What does Bill Gates' call mean? A policy transfer analysis on creating an early warning system to prevent the next pandemic.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study is to discuss the need for an early warning system in order to prevent a new epidemic that may occur in the future and, if necessary, which system will be and how this warning system will be designed. METHODS: A qualitative analysis through the World Health Organization (WHO) documents, an interview with a key expert, and a policy transfer analysis was conducted. RESULTS: An early warning system is needed for new outbreaks that may occur in the future. We have seen that the Early Warning Alert and Response system (EWARs), which is implemented by WHO as a policy transfer in Syria, is successful in this area and the system can be easily adapted and established. The implementation of the system in Syria and the successful performance of the early warning system can be systematically transferred to other regions of the world with the policy transfer approach as a public health policy and the implementation phases in the study. The successful transfer of EWARs from WHO to Syria provides a good sample for the integration of a system developed by international and/or non-governmental organizations into an administration system of a state under pandemic and crises conditions.

Evaluation of the Relationship Between Microalbuminuria and Urine Ischemia-Modified Albumin Levels in Patients with Diabetic Nephropathy.

INTRODUCTION: Ischemia-modified albumin (IMA) is a marker which can be associated with oxidative stress in various ischemic and non-ischemic processes. Oxidative stress plays roles in diabetes mellitus, its complications and pathogenesis. Serum IMA levels are examined in various clinical events. However, urine IMA levels have not yet been evaluated in diabetic patients. In this study, we aim to examine the relationship between metabolic features and urine microalbuminuria levels of diabetic patients and their urine IMA levels. MATERIALS AND METHODS: There were totally 50 type 2 diabetic patients in the study at the Mevlana University Hospital. Patients with cerebrovascular disease, acute myocardial infarction, hemodialysis patients with end stage chronic renal failure, pulmonary embolism, and malignant disease were excluded from the study. Metabolic features, urine IMA levels and cardiological parameters of patients were evaluated. RESULTS: Mean age of patients was 59 ± 9 years, 20 of them (40%) were male and 30 of them (60%) were female. There were six patients with albuminuria value of <0.03 mg/g (normal), there were 39 patients with microalbuminuria value of 0.03-0.3 mg/g and there were five patients with macroalbuminuria of >0.3 mg/g. According to the analysis of patients with microalbuminuria (n = 39), there was no correlation between IMA levels and numerical demographic data, albuminuria, glucose, HbA1c, lipid profile, creatinine, uric acid, hematological parameters. DISCUSSION: Conclusively, there was no relationship between urine IMA levels and microalbuminuria related to the diabetic nephropathy. These findings can be associated with urinary excretion mechanisms of IMA.

Association between PDW and Long Term Major Adverse Cardiac Events in Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the present study was to perform a preliminary evaluation of the potential association between platelet distribution width (PDW) and frequency of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) development in an observational study of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients. METHODS: A total of 679 consecutive patients with ACS (498 (73.3%) males; mean age was 63.31±11.2 years; study population composed of 320 patients with acute myocardial infarction and 359 patients with unstable angina pectoris) subjected to primary percutaneous coronary intervention with transradial approach (TRA) were retrospectively enrolled to the study. Tertiles were formed based on PDW levels. The associations between PDW and in-hospital and long-term MACEs were analysed. RESULTS: The frequencies of in-hospital instent thrombosis (P=0.05), long-term instent restenosis (P=0.005) and long-term total MACEs (P=0.008) were higher in tertiles having a high PDW value. In multivariate analyses, PDW was an independent predictor of in-hospital and long-term MACEs (odds ratio 1.081, 95% confidence interval 1.003-1.165; p=0.042). The projected Kaplan-Meier incidence of a MACEs in the PDW tertiles groups were 12.8%, 12.1%, and 21.6% at 40 months (respectively, p=0.003). CONCLUSIONS: The pre-procedural PDW may be an independent predictor of both in-hospital and long-term adverse outcomes in patients with ACS.

Evaluation of Echocardiographic Epicardial Fat Thickness as a Sign of Cardiovascular Risk in Positive Exercise Test Patients.

BACKGROUND: The association between epicardial fat thickness (EFT) and positive exercise test results for the diagnosis of coronary artery diseases (CAD) has yet to be evaluated. This study assessed the predictive value of EFT for CAD on the angiographs of patients with positive exercise tests. METHODS: A total of 91 subjects were chosen consecutively from stable angina pectoris patients who were referred for coronary angiography due to a positive exercise test result. The EFT measures were obtained by echocardiographic parasternal long-axis views on the free wall of the right ventricle at end-systole of three cardiac cycles. Gensini scores were calculated by a conventional coronary angiography technique using a calculation method previously defined. RESULTS: Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis revealed a 0.65 cm (95% confidence interval: 0.628, 0.832, p < 0.001) area under the curve with 74.3% sensitivity and 62.3% specificity at the cut-off value of EFT for the prediction of critical coronary artery stenosis. Following ROC curve analysis, two groups were defined according to EFT cut-off value (groups 1 and 2). The severe coronary stenosis ratio was significantly higher in group 2 compared to group 1 (31.9 % vs. 11%, p < 0.001) and Gensini scores were significantly higher in group 2 (6.3 ± 13.3 vs. 16.5 ± 17.9; p < 0.001). There was no significant correlation between Gensini scores and EFT in group 1 (r = 0.093, p = 0.549), but there was a strong significant correlation in group 2 (r = 0.730, p < 0.001). Linear multivariate regression analysis revealed that EFT (> 0.65 cm) was the only independent risk factor for critical coronary artery stenosis (ß = 0.451, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: EFT was significantly correlated with the severity and prevalence of coronary artery disease in positive exercise test patients.

The relationship between uric acid and erectile dysfunction in hypertensive subjects.

BACKGROUND: Endothelial dysfunction plays a major role in erectile dysfunction (ED). Uric acid (UA) is a marker of endothelial dysfunction. We hypothesized that increased UA levels may be associated with ED and aimed to investigate whether there is a relationship between, UA and ED in hypertensive patients. METHODS: A total of 200 hypertensive patients who have a normal treadmill exercise test were divided into two groups based on the Sexual Health Inventory for Men (SHIM) test (< 21 defined as ED n = 110, and ≥ 21 defined as normal erectile function n = 90). The differences between the ED and normal erectile function groups were compared and determinants of ED were analyzed. MAIN RESULTS: The prevalence of ED was found to be 55.0%. Office blood pressure level was comparable between groups. UA levels were significantly increased in the ED group (6.20 ± 1.56 vs 5.44 ± 1.32, p = 0.01). In a regression model, age [odds ratio (95% confidence interval): 1.08 (1.04-1.14), p = 0.001], smoking [odds ratio: 2.33 (1.04-5.20), p = 0.04] and UA [odds ratio: 1.76 (1.28-2.41), p = 0.04] were independent determinants of ED. An UA level of > 5.2 mg/dl had 76.2% sensitivity, 43.7% specificity, 62.9% positive and 59.4% negative predictive value for determining ED. CONCLUSION: UA is an independent determinant of ED irrespective of blood pressure control and questioning erectile function for hypertensive patients with increased UA levels may be recommended.

The mediator role of well-being in the effect of COVID-19 anxiety on occupational commitment: research in the aviation sector.

The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, which emerged in China in December 2019, has severely affected many industries across the world and created substantial psychological, social and economic impact on individuals. With the coronavirus outbreak labelled as a pandemic by the World Health Organization, the first measures have been taken for the aviation industry. The crisis environment created by the pandemic had a negative impact on aviation personnel. The main purpose of this research is to investigate the mediator role of employee well-being in the effect of COVID-19 anxiety on occupational commitment. The data were collected through a survey of cabin and cockpit staff (n = 3862). After the analyses, it was found that the effect of COVID-19 anxiety on well-being, and occupational affective and normative commitment was significant. Moreover, it is among the findings that well-being has a partial mediator role in the effect of COVID-19 anxiety on occupational affective and normative commitment.

Causation between energy consumption and climate change in the countries with the highest global climate risk.

The study aims to examine if there is causation between "energy consumption" and "climate change" through the data of ten countries with the highest Climate Risk Index (CRI) scores. The ten highest CRI score countries include Puerto Rico, Myanmar, Haiti, Philippines, Mozambique, The Bahamas, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Thailand, and Nepal. The annual data for the years 2005-2019 was used because of the data constraints. CRI is selected as the dependent variable. As for the independent variables, the ratios of the energy consumption of the key sectors indicated by the International Energy Agency (IEA) to the total energy consumption are chosen. These key sectors in energy consumption are industry (IND), transportation (TRA), trade and public services (TPS), and housing (HOU). Economic growth (EG), which is one of the main factors affecting climate change in the literature, is included in the model as the control variable. According to the results of the Dumitrescu-Hurlin causality test, there is one-way causality from transportation towards CRI, but not any causality between others. It is evaluated that since the transportation sector is heavily dependent on fossil fuels, it has a strong effect on the amount of CO2 emissions and a significant determining role on climate change.

Deterioration of heart rate recovery index in patients with erectile dysfunction.

OBJECTIVE: Heart rate recovery (HHR) after exercise is a function of vagal reactivation. This study aimed to evaluate HHR index in patients with erectile dysfunction. METHODS: Men over the age of 18 years who were diagnosed with erectile dysfunction were included in the study. Ninety patients with erectile dysfunction (mean age=56.1±8.3 years) and 50 healthy subjects as controls (mean age=53.1±10.4 years) were compared. The erectile status of patients was evaluated using the sexual health inventory for men questionnaire. Basal electrocardiography, echocardiography, and treadmill exercise testing were performed in all patients and controls. The HHR index was defined as the reduction in heart rate from the rate at peak exercise to the rate at the first minute (HRR1), second minute (HRR2), third minute (HRR3), and fifth minute (HRR5) after terminating exercise stress testing. An independent sample t-test, Pearson correlation coefficient test, linear multivariate regression analysis, and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis were used for statistical assessment. RESULTS: All HHR indices were found to be significantly decreased in patients with erectile dysfunction (p<0.001). Effort capacity was markedly lower (9.1±2.3 vs. 10.4±2.3 METs, p=0.002) among patients with erectile dysfunction. HRR1 and HRR3 were found to be an independent risk factor for erectile dysfunction (Beta=0.462, p<0.001; Beta=0.403, p<0.001; respectively) in linear regression analysis. CONCLUSION: Decreased HHR index may be considered as one of the independent predictors of impaired autonomic function in patients with erectile dysfunction.

Relationship of coronary artery disease with pericardial and periaortic adipose tissue and their volume detected by MSCT.

INTRODUCTION: The relationship of pericardial and periaortic adipose tissue with coronary artery disease (CAD) and the significance of this relationship were investigated. METHODS: The present study included 323 subjects, with or without cardiac symptoms, who underwent multislice computed tomography coronary angiography between May 2009 and January 2013. Patients were divided into two groups according to the mean values of pericardial adipose tissue volume (PCFV) and periaortic adipose tissue volume (PAFV). In the grouping based on PCFV, subjects with PCFV<157.7 cm3 comprised Group 1, and those with PCFV≥157.7 cm³ comprised Group 2. According to PAFV values, Group 1 consisted of subjects with PAFV<24.3 cm³, and Group 2 subjects with PAFV≥24.3 cm³. The relationship of CAD with each of PCFV and PAFV was investigated. RESULTS: Based on PCFV measurements, there were 79 (43.6%) and 113 (79.6%) patients with CAD in Groups 1 and 2, respectively. Based on PAFV measurements, Group 1 comprised 90 (48.1%) and Group 2 comprised 102 (75%) CAD patients. CONCLUSIONS: In both groupings, the prevalence of CAD was significantly higher in Group 2 versus Group 1 (p<0.01 for both). There was a significant relationship between CAD and PAFV (p<0.05), but the relation between CAD and PCFV was more significant (p<0.01).

Outcomes of transradial primary percutaneous intervention from a tertiary cardiac centre in Turkey.

OBJECTIVES: The aim was to study transradial approach (TRA) and transfemoral approach (TFA) in terms of feasibility, effectiveness, usefulness, and procedure characteristics in patients having ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Along with the said aim, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) at follow-up were also compared. METHODS: The present study was conducted on 344 consecutive patients having ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction and qualifying for PCI. Patients were classified into two groups according to radial and femoral approaches. Patients were followed-up for MACE. RESULTS: PCI was found to be successful in all patients. In TRA group the time between the end of the intervention to removal of the sheath, and duration of mobilization and hospitalization were significantly shorter when compared to TFA group (12 ± 2 minutes vs. 240 ± 12 minutes; P = 0.001, 13 ± 2 hours vs. 22 ± 2 hours; P = 0.001, and 96 ± 45 hours vs. 125 ± 55 hours; P = 0.001, respectively). In TRA group, two patients had hematomas greater than 2 cm while fourteen patients in TFA group had hematomas greater than 5 cm (1% vs. 8%; P = 0.002). TRA group had lower in-hospital MACE rates (5% vs. 11%; P = 0.036). The long terms MACE rates of the groups were similar (23% vs. 22%; P = 0.888). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with STEMI, PCI via TRA had the same effectiveness as TFA. Moreover, Time to ambulation and rates of bleeding complications were reduced by TRA, which allowed early rehabilitation. TRA reduced the incidence of in-hospital MACEs.

Epicardial Fat Tissue Predicts Increased Long-Term Major Adverse Cardiac Event in Patients With Moderate Cardiovascular Risk.

We investigated the relationship between epicardial fat volume (EFV) measured by multislice computed tomography (MDCT) and long-term major adverse cardiac events (MACEs). Consecutive patients (n = 564) were enrolled in this retrospective study. Patients were divided into tertiles according to EFV. Patients were followed up for an average of 18 months. Patients in each tertile were similar in terms of gender and risk factors. Patients with greater EFV in the third group were more likely to be overweight (P = .001) and older (P = .001). High-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels were relatively lower in the third tertile (45 ± 9, 45 ± 11, and 43 ± 9 mg/dL, respectively; P = .018). The third group had a significantly higher rate of myocardial infarction (0.6%, 1.1%, and 3.7%, respectively; P = .043). The incidence of MACEs during the follow-up period was highest in the third group 15.9% (4.1%, 7.7%, and 15.9%, respectively; P = .001). Epicardial fat volume measured by MDCT was associated with increased long-term cardiovascular risk.

The association between thoracic periaortic fat and major adverse cardiovascular events.

AIM: The study aimed to examine the association between thoracic periaortic fat tissue volume and the long-term incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 433 consecutive patients (372 male and 61 female). Periaortic fat tissue volume was measured via electrocardiogram-gated 64-multidetector computed tomography. The patients were evaluated on an average 3 years of follow-up for major adverse cardiovascular events. The patients were divided into groups according to the presence of major adverse cardiovascular events. RESULTS: Major adverse cardiovascular events were noted in 44 (10.2 %) patients during follow-up. Periaortic fat tissue volume was significantly higher in the major adverse cardiovascular events (+) group (35.4 ± 26.1 cm(3) vs. 24.1 ± 14.9 cm(3), P = 0.001). The logistic regression model showed that periaortic fat tissue volume (hazard ratio: 1.03; 95 % CI: 1.01-1.05; P = 0.001), the glomerular filtration rate (hazard ratio: 0.98; 95 % CI: 0.96-0.99; P = 0.03), and male gender (hazard ratio: 4.76; 95 % CI: 1.08-20.90; P = 0.04) were independent predictors of major adverse cardiovascular events. CONCLUSION: Thoracic periaortic fat tissue volume may be considered a useful new parameter for predicting major adverse cardiovascular events.

The protective effect of topical rifamycin treatment against sternal wound infection in diabetic patients undergoing on-pump coronary artery bypass graft surgery.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate the protective effect of topical rifamycin SV treatment against sternal wound infection (SWI) in diabetic patients undergoing on-pump coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery. METHODS: One hundred and fifty-nine diabetic patients who were scheduled to undergo isolated on-pump CABG surgery were included. Eight were excluded for various reasons. Of the 151 patients, 51 were on insulin therapy and 100 were on oral anti-diabetics. The risk of mediastinitis was assessed using the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association 2004 guideline update for CABG surgery. According to the risk scores, patients were divided into two comparable groups: the rifamycin group (n = 78) received topical rifamycin treatment after on-pump CABG surgery, and the control group (n = 73) received no topical treatment. RESULTS: Deep sternal wound infection (mediastinitis) was not observed in either group (0/78 vs 0/73, p = 1.0). No superficial sternal wound infection was observed in the rifamycin group, however, it did occur in one patient in the control group (0/78 vs 1/73, p = 0.303). Wound culture was performed and coagulase-negative staphylococci were observed. The infection regressed on initiation of antibiotic therapy against isolated bacteria and the patient was discharged after a full recovery. CONCLUSIONS: Although the difference in rate of superficial sternal wound infection (SSWI) in the rifamycin and control groups was not statistically significant, locally applied rifamycin SV during closure of the sternum in the CABG operation may have had a protective affect against SWI.

Effects of ivabradine on 6-minute walk test and quality of life in patients with previously implanted CRT-D.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to evaluate clinical effects of additional heart rate control by ivabradine on life quality score and 6-minute walking test in patients with previously implanted biventricular cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillator (CRT-D) with ischemic heart failure under regular treatment. METHODS: Fifteen men and 14 women with a median age of 63 years (range, 48-79 years) were studied. Twenty-one patients were in New York Heart Association class II (8 patients were in class III), CRT-D implanted previously, and with resting heart rates greater than 70 beats per minute with sinus rhythm despite conventional medication. Patients were given 2.5- to 7.5-mg ivabradine orally twice a day, and drug dosage was titrated to decrease the patients' average heart rate to 70 beats per minute. Before and 3 months after ivabradine treatment, all patients underwent extensive clinical, echocardiographic, and laboratory evaluation. RESULTS: Ivabradine treatment produced dose-dependent reductions in heart rate at rest and at peak exercise (91.9 ± 6.3 to 71.7 ± 4.8 and 114.4 ± 7.6 to 96.8 ± 4.8; P = 0.001 and P = 0.001, respectively). There were also significant improvements in life quality score (52.4 ± 9.5 to 37.9±7.8; P = 0.001) and 6-minute walking distance (278.7 ± 85.8 to 373.3 ± 94.0; P = 0.001) of patients. All patients with New York Heart Association class III became class II after 3 months of ivabradine treatment. CONCLUSION: Heart rate reduction in a short-term period by ivabradine produced significant improvements in exercise capacity and life quality in patients with CRT-D and conventional therapy.

Prognostic value of neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio in patients with ST-elevated myocardial infarction undergoing primary coronary intervention: a prospective, multicenter study.

OBJECTIVE: The pre-procedural neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (N/L) is associated with adverse outcomes among patients with coronary artery disease but its prognostic value in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) has not been fully investigated. This study evaluated the relations between pre-procedural N/L ratio and the in-hospital and long-term outcomes in STEMI patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). METHODS: A total of 682 STEMI patients presented within the first 6h of symptom onset were enrolled and stratified according to tertiles of N/L ratio based on the blood samples obtained in the emergency room upon admission. RESULTS: The mean follow-up period was 43.3 months (1-131 months). In-hospital in-stent thrombosis, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular mortality increased as the N/L tertile ratio increased (p<0.001, p<0.001, p=0.003, respectively). Long-term in-stent thrombosis, non-fatal myocardial infarction and cardiovascular mortality also increased as the N/L ratio increased (p<0.001, p<0.001, p=0.002, respectively). On multivariate analysis, N/L ratio remained an independent predictor for both in-hospital (OR 1.189, 95% CI 1.000-1.339; p<0.001) and long-term major (OR 1.228, 95% CI 1.136-1.328; p<0.001) adverse cardiac events. CONCLUSION: The N/L ratio was an independent predictor of both in-hospital and long-term adverse outcomes among STEMI patients undergoing primary PCI. Our findings suggest that this inexpensive, universally available hematological marker may be incorporated into the current established risk assessment model for STEMI.