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Sci Total Environ ; 569-570: 594-602, 2016 Nov 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27376914

RESUMO

State-of-the art dispersion models were applied to simulate (137)Cs dispersion from Chernobyl nuclear power plant disaster fallout in the Baltic Sea and from Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant releases in the Pacific Ocean after the 2011 tsunami. Models were of different nature, from box to full three-dimensional models, and included water/sediment interactions. Agreement between models was very good in the Baltic. In the case of Fukushima, results from models could be considered to be in acceptable agreement only after a model harmonization process consisting of using exactly the same forcing (water circulation and parameters) in all models. It was found that the dynamics of the considered system (magnitude and variability of currents) was essential in obtaining a good agreement between models. The difficulties in developing operative models for decision-making support in these dynamic environments were highlighted. Three stages which should be considered after an emergency, each of them requiring specific modelling approaches, have been defined. They are the emergency, the post-emergency and the long-term phases.


Assuntos
Radioisótopos de Césio/análise , Acidente Nuclear de Chernobyl , Acidente Nuclear de Fukushima , Monitoramento de Radiação , Cinza Radioativa/análise , Poluentes Radioativos da Água/análise , Modelos Químicos , Mar do Norte , Oceanos e Mares , Oceano Pacífico , Movimentos da Água
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