Sensitivity analysis of an urban stormwater microorganism model.

This paper presents the sensitivity analysis of a newly developed model which predicts microorganism concentrations in urban stormwater (MOPUS--MicroOrganism Prediction in Urban Stormwater). The analysis used Escherichia coli data collected from four urban catchments in Melbourne, Australia. The MICA program (Model Independent Markov Chain Monte Carlo Analysis), used to conduct this analysis, applies a carefully constructed Markov Chain Monte Carlo procedure, based on the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, to explore the model's posterior parameter distribution. It was determined that the majority of parameters in the MOPUS model were well defined, with the data from the MCMC procedure indicating that the parameters were largely independent. However, a sporadic correlation found between two parameters indicates that some improvements may be possible in the MOPUS model. This paper identifies the parameters which are the most important during model calibration; it was shown, for example, that parameters associated with the deposition of microorganisms in the catchment were more influential than those related to microorganism survival processes. These findings will help users calibrate the MOPUS model, and will help the model developer to improve the model, with efforts currently being made to reduce the number of model parameters, whilst also reducing the slight interaction identified.

Uncertainties in stormwater E. coli levels.

Although water-quality monitoring programs have been widely used to identify and understand the level of pollution in urban stormwater systems, these data are often used without due consideration of the inherent uncertainties contained within these measurements. This study focuses on the uncertainties associated with the monitored levels of Escherichia coli, a common microbial indicator, in urban stormwater. Four sites located in Melbourne, Australia, were used to assess the uncertainty of six stormwater flow and E. coli variables: (1) discrete E. coli concentration, (2) stormwater flow rate, (3) stormwater event volume, (4) event mean concentration (EMC) of E. coli (i.e. a flow-weighted average of an event's E. coli concentrations), (5) E. coli load for each measured event, and (6) site mean E. coli concentration (SMC) (i.e. a volume-weighted average of the E. coli EMCs). Uncertainties of discrete E. coli samples were greater than 30%, while the uncertainty in stormwater flow measurements averaged greater than 97%, mainly due to the high uncertainties in measurements of very low flows. Propagation of these uncertainties, through their respective formulas, found that E. coli EMC uncertainties varied between 10% and 52% and that uncertainties relating to SMC estimates ranged from 35% to 55%. These results show the importance of considering uncertainty when using monitored data sets for any application, including those relating to stormwater management decisions. Suggestions are made about how to increase the accuracies of E. coli monitoring in urban stormwater and how to balance the different sources of uncertainties so that the overall combined uncertainties are minimised while keeping costs at a minimum.

Microbial challenge-testing of treatment processes for quantifying stormwater recycling risks and management.

Pathogenic microorganisms have been identified as the main human health risks associated with the reuse of treated urban stormwater (runoff from paved and unpaved urban areas). As part of the Smart Water initiative (Victorian Government, Australia), a collaborative evaluation of three existing integrated stormwater recycling systems, and the risks involved in non-potable reuse of treated urban stormwater is being undertaken. Three stormwater recycling systems were selected at urban locations to provide a range of barriers including biofiltration, storage tanks, UV disinfection, a constructed wetland, and retention ponds. Recycled water from each of the systems is used for open space irrigation. In order to adequately undertake exposure assessments, it was necessary to quantify the efficacy of key barriers in each exposure pathway. Given that none of the selected treatment systems had previously been evaluated for their treatment efficiency, experimental work was carried out comprising dry and wet weather monitoring of each system (for a period of 12 months), as well as challenging the barriers with model microbes (for viruses, bacteria and parasitic protozoa) to provide input data for use in Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment.

Escherichia coli in urban stormwater: explaining their variability.

The development of a model that predicts the levels of microorganisms in urban stormwater will aid in the assessment of health risks when using stormwater for both recreational uses and as an alternate water resource. However, the development of such a model requires an understanding of the dominant processes that influence the behaviour of microorganisms in urban systems. Using simple and multiple regression analyses this paper determines the dominant processes which affect the inter-event variability of the microbial indicator Escherichia coli (E. coli ) in four urbanised catchments. The results reveal that a number of antecedent climatic conditions, together with rainfall intensity, can significantly explain the inter-event variation in wet weather E. coli levels.

An investigation of rainwater tanks quality and sediment dynamics.

Rainwater tanks are being introduced into urban areas in Australia to supplement centralised potable supply systems. A pilot scale tank study and a full-scale field tank study found that heavy metal concentrations in water samples taken from the tank's supply point can, in some cases, exceed levels recommended by guidelines. Both studies also found very high concentrations of heavy metals in the sediments accumulated at the base of rainwater tanks. Laboratory experiments are underway to investigate sediment transport processes within a full-scale tank. Preliminary results demonstrate the effect of sediment resuspension on the quality of water released from the tank outlet. Improved tank designs that reduce sediment resuspension and mitigate impacts on water quality are the focus of future work.

Achieving multiple benefits from stormwater harvesting.

As the concept of integrated urban water management is incorporated into the practice of urban water servicing, new options, such as stormwater harvesting, which can have multiple benefits, are of increasing interest. The multi-functional benefits of stormwater harvesting include the potential to enhance urban stream health through improvements to the flow regime as well as providing a valuable water supply source. This paper synthesises a current research programme being undertaken to assess the viability of, and develop recommendations for, stormwater harvesting. The design of the collection, treatment, storage, flood protection, and distribution components of an integrated system are each discussed, along with the environmental flow consequences of urban stormwater harvesting. The incorporation of swales and biofilters into the collection system was not found to lead to significant exfiltration and evaporation losses in most circumstances and so can be employed as part of the treatment train. Further treatment can be provided by WSUD-type biophysical measures such as ponds, wetlands or novelly designed biofilters or physio-chemical treatment processes. Depending on the design, the stormwater storage component may or may not provide flood protection. In many circumstances, the storage capacity requirements are not considered to be a barrier to stormwater harvesting.

Is stormwater harvesting beneficial to urban waterway environmental flows?

Urbanization degrades the hydrology and water quality of waterways. Changes to flow regimes include increased frequency of surface runoff, increased peak flows and an increase in total runoff. At the same time, water use in many cities is approaching, and in some cases exceeding, sustainable limits. Stormwater harvesting has the potential to mitigate a number of these detrimental impacts. However, excessive harvesting of stormwater could also be detrimental to stream health. Therefore, a study was undertaken to test whether typical stormwater harvesting scenarios could meet the dual objectives of (i) supplying urban water requirements, and (ii) restoring the flow regime as close as possible to 'natural' (pre-developed). Melbourne and Brisbane, which have different climates, were used along with three land use scenarios (low, medium and high density). Modelling was undertaken for a range of flow and water quality indicators. The results show that using these typical harvesting scenarios helped to bring flow and water quality back towards their pre-developed levels. In some cases, however, harvesting resulted in an over-extraction of flow, demonstrating the need for optimizing the harvesting strategy to meet both supply and environmental flow objectives. The results show that urban stormwater harvesting is a potential strategy for achieving both water conservation and environmental flows.

UVQ: a tool for assessing the water and contaminant balance impacts of urban development scenarios.

This paper presents the water and contaminant daily simulation model of the total water cycle, called UVQ. The model has been developed to provide a means for rapidly assessing conventional and nonconventional approaches to providing water supply, stormwater and wastewater services to urban allotments, neighbourhoods and study areas. The model is placed the context of other such models developed internationally through a brief literature review. This is followed by a description of the model and output examples, which is used to illustrate the utility of the model. UVQ is an effective preliminary assessment tool for determining the impacts of urban development options on the total water cycle, as well as the performance of a wide range of non-conventional demand and supply side management techniques. It compliments other aspects of an environmental assessment of options, along with more traditional aspects such as infrastructure costing.