The SaTH risk-assessment tool for the prediction of emergency cesarean section in women having induction of labor for all indications: a large-cohort based study.

PURPOSE: To develop a risk-assessment model for the prediction of emergency cesarean section (CS) in women having induction of labor (IOL). METHODS: This was an observational cohort study of women with IOL for any indication between 2007 and 2013. Women induced for stillbirths and with multiple pregnancies were excluded. The primary objective was to identify risk factors associated with CS delivery and to construct a risk-prediction tool. RESULTS: 6169 women were identified with mean age of 28.9 years. Primiparity involved 47.1 %, CS rate was 13.3 % and post-date pregnancies were 32.4 %. Risk factors for CS were: age >30 years, BMI >25 kg/m2, primiparity, black-ethnicity, non post-date pregnancy, meconium-stained liquor, epidural analgesia, and male fetal gender. Each factor was assigned a score and with increasing scores the CS rate increased. The CS rate was 5.4 % for a score <11, while for a score ≥11 it increased to 25.0 %. The model had a sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value and positive predictive value of 75.8, 65.1, 93.8 and 25.0 %, respectively. CONCLUSION: We have constructed a risk-prediction tool for CS delivery in women with IOL. The risk-assessment tool for the prediction of emergency CS in induced labor has a high negative-predictive value and can provide reassurance to presumed low-risk women.

Successful vaginal birth after caesarean section in patient with Ehler-Danlos syndrome type 2.

We present the case of a 31-year-old woman with Ehler-Danlos syndrome (EDS) type 2. She had a previous caesarean section and went on to have an uncomplicated vaginal birth in her last pregnancy. To our knowledge, this is the first case of a successful vaginal birth after caesarean section in a patient with EDS. EDS is a multisystem disorder involving a genetic defect in collagen and connective-tissue synthesis and structure. It is a heterogeneous group of 11 different inherited disorders. Obstetric complications in these patients include miscarriages, stillbirths, premature rupture of the membranes, preterm labour, uterine prolapse, uterine rupture and severe postpartum haemorrhage. There has been much controversy over the appropriate mode of delivery. Abdominal deliveries are complicated by delayed wound healing and increased perioperative blood loss. Vaginal deliveries may be complicated by tissue friability causing extensive perineal tears, pelvic floor and bladder lesions. Our case highlights that in specific, controlled situations it is possible to have a vaginal delivery even after previous caesarean section in patients with EDS.