Creatinine clearance/eGFR ratio: a simple index for muscle mass related to mortality in ICU patients.

INTRODUCTION: In patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU), muscle mass is inversely associated with mortality. Although muscle mass can be estimated with 24-h urinary creatinine excretion (UCE), its use for risk prediction in individual patients is limited because age-, sex-, weight- and length-specific reference values for UCE are lacking. The ratio between measured creatinine clearance (mCC) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) might circumvent this constraint. The main goal was to assess the association of the mCC/eGFR ratio in ICU patients with all-cause hospital and long-term mortality. METHODS: The mCC/eGFR ratio was determined in patients admitted to our ICU between 2005 and 2021 with KDIGO acute kidney injury (AKI) stage 0-2 and an ICU stay ≥ 24 h. mCC was calculated from UCE and plasma creatinine and indexed to 1.73 m2. mCC/eGFR was analyzed by categorizing patients in mCC/eGFR quartiles and as continuous variable. RESULTS: Seven thousand five hundred nine patients (mean age 61 ± 15 years; 38% female) were included. In-hospital mortality was 27% in the lowest mCC/eGFR quartile compared to 11% in the highest quartile (P < 0.001). Five-year post-hospital discharge actuarial mortality was 37% in the lowest mCC/eGFR quartile compared to 19% in the highest quartile (P < 0.001). mCC/eGFR ratio as continuous variable was independently associated with in-hospital mortality in multivariable logistic regression (odds ratio: 0.578 (95% CI: 0.465-0.719); P < 0.001). mCC/eGFR ratio as continuous variable was also significantly associated with 5-year post-hospital discharge mortality in Cox regression (hazard ratio: 0.27 (95% CI: 0.22-0.32); P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The mCC/eGFR ratio is associated with both in-hospital and long-term mortality and may be an easily available index of muscle mass in ICU patients.

Longitudinal NGAL and cystatin C plasma profiles present a high level of heterogeneity in a mixed ICU population.

BACKGROUND: NGAL and Cystatin C (CysC) as biomarkers for the early detection of AKI are subject to both pathophysiological, as well as patient related heterogeneity. The aim of this study was to investigate the timeline of plasma levels of NGAL and CysC during the first seven days of ICU admission in a mixed ICU population and to relate these to AKI severity during ICU stay. Via these means we aimed to bring clarity to the previously reported heterogeneity of these renal biomarkers. METHODS: Prospective Observation Cohort. Consecutive patients admitted to adult ICU at an academic hospital in the Netherlands between 18-02-2014 and 31-03-2014 were included. Urine output, serum creatinine, plasma NGAL and CysC were recorded during the first seven days of ICU admission. Biomarker expression was analyzed based on KDIGO score and time of AKI diagnosis. RESULTS: 335 patients were included, 110 met KDIGO criteria for AKI. NGAL and CysC plasma levels were higher in AKI patients compared to non-AKI, high variability in individual values resulted in 56% of AKI patients having a false negative, and 32% of non-AKI patients having a false positive. Individual biomarker levels were variable, and no pattern based on KDIGO score was observed. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma NGAL and CysC as biomarkers for the early AKI detection may be subject to pathophysiological, and patient related heterogeneity. Further understanding of individual biomarker profiles may help in their application amongst mixed ICU populations. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The need for informed consent was waived by the Institutional Ethical Review Board of the University Medical Center Groningen (METc 2013 - 174) by Prof. dr. W.A. Kamps on May 17th 2013.

Age dependency of plasma vitamin B12 status markers in Dutch children and adolescents.

BACKGROUND: Vitamin B12 deficiency in children may be associated with (severe) neurological manifestations, therefore recognition is important. Diagnosing vitamin B12 deficiency in children is challenging. This study aimed to investigate plasma methylmalonic acid, holotranscobalamin, and total cobalamin in children 0-18 years of age and to estimate age-dependent reference intervals. METHODS: Plasma vitamin B12 markers were measured in collected plasma samples of 170 children 0-18 years visiting a local primary care laboratory. All had within-reference hemoglobin and MCV values. Pediatric plasma vitamin B12 biomarkers were measured and reference values were derived thereof. RESULTS: Plasma methylmalonic acid was higher in young children, in particular between 1 and 6 months of age; total cobalamin and holotranscobalamin were highest from 0.5 to 4 years and decreased till 10 years of age. Plasma holotranscobalamin was highly correlated with plasma total cobalamin; their ratio was independent of age. Plasma methylmalonic acid was slightly more related to total cobalamin than to holotranscobalamin. A large proportion of mainly young children would be misclassified when adult references are applied. CONCLUSIONS: Pediatric reference values for cobalamin markers are necessary to allow for early recognition and monitoring of children suspect of (clinical) cobalamin deficiency. IMPACT: We analyzed three plasma vitamin B12 status markers, i.e., total cobalamin, holotranscobalamin, and methylmalonic acid, in the plasma of 170 children 0-18 years of age and were able to derive reference intervals thereof. Recognition of vitamin B12 deficiency in children is important but challenging as pediatric reference intervals for plasma vitamin B12 status markers, particularly plasma holotranscobalamin, are not well described. We think that our results may help early recognition and monitoring of children suspect of (clinical) vitamin B12 deficiency.

Methylmalonic acid, vitamin B12, renal function, and risk of all-cause mortality in the general population: results from the prospective Lifelines-MINUTHE study.

BACKGROUND: Methylmalonic acid (MMA) is best known for its use as a functional marker of vitamin B12 deficiency. However, MMA concentrations not only depend on adequate vitamin B12 status, but also relate to renal function and endogenous production of propionic acid. Hence, we aimed to investigate to what extent variation in MMA levels is explained by vitamin B12 and eGFR and whether MMA levels are associated with mortality if vitamin B12 and eGFR are taken into account. METHODS: A total of 1533 individuals (aged 60-75 years, 50% male) were included from the Lifelines Cohort and Biobank Study. Individuals were included between 2006 and 2013, and the total follow-up time was 8.5 years. RESULTS: Median [IQR] age of the study population was 65 [62-69] years, 50% was male. At baseline, median MMA concentration was 170 [138-216] nmol/L, vitamin B12 290 [224-362] pmol/L, and eGFR 84 [74-91] mL/min/1.73 m2. Log2 vitamin B12, log2 eGFR, age, and sex were significantly associated with log2 MMA in multivariable linear regression analyses (model R2 = 0.22). After a total follow-up time of 8.5 years, 72 individuals had died. Log2 MMA levels were significantly associated with mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.67 [95% CI 1.25-2.22], P < 0.001). Moreover, we found a significant interaction between MMA and eGFR with respect to mortality (Pinteraction < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Only 22% of variation in MMA levels was explained by vitamin B12, eGFR, age, and sex, indicating that a large part of variation in MMA levels is attributable to other factors (e.g., catabolism, dietary components, or gut microbial production). Higher MMA levels are associated with an increased risk for mortality, independent of vitamin B12, eGFR, and sex. This association was more pronounced in individuals with impaired renal function.

Higher hydrocortisone dose increases bilirubin in hypopituitary patients- results from an RCT.

BACKGROUND: Bilirubin has anti-oxidative and anti-inflammatory properties, which may explain its proposed protective effects on the development of cardiometabolic disorders. Glucocorticoids affect heme oxygenase regulation in vitro, which plays a key role in bilirubin production. Effects of variations in glucocorticoid exposure on circulating bilirubin levels in humans are unknown. Here we tested whether a higher hydrocortisone replacement dose affects circulating bilirubin in hypopituitary patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A randomized double-blind cross-over study (ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01546992) was performed in 47 patients with secondary adrenal failure [10-week exposure to a higher hydrocortisone dose (0·4-0·6 mg/kg body weight) vs. 10 weeks of a lower hydrocortisone dose (0·2-0·3 mg/kg body weight)]. RESULTS: Plasma total bilirubin was increased by 10% from 7 to 8 µM in response to the higher hydrocortisone dose (P = 0·033). This effect was inversely related to age (P = 0·042), but was unaffected by sex, obesity and (replacement for) other hormonal insufficiencies. The higher hydrocortisone dose also resulted in lower alkaline phosphatase (P = 0·006) and aspartate aminotransferase activities (P = 0·001). CONCLUSION: Bilirubin is modestly increased in response to higher glucocorticoid exposure in humans, in conjunction with lower alkaline phosphatase and aspartate aminotransferase activities, which are supposed to represent biomarkers of a pro-inflammatory state and enhanced liver fat accumulation.

Iron deficiency, anemia, and mortality in renal transplant recipients.

Anemia, iron deficiency anemia (IDA), and iron deficiency (ID) are highly prevalent in renal transplant recipients (RTR). Anemia is associated with poor outcome, but the role of ID is unknown. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the association of ID, irrespective of anemia, with all-cause mortality in RTR. Cox regression analyses were used to investigate prospective associations. In 700 RTR, prevalences of anemia, IDA, and ID were 34%, 13%, and 30%, respectively. During follow-up for 3.1 (2.7-3.9) years, 81 (12%) RTR died. In univariable analysis, anemia [HR, 1.72 (95%CI: 1.11-2.66), P = 0.02], IDA [2.44 (1.48-4.01), P < 0.001], and ID [2.04 (1.31-3.16), P = 0.001] were all associated with all-cause mortality. In multivariable analysis, the association of anemia with mortality became weaker after adjustment for ID [1.52 (0.97-2.39), P = 0.07] and disappeared after adjustment for proteinuria and eGFR [1.09 (0.67-1.78), P = 0.73]. The association of IDA with mortality attenuated after adjustment for potential confounders. In contrast, the association of ID with mortality remained independent of potential confounders, including anemia [1.77 (1.13-2.78), P = 0.01]. In conclusion, ID is highly prevalent among RTR and is associated with an increased risk of mortality, independent of anemia. As ID is a modifiable factor, correction of ID could be a target to improve survival.

Alanine aminotransferase and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes (ZODIAC-38).

INTRODUCTION: Combined data suggest a bimodal association of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) with mortality in the general population. Little is known about the association of ALT with mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. We therefore investigated the association of ALT with all-cause, cardiovascular and noncardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. DESIGN: A prospective study was performed in patients with type 2 diabetes, treated in primary care, participating in the Zwolle Outpatient Diabetes project Integrating Available Care (ZODIAC) study. Cox regression analyses were performed to determine the associations of log2 -transformed baseline ALT with all-cause, cardiovascular and noncardiovascular mortality. RESULTS: In 1187 patients with type 2 diabetes (67 ± 12 years, 45% female), ALT levels were 11 (8-16) U/L. During median follow-up for 11.1 (6.1-14.0) years, 553 (47%) patients died, with 238 (20%) attributable to cardiovascular causes. Overall, ALT was inversely associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.81; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.72-0.92), independently of potential confounders. This was less attributable to cardiovascular mortality (HR 0.87; 95% CI 0.72-1.05), than to noncardiovascular mortality (HR 0.77; 95% CI 0.65-0.90). Despite the overall inverse association of ALT with mortality, it appeared that a bimodal association with all-cause mortality was present with increasing risk for levels of ALT above normal (P = 0.003). DISCUSSION: In patients with type 2 diabetes, low levels of ALT are associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality, in particular noncardiovascular mortality, compared to normal levels of ALT, while risk again starts to increase when levels are above normal.

The prevalence of metabolic syndrome and metabolically healthy obesity in Europe: a collaborative analysis of ten large cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: Not all obese subjects have an adverse metabolic profile predisposing them to developing type 2 diabetes or cardiovascular disease. The BioSHaRE-EU Healthy Obese Project aims to gain insights into the consequences of (healthy) obesity using data on risk factors and phenotypes across several large-scale cohort studies. Aim of this study was to describe the prevalence of obesity, metabolic syndrome (MetS) and metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) in ten participating studies. METHODS: Ten different cohorts in seven countries were combined, using data transformed into a harmonized format. All participants were of European origin, with age 18-80 years. They had participated in a clinical examination for anthropometric and blood pressure measurements. Blood samples had been drawn for analysis of lipids and glucose. Presence of MetS was assessed in those with obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) based on the 2001 NCEP ATP III criteria, as well as an adapted set of less strict criteria. MHO was defined as obesity, having none of the MetS components, and no previous diagnosis of cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: Data for 163,517 individuals were available; 17% were obese (11,465 men and 16,612 women). The prevalence of obesity varied from 11.6% in the Italian CHRIS cohort to 26.3% in the German KORA cohort. The age-standardized percentage of obese subjects with MetS ranged in women from 24% in CHRIS to 65% in the Finnish Health2000 cohort, and in men from 43% in CHRIS to 78% in the Finnish DILGOM cohort, with elevated blood pressure the most frequently occurring factor contributing to the prevalence of the metabolic syndrome. The age-standardized prevalence of MHO varied in women from 7% in Health2000 to 28% in NCDS, and in men from 2% in DILGOM to 19% in CHRIS. MHO was more prevalent in women than in men, and decreased with age in both sexes. CONCLUSIONS: Through a rigorous harmonization process, the BioSHaRE-EU consortium was able to compare key characteristics defining the metabolically healthy obese phenotype across ten cohort studies. There is considerable variability in the prevalence of healthy obesity across the different European populations studied, even when unified criteria were used to classify this phenotype.

Muscle mass and estimates of renal function: a longitudinal cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Creatinine is the most widely used test to estimate the glomerular filtration rate (GFR), but muscle mass as key determinant of creatinine next to renal function may confound such estimates. We explored effects of 24-h height-indexed creatinine excretion rate (CER index) on GFR estimated with creatinine (eGFRCr ), muscle mass-independent cystatin C (eGFRCys ), and the combination of creatinine and cystatin C (eGFRCr-Cys ) and predicted probabilities of discordant classification given age, sex, and CER index. METHODS: We included 8076 adults enrolled in the PREVEND study. Discordant classification was defined as not having eGFRCr  <60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 when eGFRCys was <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 . Baseline effects of age and sex on CER index were quantified with linear models using generalized least squares. Baseline effects of CER index on eGFR were quantified with quantile regression and logistic regression. Effects of annual changes in CER index on trajectories of eGFR were quantified with linear mixed-effects models. Missing observations in covariates were multiply imputed. RESULTS: Mean (SD) CER index was 8.0 (1.7) and 6.1 (1.3) mmol/24 h per meter in male and female participants, respectively (Pdifference  < 0.001). In male participants, baseline CER index increased until 45 years of age followed by a gradual decrease, whereas a gradual decrease across the entire range of age was observed in female participants. For a 70-year-old male participant with low muscle mass (CER index of 2 mmol/24 h per meter), predicted baseline eGFRCr and eGFRCys disagreed by 24.7 mL/min/1.73 m2 (and 30.1 mL/min/1.73 m2 when creatinine was not corrected for race). Percentages (95% CI) of discordant classification in male and female participants aged 60 years and older with low muscle mass were 18.5% (14.8-22.1%) and 15.2% (11.4-18.5%), respectively. For a 70-year-old male participant who lost muscle during follow-up, eGFRCr and eGFRCys disagreed by 1.5, 5.0, 8.5, and 12.0 mL/min/1.73 m2 (and 6.7, 10.7, 13.5, and 15.9 mL/min/1.73 m2 when creatinine was not corrected for race) at baseline, 5 years, 10 years, and 15 years of follow-up, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Low muscle mass may cause considerable overestimation of single measurements of eGFRCr . Muscle wasting may cause spurious overestimation of repeatedly measured eGFRCr . Implementing muscle mass-independent markers for estimating renal function, like cystatin C as superior alternative to creatinine, is crucial to accurately assess renal function in settings of low muscle mass or muscle wasting. This would also eliminate the negative consequences of current race-based approaches.

Interpretation of Folate Results in Hemolytic Plasma Samples: A Practical Approach.

Folate analysis in plasma is affected by hemolysis, which can lead to biased results. However, the degree of hemolysis that is considered acceptable is unclear. We explored the relationship between folate concentration and degree of hemolysis. Heparin plasma samples (N=77, hemolysis index ≤10 µmol/L) were spiked with increasing amounts of corresponding patient-specific hemolysate. Subsequently, the folate concentration and hemolysis index were measured using two Roche Cobas platforms, and their incremental relationship was investigated. The folate concentration ranged from 2.9 to 30.9 nmol/L with a median (interquartile range) of 11.4 (8.6-19.1) nmol/L. The linear relationship between the increments in folate concentration and hemolysis index was approximated by the function y=1.86x+1.56 (R2=0.996), where x represents the laboratory-specific critical difference in folate concentration, which can be calculated from the analytical variation of the employed folate assay(s), and y represents the hemolysis threshold. The hemolysis threshold did not significantly differ between the tertiles of plasma folate concentration (P=0.10). In conclusion, we have provided an evidence-based approach that can be used to reliably interpret folate concentrations in hemolytic samples, independent of the patient's folate status.

Self-reported alcohol consumption, carbohydrate deficient transferrin and risk of cardiovascular disease: The PREVEND prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Self-reported alcohol consumption is an established risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). Carbohydrate deficient transferrin (CDT) is an established objective marker of excessive alcohol consumption, but data on its prospective association with CVD are lacking. We aimed to evaluate the associations of self-reported alcohol consumption and CDT (expressed as %CDT, a more reliable marker than absolute CDT levels) with CVD risk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In the PREVEND prospective study of 5,206 participants (mean age, 53 years; 47.7% males), alcohol consumption by self-reports, absolute CDT measured using the Siemens nephelometric assay and %CDT calculated as the percentage of total transferrin concentrations, were assessed at baseline. Alcohol consumption was classified into 5 categories: abstention (reference), light, light-moderate, moderate and heavy alcohol consumption.Hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence intervals [CI]) for first CVD events were estimated. RESULTS: Mean (SD) of %CDT was 1.59 (0.54) %. During a median follow-up of 8.3 years, 326 first CVD events were recorded. Compared with abstainers, the multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) of CVD for light, light-moderate, moderate and heavy alcohol consumption were 0.66 (0.46-0.95), 0.83 (0.62-1.11), 0.83 (0.61-1.14) and 0.80 (0.48-1.36), respectively. Light alcohol consumption was associated with reduced coronary heart disease risk 0.62 (0.40-0.96), whereas light-moderate alcohol consumption was associated with reduced stroke risk 0.45 (0.24-0.83). The association of %CDT with CVD risk was not significant. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings confirm the established association between self-reported light to moderate alcohol consumption and reduced CVD risk. However, %CDT within the normal reference range may not be a risk indicator for CVD.

Kidney Function in Patients With Neuromuscular Disease: Creatinine Versus Cystatin C.

Background: Accurate measurement of kidney function in patients with neuromuscular disorders is challenging. Cystatin C, a marker not influenced by skeletal muscle degradation, might be of clinical value in these patients. Methods: We consecutively enrolled 39 patients with neuromuscular disorders. We investigated the association of the eGFR, based on plasma creatinine and Cystatin C, with clinical and biochemical variables associated with kidney function, namely age and galectin-3. Results: Creatinine-based eGFR was 242 (±80) and Cystatin C-based eGFR was 110 (±23) mL/min/1.73 m2. Cystatin C-based eGFR was associated with age (ß -0.63 p < 0.0001) and galectin-3 levels (ß -0.43 p < 0.01), while creatinine-based eGFR was not (ß -0.22 p = 0.20; ß -0.28 p = 0.10). Sensitivity analyses in Duchenne and Becker patients revealed the same results: Cystatin C-based eGFR was associated with age (ß -0.61 p < 0.01) and galectin-3 levels (ß -0.43 p = 0.05), while creatinine-based eGFR was not (ß -0.32 p = 0.13; ß -0.34 p = 0.14). Conclusions: These data indicate that estimation of renal function in patients with neuromuscular disorders cannot reliably be achieved with creatinine, while Cystatin C appears a reasonable alternative. Since a large proportion of patients with neuromuscular disorders develops heart failure, and requires heart failure medication, adequate monitoring of renal function is warranted.

Net Endogenous Acid Excretion and Kidney Allograft Outcomes.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: High dietary acid load may accelerate a decline in kidney function. We prospectively investigated whether dietary acid load is associated with graft outcomes in kidney transplant recipients, and whether venous bicarbonate mediates this association. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: We used data from 642 kidney transplant recipients with a functioning graft ≥1 year after transplantation. Net endogenous acid production was estimated using food frequency questionnaires and, alternatively, 24-hour urinary urea and potassium excretion to estimate net endogenous acid production. We defined the composite kidney end point as a doubling of plasma creatinine or graft failure. Multivariable Cox regression analyses, adjusted for potential confounders, were used to study the associations of dietary acid load with the kidney end point. We evaluated potential mediation effects of venous bicarbonate, urinary bicarbonate excretion, urinary ammonium excretion, titratable acid excretion, and net acid excretion on the association between net endogenous acid production and the kidney end point. RESULTS: The median net endogenous acid production using food frequency questionnaires and net endogenous acid production using urinary excretion were 40 (interquartile range, 35-45) and 54 (interquartile range, 44-66) mEq/day, respectively. During a median follow-up of 5.3 years (interquartile range, 4.1-6.0), 121 (19%) participants reached the kidney end point. After multivariable adjustment, net endogenous acid production using food frequency questionnaires and net endogenous acid production using urinary excretion (per SD higher) were independently associated with higher risk for kidney end point (hazard ratio, 1.33; 95% confidence interval, 1.12 to 1.57, P=0.001 and hazard ratio, 1.44; 95% confidence interval, 1.24 to 1.69, P<0.001, respectively). Baseline venous bicarbonate mediated 20% of the association between net endogenous acid production using food frequency questionnaires and the kidney end point. Baseline venous bicarbonate, urinary ammonium excretion, and net acid excretion mediated 25%, -14%, and -18%, respectively, of the association between net endogenous acid production using urinary excretion and the kidney end point. CONCLUSIONS: Higher dietary acid load was associated with a higher risk of doubling of plasma creatinine or graft failure, and this association was partly mediated by venous bicarbonate, urinary ammonium, and net acid excretion.

Thyroid function and risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality: a prospective population-based cohort study.

PURPOSE: Although thyroid hormones are irrefutably implicated in cardiovascular physiology, the impact of within-reference range variations of thyroid function on cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains unclear. Elucidating this is important, since it could foster preventive treatment and reduce global CVD burden. We therefore investigated the impact of within-reference range variations of thyroid function on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. METHODS: We included community-dwelling individuals aged 28-75 years from a prospective cohort study, without known use of thyroid-affecting therapy and with thyrotropin within reference range. Associations of thyroid function with mortality were quantified using Cox models and adjusted for sociodemographic and cardiovascular risk factors. RESULTS: Mean (SD) age of the 6,054 participants (52.0% male) was 53.3 (12.0) years. During 47,594 person-years of follow-up, we observed 380 deaths from all causes and 103 from CVDs. Although higher thyrotropin was not associated with all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.92-1.14), point estimates for cardiovascular mortality diverged toward increased risk in younger (<72 years) participants (1.31, 1.00-1.72) and decreased risk in elderly (≥72 years) (0.77, 0.56-1.06). Higher free thyroxine (FT4) was associated with all-cause mortality (1.18, 1.07-1.30) and with cardiovascular mortality only in elderly (1.61, 1.19-2.18), but not in younger participants (1.03, 0.78-1.34). Higher free triiodothyronine (FT3) was associated with all-cause mortality in females only (1.18, 1.02-1.35). FT3 was not associated with cardiovascular mortality (0.91, 0.70-1.18). CONCLUSIONS: Community-dwelling elderly individuals with high-normal thyroid function are at increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, reinforcing the need of redefining the current reference ranges of thyroid function.

Plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin at intensive care unit admission as a predictor of acute kidney injury progression.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication in patients during intensive care unit (ICU) admission. AKI is defined as an increase in serum creatinine (SCr) and/or a reduction in urine output. SCr is a marker of renal function with several limitations, which led to the search for biomarkers for earlier AKI detection. Our aim was to study the predictive value of plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) at admission as a biomarker for AKI progression during the first 48 h of ICU admission in an unselected, heterogeneous ICU patient population. METHODS: We conducted a prospective observational study in an academic tertiary referral ICU population. We recorded AKI progression in all ICU patients during the first 48 h of ICU admission in a 6-week period. Plasma NGAL was measured at admission but levels were not reported to the attending clinicians. As possible predictors of AKI progression, pre-existing AKI risk factors were recorded. We examined the association of clinical parameters and plasma NGAL levels at ICU admission with the incidence and progression of AKI within the first 48 h of the ICU stay. RESULTS: A total of 361 patients were included. Patients without AKI progression during the first 48 h of ICU admission had median NGAL levels at admission of 115 ng/mL [interquartile range (IQR) 81-201]. Patients with AKI progression during the first 48 h of ICU admission had median NGAL levels at admission of 156 ng/mL (IQR 97-267). To predict AKI progression, a multivariant model with age, sex, diabetes mellitus, body mass index, admission type, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation score and SCr at admission had an area under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve of 0.765. Adding NGAL to this model showed a small increase in the area under the ROC curve to 0.783 (95% confidence interval 0.714-0.853). CONCLUSIONS: NGAL levels at admission were higher in patients with progression of AKI during the first 48 h of ICU admission, but adding NGAL levels at admission to a model predicting this AKI progression showed no significant additive value.