Surveillance for Presumed BD-IPMN of the Pancreas: Stability, Size, and Age Identify Targets for Discontinuation.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Currently, most patients with branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMN) are offered indefinite surveillance, resulting in health care costs with questionable benefits regarding cancer prevention. This study sought to identify patients in whom the risk of cancer is equivalent to an age-matched population, thereby justifying discontinuation of surveillance. METHODS: International multicenter study involving presumed BD-IPMN without worrisome features (WFs) or high-risk stigmata (HRS) at diagnosis who underwent surveillance. Clusters of individuals at risk for cancer development were defined according to cyst size and stability for at least 5 years, and age-matched controls were used for comparison using standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) for pancreatic cancer. RESULTS: Of 3844 patients with presumed BD-IPMN, 775 (20.2%) developed WFs and 68 (1.8%) HRS after a median surveillance of 53 (interquartile range 53) months. Some 164 patients (4.3%) underwent surgery. Of the overall cohort, 1617 patients (42%) remained stable without developing WFs or HRS for at least 5 years. In patients 75 years or older, the SIR was 1.12 (95% CI, 0.23-3.39), and in patients 65 years or older with stable lesions smaller than 15 mm in diameter after 5 years, the SIR was 0.95 (95% CI, 0.11-3.42). The all-cause mortality for patients who did not develop WFs or HRS for at least 5 years was 4.9% (n = 79), and the disease-specific mortality was 0.3% (n = 5). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of developing pancreatic malignancy in presumed BD-IPMN without WFs or HRS after 5 years of surveillance is comparable to that of the general population depending on cyst size and patient age. Surveillance discontinuation could be justified after 5 years of stability in patients older than 75 years with cysts <30 mm, and in patients 65 years or older who have cysts ≤15 mm.

Rapid diagnosis of mucinous cystic pancreatic lesions by on-site cyst fluid glucometry.

INTRODUCTION: Available intracystic biomarkers show a limited accuracy for characterizing cystic pancreatic lesions (CPL). Glucose is an attractive alternative due to its availability, low cost and the possibility of on-site quantification by glucometry. AIM: To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of on-site glucometry from samples obtained by EUS-FNA in the differential diagnosis between mucinous from non-mucinous CPL. METHODS: Retrospective, multicentre, cross-sectional study of patients who underwent EUS-FNA of a CPL. A derivation and a validation cohorts were evaluated. Intracystic glucose was quantified by on-site glucometry and colorimetry in the lab. Final diagnosis was based on surgical specimens or global evaluation of clinical and imaging data, cytology and intracystic CEA. Diagnostic accuracy was based on Receiver Operating Curve (ROC) curve analysis. Intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) between on-site and lab glucose levels was calculated. RESULTS: Seventy two patients were finally analysed (40 in the derivation cohort and 32 in the validation cohort). Intracystic glucose levels by on-site glucometry was 12.3 ± 28.2 mg/dl for mucinous CPL and 103.3 ± 58.2 mg/dl for non-mucinous CPL, p < 0.001. For an optimal cut-off point of 73 mg/dl, on-site glucose had a sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive value for the diagnosis of mucinous CPL of 0.89, 0.90, 0.94, 0.82 respectively in the derivation cohort, and 1.0, 0.71, 0.91, 1.0 respectively in the validation cohort. Correlation of on-site and lab glucose quantification was very high (ICC = 0.98). CONCLUSION: On-site glucometry is a feasible, accurate and reproducible method for the characterization of CPL after EUS-FNA. It shows an excellent correlation with laboratory glucose values. REGISTRATION NUMBER: 2019/612.