcers and creatine kinase elevation were independently associated with serum concentration of LIGHT. CONCLUSION: These data provide the first evidence of overexpression of LIGHT and its receptors in SSc and suggest that the LIGHT axis might contribute to the pathogenesis of SSc. Increased serum concentrations of LIGHT seem to reflect vascular injury in SSc.

European multicentre study validates enhanced liver fibrosis test as biomarker of fibrosis in systemic sclerosis.

Objectives: To validate enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) test and its components-amino-terminal propeptide of procollagen type III (PIIINP), tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP-1) and HA-as biomarkers of fibrosis in SSc in an independent, international, multicentre cohort. Methods: Two hundred and fifty-four SSc patients from six Rheumatology Centres were included. Sera were collected and stored according to EUSTAR biobanking recommendations and analysed through automated high throughput diagnostics. Statistical analysis was performed with SPSS software. Results: Two hundred and forty-seven SSc patients (mean age 55.7 ± 13.9 years, 202 F) were analysed. ELF score, TIMP-1 and PIIINP levels were higher in males (P = 0.0197, P = 0.0107, P = 0.0108 respectively) and in dcSSc (P = 0.001, P = 0.0008, P < 0.0001 respectively). ELF score and the single markers significantly correlated with modified Rodnan skin score (r = 0.37, P < 0.0001), disease activity and severity (P < 0.0001 for all markers, except for HA P = 0.0001) and inversely with forced vital capacity, (FVC) % (TIMP-1, r = -0.21, P = 0.0012; PIIINP, r = -0.26, P = 0.0001), TLC% (ELF score, r = -0.20, P = 0.0036; TIMP-1, r = -0.32, P < 0.0001; PIIINP, r = -0.28, P < 0.0001), diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO) % (P < 0.0001 for all markers, except for HA P = 0.0115). Multivariate analysis indicated that age (P < 0.001), modified Rodnan skin score (P < 0.001) and DLCO% (P = 0.005) were independently associated with ELF score. Conclusion: Between the first and this validation studies, the value of the ELF score as independent marker of skin and lung involvement in SSc is confirmed in 457 patients. A longitudinal study is on-going to identify an SSc specific algorithm with predictive value for skin and lung progression.

Prediction of progression of interstitial lung disease in patients with systemic sclerosis: the SPAR model.

OBJECTIVES: To identify the predictive clinical characteristics and establish a prediction model for the progression of mild interstitial lung disease (ILD) in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). METHODS: Patients with SSc from two independent prospective cohorts were included in this observational study. All patients fulfilled the 2013 American College of Rheumatology/European League Against Rheumatism criteria, had mild ILD at baseline diagnosed by High-Resolution Computed Tomography (HRCT), available baseline and ≥1 annual follow-up pulmonary function tests and no concomitant pulmonary hypertension or airflow obstruction. ILD progression was defined as a relative decrease in forced vital capacity (FVC)%≥15%, or FVC%≥10% combined with diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide %≥15% at 1-year follow-up. Candidate predictors for multivariate logistic regression were selected by expert opinion based on clinical significance. A prediction model for ILD progression was established in the derivation cohort and validated in the multinational validation cohort. RESULTS: A total of 25/98 and 25/117 patients with SSc showed ILD progression in the derivation cohort and the validation cohort, respectively. Lower SpO2 after 6 min walk test (6MWT) and arthritis ever were identified as independent predictors for ILD progression in both cohorts. The optimal cut-off value of SpO2 after 6MWT for predicting ILD progression was determined as 94% by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The derived SPAR model combining both predictors (SPO2 and ARthritis) increased the prediction rate from 25.5% to 91.7% with an area under the curve (95% CI) of 0.83 (0.73 to 0.93). CONCLUSIONS: The evidence-based SPAR prediction model developed in our study might be helpful for the risk stratification of patients with mild SSc-ILD in clinical practice and cohort enrichment for future clinical trial design.

The European Scleroderma Trials and Research group (EUSTAR) task force for the development of revised activity criteria for systemic sclerosis: derivation and validation of a preliminarily revised EUSTAR activity index.

BACKGROUND: Validity of European Scleroderma Study Group (EScSG) activity indexes currently used to assess disease activity in systemic sclerosis (SSc) has been criticised. METHODS: Three investigators assigned an activity score on a 0-10 scale for 97 clinical charts. The median score served as gold standard. Two other investigators labelled the disease as inactive/moderately active or active/very active. Univariate-multivariate linear regression analyses were used to define variables predicting the 'gold standard', their weight and derive an activity index. The cut-off point of the index best separating active/very active from inactive/moderately active disease was identified by a receiver-operating curve analysis. The index was validated on a second set of 60 charts assessed by three different investigators on a 0-10 scale and defined as inactive/moderately active or active/very active by other two investigators. One hundred and twenty-three were investigated for changes over time in the index and their relationships with those in the summed Medsger severity score (MSS). RESULTS: A weighted 10-point activity index was identified and validated: Δ-skin=1.5 (Δ=patient assessed worsening during the previous month), modified Rodnan skin score (mRss) >18=1.5, digital ulcers=1.5, tendon friction rubs=2.25, C-reactive protein >1 mg/dL=2.25 and diffusing capacity of the lung for CO (DLCO) % predicted <70%=1.0. A cut-off ≥2.5 was found to identify patients with active disease. Changes in the index paralleled those of MSS (p=0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: A preliminarily revised SSc activity index has been developed and validated, providing a valuable tool for clinical practice and observational studies.

Exercise pulmonary haemodynamics predict outcome in patients with systemic sclerosis.

The aim of the present study was to investigate the prognostic value of exercise haemodynamics measured during right heart catheterisation (RHC) in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) referred for evaluation of pulmonary hypertension.SSc patients undergoing RHC at rest and during maximal supine incremental cycle exercise were grouped into resting precapillary pulmonary hypertension (PHrest) (mean pulmonary artery pressure (mPAP) ≥25 mmHg, pulmonary artery wedge pressure <15 mmHg), exercise-induced pulmonary hypertension (PHex) (mPAP ≥30 mmHg and mPAP/cardiac output >3 mmHg·L-1·min-1 at maximal exercise), and without pulmonary hypertension (PHnone). Patients' characteristics, haemodynamics and follow up data were compared between groups.72 SSc patients were followed for median (interquartile range) 33 (15-55) months. Mean (95% CI) survival without transplantation estimated by Kaplan-Meyer analysis was 4.4 (0.8-2.9) years in PHrest (n=17), 5.2 (4.4-6.1) years in PHex (n=28) and 9.5(8.4-10.6) years in PHnone (n=27; p<0.05 versus others). In Cox regression models, the exercise-induced increase in mPAP (hazard ratio (HR) 1.097, 95% CI 1.002-1.200) and the coefficient of pulmonary vascular distensibility alpha (HR 0.100, 95% CI 0.012-0.871) controlled for age, but not resting haemodynamics predicted transplant-free survival.Among SSc patients with normal mPAP at rest, an excessive increase in mPAP during exercise and an impaired vascular distensibility may indicate an early stage of pulmonary vasculopathy, associated with reduced survival similar to resting pulmonary hypertension patients.

Prediction of improvement in skin fibrosis in diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis: a EUSTAR analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Improvement of skin fibrosis is part of the natural course of diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc). Recognising those patients most likely to improve could help tailoring clinical management and cohort enrichment for clinical trials. In this study, we aimed to identify predictors for improvement of skin fibrosis in patients with dcSSc. METHODS: We performed a longitudinal analysis of the European Scleroderma Trials And Research (EUSTAR) registry including patients with dcSSc, fulfilling American College of Rheumatology criteria, baseline modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS) ≥7 and follow-up mRSS at 12±2 months. The primary outcome was skin improvement (decrease in mRSS of >5 points and ≥25%) at 1 year follow-up. A respective increase in mRSS was considered progression. Candidate predictors for skin improvement were selected by expert opinion and logistic regression with bootstrap validation was applied. RESULTS: From the 919 patients included, 218 (24%) improved and 95 (10%) progressed. Eleven candidate predictors for skin improvement were analysed. The final model identified high baseline mRSS and absence of tendon friction rubs as independent predictors of skin improvement. The baseline mRSS was the strongest predictor of skin improvement, independent of disease duration. An upper threshold between 18 and 25 performed best in enriching for progressors over regressors. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with advanced skin fibrosis at baseline and absence of tendon friction rubs are more likely to regress in the next year than patients with milder skin fibrosis. These evidence-based data can be implemented in clinical trial design to minimise the inclusion of patients who would regress under standard of care.

Effects of rituximab in connective tissue disorders related interstitial lung disease.

OBJECTIVES: Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is a key prognostic factor in connective tissue disorders (CTDs). The aim of our study was to assess the changes in pulmonary functional tests (PFTs) in various CTDs, including anti-synthetase syndrome (SYN), systemic sclerosis (SSc) and mixed connective tissue disorder (MCTD), following the use of rituximab therapy. METHODS: A multicentre retrospective analysis of patients with ILD secondary to SYN (n=15), MCTD (n=6) and SSc (n=23). PFTs were performed at baseline and at 1 and 2 years of follow-up. The primary outcome was the change in forced vital capacity (FVC) at 1 year. RESULTS: In the SYN population, median FVC changed from 53.0% (42.0-90.0) at baseline to 51.4% (45.6-85.0) at 1 year and 63.0 (50-88) (p=0.6) at 2 years (p=0.14). In SSc, FVC changed from 81.0% (66.0-104.0) at baseline to 89.0% (65.0-113.0) at 1 year (p=0.1) and 74.5 (50-91) at 2 years (p=0.07). In the MCTD population, FVC changed from 64.5% (63.0-68.0) at baseline to 63.0% (59.0-71.0) at 1 year (p=0.6) and 61 (59-71) after 2 years (p=0.8). DLCO showed a trend for improvement in the SYN population (p=0.06 at 1 year and 0.2 at years) while changes remain non-significant in the SSc and MCTD patients. In SYN patients, the percentage of responders at 1 year for FVC (33.3%) was greater than in SSc (9.5%) (p=0.07) and MCTD (17%) (p=0.45). RTX showed a satisfactory safety profile. CONCLUSIONS: A trend of improvement of PFTs was observed in SYN patients although not reaching significance, while SSc and MCTD patients were stabilised.

Effects and safety of rituximab in systemic sclerosis: an analysis from the European Scleroderma Trial and Research (EUSTAR) group.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the effects of Rituximab (RTX) on skin and lung fibrosis in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) belonging to the European Scleroderma Trial and Research (EUSTAR) cohort and using a nested case-control design. METHODS: Inclusion criteria were fulfilment of American College of Rheumatology classification criteria for SSc, treatment with RTX and availability of follow-up data. RTX-treated patients were matched with control patients from the EUSTAR database not treated with RTX. Matching parameters for skin/lung fibrosis were the modified Rodnan Skin Score (mRSS), forced vital capacity (FVC), follow-up duration, scleroderma subtype, disease duration and immunosuppressive co-treatment. The primary analysis was mRSS change from baseline to follow-up in the RTX group compared with the control group. Secondary analyses included change of FVC and safety measures. RESULTS: 63 patients treated with RTX were included in the analysis. The case-control analysis in patients with severe diffuse SSc showed that mRSS changes were larger in the RTX group versus matched controls (N=25; -24.0±5.2% vs -7.7±4.3%; p=0.03). Moreover, in RTX-treated patients, the mean mRSS was significantly reduced at follow-up compared with baseline (26.6±1.4 vs 20.3±1.8; p=0.0001). In addition, in patients with interstitial lung disease, RTX prevented significantly the further decline of FVC compared with matched controls (N=9; 0.4±4.4% vs -7.7±3.6%; p=0.02). Safety measures showed a good profile consistent with previous studies in autoimmune rheumatic diseases. CONCLUSIONS: The comparison of RTX treated versus untreated matched-control SSc patients from the EUSTAR cohort demonstrated improvement of skin fibrosis and prevention of worsening lung fibrosis, supporting the therapeutic concept of B cell inhibition in SSc.