HCC prediction models in chronic hepatitis B patients receiving entecavir or tenofovir: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Our study aimed to compare the predictive performance of different hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prediction models in chronic hepatitis B patients receiving entecavir or tenofovir, including discrimination, calibration, negative predictive value (NPV) in low-risk, and proportion of low-risk. METHODS: We conducted a systematic literature research in PubMed, EMbase, the Cochrane Library, and Web of Science before January 13, 2022. The predictive performance was assessed by area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration index, negative predictive value, and the proportion in low-risk. Subgroup and meta-regression analyses of discrimination and calibration were conducted. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to validate the stability of the results. RESULTS: We identified ten prediction models in 23 studies. The pooled 3-, 5-, and 10-year AUROC varied from 0.72 to 0.84, 0.74 to 0.83, and 0.76 to 0.86, respectively. REAL-B, AASL-HCC, and HCC-RESCUE achieved the best discrimination. HCC-RESCUE, PAGE-B, and mPAGE-B overestimated HCC development, whereas mREACH-B, AASL-HCC, REAL-B, CAMD, CAGE-B, SAGE-B, and aMAP underestimated it. All models were able to identify people with a low risk of HCC accurately. HCC-RESCUE and aMAP recognized over half of the population as low-risk. Subgroup analysis and sensitivity analysis showed similar results. CONCLUSION: Considering the predictive performance of all four aspects, we suggest that HCC-RESCUE was the best model to utilize in clinical practice, especially in primary care and low-income areas. To confirm our findings, further validation studies with the above four components were required.

Age and Serum Creatinine Can Differentiate Wilson Disease Patients with Pseudonormal Ceruloplasmin.

Methods: We retrospectively screened individuals with serum Cp ≥ 140 mg/L from 1032 WD patients who were hospitalised for the first time. Logistic regression analyses were performed in a case-control study between the WD cohort and another liver disease cohort to explore the independent risk factors for WD diagnosis and establish a regression model to identify them. The follow-up medical records of the WD cohort were subjected to mixed-effects model analysis in a longitudinal study to discover factors associated with Cp normalisation. Results: Eighty-six WD patients and their 353 medical records and another 98 non-WD liver disease patients were included in the present study. Cp normalisation was significantly associated with the copper burden and liver function indexes, such as urinary copper, γ-glutamyltransferase, and albumin (p ≤ 0.001). Logistic regression analysis showed that age and serum creatinine (p ≤ 0.001) were independent risk factors associated with WD. The AUC value of the regression model in the total cohort was 0.926 (p ≤ 0.001). At a cutoff value of ≥0.617 and ≥-1, the positive and negative predictive values were both 90.8% for WD. Conclusion: Increased serum Cp in WD patients is related to excessive copper burden and hepatic injury, and common tests can effectively distinguish WD patients from other liver injury patients.

Changing incidence of hepatitis B and persistent infection risk in adults: a population-based follow-up study from 2011 in China.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to estimate hepatitis B incidence and chronicity risk in rural adults in China under the background of eliminating viral hepatitis. METHODS: Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) screening was conducted every 2 years in demonstration areas since 2011. Individuals with baseline HBsAg-negative were included. Incidence was calculated as the number of HBsAg-positive cases divided by the total person-times. HBsAg-positive individuals were followed up to study the persistent infection (> 6 months), chronic infection (> 12 months), and recovery with hepatitis B surface antibody (anti-HBs). The chi-square test and cox proportional regression analysis were performed. RESULTS: There were 8,942 incident cases over 2,138,532 person-years, yielding an average incidence of 0.42 per 100 person-years. HBV incidence decreased rapidly in both genders and all age groups and then kept stable. Male gender, low population density, low gross domestic product per capita, and islanders were associated with higher incidence. Of the positive cases, 4,989 (55.8%) patients were followed up. The persistent infection, chronic infection, and recovery with anti-HBs rates were 32.3%, 31.0%, and 31.4%, respectively. Persistent or chronic infection was more common in younger adults and males, while seroconversion had no concern with gender or age. CONCLUSIONS: HBV incidence in adult rural residents was decreasing and stayed low. The chronicity rate was relatively high and protective antibodies were induced in only one third. The importance of population-based screening and vaccination for susceptible individuals should be addressed.

Indole-3-carbinol ameliorates necroptosis and inflammation of intestinal epithelial cells in mice with ulcerative colitis by activating aryl hydrocarbon receptor.

Ulcerative colitis (UC) is a disease characterized by inflammation and disruption of the intestinal epithelial barrier. Necroptosis plays a critical role in disease progression. Indole-3-carbinol (I3C), a natural dietary agonist of aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AHR), has shown alleviating effects on UC. However, its mechanisms of action have not been comprehensively elucidated. Therefore, we aimed at investigating the protective role of I3C in DSS-induced colitis mice models. I3C significantly ameliorated body weight loss, colon length shortening and colonic pathological damage in colitis mice, reduced disease activity index (DAI) and histological (HI) scores, as well as alleviated colonic necroptosis and inflammation. In vitro, I3C attenuated necroptosis and inflammation of colonoids and NCM460 cells. AHR, activated by I3C, inhibits activation of receptor-interacting protein kinase 1 (RIPK1) and the subsequent assembly of necrosome in a time-dependent manner, as well as suppressing NF-κB activation and decreasing TNF-α, IL-1ß, IL-6 and IL-8 expression. Silencing of AHR aggravated necroptosis and inflammation of NCM460 cells, and did not be ameliorated by I3C. Furthermore, AHR activation induces the expression of inhibitor of apoptosis proteins (IAPs) and the ubiquitination of RIPK1. In conclusion, I3C exerts a protective effect in DSS-induced colitis mice models by alleviating the necroptosis and inflammation of IECs through activating AHR.

The role of fibrosis index FIB-4 in predicting liver fibrosis stage and clinical prognosis: A diagnostic or screening tool?

This review evaluates the ability of the fibrosis index based on four factors (FIB-4) identifying fibrosis stages, long-time prognosis in chronic liver disease, and short-time outcomes in acute liver injury. FIB-4 was accurate in predicting the absence or presence of advanced fibrosis with cut-offs of 1.0 and 2.65 for viral hepatitis B, 1.45 and 3.25 for viral hepatitis C, 1.30 (<65 years), 2.0 (≥65 years), and 2.67 for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), respectively, but had a low-to-moderate accuracy in alcoholic liver disease (ALD) and autoimmune hepatitis. It performed better in excluding fibrosis, so we built an algorithm for identifying advanced fibrosis by combined methods and giving work-up and follow-up suggestions. High FIB-4 in viral hepatitis, NAFLD, and ALD was associated with significantly high hepatocellular carcinoma incidence and mortality. Additionally, FIB-4 showed the ability to predict high-risk varices with cut-offs of 2.87 and 3.91 in cirrhosis patients and predict long-term survival in hepatocellular carcinoma patients after hepatectomy. In acute liver injury caused by COVID-19, FIB-4 had a predictive value for mechanical ventilation and 30-day mortality. Finally, FIB-4 may act as a screening tool in the secondary prevention of NAFLD in the high-risk population.

Emerging function of main RNA methylation modifications in the immune microenvironment of digestive system tumors.

Digestive system tumors have been reported in more than 25% of all cancer cases worldwide, bringing a huge burden on the healthcare system. RNA methylation modification-an important post-transcriptional modification-has become an active research area in gene regulation. It is a dynamic and reversible process involving several enzymes, such as methyltransferases, demethylases, and methylation reader proteins. This review provides insights into the role of three major methylation modifications, namely m6A, m5C, and m1A, in the development of digestive system tumors, specifically in the development of tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) of these malignancies. Abnormal methylation modification affects immunosuppression and antitumor immune response by regulating the recruitment of immune cells and the release of immune factors. Understanding the mechanisms by which RNA methylation regulates digestive system tumors will be helpful in exploring new therapeutic targets.

Clinical Significance of a Novel Vasculogenic Mimicry-Based Prognostic Model in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Vasculogenic mimicry, a novel neovascularization pattern of aggressive tumors, is associated with poor clinical outcomes. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this research was to establish a new model, termed VC score, to predict the prognosis, Tumor Microenvironment (TME) components, and immunotherapeutic response in Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: The expression data of the public databases were used to develop the prognostic model. Consensus clustering was performed to confirm the molecular subtypes with ideal clustering efficacy. The high- and low-risk groups were stratified utilizing the VC score. Various methodologies, including survival analysis, single-sample Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (ssGSEA), Tumor Immune Dysfunction and Exclusion scores (TIDE), Immunophenoscore (IPS), and nomogram, were utilized for verification of the model performance and to characterize the immune status of HCC tissues. GSEA was performed to mine functional pathway information. RESULTS: The survival and immune characteristics varied between the three molecular subtypes. A five-gene signature (TPX2, CDC20, CFHR4, SPP1, and NQO1) was verified to function as an independent predictive factor for the prognosis of patients with HCC. The high-risk group exhibited lower Overall Survival (OS) rates and higher mortality rates in comparison to the low-risk group. Patients in the low-risk group were predicted to benefit from immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy and exhibit increased sensitivity to immunotherapy. Enrichment analysis revealed that signaling pathways linked to the cell cycle and DNA replication processes exhibited enrichment in the high-risk group. CONCLUSIONS: The VC score holds the potential to establish individualized treatment plans and clinical management strategies for patients with HCC.

Cost-effectiveness of different intervention strategies of human immunodeficiency virus in Zhejiang, China: a Model Study From 2023 to 2052.

OBJECTIVE: :Mass screening for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) may be effective measures for reducing the probability of HIV transmission. Our study aimed to determine the cost-effectiveness of preliminary screening in the general population, PrEP for HIV-negative spouses in serodiscordant couples, or both approaches in Zhejiang Province. DESIGN: :From a policy-maker's perspective, a Markov model was constructed to compare 4 strategies over a 30-year horizon. METHODS: :In the Markov model, the implementation intensities of the strategies varied from 50% to 100%. Different strategies were evaluated by the reduction of unfavorable clinical outcomes, saved life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), and net monetary benefits (NMBs). RESULTS: :The PrEP-Screening strategy reduced the most unfavorable clinical outcomes and saved the most LYs and QALYs from 2023 to 2052. It always gained the maximum QALYs and NMB, while its ICER was always lower than the willingness-to-pay (WTP). The NMB of the PrEP-Screening strategy gradually increased as the implementation intensity increased. CONCLUSIONS: :With adequate manpower and policies, we suggest implementing the PrEP-Screening strategy in Zhejiang Province, suggesting that the broader the population coverage of the strategy, the better. In addition, the PrEP strategy is an alternative.

Prognostic and immune predictive roles of a novel tricarboxylic acid cycle-based model in hepatocellular carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most prevalent type of liver cancer. Since the tricarboxylic acid cycle is widely involved in tumor metabolic reprogramming and cuproptosis, investigating related genes may help to identify prognostic signature of patients with HCC. Data on patients with HCC were sourced from public datasets, and were divided into train, test, and single-cell cohorts. A variety of machine learning algorithms were used to identify different molecular subtypes and determine the prognostic risk model. Our findings revealed that the risk score (TRscore), based on the genes OGDHL, CFHR4, and SPP1, showed excellent predictive performance in different datasets. Pathways related to cell cycle and immune inflammation were enriched in the high-risk group, whereas metabolism-related pathways were significantly enriched in the low-risk group. The high-risk group was associated with a greater number of mutations of detrimental biological behavior and higher levels of immune infiltration, immune checkpoint expression, and anti-cancer immunotherapy response. Low-risk patients demonstrated greater sensitivity to erlotinib and phenformin. SPP1 was mainly involved in the interaction among tumor-associated macrophages, T cells, and malignant cells via SPP1-CD44 and SPP1-(ITGA5 + ITGB1) ligand-receptor pairs. In summary, our study established a prognostic model, which may contribute to individualized treatment and clinical management of patients with HCC.

Exposure to selective noradrenalin reuptake inhibitors during the first trimester of pregnancy and risk of congenital malformations: A meta-analysis of cohort studies.

Selective serotonin-noradrenalin reuptake inhibitors (SNRIs) are used to treat depression and anxiety during pregnancy; however, information regarding their foetal safety is limited. Cohort studies concerning congenital malformations in infants born to mothers exposed to SNRIs during the first trimester of pregnancy were identified. Eight studies were included in the analysis. In general, the use of SNRIs was not associated with an increased risk of overall congenital malformations when compared with no exposure (rate ratio [RR] = 1.07, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.94-1.22; P = 0.31), exposure to SSRIs (RR = 1.12, 95% CI = 0.97-1.31; P = 0.12) and no exposure with clinical indication (RR = 1.04, 95% CI = 0.9-1.2; P = 0.564). A significantly increased risk of cardiac malformations was observed (RR = 1.33, 95% CI = 1.15-1.53; P < 0.001); however, this association was not statistically significant when the reference group comprised mothers exposed to SSRIs (RR = 1.1, 95% CI = 0.85-1.43; P = 0.47) or no exposure with clinical indication (RR = 1.17, 95% CI = 0.95-1.42; P = 0.13). The evidence shows no increased risk of congenital malformations and argues against a substantial cardiac teratogenic effect of SNRIs.

Microbial metabolites indole derivatives sensitize mice to D-GalN/LPS induced-acute liver failure via the Tlr2/NF-κB pathway.

Introduction: Acute liver failure (ALF) is a clinical condition with many causes, fast progression, and a poor prognosis. Previous research has indicated that microbial factors have a role in ALF, but a clear picture has yet to emerge. Methods: To investigate the specific involvement of microbial metabolites in ALF development, we pretreated D-GalN/LPS-induced ALF mice with indole derivatives, an influential class of gut microbial metabolites. Results: Contrary to their typical role as anti-inflammatory agents in the host, indole-3-acetic acid (IAA), indole-3-lactic acid (ILA), and indolepropionic acid (IPA) gavage sensitize mice to D-GalN/LPS-induced-ALF with a rapid rise in serum transaminases and histologic lesion. For a clearer picture, we performed comprehensive analysis for the IAA therapy. IAA markedly amplified inflammatory response and cellular damage. The transcriptome analysis indicated the participation of the TNF-α/NF-κB signaling pathway. The structure of gut microbiota in ileum and the expression of Toll-like receptor 2 (Tlr2) in the liver were also significantly changed. Discussion: In conclusion, IAA pretreatment can exacerbate D-GalN/LPS-induced ALF via probable Tlr2/NF-κB pathway involvement and ileac dysbiosis characterized by enriched gram-positive genus with potential pathogenesis. Microbial metabolites IAA may aggravate individual susceptibility to D-GalN/LPS-induced ALF. Further investigation of the underlying mechanism is needed, and intervention with indole derivatives and related commensal species should be undertaken with caution.

Use of the bibliometric in rare diseases: taking Wilson disease personally.

BACKGROUND: Bibliometric have been widely applied to the evaluation of academic productivity. However, those of individuals or institutions on a specific disease have not been explored. The aim of the present study is to conduct a bibliometric analysis of particular rare disease and investigate whether those doctors and hospitals with higher index screened by this method specialize in this disease. METHODS: A representative rare disease, Wilson disease (WD), was searched on Clarivate Analytics' Web of Science and Elsevier's Scopus, which was published in English between 1 January 2001 and 31 December 2020. Clinical authors and medical institutions with the most papers were screened, and their total number of publications and citations, h-index and g-index were computed and then ranked by h-index. RESULTS: A total of 6856 and 6193 papers and 200 and 160 authors were got from WoS and Scopus, respectively. Scopus provided 160 institutions. The above bibliometric indices were calculated in 100 researchers and 80 institutions, and top 30 authors (Top-30a) and top 20 institutions (Top-20i) of them based on the h-index were listed in the tables. Top-30a came from seven specialties and 13 countries whose median (interquartile range) h-index was 14 (12-19.5) (range 10-28) which was located between associate and full professors in some other disciplines. Top-20i was distributed in 13 countries whose mean ± standard deviation of the h-index was 15 ± 4.9 (range 10-27). CONCLUSIONS: The related specialists and medical institutions of WD screened by specific disease bibliometric analysis are eminent and credible and benefit WD patients to obtain reliable medical treatment. This model may be suitable for other rare diseases.

Cost-Effectiveness of Hepatitis B Mass Screening and Management in High-Prevalent Rural China: A Model Study From 2020 to 2049.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is highly prevalent among adults in rural China and better management of those populations is of vital importance for viral hepatitis elimination. Adult immunization has been the subject of much controversy in previous studies. This study estimates the cost-effectiveness of population-based hepatitis B screening, treatment, and immunization strategy (comprehensive strategy) in rural areas with high prevalence under the national policy of sharp-drop drug prices. METHODS: We constructed a Markov model comparing 4 strategies in a 30-year horizon from the healthcare payer perspective: (1) the conventional pattern; (2) screening and treating infected (treatment); (3) screening and immunizing susceptible individuals (immunization); and (4) the comprehensive strategy. Screening intensity ranged from 50% to 100%. Outcomes were measured by costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), and clinical outcomes. RESULTS: The costs for the conventional pattern, treatment strategy, immunization strategy, and comprehensive strategy were US$ 341, 351, 318, and 323, respectively. In addition, effects were 17.45, 17.57, 17.46, and 17.58 QALYs, respectively. The ICER of the comprehensive strategy was US$ 35/QALY gained at 50% screening intensity and 420 US$/QALY gained at 100%. The net monetary benefit increased with increasing screening intensity and declined after 90%, with the highest value of US$40 693. All new infections and 52.5% mortality could be avoided from 2020 to 2049 if all patients were properly treated and all susceptible individuals were immunized. The results were stable within a wide range of parameters. CONCLUSION: It was cost-effective to implement the mass hepatitis B screening, treatment, and immunization strategy in areas of rural China with high prevalence, and the strategy gained the most net monetary benefit at a screening intensity of 90%. Although it was impractical to fulfill 100% coverage, efforts should be made to obtain more people screened.