RESUMO
We examined changes in the proportion of people with human immunodeficiency virus (PWH) with virologic suppression (VS) in a multisite US cohort before and since the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Overall, prior gains in VS slowed during COVID-19, with disproportionate impacts on Black PWH and PWH who inject drugs.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Infecções por HIV , Humanos , HIV , Análise de Séries Temporais Interrompida , Infecções por HIV/complicações , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Estimating the medical complexity of people aging with HIV can inform clinical programs and policy to meet future healthcare needs. The objective of our study was to forecast the prevalence of comorbidities and multimorbidity among people with HIV (PWH) using antiretroviral therapy (ART) in the United States (US) through 2030. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Using the PEARL model-an agent-based simulation of PWH who have initiated ART in the US-the prevalence of anxiety, depression, stage ≥3 chronic kidney disease (CKD), dyslipidemia, diabetes, hypertension, cancer, end-stage liver disease (ESLD), myocardial infarction (MI), and multimorbidity (≥2 mental or physical comorbidities, other than HIV) were forecasted through 2030. Simulations were informed by the US CDC HIV surveillance data of new HIV diagnosis and the longitudinal North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design (NA-ACCORD) data on risk of comorbidities from 2009 to 2017. The simulated population represented 15 subgroups of PWH including Hispanic, non-Hispanic White (White), and non-Hispanic Black/African American (Black/AA) men who have sex with men (MSM), men and women with history of injection drug use and heterosexual men and women. Simulations were replicated for 200 runs and forecasted outcomes are presented as median values (95% uncertainty ranges are presented in the Supporting information). In 2020, PEARL forecasted a median population of 670,000 individuals receiving ART in the US, of whom 9% men and 4% women with history of injection drug use, 60% MSM, 8% heterosexual men, and 19% heterosexual women. Additionally, 44% were Black/AA, 32% White, and 23% Hispanic. Along with a gradual rise in population size of PWH receiving ART-reaching 908,000 individuals by 2030-PEARL forecasted a surge in prevalence of most comorbidities to 2030. Depression and/or anxiety was high and increased from 60% in 2020 to 64% in 2030. Hypertension decreased while dyslipidemia, diabetes, CKD, and MI increased. There was little change in prevalence of cancer and ESLD. The forecasted multimorbidity among PWH receiving ART increased from 63% in 2020 to 70% in 2030. There was heterogeneity in trends across subgroups. Among Black women with history of injection drug use in 2030 (oldest demographic subgroup with median age of 66 year), dyslipidemia, CKD, hypertension, diabetes, anxiety, and depression were most prevalent, with 92% experiencing multimorbidity. Among Black MSM in 2030 (youngest demographic subgroup with median age of 42 year), depression and CKD were highly prevalent, with 57% experiencing multimorbidity. These results are limited by the assumption that trends in new HIV diagnoses, mortality, and comorbidity risk observed in 2009 to 2017 will persist through 2030; influences occurring outside this period are not accounted for in the forecasts. CONCLUSIONS: The PEARL forecasts suggest a continued rise in comorbidity and multimorbidity prevalence to 2030, marked by heterogeneities across race/ethnicity, gender, and HIV acquisition risk subgroups. HIV clinicians must stay current on the ever-changing comorbidities-specific guidelines to provide guideline-recommended care. HIV clinical directors should ensure linkages to subspecialty care within the clinic or by referral. HIV policy decision-makers must allocate resources and support extended clinical capacity to meet the healthcare needs of people aging with HIV.
Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus , Dislipidemias , Infecções por HIV , Hipertensão , Neoplasias , Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Minorias Sexuais e de Gênero , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Homossexualidade Masculina , Multimorbidade , Prevalência , Comorbidade , Infecções por HIV/complicações , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Dislipidemias/epidemiologia , Neoplasias/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In the USA, nirmatrelvir/ritonavir is authorized for the treatment of mild-to-moderate COVID-19 in patients at least 12â years of age, at high risk for progression to severe COVID-19. OBJECTIVES: To estimate the impact of outpatient nirmatrelvir/ritonavir on COVID-19 hospitalization risk in a US healthcare system. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study using electronic health records among outpatients with a positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR test between January and August 2022. We evaluated the association of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir therapy with time to hospitalization by estimating adjusted HRs and assessed the impact of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir on predicted COVID-19 hospitalizations using machine-learning methods. RESULTS: Among 44â671 patients, 4948 (11%) received nirmatrelvir/ritonavir, and 201 (0.4%) were hospitalized within 28â days of COVID-19 diagnosis. Nirmatrelvir/ritonavir recipients were more likely to be older, white, vaccinated, have comorbidities and reside in areas with higher average socioeconomic status. The 28â day cumulative incidence of hospitalization was 0.06% (95% CI: 0.02%-0.17%) among nirmatrelvir/ritonavir recipients and 0.52% (95% CI: 0.46%-0.60%) among non-recipients. For nirmatrelvir/ritonavir versus no therapy, the age-adjusted HR was 0.08 (95% CI: 0.03-0.26); the fully adjusted HR was 0.16 (95% CI: 0.05-0.50). In the machine-learning model, the primary features reducing predicted hospitalization risk were nirmatrelvir/ritonavir, younger age, vaccination, female gender and residence in a higher socioeconomic status area. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 hospitalization risk was reduced by 84% among nirmatrelvir/ritonavir recipients in a large, diverse healthcare system during the Omicron wave. These results suggest that nirmatrelvir/ritonavir remained highly effective in a setting substantially different than the original clinical trials.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Lactamas , Leucina , Nitrilas , Pacientes Ambulatoriais , Prolina , Humanos , Feminino , COVID-19/epidemiologia , North Carolina , Teste para COVID-19 , Estudos de Coortes , Ritonavir/uso terapêutico , SARS-CoV-2 , Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , Hospitalização , Antivirais/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
Alcohol use was associated with elevated COVID-19 risk in the general population. People with HIV (PWH) have high prevalences of alcohol use. To evaluate the effect of alcohol use on COVID-19 risks among PWH, we estimated the risk of COVID-19 diagnosis and COVID-19-related hospitalization among PWH in routine care at 8 HIV primary care centers that contributed data to the Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) cohort according to their alcohol use just prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. The CNICS data repository includes demographic characteristics, clinical diagnoses, and laboratory test results from electronic medical records and other sources. Alcohol use, substance use, and mental health symptoms were self-reported on tablet-based standardized surveys. Alcohol use was categorized according to standard, sex-specific Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test-Consumption instrument cut-offs. We followed 5,496 PWH (79% male, 48% Black race, median age = 53 years) from March 1, 2020 to December 31, 2020. Relative to PWH with no baseline alcohol use, the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of COVID-19 diagnosis was 1.09 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.78, 1.51) for lower-risk drinking and 1.19 (95%CI: 0.81, 1.73) for unhealthy drinking. The aHR of COVID-19-related hospitalization was 0.82 (95%CI: 0.33, 1.99) for lower-risk drinking and 1.25 (95%CI: 0.50, 3.09) for unhealthy drinking. Results were not modified by recent cocaine or non-prescribed opioid use, depressive symptoms, or diagnoses of alcohol use disorder. The study suggested a slightly increased, but not statistically significant risk of COVID-19 diagnosis and hospitalization associated with unhealthy alcohol use.
Assuntos
Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas , COVID-19 , Infecções por HIV , Hospitalização , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/psicologia , Masculino , Feminino , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/psicologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Alcoolismo/epidemiologia , PrevalênciaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Hospital readmission trends for persons with human immunodeficiency virus (PWH) in North America in the context of policy changes, improved antiretroviral therapy (ART), and aging are not well-known. We examined readmissions during 2005-2018 among adult PWH in NA-ACCORD. METHODS: Linear risk regression estimated calendar trends in 30-day readmissions, adjusted for demographics, CD4 count, AIDS history, virologic suppression (<400 copies/mL), and cohort. RESULTS: We examined 20 189 hospitalizations among 8823 PWH (73% cisgender men, 38% White, 38% Black). PWH hospitalized in 2018 versus 2005 had higher median age (54 vs 44 years), CD4 count (469 vs 274 cells/µL), and virologic suppression (83% vs 49%). Unadjusted 30-day readmissions decreased from 20.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 17.9%-22.3%) in 2005 to 16.3% (95% CI, 14.1%-18.5%) in 2018. Absolute annual trends were -0.34% (95% CI, -.48% to -.19%) in unadjusted and -0.19% (95% CI, -.35% to -.02%) in adjusted analyses. By index hospitalization reason, there were significant adjusted decreases only for cardiovascular and psychiatric hospitalizations. Readmission reason was most frequently in the same diagnostic category as the index hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Readmissions decreased over 2005-2018 but remained higher than the general population's. Significant decreases after adjusting for CD4 count and virologic suppression suggest that factors alongside improved ART contributed to lower readmissions. Efforts are needed to further prevent readmissions in PWH.
Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , Readmissão do Paciente , Adulto , Masculino , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , HIV , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Canadá/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The impact of adopting a race-free estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) creatinine (eGFRcr) equation on racial differences in chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression among people with human immunodeficiency virus (PWH) is unknown. METHODS: We defined eGFR stages using the original race-adjusted Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) eGFRcr equation and the new race-free CKD-EPI eGFRcr equation. We then estimated 5-year probabilities of transitioning from baseline kidney function to more advanced eGFR stages and examined the association of race (black vs white) with rates of CKD progression using Markov models. RESULTS: With the race-adjusted eGFRcr equation, black participants (n = 31 298) had a lower risk of progressing from eGFR stage 1 to 2 (hazard ratio [HR], 0.77; 95% confidence interval [CI], .73-.82), an equal risk of progressing from stage 2 to 3 (1.00; .92-.07) and a 3-fold risk of progressing from stage 3 to 4 or 5 (3.06; 2.60-3.62), compared with white participants (n = 27 542). When we used the race-free eGFRcr equation, 16% of black participants were reclassified into a more severe eGFR stage at baseline. The reclassified black individuals had a higher prevalence of CKD risk factors than black PWH who were not reclassified. With the race-free eGFRcr equation, black participants had a higher risk of disease progression across all eGFR stages than white participants. CONCLUSIONS: The original eGFRcr equation systematically masked a subgroup of black PWH who are at high-risk of CKD progression. The new race-free eGFRcr equation unmasks these individuals and may allow for earlier detection and management of CKD.
Assuntos
HIV , Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Humanos , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Creatinina , Fatores Raciais , Rim , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Progressão da DoençaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Racial inequities exist in retention in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) care and multilevel analyses are needed to contextualize and address these differences. Leveraging data from a multisite clinical cohort of people with HIV (PWH), we assessed the relationships between patient race and residential characteristics with missed HIV care visits. METHODS: Medical record and patient-reported outcome (PRO; including mental health and substance-use measures) data were drawn from 7 participating Center for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) sites including N = 20 807 PWH from January 2010 through December 2015. Generalized estimating equations were used to account for nesting within individuals and within census tracts in multivariable models assessing the relationship between race and missed HIV care visits, controlling for individual demographic and health characteristics and census tract characteristics. RESULTS: Black PWH resided in more disadvantaged census tracts, on average. Black PWH residing in census tracts with higher proportion of Black residents were more likely to miss an HIV care visit. Non-Black PWH were less likely to miss a visit regardless of where they lived. These relationships were attenuated when PRO data were included. CONCLUSIONS: Residential racial segregation and disadvantage may create inequities between Black PWH and non-Black PWH in retention in HIV care. Multilevel approaches are needed to retain PWH in HIV care, accounting for community, healthcare setting, and individual needs and resources.
Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , HIV , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Características de ResidênciaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: People with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) (PWH) may be at increased risk for severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outcomes. We examined HIV status and COVID-19 severity, and whether tenofovir, used by PWH for HIV treatment and people without HIV (PWoH) for HIV prevention, was associated with protection. METHODS: Within 6 cohorts of PWH and PWoH in the United States, we compared the 90-day risk of any hospitalization, COVID-19 hospitalization, and mechanical ventilation or death by HIV status and by prior exposure to tenofovir, among those with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection between 1 March and 30 November 2020. Adjusted risk ratios (aRRs) were estimated by targeted maximum likelihood estimation, with adjustment for demographics, cohort, smoking, body mass index, Charlson comorbidity index, calendar period of first infection, and CD4 cell counts and HIV RNA levels (in PWH only). RESULTS: Among PWH (n = 1785), 15% were hospitalized for COVID-19 and 5% received mechanical ventilation or died, compared with 6% and 2%, respectively, for PWoH (n = 189 351). Outcome prevalence was lower for PWH and PWoH with prior tenofovir use. In adjusted analyses, PWH were at increased risk compared with PWoH for any hospitalization (aRR, 1.31 [95% confidence interval, 1.20-1.44]), COVID-19 hospitalizations (1.29 [1.15-1.45]), and mechanical ventilation or death (1.51 [1.19-1.92]). Prior tenofovir use was associated with reduced hospitalizations among PWH (aRR, 0.85 [95% confidence interval, .73-.99]) and PWoH (0.71 [.62-.81]). CONCLUSIONS: Before COVID-19 vaccine availability, PWH were at greater risk for severe outcomes than PWoH. Tenofovir was associated with a significant reduction in clinical events for both PWH and PWoH.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Infecções por HIV , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/complicações , Tenofovir/uso terapêutico , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Infecções por HIV/complicações , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , HIVRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: People with HIV have a higher risk of myocardial infarction (MI) than the general population, with a greater proportion of type 2 MI (T2MI) due to oxygen demand-supply mismatch compared with type 1 (T1MI) resulting from atherothrombotic plaque disruption. People living with HIV report a greater prevalence of cigarette and alcohol use than do the general population. Alcohol use and smoking as risk factors for MI by type are not well studied among people living with HIV. We examined longitudinal associations between smoking and alcohol use patterns and MI by type among people living with HIV. DESIGN AND METHODS: Using longitudinal data from the Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems cohort, we conducted time-updated Cox proportional hazards models to determine the impact of smoking and alcohol consumption on adjudicated T1MI and T2MI. RESULTS: Among 13 506 people living with HIV, with a median 4 years of follow-up, we observed 177 T1MI and 141 T2MI. Current smoking was associated with a 60% increase in risk of both T1MI and T2MI. In addition, every cigarette smoked per day was associated with a 4% increase in risk of T1MI, with a suggestive, but not significant, 2% increase for T2MI. Cigarette use had a greater impact on T1MI for men than for women and on T2MI for women than for men. Increasing alcohol use was associated with a lower risk of T1MI but not T2MI. Frequency of heavy episodic alcohol use was not associated with MI. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings reinforce the prioritization of smoking reduction, even without cessation, and cessation among people living with HIV for MI prevention and highlight the different impacts on MI type by gender.
Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , Infarto do Miocárdio , Placa Aterosclerótica , Produtos do Tabaco , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Infecções por HIV/complicações , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio/etiologia , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
Hepatitis delta virus (HDV) infection increases the risk of liver complications compared to hepatitis B virus (HBV) alone, particularly among persons with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). However, no studies have evaluated the prevalence or determinants of HDV infection among people with HIV/HBV in the US. We performed a cross-sectional study among adults with HIV/HBV coinfection receiving care at eight sites within the Center for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) between 1996 and 2019. Among patients with available serum/plasma specimens, we selected the first specimen on or after their initial HBV qualifying test. All samples were tested for HDV IgG antibody and HDV RNA. Multivariable log-binomial generalized linear models were used to estimate prevalence ratios (PRs) with 95% CIs of HDV IgG antibody-positivity associated with determinants of interest (age, injection drug use [IDU], high-risk sexual behaviour). Among 597 adults with HIV/HBV coinfection in CNICS and available serum/plasma samples (median age, 43 years; 89.9% male; 52.8% Black; 42.4% White), 24/597 (4.0%; 95% CI, 2.4%-5.6%) were HDV IgG antibody-positive, and 10/596 (1.7%; 95% CI, 0.6%-2.7%) had detectable HDV RNA. In multivariable analysis, IDU was associated with exposure to HDV infection (adjusted PR = 2.50; 95% CI, 1.09-5.74). In conclusion, among a sample of adults with HIV/HBV coinfection in care in the US, 4.0% were HDV IgG antibody-positive, among whom 41.7% had detectable HDV RNA. History of IDU was associated with exposure to HDV infection. These findings emphasize the importance of HDV testing among persons with HIV/HBV coinfection, especially those with a history of IDU.
Assuntos
Coinfecção , Infecções por HIV , Hepatite B , Humanos , Adulto , Masculino , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Feminino , Vírus Delta da Hepatite/genética , HIV , Prevalência , Estudos Transversais , Infecções por HIV/complicações , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Hepatite B/complicações , Hepatite B/epidemiologia , Vírus da Hepatite B/genética , RNA , Anticorpos Anti-Hepatite , Imunoglobulina GRESUMO
Hypertension management outcomes in people with HIV (PWH) are not well characterized, despite high hypertension burden. We assessed hypertension prevalence, incidence, treatment, and outcomes among patients with HIV at a clinical center in the southeastern US, from 2014 to 2019. To identify characteristics associated with treatment and outcomes, we estimated adjusted risk ratios (aRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Among 2274 patients, 72% were cisgender men, 56% non-Hispanic Black, median age 47 years, 48% MSM, 12% had CD4 cell count <200 cells/µl, 72% HIV RNA level <400 copies/mL and 39% prevalent hypertension. Hypertension incidence rate was 6.3/100 person-years (95% CI, 5.6-7.0). Among incident hypertension cases (n = 275), 16% (95% CI, 11-20) initiated an antihypertensive within one year. Compared to non-Hispanic white patients, Hispanic (aRR, 6.68; 95% CI, 1.50-29.74) and non-Hispanic Black patients (aRR, 2.18; 95% CI, 0.91-5.24) were more likely to initiate an antihypertensive. Among patients initiating an antihypertensive (n = 178), 63% (95% CI 56-70) experienced blood pressure control within one year. Patients with HIV experienced a high burden of hypertension with notable delays in antihypertensive initiation, as well as gaps in achieving blood pressure control, highlighting opportunities for interventions designed to minimize delays in controlling hypertension in this vulnerable population.
Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , Hipertensão , Minorias Sexuais e de Gênero , Masculino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Anti-Hipertensivos/uso terapêutico , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/complicações , Homossexualidade Masculina , Hipertensão/tratamento farmacológico , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Hipertensão/complicaçõesRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Multidrug-resistant Enterobacterales (MDR-E) are important pathogens. People living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV; PLWH) may be at greater risk for MDR-E infection given relatively high antibiotic exposure and burden of comorbidities. METHODS: We analyzed data from 36 521 patients in a healthcare system in North Carolina who had a clinical culture with growth of an Enterobacterales species from 2000 to 2018; 440 were PLWH. We used generalized linear models to estimate prevalence ratios and differences, contrasting PLWH and people not living with HIV (PNLWH) for resistance to individual antibiotic classes, as well as MDR-E. We assessed trends in prevalence over time by calculating the 5-year moving average and fitting restricted cubic spline models. RESULTS: The overall prevalence of MDR-E was higher among PLWH (21.5%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 18.2%-25.1%) vs PNLWH (16.5%; 95% CI, 16.2%-16.9%), with an adjusted prevalence ratio of 1.38 (95% CI, 1.14-1.65). PLWH had higher rates of antimicrobial resistance than PNLWH for all antibiotic classes analyzed, including penicillins, penicillin/beta lactamase inhibitor combinations, and sulfonamides. MDR-E prevalence was 3 to 10 percentage points higher among PLWH than PNLWH throughout the study period based on the 5-year moving average. CONCLUSIONS: In a large clinical study population in the southeastern United States from 2000 to 2018, the prevalence of antibacterial resistance among Enterobacterales was consistently higher among PLWH than PNLWH. These data highlight the importance of identifying and mitigating the factors that contribute to antimicrobial resistance in PLWH, given the potential clinical consequences of these resistant pathogens.
Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , Antibacterianos/farmacologia , Comorbidade , HIV , Infecções por HIV/complicações , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Humanos , North Carolina/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Among 14 049 people with human immunodeficiency virus in care in 2019-2020, 96% were treated with antiretroviral therapy (ART). Current antiretroviral treatment patterns highlight high uptake of guideline-recommended ART regimens including second-generation integrase strand transfer inhibitors (dolutegravir and bictegravir) and tenofovir alafenamide, especially in antiretroviral-naive individuals initiating ART.
Assuntos
Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida , Fármacos Anti-HIV , Infecções por HIV , Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/tratamento farmacológico , Alanina/uso terapêutico , Fármacos Anti-HIV/uso terapêutico , Antirretrovirais/uso terapêutico , Emtricitabina/uso terapêutico , HIV , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Compostos Heterocíclicos com 3 Anéis/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Tenofovir/uso terapêutico , Estados UnidosRESUMO
Understanding resilience in relation to HIV-related outcomes may help address racial/ethnic disparities, however, significant gaps in its measurement preclude in-depth study. Thus, this research aims to develop and evaluate the psychometric properties of long and short forms of the Multilevel Resilience Resource Measure for African American/Black Adults Living with HIV. To develop the items, we conducted a mixed methods study (N = 48) and reviewed published resilience measures. We completed content validity index analyses to ensure the items reflected the resilience construct. Next, we conducted 20 cognitive interviews and a field survey (N = 400). The long and short forms demonstrated acceptable to excellent psychometric properties based on factorial validity, internal consistency and convergent validity and on measurement invariance (conducted for the short form only). These measures provide a comprehensive framework to examine resilience and HIV-related outcomes and can inform resilience-building interventions to reduce racial and ethnic health disparities.
Assuntos
Negro ou Afro-Americano , Infecções por HIV , Adulto , Negro ou Afro-Americano/psicologia , População Negra , Infecções por HIV/psicologia , Humanos , Psicometria , Grupos Raciais , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
Predictive analytics can be used to identify people with HIV currently retained in care who are at risk for future disengagement from care, allowing for prioritization of retention interventions. We utilized machine learning methods to develop predictive models of retention in care, defined as no more than a 12 month gap between HIV care appointments in the Center for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) cohort. Data were split longitudinally into derivation and validation cohorts. We created logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), and gradient boosted machine (XGB) models within a discrete-time survival analysis framework and compared their performance to a baseline model that included only demographics, viral suppression, and retention history. 21,267 Patients with 507,687 visits from 2007 to 2018 were included. The LR model outperformed the baseline model (AUC 0.68 [0.67-0.70] vs. 0.60 [0.59-0.62], P < 0.001). RF and XGB models had similar performance to the LR model. Top features in the LR model included retention history, age, and viral suppression.
Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , Retenção nos Cuidados , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/terapia , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Análise de SobrevidaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Persons with human immunodeficiency virus (PWH) with persistently low CD4 counts despite efficacious antiretroviral therapy could have higher hospitalization risk. METHODS: In 6 US and Canadian clinical cohorts, PWH with virologic suppression for ≥1 year in 2005-2015 were followed until virologic failure, loss to follow-up, death, or study end. Stratified by early (years 2-5) and long-term (years 6-11) suppression and lowest presuppression CD4 count <200 and ≥200 cells/µL, Poisson regression models estimated hospitalization incidence rate ratios (aIRRs) comparing patients by time-updated CD4 count category, adjusted for cohort, age, gender, calendar year, suppression duration, and lowest presuppression CD4 count. RESULTS: The 6997 included patients (19 980 person-years) were 81% cisgender men and 40% white. Among patients with lowest presuppression CD4 count <200 cells/µL (44%), patients with current CD4 count 200-350 vs >500 cells/µL had aIRRs of 1.44 during early suppression (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-2.06), and 1.67 (95% CI, 1.03-2.72) during long-term suppression. Among patients with lowest presuppression CD4 count ≥200 (56%), patients with current CD4 351-500 vs >500 cells/µL had an aIRR of 1.22 (95% CI, .93-1.60) during early suppression and 2.09 (95% CI, 1.18-3.70) during long-term suppression. CONCLUSIONS: Virologically suppressed patients with lower CD4 counts experienced higher hospitalization rates and could potentially benefit from targeted clinical management strategies.
Assuntos
Fármacos Anti-HIV/uso terapêutico , Infecções por HIV , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Contagem de Linfócito CD4 , Canadá , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Humanos , Masculino , Carga ViralRESUMO
BACKGROUND: To assess the possible impact of antiretroviral therapy improvements, aging, and comorbidities, we examined trends in all-cause and cause-specific hospitalization rates among persons with HIV (PWH) from 2005 to 2015. METHODS: In 6 clinical cohorts, we followed PWH in care (≥1 outpatient CD4 count or HIV load [VL] every 12 months) and categorized ICD codes of primary discharge diagnoses using modified Clinical Classifications Software. Poisson regression estimated hospitalization rate ratios for calendar time trends, adjusted for demographics, HIV risk factor, and annually updated age, CD4, and VL. RESULTS: Among 28â 057 patients (125â 724 person-years), from 2005 to 2015, the median CD4 increased from 389 to 580 cells/µL and virologic suppression from 55% to 85% of patients. Unadjusted all-cause hospitalization rates decreased from 22.3 per 100 person-years in 2005 (95% confidence interval [CI], 20.6-24.1) to 13.0 in 2015 (95% CI, 12.2-14.0). Unadjusted rates decreased for almost all diagnostic categories. Adjusted rates decreased for all-cause, cardiovascular, and AIDS-defining conditions, increased for non-AIDS-defining infection, and were stable for most other categories. CONCLUSIONS: Among PWH with increasing CD4 counts and viral suppression, unadjusted hospitalization rates decreased for all-cause and most cause-specific hospitalizations, despite the potential effects of aging, comorbidities, and cumulative exposure to HIV and antiretrovirals.
Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/tratamento farmacológico , Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/epidemiologia , Envelhecimento , Fármacos Anti-HIV/uso terapêutico , Contagem de Linfócito CD4 , Canadá/epidemiologia , Comorbidade , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Humanos , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Carga ViralRESUMO
BACKGROUND: We investigated the prospective association between a brief self-report measure of engagement in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) care (the Index of Engagement in HIV Care; hereafter "Index") and suboptimal retention and viral suppression outcomes. METHODS: The Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems cohort study combines medical record data with patient-reported outcomes from 8 HIV clinics in the United States, which from April 2016 to March 2017 included the 10-item Index. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the risk and odds ratios of mean Index scores on 2 outcomes in the subsequent year: (1) not keeping ≥75% of scheduled HIV care appointments; and (2) for those with viral suppression at Index assessment, having viral load >200 copies/mL on ≥1 measurement. We also used generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) to estimate the risk and odds ratios of appointment nonattendance or unsuppressed viral load at any given observation. We generated receiver operating characteristic curves for the full models overlaid with the Index as a sole predictor. RESULTS: The mean Index score was 4.5 (standard deviation, 0.6). Higher Index scores were associated with lower relative risk of suboptimal retention (nâ =â 2576; logistic regression adjusted risk ratio [aRR], 0.88 [95% confidence interval, .87-.88]; GLMM aRR, 0.85 [.83-.87]) and lack of sustained viral suppression (nâ =â 2499; logistic regression aRR, 0.75 [.68-.83]; GLMM aRR, 0.74 [.68-.80]). The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the full models were 0.69 (95% confidence interval, .67-.71) for suboptimal retention and 0.76 (.72-.79) for lack of sustained viral suppression. CONCLUSIONS: Index scores are significantly associated with suboptimal retention and viral suppression outcomes.
Assuntos
Fármacos Anti-HIV , Infecções por HIV , Retenção nos Cuidados , Fármacos Anti-HIV/uso terapêutico , Estudos de Coortes , HIV , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Humanos , Medidas de Resultados Relatados pelo Paciente , Estados Unidos , Carga ViralRESUMO
Resilience may help people living with HIV (PLWH) overcome adversities to disease management. This study identifies multilevel resilience resources among African American/Black (AA/B) PLWH and examines whether resilience resources differ by demographics and neighborhood risk environments. We recruited participants and conducted concept mapping at two clinics in the southeastern United States. Concept Mapping incorporates qualitative and quantitative methods to represent participant-generated concepts via two-dimensional maps. Eligible participants had to attend ≥ 75% of their scheduled clinic appointments and did not have ≥ 2 consecutive detectable HIV-1 viral load measurements in the past 2 years. Of the 85 AA/B PLWH who were invited, forty-eight participated. Twelve resilience resource clusters emerged-five individual, two interpersonal, two organizational/policy and three neighborhood level clusters. There were strong correlations in cluster ratings for demographic and neighborhood risk environment comparison groups (r ≥ 0.89). These findings could inform development of theories, measures and interventions for AA/B PLWH.
Assuntos
Negro ou Afro-Americano/psicologia , Infecções por HIV/psicologia , Equidade em Saúde , Resiliência Psicológica , Adulto , Fármacos Anti-HIV/uso terapêutico , População Negra/psicologia , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/etnologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multinível , Características de Residência , Sudeste dos Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
We examined HIV viral load non-suppression ([Formula: see text] 200 copies/mL) subsequent to person-periods (3-18 months) bookended by two self-reports of alcohol use on a standardized patient reported outcome assessment among adults in routine HIV care. We examined the relative risk (RR) of non-suppression associated with increases and decreases in alcohol use (relative to stable use), stratified by use at the start of the person-period. Increases in drinking from abstinence were associated with higher risk of viral non-suppression (low-risk without binge: RR 1.16, 95% CI 1.03, 1.32; low-risk with binge: RR 1.35, 95% CI 1.11, 1.63; high-risk: RR 1.89, 95% CI 1.16, 3.08). Decreases in drinking from high-risk drinking were weakly, and not statistically significantly associated with lower risk of viral non-suppression. Other changes in alcohol use were not associated with viral load non-suppression. Most changes in alcohol consumption among people using alcohol at baseline were not strongly associated with viral non-suppression.