Survival in acute heart failure in intensive cardiac care unit: a prospective study.

The aim of this study is to identify the best predictors of mortality among clinical, biochemical and advanced echocardiographic parameters in acute heart failure (AHF) patients admitted to coronary care unit (CCU). AHF is a clinical condition characterized by high mortality and morbidity. Several studies have investigated the potential prognostic factors that could help the risk assessment of cardiovascular events in HF patients, but at the moment it has not been found a complete prognostic score (including clinical, laboratory and echocardiographic parameters), univocally used for AHF patients. Patients (n = 118) admitted to CCU due to AHF de novo or to an exacerbation of chronic heart failure were enrolled. For each patient, clinical and biochemical parameters were reported as well as the echocardiographic data, including speckle tracking echocardiography analysis. These indexes were then related to intra- and extrahospital mortality. At the end of the follow-up period, the study population was divided into two groups, defined as 'survivors' and 'non-survivors'. From statistical analysis, C-reactive protein (CRP) (AUC = 0.75), haemoglobin (AUC = 0.71), creatinine clearance (AUC = 0.74), left atrial strain (AUC = 0.73) and freewall right ventricular strain (AUC = 0.76) showed the strongest association with shortterm mortality and they represented the items of the proposed risk score, whose cut-off of 3 points is able to discriminate patients at higher risk of mortality. AHF represents one of the major challenges in CCU. The use of a combined biochemical and advanced echocardiographic score, assessed at admission, could help to better predict mortality risk, in addition to commonly used indexes.

ACUTE HF score, a multiparametric prognostic tool for acute heart failure: A real-life study.

BACKGROUND: Acute heart failure (AHF) is the first cause of hospitalization for over-65 individuals, associated with high mortality and readmission rate. The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of a multiparametric score combining clinical, biochemical and echocardiographic indexes in AHF for clinical practice. METHODS: 830 patients hospitalized for AHF were enrolled. Exclusion criteria were: active neoplasms; previous heart transplantation or left ventricular assist device implantation. Different variables were analyzed: etiology of AHF, clinical and biochemical data, lung congestion on chest-X ray, echocardiographic parameters and administered therapy. The endpoints were: all-cause mortality at 30 days, 6 months and 5 years and the duration of hospitalization. RESULTS: 771 patients met eligibility criteria. Using the univariate and multivariate analysis the indexes with the best correlation with outcome were discretized and used to create the ACUTE HF score, computed as: 1.4*[serum creatinine>2 mg/dl] + 0.8*[ejection fraction<30] + 0.7*[age > 76] + 0.7*[prior hospitalization for AHF] + 0.9*[prior stroke/transient ischemic attack] + 0.5*[more than moderate mitral regurgitation] + 0.8*[use of non-invasive ventilation] and used to divide patients into 3 groups according to the risk of 6-months mortality. With the receiver operating curves and Kaplan-Meier analysis, this score proved to have a high predictive power for mortality at 30 days, 6 months and 5 years from hospitalization, and for event-free survival rates, providing a risk stratification capability superior to that of single variables. CONCLUSIONS: The ACUTE HF score could be a complete and useful tool for assessing prognosis of AHF patients. It could represent a step in the long standardization pathway of prognostic protocols for AHF.