Clean energy and (E)SG investing from energy and environmental linkages.

The objectives of this study are to analyze the presence of environmental values in ESG indexes based on the positive value relationship between energy and the environment found in existing studies and to identify the characteristics of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investments by examining the performance of ESG investments compared to market portfolios, as well as to consider the implications of ESG investment in clean energy policy based on the results of the empirical analysis of this study. This paper contributes threefold. First, using a supply and demand-based pricing model, we propose a new model of the expected return, risk, and performance ratio of the ESG premiums defined by the log price differences between ESG indexes and a market portfolio to analyze how ESG investments perform. Second, based on the empirical findings of this study that the correlation between ESG indexes and energy prices is a decreasing function of the latter in contrast to other environmental assets, this paper suggests that ESG indexes cannot adequately demonstrate environmental values but reflect social and governance values, i.e., (E)SG, in the complementary perspective. Third, using the empirical findings of this study that the information ratio of the ESG premium tends to be positive but declines and approaches zero over time, this paper indicates that although ESG investments can be significant compared to market index investments, the significance is limited because ESG investment performance converges with market portfolio performance. In conclusion, two points should be noted about ESG investing in clean energy policy: given the dilution of environmental values in ESG investing, a clear distinction should be made between ESG investing and renewable energy investing; even if investments in renewable energy projects are treated as ESG investments, reflecting current market trends, we should be prepared for the fact that the superior investment performance due to social and governance values, rather than environmental values, will not last long.

Timing differences in the impact of Covid-19 on price volatility between assets.

We empirically examine the impacts of Covid-19 on asset price volatilities by focusing on the timing. This paper has three contributions. First, we propose a new Covid-19 dependent regime-switching volatility model for the examination. Second, results show a shift to a higher price volatility regime from a lower one for financial assets and commodities after late February 2020 when Covid-19 spread all over the world, but the timing of the impacts varies from immediate timing for the S&P 500, the FTSE 100, the COMEX gold and silver futures to the delayed timing for the ICE Brent crude oil futures followed by the timing for the ICE UK natural gas futures. Third, we find the sensitivity of Covid-19 information to the regime switch differs between financial assets and precious metal ones which have the immediate impacts: the infection speed, i.e. the changes in the number of Covid-19 infected individuals, enhance the impacts on the tendency to a high price volatility regime for the S&P 500 and the FTSE 100; both the infection speed and the number of the deaths mitigate those impacts for the gold and silver futures, respectively during a turmoil period due to Covid-19, suggesting that the gold and silver markets are functioning as risk-hedging safety assets alternative to financial assets during Covid-19 turmoil.

An impact assessment of the COVID-19 pandemic on Japanese and US hotel stocks.

This study proposes two new regime-switching volatility models to empirically analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on hotel stock prices in Japan compared with the US, taking into account the role of stock markets. The first model is a direct impact model of COVID-19 on hotel stock prices; the analysis finds that infection speed negatively affects Japanese hotel stock prices and shows that the regime continues to switch to high volatility in prices due to COVID-19 until September 2021, unlike US stock prices. The second model is a hybrid model with COVID-19 and stock market impacts on the hotel stock prices, which can remove the market impacts on regime-switching volatility; this analysis demonstrates that COVID-19 negatively affects hotel stock prices regardless of whether they are in Japan or the US. We also observe a transition to a high-volatility regime in hotel stock prices due to COVID-19 until around summer 2021 in both Japan and the US. These results suggest that COVID-19 is likely to affect hotel stock prices in general, except for the influence of the stock market. Considering the market influence, COVID-19 directly and/or indirectly affects Japanese hotel stocks through the Japanese stock market, and US hotel stocks have limited impacts from COVID-19 owing to the offset between the influence on hotel stocks and no effect on the stock market. Based on the results, investors and portfolio managers should be aware that the impact of COVID-19 on hotel stock returns depends on the balance between the direct and indirect effects, and varies from country to country and region to region.