Electrocardiographic markers of subclinical atrial fibrillation detected by implantable loop recorder: insights from the LOOP Study.

AIMS: Insights into subclinical atrial fibrillation (AF) development are warranted to inform the strategies of screening and subsequent clinical management upon AF detection. Hence, this study sought to characterize the onset and progression of subclinical AF with respect to 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) parameters. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included AF-naïve individuals aged 70-90 years with additional stroke risk factors who underwent implantable loop recorder (ILR) monitoring in the LOOP Study. Using data from daily ILR recordings and the computerized analysis of baseline ECG, we studied empirically selected ECG parameters for AF detection (≥6 min), cumulative AF burden, long-lasting AF (≥24 h), and AF progression. Of 1370 individuals included, 419 (30.6%) developed AF during follow-up, with a mean cumulative AF burden of 1.5% [95% CI: 1.2-1.8]. Several P-wave-related and ventricular ECG parameters were associated with new-onset AF and with cumulative AF burden in AF patients. P-wave duration (PWD), P-wave terminal force in Lead V1, and interatrial block (IAB) further demonstrated significant associations with long-lasting AF. Among AF patients, we observed an overall reduction in cumulative AF burden over time (IRR 0.70 [95% CI: 0.51-0.96]), whereas IAB was related to an increased risk of progression to AF ≥24 h (HR 1.86 [95% CI: 1.02-3.39]). Further spline analysis also revealed longer PWD to be associated with this progression in AF duration. CONCLUSION: We identified several ECG parameters associated with new-onset subclinical AF detected by ILR. Especially PWD and IAB were robustly related to the onset and the burden of AF as well as progression over time.

Comprehensive Evaluation of Rhythm Monitoring Strategies in Screening for Atrial Fibrillation: Insights From Patients at Risk Monitored Long Term With an Implantable Loop Recorder.

BACKGROUND: Stroke is an increasing health problem worldwide. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for stroke, and the attention given to AF screening is rising, as new monitoring technologies emerge. We aimed to evaluate the performance of a large panel of screening strategies and to assess population characteristics associated with diagnostic yield. METHODS: Individuals with stroke risk factors but without AF were recruited from the general population to undergo screening with an implantable loop recorder. New-onset AF lasting ≥6 minutes was adjudicated by senior cardiologists. After continuous monitoring for >3 years, complete day-to-day heart rhythm data sets were reconstructed for every participant, including exact time of onset and termination of all AF episodes. Random sampling was applied to assess the sensitivity and negative predictive value of screening with various simulated screening strategies compared with the implantable loop recorder. The diagnostic yield across strategies and population subgroups was compared by use of nonparametric tests. RESULTS: The rhythm data sets comprised 590 participants enduring a total of 659 758 days of continuous monitoring and 20 110 AF episodes. In these data, a single 10-second ECG yielded a sensitivity (and negative predictive value) of 1.5% (66%) for AF detection, increasing to 8.3% (67%) for twice-daily 30-second ECGs during 14 days and to 11% (68%), 13% (68%), 15% (69%), 21% (70%), and 34% (74%) for a single 24-hour, 48-hour, 72-hour, 7-day, or 30-day continuous monitoring, respectively. AF detection further improved when subsequent screenings were performed or when the same monitoring duration was spread over several periods compared with a single period (eg, three 24-hour monitorings versus one 72-hour monitoring; P<0.0001 for all comparisons). The sensitivity was consistently higher among participants with age ≥75 years, male sex, CHADS2 score >2, or NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) ≥40 pmol/L and among participants with underlying ≥24-hour AF episodes compared with shorter AF (P<0.0001 for all screening strategies). CONCLUSIONS: In screening for AF among participants with stroke risk factors, the diagnostic yield increased with duration, dispersion, and number of screenings, although all strategies had low yield compared with the implantable loop recorder. The sensitivity was higher among participants who were older, were male, or had higher NT-proBNP. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02036450.

Genetic Architecture of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm in the Million Veteran Program.

BACKGROUND: Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is an important cause of cardiovascular mortality; however, its genetic determinants remain incompletely defined. In total, 10 previously identified risk loci explain a small fraction of AAA heritability. METHODS: We performed a genome-wide association study in the Million Veteran Program testing ≈18 million DNA sequence variants with AAA (7642 cases and 172 172 controls) in veterans of European ancestry with independent replication in up to 4972 cases and 99 858 controls. We then used mendelian randomization to examine the causal effects of blood pressure on AAA. We examined the association of AAA risk variants with aneurysms in the lower extremity, cerebral, and iliac arterial beds, and derived a genome-wide polygenic risk score (PRS) to identify a subset of the population at greater risk for disease. RESULTS: Through a genome-wide association study, we identified 14 novel loci, bringing the total number of known significant AAA loci to 24. In our mendelian randomization analysis, we demonstrate that a genetic increase of 10 mm Hg in diastolic blood pressure (odds ratio, 1.43 [95% CI, 1.24-1.66]; P=1.6×10-6), as opposed to systolic blood pressure (odds ratio, 1.06 [95% CI, 0.97-1.15]; P=0.2), likely has a causal relationship with AAA development. We observed that 19 of 24 AAA risk variants associate with aneurysms in at least 1 other vascular territory. A 29-variant PRS was strongly associated with AAA (odds ratioPRS, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.18-1.36]; PPRS=2.7×10-11 per SD increase in PRS), independent of family history and smoking risk factors (odds ratioPRS+family history+smoking, 1.24 [95% CI, 1.14-1.35]; PPRS=1.27×10-6). Using this PRS, we identified a subset of the population with AAA prevalence greater than that observed in screening trials informing current guidelines. CONCLUSIONS: We identify novel AAA genetic associations with therapeutic implications and identify a subset of the population at significantly increased genetic risk of AAA independent of family history. Our data suggest that extending current screening guidelines to include testing to identify those with high polygenic AAA risk, once the cost of genotyping becomes comparable with that of screening ultrasound, would significantly increase the yield of current screening at reasonable cost.

Association between vectorcardiographic QRS area and incident heart failure diagnosis and mortality among patients with left bundle branch block: A register-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: QRS duration and morphology including left bundle branch block (LBBB) are the most widely used electrocardiogram (ECG) markers for assessing ventricular dyssynchrony and predicting heart failure (HF). However, the vectorcardiographic QRS area may more accurately identify delayed left ventricular activation and HF development. OBJECTIVE: We investigated the association between QRS area and incident HF risk in patients with LBBB. METHODS: By crosslinking data from Danish nationwide registries, we identified patients with a first-time digital LBBB ECG between 2001 and 2015. The vectorcardiographic QRS area was derived from a 12­lead ECG using the Kors transformation method and grouped into quartiles. The endpoint was a composite of HF diagnosis, filled prescriptions for loop diuretics, or death from HF. Cause-specific multivariable Cox regression was used to compute hazard ratios(HR) with 95% confidence intervals(CI). RESULTS: We included 3316 patients with LBBB free from prior HF-related events (median age, 72 years; male, 40%). QRS area quartiles comprised Q1, 36-98 µVs; Q2, 99-119 µVs; Q3, 120-145 µVs; and Q4, 146-295 µVs. During a 5-year follow-up, 31% of patients reached the composite endpoint, with a rate of 39% in the highest quartile Q4. A QRS area in quartile Q4 was associated with increased hazard of the composite endpoint (HR:1.48, 95%CI:1.22-1.80) compared with Q1. CONCLUSIONS: Among primary care patients with newly discovered LBBB, a large vectorcardiographic QRS area (146-295 µVs) was associated with an increased risk of incident HF diagnosis, filling prescriptions for loop diuretics, or dying from HF within 5-years.

Incidence and predictors of atrial fibrillation episodes as detected by implantable loop recorder in patients at risk: From the LOOP study.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies have suggested a high prevalence of subclinical atrial fibrillation (AF) in various patient populations, and interest in AF screening has increased. However, knowledge about episode duration is scarce, and risk factors for short or long subclinical AF episodes have yet to be recognized. The aim of the study was to assess AF by long-term continuous screening and to investigate predictors of episodes lasting ≥6 minutes, ≥5.5 hours, or ≥24 hours, respectively. METHODS: A total of 597 patients aged ≥70 years and diagnosed with ≥1 of hypertension, diabetes, previous stroke, or heart failure were recruited from the general population to receive implantable loop recorder with remote monitoring. Exclusion criteria included history of AF or cardiac implantable electronic device. AF episodes were adjudicated by senior cardiologists. RESULTS: During 40 (37; 42) months of continuous monitoring, AF was detected in 209 (35%) of the patients. The cumulative incidences at 3 years were 33.8% (30.2%-37.8%), 16.1% (13.4%-19.4%), and 5.7% (4.1%-7.9%) for AF episodes lasting ≥6 minutes, ≥5.5 hours, and ≥24 hours, respectively. Slower resting sinus rate and higher body mass index, N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide, and troponin T at baseline were independently associated with AF detection. Addition of these markers to a model of sex, age, and comorbidities improved prediction of AF episodes ≥24 hours (time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 79% vs 65%, P = .037). CONCLUSIONS: A considerable burden of previously unknown AF was detected when long-term monitoring was applied in at-risk patients. Biomarkers were associated with AF incidence and improved prediction of long AF episodes.

Evidence of a causal relationship between body mass index and psoriasis: A mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: Psoriasis is a common inflammatory skin disease that has been reported to be associated with obesity. We aimed to investigate a possible causal relationship between body mass index (BMI) and psoriasis. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Following a review of published epidemiological evidence of the association between obesity and psoriasis, mendelian randomization (MR) was used to test for a causal relationship with BMI. We used a genetic instrument comprising 97 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with BMI as a proxy for BMI (expected to be much less confounded than measured BMI). One-sample MR was conducted using individual-level data (396,495 individuals) from the UK Biobank and the Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT), Norway. Two-sample MR was performed with summary-level data (356,926 individuals) from published BMI and psoriasis genome-wide association studies (GWASs). The one-sample and two-sample MR estimates were meta-analysed using a fixed-effect model. To test for a potential reverse causal effect, MR analysis with genetic instruments comprising variants from recent genome-wide analyses for psoriasis were used to test whether genetic risk for this skin disease has a causal effect on BMI. Published observational data showed an association of higher BMI with psoriasis. A mean difference in BMI of 1.26 kg/m2 (95% CI 1.02-1.51) between psoriasis cases and controls was observed in adults, while a 1.55 kg/m2 mean difference (95% CI 1.13-1.98) was observed in children. The observational association was confirmed in UK Biobank and HUNT data sets. Overall, a 1 kg/m2 increase in BMI was associated with 4% higher odds of psoriasis (meta-analysis odds ratio [OR] = 1.04; 95% CI 1.03-1.04; P = 1.73 × 10(-60)). MR analyses provided evidence that higher BMI causally increases the odds of psoriasis (by 9% per 1 unit increase in BMI; OR = 1.09 (1.06-1.12) per 1 kg/m2; P = 4.67 × 10(-9)). In contrast, MR estimates gave little support to a possible causal effect of psoriasis genetic risk on BMI (0.004 kg/m2 change in BMI per doubling odds of psoriasis (-0.003 to 0.011). Limitations of our study include possible misreporting of psoriasis by patients, as well as potential misdiagnosis by clinicians. In addition, there is also limited ethnic variation in the cohorts studied. CONCLUSIONS: Our study, using genetic variants as instrumental variables for BMI, provides evidence that higher BMI leads to a higher risk of psoriasis. This supports the prioritization of therapies and lifestyle interventions aimed at controlling weight for the prevention or treatment of this common skin disease. Mechanistic studies are required to improve understanding of this relationship.

Association between T-wave discordance and the development of heart failure in left bundle branch block patients: Results from the Copenhagen ECG study.

BACKGROUND: In left bundle branch block (LBBB), discrepancies between depolarization and repolarization of the heart can be assessed by similar direction (concordant) or opposite direction (discordant) of the lateral T-waves compared to the direction of the QRS complex and by the QRS-T angle. We examined the association between discordant T-waves and high QRS-T angles for heart failure development in primary care LBBB patients. METHODS: Between 2001 and 2011, we identified 2540 patients from primary care with LBBB without overt heart failure. We examined the development of heart failure in relation to two ECG measures: (1) LBBB as either discordant (two or three monophasic T-waves in the opposite direction of the QRS complex in leads I, V5 or V6) or concordant, and (2) the frontal plane QRS-T angle in quartile groups. RESULTS: In total, 244 of 913 patients (26.7%) with discordant LBBB developed heart failure compared to 302 of 1627 patients (16.7%) with concordant LBBB. Multivariable Cox regression comparing discordant with concordant LBBB showed a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.58 (95% Confidence interval [CI] 1.71-3.89) for heart failure development within 30 days of follow-up and a HR of 1.45 (95%CI 1.19-1.77) after 30 days. For QRS-T angle, comparing the highest quartile (160°-180°) with the lowest quartile (0°-110°) we found a HR of 2.25 (95%CI 1.26-4.02) within 30 days and a HR of 1.67 (95%CI 1.25-2.23) after 30 days. CONCLUSION: T-wave discordance in lateral ECG leads and a high QRS-T angle are associated with heart failure development in primary care LBBB patients.

The relationship between serum potassium concentrations and electrocardiographic characteristics in 163,547 individuals from primary care.

AIMS: Potassium disturbances are common and associated with increased morbidity and mortality, even in patients without prior cardiovascular disease. We examined six electrocardiographic (ECG) measures and their association to serum potassium levels. METHODS AND RESULTS: From the Copenhagen General Practitioners' Laboratory, we identified 163,547 individuals aged ≥16 years with a first available ECG and a concomitant serum potassium measurement during 2001-2011. Restricted cubic splines curves showed a non-linear relationship between potassium and the Fridericia corrected QT (QTcF) interval, T-wave amplitude, morphology combination score (MCS), PR interval, P-wave amplitude and duration. Therefore, potassium was stratified in two intervals K: 2.0-4.1 mmol/L and 4.2-6.0 mmol/L for further analyses. Within the low potassium range, we observed: QTcF was 12.8 ms longer for each mmol/L decrease in potassium (p < 0.0001); T-wave amplitude was 43.1 µV lower for each mmol/L decrease in potassium (p < 0.0001); and MCS was 0.13 higher per mmol/L decrease in potassium (p < 0.001). Moreover, P-wave duration and PR interval were prolonged by 2.7 and 4.6 ms for each mmol/L decrease in potassium (p < 0.0001), respectively. Within the lowest potassium range (2.0-4.1 mmol/L) P-wave amplitude was 3.5 µV higher for each mmol/L decrease in potassium (p < 0.0001). Within the high potassium range associations with the above-mentioned ECG parameters were much weaker.

Atrial fibrillation detected by continuous electrocardiographic monitoring using implantable loop recorder to prevent stroke in individuals at risk (the LOOP study): Rationale and design of a large randomized controlled trial.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the rate of stroke 5-fold, and AF-related strokes have a poorer prognosis compared with non-AF-related strokes. Atrial fibrillation and stroke constitute an intensifying challenge, and health care organizations are calling for awareness on the topic. Previous studies have demonstrated that AF is often asymptomatic and consequently undiagnosed. The implantable loop recorder (ILR) allows for continuous, long-term electrocardiographic monitoring with daily transmission of arrhythmia information, potentially leading to improvement in AF detection and stroke prevention. METHODS: The LOOP study is an investigator-initiated, randomized controlled trial with 6,000 participants randomized 3:1 to a control group or to receive an ILR with continuous electrocardiographic monitoring. Participants are identified from Danish registries and are eligible for inclusion if 70years or older and previously diagnosed as having at least one of the following conditions: hypertension, diabetes mellitus, heart failure, or previous stroke. Exclusion criteria include history of AF and current oral anticoagulation treatment. When an AF episode lasting ≥6minutes is detected, oral anticoagulation will be initiated according to guidelines. Expected follow-up is 4years. The primary end point is time to stroke or systemic embolism, whereas secondary end points include time to AF diagnosis and death. CONCLUSION: The LOOP study will evaluate health benefits and cost-effectiveness of ILR as a screening tool for AF to prevent stroke in patients at risk. Secondary objectives include identification of risk factors for the development of AF and characterization of arrhythmias in the population. The trial holds the potential to influence the future of stroke prevention.

Diagnostic accuracy of pace spikes in the electrocardiogram to diagnose paced rhythm.

OBJECTIVE: To determine how often cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) pacing systems generate visible pace spikes in the electrocardiogram (ECG). METHODS: In 46 patients treated with CRT pacing systems, we recorded ECGs during intrinsic rhythm, atrial pacing and ventricular pacing. ECGs were analysed for atrial and ventricular pace spikes by two experienced ECG readers blinded to the pacing therapy and to the study purpose. RESULTS: Atrial pacing generated visible pace spikes in less than 70% of the ECGs, whereas ventricular pacing generated visible pace spikes in about 90% of ECGs. The sensitivity of manual ECG interpretation for pace spikes was low for atrial pacing (Reader 1: 0.62 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.50-0.74]; Reader 2: 0.65 [95% CI 0.53-0.77]) and moderate for ventricular pacing (Reader 1: 0.88 [95% CI 0.81-0.93]; Reader 2: 0.93 [95% CI 0.87-0.97]). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with CRT pacing systems, the absence of visible pace spikes in the ECG does not rule out paced rhythm.

Recurrence of arrhythmia following short-term oral AMIOdarone after CATheter ablation for atrial fibrillation: a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled study (AMIO-CAT trial).

AIMS: Patients undergoing catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation (AF) often experience recurrent arrhythmias within the first few months post-ablation. We aimed to investigate whether short-term use of amiodarone to prevent early arrhythmias following radiofrequency ablation for AF could reduce later recurrence. METHODS AND RESULTS: In a two-centre, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study, we randomized a total of 212 patients undergoing AF ablation. Patients were stratified according to type of AF (paroxysmal/persistent) and history of previous AF ablation and randomly assigned to 8 weeks of oral amiodarone therapy or matched placebo following catheter ablation. Patients were followed for 6 months. Analyses were performed according to the intention-to-treat principle. Of 212 enrolled patients [median age 61 (inter-quartile range 54-66), 83% male, 50% paroxysmal, 29% with history of previous ablation], 206 patients were available for analysis of the primary end-point which was any documented atrial tachyarrhythmia lasting >30 s following a blanking period of 3 months. This was observed in 42/107 (39%) in the amiodarone group vs. 48/99 (48%) in the placebo group (P = 0.18). Among the secondary end-points, the amiodarone group showed significantly lower rate of atrial tachyarrhythmia-related hospitalizations [rate ratio = 0.43; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.23-0.77, P = 0.006] and cardioversions (rate ratio = 0.36; 95% CI = 0.20-0.62, P = 0.0004) within the blanking period. CONCLUSION: Short-term oral amiodarone treatment following ablation for paroxysmal or persistent AF did not significantly reduce recurrence of atrial tachyarrhythmias at the 6-month follow-up, but it more than halved atrial arrhythmia related hospitalization and cardioversion rates during the blanking period.

Epilepsy and risk of death and sudden unexpected death in the young: a nationwide study.

PURPOSE: Patients with epilepsy are at increased risk of premature death from all causes and likely also from sudden unexplained death (SUD). Many patients with epilepsy have significant comorbidity, and it is unclear how much of the increased risk can be explained by epilepsy itself. We aimed to chart the incidence of sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) and estimate the risk of death from all causes and SUD conferred by epilepsy independently. METHODS: We conducted a historical cohort study using data from Danish registries and a complete manual review of all death certificates. The population studied consisted of all Danish residents in the age group 1-35 years, in the period 2000-2006 (inclusive), and the main outcome measures were risk of death and SUD. KEY FINDINGS: We identified 33,022 subjects with epilepsy (median follow-up 3.7 years) and 3,001,952 subjects without (median follow-up 7.0 years). Among 685 deaths in the population with epilepsy, we identified 50 cases of definite and probable SUDEP corresponding to an incidence rate of 41.1 (95% confidence interval [CI] 31.6-54.9) per 100,000 person-years. Incidence rates increased with age from 17.6 (95% CI 9.5-32.8) in the age group 1-18 years to 73.8 (95% CI 52.5-103.8) for the age group 24-35 years. Having epilepsy increased the crude risk of death with a hazard ratio (HR) of 11.9 (95% CI 11.0-12.9). When adjusting for sex and comorbidities often encountered in patients with epilepsy (neurologic disease including cerebral palsy, psychiatric disease including mental retardation, and congenital disorders), as well as the Charlson comorbidity score, the HR fell to 5.4 (95% CI 4.9-6.0). The crude HR for SUD was 27.5 (95% CI 18.1-41.8) and fell to 16.3 (95% CI 9.8-26.9) when adjusted for the same covariates as above. SIGNIFICANCE: Epilepsy in and of itself carries a significant risk of premature death and SUD. These findings highlight the potential gains of risk factor modification for the prevention of premature death and SUDEP in patients with epilepsy.

Prior myocardial infarction in the young: predisposes to a high relative risk but low absolute risk of a sudden cardiac death.

AIMS: The study reports the relative and absolute risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in patients <36 years with prior myocardial infarction (MI). METHODS AND RESULTS: Through review of death certificates, we identified all SCDs in Danes aged 18-35 years between 1 January 2000 until 31st December 2006. We then used the unique Danish civil registration number, which enabled us to follow all Danes in national registries, in the same period. Through the National Patient Registry we identified those with a prior myocardial infarction [implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD)-8: 410, ICD-10: I21 and I22] and incidence rates for SCD were estimated for survivors of MI and for individuals who had not yet suffered an MI, respectively. We estimated the relative risk of SCD and all-cause mortality by using extended Cox regression models. The 1,862,431 Danes aged between 18 and 35 years were followed in 9,388,453 person-years between 2000 and 2006. There were 7434 deaths of which 387 (5.2%) were SCDs. Myocardial infarction was diagnosed in 1234 patients, of those 10 died of SCD. Prior MI increased the incidence rate of SCD from 4.1 to 305.0 per 100,000 person-years [95% confidence interval (CI): 164.1-567.0]. Myocardial infarction was correlated with SCD and all-cause mortality, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 55.5 (95% CI: 29.5-104.4), P< 0.0001 and HR 8.3 (95% CI: 6.0-11.3), P< 0.0001, respectively. CONCLUSION: We report that prior MI at a young age significantly increases SCD incidence from 4.1 to 305.0 per 100,000 person-years. Myocardial infarction is furthermore correlated with SCD and all-cause mortality with HR of 55.5 and 8.3, respectively.

Electrocardiographic Morphology-Voltage-P-Wave-Duration (MVP) Score to Select Patients for Continuous Atrial Fibrillation Screening to Prevent Stroke.

Morphology-voltage-P-wave-duration (MVP) score combining P-wave duration (PWD), P-wave voltage in lead I (PWVI), and interatrial block (IAB) has been demonstrated to predict atrial fibrillation (AF). Therefore, this study aimed to examine MVP score and its P-wave components as potential predictors of AF screening effects on stroke prevention. This was a secondary analysis of the LOOP Study (Atrial Fibrillation detected by Continuous ECG Monitoring using Implantable Loop Recorder to prevent Stroke in High-risk Individuals) which randomized older persons (aged 70 to 90 years) with additional stroke risk factors to either continuous monitoring with implantable loop recorder and anticoagulation upon detection of AF episodes ≥6 minutes (the intervention group), or usual care. A total of 5,759 participants were included in the present analysis, where PWD, PWVI, and IAB were determined through a computerized analysis of 12-lead electrocardiogram and further employed to calculate baseline MVP score (0 to 6) for each participant. In total, 305 (5.3%) had stroke or systemic embolism during follow-up, with a higher risk in the group with MVP score 5 to 6 than those having score 0 to 2 (hazard ratio (HR) 1.54 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01 to 2.35]). This risk increase was mainly upheld by participants with IAB (HR 1.62 [95% CI 1.11 to 2.36] for IAB vs no IAB) and with longer PWD (HR 1.37 [95% CI 1.07 to 1.75] for >110 vs ≤110 ms). Compared with usual care, implantable loop recorder screening did not significantly reduce the risk of stroke or systemic embolism in any MVP risk categories (HR 0.80 [95% CI 0.60 to 1.08] for MVP score 0 to 2, 0.54 [95% CI 0.16 to 1.85] for MVP score 3 to 4, and 0.89 [95% CI 0.35 to 2.25] for MVP score 5 to 6; pinteraction = 0.78). In conclusion, a higher MVP score was associated with an increased stroke risk, but it did not demonstrate an association with effects of AF screening on stroke prevention. These findings should be considered hypothesis-generating and warrant further study.

Electrocardiographic P terminal force in lead V1, its components, and the association with stroke and atrial fibrillation or flutter.

BACKGROUND: The electrocardiographic (ECG) marker P terminal force V1 (PTFV1) is generally perceived as a marker of left atrial pathology and has been associated with atrial fibrillation or flutter (AF). OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to determine the association between PTFV1 components (duration and amplitude) and incident AF and stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA). METHODS: The study included patients with an ECG recorded at the Copenhagen General Practitioners Laboratory in 2001 to 2011. PTFV1 ≥4 mV·ms was considered abnormal. Patients with abnormal PTFV1 were stratified into tertiles based on duration (PTDV1) and amplitude (PTAV1) values. Cox regressions adjusted for age, sex, and relevant comorbidities were used to investigate associations between abnormal PTFV1 components and AF and stroke/TIA. RESULTS: Of 267,636 patients, 5803 had AF and 18,176 had stroke/TIA (follow-up 6.5 years). Abnormal PTFV1 was present in 44,549 subjects (16.7%) and was associated with an increased risk of AF and stroke/TIA. Among patients with abnormal PTFV1, the highest tertile of PTDV1 (78-97 ms) was associated with the highest risk of AF (hazard ratio [HR] 1.37; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.23-1.52) and highest risk of stroke/TIA (HR 1.13; 95% CI 1.05 -1.20). For PTAV1, the highest tertile (78-126 µV) conferred the highest risk of AF and stroke/TIA (HR 1.20; 95% CI 1.09-1.32; and HR 1.21; 95% CI 1.14-1.25, respectively). CONCLUSION: Abnormal PTFV1 was associated with an increased risk of AF and stroke/TIA. Increasing PTDV1 showed a dose-response relationship with the development of AF and stroke/TIA, whereas the association between PTAV1 and AF was less apparent.

ECG and CT for the detection of left atrial enlargement in hypertensive individuals-a population-based study.

Left atrial enlargement (LAE) is associated with hypertension and an increased risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Guidelines for hypertension recommend LAE evaluation. We aimed to estimate the agreement of LAE as assessed by 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) and cardiac computed tomography (CT) in both the general population and hypertensive individuals. Cardiac CT and ECG were used to evaluate the presence of LAE in participants in the Copenhagen General Population Study. LAE, is defined as an LA volume above the 97.5% upper confidence limit by cardiac CT, as compared with multiple ECG criteria for LAE. A total of 3507 participants (47% males, age: 60 ± 10 years) were included. The prevalence of CT-defined LAE was 5.9% in the total population and 8.7% in participants with hypertension. In hypertensive individuals, LAE was identified by CT or by ECG in 31% with only a 4% overlap. ECG signs for anatomical LAE by CT had high negative predictive values between 93 and 96% but low sensitivity and positive predictive values. Specificity ranged from 27 to 93%. P-wave duration >120 ms was the best performing criterion, with a sensitivity of 48%, a specificity of 78%, and the highest area under the curve (0.66). We found a discrepancy in LAE prevalence when participants were assessed by CT and ECG, indicating that the two diagnostic modalities reflect different phenotypes of left atrial alterations. The diagnostic performance of ECG criteria for identifying anatomical LAE was poor.

Fascicular heart blocks and risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes: Results from a large primary care population.

BACKGROUND: Fascicular heart blocks can progress to complete heart blocks, but this risk has not been evaluated in a large general population. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to investigate the association between various types of fascicular blocks diagnosed by electrocardiographic (ECG) readings and the risk of incident higher degree atrioventricular block (AVB), syncope, pacemaker implantation, and death. METHODS: We studied primary care patients referred for ECG recording between 2001 and 2015. Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) as well as absolute risks of cardiovascular outcomes. RESULTS: Of 358,958 primary care patients (median age 54 years; 55% women), 13,636 (3.8%) had any type of fascicular block. Patients were followed up to 15.9 years. We found increasing HRs of incident syncope, pacemaker implantation, and third-degree AVB with increasing complexity of fascicular block. Compared with no block, isolated left anterior fascicular block (LAFB) was associated with 0%-2% increased 10-year risk of developing third-degree AVB (HR 1.6; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.25-2.05), whereas right bundle branch block combined with LAFB and first-degree AVB was associated with up to 23% increased 10-year risk (HR 11.0; 95% CI 7.7-15.7), depending on age and sex group. Except for left posterior fascicular block (HR 2.09; 95% CI 1.87-2.32), we did not find any relevant associations between fascicular block and death. CONCLUSION: We found that higher degrees of fascicular blocks were associated with increasing risk of syncope, pacemaker implantation, and complete heart block, but the association with death was negligible.

The HUNT study: A population-based cohort for genetic research.

The Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT) is a population-based cohort of ∼229,000 individuals recruited in four waves beginning in 1984 in Trøndelag County, Norway. Approximately 88,000 of these individuals have available genetic data from array genotyping. HUNT participants were recruited during four community-based recruitment waves and provided information on health-related behaviors, self-reported diagnoses, family history of disease, and underwent physical examinations. Linkage via the Norwegian personal identification number integrates digitized health care information from doctor visits and national health registries including death, cancer and prescription registries. Genome-wide association studies of HUNT participants have provided insights into the mechanism of cardiovascular, metabolic, osteoporotic, and liver-related diseases, among others. Unique features of this cohort that facilitate research include nearly 40 years of longitudinal follow-up in a motivated and well-educated population, family data, comprehensive phenotyping, and broad availability of DNA, RNA, urine, fecal, plasma, and serum samples.

Incomplete right bundle branch block: a novel electrocardiographic marker for lone atrial fibrillation.

AIMS: P-wave morphology and PR interval have both been previously associated with atrial fibrillation (AF). We hypothesized that incomplete right bundle branch block (IRBBB) would be associated with early-onset lone AF. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted a case-control study comparing electrocardiographic (ECG) markers from patients with early-onset lone AF and from a healthy control population. We included 187 patients with early-onset lone AF and 383 healthy controls. Sixty-two lone AF patients were excluded from the study because of AF at the time of enrolment or because of the use of antiarrhythmic drugs. For the remaining 125 patients with paroxysmal or persistent lone AF (84% males, mean age 37), controls were matched on a 1:1 basis on the parameters gender and age. A significantly higher proportion of the lone AF population had an IRBBB compared with the subjects in the control group (33.6 vs. 10.4%; P<0.001). In multivariable analysis adjusted for conventional risk factors, IRBBB was strongly associated with lone AF [odds ratio (OR) 5.43; 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.30-13.02; P<0.001]. Lone AF patients had a significantly longer PR interval than the control group (175.1 vs. 160.9 ms; P<0.001), but in multivariable analysis, every 10 ms increase in the PR interval was only borderline significantly associated with an OR of 1.15 (95% CI 0.99-1.32; P=0.060) for lone AF. CONCLUSION: We are the first to report that IRBBB is strongly and independently associated with early-onset lone AF.