Banff 2022 Liver Group Meeting report: Monitoring long-term allograft health.

The Banff Working Group on Liver Allograft Pathology met in September 2022. Participants included hepatologists, surgeons, pathologists, immunologists, and histocompatibility specialists. Presentations and discussions focused on the evaluation of long-term allograft health, including noninvasive and tissue monitoring, immunosuppression optimization, and long-term structural changes. Potential revision of the rejection classification scheme to better accommodate and communicate late T cell-mediated rejection patterns and related structural changes, such as nodular regenerative hyperplasia, were discussed. Improved stratification of long-term maintenance immunosuppression to match the heterogeneity of patient settings will be central to improving long-term patient survival. Such personalized therapeutics are in turn contingent on a better understanding and monitoring of allograft status within a rational decision-making approach, likely to be facilitated in implementation with emerging decision-support tools. Proposed revisions to rejection classification emerging from the meeting include the incorporation of interface hepatitis and fibrosis staging. These will be opened to online testing, modified accordingly, and subject to consensus discussion leading up to the next Banff conference.

Targeted Quantification of Proteoforms in Complex Samples by Proteoform Reaction Monitoring.

Existing mass spectrometric assays used for sensitive and specific measurements of target proteins across multiple samples, such as selected/multiple reaction monitoring (SRM/MRM) or parallel reaction monitoring (PRM), are peptide-based methods for bottom-up proteomics. Here, we describe an approach based on the principle of PRM for the measurement of intact proteoforms by targeted top-down proteomics, termed proteoform reaction monitoring (PfRM). We explore the ability of our method to circumvent traditional limitations of top-down proteomics, such as sensitivity and reproducibility. We also introduce a new software program, Proteoform Finder (part of ProSight Native), specifically designed for the easy analysis of PfRM data. PfRM was initially benchmarked by quantifying three standard proteins. The linearity of the assay was shown over almost 3 orders of magnitude in the femtomole range, with limits of detection and quantification in the low femtomolar range. We later applied our multiplexed PfRM assay to complex samples to quantify biomarker candidates in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) from liver-transplanted patients, suggesting their possible translational applications. These results demonstrate that PfRM has the potential to contribute to the accurate quantification of protein biomarkers for diagnostic purposes and to improve our understanding of disease etiology at the proteoform level.

Controversies in terlipressin and transplantation in the United States: How do we MELD the two?

Hepatorenal syndrome-acute kidney injury (HRS-AKI) is a severe complication of cirrhosis that carries a poor prognosis. The recent Food and Drug Administration approval of terlipressin has substantial implications for managing HRS-AKI and liver allocation in the United States. Terlipressin has been available in Europe for over a decade, and several countries have adapted policy changes such as Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score "lock" for HRS-AKI. In this article, we outline the European experience with terlipressin use and explore the question of whether terlipressin treatment for HRS-AKI should qualify for the MELD score "lock" in the United States in those who respond to therapy. Arguments for the MELD lock include protecting waitlist priority for terlipressin responders or partial responders who may miss offers due to MELD reduction in the terlipressin treatment window. Arguments against MELD lock include the fact that terlipressin may produce a durable response and improve overall survival and that equitable access to terlipressin is not guaranteed due to cost and availability. We subsequently discuss the proposed next steps for studying terlipressin implementation in the United States. A successful approach will require the involvement of all major stakeholders and the mobilization of our transplant community to spearhead research in this area.

Peak insulin drip rate associated with decreased infections post-solid organ transplant.

Infection and rejection outcomes were retrospectively analyzed in patients following liver transplant and separately following heart transplant with patients being stratified by their severity of immediate postoperative insulin resistance as measured by the peak insulin drip rate that was required to reduce glucose levels. For each group, these peak insulin drip rates were divided into quartiles (Q). In liver transplant patients (n = 207), those in Q4 (highest infusion rate) had significantly fewer infections up to 6 months post-transplant (42.3% vs. 60.0%, p = .036) and borderline fewer rejection episodes (25.0% vs. 40.0%, p = .066) compared to Q1-Q3 patients. To confirm these unexpected results, a subsequent similar analysis in heart transplant (n = 188) patients again showed that Q4 patients had significantly fewer infections up to 6 months (19.1% vs. 53.9%, p < .0001) compared to Q1-Q3 patients. Logistic regression in a subset of 103 cardiac transplant patients showed that the maximum glucose during surgery, prior MI, and hypertension were associated with severe insulin resistance (SIR) status, while the presence of pre-existing diabetes and BMI were not. We hypothesize that patients are who are able to mount a more robust counter-regulatory response that causes the insulin resistance may be healthier and thus able to mount a better response to infections.

Patients With Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Have Greater Healthcare Resource Utilization After Liver Transplantation.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Although liver transplantation (LT) has been demonstrated to provide survival benefit for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), data are lacking regarding resource utilization for this population after LT. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed data from 10 centers in North America of patients transplanted between 2018 and 2019. ACLF was identified by using the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure criteria. RESULTS: We studied 318 patients of whom 106 patients (33.3%) had no ACLF, 61 (19.1%) had ACLF-1, 74 (23.2%) had ACLF-2, and 77 (24.2%) had ACLF-3 at transplantation. Healthcare resource utilization after LT was greater among recipients with ACLF compared with patients without ACLF regarding median post-LT length of hospital stay (LOS) (P < .001), length of post-LT dialysis (P < .001), discharge to a rehabilitation center (P < .001), and 30-day readmission rates (P = .042). Multivariable negative binomial regression analysis demonstrated a significantly longer LOS for patients with ACLF-1 (1.9 days; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.82-7.51), ACLF-2 (6.7 days; 95% CI, 2.5-24.3), and ACLF-3 (19.3 days; 95% CI, 1.2-39.7), compared with recipients without ACLF. Presence of ACLF-3 at LT was also associated with longer length of dialysis after LT (9.7 days; 95% CI, 4.6-48.8) relative to lower grades. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed greater likelihood of discharge to a rehabilitation center among recipients with ACLF-1 (odds ratio [OR], 1.79; 95% CI, 1.09-4.54), ACLF-2 (OR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.12-5.01), and ACLF-3 (OR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.40-5.73). Development of bacterial infection after LT also predicted LOS (20.9 days; 95% CI, 6.1-38.5) and 30-day readmissions (OR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.17-2.25). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with ACLF at LT, particularly ACLF-3, have greater post-transplant healthcare resource utilization.

Noninvasive biomarkers for the diagnosis and management of autoimmune hepatitis.

Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is a rare disease of unclear etiology characterized by loss of self-tolerance that can lead to liver injury, cirrhosis, and acute liver failure. First-line treatment consists of systemic corticosteroids, or budesonide, and azathioprine, to which most patients are initially responsive, although predictors of response are lacking. Relapses are very common, correlate with histological activity despite normal serum transaminases, and increase hepatic fibrosis. Furthermore, current regimens lead to adverse effects and reduced quality of life, whereas medication titration is imprecise. Biomarkers that can predict the clinical course of disease, identify patients at elevated risk for relapse, and improve monitoring and medication dosing beyond current practice would have high clinical value. Herein, we review novel candidate biomarkers in adult and pediatric AIH based on prespecified criteria, including gene expression profiles, proteins, metabolites, and immune cell phenotypes in different stages of AIH. We also discuss biomarkers relevant to AIH from other immune diseases. We conclude with proposed future directions in which biomarker implementation into clinical practice could lead to advances in personalized therapeutic management of AIH.

Early initiation of glecaprevir/pibrentasvir after transplantation of HCV-viremic kidneys into HCV-negative recipients is associated with normalization in the altered inflammatory milieu.

Our previous Multicenter Trial to Transplant HCV-infected Kidneys (MYTHIC) observed that 100% of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-uninfected patients who received a kidney from an HCV-infected deceased donor were cured of HCV with an 8-week regimen of glecaprevir and pibrentasvir (G/P) initiated 2-5 days after transplantation. Following acute and chronic infection with HCV, immune system perturbations have been reported to persist even after viral clearance. The aim of this study was to determine whether HCV viremic kidney recipients in the MYTHIC study experience sustained changes in the soluble inflammatory milieu associated with HCV infection. Among nine patients with HCV viremia at day 3 post-kidney transplant (post-KT D3), IP-10, IL-10, MIP-1ß, and IL-8 were significantly elevated from baseline. However, over the subsequent visits, there was a rapid, dramatic reduction back to baseline levels. Among seven patients who were not HCV viremic at post-KT D3, the cytokine levels did not significantly change. HCV-uninfected patients who received a kidney from an HCV-viremic deceased donor and were treated with early G/P experienced only transient alterations in the soluble inflammatory milieu. These data provide reassuring evidence that there appear to be no persistent cytokine disturbances with transient HCV viremia accompanying HCV donor positive/recipient negative kidney transplant.

Living donor liver transplant candidate and donor selection and engagement: Meeting report from the living donor liver transplant consensus conference.

INTRODUCTION: Living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) is a promising option for mitigating the deceased donor organ shortage and reducing waitlist mortality. Despite excellent outcomes and data supporting expanding candidate indications for LDLT, broader uptake throughout the United States has yet to occur. METHODS: In response to this, the American Society of Transplantation hosted a virtual consensus conference (October 18-19, 2021), bringing together relevant experts with the aim of identifying barriers to broader implementation and making recommendations regarding strategies to address these barriers. In this report, we summarize the findings relevant to the selection and engagement of both the LDLT candidate and living donor. Utilizing a modified Delphi approach, barrier and strategy statements were developed, refined, and voted on for overall barrier importance and potential impact and feasibility of the strategy to address said barrier. RESULTS: Barriers identified fell into three general categories: 1) awareness, acceptance, and engagement across patients (potential candidates and donors), providers, and institutions, 2) data gaps and lack of standardization in candidate and donor selection, and 3) data gaps regarding post-living liver donation outcomes and resource needs. CONCLUSIONS: Strategies to address barriers included efforts toward education and engagement across populations, rigorous and collaborative research, and institutional commitment and resources.

European Society for Organ Transplantation Consensus Statement on Biomarkers in Liver Transplantation.

Currently, one-year survival following liver transplantation (LT) exceeds 90% in large international registries, and LT is considered definitive treatment for patients with end-stage liver disease and liver cancer. Recurrence of disease, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), significantly hampers post-LT outcomes. An optimal approach to immunosuppression (IS), including safe weaning, may benefit patients by mitigating the effect on recurrent diseases, as well as reducing adverse events associated with over-/under-IS, including chronic kidney disease (CKD). Prediction of these outcome measures-disease recurrence, CKD, and immune status-has long been based on relatively inaccurate clinical models. To address the utility of new biomarkers in predicting these outcomes in the post-LT setting, the European Society of Organ Transplantation (ESOT) and International Liver Transplant Society (ILTS) convened a working group of experts to review literature pertaining to primary disease recurrence, development of CKD, and safe weaning of IS. Summaries of evidence were presented to the group of panelists and juries to develop guidelines, which were discussed and voted in-person at the Consensus Conference in Prague November 2022. The consensus findings and recommendations of the Liver Working Group on new biomarkers in LT, clinical applicability, and future needs are presented in this article.

Not everything that counts can be counted: Tracking long-term outcomes in pediatric liver transplant recipients.

For pediatric liver transplant (LT) recipients, an ideal outcome is to survive and thrive into adulthood. However, outcomes reporting for all LT recipients typically rely on much shorter-term outcomes, 1-5 years post-LT. Using Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN) registry data from 1990 to 2018, this analysis seeks to determine if long-term follow-up and outcome data are complete for pediatric LT recipients age 0 to 12 years who survive at least 1 year post-LT without graft loss (n = 9309). Of the 7948 pediatric transplant recipients who did not die or require re-LT, 1 in 6 was reported as lost to follow-up by their transplant center during long-term follow-up. Rates of lost to follow-up were highest in those transplanted between 1990 and 1999 and increased in early adulthood for all recipients. Almost 10% of pediatric LT recipients who remained in follow-up required relisting for LT. 8% of children remaining in follow-up had graft failure. Lost to follow-up may bias estimates of long-term outcomes and risk factors for poor outcomes. For those remaining in follow-up, graft failure and death continue to occur in the decades after LT. Continued proactive monitoring, management, and innovations are needed to truly optimize post-LT survival for all children.

Donor-derived cell-free DNA levels predict graft injury in liver transplant recipients.

Donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) has been evaluated as a rejection marker in organ transplantation. This study sought to assess the utility of dd-cfDNA to diagnose graft injury in liver transplant recipients (LTR) and as a predictive biomarker prior to different causes of graft dysfunction. Plasma from single and multicenter LTR cohorts was analyzed for dd-cfDNA. Phenotypes of treated biopsy-proven acute rejection (AR, N = 57), normal function (TX, N = 94), and acute dysfunction no rejection (ADNR; N = 68) were divided into training and test sets. In the training set, dd-cfDNA was significantly different between AR versus TX (AUC 0.95, 5.3% cutoff) and AR versus ADNR (AUC 0.71, 20.4% cutoff). Using these cutoffs in the test set, the accuracy and NPV were 87% and 100% (AR vs. TX) and 66.7% and 87.8% (AR vs. ADNR). Blood samples collected serially from LTR demonstrated incremental elevations in dd-cfDNA prior to the onset of graft dysfunction (AR > ADNR), but not in TX. Dd-cfDNA also decreased following treatment of rejection. In conclusion, the serial elevation of dd-cfDNA identifies pre-clinical graft injury in the context of normal liver function tests and is greatest in rejection. This biomarker may help detect early signs of graft injury and rejection to inform LTR management strategies.

Black Patients With Cirrhosis Have Higher Mortality and Lower Transplant Rates: Results From a Metropolitan Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Estimates of racial disparity in cirrhosis have been limited by lack of large-scale, longitudinal data, which track patients from diagnosis to death and/or transplant. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We analyzed a large, metropolitan, population-based electronic health record data set from seven large health systems linked to the state death registry and the national transplant database. Multivariate competing risk analyses, adjusted for sex, age, insurance status, Elixhauser score, etiology of cirrhosis, HCC, portal hypertensive complication, and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium (MELD-Na), examined the relationship between race, transplant, and cause of death as defined by blinded death certificate review. During the study period, 11,277 patients met inclusion criteria, of whom 2,498 (22.2%) identified as Black. Compared to White patients, Black patients had similar age, sex, MELD-Na, and proportion of alcohol-associated liver disease, but higher comorbidity burden, lower rates of private insurance, and lower rates of portal hypertensive complications. Compared to White patients, Black patients had the highest rate all-cause mortality and non-liver-related death and were less likely to be listed or transplanted (P < 0.001 for all). In multivariate competing risk analysis, Black patients had a 26% increased hazard of liver-related death (subdistribution HR, 1.26; 95% CI, [1.15-1.38]; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Black patients with cirrhosis have discordant outcomes. Further research is needed to determine how to address these real disparities in the field of hepatology.

Expression of unfolded protein response genes in post-transplantation liver biopsies.

BACKGROUND: Cholestatic liver diseases are a major source of morbidity and mortality that can progress to end-stage liver disease and hyperbilirubinemia is a hallmark of cholestasis. There are few effective medical therapies for primary biliary cholangitis, primary sclerosing cholangitis and other cholestatic liver diseases, in part, due to our incomplete understanding of the pathogenesis of cholestatic liver injury. The hepatic unfolded protein response (UPR) is an adaptive cellular response to endoplasmic reticulum stress that is important in the pathogenesis of many liver diseases and recent animal studies have demonstrated the importance of the UPR in the pathogenesis of cholestatic liver injury. However, the role of the UPR in human cholestatic liver diseases is largely unknown. METHODS: RNA was extracted from liver biopsies from patients after liver transplantation. RNA-seq was performed to determine the transcriptional profile and hepatic UPR gene expression that is associated with liver injury and cholestasis. RESULTS: Transcriptome analysis revealed that patients with hyperbilirubinemia had enhanced expression of hepatic UPR pathways. Alternatively, liver biopsy samples from patients with acute rejection had enhanced gene expression of LAG3 and CDK1. Pearson correlation analysis of serum alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase and total bilirubin levels demonstrated significant correlations with the hepatic expression of several UPR genes, as well as genes involved in hepatic bile acid metabolism and inflammation. In contrast, serum alkaline phosphatase levels were correlated with the level of hepatic bile acid metabolism gene expression but not liver UPR gene expression. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, these data indicate that hepatic UPR pathways are increased in cholestatic human liver biopsy samples and supports an important role of the UPR in the mechanism of human cholestatic liver injury.

Biomarkers of rejection in liver transplantation.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Liver transplantation is a lifesaving therapy for thousands of individuals with end-stage liver disease across the world. Allograft rejection, which is traditionally detected through an invasive graft biopsy, is a major complication for liver transplant recipients in the postoperative period. Biomarkers represent a relatively newer and safer means of detecting and predicting transplant rejection when compared with the current standard of care: liver biopsy. This review serves to compile recent progress in the field of biomarker discovery in liver allograft rejection. RECENT FINDINGS: Several promising biomarkers exist in the field of liver transplant rejection. Recent developments include blood genomic assays measuring miRNA, mRNA and donor-derived cell-free DNA. Additionally, serum levels of cytokines, proteoforms, donor-specific antibodies and immunophenotyping have shown promising results in predicting rejection pre and/or posttransplant. SUMMARY: Biomarkers represent a novel method of predicting the risk of developing allograft rejection. The findings discussed in the studies outlined in this review are promising in the potential to improve patient management, reduce complications from over- or under-immunosuppression, and ultimately enhance outcomes.

Current and Evolving Indications for Simultaneous Liver Kidney Transplantation.

This review will discuss the etiologies of kidney disease in liver transplant candidates, provide a historical background of the prior evolution of simultaneous liver-kidney (SLK) transplant indications, discuss the current indications for SLK including Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network policies and Model for End Stage Liver Disease exception points, as well as provide an overview of the safety net kidney transplant policy. Finally, the authors explore unanswered questions and future research needed in SLK transplantation.

The Fourth International Workshop on Clinical Transplant Tolerance.

The International Workshop on Clinical Transplant Tolerance is a biennial meeting that aims to provide an update on the progress of studies of immunosuppression minimization or withdrawal in solid organ transplantation. The Fourth International Workshop on Clinical Tolerance was held in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, September 5-6, 2019. This report is a summary of presentations on the status of clinical trials designed to minimize or withdraw immunosuppressive drugs in kidney, liver, and lung transplantation without subsequent evidence of rejection. All protocols had in common the use of donor or recipient cell therapy combined with organ transplantation. The workshop also included presentations of mechanistic studies designed to improve understanding of the cellular and molecular basis of tolerance and to identify potential predictors/biomarkers of tolerance. Strategies to enhance the safety of hematopoietic cell transplantation and to improve patient selection/risk stratification for clinical trials were also discussed.

Erythropoietin administration expands regulatory T cells in patients with autoimmune hepatitis.

OBJECTIVE: Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is a chronic liver disease associated with impaired regulatory T cell (Treg) number and function. Erythropoietin (EPO) is a kidney-produced erythropoietic hormone that has known immune-modulating effects, including Treg induction. Whether EPO administration increases Treg in patients with AIH is unknown. METHODS: We treated six stable AIH patients with a single 1000 IU dose of EPO and comprehensively characterized changes in Treg overall and in Treg subsets before and at 4 and 12 weeks after treatment using mass cytometry (CyTOF) combined with an unbiased clustering approach (Phenograph) based on 22 Treg-relevant cell-surface markers. RESULTS: EPO was well-tolerated and no patients showed significant changes in hematological parameters, liver enzymes, or IgG levels from baseline to 12 weeks following EPO administration. Total Treg and Treg/CD8+ T cell ratios significantly increased at 4 weeks and returned to baseline levels at 12 weeks after EPO injection. We identified 17 Treg subsets of which CD4+CD25HICD127NEG HLADR+ Treg had the highest increase and the most favorable Treg/CD8+ ratio upon EPO treatment. At 12 weeks after EPO administration, the HLADR+ Treg subset also returned to values comparable to those at baseline. Ex vivo assays documented that Treg were functional and the ones isolated at 12 weeks after EPO injection were significantly more suppressive than the ones isolated at baseline. In Treg-depleted assays, EPO did not show a significant effect on IFN-γ+, IL-2+, and IL-17+ CD4+ T cells. CONCLUSION: In stable AIH patients, EPO increases overall Treg and particularly those expressing the high function marker HLA-DR. These results provide the rationale for future studies testing the hypothesis that EPO or EPO analogues improve outcomes of AIH patients by increasing Treg.

The Role of the Intestine in the Pathogenesis of Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis: Evidence and Therapeutic Implications.

The pathogenesis of primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC), a progressive biliary tract disease without approved medical therapy, is not well understood. The relationship between PSC and inflammatory bowel disease has inspired theories that intestinal factors may contribute to the development and progression of hepatobiliary fibrosis in PSC. There is evidence from both fecal and mucosa-associated microbial studies that patients with PSC harbor an abnormal enteric microbiome. These organisms are thought to produce toxic byproducts that stimulate immune-mediated damage of hepatocytes and the biliary tree. The link between these mechanisms may be related to altered intestinal permeability leading to migration of bacteria or associated toxins to the liver through the portal circulation. In support of these concepts, early trials have demonstrated improved biochemical parameters and symptoms of PSC with oral antibiotics, ostensibly through manipulation of the enteric microbiota. This article reviews the published literature for evidence as well as gaps in knowledge regarding these mechanisms by which intestinal aberrations might drive the development of PSC. We also identify areas of future research that are needed to link and verify these pathways to enhance diagnostic and therapeutic approaches.

Immunosuppression Withdrawal in Liver Transplant Recipients on Sirolimus.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: As conversion from calcineurin inhibitor to sirolimus (SRL), a mechanistic target of rapamycin inhibitor (mTOR-I), has been shown to enhance immunoregulatory profiles in liver transplant (LT) recipients (LTRs), mTOR-I therapy might allow for increased success of immunosuppression (IS) withdrawal. Our aim was to determine if operational tolerance could be observed in LTRs withdrawn from SRL and if blood/graft tolerance biomarkers were predictive of successful withdrawal. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We performed a prospective trial of SRL monotherapy withdrawal in nonimmune, nonviremic LTRs > 3 years post-LT. SRL was weaned over ~6 months, and biopsies were performed 12 months postweaning or at concern for acute rejection. Twenty-one LTRs consented; 6 were excluded due to subclinical acute rejection on baseline biopsy or other reasons, and 15 underwent weaning (age 61.3 ± 8.8 years; LT to SRL weaning 6.7 ± 3 years). Eight (53%) achieved operational tolerance (TOL). Of the 7 who were nontolerant (non-TOL), 6 had mild acute rejection on biopsy near the end of weaning or at study end; 1 was removed from the trial due to liver cancer recurrence. At baseline preweaning, there were statistically increased blood tolerogenic dendritic cells and cell phenotypes correlating with chronic antigen presentation in the TOL versus non-TOL groups. A previously identified biopsy gene signature accurately predicted TOL versus non-TOL in 12/14 LTRs before weaning. At study end, biopsy staining revealed statistically significant increases in antigen-presenting cell:leukocyte pairings, FOXP3+ /CD4+ T cells, Tbet+ /CD8+ T cells, and lobular dendritic cells in the non-TOL group. CONCLUSIONS: This study evaluated IS withdrawal directly from mTOR-I therapy in LTRs and achieved > 50% operational tolerance. Preweaning gene expression and peripheral blood mononuclear cell profiling may be useful as predictors of successful mTOR-I therapy withdrawal. NCT02062944.

Discovery and Validation of a Biomarker Model (PRESERVE) Predictive of Renal Outcomes After Liver Transplantation.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: A high proportion of patients develop chronic kidney disease (CKD) after liver transplantation (LT). We aimed to develop clinical/protein models to predict future glomerular filtration rate (GFR) deterioration in this population. APPROACH AND RESULTS: In independent multicenter discovery (CTOT14) and single-center validation (BUMC) cohorts, we analyzed kidney injury proteins in serum/plasma samples at month 3 after LT in recipients with preserved GFR who demonstrated subsequent GFR deterioration versus preservation by year 1 and year 5 in the BUMC cohort. In CTOT14, we also examined correlations between serial protein levels and GFR over the first year. A month 3 predictive model was constructed from clinical and protein level variables using the CTOT14 cohort (n = 60). Levels of ß-2 microglobulin and CD40 antigen and presence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection predicted early (year 1) GFR deterioration (area under the curve [AUC], 0.814). We observed excellent validation of this model (AUC, 0.801) in the BUMC cohort (n = 50) who had both early and late (year 5) GFR deterioration. At an optimal threshold, the model had the following performance characteristics in CTOT14 and BUMC, respectively: accuracy (0.75, 0.8), sensitivity (0.71, 0.67), specificity (0.78, 0.88), positive predictive value (0.74, 0.75), and negative predictive value (0.76, 0.82). In the serial CTOT14 analysis, several proteins, including ß-2 microglobulin and CD40, correlated with GFR changes over the first year. CONCLUSIONS: We have validated a clinical/protein model (PRESERVE) that early after LT can predict future renal deterioration versus preservation with high accuracy. This model may help select recipients at higher risk for subsequent CKD for early, proactive renal sparing strategies.