RESUMO
In recent years, explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques have been developed to improve the explainability, trust and transparency of machine learning models. This work presents a method that explains the outputs of an air-handling unit (AHU) faults classifier using a modified XAI technique, such that non-AI expert end-users who require justification for the diagnosis output can easily understand the reasoning behind the decision. The method operates as follows: First, an XGBoost algorithm is used to detect and classify potential faults in the heating and cooling coil valves, sensors, and the heat recovery of an air-handling unit. Second, an XAI-based SHAP technique is used to provide explanations, with a focus on the end-users, who are HVAC engineers. Then, relevant features are chosen based on user-selected feature sets and features with high attribution scores. Finally, a sliding window system is used to visualize the short history of these relevant features and provide explanations for the diagnosed faults in the observed time period. This study aimed to provide information not only about what occurs at the time of fault appearance, but also about how the fault occurred. Finally, the resulting explanations are evaluated by seven HVAC expert engineers. The proposed approach is validated using real data collected from a shopping mall.
Assuntos
Algoritmos , Inteligência Artificial , Aprendizado de MáquinaRESUMO
In this paper we explore how the COVID-19 pandemic, also known as Coronavirus pandemic, affected the operation of small electric grids, and what can this event teach us on the readiness of such grids in the face of future global health crises. We focus on three major effects: changing patterns of generation and consumption, frequency stability, and the joint impact of low consumption and high share of renewable energy sources. Specifically, we analyze changes in consumption in the Israeli, Estonian, and Finnish grids, and attempt to identify patterns of consumption changes that may be explained by the pandemic. We also analyze changes in voltage and frequency, and show that the low consumption caused significant deviations from the nominal values of both parameters. One main conclusion is that the reduced energy consumption during the pandemic is critical, and has a major effect on the operation of small electric grids. Another conclusion is that since the pandemic pushed the relative share of renewable energy to record highs, this event may help us to better understand the influence of a high share of renewables on small grids, thus offering a glance into a renewable-rich future.