Artificial intelligence of arterial Doppler waveforms to predict major adverse outcomes among patients with diabetes mellitus.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) are at increased risk for peripheral artery disease (PAD) and its complications. Arterial calcification and non-compressibility may limit test interpretation in this population. Developing tools capable of identifying PAD and predicting major adverse cardiac event (MACE) and limb event (MALE) outcomes among patients with DM would be clinically useful. Deep neural network analysis of resting Doppler arterial waveforms was used to detect PAD among patients with DM and to identify those at greatest risk for major adverse outcome events. METHODS: Consecutive patients with DM undergoing lower limb arterial testing (April 1, 2015-December 30, 2020) were randomly allocated to training, validation, and testing subsets (60%, 20%, and 20%). Deep neural networks were trained on resting posterior tibial arterial Doppler waveforms to predict all-cause mortality, MACE, and MALE at 5 years using quartiles based on the distribution of the prediction score. RESULTS: Among 11,384 total patients, 4211 patients with DM met study criteria (mean age, 68.6 ± 11.9 years; 32.0% female). After allocating the training and validation subsets, the final test subset included 856 patients. During follow-up, there were 262 deaths, 319 MACE, and 99 MALE. Patients in the upper quartile of prediction based on deep neural network analysis of the posterior tibial artery waveform provided independent prediction of death (hazard ratio [HR], 3.58; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.31-5.56), MACE (HR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.49-2.91), and MALE (HR, 13.50; 95% CI, 5.83-31.27). CONCLUSIONS: An artificial intelligence enabled analysis of a resting Doppler arterial waveform permits identification of major adverse outcomes including all-cause mortality, MACE, and MALE among patients with DM.

Reduced calf muscle pump function is a risk factor for venous thromboembolism: a population-based cohort study.

The calf muscle pump is a major determinate of venous return in the legs but has not been studied as a risk factor for venous thromboembolism (VTE). A population-based cohort study of Olmsted County, Minnesota residents was performed using calf pump function (CPF) measurements from venous plethysmography studies from 1998 to 2015. Patients with a history of VTE were excluded. Nursing validated VTE outcomes from the Rochester Epidemiology Project were identified after the index study date, and patients with reduced CPF (rCPF) were compared with patients with normal CPF. A total of 1532 patients with recorded CPF (28% air and 72% strain gauge plethysmography) were included; 591 (38.5%) had normal CPF, 353 (23.0%) had unilateral rCPF, and 588 (38.3%) had bilateral rCPF. Any VTE occurred in 87 patients (5.7%) after a median follow-up of 11.7 years (range, 0-22.0 years). Comparing patients with bilateral reduced to bilateral normal CPF, the unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) for incident VTE was 2.0 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2-3.4) and after adjusting for age, BMI, and Charlson Comorbidity Index, the HR was 1.68 (95% CI, 0.98-2.89). The adjusted HR for ipsilateral deep vein thrombosis was evaluated in 3064 legs comparing legs with reduced to normal CPF and was 1.71 (95% CI, 1.03-2.84). Mortality was significantly higher in both the bilateral (P < .001) and unilateral (P < .001) rCPF groups compared with normal CPF. Our results demonstrate that CPF is a risk factor for VTE in an otherwise low-risk ambulatory population and might be a useful component in risk stratification models.

Limb and cardiovascular event risk in type 1 and 2 diabetic patients with peripheral artery disease.

Background: Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is a risk factor for adverse limb events (LE) and cardiovascular events (CVE) that coexists with type 1 (T1) and 2 (T2) diabetes mellitus (DM). Little is known about comparative risk of LE and CVE in T1/T2 DM patients with PAD. Patients and methods: We queried our database of 40,144 patients ≥18 years old who underwent ankle brachial index (ABI) measurement from 01/1996-02/2020. We isolated T1/T2 DM patients with PAD diagnosed by ankle brachial index (ABI; low [<1.0] or elevated [>1.4]) and retrieved demographics including glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c). Primary outcomes were LE (critical limb ischemia/vascular amputation) and CVE (myocardial infarction/ischemic stroke). All-cause mortality was a secondary outcome. Multivariable Cox proportional regression yielded hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) after adjusting for pertinent risk factors including age, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, smoking, and HbA1c. Results: Our study found 10,156 patients with PAD and DM (34% T1DM, 66% T2DM) with median follow-up time 34 mo (IQR 85 mo). T1DM patients were younger than T2DM (mean age 67 vs. 70 years), with higher median HbA1c (7.7 [IQR 1.9] vs. 6.7% [IQR 1.6]), and more prevalent hypertension, hyperlipidemia, CAD, and CKD. Antiplatelet and statin use was equivocal. Elevated ABI was more common in T1DM (47 vs. 28%). LE occurred in 23% and CVE in 12% patients. LE risk was higher in T1 than T2 DM patients (HR 1.58 [95% CI 1.44, 1.73], p<0.0001), but CVE and all-cause mortality were equivocal. These observations were preserved across ABI and HbA1c subgroup analyses. Conclusions: PAD patients with T1DM had a higher LE risk than those with T2DM, even after adjustment for glycemic control and pertinent risk factors, but CVE risk and all-cause mortality were equivocal. These data suggest a potential role for more intensive LE risk modification in PAD patients with T1DM, but further investigation is needed.

Artificial intelligence for the evaluation of peripheral artery disease using arterial Doppler waveforms to predict abnormal ankle-brachial index.

BACKGROUND: Patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) are at increased risk for major adverse limb and cardiac events including mortality. Developing screening tools capable of accurate PAD identification is a necessary first step for strategies of adverse outcome prevention. This study aimed to determine whether machine analysis of a resting Doppler waveform using deep neural networks can accurately identify patients with PAD. METHODS: Consecutive patients (4/8/2015 - 12/31/2020) undergoing rest and postexercise ankle-brachial index (ABI) testing were included. Patients were randomly allocated to training, validation, and testing subsets (70%/15%/15%). Deep neural networks were trained on resting posterior tibial arterial Doppler waveforms to predict normal (> 0.9) or PAD (⩽ 0.9) using rest and postexercise ABI. A separate dataset of 151 patients who underwent testing during a period after the model had been created and validated (1/1/2021 - 3/31/2021) was used for secondary validation. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) were constructed to evaluate test performance. RESULTS: Among 11,748 total patients, 3432 patients met study criteria: 1941 with PAD (mean age 69 ± 12 years) and 1491 without PAD (64 ± 14 years). The predictive model with highest performance identified PAD with an AUC 0.94 (CI = 0.92-0.96), sensitivity 0.83, specificity 0.88, accuracy 0.85, and positive predictive value (PPV) 0.90. Results were similar for the validation dataset: AUC 0.94 (CI = 0.91-0.98), sensitivity 0.91, specificity 0.85, accuracy 0.89, and PPV 0.89 (postexercise ABI comparison). CONCLUSION: An artificial intelligence-enabled analysis of a resting Doppler arterial waveform permits identification of PAD at a clinically relevant performance level.

Peripheral artery disease and the risk of venous thromboembolism.

Background: Peripheral artery disease (PAD) impacts 3-12% of patients worldwide and is characterized by endothelial dysfunction and inflammatory pathways which are also common to venous thromboembolism (VTE), but there is a paucity of evidence regarding VTE risk in PAD patients. We investigated whether PAD is an independent risk factor for VTE. Patients and methods: We reviewed medical records of patients undergoing ABI studies at Mayo Clinic from 01/1996-02/2020. We classified patients by ABI (low [<1.0], normal [1.0-1.4], or elevated [>1.4]), as well as by specific low ABI subgroup: severely reduced (ABI: 0.00-0.39), moderately reduced (0.40-0.69), mildly reduced (0.70-0.90), and borderline reduced (0.91-0.99). The primary outcome was incident VTE event (acute lower extremity deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism) after ABI measurement. Multivariable Cox proportional regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) after adjusting for age, sex, active smoking, cancer, previous VTE, thrombophilia, anticoagulation, and revascularization. Results: 39,834 unique patients (mean age 66.3±14.3 years, median follow-up 34 months) were identified. 2,305 VTE events occurred in patients without PAD (13.0%), 2,218 in low ABI patients (13.0%), and 751 in elevated ABI patients (14.8%). After risk factor adjustment, VTE risk was modestly increased for PAD overall (HR: 1.12, 95% CI [1.06, 1.18]), including low ABI (HR: 1.11, 95% CI [1.04, 1.18]) and elevated ABI groups (HR: 1.15, 95% CI [1.04, 1.26]), compared to patients without PAD. The greatest VTE risk was in severely low ABI patients (HR: 1.46, 95% CI [1.31, 1.64]). Conclusions: In a large longitudinal cohort, we present strong clinical evidence of PAD, with low and elevated ABI, as an independent VTE risk factor, with the highest risk seen in patients with severely low ABI. Continued research is required to further investigate this relationship and its intersection with functional performance status to optimize VTE risk reduction or anticoagulation strategies in the PAD population.

Major adverse events associated with inducible cardiac ischemia during treadmill exercise testing for peripheral artery disease.

BACKGROUND: The coexistence of coronary artery disease and peripheral artery disease (PAD) is well-established. Whether myocardial ischemia by electrocardiography during treadmill testing to evaluate PAD severity is associated with adverse cardiac and limb events has not been established. The aim of the current study is to assess the risk of major adverse cardiac events (MACE), major adverse limb events (MALE), and all-cause mortality in patients with evidence of myocardial ischemia on ECG compared with those without ischemia in patients undergoing treadmill testing for PAD evaluation. METHODS: Patients undergoing treadmill exercise ankle-brachial index (ABI) evaluation (January 1, 2003, to December 31, 2006) were identified using the Mayo Clinic Gonda Vascular Laboratory database. Patients with ischemia by electrocardiogram (ECG) were age and sex matched to patients without ischemia. Outcomes were compared by ECG category. RESULTS: Of 4128 patients who underwent treadmill exercise, 170 (4.1%) had inducible myocardial ischemia by ECG. These were matched with 340 patients without ischemia. The positive ECG group had a higher percentage of diabetes mellitus (31.2% vs 21.8%; P = .02), carotid artery disease (22.4% vs 13.2%; P = .009), exercise-induced angina (14.1% vs 2.9%; P < .0001), and dyspnea (60.6% vs 35.6%; P < .0001). While the resting ABI was similar, the postexercise ABI was lower in the positive ECG group (0.5 vs 0.7; P = .04). After a median follow-up of 8 years, MACE were significantly greater in the positive ECG group (62.4% vs 46.5%; P < .001). MALE were significantly less frequent (17.1% vs 23.2%; P = .02), without an increased risk of amputation. In multivariable analysis, inducible ischemia was associated with higher incidence of MACE (hazard ratio, 1.65; 95% confidence interval, 1.25-2.16; P < .001) and lower incidence of MALE (hazard ratio, 0.51; 95% confidence interval, 0.31-0.84; P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: ECG monitoring during vascular treadmill testing identified a subset of patients with more frequent MACE but less MALE.

Calf muscle pump function as a predictor of all-cause mortality.

Calf muscle pump (CMP) promotes venous return from the lower extremity and contributes to preload and cardiac output. Impaired CMP function may reflect a measure of frailty or cumulative disease burden or may impede cardiac function. The study objective was to test the hypothesis that impaired CMP negatively impacts survival. Consecutive adult patients who underwent venous strain gauge plethysmography at the Mayo Clinic Gonda Vascular Laboratory (January 1, 1998 - December 31, 2011) were assessed for overall survival. Patients with venous incompetence, venous obstruction or unilateral calf pump dysfunction were excluded. Risk of mortality was assessed with Cox proportional hazard ratios and after adjusting for Charlson Comorbidity Index variables. Over the study period, 2728 patients were included in the analysis. Compared to patients with normal CMP, those with impaired CMP were older (p < 0.001), predominantly female (p = 0.01) and had higher mean Charlson scores (p < 0.001). Patients with impaired CMP had a higher mortality rate at 5 (8.9% vs 2.4%), 10 (17.5% vs 5.9%), and 15 years (22.8% vs 8.3%) compared to those with normal CMP (p < 0.001 for each comparison). Of patients with heart failure, those with impaired CMP had worse survival at each 5-year increment compared to those with normal CMP (p < 0.05 at each increment). In conclusion, impaired CMP appears to be an independent predictor of poor outcomes after adjusting for variables within the Charlson Comorbidity Index. The association between impaired CMP, heart failure, and mortality may represent a negative impact on circulatory function or a surrogate measure of frailty.

Peripheral arterial disease preoperatively may predict graft failure and mortality in kidney transplant recipients.

Patients with end-stage renal disease undergoing kidney transplant often have diffuse atherosclerosis and high cardiovascular morbidity and mortality rates. We analyzed the correlation of peripheral arterial disease (PAD), here quantified by an abnormal ankle-brachial index (ABI) measured within the 5 years prior to kidney transplant, with graft failure and mortality rates (primary end points) after adjusting for known cardiovascular risk factors (age, sex, smoking history, hypertension, diabetes, stroke, known coronary artery disease or heart failure, years of dialysis). Of 1055 patients in our transplant population, 819 had arterial studies within the 5 years prior to transplant. Secondary end points included myocardial infarction; cerebrovascular accident; and limb ischemia, gangrene, or amputation. Low ABI was an independent and significant predictor of organ failure (OR, 2.77 (95% CI, 1.68-4.58), p<0.001), secondary end points (HR, 1.39 (95% CI, 0.97-1.99), p<0.076), and death (HR, 1.84 (95% CI, 1.26-2.68), p=0.002). PAD was common in this population: of 819 kidney transplant recipients, 46% had PAD. Low ABI was associated with a threefold greater risk of graft failure, a twofold greater risk of death after transplant, and a threefold greater risk of secondary end points. Screening for PAD is important in this patient population because of the potential impact on long-term outcomes.

Application of exercise transcutaneous oxygen pressure measurements for detection of proximal lower extremity arterial disease: a case report.

Proximal claudication is secondary to ischemia caused by peripheral artery disease (PAD), whereas proximal pseudo-claudication is secondary to other disease processes such as hip arthritis, spinal stenosis, neuropathy, and so forth. The differentiation between the two can be challenging. Exercise transcutaneous oxygen pressure measurement (exercise-TcPO2) allows noninvasive detection of flow-reducing lesions in the proximal arteries and tributaries of the lower extremity arterial tree. We present the first case report in the United States using an exercise-TcPO2 algorithm. A 71-year-old diabetic patient with proximal left-sided and right-calf claudication with indeterminate ankle-brachial indices underwent an exercise-TcPO2 study before and after endovascular intervention. Four TcPO2 probes were placed: one at chest level (reference probe), one on each buttock, and one on the symptomatic calf. The Delta from Resting Oxygen Pressure (DROP) index was calculated at each probe site using a previously validated protocol. Proximal left- and right-calf ischemia were confirmed by the initial exercise-TcPO2, and, after endovascular treatment of the left iliac artery lesion, improvements in proximal exercise-TcPO2 values were found. These data suggest that exercise-TcPO2 can be useful in PAD evaluation in patients with non-compressible arteries and/or proximal claudication.

Digital obstructive arterial disease can be detected by laser Doppler measurements with high sensitivity and specificity.

OBJECTIVE: This study was conducted to determine the sensitivity and specificity of laser Doppler flowmetry (LDF) measurements for digital obstructive arterial disease (DOAD) using angiography as the reference standard and to compare the accuracy of different classical tests used to assess DOAD. Diagnosis of vascular abnormalities at the digital level is challenging. Angiography is the gold standard for assessment of DOAD but is invasive and expensive to perform. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of consecutive patients referred at Mayo Clinic (Rochester, Minn) for upper extremity arterial assessment during a 27-month period. Finger-brachial index, skin blood flow (in arbitrary units [a.u.]), and skin temperature (in degrees Celsius) were recorded in each digit on the pulp at baseline and after a thermal challenge test (hand placed in a thermal box at 47.0°C for 15 minutes). Angiogram analysis was blinded and performed by a radiologist using a vascularization scale ranging from 0 (no vessel) to 4 (normal). The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to define a specific cutoff point to detect DOAD. Twenty-two patients had LDF measurements and complete angiograms. RESULTS: A total of 185 digits were analyzed because some patients had only analysis of one hand. The best area under the curve (AUC) was 0.98 (range, 0.94-0.99) for postwarming skin blood flow, with a cutoff point of ≤206 a.u. This AUC was statistically different from AUCs of all the other tests (P < .01). Sensitivity and specificity were 93% (95% confidence interval, 85%-97%) and 96% (95% confidence interval, 90%-99%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: LDF combined with a thermal challenge is highly accurate, safe, and noninvasive means to detect DOAD.

Reduced calf muscle pump function is not explained by handgrip strength measurements.

OBJECTIVE: Reduced calf muscle pump function (CPF) is an independent risk factor for venous thromboembolism and mortality. We aimed to evaluate the relationship between handgrip strength (HGS) and CPF. METHODS: Patients referred to the Gonda Vascular Laboratory for noninvasive venous studies were identified and consented. Patients underwent standard venous air plethysmography protocol. CPF (ejection fraction) was measured in each lower extremity of ambulatory patients by comparing refill volume after ankle flexes and passive refill volumes. The cutoff for reduced CPF (rCPF) was defined as an ejection fraction of <45%. Maximum HGS bilaterally was obtained (three trials per hand) using a dynamometer. HGS and CPF were compared (right hand to calf, left hand to calf) and the correlation between the measures was evaluated. RESULTS: 115 patients (mean age, 59.2 ± 17.4 years; 67 females, mean body mass index, 30.83 ± 6.46) were consented and assessed for HGS and CPF. rCPF was observed in 53 right legs (46%) and 67 left legs (58%). CPF was reduced bilaterally in 45 (39%) and unilaterally in 30 (26%) patients. HGS was reduced bilaterally in 74 (64.3%), unilaterally in 23 (20%), and normal in 18 (15.7%) patients. Comparing each hand/calf pair, no significant correlations were seen between HGS and CPF. The Spearman's rank correlation coefficients test yielded values of 0.16 for the right side and 0.10 for the left side. CONCLUSIONS: There is no significant correlation between HGS and CPF, demonstrating that HGS measurements are not an acceptable surrogate for rCPF, indicating different pathophysiological mechanisms for each process.

Calf rEF: Impact of Calf Muscle Pump Dysfunction With Reduced Ejection Fraction on All-Cause Mortality.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate mortality outcomes by varying degrees of reduced calf muscle pump (CMP) ejection fraction (EF). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Consecutive adult patients who underwent venous air plethysmography testing at the Mayo Clinic Gonda Vascular Laboratory (January 1, 2012, through December 31, 2022) were divided into groups based on CMP EF for the assessment of all-cause mortality. Other venous physiology included measures of valvular incompetence and clinical venous disease (CEAP [clinical presentation, etiology, anatomy, and pathophysiology] score). Mortality rates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: During the study, 5913 patients met the inclusion criteria. During 2.84-year median follow-up, there were 431 deaths. Mortality rates increased with decreasing CMP EF. Compared with EF of 50% or higher, the hazard ratios (95% CIs) for mortality were as follows: EF of 40% to 49%, 1.4 (1.0 to 2.0); EF of 30% to 39%, 1.6 (1.2 to 2.4); EF of 20% to 29%, 1.7 (1.2 to 2.4); EF of 10% to 19%, 2.4 (1.7 to 3.3) (log-rank P≤.001). Although measures of venous valvular incompetence did not independently predict outcomes, venous disease severity assessed by CEAP score was predictive. After adjusting for several clinical covariates, both CMP EF and clinical venous disease severity assessed by CEAP score remained independent predictors of mortality. CONCLUSION: Mortality rates are higher in patients with reduced CMP EF and seem to increase with each 10% decrement in CMP EF. The mortality mechanism does not seem to be impacted by venous valvular incompetence and may represent variables intrinsic to muscular physiology.

Artificial Intelligence of Arterial Doppler Waveforms to Predict Major Adverse Outcomes Among Patients Evaluated for Peripheral Artery Disease.

BACKGROUND: Patients with peripheral artery disease are at increased risk for major adverse cardiac events, major adverse limb events, and all-cause death. Developing tools capable of identifying those patients with peripheral artery disease at greatest risk for major adverse events is the first step for outcome prevention. This study aimed to determine whether computer-assisted analysis of a resting Doppler waveform using deep neural networks can accurately identify patients with peripheral artery disease at greatest risk for adverse outcome events. METHODS AND RESULTS: Consecutive patients (April 1, 2015, to December 31, 2020) undergoing ankle-brachial index testing were included. Patients were randomly allocated to training, validation, and testing subsets (60%/20%/20%). Deep neural networks were trained on resting posterior tibial arterial Doppler waveforms to predict major adverse cardiac events, major adverse limb events, and all-cause death at 5 years. Patients were then analyzed in groups based on the quartiles of each prediction score in the training set. Among 11 384 total patients, 10 437 patients met study inclusion criteria (mean age, 65.8±14.8 years; 40.6% women). The test subset included 2084 patients. During 5 years of follow-up, there were 447 deaths, 585 major adverse cardiac events, and 161 MALE events. After adjusting for age, sex, and Charlson comorbidity index, deep neural network analysis of the posterior tibial artery waveform provided independent prediction of death (hazard ratio [HR], 2.44 [95% CI, 1.78-3.34]), major adverse cardiac events (HR, 1.97 [95% CI, 1.49-2.61]), and major adverse limb events (HR, 11.03 [95% CI, 5.43-22.39]) at 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: An artificial intelligence-enabled analysis of Doppler arterial waveforms enables identification of major adverse outcomes among patients with peripheral artery disease, which may promote early adoption and adherence of risk factor modification.

Computerized Differentiation of Growth Status for Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms: A Feasibility Study.

Fast-growing abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) have a high rupture risk and poor outcomes if not promptly identified and treated. Our primary objective is to improve the differentiation of small AAAs' growth status (fast versus slow-growing) through a combination of patient health information, computational hemodynamics, geometric analysis, and artificial intelligence. 3D computed tomography angiography (CTA) data available for 70 patients diagnosed with AAAs with known growth status were used to conduct geometric and hemodynamic analyses. Differences among ten metrics (out of ninety metrics) were statistically significant discriminators between fast and slow-growing groups. Using a support vector machine (SVM) classifier, the area under receiving operating curve (AUROC) and total accuracy of our best predictive model for differentiation of AAAs' growth status were 0.86 and 77.50%, respectively. In summary, the proposed analytics has the potential to differentiate fast from slow-growing AAAs, helping guide resource allocation for the management of patients with AAAs.

Patient Age at Diagnosis of Peripheral Artery Disease and Its Impact on Cardiovascular and Limb Outcomes.

Peripheral artery disease (PAD) prevalence increases with age, but the relation between age at PAD diagnosis and outcomes is unclear. We investigated the cardiovascular and limb outcomes of patients diagnosed with PAD at different ages. We studied patients with PAD aged ≥18 years who were diagnosed between 1996 and 2020 at Mayo Clinic. Patients were grouped by diagnosis age (<50, 50 to 59, 60 to 69, ≥70 years) and ankle brachial index (ABI): low ABI (<1.0) or elevated ABI (>1.4). Primary outcomes were cardiovascular events (CVEs; myocardial infarction or ischemic stroke) and limb events (LEs; critical limb ischemia or amputation). Competing risk analysis was performed to calculate adjusted hazard ratios. The cohort included 22,073 patients with PAD (low ABI: 77.1%; elevated ABI: 22.9%). CVEs were observed in 8.2% of patients and LEs in 15.6%. The highest CVE risk was observed in patients diagnosed with PAD before age 50 (compared with patients diagnosed after age 70; hazard ratio 2.33 [95% confidence interval 1.95 to 2.78]). CVE risk decreased with older age at diagnosis. Although younger groups demonstrated higher LE risk, there was no clear association with diagnosis age. These patterns of risk were seen both in low and elevated ABI subgroups but in greater magnitude with elevated ABI. Younger patients diagnosed with PAD face increased risk of myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke compared with patients diagnosed at an older age. CVE risk notably exceeds LE risk. In conclusion, younger age at PAD diagnosis may be an important risk factor, which warrants more aggressive interventions focused on CVE prevention.

Lower Extremity Arterial Disease as a Predictor of Incident Atrial Fibrillation and Cardiovascular Events.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the relationship between peripheral arterial disease (PAD) and incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and its clinical and pathophysiologic implications on ischemic stroke and all-cause mortality. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We identified all adult patients in the Mayo Clinic Health System without a previous diagnosis of AF undergoing ankle-brachial index (ABI) testing for any indication from January 1, 1996, to June 30, 2018. Retrospective extraction of ABI data and baseline echocardiographic data was performed. The primary outcome of interest was incident AF. The secondary outcomes of interest were incident ischemic stroke and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: A total of 33,734 patients were included in the study. After adjusting for demographic and comorbidity variables, compared with patients who had normal ABI (1.0 to 1.39), there was an increased risk of incident AF in patients with low ABI (<1.0) (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.22) and elevated ABI (≥1.4) (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.31). The risk was greater in patients with increasing severity of PAD. Patients with abnormal ABIs had an increased risk of ischemic stroke and all-cause mortality. We found that patients with PAD and incident AF have certain baseline echocardiographic abnormalities. CONCLUSION: In this large cohort of ambulatory patients undergoing ABI measurement, patients with PAD were at increased risk for incident AF, ischemic stroke, and mortality. In these high-risk patients with abnormal ABI, particularly severe PAD and cardiac structural abnormalities, routine monitoring for AF and management of cardiovascular risk factors may be warranted.

Abnormal vascular physiology in the lower extremities as a risk factor for ischemic stroke and mortality.

CONTEXT: Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is highly prevalent in the general population, affecting up to 25% of patients 55 years of age or older. There is a known association with acute ischemic stroke, but limited large cohort studies exist pertaining to the relationship between PAD severity and incident ischemic stroke. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the risk of incident ischemic stroke and mortality along the spectrum of low and elevated ankle brachial index (ABI) measurement. METHODS: We performed a retrospective extraction of ABI data of all adult patients who underwent lower extremity physiology study for any indication from January 1, 1996 to June 30, 2018 in the Mayo Clinic health system. PAD was categorized into severe, moderate, mild, and borderline based on ABI measurements and poorly compressible arteries (PCA). These were compared with normal ABI measurements. Associations of PAD/PCA with new ischemic stroke events and all cause mortality were analyzed. Hazard ratios (HR) were calculated using multivariable Cox proportional regression with 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: A total of 39,834 unique patients were included with a median follow up duration of 4.59 years. All abnormal ABI groups, except borderline PAD, were associated with increased risk of incident ischemic stroke after multivariate regression compared to normal ABI. A severity-dependent association was observed between PAD and ischemic stroke with moderate (HR, 1.22 [95% CI, 1.10-1.35]) and severe (HR, 1.19 [95% CI, 1.02-1.40]) categories conferring similar risk in comparison to normal ABI. Patients with PCA carried the greatest ischemic stroke risk (HR, 1.30 [95% CI, 1.15-1.46]). Similarly, abnormal ABI groups were associated with a significant risk for all cause mortality in a severity-dependent manner, with severe PAD conferring the greatest risk (HR, 3.07 [95% CI, 2.88-3.27]). CONCLUSIONS: This study adds to the growing body of evidence that both PAD and PCA are independent risk factors for incident ischemic stroke and all cause mortality. The association of PAD severity and PCA with risk of ischemic stroke may help clinicians with risk stratification and determining treatment intensity.

Usability of a Digital Registry to Promote Secondary Prevention for Peripheral Artery Disease Patients.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate usability of a quality improvement tool that promotes guideline-based care for patients with peripheral arterial disease (PAD). PATIENTS AND METHODS: The study was conducted from July 19, 2018, to August 21, 2019. We compared the usability of a PAD cohort knowledge solution (CKS) with standard management supported by an electronic health record (EHR). Two scenarios were developed for usability evaluation; the first for the PAD-CKS while the second evaluated standard EHR workflow. Providers were asked to provide opinions about the PAD-CKS tool and to generate a System Usability Scale (SUS) score. Metrics analyzed included time required, number of mouse clicks, and number of keystrokes. RESULTS: Usability evaluations were completed by 11 providers. SUS for the PAD-CKS was excellent at 89.6. Time required to complete 21 tasks in the CKS was 4 minutes compared with 12 minutes for standard EHR workflow (median, P = .002). Completion of CKS tasks required 34 clicks compared with 148 clicks for the EHR (median, P = .002). Keystrokes for CKS task completion was 8 compared with 72 for EHR (median, P = .004). Providers indicated that overall they found the tool easy to use and the PAD mortality risk score useful. CONCLUSIONS: Usability evaluation of the PAD-CKS tool demonstrated time savings, a high SUS score, and a reduction of mouse clicks and keystrokes for task completion compared to standard workflow using the EHR. Provider feedback regarding the strengths and weaknesses also created opportunities for iterative improvement of the PAD-CKS tool.

Discordant Values in Lower Extremity Physiologic Studies Predict Increased Cardiovascular Risk.

Background Ankle-brachial indexes (ABI) are a noninvasive diagnostic tool for peripheral arterial disease and a marker of increased cardiovascular risk. ABI is calculated using the highest systolic blood pressure of the 4 ankle arteries (bilateral dorsalis pedis and posterior tibial). Accordingly, patients may be assigned a normal ABI when the result would be abnormal if calculated using one of the other blood pressure readings. Cardiovascular outcomes for patients with discordant ABIs are undescribed. Methods and Results We performed a retrospective study of patients who underwent ABI measurement for any indication between January 1996 and June 2018. Those with normal ABIs (1.00-1.39) were included. We compared patients with all 4 normal ABIs (calculated using all 4 ankle arteries; n=15 577, median age 64.0 years, 54.4% men) to those with discordant ABIs (at least 1 abnormal ABI ≤0.99; n=2095, median age 66.0 years, 47.8% men). The outcomes assessed were ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, and all-cause mortality. Compared with patients with concordant normal ABIs, patients with discordant ABIs were older; women; smoked; and had chronic kidney disease, coronary artery disease, diabetes mellitus, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, hypertension, or prior stroke. Patients with discordant ABIs had a greater risk of myocardial infarction (hazard ratio [HR], 1.31; 95% CI, 1.10-1.56), ischemic stroke (HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.37-1.72), and all-cause mortality (HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.16-1.39), including after adjustment for baseline comorbidities. Conclusions Discordant ABI results were associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction, stroke, and all-cause mortality in the studied population. Clinicians should examine ABI calculations using all 4 ankle arteries to better characterize a patient's cardiovascular risk.