RESUMO
Abnormalities in functional brain networks (functional connectome) are increasingly implicated in people at Clinical High Risk for Psychosis (CHR-P). Intranasal oxytocin, a potential novel treatment for the CHR-P state, modulates network topology in healthy individuals. However, its connectomic effects in people at CHR-P remain unknown. Forty-seven men (30 CHR-P and 17 healthy controls) received acute challenges of both intranasal oxytocin 40 IU and placebo in two parallel randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled cross-over studies which had similar but not identical designs. Multi-echo resting-state fMRI data was acquired at approximately 1 h post-dosing. Using a graph theoretical approach, the effects of group (CHR-P vs healthy control), treatment (oxytocin vs placebo) and respective interactions were tested on graph metrics describing the topology of the functional connectome. Group effects were observed in 12 regions (all pFDR < 0.05) most localised to the frontoparietal network. Treatment effects were found in 7 regions (all pFDR < 0.05) predominantly within the ventral attention network. Our major finding was that many effects of oxytocin on network topology differ across CHR-P and healthy individuals, with significant interaction effects observed in numerous subcortical regions strongly implicated in psychosis onset, such as the thalamus, pallidum and nucleus accumbens, and cortical regions which localised primarily to the default mode network (12 regions, all pFDR < 0.05). Collectively, our findings provide new insights on aberrant functional brain network organisation associated with psychosis risk and demonstrate, for the first time, that oxytocin modulates network topology in brain regions implicated in the pathophysiology of psychosis in a clinical status (CHR-P vs healthy control) specific manner.
Assuntos
Encéfalo , Conectoma , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Ocitocina , Transtornos Psicóticos , Humanos , Ocitocina/farmacologia , Ocitocina/administração & dosagem , Masculino , Conectoma/métodos , Transtornos Psicóticos/tratamento farmacológico , Transtornos Psicóticos/fisiopatologia , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Método Duplo-Cego , Adulto , Encéfalo/efeitos dos fármacos , Encéfalo/fisiopatologia , Adulto Jovem , Estudos Cross-Over , Administração Intranasal , Rede Nervosa/efeitos dos fármacos , Rede Nervosa/fisiopatologia , Rede Nervosa/diagnóstico por imagem , Adolescente , RiscoRESUMO
Accurate prognostication of individuals at clinical high-risk for psychosis (CHR-P) is an essential initial step for effective primary indicated prevention. We aimed to summarise the prognostic accuracy and clinical utility of CHR-P assessments for primary indicated psychosis prevention. Web of Knowledge databases were searched until 1st January 2022 for longitudinal studies following-up individuals undergoing a psychometric or diagnostic CHR-P assessment, reporting transition to psychotic disorders in both those who meet CHR-P criteria (CHR-P + ) or not (CHR-P-). Prognostic accuracy meta-analysis was conducted following relevant guidelines. Primary outcome was prognostic accuracy, indexed by area-under-the-curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity, estimated by the number of true positives, false positives, false negatives and true negatives at the longest available follow-up time. Clinical utility analyses included: likelihood ratios, Fagan's nomogram, and population-level preventive capacity (Population Attributable Fraction, PAF). A total of 22 studies (n = 4 966, 47.5% female, age range 12-40) were included. There were not enough meta-analysable studies on CHR-P diagnostic criteria (DSM-5 Attenuated Psychosis Syndrome) or non-clinical samples. Prognostic accuracy of CHR-P psychometric instruments in clinical samples (individuals referred to CHR-P services or diagnosed with 22q.11.2 deletion syndrome) was excellent: AUC = 0.85 (95% CI: 0.81-0.88) at a mean follow-up time of 34 months. This result was driven by outstanding sensitivity (0.93, 95% CI: 0.87-0.96) and poor specificity (0.58, 95% CI: 0.50-0.66). Being CHR-P + was associated with a small likelihood ratio LR + (2.17, 95% CI: 1.81-2.60) for developing psychosis. Being CHR-P- was associated with a large LR- (0.11, 95%CI: 0.06-0.21) for developing psychosis. Fagan's nomogram indicated a low positive (0.0017%) and negative (0.0001%) post-test risk in non-clinical general population samples. The PAF of the CHR-P state is 10.9% (95% CI: 4.1-25.5%). These findings consolidate the use of psychometric instruments for CHR-P in clinical samples for primary indicated prevention of psychosis. Future research should improve the ability to rule in psychosis risk.
Assuntos
Transtornos Psicóticos , Humanos , Feminino , Criança , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Masculino , Psicometria , Prognóstico , Transtornos Psicóticos/diagnóstico , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Manual Diagnóstico e Estatístico de Transtornos MentaisRESUMO
Tendon is a dense connective tissue that stores and transmits forces between muscles and bones. Cellular heterogeneity is increasingly recognized as an important factor in the biological basis of tissue homeostasis and disease, yet little is known about the diversity of cell types that populate tendon. To address this, we determined the heterogeneity of cell populations within mouse Achilles tendons using single-cell RNA sequencing. In assembling a transcriptomic atlas of Achilles tendons, we identified 11 distinct types of cells, including three previously undescribed populations of tendon fibroblasts. Prior studies have indicated that pericytes, which are found in the vasculature of tendons, could serve as a potential source of progenitor cells for adult tendon fibroblasts. Using trajectory inference analysis, we provide additional support for the notion that pericytes are likely to be at least one of the progenitor cell populations for the fibroblasts that compose adult tendons. We also modeled cell-cell interactions and identified previously undescribed ligand-receptor signaling interactions involved in tendon homeostasis. Our novel and interactive tendon atlas highlights previously underappreciated heterogeneity between and within tendon cell populations. The atlas also serves as a resource to further the understanding of tendon extracellular matrix assembly and maintenance and in the design of therapies for tendinopathies.
Assuntos
Tendão do Calcâneo/metabolismo , Células Endoteliais/metabolismo , Fibroblastos/metabolismo , Neurônios/metabolismo , Pericitos/metabolismo , Células-Tronco/metabolismo , Transcriptoma , Tendão do Calcâneo/citologia , Animais , Fatores de Transcrição Hélice-Alça-Hélice Básicos/genética , Fatores de Transcrição Hélice-Alça-Hélice Básicos/metabolismo , Proteínas de Ligação ao Cálcio/genética , Proteínas de Ligação ao Cálcio/metabolismo , Comunicação Celular/genética , Proteoglicanas de Sulfatos de Condroitina/genética , Proteoglicanas de Sulfatos de Condroitina/metabolismo , Colágeno/genética , Colágeno/metabolismo , Células Endoteliais/citologia , Matriz Extracelular/metabolismo , Proteínas da Matriz Extracelular/genética , Proteínas da Matriz Extracelular/metabolismo , Fibroblastos/citologia , Perfilação da Expressão Gênica , Regulação da Expressão Gênica , Proteínas de Homeodomínio/genética , Proteínas de Homeodomínio/metabolismo , Masculino , Camundongos , Camundongos Endogâmicos C57BL , Camundongos Transgênicos , Neurônios/citologia , Pericitos/citologia , Análise de Sequência de RNA , Transdução de Sinais , Análise de Célula Única , Células-Tronco/citologiaRESUMO
API is a company refining petroleum products located in Falconara Marittima (Ancona Province, Marche Region, Central Italy). Thanks to the pressure made by citizens' committees, which considered the plant as a risk source for the population residing in the surroundings municipalities, Marche Region as institution asked for an epidemiological survey. This survey found a significative excess in deaths for haematological tumours in women and in a sub-group of retired and elderly. The results were published in one report and two scientific journals, and were also presented during a public meeting. It was urgent to made public health intervention, which were called for, but up to now nothing has been done. Here, the reconstruction of this affair, from the start of the epidemiological survey up to the more recent development in terms of public health.
Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/toxicidade , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Resíduos Industriais/efeitos adversos , Leucemia/mortalidade , Linfoma não Hodgkin/mortalidade , Instalações Industriais e de Manufatura , Indústria de Petróleo e Gás , Administração em Saúde Pública , Revelação da Verdade , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Poluição do Ar/legislação & jurisprudência , Benzeno/toxicidade , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Participação da Comunidade , Feminino , Órgãos Governamentais/legislação & jurisprudência , Humanos , Itália , Leucemia/induzido quimicamente , Linfoma não Hodgkin/induzido quimicamente , Masculino , Instalações Industriais e de Manufatura/legislação & jurisprudência , Indústria de Petróleo e Gás/legislação & jurisprudência , Editoração , Sistema de Registros , Risco , Medição de Risco , Distribuição por SexoRESUMO
PURPOSE: To illustrate the out-of-pocket (OOP) costs incurred by a population-based group of patients from 5 to 10 years since their cancer diagnosis in a country with a nationwide public health system. METHODS: Interviews on OOP costs to a sample of 5-10 year prevalent cases randomly extracted from four population-based cancer registries (CRs), two in the north and two in the south of Italy. The patients' general practitioners (GPs) gave assurance about the patient's physical and psychological condition for the interview. A zero-inflated negative binomial model was used to analyze OOP cost determinants. RESULTS: Two hundred six cancer patients were interviewed (48 % of the original sample). On average, a patient in the north spent 69 monthly, against 244 in the south. The main differences are for transport, room, and board (TRB) to reach the hospital and/or the cancer specialist (north 0; south 119). Everywhere, OOP costs without TRB costs were higher for patients with a low quality of life. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the limited participation, our study sample's characteristics are similar to those of the Italian cancer prevalence population, allowing us to generalize the results. The higher OOP costs in the south may be due to the scarcity of oncologic structures, obliging patients to seek assistance far from their residence. Implications for cancer survivors Cancer survivors need descriptive studies to show realistic data about their status. Future Italian and European descriptive studies on cancer survivorship should be based on population CRs and involve GPs in order to approach the patient at best.
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Gastos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias/economia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Itália/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Qualidade de Vida , Inquéritos e Questionários , Sobreviventes , Fatores de TempoRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: The study investigated the geographic variation of mortality risk for hematological malignancies (HMs) in order to identify potential high-risk areas near an Italian petrochemical refinery. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A population-based case-control study was conducted and residential histories for 171 cases and 338 sex- and age-matched controls were collected. Confounding factors were obtained from interviews with consenting relatives for 109 HM deaths and 267 controls. To produce risk mortality maps, two different approaches were applied and compared. We mapped (1) adaptive kernel density relative risk estimation for case-control studies which estimates a spatial relative risk function using the ratio between cases and controls' densities, and (2) estimated odds ratios for case-control study data using Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) to smooth the effect of location, a proxy for exposure, while adjusting for confounding variables. RESULTS: No high-risk areas for HM mortality were identified among all subjects (men and women combined), by applying both approaches. Using the adaptive KDE approach, we found a significant increase in death risk only among women in a large area 2-6 km southeast of the refinery and the application of GAMs also identified a similarly-located significant high-risk area among women only (global p-value<0.025). Potential confounding risk factors we considered in the GAM did not alter the results. CONCLUSION: Both approaches identified a high-risk area close to the refinery among women only. Those spatial methods are useful tools for public policy management to determine priority areas for intervention. Our findings suggest several directions for further research in order to identify other potential environmental exposures that may be assessed in forthcoming studies based on detailed exposure modeling.
Assuntos
Indústria Química , Neoplasias Hematológicas/mortalidade , Doenças Profissionais/mortalidade , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Neoplasias Hematológicas/etiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-IdadeAssuntos
Betacoronavirus , Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Epidemiologia/organização & administração , Disseminação de Informação , Colaboração Intersetorial , Pneumonia Viral/epidemiologia , COVID-19 , Análise por Conglomerados , Busca de Comunicante , Infecções por Coronavirus/transmissão , Sistemas de Informação em Saúde/organização & administração , Humanos , Internet , Itália/epidemiologia , Modelos Teóricos , Pandemias , Pneumonia Viral/transmissão , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
PURPOSE: We investigated the risk of death for hematological malignancies (HMs) in the area surrounding an Italian petrochemical refinery, where atmospheric concentrations of benzene (known carcinogen) had not been adequately monitored in the past. METHODS: We performed a population-based case-control study, using conditional logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (ORs) of HM death, with 95 % confidence intervals (CIs), and p trends, in relation to tertiles of time-weighted average residential proximity to the refinery. We identified 177 HM deaths and 349 sex- and age-matched controls from municipal files. Confounding factors were investigated from interviews with consenting relatives for 109 HM deaths and 178 matched controls. RESULTS: For males and females combined, risk of HM death was unrelated to residential proximity. For females, ORs of HM death by increasing tertiles of proximity were 1, 2.74 (95 % CI 1.48-5.09, significant) and 1.49 (95 % CI 0.76-2.92) (p trend 0.184). For the subgroup of persons who plausibly spent most of their time at home (long-term retired, homemakers or unemployed, 53 cases, 79 controls), the ORs of leukemia plus non-Hodgkin lymphoma death (38 cases, 56 controls) by increasing tertiles of proximity were 1, 3.44 (95 % CI 1.04-11.37, significant) and 3.25 (95 % CI 0.82-12.87) (p trend 0.083). CONCLUSIONS: No increased risk of HM death for males and females combined living close to the refinery was found. However, the findings for females and a subgroup plausibly spending most of their time at home suggest a relation between increased risk of HM death and residential proximity to the refinery.
Assuntos
Indústria Química , Neoplasias Hematológicas/mortalidade , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Carcinógenos/toxicidade , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Exposição Ambiental , Etnicidade , Feminino , Neoplasias Hematológicas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Hematológicas/etiologia , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Itália/epidemiologia , Leucemia/epidemiologia , Leucemia/etiologia , Leucemia/mortalidade , Modelos Logísticos , Linfoma não Hodgkin/epidemiologia , Linfoma não Hodgkin/etiologia , Linfoma não Hodgkin/mortalidade , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Razão de Chances , Petróleo/toxicidade , Fatores de Risco , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: Animal models indicate GABAergic dysfunction in the development of psychosis, and that benzodiazepine (BDZ) exposure can prevent the emergence of psychosis-relevant phenotypes. However, whether BDZ exposure influences real-world clinical outcomes in individuals at clinical high risk for psychosis (CHR-P) is unknown. STUDY DESIGN: This observational cohort study used electronic health record data from CHR-P individuals to investigate whether BDZ exposure (including hypnotics, eg, zopiclone) reduces the risk of developing psychosis and adverse clinical outcomes. Cox proportional-hazards models were employed in both the whole-unmatched sample, and a propensity score matched (PSM) subsample. STUDY RESULTS: 567 CHR-P individuals (306 male, mean[±SD] ageâ =â 22.3[±4.9] years) were included after data cleaning. The BDZ-exposed (nâ =â 105) and BDZ-unexposed (nâ =â 462) groups differed on several demographic and clinical characteristics, including psychotic symptom severity. In the whole-unmatched sample, BDZ exposure was associated with increased risk of transition to psychosis (HRâ =â 1.61; 95% CI: 1.03-2.52; Pâ =â .037), psychiatric hospital admission (HRâ =â 1.93; 95% CI: 1.13-3.29; Pâ =â .017), home visit (HRâ =â 1.64; 95% CI: 1.18-2.28; Pâ =â .004), and Accident and Emergency department attendance (HRâ =â 1.88; 95% CI: 1.31-2.72; Pâ <â .001). However, after controlling for confounding-by-indication through PSM, BDZ exposure did not modulate the risk of any outcomes (all Pâ >â .05). In an analysis restricted to antipsychotic-naïve individuals, BDZ exposure reduced the risk of transition to psychosis numerically, although this was not statistically significant (HRâ =â 0.59; 95% CI: 0.32-1.08; Pâ =â .089). CONCLUSIONS: BDZ exposure in CHR-P individuals was not associated with a reduction in the risk of psychosis transition or adverse clinical outcomes. Results in the whole-unmatched sample suggest BDZ prescription may be more likely in CHR-P individuals with higher symptom severity.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: The clinical high risk for psychosis (CHR-P) construct represents an opportunity for prevention and early intervention in young adults, but the relationship between risk for psychosis and physical health in these patients remains unclear. METHODS: We conducted a RECORD-compliant clinical register-based cohort study, selecting the long-term cumulative risk of developing a persistent psychotic disorder as the primary outcome. We investigated associations between primary outcome and physical health data with Electronic Health Records at the South London and Maudsley (SLaM) NHS Trust, UK (January 2013-October 2020). We performed survival analyses using Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests, and Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: The database included 137 CHR-P subjects; 21 CHR-P developed psychosis during follow-up, and the cumulative incidence of psychosis risk was 4.9% at 1 year and 56.3% at 7 years. Log-rank tests suggested that psychosis risk might change between different levels of nicotine and alcohol dependence. Kaplan-Meier curve analyses indicated that non-hazardous drinkers may have a lower psychosis risk than non-drinkers. In the Cox proportional hazard model, nicotine dependence presented a hazard ratio of 1.34 (95% CI: 1.1-1.64) (p = 0.01), indicating a 34% increase in psychosis risk for every additional point on the Fagerström Test for Nicotine Dependence. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that a comprehensive assessment of tobacco and alcohol use, diet, and physical activity in CHR-P subjects is key to understanding how physical health contributes to psychosis risk.
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The effectiveness of universal preventive approaches in reducing the incidence of affective/psychotic disorders is unclear. We therefore aimed to synthesise the available evidence from randomised controlled trials. For studies reporting change in prevalence, we simulated all possible scenarios for the proportion of individuals with the disorder at baseline and at follow-up to exclude them. We then combined these data with studies directly measuring incidence and conducted random effects meta-analysis with relative risk (RR) to estimate the incidence in the intervention group compared to the control group. Eighteen studies (k=21 samples) were included investigating the universal prevention of depression in 66,625 individuals. No studies were available investigating universal prevention on the incidence of bipolar/psychotic disorders. 63â¯% of simulated scenarios showed a significant preventive effect on reducing the incidence of depression (k=9â¯-â¯19, RR=0.75-0.94, 95â¯%CIs=0.55-0.87,0.93-1.15, p=0.007-0.246) but did not survive sensitivity analyses. There is some limited evidence for the effectiveness of universal interventions for reducing the incidence of depression but not for bipolar/psychotic disorders.
Assuntos
Transtornos Psicóticos , Humanos , Transtornos Psicóticos/prevenção & controle , Transtornos Psicóticos/epidemiologia , Incidência , Transtorno Bipolar/epidemiologia , Transtorno Bipolar/prevenção & controle , Transtornos do Humor/epidemiologia , Transtornos do Humor/prevenção & controleRESUMO
The distal region of the uterine (Fallopian) tube is commonly associated with high-grade serous carcinoma (HGSC), the predominant and most aggressive form of ovarian or extra-uterine cancer. Specific cell states and lineage dynamics of the adult tubal epithelium (TE) remain insufficiently understood, hindering efforts to determine the cell of origin for HGSC. Here, we report a comprehensive census of cell types and states of the mouse uterine tube. We show that distal TE cells expressing the stem/progenitor cell marker Slc1a3 can differentiate into both secretory (Ovgp1+) and ciliated (Fam183b+) cells. Inactivation of Trp53 and Rb1, whose pathways are commonly altered in HGSC, leads to elimination of targeted Slc1a3+ cells by apoptosis, thereby preventing their malignant transformation. In contrast, pre-ciliated cells (Krt5+, Prom1+, Trp73+) remain cancer-prone and give rise to serous tubal intraepithelial carcinomas and overt HGSC. These findings identify transitional pre-ciliated cells as a cancer-prone cell state and point to pre-ciliation mechanisms as diagnostic and therapeutic targets.
Assuntos
Cílios , Cistadenocarcinoma Seroso , Células Epiteliais , Tubas Uterinas , Neoplasias Ovarianas , Proteína Supressora de Tumor p53 , Feminino , Animais , Tubas Uterinas/patologia , Neoplasias Ovarianas/patologia , Neoplasias Ovarianas/metabolismo , Camundongos , Células Epiteliais/patologia , Células Epiteliais/metabolismo , Cistadenocarcinoma Seroso/patologia , Cistadenocarcinoma Seroso/metabolismo , Proteína Supressora de Tumor p53/metabolismo , Proteína Supressora de Tumor p53/genética , Cílios/patologia , Cílios/metabolismo , Humanos , Transformação Celular Neoplásica/patologia , Proteína do Retinoblastoma/metabolismo , Proteína do Retinoblastoma/genéticaRESUMO
Elevated hippocampal perfusion has been observed in people at clinical high risk for psychosis (CHR-P). Preclinical evidence suggests that hippocampal hyperactivity is central to the pathophysiology of psychosis, and that peripubertal treatment with diazepam can prevent the development of psychosis-relevant phenotypes. The present experimental medicine study examined whether diazepam can normalize hippocampal perfusion in CHR-P individuals. Using a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, crossover design, 24 CHR-P individuals were assessed with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) on two occasions, once following a single oral dose of diazepam (5 mg) and once following placebo. Regional cerebral blood flow (rCBF) was measured using 3D pseudo-continuous arterial spin labeling and sampled in native space using participant-specific hippocampus and subfield masks (CA1, subiculum, CA4/dentate gyrus). Twenty-two healthy controls (HC) were scanned using the same MRI acquisition sequence, but without administration of diazepam or placebo. Mixed-design ANCOVAs and linear mixed-effects models were used to examine the effects of group (CHR-P placebo/diazepam vs. HC) and condition (CHR-P diazepam vs. placebo) on rCBF in the hippocampus as a whole and by subfield. Under the placebo condition, CHR-P individuals (mean [±SD] age: 24.1 [±4.8] years, 15 F) showed significantly elevated rCBF compared to HC (mean [±SD] age: 26.5 [±5.1] years, 11 F) in the hippocampus (F(1,41) = 24.7, pFDR < 0.001) and across its subfields (all pFDR < 0.001). Following diazepam, rCBF in the hippocampus (and subfields, all pFDR < 0.001) was significantly reduced (t(69) = -5.1, pFDR < 0.001) and normalized to HC levels (F(1,41) = 0.4, pFDR = 0.204). In conclusion, diazepam normalized hippocampal hyperperfusion in CHR-P individuals, consistent with evidence implicating medial temporal GABAergic dysfunction in increased vulnerability for psychosis.
Assuntos
Circulação Cerebrovascular , Estudos Cross-Over , Diazepam , Hipocampo , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Transtornos Psicóticos , Humanos , Diazepam/farmacologia , Hipocampo/efeitos dos fármacos , Hipocampo/diagnóstico por imagem , Hipocampo/irrigação sanguínea , Masculino , Método Duplo-Cego , Feminino , Circulação Cerebrovascular/efeitos dos fármacos , Circulação Cerebrovascular/fisiologia , Adulto Jovem , Transtornos Psicóticos/tratamento farmacológico , Transtornos Psicóticos/diagnóstico por imagem , Transtornos Psicóticos/fisiopatologia , Adulto , AdolescenteRESUMO
Few studies have addressed longer-term survival for breast cancer in European women. We have made predictions of 10-year survival for European women diagnosed with breast cancer in 2000-2002. Data for 114,312 adult women (15-99 years) diagnosed with a first primary malignant cancer of the breast during 2000-2002 were collected in the EUROCARE-4 study from 24 population-based cancer registries in 14 European countries. We estimated relative survival at 1, 5, and 10 years after diagnosis for women who were alive at some point during 2000-2002, using the period approach. We also estimated 10-year survival conditional on survival to 1 and 5 years after diagnosis. Ten-year survival exceeded 70% in most regions, but was only 54% in Eastern Europe, with the highest value in Northern Europe (about 75%). Ten-year survival conditional on survival for 1 year was 2-6% higher than 10-year survival in all European regions, and geographic differences were smaller. Ten-year survival for women who survived at least 5 years was 88% overall, with the lowest figure in Eastern Europe (79%) and the highest in the UK (91%). Women aged 50-69 years had higher overall survival than older and younger women (79%). Six cancer registries had adequate information on stage at diagnosis; in these jurisdictions, 10-year survival was 89% for local, 62% for regional and 10% for metastatic disease. Data on stage are not collected routinely or consistently, yet these data are essential for meaningful comparison of population-based survival, which provides vital information for improving breast cancer control.
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Neoplasias da Mama/mortalidade , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Sistema de Registros , Análise de Sobrevida , Taxa de SobrevidaRESUMO
UNLABELLED: Cancer prevalence is the proportion of a population diagnosed with cancer. We present a method for differentiating prevalence into the proportions expected to survive without relapse, die of cancer within a year, and die of cancer within 10 years or survive with relapse at the end of the 10th year. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The method was applied to samples of colorectal cancer cases, randomly extracted from four Italian cancer registries (CRs). The CRs collected data on treatments, local relapses, distant relapses, and causes of death: 1) over the entire follow-up to 31 December 2007 for 601 cases diagnosed in 2002 (cohort approach); 2) over a single year (2007) for five cohorts of cases defined by year of diagnosis (from 1997 to 2001), alive at 1 January 2007 (total 298 cases). The cohorts were combined into a fictitious cohort with 10 years survival experience. For each year j after diagnosis the health status of cases alive at the beginning of j was estimated at the end of the 10th year. From these estimates the 10-year colorectal cancer prevalence was differentiated. RESULTS: We estimated: 74.7% alive without relapse or not undergoing treatment at the end of 10 years; 8.1% had died of colorectal cancer within a year; 11.4% had died of colorectal cancer 1-10 years after diagnosis or had relapsed or were undergoing treatment at the end of the 10th year; and 5.8% had died of other causes. CONCLUSIONS: We have introduced a new method for estimating the healthcare and rehabilitation demands of cancer survivors based on CR data plus treatment and relapse data specifically collected for samples of cases archived by CRs.