Monitoring of SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater: what normalisation for improved understanding of epidemic trends?

SARS-CoV-2 RNA quantification in wastewater has emerged as a relevant additional means to monitor the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the concentration can be affected by black water dilution factors or movements of the sewer shed population, leading to misinterpretation of measurement results. The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of different indicators to accurately interpret SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater. Weekly/bi-weekly measurements from three cities in France were analysed from February to September 2021. The concentrations of SARS-CoV-2 gene copies were normalised to the faecal-contributing population using simple sewage component indicators. To reduce the measurement error, a composite index was created to combine simultaneously the information carried by the simple indicators. The results showed that the regularity (mean absolute difference between observation and the smoothed curve) of the simple indicators substantially varied across sampling points. The composite index consistently showed better regularity compared to the other indicators and was associated to the lowest variation in correlation coefficient across sampling points. These findings suggest the recommendation for the use of a composite index in wastewater-based epidemiology to compensate for variability in measurement results.

Differential decay and prediction of persistence of Enterococcus spp. and Escherichia coli culturable cells and molecular markers in freshwater and seawater environments.

To quantify the impact of fecal pollution on the microbiological bathing water quality, predictive modeling is being increasingly used in which the decay rate of the fecal indicators plays an important role. The decay of sewage-sourced enterococci and Escherichia coli culturable cells and their associated molecular markers (16SrRNA) quantified by Quantitative Reverse transcription PCR were measured in controlled microcosms as well in in situ conditions using different water types, from marine waters to fresh waters with intermediate salinity. All bacterial decays were fitted to a first order decay model. In the laboratory study, the light radiation was the most influent factor affecting E. coli and enterococci survival by culture methods although environmental conditions weakly impacted the decay of molecular markers. The results also indicated differential persistence of genetic markers and culturable organisms of fecal indicator bacteria in different water systems. For each bacteria indicator and analytical method, four equations were obtained to predict the time required to have a 90% reduction (T90) according irradiance, salinity and temperature parameters. The weighted model RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) calculated for all field experiments showed that quantification obtained with the equations defined by laboratory-based study compared reasonably well with in-situ observed quantification (0.4 and 0.2 log by standard culture methods for E. coli and Enterococcus spp. and 0.6 and 0.3 log by RT-qPCR for E. coli and Enterococcus spp. respectively). The modeling tool can be used to predict the presence of fecal pollution in marine and fresh waters in combination with either culture based- or rapid molecular methods.