Novel subgroups of obesity and their association with outcomes: a data-driven cluster analysis.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is associated with various complications and decreased life expectancy, and substantial heterogeneity in complications and outcomes has been observed. However, the subgroups of obesity have not yet been clearly defined. This study aimed to identify the subgroups of obesity especially those for target of interventions by cluster analysis. METHODS: In this study, an unsupervised, data-driven cluster analysis of 9,494 individuals with obesity (body mass index ≥ 35 kg/m2) was performed using the data of ICD-10, drug, and medical procedure from the healthcare claims database. The prevalence and clinical characteristics of the complications such as diabetes in each cluster were evaluated using the prescription records. Additionally, renal and life prognoses were compared among the clusters. RESULTS: We identified seven clusters characterised by different combinations of complications and several complications were observed exclusively in each cluster. Notably, the poorest prognosis was observed in individuals who rarely visited a hospital after being diagnosed with obesity, followed by those with cardiovascular complications and diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we identified seven subgroups of individuals with obesity using population-based data-driven cluster analysis. We clearly demonstrated important target subgroups for intervention as well as a metabolically healthy obesity group.

Dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors reduce the incidence of first cardiovascular events in Japanese diabetic patients.

BACKGROUND: Dipeptidyl Peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors do not suppress cardiovascular events in diabetic patients with a history of cardiovascular disease. However, the effect of DPP-4 inhibitors on cardiovascular events in Japanese diabetic patients is unclear. Therefore, we investigated whether DPP-4 inhibitors alter the incidence of cardiovascular events in Japanese diabetic patients without a history of cardiovascular events. METHODS: The Japanese Primary Prevention of Atherosclerosis with Aspirin for Diabetes (JPAD) trial was a multicenter, prospective, randomized, open label, blinded, end-point study conducted from 2002 to 2008. After completion of the JPAD trial, we followed up the patients until 2019. Patients who had had a cardiovascular event by the 2013 follow-up were excluded from the study. JPAD patients were divided into a DPP-4 group and a non-DPP-4 group based on whether they were taking DPP-4 inhibitors at the 2013 follow-up because few patients took DPP-4 inhibitors before 2013. We investigated the incidence of cardiovascular events consisting of coronary events, cerebrovascular events, heart failure requiring hospitalization, and aortic and peripheral vascular disease in 1099 JPAD patients until 2019. RESULTS: During the observation period from 2013 to 2019, 37 (7%) first cardiovascular events occurred in the DPP-4 group (n = 518) and 66 (11%) in the non-DPP-4 group (n = 581). The incidence of cardiovascular events was significantly lower in the DPP-4 group than in the non-DPP-4 group (Log-Rank P = 0.0065). Cox proportional hazards model analysis revealed that the use of DPP-4 inhibitors (hazard ratio 0.65; 95% confidence interval 0.43-0.98; P = 0.038) was an independent factor after adjustment for age ≥ 65 years, hypertension, statin usage, and insulin usage. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings have demonstrated that the use of DPP-4 inhibitors may be associated with a reduced incidence of first cardiovascular events in Japanese diabetic patients. The results require confirmation in randomized controlled trials.

Prevention of Contrast-Induced Nephropathy After Cardiovascular Catheterization and Intervention With High-Dose Strong Statin Therapy in Japan　- The PREVENT CINC-J Study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have reported that high-dose strong statin therapy reduces the incidence of contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) in statin naïve patients; however, the efficacy of high-dose strong statins for preventing CIN in real-world clinical practice remains unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of strong statin therapy in addition to fluid hydration for preventing CIN after cardiovascular catheterization.Methods and Results: This prospective, multicenter, randomized controlled trial included 420 patients with chronic kidney disease who underwent cardiovascular catheterization. They were assigned to receive high-dose pitavastatin (4 mg/day × 4 days) on the day before and of the procedure and 2 days after the procedure (Statin group, n=213) or no pitavastatin (Control group, n=207). Isotonic saline hydration combined with a single bolus of sodium bicarbonate (20 mEq) was scheduled for administration to all patients. In the control group, statin therapy was continued at the same dose as that before randomization. CIN was defined as a ≥0.5 mg/dL increase in serum creatinine or ≥25% above baseline at 48 h after contrast exposure. Before randomization, 83% of study participants were receiving statin treatment. The statin group had a higher incidence of CIN than the control group (3.0% vs. 0%, P=0.01). The 12-month rate of major adverse cardiovascular events was similar between the 2 groups. CONCLUSIONS: High-dose pitavastatin increases the incidence of CIN in this study population.

Kidney function deterioration is dependent on blood pressure levels: 11.2 year follow-up in diabetic patients.

There is little evidence of how blood pressure level over 10 years affects the decline of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in diabetic patients. The Japanese primary prevention of atherosclerosis with aspirin for diabetes (JPAD) trial was a multicenter, randomized, clinical trial done from 2002 to 2008. After completion of the JPAD trial, we followed up the patients until 2019 as a cohort study. We defined late-stage kidney disease (LSKD) as eGFR < 30 ml/min/1.73 m2 or hemodialysis. Based on the mean value of systolic blood pressure (SBP) obtained average 7 times during the follow-up, we divided the patients into three groups: a high SBP group (n = 607, SBP ≥ 140 mm Hg); a moderate SBP group (n = 989, 140 > SBP ≥ 130 mm Hg); or a low SBP group (n = 913, SBP < 130 mm Hg). There was no significant deference in the mean eGFR among the high SBP, moderate SBP and low SBP groups on registration. The incidence rate of LSKD was significantly higher in the high SBP (HR 2.02, 95% CI 1.36-3.01) and moderate SBP (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.07-2.20) groups than in the low SBP group (Log-Rank P = 0.0018). Cox proportional hazards model analysis revealed that the high SBP (HR, 1.57, P = 0.049) and moderate SBP (HR, 1.52, P = 0.037) were independent factors after adjustment for proteinuria ≥ ± , age ≥ 65 years, men, body mass index ≥ 24 kg/m2, duration of diabetes ≥ 7.0 years, statin usage, eGFR ≥ 60 ml/min/1.73 m2, hemoglobin A1c ≥ 7.2%, and smoking status. Our 11.2 year follow-up study demonstrated that mean SBP was independently associated with the progression to LSKD in diabetic patients. These findings may become new evidence that SBP less than 130 mm Hg is recommended for diabetic patients to prevent progression to LSKD.

Association Between Statins and Cancer Incidence in Diabetes: a Cohort Study of Japanese Patients with Type 2 Diabetes.

BACKGROUND: The antitumor effect of statins has been highlighted, but clinical study results remain inconclusive. While patients with diabetes are at high risk of cancer, it is uncertain whether statins are effective for cancer chemoprevention in this population. OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated the association between statins and cancer incidence/mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. DESIGN: This study was a follow-up observational study of the Japanese Primary Prevention of Atherosclerosis with Aspirin for Diabetes (JPAD) trial, which was a randomized controlled trial of low-dose aspirin in Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes. PARTICIPANTS: This study enrolled 2536 patients with type 2 diabetes, age 30-85 years, and no history of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, from December 2002 until May 2005. All participants recruited in the JPAD trial were followed until the day of any fatal event or July 2015. We defined participants taking any statin at enrollment as the statin group (n = 650) and the remainder as the no-statin group (n = 1886). MAIN MEASURES: The primary end point was the first occurrence of any cancer (cancer incidence). The secondary end point was death from any cancer (cancer mortality). KEY RESULTS: During follow-up (median, 10.7 years), 318 participants developed a new cancer and 123 died as a result. Cancer incidence and mortality were 10.5 and 3.7 per 1000 person-years in the statin group, and 16.8 and 6.3 per 1000 person-years in the no-statin group, respectively. Statin use was associated with significantly reduced cancer incidence and mortality after adjustment for confounding factors (cancer incidence: adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.67; 95% CI, 0.49-0.90, P = 0.007; cancer mortality: adjusted HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.36-0.98, P = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Statin use was associated with a reduced incidence and mortality of cancer in Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes.

Low-Dose Aspirin for Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Events in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: 10-Year Follow-Up of a Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: The long-term efficacy and safety of low-dose aspirin for primary prevention of cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus are still inconclusive. METHODS: The JPAD trial (Japanese Primary Prevention of Atherosclerosis With Aspirin for Diabetes) was a randomized, open-label, standard care-controlled trial examining whether low-dose aspirin affected cardiovascular events in 2539 Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and without preexisting cardiovascular disease. Patients were randomly allocated to receive aspirin (81 or 100 mg daily; aspirin group) or no aspirin (no-aspirin group) in the JPAD trial. After that trial ended in 2008, we followed up with the patients until 2015, with no attempt to change the previously assigned therapy. Primary end points were cardiovascular events, including sudden death, fatal or nonfatal coronary artery disease, fatal or nonfatal stroke, and peripheral vascular disease. For the safety analysis, hemorrhagic events, consisting of gastrointestinal bleeding, hemorrhagic stroke, and bleeding from any other sites, were also analyzed. The primary analysis was conducted for cardiovascular events among patients who retained their original allocation (a per-protocol cohort). Analyses on an intention-to-treat cohort were conducted for hemorrhagic events and statistical sensitivity. RESULTS: The median follow-up period was 10.3 years; 1621 patients (64%) were followed up throughout the study; and 2160 patients (85%) retained their original allocation. Low-dose aspirin did not reduce cardiovascular events in the per-protocol cohort (hazard ratio, 1.14; 95% confidence interval, 0.91-1.42). Multivariable Cox proportional hazard model adjusted for age, sex, glycemic control, kidney function, smoking status, hypertension, and dyslipidemia showed similar results (hazard ratio, 1.04; 95% confidence interval, 0.83-1.30), with no heterogeneity of efficacy in subgroup analyses stratified by each of these factors (all interaction P>0.05). Sensitivity analyses on the intention-to-treat cohort yielded consistent results (hazard ratio, 1.01; 95% confidence interval, 0.82-1.25). Gastrointestinal bleeding occurred in 25 patients (2%) in the aspirin group and 12 (0.9%) in the no-aspirin group (P=0.03), and the incidence of hemorrhagic stroke was not different between groups. CONCLUSIONS: Low-dose aspirin did not affect the risk for cardiovascular events but increased risk for gastrointestinal bleeding in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus in a primary prevention setting. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00110448.

Hepatocyte ß-Klotho regulates lipid homeostasis but not body weight in mice.

ß-Klotho (ß-Kl), a transmembrane protein expressed in the liver, pancreas, adipose tissues, and brain, is essential for feedback suppression of hepatic bile acid synthesis. Because bile acid is a key regulator of lipid and energy metabolism, we hypothesized potential and tissue-specific roles of ß-Kl in regulating plasma lipid levels and body weight. By crossing ß-kl(-/-) mice with newly developed hepatocyte-specific ß-kl transgenic (Tg) mice, we generated mice expressing ß-kl solely in hepatocytes (ß-kl(-/-)/Tg). Gene expression, metabolomic, and in vivo flux analyses consistently revealed that plasma level of cholesterol, which is over-excreted into feces as bile acids in ß-kl(-/-), is maintained in ß-kl(-/-) mice by enhanced de novo cholesterogenesis. No compensatory increase in lipogenesis was observed, despite markedly decreased plasma triglyceride. Along with enhanced bile acid synthesis, these lipid dysregulations in ß-kl(-/-) were completely reversed in ß-kl(-/-)/Tg mice. In contrast, reduced body weight and resistance to diet-induced obesity in ß-kl(-/-) mice were not reversed by hepatocyte-specific restoration of ß-Kl expression. We conclude that ß-Kl in hepatocytes is necessary and sufficient for lipid homeostasis, whereas nonhepatic ß-Kl regulates energy metabolism. We further demonstrate that in a condition with excessive cholesterol disposal, a robust compensatory mechanism maintains cholesterol levels but not triglyceride levels in mice.

Placental Growth Factor as a Predictor of Cardiovascular Events in Patients with CKD from the NARA-CKD Study.

Placental growth factor (PlGF) contributes to atherogenesis through vascular inflammation and plaque destabilization. High levels of PlGF may be associated with mortality and cardiovascular disease, but the relationship between PlGF level and adverse outcomes in patients with CKD is unclear. We conducted a prospective cohort study of 1351 consecutive participants with CKD enrolled in the Novel Assessment of Risk management for Atherosclerotic diseases in CKD (NARA-CKD) study between April 1, 2004, and December 31, 2011. During a median follow-up of 3 years, 199 participants died and 383 had cardiovascular events, defined as atherosclerotic disease or heart failure requiring hospitalization. In adjusted analyses, mortality and cardiovascular risk increased in each successive quartile of serum PlGF level; hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence intervals [95% CIs]) for mortality and cardiovascular risk, respectively, were 1.59 (0.83 to 3.16) and 1.55 (0.92 to 2.66) for the second quartile, 2.97 (1.67 to 5.59) and 3.39 (2.20 to 5.41) for the third quartile, and 3.87 (2.24 to 7.08) and 8.42 (5.54 to 13.3) for the fourth quartile. The composite end point of mortality and cardiovascular events occurred during the study period in 76.4% of patients in both the highest PlGF quartile (≥19.6 pg/ml) and the lowest eGFR tertile (<30 ml/min per 1.73 m(2)). The association between PlGF and mortality or cardiovascular events was not attenuated when participants were stratified by age, sex, traditional risk factors, and eGFR. These data suggest elevated PlGF is an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events in patients with CKD.

Noncardiovascular death, especially infection, is a significant cause of death in elderly patients with acutely decompensated heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Despite marked improvements in treatment strategies for heart failure (HF), the mortality rate of elderly patients with HF is still high. Detailed causes of death have not been fully understood. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied 459 consecutive patients with acute decompensated HF (ADHF) emergently admitted to our hospital from 2007 to 2011. Patients were divided into 2 groups: <75 years old (younger group; n = 225) and ≥75 years old (elderly group; n = 234). All-cause death, cardiovascular death, and noncardiovascular death were assessed as adverse outcomes. Compared with the younger group, the elderly group was characterized by a higher proportion of women and hypertensive patients and higher left ventricular ejection fraction. During a mean follow-up of 20.7 months, a total of 174 patients (37.9%) died. All-cause death was significantly higher in the elderly group than in the younger group (46.6% vs 28.9%; P < .0001), and this difference was caused by an increase in noncardiovascular deaths (20.9% vs 9.3%; P < .001), especially deaths due to infection (10.7% vs 4.0%; P < .01). Cardiovascular deaths did not differ between the 2 groups. CONCLUSIONS: Noncardiovascular deaths, most of which were caused by infection, were frequent among elderly patients with ADHF.

Effect of low-dose aspirin on primary prevention of cardiovascular events in Japanese diabetic patients at high risk.

BACKGROUND: Benefit of low-dose aspirin for primary prevention of cardiovascular events in diabetes remains controversial. The American Diabetes Association (ADA), the American Heart Association (AHA), and the American College of Cardiology Foundation (ACCF) recommend aspirin for high-risk diabetic patients: older patients with additional cardiovascular risk factors. We evaluated aspirin's benefit in Japanese diabetic patients stratified by cardiovascular risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: In the JPAD trial, we enrolled 2,539 Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes and no history of cardiovascular disease. We randomly assigned them to aspirin (81-100 mg daily) or no aspirin groups. The median follow-up period was 4.4 years. We stratified the patients into high-risk or low-risk groups, according to the US recommendation: age (older; younger) and coexisting cardiovascular risk factors. The risk factors included smoking, hypertension, dyslipidemia, family history of coronary artery disease, and proteinuria. Most of the patients were classified into the high-risk group, consisting of older patients with risk factors (n=1,804). The incidence of cardiovascular events was higher in this group, but aspirin did not reduce cardiovascular events (hazard ratio [HR], 0.83; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.58-1.17). In the low-risk group, consisting of older patients without risk factors and younger patients (n=728), aspirin did not reduce cardiovascular events (HR, 0.55; 95% CI: 0.23-1.21). These results were unchanged after adjusting for potential confounding factors. CONCLUSIONS: Low-dose aspirin is not beneficial in Japanese diabetic patients at high risk.

High mean corpuscular volume is a new indicator of prognosis in acute decompensated heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Accumulating evidence suggests that hematopoiesis, especially erythropoiesis, is disturbed in heart failure (HF) for many reasons. Low hemoglobin and red blood cell distribution width have emerged as prognostic indicators of HF independent of classic predictors. The prognostic implication of mean corpuscular volume (MCV) in HF, however, is unknown. In this context, we investigated the relationship between MCV and prognosis of acute decompensated HF (ADHF). METHODS AND RESULTS: This retrospective cohort study consisted of 458 consecutive patients with ADHF who had emergency admission to hospital. Patients were divided into 2 groups: MCV ≤100fl (non-macrocytic group, n=400); and MCV >100fl (macrocytic group, n=58). The relationship between MCV and all-cause death was tested using Cox proportional hazard models, adjusting for other predictors. Mean patient age was 72.4 years and mean MCV was 93.0±7.1fl. Hemoglobin was significantly lower in the macrocytic group than the non-macrocytic group. During the mean follow-up of 20.8 months, a total of 173 deaths (37.9%) occurred. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that all-cause death was significantly higher in the macrocytic group (log-rank P<0.0001). Cox proportional hazards analysis indicated that macrocytosis was an independent predictor of all-cause death (hazard ratio, 2.288; 95% confidence interval: 1.390-3.643; P=0.0015) after adjustment in the multivariate model. CONCLUSIONS: It is proposed for the first time that MCV is an independent predictor of all-cause death in patients with ADHF.

Adrenal Crisis Associated With COVID-19 Vaccination in Patients With Adrenal Insufficiency.

Vaccination is generally recommended for patients with adrenal insufficiency receiving glucocorticoid replacement therapy because they are at risk of experiencing adrenal crisis during infections. Conventional vaccinations, such as those for influenza virus, have rarely been associated with adrenal crisis in patients with adrenal insufficiency; therefore, increasing the glucocorticoid dose during vaccination is not necessarily recommended. The COVID-19 mRNA vaccines exhibit a higher degree of adverse reactions, including fever and general fatigue, than those of conventional vaccines. Here, we present 3 cases of adrenal crisis associated with mRNA COVID-19 (BNT162b2) vaccination in patients with secondary adrenal insufficiency. Two patients presented with adrenal crisis after the second dose, whereas 1 presented with adrenal crisis after the first dose. Within 24 hours of vaccination, all patients presented with fatigue and appetite loss, and 2 patients were febrile. None of them increased their glucocorticoid dosage at the time of vaccination, leading to an adrenal crisis. To date, 9 cases of adrenal crisis, including ours, associated with COVID-19 vaccination have been reported. Considering the high degree of adverse reactions to COVID-19 vaccination, administration of prophylactic stress dose of glucocorticoids is strongly recommended, particularly in patients with symptomatic adverse reactions, to protect them from adrenal crisis.

Risk of Lactic Acidosis in Hospitalized Diabetic Patients Prescribed Biguanides in Japan: A Retrospective Total-Population Cohort Study.

Patient data from the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups of Japan (NDB) are used to assess the effect of biguanide administration on rates of lactic acidosis (LA) in hospitalized diabetes mellitus (DM) patients. In this retrospective cohort study (from April 2013 to March 2016), we compare DM inpatients prescribed biguanides to DM inpatients who were not prescribed biguanides to quantify the association between biguanides and incidence of LA. In total, 8,111,848 DM patient records are retrieved from the NDB. Of the 528,768 inpatients prescribed biguanides, 782 develop LA. Of the 1,967,982 inpatients not prescribed biguanides, 1310 develop LA. The rate ratio of inpatients who develop LA and are administered biguanides to those who developed LA without receiving biguanides is 1.44 (95% CI, 1.32-1.58). Incidence rates and rate ratios for both sexes are elevated in the group prescribed biguanides for patients aged 70 years and older, markedly in those 80 years and older: 40.12 and 6.31 (95% CI, 4.75-8.39), respectively, for men and 34.96 and 5.40 (95% CI, 3.91-7.46), respectively, for women. Biguanides should be used conservatively in patients older than 70 years, particularly for those with comorbidities, and with caution in patients 80 years and older.

Antithyroid drug-induced leukopenia and G-CSF administration: a long-term cohort study.

Although antithyroid drug (ATD)-induced agranulocytosis is a significant concern, its risks associated with long-term use and re-administration are not fully elucidated. Therefore, we performed this study to determine the incidence of ATD-induced leukopenia and G-CSF administration using administrative claims database. Retrospective cohort study. This study was performed using the DeSC Japanese administrative claims database. A total of 12,491 patients with newly diagnosed Graves' disease (GD) who received methimazole or propylthiouracil between April 2014, and February 2021 among 3.44 million patients in the database were included in the study. We measured the six-year incidence of leukopenia and granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF) administration. The incidence of leukopenia and G-CSF administration was 1.34% (168 patients) and 0.30% (38 patients), respectively. Leukopenia had a dose-dependent and biphasic incidence. The incidence of leukopenia and G-CSF administration was 37.2 (0.7%) and 8.0 (0.2%) per 1000 person-years during the first 72 days of ATD initiation, whereas it was 3.1 and 0.7 per 1000 person-years during the subsequent 6 years, respectively. The incidence of both outcomes was comparable between first administration and re-administration of ATD. The incidence of ATD-induced leukopenia and G-CSF administration was high in the first 72 days, with a reduced risk for at least 6 years thereafter. The incidence was similar between first administration and re-administration. ATD, a standard therapy, is often administered for a long period; therefore, our findings can guide the treatment of GD.

Aspirin reduces cerebrovascular events in type 2 diabetic patients with poorly controlled blood pressure. Subanalysis from the JPAD trial.

BACKGROUND: There are few data that demonstrate a significant effect of aspirin therapy for diabetic patients. To clarify the effect of the primary prevention of aspirin therapy in diabetic patients, the relationship between blood pressure (BP) and the incidence of atherosclerotic events was investigated in participants in the Japanese primary prevention of atherosclerosis with aspirin for diabetes (JPAD) trial. METHODS AND RESULTS: We divided the JPAD participants according to their systolic (SBP) and diastolic (DBP) BPs at enrollment (SBP ≥140 mmHg and/or DBP ≥90 mmHg: unattained group, SBP <140 mmHg and DBP <90 mmHg: attained group). The incidence of the primary atherosclerotic events, especially cerebrovascular events, was higher in the unattained group than in the attained group. The incidence of cerebrovascular events was higher in the unattained group than in the attained group in patients without aspirin therapy; however, the incidence of cerebrovascular events in the unattained group was as low as the incidence in the attained group in patients undergoing aspirin therapy. Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that BP level was an independent predictor for cerebrovascular events in diabetic patients. CONCLUSIONS: Aspirin therapy may reduce cerebrovascular events in diabetic patients with higher BP. Aspirin therapy could be an additional strategy as primary prevention for diabetic patients with higher BP.

The age of death in Japanese patients with type 2 and type 1 diabetes: A descriptive epidemiological study.

This study clarified the age of death in patients with or without diabetes using the largest health insurance database in Japan. This population-based retrospective cohort study was performed using the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups of Japan (NDB) data. The ages of death between people with and without diabetes were compared. A total of 142,277,986 patients (74,488,962 women and 67,789,024 men) over 6 years, including 4,647,016 females, and 6,507,817 males with diabetes, were included. 2,786,071 females and 2,975,876 males died over 6 years, including 652,699 females and 954,655 males with diabetes. The average age of death in patients with diabetes was 2.6 years less than that of patients without diabetes. This descriptive epidemiological study illustrated the difference in age at death of patients with and without diabetes.

Appropriate definition of diabetes using an administrative database: A cross-sectional cohort validation study.

AIMS/INTRODUCTION: The purpose of the present study was to quantify errors in the diagnosis of diabetes for use in the national database, using a sufficient population size. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A claims database constructed by the JMDC (Tokyo, Japan), using standardized disease classifications and anonymous record linkage, was used in this validation study. We included patients with health insurance claims data from April 2005 to March 2019 in the JMDC claims database. We excluded patients without a record of specific health checkups in Japan. Sample size calculation was based on a 5% prevalence of diabetes and 0.4% absolute accuracy (i.e., 1,250,000 individuals), to calculate the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value. RESULTS: In total, 2,999,152 patients were included in this study, of which 165,515 were classified as having diabetes based on specific health checkups (validation cohort prevalence of 5.5%). The newly devised algorithm had three elements - the diagnosis-related codes for diabetes without suspected flag, the medication codes for diabetes and then these two codes on the same record - and yielded a sensitivity of 74.6%, positive predictive value of 88.4% and Kappa Index of 0.80 (the highest values). CONCLUSIONS: In future claims database studies, our validated algorithms will be useful as diagnostic criteria for diabetes.

Incidence of atrial fibrillation in elderly patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

INTRODUCTION: The incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF), a significant risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD), is increasing worldwide. Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) and advanced age are recognized as major risk factors for AF, but herein, we evaluated the incidence of AF in elderly patients with T2D and compared the prognosis between these patients with/without AF. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The Japanese Primary Prevention of Atherosclerosis with Aspirin for Diabetes (JPAD2) study is a follow-up cohort study of the JPAD trial, a randomized controlled clinical trial initiated in 2002 in 2535 Japanese patients with T2D, to examine whether low-dose aspirin prevents CVD. After completion of that trial, we followed up the patients until 2019 and evaluated the incidence of AF. We also compared the incidence of cerebral cardiovascular events in elderly patients with T2D with/without AF. RESULTS: During the median follow-up period of 10.9 years, 132 patients developed AF (incidence rate: 5.14/1000 person-years). The adjusted HRs for cerebral cardiovascular events, stroke, coronary artery disease, heart failure, and all-cause death in elderly patients with T2D with versus without AF were 1.65 (95% CI 1.03 to 2.66), 1.54 (95% CI 0.81 to 2.93), 1.96 (95% CI 1.03 to 3.73), 5.17 (95% CI 2.46 to 10.89), and 1.82 (95% CI 1.24 to 2.67), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Annually, 1 in 200 elderly Japanese patients with T2D are estimated to develop AF. Because elderly patients with T2D with AF are at an elevated risk for CVD, careful follow-up of this patient subgroup is necessary. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT00110448.

The balance of comprehensive coagulation and fibrinolytic potential is disrupted in patients with moderate to severe COVID-19.

Coagulation and fibrinolytic mechanisms are enhanced in patients with coronavirus (COVID-19), but disturbances in the balance of both functions in COVID-19 patients remain unclear. We assessed global coagulation and fibrinolysis in plasma from 167 COVID-19 patients (mild/moderate/severe: 62/88/17, respectively) on admission using clot-fibrinolysis waveform analysis (CFWA). Maximum coagulation velocity (|min1|) and maximum fibrinolysis velocity (|FL-min1|) were expressed as ratios relative to normal plasma. Ten patients (6.0%) developed thrombosis, 5 (3.0%) had bleeding tendency, and 13 (7.8%) died during admission. FDP levels increased with severity of COVID-19 symptoms (mild/moderate/severe; median 2.7/4.9/9.9 µg/mL, respectively). The |min1| ratios were elevated in all categories (1.27/1.61/1.58) in keeping with enhanced coagulation potential, with significant differences between mild cases and moderate to severe cases. The |FL-min1| ratios were also elevated in all groups (1.19/1.39/1.40), reflecting enhanced fibrinolytic potential. These data identified coagulation dominance in moderate to severe cases, but balanced coagulation and fibrinolysis in mild cases. There were significant differences in FDP and TAT, but no significant differences in |min1| or |FL-min1| ratios, between patients with and without thrombosis. CFWA monitoring of coagulation and fibrinolysis dynamics could provide valuable data for understanding hemostatic changes and disease status in COVID-19 patients.

Association between influenza and the incidence rate of new-onset type 1 diabetes in Japan.

AIM: This study aimed to determine whether there is an association between influenza and new-onset type 1 diabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This population-based retrospective cohort study used data from the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Check-ups of Japan. Influenza was defined based on drug prescriptions and the onset of type 1 diabetes was defined using specific medical codes indicating a diagnosis of type 1 diabetes. The incidence rate ratio of new-onset type 1 diabetes within 180 days after an influenza diagnosis was calculated and it was compared with that at other times using Poisson regression and generalized estimating equations. Sensitivity analyses were performed to confirm the robustness of this finding. RESULTS: The data of 10,400 patients with new-onset type 1 diabetes were analyzed, including 2,196 (952 male 1,244 female) patients diagnosed with influenza between 1 September 2014 and 31 August 2017. Although only patients with type 1 diabetes were included, adjusted analysis showed that individuals had a 1.3-fold (95% confidence interval: 1.15-1.46) higher risk of developing type 1 diabetes in the first 180 days after influenza diagnosis than that at other times. CONCLUSIONS: In this Japanese population-based cohort, the risk of new-onset type 1 diabetes may increase after the diagnosis of influenza. These results, which must be confirmed in other populations, suggest that influenza may be a causal factor for new-onset type 1 diabetes. The molecular mechanisms underlying the potential etiological relationship between influenza and type 1 diabetes should be elucidated.