Association of metabolic-bariatric surgery with long-term survival in adults with and without diabetes: a one-stage meta-analysis of matched cohort and prospective controlled studies with 174 772 participants.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic-bariatric surgery delivers substantial weight loss and can induce remission or improvement of obesity-related risks and complications. However, more robust estimates of its effect on long-term mortality and life expectancy-especially stratified by pre-existing diabetes status-are needed to guide policy and facilitate patient counselling. We compared long-term survival outcomes of severely obese patients who received metabolic-bariatric surgery versus usual care. METHODS: We did a prespecified one-stage meta-analysis using patient-level survival data reconstructed from prospective controlled trials and high-quality matched cohort studies. We searched PubMed, Scopus, and MEDLINE (via Ovid) for randomised trials, prospective controlled studies, and matched cohort studies comparing all-cause mortality after metabolic-bariatric surgery versus non-surgical management of obesity published between inception and Feb 3, 2021. We also searched grey literature by reviewing bibliographies of included studies as well as review articles. Shared-frailty (ie, random-effects) and stratified Cox models were fitted to compare all-cause mortality of adults with obesity who underwent metabolic-bariatric surgery compared with matched controls who received usual care, taking into account clustering of participants at the study level. We also computed numbers needed to treat, and extrapolated life expectancy using Gompertz proportional-hazards modelling. The study protocol is prospectively registered on PROSPERO, number CRD42020218472. FINDINGS: Among 1470 articles identified, 16 matched cohort studies and one prospective controlled trial were included in the analysis. 7712 deaths occurred during 1·2 million patient-years. In the overall population consisting 174 772 participants, metabolic-bariatric surgery was associated with a reduction in hazard rate of death of 49·2% (95% CI 46·3-51·9, p<0·0001) and median life expectancy was 6·1 years (95% CI 5·2-6·9) longer than usual care. In subgroup analyses, both individuals with (hazard ratio 0·409, 95% CI 0·370-0·453, p<0·0001) or without (0·704, 0·588-0·843, p<0·0001) baseline diabetes who underwent metabolic-bariatric surgery had lower rates of all-cause mortality, but the treatment effect was considerably greater for those with diabetes (between-subgroup I2 95·7%, p<0·0001). Median life expectancy was 9·3 years (95% CI 7·1-11·8) longer for patients with diabetes in the surgery group than the non-surgical group, whereas the life expectancy gain was 5·1 years (2·0-9·3) for patients without diabetes. The numbers needed to treat to prevent one additional death over a 10-year time frame were 8·4 (95% CI 7·8-9·1) for adults with diabetes and 29·8 (21·2-56·8) for those without diabetes. Treatment effects did not appear to differ between gastric bypass, banding, and sleeve gastrectomy (I2 3·4%, p=0·36). By leveraging the results of this meta-analysis and other published data, we estimated that every 1·0% increase in metabolic-bariatric surgery utilisation rates among the global pool of metabolic-bariatric candidates with and without diabetes could yield 5·1 million and 6·6 million potential life-years, respectively. INTERPRETATION: Among adults with obesity, metabolic-bariatric surgery is associated with substantially lower all-cause mortality rates and longer life expectancy than usual obesity management. Survival benefits are much more pronounced for people with pre-existing diabetes than those without. FUNDING: None.

Association of anxiety, depression and resilience with overall health and functioning in axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA): a cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the association between anxiety, depression and resilience with overall health and functioning in axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA). DESIGN: Cross-sectional evaluation of baseline data from a prospective cohort study, with recruitment from January 2018 to March 2021. SETTING: Outpatient clinic in a tertiary hospital in Singapore. PARTICIPANTS: Patients aged 21 years and above who were diagnosed with axSpA. OUTCOME MEASURES: The Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) was used for assessing anxiety and depression, 10-item Connor Davidson Resilience Scale (CD-RISC-10) for resilience, Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index (BASDAI) for disease activity, Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Functional Index (BASFI) for functional limitation and Assessment of SpondyloArthritis International Society Health Index (ASAS HI) for overall health and functioning. Univariable and multivariable linear regression analyses were performed to assess the association between anxiety, depression and resilience with health and functioning. RESULTS: We included 296 patients in this study. The median (IQR) score for HADS-Anxiety was 5.0 (2.0-8.0), with 13.5% and 13.9% having borderline abnormal and abnormal anxiety, respectively. The median (IQR) score for HADS-Depression was 3.0 (1.0-7.0), with 12.8% and 8.4% having borderline abnormal and abnormal depression, respectively. The median (IQR) CD-RISC-10 score was 29.0 (23.0-32.0) while the median (IQR) ASAS HI score was 4.0 (2.0-7.0). Apart from BASDAI, BASFI and disease duration, anxiety and depression were associated with overall health and functioning (ß: 0.12, 95% CI 0.03, 0.20; ß: 0.20, 95% CI 0.09, 0.31) in the multivariable linear regression. Level of resilience was not associated with health and functioning. CONCLUSION: Anxiety and depression, but not resilience, were associated with poorer health and functioning. Clinicians could consider routinely screening for anxiety and depression in their patients, especially in patients with more severe symptoms.