Multicentric development and evaluation of [18F]FDG PET/CT and CT radiomic models to predict regional and/or distant recurrence in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer treated by stereotactic body radiation therapy.

PURPOSE: To develop machine learning models to predict regional and/or distant recurrence in patients with early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (ES-NSCLC) after stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) using [18F]FDG PET/CT and CT radiomics combined with clinical and dosimetric parameters. METHODS: We retrospectively collected 464 patients (60% for training and 40% for testing) from University Hospital of Liège and 63 patients from University Hospital of Brest (external testing set) with ES-NSCLC treated with SBRT between 2010 and 2020 and who had undergone pretreatment [18F]FDG PET/CT and planning CT. Radiomic features were extracted using the PyRadiomics toolbox®. The ComBat harmonization method was applied to reduce the batch effect between centers. Clinical, radiomic, and combined models were trained and tested using a neural network approach to predict regional and/or distant recurrence. RESULTS: In the training (n = 273) and testing sets (n = 191 and n = 63), the clinical model achieved moderate performances to predict regional and/or distant recurrence with C-statistics from 0.53 to 0.59 (95% CI, 0.41, 0.67). The radiomic (original_firstorder_Entropy, original_gldm_LowGrayLevelEmphasis and original_glcm_DifferenceAverage) model achieved higher predictive ability in the training set and kept the same performance in the testing sets, with C-statistics from 0.70 to 0.78 (95% CI, 0.63, 0.88) while the combined model performs moderately well with C-statistics from 0.50 to 0.62 (95% CI, 0.37, 0.69). CONCLUSION: Radiomic features extracted from pre-SBRT analog and digital [18F]FDG PET/CT outperform clinical parameters in the prediction of regional and/or distant recurrence and to discuss an adjuvant systemic treatment in ES-NSCLC. Prospective validation of our models should now be carried out.

Identification of CT radiomic features robust to acquisition and segmentation variations for improved prediction of radiotherapy-treated lung cancer patient recurrence.

The primary objective of the present study was to identify a subset of radiomic features extracted from primary tumor imaged by computed tomography of early-stage non-small cell lung cancer patients, which remain unaffected by variations in segmentation quality and in computed tomography image acquisition protocol. The robustness of these features to segmentation variations was assessed by analyzing the correlation of feature values extracted from lesion volumes delineated by two annotators. The robustness to variations in acquisition protocol was evaluated by examining the correlation of features extracted from high-dose and low-dose computed tomography scans, both of which were acquired for each patient as part of the stereotactic body radiotherapy planning process. Among 106 radiomic features considered, 21 were identified as robust. An analysis including univariate and multivariate assessments was subsequently conducted to estimate the predictive performance of these robust features on the outcome of early-stage non-small cell lung cancer patients treated with stereotactic body radiation therapy. The univariate predictive analysis revealed that robust features demonstrated superior predictive potential compared to non-robust features. The multivariate analysis indicated that linear regression models built with robust features displayed greater generalization capabilities by outperforming other models in predicting the outcomes of an external validation dataset.