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1.
Am J Transplant ; 17(4): 1071-1080, 2017 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27639262

RESUMO

After extensive experimentation, outcomes of a first clinical normothermic machine perfusion (NMP) liver trial in the United Kingdom demonstrated feasibility and clear safety, with improved liver function compared with standard static cold storage (SCS). We present a preliminary single-center North American experience using identical NMP technology. Ten donor liver grafts were procured, four (40%) from donation after circulatory death (DCD), of which nine were transplanted. One liver did not proceed because of a technical failure with portal cannulation and was discarded. Transplanted NMP grafts were matched 1:3 with transplanted SCS livers. Median NMP was 11.5 h (range 3.3-22.5 h) with one DCD liver perfused for 22.5 h. All transplanted livers functioned, and serum transaminases, bilirubin, international normalized ratio, and lactate levels corrected in NMP recipients similarly to controls. Graft survival at 30 days (primary outcome) was not statistically different between groups on an intent-to-treat basis (p = 0.25). Intensive care and hospital stays were significantly more prolonged in the NMP group. This preliminary experience demonstrates feasibility as well as potential technical risks of NMP in a North American setting and highlights a need for larger, randomized studies.


Assuntos
Transplante de Fígado , Preservação de Órgãos/métodos , Perfusão/métodos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Isquemia Quente , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Circulação Extracorpórea , Feminino , Sobrevivência de Enxerto , Humanos , Testes de Função Hepática , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doadores de Tecidos , Adulto Jovem
2.
Diabetologia ; 55(11): 2929-37, 2012 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22945303

RESUMO

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Current drug labels for thiazolidinediones (TZDs) warn of increased fractures, predominantly for distal fractures in women. We examined whether exposure to TZDs affects hip fracture in women and men and compared the risk to that found with other drugs used in diabetes. METHODS: Using a nationwide database of prescriptions, hospital admissions and deaths in those with type 2 diabetes in Scotland we calculated TZD exposure among 206,672 individuals. Discrete-time failure analysis was used to model the effect of cumulative drug exposure on hip fracture during 1999-2008. RESULTS: There were 176 hip fractures among 37,479 exposed individuals. Hip fracture risk increased with cumulative exposure to TZD: OR per year of exposure 1.18 (95% CI 1.09, 1.28; p = 3 × 10(-5)), adjusted for age, sex and calendar month. Hip fracture increased with cumulative exposure in both men (OR 1.20; 95% CI 1.03, 1.41) and women (OR 1.18; 95% CI 1.07, 1.29) and risks were similar for pioglitazone (OR 1.18) and rosiglitazone (OR 1.16). The association was similar when adjusted for exposure to other drugs for diabetes and for other potential confounders. There was no association of hip fracture with cumulative exposure to sulfonylureas, metformin or insulin in this analysis. The 90-day mortality associated with hip fractures was similar in ever-users of TZD (15%) and in never-users (13%). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Hip fracture is a severe adverse effect with TZDs, affecting both sexes; labels should be changed to warn of this. The excess mortality is at least as much as expected from the reported association of pioglitazone with bladder cancer.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamento farmacológico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Fraturas do Quadril/induzido quimicamente , Fraturas do Quadril/epidemiologia , Tiazolidinedionas/efeitos adversos , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Bases de Dados Factuais/estatística & dados numéricos , Prescrições de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Seguimentos , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Hipoglicemiantes/administração & dosagem , Hipoglicemiantes/efeitos adversos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Farmacoepidemiologia/estatística & dados numéricos , Pioglitazona , Fatores de Risco , Rosiglitazona , Escócia/epidemiologia , Distribuição por Sexo , Tiazolidinedionas/administração & dosagem
3.
Diabetologia ; 55(7): 1971-7, 2012 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22453232

RESUMO

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: In this study we aimed to replicate the previously reported association between the glycaemic response to metformin and the SNP rs11212617 at a locus that includes the ataxia telangiectasia mutated (ATM) gene in multiple additional populations. METHODS: Incident users of metformin selected from the Diabetes Care System West-Friesland (DCS, n = 929) and the Rotterdam Study (n = 182) from the Netherlands, and the CARDS Trial (n = 254) from the UK were genotyped for rs11212617 and tested for an association with both HbA(1c) reduction and treatment success, defined as the ability to reach the treatment target of an HbA(1c) ≤ 7 % (53 mmol/mol). Finally, a meta-analysis including data from literature was performed. RESULTS: In the DCS cohort, we observed an association between rs11212617 genotype and treatment success on metformin (OR 1.27, 95% CI 1.03, 1.58, p = 0.028); in the smaller Rotterdam Study cohort, a numerically similar but non-significant trend was observed (OR 1.45, 95% CI 0.87, 2.39, p = 0.15); while in the CARDS cohort there was no significant association. In meta-analyses of these three cohorts separately or combined with the previously published cohorts, rs11212617 genotype is associated with metformin treatment success (OR 1.24, 95% CI 1.04, 1.49, p = 0.016 and OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.33, 1.38, p = 7.8 × 10(-6), respectively). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: A gene variant near ATM is significantly associated with metformin treatment response in type 2 diabetic patients from the Netherlands and the UK. This is the first robustly replicated common susceptibility locus found to be associated with metformin treatment response.


Assuntos
Replicação do DNA/genética , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamento farmacológico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/genética , Hipoglicemiantes/uso terapêutico , Metformina/uso terapêutico , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Replicação do DNA/efeitos dos fármacos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/sangue , Relação Dose-Resposta a Droga , Feminino , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Hemoglobinas Glicadas/metabolismo , Humanos , Hipoglicemiantes/farmacologia , Masculino , Metformina/farmacologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Países Baixos , Estudos Prospectivos , Resultado do Tratamento
4.
J Physiol Pharmacol ; 73(4)2022 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36696245

RESUMO

Systemic hyperinflammation is a hallmark of severe coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19). Tocilizumab (TCZ) (an interleukin-6 receptor blocker) therapy is currently used as an anti-inflammatory intervention alongside corticosteroids to modulate the hyperinflammatory response (cytokine storm) in hospitalized patients with severe COVID-19 to prevent mortality. There is, however, a wide uncertainty about its pros and cons in patients with COVID-19, particularly, its possible immunosuppressive effect is of serious concern for the clinicians. The present study aimed to report response of a cohort of severely-ill hospitalized COVID-19 pneumonia patients who were treated with tocilizumab after the initial corticosteroids therapy failed to improve the patients' clinical condition. This was a single-arm retrospective study of 100 severely-ill COVID-19 pneumonia patients who were admitted to the specialized COVID-19 units of Mayo Hospital, Lahore, Pakistan from March 12, 2020, to May 25, 2021. These COVID-19 patients had progressed to cytokine storm with persistent hypoxia, associated with pneumonia, and markedly elevated serum levels of inflammatory biomarkers including C-reactive protein (CRP), D-dimer, and ferritin. All the patients had received two separate doses of intravenous 400 mg (4 mg/kg) tocilizumab with an 8-hour interval alongside standard COVID-19 care which includes corticosteroid, antibiotics, and anticoagulants. Following tocilizumab intervention, 75 (75.0%) patients showed clinical improvement, continued to recover, and were safely discharged from the hospital, while in 25 (25.0%) patients, TCZ failed to prevent clinical deterioration, and patients eventually died in the hospital. Amongst the 25 (25.0%) deaths, 8 (32.0%) patients had a single comorbidity, while 9 (36.0%) had two or more comorbidities. The median IQR age for survivors was 57.0 (50.0, 60.0) years, and non-survivors was 60.0 (55.0, 70.0) years; and the period of hospitalization was 25 (20, 40) days and 20 (14, 34) days, respectively. Tocilizumab treatment improved serum inflammatory biomarker levels including CRP, D-dimer, and ferritin, by almost a similar magnitude in both survivors and non-survivors. Development of secondary infections were reported in 25 (25.0%) patients, including 21% patients with bacterial (Pseudomonas, Klebsiella, Acinetobacter) and 4% with fungal (Aspergillus) infection. The emergence of secondary infection was higher in patients who died (72.0%) as compared to those who survived (28.0%). In conclusion: in low- and middle-income countries in the presence of limited therapeutic options, a timely intervention of TCZ alongside corticosteroids may be a suitable anti-inflammatory therapy for severely-ill hospitalized COVID-19 pneumonia patients to prevent mortality. However, patients must be closely monitored for secondary bacterial/fungal infections. Early diagnosis and management of secondary infection can reduce morbidity and mortality.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Coinfecção , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2 , Síndrome da Liberação de Citocina/tratamento farmacológico , Síndrome da Liberação de Citocina/induzido quimicamente , Coinfecção/induzido quimicamente , Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , Anti-Inflamatórios/efeitos adversos , Proteína C-Reativa , Biomarcadores , Ferritinas , Resultado do Tratamento
5.
J Physiol Pharmacol ; 73(3)2022 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36302537

RESUMO

Systemic inflammation is a hallmark of severe coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19). Anti-inflammatory therapy is considered crucial to modulate the hyperinflammatory response (cytokine storm) in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. There is currently no specific, conclusively proven, cost-efficient, and worldwide available anti-inflammatory therapy available to treat COVID-19 patients with cytokine storm. The present study aimed to investigate the treatment benefit of oral colchicine for hospitalized COVID-19 patients with suspected cytokine storm. Colchicine is an approved drug and possesses multiple anti-inflammatory mechanisms. This was a pilot, open-label randomized controlled clinical trial comparing standard of care (SOC) plus oral colchicine (colchicine arm) vs. SOC alone (control arm) in non-ICU hospitalized COVID-19 patients with suspected cytokine storm. Colchicine treatment was initiated within first 48 hours of admission delivered at 1.5 mg loading dose, followed by 0.5 mg b.i.d. for next 6 days and 0.5 mg q.d. for the second week. A total of 96 patients were randomly allocated to the colchicine (n=48) and control groups (n=48). Both colchicine and control group patients experienced similar clinical outcomes by day 14 of hospitalization. Treatment outcome by day 14 in colchicine vs control arm: recovered and discharged alive: 36 (75.0%) vs. 37 (77.1%), remain admitted after 14-days: 4 (8.3%) vs. 5 (10.4%), ICU transferred: 4 (8.3%) vs. 3 (6.3%), and mortality: 4 (8.3%) vs. 3 (6.3%). The speed of improvement of COVID-19 acute symptoms including shortness of breath, fever, cough, the need of supplementary oxygen, and oxygen saturation level, was almost identical in the two groups. Length of hospitalization was on average 1.5 day shorter in the colchicine group. There was no evidence for a difference between the two groups in the follow-up serum levels of inflammatory biomarkers including C-reactive protein (CRP), D-dimer, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), ferritin, interleukin-6 (IL-6), high-sensitivity troponin T (hs-TnT) and N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (NT pro-BNP). According to the results of our study, oral colchicine does not appear to show clinical benefits in non-ICU hospitalized COVID-19 patients with suspected cytokine storm. It is possible that the anti-inflammatory pathways of colchicine are not crucially involved in the pathogenesis of COVID-19.


Assuntos
Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Síndrome da Liberação de Citocina/tratamento farmacológico , Colchicina/uso terapêutico , Hospitalização , Anti-Inflamatórios/uso terapêutico , Resultado do Tratamento
6.
Diabetologia ; 53(5): 809-20, 2010 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20057994

RESUMO

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: As adding metformin to insulin therapy has been advocated in type 1 diabetes, we conducted a systematic review of published clinical trials and clinical trial databases to assess the effects on HbA(1c), weight, insulin-dose requirement and adverse effects. METHODS: We constructed evidence tables and fitted a fixed-effects model (inverse variance method) in order to assess heterogeneity between studies and give a crude measure of each overall treatment effect. RESULTS: Of 197 studies identified, nine involved randomisation with informed consent of patients with type 1 diabetes to metformin (vs placebo or comparator) in either a parallel or crossover design for at least 1 week. We noted marked heterogeneity in study design, drug dose, age of participants and length of follow-up. Metformin was associated with reductions in: (1) insulin-dose requirement (5.7-10.1 U/day in six of seven studies); (2) HbA(1c) (0.6-0.9% in four of seven studies); (3) weight (1.7-6.0 kg in three of six studies); and (4) total cholesterol (0.3-0.41 mmol/l in three of seven studies). Metformin was well tolerated, albeit with a trend towards increased hypoglycaemia. Formal estimates of combined effects from the five trials which reported appropriate data indicated a significant reduction in insulin dose (6.6 U/day, p < 0.001) but no significant reduction in HbA(1c) (absolute reduction 0.11%, p = 0.42). No reported trials included cardiovascular outcomes. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Metformin reduces insulin-dose requirement in type 1 diabetes but it is unclear whether this is sustained beyond 1 year and whether there are benefits for cardiovascular and other key clinical outcomes.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/tratamento farmacológico , Metformina/uso terapêutico , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto , Quimioterapia Combinada , Humanos , Hipoglicemiantes/uso terapêutico , Insulina/uso terapêutico , Resultado do Tratamento
7.
Comput Math Methods Med ; 2020: 2106570, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33082837

RESUMO

Globally, it is estimated that of the 36.7 million people infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), 6.3% are coinfected with hepatitis C virus (HCV). Coinfection with HIV reduces the chance of HCV spontaneous clearance. In this work, we formulated and analysed a deterministic model to study the HIV and HCV coinfection dynamics in absence of therapy. Due to chronic stage of HCV infection being long, asymptomatic, and infectious, our model formulation was based on the splitting of the chronic stage into the following: before onset of cirrhosis and its complications and after onset of cirrhosis. We computed the basic reproduction numbers using the next generation matrix method. We performed numerical simulations to support the analytical results. We carried out sensitivity analysis to determine the relative importance of the different parameters influencing the HIV-HCV coinfection dynamics. The findings reveal that, in the long run, there is a substantial number of individuals coinfected with HIV and latent HCV. Therefore, HIV and latently HCV-infected individuals need to seek early treatment so as to slow down the progression of HIV to AIDS and latent HCV to advanced HCV.


Assuntos
Coinfecção/etiologia , Infecções por HIV/etiologia , Hepatite C Crônica/etiologia , Modelos Biológicos , Número Básico de Reprodução/estatística & dados numéricos , Coinfecção/epidemiologia , Coinfecção/transmissão , Biologia Computacional , Simulação por Computador , Progressão da Doença , Suscetibilidade a Doenças , Feminino , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/transmissão , Hepatite C Crônica/epidemiologia , Hepatite C Crônica/transmissão , Humanos , Masculino , Conceitos Matemáticos
8.
Comput Math Methods Med ; 2020: 8972063, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33123216

RESUMO

A deterministic mathematical model for brucellosis that incorporates seasonality on direct and indirect transmission parameters for domestic ruminants, wild animals, humans, and the environment was formulated and analyzed in this paper. Both analytical and numerical simulations are presented. From this study, the findings show that variations in seasonal weather have the great impact on the transmission dynamics of brucellosis in humans, livestock, and wild animals. Thus, in order for the disease to be controlled or eliminated, measures should be timely implemented upon the fluctuation in the transmission of the disease.


Assuntos
Zoonoses Bacterianas/transmissão , Brucelose/transmissão , Brucelose/veterinária , Modelos Biológicos , Animais , Animais Domésticos , Animais Selvagens , Número Básico de Reprodução/estatística & dados numéricos , Biologia Computacional , Simulação por Computador , Suscetibilidade a Doenças/veterinária , Microbiologia Ambiental , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Conceitos Matemáticos , Estações do Ano , Tempo (Meteorologia)
9.
Diabetologia ; 52(2): 218-25, 2009 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18972097

RESUMO

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Controversy surrounds whether the ratio of apolipoprotein B (ApoB) to apolipoprotein A-I (ApoA-I) is the best lipoprotein discriminator of CHD risk in non-diabetic populations, but the issue has never been investigated in type 2 diabetes. METHODS: In 2,627 participants without known vascular disease in the Collaborative Atorvastatin Diabetes Study, ApoB, ApoA-I, LDL-cholesterol (LDLC) and HDL-cholesterol (HDLC) were assayed at baseline. RESULTS: There were 108 CHD and 59 stroke endpoints over 3.9 years. The ApoB:A-I ratio at baseline was the lipoprotein variable most closely predicting CHD risk both by comparison of the hazard ratio for a 1 SD change or tertiles of frequency distribution. The areas under the receiver-operator curve for the ApoB:ApoA-I and the LDLC to HDLC [corrected] ratios, although not significantly different from each other, were greater (p = 0.0005 and p = 0.0125 respectively) than that of non-HDLC:HDLC. The 27% decrease in the ApoB:ApoA-I ratio on atorvastatin predicted a 32% (95% CI 5.4-51.2%) risk reduction in CHD, close to the 36% decrease observed. Neither the ApoB:ApoA-I nor any other lipoprotein concentration or ratio predicted the stroke outcome. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Overall, the ApoB:ApoA-I ratio improved on the non-HDLC:HDLC ratio in predicting CHD, but, depending on the assessment chosen, its superiority over LDLC:HDLC may be marginal. The statin-induced decrease in stroke risk may not be lipoprotein mediated. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00327418. FUNDING: The study was supported by unrestricted grants from Diabetes UK, the Department of Health and Pfizer to the University of Manchester and to University College, London.


Assuntos
Apolipoproteínas/sangue , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/sangue , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Angiopatias Diabéticas/epidemiologia , Ácidos Heptanoicos/uso terapêutico , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases/uso terapêutico , Pirróis/uso terapêutico , Adulto , Idoso , Apolipoproteína A-I/sangue , Atorvastatina , Biomarcadores/sangue , Pressão Sanguínea/efeitos dos fármacos , Método Duplo-Cego , Feminino , Frequência Cardíaca , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Triglicerídeos/sangue
10.
Nat Commun ; 10(1): 2810, 2019 Jun 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31243282

RESUMO

Few subglacial lakes have been identified beneath the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) despite extensive documentation in Antarctica, where periodic release of water can impact ice flow. Here we present an ice-sheet-wide survey of Greenland subglacial lakes, identifying 54 candidates from airborne radio-echo sounding, and 2 lakes from ice-surface elevation changes. These range from 0.2-5.9 km in length, and are mostly distributed away from ice divides, beneath relatively slow-moving ice. Based on our results and previous observations, we suggest three zones of formation: stable lakes in northern and eastern regions above the Equilibrium Line Altitude (ELA) but away from the interior; hydrologically-active lakes near the ELA recharged by surface meltwater and; small, seasonally-active lakes below the ELA, which form over winter and drain during the melt season. These observations provide important constraints on the GrIS's basal thermal regime and help refine our understanding of the subglacial hydrological system.

11.
Math Biosci ; 302: 80-99, 2018 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29800562

RESUMO

The plague disease model that include the effect of seasonal weather variation in its transmission is investigated in this paper. The disease is caused by an extremely virulent bacteria Yersinia pestis named after a French bacteriologist Alexandre Yersin. The analysis shows that, when the periodic reproduction number (RT) is greater than one there exist a globally asymptotically stable disease free equilibrium solution (DFS). Using fundamental existence-uniqueness theorem we were able to prove the existence of positive periodic solutions. The analysis further shows that when RT > 1 then there is at least one positive periodic solution. We additionally establish the conditions for global stability of periodic solutions of the model and finally using numerical simulation we depict the behavioral dynamics of plague disease and justify the theoretical solutions.


Assuntos
Modelos Biológicos , Peste/transmissão , Animais , Número Básico de Reprodução , Simulação por Computador , Vetores de Doenças , Humanos , Conceitos Matemáticos , Peste/epidemiologia , Roedores , Estações do Ano , Sifonápteros , Tempo (Meteorologia)
12.
Comput Math Methods Med ; 2018: 9385080, 2018.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29971134

RESUMO

HIV is one of the major causes of deaths, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa. In this paper, an in vivo deterministic model of differential equations is presented and analyzed for HIV dynamics. Optimal control theory is applied to investigate the key roles played by the various HIV treatment strategies. In particular, we establish the optimal strategies for controlling the infection using three treatment regimes as the system control variables. We have applied Pontryagin's Maximum Principle in characterizing the optimality control, which then has been solved numerically by applying the Runge-Kutta forth-order scheme. The numerical results indicate that an optimal controlled treatment strategy would ensure significant reduction in viral load and also in HIV transmission. It is also evident from the results that protease inhibitor plays a key role in virus suppression; this is not to underscore the benefits accrued when all the three drug regimes are used in combination.


Assuntos
Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Carga Viral , Infecções por HIV/virologia , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos
13.
Math Biosci ; 302: 67-79, 2018 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29800563

RESUMO

Enzyme alanine aminotransferase (ALT) elevation which reflects hepatocellular injury is a current challenge in people infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) on antiretroviral therapy (ART). One of the factors that enhance the risk of hepatotoxicity is underlying diseases such as hepatitis caused by hepatitis B virus (HBV). HIV/HBV coinfected patients stand a greater risk of hepatotoxicity because all ART are toxic and liver cells (hepatocytes) that are responsible for metabolising the toxic ART, support all stages of HIV and HBV viral production. Mathematical models coupled with numerical simulations are used in this study with the aim of investigating the optimal combination of ART in HIV/HBV coinfection. Emtricitabine, tenofovir and efavirenz is the optimal combination that maximises the therapeutic effect of therapy and minimises the toxic response to medication in HIV/HBV coinfection.


Assuntos
Fármacos Anti-HIV/efeitos adversos , Doença Hepática Induzida por Substâncias e Drogas/etiologia , Infecções por HIV/complicações , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Hepatite B/complicações , Hepatite B/tratamento farmacológico , Fármacos Anti-HIV/administração & dosagem , Coinfecção/tratamento farmacológico , Simulação por Computador , Quimioterapia Combinada/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecções por HIV/virologia , Hepatite B/virologia , Humanos , Conceitos Matemáticos , Modelos Biológicos , Carga Viral/efeitos dos fármacos
14.
Int Sch Res Notices ; 2017: 2124789, 2017.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29349288

RESUMO

The in vivo dynamics of HIV infection, the infection mechanism, the cell types infected, and the role played by the cytotoxic cells are poorly understood. This paper uses mathematical modelling as a tool to investigate and analyze the immune system dynamics in the presence of HIV infection. We formulate a six-dimensional model of nonlinear ordinary differential equations derived from known biological interaction mechanisms between the immune cells and the HIV virions. The existence and uniqueness as well as positivity and boundedness of the solutions to the differential equations are proved. Furthermore, the disease-free reproduction number is derived and the local asymptotic stability of the model investigated. In addition, numerical analysis is carried out to illustrate the importance of having R0 < 1. Lastly, the biological dynamics of HIV in vivo infection are graphically represented. The results indicate that, at acute infection, the cytotoxic T-cells play a paramount role in reducing HIV viral replication. In addition, the results emphasize the importance of developing controls, interventions, and management policies that when implemented would lead to viral suppression during acute infection.

16.
Br J Sports Med ; 40(3): 202-7, 2006 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16505074

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To demonstrate the utility of a practical measure of lean mass for monitoring changes in the body composition of athletes. METHODS: Between 1999 and 2003 body mass and sum of seven skinfolds were recorded for 40 forwards and 32 backs from one Super 12 rugby union franchise. Players were assessed on 13 (7) occasions (mean (SD)) over 1.9 (1.3) years. Mixed modelling of log transformed variables provided a lean mass index (LMI) of the form mass/skinfolds(x), for monitoring changes in mass controlled for changes in skinfold thickness. Mean effects of phase of season and time in programme were modelled as percentage changes. Effects were standardised for interpretation of magnitudes. RESULTS: The exponent x was 0.13 for forwards and 0.14 for backs (90% confidence limits +/-0.03). The forwards had a small decrease in skinfolds (5.3%, 90% confidence limits +/-2.2%) between preseason and competition phases, and a small increase (7.8%, 90% confidence limits +/-3.1%) during the club season. A small decrease in LMI (approximately 1.5%) occurred after one year in the programme for forwards and backs, whereas increases in skinfolds for forwards became substantial (4.3%, 90% confidence limits +/-2.2%) after three years. Individual variation in body composition was small within a season (within subject SD: body mass, 1.6%; skinfolds, 6.8%; LMI, 1.1%) and somewhat greater for body mass (2.1%) and LMI (1.7%) between seasons. CONCLUSIONS: Despite a lack of substantial mean changes, there was substantial individual variation in lean mass within and between seasons. An index of lean mass based on body mass and skinfolds is a potentially useful tool for assessing body composition of athletes.


Assuntos
Antropometria , Índice de Massa Corporal , Futebol Americano/fisiologia , Dobras Cutâneas , Adulto , Composição Corporal/fisiologia , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , New South Wales
17.
QJM ; 108(2): 127-34, 2015 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25140030

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Increasing prevalence of diabetes worldwide is projected to lead to an increase in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) requiring renal replacement therapy (RRT). AIM: To provide contemporary estimates of the prevalence of ESRD and requirement for RRT among people with diabetes in a nationwide study and to report associated survival. METHODS: Data were extracted and linked from three national databases: Scottish Renal Registry, Scottish Care Initiative-Diabetes Collaboration and National Records of Scotland death data. Survival analyses were modelled with Cox regression. RESULTS: Point prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD)5 in 2008 was 1.63% of 19 414 people with type 1 diabetes (T1DM) compared with 0.58% of 167 871 people with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) (odds ratio for DM type 0.97, P = 0.77, on adjustment for duration. Although 83% of those with T1DM and CKD5 and 61% of those with T2DM and CKD5 were receiving RRT, there was no difference when adjusted for age, sex and DM duration (odds ratio for DM type 0.83, P = 0.432). Diabetic nephropathy was the primary renal diagnosis in 91% of people with T1DM and 58% of people with T2DM on RRT. Median survival time from initiation of RRT was 3.84 years (95% CI 2.77, 4.62) in T1DM and 2.16 years (95% CI: 1.92, 2.38) in T2DM. CONCLUSION: Considerable numbers of patients with diabetes continue to progress to CKD5 and RRT. Almost half of all RRT cases in T2DM are considered to be due to conditions other than diabetic nephropathy. Median survival time for people with diabetes from initiation of RRT remains poor. These prevalence data are important for future resource planning.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Nefropatias Diabéticas/epidemiologia , Falência Renal Crônica/terapia , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Terapia de Substituição Renal/mortalidade , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , Escócia , Análise de Sobrevida , Adulto Jovem
18.
AIDS ; 14(7): 853-61, 2000 May 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10839594

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To describe the distribution and changes in CD4 cell counts (both initial and subsequent) in HIV-infected persons over time and determine the factors influencing these counts. DESIGN: Reports were requested from laboratories measuring CD4 cell counts in England and Wales. Initial counts were analysed and median counts were followed over time. METHODS: Time trends and the relationship between initial CD4 cell count and age, sex, and HIV risk category were studied using quantile regression methods or chi-square tests. RESULTS: Between 1990 and 1998, 9553 adults were newly diagnosed with HIV infection and had a CD4 cell count within 6 months of HIV diagnosis. Over 50% of initial CD4 cell counts in each major risk category were below 350 cells/mm3. Older age (P < 0.001), male sex (P < 0.013) and heterosexual risk (P < 0.001) were independently associated with lower initial CD4 cell counts. For heterosexually infected adults, the median initial CD4 cell count was significantly negatively associated with the year of diagnosis (P = 0.03) and the median age increased through the time period examined (P < 0.001), whereas for men who have sex with men (MSM), there was no significant change in these values over time. For each year cohort of newly diagnosed individuals, the median CD4 cell count in subsequent years decreased until 1996 and then increased thereafter, consistent with a treatment effect. CONCLUSION: Across all major risk groups, a large proportion of HIV-infected adults are being diagnosed late in the course of HIV disease. For the heterosexually infected, the data suggest an ageing cohort effect, whereas for MSM the data are consistent with continuing transmission.


Assuntos
Contagem de Linfócito CD4 , Infecções por HIV/diagnóstico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Adulto , Estudos de Coortes , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Feminino , Infecções por HIV/imunologia , Humanos , Masculino , Vigilância da População , Análise de Regressão , Fatores de Risco , País de Gales/epidemiologia
19.
Evolution ; 55(4): 721-7, 2001 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11392390

RESUMO

Female mate preferences are a major cause of diversity and elaboration in male sexual traits. Here we characterize the shape of female preference functions for pulse length and carrier frequency of the courtship song of Drosophila montana by fitting both parametric and nonparametric functions to the incidence of female receptive gestures to synthetic song. Preference functions for both traits are strongly directional. That for pulse length is linear and favors short pulses, whereas that for carrier frequency is stabilizing in shape, but would exert directional preferences favoring males with high carrier frequency. The preference for carrier frequency has probably evolved under sexual selection, but reasons for the preference for short pulses are less apparent. We also examine the effect of ambient temperature on the carrier frequency of male song and on the preference function for carrier frequency. For many similar acoustic communication systems, temperature coupling, a compensatory effect of temperature on preference functions, is thought to maintain coordination between preferences and signals. However, although the carrier frequency of D. montana song is highly dependent on environmental temperature, there is no temperature coupling of the female preference function. We suggest that temperature coupling may often arise due to a common effect of temperature on song and preference, rather than be an advantageous characteristic whose function is to maintain coordination in temperature-affected communication systems.


Assuntos
Corte , Drosophila/fisiologia , Comportamento Sexual Animal/fisiologia , Som , Animais , Drosophila/genética , Feminino , Finlândia , Masculino , Distribuição Aleatória , Estatísticas não Paramétricas , Temperatura , Asas de Animais/fisiologia
20.
Am J Med Genet ; 29(1): 171-85, 1988 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-3125743

RESUMO

We have evaluated 19 children who were exposed to valproic acid (VPA) in utero to look for manifestations of a fetal valproate syndrome (FVS), as proposed by Di Liberti et al. [1984]. We found no consistent alterations of pre- or postnatal growth with exposure to VPA monotherapy. Postnatal growth deficiency and microcephaly were present however, in two thirds of children exposed to VPA in combination with other anticonvulsants. Developmental delay or neurologic abnormality was found in 71% of those exposed to VPA monotherapy, and in 90% of those exposed to VPA and other anticonvulsants. Craniofacial anomalies, which can be seen with other anticonvulsant exposures, including midface hypoplasia, short nose with a broad and/or flat bridge, epicanthal folds, minor abnormalities of the ear, philtrum or lip, and micrognathia were also found in infants whose mothers used VPA. Prominent metopic ridge and outer orbital ridge deficiency or bifrontal narrowing and certain major anomalies such as tracheomalacia, talipes equinovarus (with intact spine) and lumbosacral meningomyelocele seem to be peculiar to infants with VPA exposure. Other defects such as urogenital anomalies, inguinal or umbilical hernias, and minor digital anomalies that are common to other prenatal anticonvulsant exposures are also occasionally found in those exposed to VPA. Heart defects have been found in infants exposed to nearly every class of anticonvulsant although the types of defects associated with maternal VPA use may be clarified when classified by pathogenetic mechanism. Our findings overall are in agreement with the report of Di Liberti et al. [1984].


Assuntos
Anormalidades Induzidas por Medicamentos , Ácido Valproico/efeitos adversos , Ossos Faciais/anormalidades , Feminino , Transtornos do Crescimento/induzido quimicamente , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Gravidez , Crânio/anormalidades , Síndrome , Teratogênicos
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