Making in silico predictive models for toxicology FAIR.

In silico predictive models for toxicology include quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) and physiologically based kinetic (PBK) approaches to predict physico-chemical and ADME properties, toxicological effects and internal exposure. Such models are used to fill data gaps as part of chemical risk assessment. There is a growing need to ensure in silico predictive models for toxicology are available for use and that they are reproducible. This paper describes how the FAIR (Findable, Accessible, Interoperable, Reusable) principles, developed for data sharing, have been applied to in silico predictive models. In particular, this investigation has focussed on how the FAIR principles could be applied to improved regulatory acceptance of predictions from such models. Eighteen principles have been developed that cover all aspects of FAIR. It is intended that FAIRification of in silico predictive models for toxicology will increase their use and acceptance.

Effect on haemostasis of different replacement fluids during therapeutic plasma exchange-A comparative multicentre observational study.

INTRODUCTION: Therapeutic plasma exchange (TPE) is used for several chronic conditions with little evidence on the efficacy and safety of different choice of replacement fluid. Measurement of haemostasis, particularly in vitro thrombin generation, could play a role in determining the immediate efficacy of different fluid replacement. AIM: To determine the impact of different TPE replacement fluid regimens on haemostatic assays. METHODS: Prospective observational multi-centre cohort study in adult patients 18 years and older evaluating haemostatic changes between four different TPE regimens: (1) 5% human albumin solution (Alb) only, (2) 50:50 mix of 5% Alb + modified gelatin, (3) 70:30 mix of 5% Alb and normal saline (NS), and (4) solvent-detergent, virus-inactivated fresh frozen plasma (FFP) (either alone or combined with other fluids). Twenty-one haemostasis variables were analysed (procoagulant, anticoagulant and fibrinolytic factors) pre and post TPE sessions, including in vitro thrombin generation. Linear mixed modelling and canonical discriminant analyses were used to examine the effect of TPE fluid type on haemostatic variables. RESULTS: A total of 31 patients with up to 5 TPE sessions each (131 sessions in total) were enrolled. Out of 21 markers analysed using linear mixed modelling, the main effects of fluid type were found to be significant for 19 markers (P < 0.05), excluding plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 antigen and thrombin-anti-thrombin. Multivariate Analysis of Variance showed significant differences between the fluid types (Wilks' lambda = 0.07; F63,245.61  = 5.50; P < 0.0001) and this was supported by a canonical discriminant analysis, which identified the 4 most discriminating markers for fluid types as thrombin generation (lag-time, time-to Peak), fibrinogen and Factor V. In our analyses, the effect of FFP on haemostasis was significantly greater compared with other fluid types. Of the non-FFP fluids, 5% Alb + NS had a lower effect on haemostasis compared to other fluid types (Alb and modified gelatin + 5% Alb). CONCLUSION: Thrombin generation and fibrinogen discriminated better the effect of different TPE fluids on haemostasis and should be considered as potential markers to evaluate the immediate haemostatic effect of TPE procedures. The use of NS as a TPE replacement fluid had a distinctive impact on thrombin generation and fibrinogen responses compared to other non-FFP fluids.

Assessing efficacy and safety of replacement fluids in therapeutic plasma exchange: A systematic scoping review of outcome measures used.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this systematic scoping review is to identify and categorize the outcome measures that have been reported in clinical studies, where therapeutic plasma exchange (TPE) has been used as an intervention in any clinical settings, excluding thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (TTP). METHODS: We searched electronic databases using a predefined search strategy from inception to October 9, 2020. Two reviewers independently screened and extracted data. RESULTS: We included 42 studies (37 RCTs and 5 prospective cohort studies) grouped into six main categories (neurology, immunology, renal, rheumatology, hematology, and dermatology). Primary outcomes were defined in eight studies (19%, 8/42) and were categorized as efficacy (five studies) or patient reported outcomes (three studies). A power calculation was reported in six studies (75%, 6/8): five neurology studies (mainly patient reported outcomes) and a single immunological study (efficacy outcome). Disease-specific efficacy outcomes were dependent on the clinical setting of the population receiving TPE. Most of the trials (43%, 18/42) were undertaken in patients with neurology conditions where clear, disease-specific, clinical outcome measures were used, including neurological disability scales (11/18, 61%), change in neurological examination (9/18, 50%), and functional improvement scores (7/18, 39%). For other conditions, the reporting of disease-specific outcomes was poorly reported. Safety outcomes were mainly related to replacement fluid type rather than being disease-specific. The most common outcome reported was hypotension (19%, 8/42), and this was primarily in patients exchanged with albumin. CONCLUSION: Future clinical studies to determine which fluid replacement option is most efficacious and safe should use disease-specific outcomes, as a trial in one therapeutic area may not necessarily translate to another therapeutic area. Patient reported outcomes are not universally reported for all disease areas. Safety measures focused primarily on fluid safety.

Haematological management of major bleeding associated with direct oral anticoagulants - UK experience.

The lack of antidotes for activated factor X-inhibitor direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) means that management of bleeding consists largely of existing supportive therapies. This study aimed to: (i) examine the relative frequency of DOAC-related major bleeding in relation to DOAC prescriptions over the study period; (ii) describe the presentation and haematological management of DOAC-related major bleeding; and (iii) evaluate the association between the use of prothrombin-complex-concentrate (PCC) and in-hospital mortality. Over a 3-year period, 32 UK hospitals submitted data on haematological management of DOAC-related bleeding. Data consisted of 421 episodes (67%, 21%, 11% and 1% on rivaroxaban, apixaban, dabigatran and edoxaban respectively) of major bleeding on DOACs. The proportion of major bleeds on DOACs and DOAC prescriptions increased throughout the study. Overall, 44% and 37% of patients presented with gastrointestinal bleeding and intracranial haemorrhage (ICH) respectively. Drug concentrations were seldom measured. Compared to no PCC, there was a borderline evidence that receiving low dose PCC (≤25 iu/kg) was associated with better outcomes in terms of mortality (sub-distribution hazard ratio: 0·15; 95% confidence interval: 0·02-1·19; P = 0·07): but this was not the case for higher doses. DOAC concentrations are seldom measured. There was no evidence of benefit for PCC on in-hospital mortality.

A three-year prospective study of the presentation and clinical outcomes of major bleeding episodes associated with oral anticoagulant use in the UK (ORANGE study).

The outcomes of patients developing major bleeding while on oral anticoagulants remain largely unquantified. The objectives of this study were to: (i) describe the burden of major hemorrhage associated with all available oral anticoagulants in terms of proportion of bleeds which are intracranial hemorrhages, in-hospital mortality and duration of hospitalization following major bleeding; (ii) identify risk factors for mortality; and (iii) compare the characteristics of major hemorrhage between cases treated with warfarin and direct oral anticoagulants for the subgroups of patients with atrial fibrillation or venous thromboembolism. This was a multicenter, 3-year prospective cohort study of patients aged ≥18 years on oral anticoagulants who developed major hemorrhage leading to hospitalization. The patients were followed up for 30 days or until discharge or death, whichever occurred first. In total 2,192 patients (47% female, 81% on warfarin, median age 80 years) were reported between October 2013 and August 2016 from 32 hospitals in the UK. Bleeding sites were intracranial (44%), gastrointestinal (33%), and other (24%). The in-hospital mortality was 21% (95% CI: 19%-23%) overall, and 33% (95% CI: 30%-36%) for patients with intracranial hemorrhage. Intracranial hemorrhage, advanced age, spontaneous bleeding, liver failure and cancer were risk factors for death. Compared to warfarin-treated patients, patients treated with direct oral anticoagulants were older and had lower odds of subdural/epidural, subarachnoid and intracerebral bleeding. The mortality rate due to major bleeding was not different between patients being treated with warfarin or direct oral anticoagulants. Major bleeding while on oral anticoagulant therapy leads to considerable hospital stays and short-term mortality.

Recreational nitrous oxide and thrombotic events: a case series.

Background: The study aimed to elucidate the prevalence of nitrous oxide (N2O) usage in patients with unexplained venous thromboembolism (VTE), highlighting the potential association with hyperhomocysteinaemia (HHcy). Methods: We conducted a retrospective study at the Royal London Hospital, examining cases of N2O-related VTE from March to August 2023. Among 50 patients identified, four (8%) had recent unprovoked VTE. Patient data were collected based on N2O ambulatory emergency care pathway admissions. Results: Among the 50 patients identified, four (8%) had recent or concurrent VTE. Three were male (75%), with an ethnic distribution of 50% Asian or Asian British and 50% Black or Black British. Patients were distributed across quintiles of the index of multiple deprivation. All had actual or functional vitamin B12 deficiency. Discussion: The association between N2O use and VTE requires further investigation, though a plausible mechanism involving HHcy has been proposed. Clinicians should be vigilant for VTE in N2O users, especially those presenting with unexplained symptoms. VTE prophylaxis may be worth considering, particularly if continued exposure to nitrous oxide is anticipated. Conclusion: N2O misuse may increase the risk of VTE, warranting attention from healthcare providers. Further research is needed to elucidate this association and inform preventive strategies. Public awareness about the risks of N2O remains essential.

A metadata-aware application for remote scoring and exchange of tissue microarray images.

BACKGROUND: The use of tissue microarrays (TMA) and advances in digital scanning microscopy has enabled the collection of thousands of tissue images. There is a need for software tools to annotate, query and share this data amongst researchers in different physical locations. RESULTS: We have developed an open source web-based application for remote scoring of TMA images, which exploits the value of Microsoft Silverlight Deep Zoom to provide a intuitive interface for zooming and panning around digital images. We use and extend existing XML-based standards to ensure that the data collected can be archived and that our system is interoperable with other standards-compliant systems. CONCLUSION: The application has been used for multi-centre scoring of TMA slides composed of tissues from several Phase III breast cancer trials and ten different studies participating in the International Breast Cancer Association Consortium (BCAC). The system has enabled researchers to simultaneously score large collections of TMA and export the standardised data to integrate with pathological and clinical outcome data, thereby facilitating biomarker discovery.

Renal transplant and hemostasis: early postoperative changes in recipients and donors.

Background: The benefit of administering pharmacologic thromboprophylaxis following renal transplantation remains uncertain. Objectives: To compare hemostatic parameters before and after renal transplant surgery in both recipients and their donors at predetermined time points. Methods: Blood samples were collected at baseline (T1), immediately after surgery (T2), and at 24 hours after surgery (T3) in both recipients and donors and at 72 (T4) and 120 hours (T5) from recipients only. Assays included in vitro thrombin generation, factor VIII (FVIIIc) activity, von Willebrand factor (VWF) antigen, D-dimer, antithrombin activity, prothrombin fragment 1 + 2 (F1 + 2), thrombin-antithrombin complexes, and plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1) antigen. Results: Fifty-two patients (28 recipients and 24 donors) were enrolled. Both donors and recipients had increased FVIIIc, VWF, F1 + 2, D-dimer, and PAI immediately after surgery but reduced antithrombin. Mixed-model analysis showed that the magnitude of change over time (between T1 and T3) for FVIIIc (mean estimated difference [MED], 72; 95% CI, 41-102; P < .0001), VWF (MED, 89; 95% CI, 35-142; P = .001), F1 + 2 (MED, 283; 95% CI, 144-422; P < .0001), thrombin-antithrombin complexes (MED, 3.5; 95% CI, 1.9-5.1; P < .0001), D-dimer (MED, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.0-3.3; P < .0001), PAI-1 (MED, 9.2; 95% CI, 3.4-14.9; P = .002), and time to peak thrombin generation (MED, 1.5; 95% CI, 0.35-2.7; P = .01) was more significant in recipients than in donors. Conclusion: Persistence of a hypercoagulable state was more prominent in recipients after 24 hours despite recovery in renal function and initiation of thromboprophylaxis.

Enoxaparin for symptomatic COVID-19 managed in the ambulatory setting: An individual patient level analysis of the OVID and ETHIC trials.

BACKGROUND: Antithrombotic treatment may improve the disease course in non-critically ill, symptomatic COVID-19 outpatients. METHODS: We performed an individual patient-level analysis of the OVID and ETHIC randomized controlled trials, which compared enoxaparin thromboprophylaxis for either 14 (OVID) or 21 days (ETHIC) vs. no thromboprophylaxis for outpatients with symptomatic COVID-19 and at least one additional risk factor. The primary efficacy outcome included all-cause hospitalization and all-cause death within 30 days from randomization. Both studies were prematurely stopped for futility. Secondary efficacy outcomes were major symptomatic venous thromboembolic events, arterial cardiovascular events, or their composite occurring within 30 days from randomization. The same outcomes were assessed over a 90-day follow-up. The primary safety outcome was major bleeding (ISTH criteria). RESULTS: A total of 691 patients were randomized: 339 to receive enoxaparin and 352 to the control group. Over 30-day follow-up, the primary efficacy outcome occurred in 6.0 % of patients in the enoxaparin group vs. 5.8 % of controls for a risk ratio (RR) of 1.05 (95%CI 0.57-1.92). The incidence of major symptomatic venous thromboembolic events and arterial cardiovascular events was 0.9 % vs. 1.8 %, respectively (RR 0.52; 95%CI 0.13-2.06). Most cardiovascular thromboembolic events were represented by symptomatic venous thromboembolic events, occurring in 0.6 % vs. 1.5 % of patients, respectively. A similar distribution of outcomes between the treatment groups was observed over 90 days. No major bleeding occurred in the enoxaparin group vs. one (0.3 %) in the control group. CONCLUSIONS: We found no evidence for the clinical benefit of early administration of enoxaparin thromboprophylaxis in outpatients with symptomatic COVID-19. These results should be interpreted taking into consideration the relatively low occurrence of events.

Automated measurement of coagulation and fibrinolytic activation markers: Outcomes in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients.

BACKGROUND: Severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is characterized by marked hypoxaemia and lung oedema, often accompanied by disordered blood coagulation and fibrinolytic systems, endothelial damage and intravascular fibrin deposition. PATIENTS/METHODS: We present a retrospective observational study of 104 patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19. Plasma samples were collected within 72 h of admission. In addition to routine coagulation and haematology testing, soluble thrombomodulin (sTM), thrombin-antithrombin (TAT), tissue plasminogen activator-plasminogen activator inhibitor 1 complex (tPAI-C) and plasmin-α2 antiplasmin complex (PIC) were performed by automated chemiluminescent enzyme immunoassays. RESULTS: Significantly higher levels of D-dimer, TAT, sTM and tPAI-C were observed in non-survivors compared to survivors. To confirm which parameters were independent risk factors for mortality, multiple logistic regression was performed on D-dimer, TAT. sTM, tPAI-C and PIC data. Only increasing sTM was significantly associated with mortality, with an odds ratio of 1.065 for each 1.0 TU/mL increment (95% CI 1.025-1.115). CONCLUSIONS: Of the haemostatic variables measured, sTM, which can be rapidly assayed, is the best independent predictor of mortality in patients hospitalized with COVID-19, and this suggests that endothelial dysfunction plays an important role in disease progression.

Thirty-day mortality with andexanet alfa compared with prothrombin complex concentrate therapy for life-threatening direct oral anticoagulant-related bleeding.

Objective: Compare 30-day mortality among patients receiving the specific reversal agent andexanet alfa versus replacement prothrombin complex concentrate (PCC) in the management of direct-acting oral anticoagulant (DOAC)-related bleeds. Methods: Two patient-level datasets were used: ANNEXA-4, a prospective, single-arm trial of patients taking apixaban or rivaroxaban who received andexanet alfa and ORANGE, a prospective, observational study of anticoagulated patients in UK hospitals, some of whom received PCC. Patients were propensity score matched based on demographic and clinical characteristics. Subgroup analyses were performed by bleed type (intracranial hemorrhage [ICH], gastrointestinal [GI], other). Relative risk (RR) of all-cause 30-day mortality was calculated. Results: 322 ANNEXA-4 patients treated with andexanet alfa (mean age = 77.7 years; 64.9% ICH) were matched with 88 ORANGE patients treated with PCC (mean age = 74.9 years, 67.1% ICH). Adjusted 30-day mortality for patients treated with andexanet alfa (14.6%) was lower than patients treated with PCC (34.1%; RR, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.29-0.63). In the ICH subgroup, patients treated with andexanet alfa had lower mortality (15.3%) than patients treated with PCC (48.9%; RR, 0.31; 95% CI, 0.20-0.48). Mortality risk was lowest for patients in the GI subgroup but did not differ significantly by treatment (12.2% for andexanet alfa vs 25.0% for PCC; RR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.21-1.16). Conclusions: In this propensity score-matched comparison across 2 independent datasets, adjusted 30-day mortality rates were lower for patients treated with andexanet alfa than in matched patients receiving PCC. This indirect comparison was limited in that it could not account for several highly predictive variables including GCS score, hematoma volume, and expected survival. Further research is warranted to confirm the mortality differences between reversal/replacement agents for DOAC-related bleeding.

Thromboprophylactic low-molecular-weight heparin versus standard of care in unvaccinated, at-risk outpatients with COVID-19 (ETHIC): an open-label, multicentre, randomised, controlled, phase 3b trial.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 is associated with inflammation and an increased risk of thromboembolic complications. Prophylactic doses of low-molecular-weight heparin have been used in hospitalised and non-critically ill patients with COVID-19. We aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of prophylactic low-molecular-weight heparin (enoxaparin) versus standard of care (no enoxaparin) in at-risk outpatients with COVID-19. METHODS: This open-label, multicentre, randomised, controlled, phase 3b trial (ETHIC) was done at 15 centres in six countries (Belgium, Brazil, India, South Africa, Spain, and the UK). We consecutively enrolled participants aged at least 30 years who had not received a COVID-19 vaccine and had symptomatic, confirmed COVID-19 in the outpatient setting plus at least one risk factor for severe disease. Within 9 days of symptom onset and by use of a web-based random block design (block size either 2 or 4), eligible participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either subcutaneous enoxaparin for 21 days (40 mg once daily if they weighed <100 kg and 40 mg twice daily if they weighed ≥100 kg) or standard of care (without enoxaparin). The primary efficacy endpoint was the composite of all-cause hospitalisation and all-cause mortality at 21 days after randomisation and, in our main analysis, was analysed in the intention-to-treat population, which comprised all patients who were randomly assigned. Safety was also analysed in the intention-to-treat population for our main analysis. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04492254, and is complete. FINDINGS: Following the advice of the Data and Safety Monitoring Board, this study was terminated early due to slow enrolment and a lower-than-expected event rate. Between Oct 27, 2020, and Nov 8, 2021, 230 patients with COVID-19 were assessed for eligibility, of whom 219 were enrolled and randomly assigned to receive standard of care (n=114) or enoxaparin (n=105). 96 (44%) patients were women, 122 (56%) were men, and one patient had missing sex data. 141 (65%) of 218 participants with data on race and ethnicity were White, 60 (28%) were Asian, and 16 (7%) were Black, mixed race, or Arab or Middle Eastern. Median follow-up in both groups was 21 days (IQR 21-21). There was no difference in the composite of all-cause mortality and hospitalisation at 21 days between the enoxaparin group (12 [11%] of 105 patients) and the standard-of-care group (12 [11%] of 114 patients; unadjusted hazard ratio 1·09 [95% CI 0·49-2·43]; log-rank p=0·83). At 21 days, two (2%) of 105 patients in the enoxaparin group (one minor bleed and one bleed of unknown severity) and one (1%) of 114 patients in the standard-of-care group (major abnormal uterine bleeding) had a bleeding event. 22 (21%) patients in the enoxaparin group and 13 (11%) patients in the standard-of-care group had adverse events. The most common adverse event in both groups was COVID-19-related pneumonia (six [6%] patients in the enoxaparin group and five [4%] patients in the standard-of-care group). One patient in the enoxaparin group died and their cause of death was unknown. INTERPRETATION: The ETHIC trial results suggest that prophylaxis with low-molecular-weight heparin had no benefit for at-risk outpatients with COVID-19. Although the trial was terminated early, our data, combined with data from similar studies, provide further insights to inform international guidelines and influence clinical practice. FUNDING: The Thrombosis Research Institute and Sanofi UK.

Management strategies and clinical outcomes in patients with inferior vena cava thrombosis: Data from GARFIELD-VTE.

BACKGROUND: Inferior vena cava (IVC) thrombosis is a rare form of venous thromboembolism (VTE). The optimal treatment strategies and outcomes are unclear in patients with this presentation. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to compare baseline characteristics, treatment patterns and 24-month outcomes in IVC thrombosis patients (n = 100) with lower extremity deep vein thrombosis (LEDVT) patients (n = 7629). METHODS: GARFIELD-VTE is a prospective, observational registry of 10 868 patients with objectively diagnosed VTE from 415 sites in 28 countries. RESULTS: IVC thrombosis patients were younger (51.9 vs. 59.8 years), more frequently had active cancer (26.0% vs. 8.9%) or history of cancer (21.0% vs. 12.2%), and less frequently had recent trauma or surgery than LEDVT patients. IVC thrombosis was more frequently treated with parenteral anticoagulants alone (35.1% vs. 15.9%), whereas patients with LEDVT more commonly received vitamin K antagonists (32.0% vs. 25.8%) or direct oral anticoagulants (49.0% vs. 35.1%). Thrombolysis (11.0% vs. 3.6%) and surgical/mechanical interventions (4.0% vs. 1.4%) were more frequent in IVC thrombosis. At 24-months, the rate per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval) of all-cause mortality was higher in patients with IVC thrombosis than LEDVT (13.28 [8.57-20.58] vs. 4.91 [4.55-5.3]); the incidence of cancer-associated mortality was comparable as was the incidence of VTE recurrence (4.11 [1.85-9.15] vs. 4.18 [3.84-4.55]). Major bleeding was slightly higher in IVC thrombosis (2.03 [0.66-6.31] vs. 1.66 [1.45-1.89]). CONCLUSION: In summary, IVC thrombosis patients have higher all-cause mortality rates than those with LEDVT, a finding only partly attributable to malignancy.