Prospective study of serum selenium levels and incident esophageal and gastric cancers.

BACKGROUND: From March 1986 through May 1991, we conducted a randomized nutritional intervention trial, the General Population Trial, in Linxian, China, a region with epidemic rates of squamous esophageal and adenomatous gastric cardia cancers. We found that participants who received selenium, beta-carotene, and vitamin E had significantly lower cancer mortality rates than those who did not. In the current study, we examined the relationship between selenium levels measured in pretrial (1985) sera from participants and the subsequent risk of developing squamous esophageal, gastric cardia, and gastric non-cardia cancers during the trial. METHODS: This study was designed and analyzed in accord with a stratified case-cohort sampling scheme, with the six strata defined by sex and three age categories. We measured serum selenium levels in 590 case subjects with esophageal cancer, 402 with gastric cardia cancers, and 87 with gastric non-cardia cancers as well as in 1062 control subjects. Relative risks (RRs), absolute risks, and population attributable risk for cancers were estimated on the basis of the Cox proportional hazards models. All statistical tests are two-sided. RESULTS: We found highly significant inverse associations of serum selenium levels with the incidence of esophageal (P: for trend <10(-4)) and gastric cardia (P: for trend <10(-6)) cancers. The RR and 95% confidence interval (CI) for comparison of highest to lowest quartile of serum selenium was 0.56 (95% CI = 0.44-0.71) for esophageal cancer and 0.47 (95% CI = 0.33-0.65) for gastric cardia cancer. The population proportion of these cancers that is attributable to low selenium levels was 26.4% (95% CI = 14.45-38.36). We found no evidence for a gradient of serum selenium associated with incidence of gastric non-cardia cancer (P: for trend =.96), with an RR of 1.07 (95% CI = 0.55-2.08) for the highest to lowest quartile of serum selenium. CONCLUSIONS: Our study supports findings from previous prospective studies and randomized trials that variations in selenium levels affect the incidence of certain cancers. In the United States, where intervention trials of selenium are in the planning stages, consideration should be given to including populations at high risk for squamous esophageal and gastric cardia cancers.

Pan-fried meat containing high levels of heterocyclic aromatic amines but low levels of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons induces cytochrome P4501A2 activity in humans.

Heterocyclic aromatic amines (HAAs) are formed when meat juices are pyrolyzed. In humans HAAs are activated in vivo by cytochrome P4501A2 (CYP1A2) and N-acetyltransferase (NAT2) to mutagens or carcinogens. While activity of NAT2 is noninducible, exposure to cigarettes, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, and cruciferous vegetables has been shown to induce CYP1A2 activity in humans. To date, it is unknown if pan-fried meat, which is consumed at high levels in the United States, is capable of inducing CYP1A2. In order to address this issue, we measured CYP1A2 and NAT2 activities in 66 healthy nonsmokers (33 males and 33 females) in a controlled metabolic feeding study. The study was designed to minimize the influence of known inducers of CYP1A2. Subjects consumed meat pan-fried at a low temperature (100 degrees C) for 7 days followed by 7 days of meat pan-fried at a high temperature (250 degrees C). The low temperature-cooked meat had undetectable levels of HAAs while the high temperature-cooked meat contained high amounts of HAAs [9.0 ng/g of 2-amino-3,8-dimethylimidazo[4,5-f]quinoxaline (MeIQx), 2.1 ng/g of 2-amino-3,7,8-trimethylimidazo[4,5-f]quinoxaline (DiMeIQx), and 32.8 ng/g of 2-amino-1-methyl-6-phenylimidazo[4,5-b]pyridine (PhIP)]. In contrast, total polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon content was similar in both meat samples (10.7 ng/g in low temperature-cooked meat and 10.1 ng/g in high temperature-cooked meat). At the end of each period, subjects were tested for CYP1A2 and NAT2 enzyme activity by caffeine metabolism phenotyping. NAT2 activity remained unchanged throughout the study while CYP1A2 activity increased in 47 of 65 (72%) of the subjects after consuming high temperature-cooked meat (P < 0.0002), suggesting induction by some compound(s) formed during high temperature cooking. If HAAs are shown to be human carcinogens in epidemiological studies, then meat cooked at high temperatures may pose an increased cancer risk because it contains both inducers of CYP1A2 and procarcinogens MeIQx, DiMeIQx, and PhIP known to be activated by this enzyme.

High concentrations of the carcinogen 2-amino-1-methyl-6-phenylimidazo- [4,5-b]pyridine (PhIP) occur in chicken but are dependent on the cooking method.

Heterocyclic aromatic amines (HAAs) are mutagenic and carcinogenic compounds found in meats cooked at high temperatures. Although chicken is consumed in large quantities in the United States, there is little information on its HAA content. The objective of this study was to measure the five predominant HAAs (IQ, MeIQ, MeIQx, DiMeIQx, and PhIP) in chicken cooked by various methods to different degrees of doneness. Chicken breasts were panfried, oven-broiled, or grilled/barbecued. Whole chickens were roasted or stewed. Skinless, boneless chicken breasts were cooked to three degrees of doneness: just until done, well done, or very well done. High levels of PhIP (ranging from 12 to 480 ng/g cooked meat) were found in chicken breasts when panfried, oven-broiled, and grilled/barbecued but not in while roasted or stewed chicken. PhIP concentration increased in skinless, boneless chicken breast with longer cooking time, higher internal temperature, and greater degree of surface browning. PhIP concentration was also high in chicken breasts cooked with skin and bones. MeIQx and DiMeIQx levels increased with the degree of doneness, whereas IQ and MeIQ were not detectable in any of these chicken samples. Certain cooking methods produce PhIP, a known colon and breast carcinogen in rodents and possibly a human carcinogen, at substantially higher levels in chicken than has been reported previously in red meat.

Effect of nutrition intervention on intermediate endpoints in esophageal and gastric carcinogenesis.

A nutrition intervention trial involving > 3000 participants was conducted in Linxian, China, where the esophageal and stomach cancer mortality rates are among the highest in the world and suspicion exists that chronic deficiencies of multiple nutrients are etiologically involved. The trial was randomized, double-blind, and placebo-controlled and tested the effect of multivitamin and multimineral supplements in reducing cancer incidence and mortality in adults with cytologically detected esophageal dysplasia. Endoscopic and cytologic examinations of samples of trial participants during the intervention allowed evaluation of intermediate endpoints in esophageal and gastric carcinogenesis, including asymptomatic histologic precancerous lesions and early invasive cancer, epithelial proliferation, and cytologic abnormalities. Results from these ancillary studies suggest that multivitamin and multimineral supplementation may decrease proliferation and enhance cytologic reversion to nondysplasia.

Quantitative fluorescence image analysis of DNA content and nuclear morphology on esophageal balloon cytology smears and subsequent development of esophageal and gastric cardia cancer in Linxian, China.

The highest incidences of esophageal and gastric cardia cancer in the world occur in northern China. Chinese scientists have developed esophageal balloon cytology screening to detect these cancers, but traditional cytology is sometimes inadequate to find some early, curable lesions. Several studies suggest that quantitative fluorescence image analysis (QFIA) of DNA ploidy and nuclear morphology may be able to improve upon traditional cytology results. In October 1987, esophageal balloon cytology was performed on 1331 adults in Linxian, China, and all samples were evaluated both by traditional cytology and QFIA. From 1987 to May 1991, 62 new squamous esophageal cancers and 44 new adenocarcinomas of the cardia were identified in this cohort. Proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the relationship of cytological diagnoses and six QFIA variables to subsequent cancer risk. These models showed significant trends for increasing esophageal cancer risk, with increasing values in five of the QFIA variables and with increasing severity of the traditional cytological diagnoses. A comparison of models with only cytology variables versus models with both cytology and QFIA variables indicated that the QFIA provided an important additional predictive value. Persons with both cytological dysplasia and high cellular DNA were 8 times more likely to develop esophageal cancer than were individuals with neither of these conditions. For cardia cancer, associations between QFIA variables or cytological diagnoses and later cancer were more limited. This study suggests that the QFIA variables evaluated here are independent predictors of squamous esophageal cancer and that combining QFIA with traditional cytology can improve prediction of esophageal cancer risk.

Hydatidiform moles. Application of flow cytometry in diagnosis.

Hydropic chorionic villi are found in hydropic abortuses, partial hydatidiform moles (PM), and complete hydatidiform moles. Partial and complete moles have the potential for persistent trophoblastic disease. The vast majority of partial moles are triploid and generally follow a benign clinical course. Complete moles are diploid and distant metastasis and choriocarcinoma may develop. The authors determined the nuclear ploidy by flow cytometry of 31 placentas, 19 of which appeared hydropic either on obstetric ultrasonography or gross examination. Of ten complete moles classified by histologic criteria, ten were diploid, whereas five of seven histologically classified PM were triploid. The remaining two cases classified as PM were diploid; one most likely represented a regressing complete mole; the other a hydropic abortus. All 14 control placentas were diploid. In all cases in which karyotypic analysis was performed, the flow cytometric determination of ploidy was confirmed. It was concluded that DNA flow cytometric analysis is a rapid, accurate, and cost-effective means for assaying nuclear ploidy in these tissues, and as such, offers an informative supplement to the histological interpretation of hydropic placentas.

Clinicopathologic variables, operative characteristics, and DNA ploidy in predicting outcome in ovarian epithelial carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that DNA content can predict operative morbidity and survival in patients with ovarian carcinoma. METHODS: Subjects included patients diagnosed with invasive epithelial ovarian carcinoma at Brigham and Women's Hospital between July 1987 and November 1989. Fifty-nine patients were included in this analysis. In all cases, flow cytometry was performed on fresh tissue to evaluate DNA content. The medical records were reviewed in all patients for estimated blood loss, hospitalization days, intensive care unit days, operating room time, presence and size of residual disease, grade and type of tumor, stage, size of primary tumor, lymph node status, disease status, date of last examination, and number of months of follow-up. RESULTS: Predictors for death included increasing age (P = .01), advanced stage (P = .007), the presence of malignant ascites (P = .03), residual tumor at completion of operation (P < .001), increased estimated blood loss (P < .001), increased hospitalization days (P < .001), and increased operating room hours (P < .001). When we controlled for age and stage, only estimated blood loss and residual tumor predicted poor outcome. Deoxyribonucleic acid ploidy, whether stratified as diploid or aneuploid or with DNA index cutoffs, did not predict tumor recurrence or survival rates. CONCLUSION: Deoxyribonucleic acid ploidy has not yet been proven to be of independent prognostic importance for identifying groups of patients at high risk of dying from invasive epithelial ovarian carcinoma.

A flow cytometric study of 137 fresh hydropic placentas: correlation between types of hydatidiform moles and nuclear DNA ploidy.

Hydropic placentas may be classified by histopathology into hydropic abortus, partial hydatidiform mole, and complete hydatidiform mole. We studied 142 hydropic placentas: 39% were complete hydatidiform moles, 35% partial hydatidiform moles, and 26% hydropic abortuses. Villous vesicle size was predictive of histologic diagnosis. We determined DNA ploidy in 137 cases. Seventy-three percent of hydropic abortuses were diploid and 11% were triploid. Ninety percent of partial moles were triploid or near-triploid; one partial mole was haploid and one diploid. Of the complete moles, 50% were diploid, 43% were tetraploid, 3.6% polyploid, and 1.7% triploid. Partial moles had lower pre-evacuation beta-hCG levels than complete moles. Persistent tumor followed 33% of complete moles and 12% of partial moles. Although the numbers were small, no patient with a diploid, tetraploid, aneuploid, or haploid partial mole developed persistent disease. Among complete moles, the pre-evacuation beta-hCG level was not predictive of persistence (P = .15). Subdividing complete moles by ploidy, we found that tetraploid moles were associated with higher pre-evacuation beta-hCG levels than were diploid moles. However, tetraploidy was not associated with increased persistent tumor among complete moles. Although most partial moles were triploid and most complete moles were diploid or tetraploid, there was wider DNA heterogeneity among molar gestations than previously reported. In this series, DNA ploidy was not an independent predictor of persistence in complete moles.

Idiopathic spontaneous bladder rupture in an intoxicated patient.

Spontaneous bladder rupture is a rare condition associated with significant morbidity and mortality. We describe a case that occured following a period of alcohol intoxication and presented as acute renal failure. The factors that contribute to this condition in an intoxicated person are outlined and useful clinical markers are suggested. This case demonstrates the difficulties with diagnosis and the need for a high index of suspicion.

Max_r: an optimal method for the selection of subsets of foods for the measurement of specific nutrient exposures.

Max_r, a new method of food subset selection for the measurement of specific nutrient exposures, is programmed. Frequently, epidemiologic questionnaires are designed to measure several individual level exposures, including exposure to one or more nutrients. Although most nutrients are contained in a large number of foods, constraints on questionnaire size allow inclusion of only a subset of these. When nutrient exposure as measured in a subset of foods will be used to estimate the effect of the nutrient on disease risk with a logistic regression model, max_r is the optimal method of choosing the subset. Various aspects of the program are illustrated with a numerical example measuring dietary protein intake. The executable version of this Fortran program for IBM compatible PCs requires 3Mb of memory. It is available (along with complete documentation, test data and output) via e-mail from thomasd@epndce.nci.nih.gov or upon submission of a diskette formatted for MS-DOS.

Prospective study of serum 25(OH)-vitamin D concentration and risk of oesophageal and gastric cancers.

We prospectively examined the relation between pretrial serum vitamin D status and risk of oesophageal and gastric cancers among subjects who developed cancer over 5.25 years of follow-up, including 545 oesophageal squamous cell carcinomas (ESCC), 353 gastric cardia adenocarcinomas, 81 gastric noncardia adenocarcinomas, and an age- and sex-stratified random sample of 1105 subjects. The distribution of serum 25(OH)D was calculated using the known sampling weights. For the cohort as a whole, the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile concentrations of 25(OH)-vitamin D were 19.6, 31.9, and 48.7 nmol l(-1), respectively, and we found that higher serum 25(OH)D concentrations were associated with monotonically increasing risk of ESCC in men, but not in women. Comparing men in the fourth quartile of serum 25(OH)D concentrations to those in the first, we found a hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval (CI)) of 1.77 (1.16-2.70), P trend=0.0033. The same comparison in women had a HR (95% CI) of 1.06 (0.71-1.59), P trend=0.70. We found no associations for gastric cardia or noncardia adenocarcinoma. Among subjects with low vitamin D status, higher serum 25(OH)D concentrations were associated with significantly increased risk of ESCC in men, but not in women. Further refinements of the analysis did not suggest any factors, which could explain this unexpected result.

Epstein-Barr virus serology and gastric cancer incidence and survival.

Among 185 cases of gastric cancer and 200 controls in Linxian, China, Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) seropositivity was not associated with increased risk of gastric cancer. High EBV nuclear antigen titres were associated with longer survival in cardia cancer cases, possibly due to chance.

Helicobacter pylori and oesophageal and gastric cancers in a prospective study in China.

In a cohort of 29,584 residents of Linxian, China, followed from 1985 to 2001, we conducted a case-cohort study of the magnitude of the association of Helicobacter pylori seropositivity with cancer risk in a random sample of 300 oesophageal squamous cell carcinomas, 600 gastric cardia adenocarcinomas, all 363 diagnosed gastric non-cardia adenocarcinomas, and a random sample of the entire cohort (N=1050). Baseline serum was evaluated for IgG antibodies to whole-cell and CagA H. pylori antigens by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Risks of both gastric cardia and non-cardia cancers were increased in individuals exposed to H. pylori (Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals=1.64; 1.26-2.14, and 1.60; 1.15-2.21, respectively), whereas risk of oesophageal squamous cell cancer was not affected (1.17; 0.88-1.57). For both cardia and non-cardia cancers, HRs were higher in younger individuals. With longer time between serum collection to cancer diagnosis, associations became stronger for cardia cancers but weaker for non-cardia cancers. CagA positivity did not modify these associations. The associations between H. pylori exposure and gastric cardia and non-cardia adenocarcinoma development were equally strong, in contrast to Western countries, perhaps due to the absence of Barrett's oesophagus and oesophageal adenocarcinomas in Linxian, making all cardia tumours of gastric origin, rather than a mixture of gastric and oesophageal malignancies.

Histological precursors of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma: results from a 13 year prospective follow up study in a high risk population.

BACKGROUND: Oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) has a very poor prognosis, which is largely due to late diagnosis. Successful early detection strategies will require identification of clinically relevant precursor lesions that can be targets for screening and treatment. AIMS: To identify the clinically relevant histological precursors of OSCC. SUBJECTS: A cohort of 682 endoscoped patients from a high risk rural population in Linxian, China. METHODS: Subjects were endoscoped and biopsied at baseline and followed for 13.5 years. We estimated the relative risk of developing OSCC for each of the initial histological diagnoses using Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: A total of 114 (16.7%) patients developed OSCC during the follow up period. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, relative risks (95% confidence intervals) for incidence of this tumour, by initial histological diagnosis, were: normal 1.0 (reference), oesophagitis 0.8 (0.2-3.2), basal cell hyperplasia 1.9 (0.8-4.5), mild dysplasia 2.9 (1.6-5.2), moderate dysplasia 9.8 (5.3-18.3), severe dysplasia 28.3 (15.3-52.3), and carcinoma in situ 34.4 (16.6-71.4). CONCLUSIONS: In this study, squamous dysplasia and carcinoma in situ were the only histological lesions associated with a significantly increased risk of developing OSCC within 13.5 years after endoscopy. There was no evidence that oesophagitis predisposed to this tumour. Increasing grades of dysplasia were strongly associated with increasing risk, indicating that the histological grading was clinically meaningful. The follow up experience of severe dysplasia and carcinoma in situ was equivalent, suggesting that this distinction is not clinically relevant. Documenting these precursor lesions of OSCC should assist in the development of effective prevention, early detection, and treatment strategies for this disease.

Defining and analyzing cohorts using molecular markers of cancer risk.

Cancer is currently regarded to be the phenotypic expression of an accumulation of heritable alterations in the regulators of cell growth and differentiation. Though detailed knowledge of the sequence and in vivo mechanistic effects of these alterations is rudimentary for most, if not all, cancers, their identification does offer the potential for classifying groups of individuals who are heterogeneous with respect to their cancer risks, into more nearly homogeneous subgroups. In this paper, we illustrate the value of using markers, which we define as any manifestation of cellular molecular diversity, to increase subgroup homogeneity. In the context of time-to-event data, we demonstrate for both somatic mutations (acquired p53 abnormalities in gastric mucosal cells) and inherited polymorphisms (polymorphisms in the phase 1 and 2 detoxifying enzymes) how knowledge regarding the population frequency of the marker the effect of the marker on the risk of cancer development, and/or the effect of the marker on response to therapy, can be used to plan and analyze such trials. Using as paradigms demographic features of the recently begun Shandong precancerous gastric lesion intervention trial, and the recently completed alpha-tocopherol beta-carotene (ATBC) lung cancer prevention study, we review the information, assumptions, and mathematical structure required for planning cancer prevention trials. We graphically demonstrate how informative markers make available strategies for selection, stratification, and optimal weighing, which, when properly implemented, increase the power of tests of effective cancer prevention agents.

Estimating the causal effect of smoking cessation in the presence of confounding factors using a rank preserving structural failure time model.

Estimating the causal effect of quitting smoking on time to death or first myocardial infarction requires that one control for the differences in risk factors between individuals who elect to quite at each time t versus those who elect to continue smoking at time t. In this paper we examine the limitations of standard time varying Cox proportional hazards models to yield tests and estimates of this effect. Implementing the method of G-estimation proposed by Robins, we perform an observational analysis of data from the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial (MRFIT) and estimate the causal effect of cigarette cessation while controlling for such time varying confounders as angina. We reject the null hypothesis of no effect of quitting on time to failure, and estimate that by quitting smoking, an individual increases by 50 per cent his time to death or first myocardial infarction (MI).

Simplified urinary drainage following orthotopic or continent bladder replacement.

A simplified urinary drainage system is described for orthotopic or catheterizable continent urinary diversion. The patient has a single urethral or suprapubic Foley catheter draining the urinary reservoir, decreasing nursing work load and possibly allowing for earlier discharge of the patient from the hospital.