Association of electrocardiographic spatial heterogeneity of repolarization and spatial heterogeneity of atrial depolarization with left ventricular fibrosis.

AIMS: To evaluate the relationship between spatial heterogeneity of electrocardiographic repolarization and spatial heterogeneity of atrial depolarization with arrhythmic substrate represented by left ventricular fibrosis. METHODS AND RESULTS: We assessed the associations of T- and P-wave morphology parameters analysed from the standard 12-lead electrocardiograms with left ventricular fibrosis in 378 victims of unexpected sudden cardiac death (SCD) who underwent medico-legal autopsy. Based on autopsy findings, the SCD victims were categorized into four different groups according to different stages of severity of left ventricular fibrosis (substantial fibrosis, moderate patchy fibrosis, scattered mild fibrosis, no fibrosis). T-wave and P-wave area dispersion (TWAd: 0.0841 ± 0.496, 0.170 ± 0.492, 0.302 ± 404, 0.296 ± 0.476, P = 0.008; PWAd: 0.574 ± 0.384, 0.561 ± 0.367, 0.654 ± 0.281, 0.717 ± 0.257, P = 0.011, respectively; low values abnormal), non-dipolar components of T-wave and P-wave morphology (T_NonDipolarABS: 0.0496 ± 0.0377, 0.0571 ± 0.0487, 0.0432 ± 0.0476, 0.0380 ± 0.0377, P = 0.027; P_NonDipolarABS: 0.0132 ± 0.0164, 0.0130 ± 0.0135, 0.0092 ± 0.0117, 0.0069 ± 0.00472, P = 0.005, respectively, high values abnormal), T-wave morphology dispersion (TMD: 45.9 ± 28.3, 40.5 ± 25.8, 35.5 ± 24.9, 33.0 ± 24.6, P = 0.030, respectively, high values abnormal), and P-wave heterogeneity (PWH: 20.0 ± 9.44, 19.7 ± 8.87, 17.9 ± 9.78, 15.4 ± 4.60, P = 0.019, respectively, high values abnormal) differed significantly between the groups with different stages of left ventricular fibrosis. After adjustment with heart weight, T_NonDipolarABS [standardized ß (sß) = 0.131, P = 0.014], PWAd (sß = -0.161, P = 0.003), P_NonDipolarABS (sß = 0.174, P = 0.001), and PWH (sß = 0.128, P = 0.015) retained independent association, and TWAd (sß = -0.091, P = 0.074) and TMD (sß = 0.097, P = 0.063) tended to retain their association with the degree of myocardial fibrosis. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that abnormal values of T- and P-wave morphology are associated with arrhythmic substrate represented by ventricular fibrosis partly explaining the mechanism behind their prognostic significance.

Prognostic value of P-wave morphology in general population.

AIMS: To evaluate the prognostic significance of novel P-wave morphology descriptors in general population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Novel P-wave morphology variables were analyzed from orthogonal X-, Y-, Z-leads of the digitized electrocardiogram using a custom-made software in 6906 middle-aged subjects of the Mini-Finland Health Survey. A total of 3747 (54.3%) participants died during the follow-up period of 24.3 ± 10.4 years; 379 (5.5%) of the study population succumbed to sudden cardiac death (SCD), 928 (13.4%) to non-SCD (NSCD) and 2440 (35.3%) patients to non-cardiac death (NCD). In univariate comparisons, most of the studied P-wave morphology parameters had a significant association with all modes of death (P from <0.05 to <0.001). After relevant adjustments in the Cox multivariate hazards model, P-wave morphology dispersion (PMD) still tended to predict SCD [hazard ratio (HR): 1.006, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.000-1.012, P = 0.05) but not NSCD (HR: 0.999, 95% CI: 0.995-1.003, P = 0.68) or NCD (HR: 0.999, 95% CI: 0.997-1.001, P = 0.44). The P-wave maximum amplitude in the lead Z (P-MaxAmp-Z) predicted SCD even after multivariate adjustments (HR: 1.010, 95% CI: 1.005-1.015, P = 0.0002) but also NSCD (HR: 1.005, 95% CI: 1.002-1.009, P = 0.0005) and NCD (HR: 1.002, 95% CI: 1.000-1.005, P = 0.03). CONCLUSION: Abnormalities of P-wave morphology are associated with the risk of all modes of death in general population. After relevant adjustments, PMD was still closely associated with the risk of SCD but not with NSCD or NCD. P-MaxAmp-Z predicted SCD even after adjustments, however, it also retained its association with NSCD and NCD.

Association of atrial depolarization variability and cardiac autonomic regulation with sudden cardiac death in coronary artery disease.

AIMS: To evaluate the prognostic significance of the temporal variability of P-wave morphology, specifically in relation to cardiac autonomic regulation. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed the standard deviation of P-wave residuum (PWRSD) from five consecutive beats of the standard 12-lead ECG in 1236 patients with angiographically verified coronary artery disease (CAD). We evaluated the prognostic value of PWRSD, of PWRSD and PWR in relation to the 24 h standard deviation of normal-to-normal intervals (PWRSD/SDNN and PWR/SDNN). After 8.7 ± 2.2 years of follow-up on average, 43 patients (3.5%) experienced sudden cardiac death (SCD) or were resuscitated from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA), 34 (2.8%) succumbed to non-sudden cardiac death (NSCD) and 113 (9.1%) to non-cardiac death (NCD). In the Cox regression analysis, PWRSD (≥0.002727) had a significant univariate (uv) [hazard ratio (HR): 4.27, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.26-8.08, P = 0.000008] and multivariate (mv) (HR: 2.58, 95% CI: 1.31-5.08, P = 0.006) association with SCD/SCA but not with NSCD (uv P = 0.76, mv P = 0.33) or NCD (uv P = 0.57, mv P = 0.66). All the studied P-morphology parameters retained a significant association with the risk of SCD/SCA after relevant adjustment (mv P-values from 0.00003 to <0.05) but not with NSCD or NCD. When dichotomized PWRSD, PWR, PWRSD/SDNN, and PWR/SDNN were added to the clinical risk model for SCD/SCD, the C-index increased from 0.799 to 0.834 and integrated discrimination index and net reclassification index improved significantly (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Variability of P-morphology representing temporo-spatial heterogeneity of atrial depolarization, specifically when combined with cardiac autonomic regulation, independently predicts the risk of SCD in patients with CAD.

Temporal variability of T-wave morphology and risk of sudden cardiac death in patients with coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: The possible relationship between temporal variability of electrocardiographic spatial heterogeneity of repolarization and the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) is not completely understood. METHODS: The standard deviation of T-wave morphology dispersion (TMD-SD), of QRST angle (QRSTA-SD), and of T-wave area dispersion (TW-Ad-SD) were analyzed on beat-to-beat basis from 10 min period of the baseline electrocardiographic recording in ARTEMIS study patients with angiographically verified CAD. RESULTS: After on average of 8.6 ± 2.3 years of follow-up, a total of 66 of the 1,678 present study subjects (3.9%) had experienced SCD or were resuscitated from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA). TMD-SD was most closely associated with the risk for SCD and was significantly higher in patients who had experienced SCD/SCA compared with those who remained alive (3.61 ± 2.83 vs. 2.64 ± 2.52, p = .008, respectively), but did not differ significantly between the patients who had experienced non-SCD (n = 71, 4.2%) and those who remained alive (3.20 ± 2.73 vs. 2.65 ± 2.53, p = .077, respectively) or between the patients who succumbed to non-cardiac death (n = 164, 9.8%) and those who stayed alive (2.64 ± 2.17 vs. 2.68 ± 2.58, p = .853). After adjustments with relevant clinical risk indicators of SCD/SCA, TMD-SD still predicted SCD/SCA (HR 1.107, 95% CIs 1.035-1.185, p = .003). CONCLUSIONS: Temporal variability of electrocardiographic spatial heterogeneity of repolarization represented by TMD-SD independently predicts long-term risk of SCD/SCA in patients with CAD.

Gender differences in prevalence and prognostic value of fragmented QRS complex.

BACKGROUND: Fragmented QRS (fQRS) on 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is associated with scarred myocardium and adverse outcome. However, the data on gender differences in terms of its prevalence and prognostic value is sparse. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether gender differences in fQRS exist among subjects drawn from populations with different risk profiles. METHODS: We analyzed fQRS from 12-lead ECG in 953 autopsy-confirmed victims of sudden cardiac death (SCD) (78% men; 67.0 ± 11.4 yrs), 1900 coronary artery disease (CAD) patients with angiographically confirmed stenosis of ≥50% (70% men; 66.6 ± 9.0 yrs, 43% with previous myocardial infarction [MI]), and in 10,904 adults drawn from the Finnish adult general population (52% men; 44.0 ± 8.5 yrs). RESULTS: Prevalence of fQRS was associated with older age, male sex and the history and severity of prior cardiac disease of subjects. Among the general population fQRS was more commonly found among men in comparison to women (20.5% vs. 14.8%, p < 0.001). The prevalence of fQRS rose gradually along with the severity of prior cardiac disease in both genders, yet remained significantly higher in the male population: subjects with suspected or known cardiac disease (25.4% vs. 15.8% p < 0.001), CAD patients without prior MI (39.9% vs. 26.4%, p < 0.001), CAD patients with prior MI (42.9% vs. 31.2%, p < 0.001), and victims of SCD (56.4% vs. 44.4%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of QRS fragmentation varies in different populations. The fragmentation is clearly related to the underlying cardiac disease in both genders, however women seem to have significantly lower prevalence of fQRS in each patient population in comparison to men.

Prognostic significance of P-wave morphology in patients with coronary artery disease.

INTRODUCTION: The prognostic significance of P-wave morphology in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) is not well-known. METHODS: A total of 1946 patients with angiographically verified CAD were included in the Innovation to reduce Cardiovascular Complications of Diabetes at the Intersection (ARTEMIS) study. The P-wave morphology could be analyzed in 1797 patients. RESULTS: During 7.4 ± 2.0 years, a total of 168 (9.3%) patients died or experienced resuscitation from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA), 43 (2.4%) patients experienced sudden cardiac death (SCD) or were resuscitated from SCA, 37 (2.1%) patients succumbed to non-SCD (NSCD), and 88 (4.9%) patients to noncardiac death (NCD). Of the P-wave parameters, the absolute P-wave residuum (PWR), the heterogeneity of the P-wave morphology (PWH), and the P-wave duration (Pdur) had the closest univariate association with the risk of SCD/SCA (0.0038 ± 0.0026 vs 0.0022 ± 0.0017, P < .001; 11.0 ± 5.2 vs 8.6 ± 3.6, P < .01; 142.7 ± 16.9 vs 134.8 ± 14.3 milliseconds, P < .01; SCD/SCA vs no SCD/SCA, respectively). After adjustments with factors that were associated with the risk of SCD/SCA, such as diabetes, smoking, left bundle branch block, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and high-sensitivity troponin T, PWR (P < .001), PWH (P < .05), and Pdur (P < 0.01) still predicted SCD/SCA but not non-sudden cardiac death. When these parameters were added to the SCD/SCA clinical risk model, the discrimination and reclassification accuracy of the risk model increased significantly (P < .05, P < .001) and the C-index increased from 0.745 to 0.787. CONCLUSION: The P-wave morphology parameters independently predict SCD/SCA in patients with CAD.

Prognostic value of T-wave morphology parameters in coronary artery disease in current treatment era.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of T-wave morphology parameters in coronary artery disease in the current treatment era is not well established. METHODS: The Innovation to reduce Cardiovascular Complications of Diabetes at the Intersection (ARTEMIS) study included 1,946 patients with angiographically verified coronary artery disease (CAD). The study patients underwent thorough examinations including 12-lead digital electrocardiogram (ECG) at baseline. RESULTS: During a follow-up period of 73 ± 22 months, a total of 201 (10.3%) patients died. Of the study patients, 95 (4.9%) experienced cardiac death (CD) consisting of 44 (2.3%) sudden cardiac deaths (SCD) and 51 (2.6%) nonsudden cardiac deaths (NSCD), and 106 (5.4%) patients experienced noncardiac death (NCD). T-wave morphology dispersion (TMD), T-wave area dispersion (TWAD), and total cosine R-to-T (TCRT) had a significant association with CD even after adjustment with relevant clinical risk markers in the Cox regression analysis (multivariate HRs: 1.015, 95% CI 1.007-1.023, p = .0003; 0.474, 95% CI 0.305-0.737, p = .0009; 0.598, 95% CI 0.412-0.866, p = .006, respectively). When including these parameters to the clinical risk model for CD, the C-index increased from 0.810 to 0.823 improving the discrimination significantly (integrated discrimination index [IDI] = 0.0118, 95% CI 0.0028-0.0208, p = .01). These parameters were more closely associated with NSCD (multivariate p-values from .016 to .001) than with SCD (univariate/multivariate p-values for TMD .015/.197 and for TCRT .012/.43). CONCLUSION: T-wave morphology parameters describing repolarization heterogeneity improve the predictive power of the clinical risk model for CD in patients with CAD in the current treatment era.

Supraventricular premature beats and risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation in coronary artery disease.

INTRODUCTION: The significance of premature atrial contraction (PAC) count and supraventricular runs (SVR) for the risk of development of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) is not well established. METHODS: The Innovation to Reduce Cardiovascular Complications of Diabetes at the Intersection (ARTEMIS) study cohort consisted of 1,946 patients with CAD who underwent clinical and echocardiographic examinations, 24-hour ambulatory ECG monitoring, and laboratory tests. After excluding patients who were not in sinus rhythm at baseline or were lost from the follow-up, the present study included 1,710 patients. SVR was defined as at least four PACs in a row with a duration <30 seconds. RESULTS: During a follow-up for an average 5.6 ± 1.5 years, new-onset AF was identified in 143 (8.4%) patients. In the univariate analysis, both SVR and PAC count were associated with the development of new-onset AF. When SVR and PAC count were adjusted with the established AF risk markers of the modified CHARGE-AF model in the Cox multivariate regression analysis, both parameters remained significant predictors of the occurrence of new-onset AF (HR = 2.529, 95 % CI = 1.763-3.628, P ˂ 0.001 and HR = 8.139 for ≥1,409 PACs [the fourth quartile] vs. ≤507 PACs [the first quartile], 95 % CI = 3.967-16.696, P ˂ 0.001, respectively). Together these parameters improved the C-index of the established AF risk model from 0.649 to 0.718, P < 0.001. CONCLUSION: Including SVR and PAC count to the established AF risk model improves the discrimination accuracy in predicting AF in patients with CAD.

Risk factors and the effect of cardiac resynchronization therapy on cardiac and non-cardiac mortality in MADIT-CRT.

AIMS: To understand modes of death and factors associated with the risk for cardiac and non-cardiac deaths in patients with cardiac resynchronization therapy with implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (CRT-D) vs. implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy, which may help clarify the action and limitations of cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) in relieving myocardial dysfunction. METHODS AND RESULTS: In Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial-Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy (MADIT-CRT), during 4 years of follow-up, 169 (9.3%) of 1820 patients died of known causes, 108 (63.9%) deemed cardiac, and 61 (36.1%) non-cardiac. In multivariate analysis, increased baseline creatinine was significantly associated with both cardiac and non-cardiac deaths [hazard ratio (HR) 2.97, P < 0.001; HR 1.80, P = 0.035, respectively], as was diabetes (HR 1.79, P = 0.006; HR 1.73, P = 0.038, respectively), and the worst New York Heart Association Class > II more than 3 months prior to enrolment (HR 1.90, P = 0.012; HR 2.46, P = 0.010, respectively). Baseline left atrial volume index was significantly associated only with cardiac mortality (HR 1.28 per 5 unit increase, P < 0.001). Ischaemic cardiomyopathy was associated only with non-cardiac death (HR 3.54, P = 0.001). CRT-D vs. an ICD-only was associated with a reduced risk for cardiac death in patients with left bundle branch block (LBBB) (HR 0.56, P = 0.029) but was associated with an increased risk for non-cardiac death in non-LBBB patients (HR 3.48, P = 0.048). CONCLUSIONS: In MADIT-CRT, two-thirds of the deaths were cardiac and one-third non-cardiac. Many of the same risk factors were associated with both cardiac and non-cardiac mortalities. CRT-D was associated with a reduced risk for cardiac death in LBBB but an increased risk for non-cardiac death in non-LBBB. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: Information for the MADIT-CRT main study http://www.clinicaltrials.gov, NCT00180271.

Day-of-the-week variation of sudden unexpected cardiac death.

Background: There has been some controversy about the day-of-the-week (septadian) variation of unexpected sudden cardiac death (SCD). Methods: We evaluated the incidence of unexpected SCD on different days of the week in a consecutive series of 5869 SCD victims from Northern Finland [the FINGESTURE study (Finnish Genetic Study of Arrhythmic Events)]. As it is mandatory in Finland, a medico-legal autopsy was performed on all unexpected sudden death victims. The autopsies were performed between the years 1998-2017. Results: The mean incidence of unexpected SCD was higher at weekends (during the days from Friday to Sunday, peaking on Saturday) than during the days from Monday to Thursday (8.54 ± 0.72 vs. 7.22 ± 0.19 SCDs per day of the week per 100,000 inhabitants per year, p < 0.001). Regardless of sex or ischemic versus non-ischemic etiology of SCD, the distribution of the occurrence of SCD among the days of the week was similar compared with the whole SCD cohort. Conclusion: The incidence of unexpected SCD was highest at weekends (during the days from Friday to Sunday, peaking on Saturday).

Liver X Receptor Agonist 4ß-Hydroxycholesterol as a Prognostic Factor in Coronary Artery Disease.

BACKGROUND: Regardless of progress in treatment of coronary artery disease (CAD), there is still a significant residual risk of death in patients with CAD, highlighting the need for additional risk stratification markers. Our previous study provided evidence for a novel blood pressure-regulating mechanism involving 4ß-hydroxycholesterol (4ßHC), an agonist for liver X receptors, as a hypotensive factor. The aim was to determine the role of 4ßHC as a prognostic factor in CAD. METHODS AND RESULTS: The ARTEMIS (Innovation to Reduce Cardiovascular Complications of Diabetes at the Intersection) cohort consists of 1946 patients with CAD. Men and women were analyzed separately in quartiles according to plasma 4ßHC. Basic characteristics, medications, ECG, and echocardiography parameters as well as mortality rate were analyzed. At baseline, subjects with a beneficial cardiovascular profile, as assessed with traditional markers such as body mass index, exercise capacity, prevalence of diabetes, and use of antihypertensives, had the highest plasma 4ßHC concentrations. However, in men, high plasma 4ßHC was associated with all-cause death, cardiac death, and especially sudden cardiac death (SCD) in a median follow-up of 8.8 years. Univariate and comprehensively adjusted hazard ratios for SCD in the highest quartile were 3.76 (95% CI, 1.6-8.7; P=0.002) and 4.18 (95% CI, 1.5-11.4; P=0.005), respectively. In contrast, the association of cardiac death and SCD in women showed the lowest risk in the highest 4ßHC quartile. CONCLUSIONS: High plasma 4ßHC concentration was associated with death and especially SCD in men, while an inverse association was detected in women. Our results suggest 4ßHC as a novel sex-specific risk marker of cardiac death and especially SCD in chronic CAD. REGISTRATION INFORMATION: clinicaltrials.gov. Identifier NCT01426685.

Prognostic significance of beat-to-beat variability of spatial heterogeneity of repolarization analyzed from a 5-minute resting electrocardiogram in coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Data on the prognostic significance of temporal variability of spatial heterogeneity of electrocardiographic repolarization in coronary artery disease (CAD) are limited. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of temporal variability of T-wave morphology analyzed from a 5-minute resting electrocardiogram in CAD. METHODS: The standard deviation (SD) of T-wave morphology dispersion (TMD-SD) and the SD of total cosine R-to-T were analyzed on a beat-to-beat basis from a 5-minute period of the standard resting 12-lead electrocardiogram obtained before the clinical stress test in 1702 patients with angiographically verified CAD and well-preserved left ventricular function. RESULTS: During an average of 8.7 ± 2.2 years of follow-up, 60 patients experienced sudden cardiac death/arrest (SCD/SCA) (3.5%), 69 patients nonsudden cardiac death (NSCD) (4.1%), and 161 patients noncardiac death (9.5%). TMD-SD was significantly higher in patients who experienced SCD/SCA than in other patients (1.72 ± 2.00 vs 1.12 ± 1.75; P = .01) and higher in patients who succumbed to NSCD than in other patients (1.57 ± 1.74 vs 1.12 ± 1.76; P = .04), but it did not differ significantly between patients who experienced noncardiac death and those without such an event (1.16 ± 1.42 vs 1.14 ± 1.79; P = .86). In the Cox multivariable hazards model, TMD-SD retained its significant association with the risk of SCD/SCA (hazard ratio 1.119; 95% confidence interval 1.015-1.233; P = .024) but not with the risk of NSCD (hazard ratio 1.089; 95% confidence interval 0.983-1.206; P = .103). CONCLUSION: TMD-SD is independently associated with the long-term risk of SCD/SCA in patients with CAD.

Causes and characteristics of unexpected sudden cardiac death in octogenarians/nonagenarians.

INTRODUCTION: The risk for sudden cardiac death (SCD) increases with ageing. METHODS: We evaluated causes and characteristics of unexpected SCD in SCD victims aged ≥ 80 years in a consecutive series of 5,869 SCD victims in Northern Finland. All the victims underwent medico-legal autopsy as medico-legal autopsy is mandatory in cases of unexpected sudden death in Finland. All the non-cardiac deaths such as pulmonary embolism and cerebral hemorrhage were excluded from the study, as were unnatural deaths such as intoxications. RESULTS: Among SCD victims ≥ 80 years, 91.0% of SCDs were due to ischemic heart disease (IHD) determined in autopsy and 9.0% due to non-ischemic heart disease (NIHD), whereas among those < 80 years, only 72.6% of SCDs were due to IHD and 27.4% due to NIHD (P < .001). Severe fibrosis in myocardium was more common whereas heart weight and liver weight, body mass index and abdominal fat thickness, were lower among SCD victims aged ≥ 80 years than among victims aged < 80 years. In those with IHD as etiology of SCD, at least 75% stenosis in one or more major coronary vessels was more common in SCD victims aged ≥ 80 years than among victims aged < 80 years (P = .001). SCD victims 80 years or older were less likely to die during physical activity than those under 80 years old (5.6% vs. 15.9%, P < .001). Dying in sauna was more common among those ≥ 80 years than among those < 80 years (5.5% vs. 2.6%, P < .001). CONCLUSION: In victims of unexpected SCD aged ≥ 80 years, the autopsy-based etiology of SCD was more commonly IHD than in those aged < 80 years. In SCD victims aged ≥ 80 years, severe fibrosis in myocardium, representing arrhythmic substrate, was more common than in the younger ones.

ECG T-Wave Morphologic Variations Predict Ventricular Arrhythmic Risk in Low- and Moderate-Risk Populations.

Background Early identification of individuals at risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) remains a major challenge. The ECG is a simple, common test, with potential for large-scale application. We developed and tested the predictive value of a novel index quantifying T-wave morphologic variations with respect to a normal reference (TMV), which only requires one beat and a single-lead ECG. Methods and Results We obtained reference T-wave morphologies from 23 962 participants in the UK Biobank study. With Cox models, we determined the association between TMV and life-threatening ventricular arrhythmia in an independent data set from UK Biobank study without a history of cardiovascular events (N=51 794; median follow-up of 122 months) and SCD in patients with coronary artery disease from ARTEMIS (N=1872; median follow-up of 60 months). In UK Biobank study, 220 (0.4%) individuals developed life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias. TMV was significantly associated with life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias (hazard ratio [HR] of 1.13 per SD increase [95% CI, 1.03-1.24]; P=0.009). In ARTEMIS, 34 (1.8%) individuals reached the primary end point. Patients with TMV ≥5 had an HR for SCD of 2.86 (95% CI, 1.40-5.84; P=0.004) with respect to those with TMV <5, independently from QRS duration, corrected QT interval, and left ventricular ejection fraction. TMV was not significantly associated with death from a cause other than SCD. Conclusions TMV identifies individuals at life-threatening ventricular arrhythmia and SCD risk using a single-beat single-lead ECG, enabling inexpensive, quick, and safe risk assessment in large populations.

Risk factors of self-terminating and perpetuating ventricular tachyarrhythmias in post-infarction patients with moderately depressed left ventricular function, a CARISMA sub-analysis.

AIMS: The present study aimed to assess whether there are differences in risk indicators for perpetuating ventricular tachyarrhythmias (pVT) and self-terminating ventricular tachyarrhythmias (stVT). METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and baseline left ventricular ejection fraction ≤ 40% (n = 292) received an implantable electrocardiogram loop recorder from 5 to 21 days after AMI and were followed up for 24 months to document arrhythmic events in the Cardiac Arrhythmias and Risk Stratification after Acute Myocardial Infarction (CARISMA) study. Several risk markers, such as the inducibility to sustained ventricular tachycardia during programmed electrical stimulation (PES), the signal-averaged ECG QRS duration (SAECG-QRS), heart rate variability (HRV) and turbulence (HRT), T-wave alternans, and non-sustained ventricular tachycardia on Holter were analysed at 6 weeks after the AMI. During the follow-up, 26 patients (9%) experienced an stVT (≥ 16 beats and < 30 s), and 21 patients (7%) a pVT. The occurrence of non-sustained ventricular tachycardia on Holter significantly predicted stVT [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.90, 1.26-6.67, 95% confidence interval (CI), P = 0.01], but not pVT during the follow-up. The inducibility during PES (HR = 5.02, 1.85-13.60, 95% CI, P = 0.001), SAECG-QRS ≥ 130 ms (HR = 8.73, 3.38-22.56, 95% CI, P < 0.001), the short-term scaling exponent HRV parameter ≤ 0.77 (HR = 5.65, 2.12-15.10, 95% CI, P = 0.001), and HRT slope ≤ 1.75 ms/NN (HR = 4.57, 1.80-11.59, 95% CI, P = 0.001) were significant predictors of pVT, even after adjustments with relevant clinical parameters (P from < 0.01 to < 0.001), but did not significantly predict the occurrence of stVT (P from 0.35 to 0.75). CONCLUSION: Self-terminating ventricular tachyarrhythmia and pVT have differences in electrophysiological substrate and arrhythmia modifiers in post-AMI patients with moderate left ventricular dysfunction.

QRS-T morphology measured from exercise electrocardiogram as a predictor of cardiac mortality.

AIMS: Total cosine R-to-T (TCRT) measured from the standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) reflects the spatial relationship between depolarization and repolarization wavefronts and a low TCRT value is a marker of poor prognosis. We tested the hypothesis that measurement of TCRT or QRS/T angle from exercise ECG would provide even more powerful prognostic information. METHODS AND RESULTS: The prognostic significances of TCRT and QRS/T angle were assessed from exercise ECG recordings in 1297 patients [age 56 ± 13 years (mean ± SD), 67% males] undergoing a clinically indicated bicycle stress-test and the subsequent follow-up. During an average follow-up of 45 ± 12 months, 74 patients died (5.7%); 34 (2.6%) were cardiac deaths, and 24 (1.9%) were sudden cardiac deaths. Total cosine R-to-T and QRS/T angle exhibited a correlation with the RR intervals in the total cohort, but the individual responses were variable, e.g. median correlation of TCRT-RR was 0.89 with an inter-quartile range from 0.55 to 0.98. A reduced correlation of TCRT-RR during the recovery phase of exercise ECG predicted cardiac death [adjusted heart rate (HR) 3.5, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.8-6.8, P= 0.001] similarly as the baseline TCRT measured from ECG at rest (adjusted HR 3.4, 95% CI: 1.4-8.1, P= 0.01). The poor correlation between the TCRT-RR both during the exercise and recovery was specifically related to a risk of sudden cardiac death (adjusted HR 6.2, 95% CI: 2.1-17.8, P< 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Loss of rate-adaptation of the spatial relationship between depolarization and repolarization wavefronts is a strong predictor of cardiac death, especially of sudden cardiac death.

Prognostic value of heart rate variability in patients with coronary artery disease in the current treatment era.

Coronary artery disease (CAD) mortality has declined substantially over the past decades thanks to advancing medical and interventional/surgical treatments; therefore, the prognostic value of the heart rate variability in CAD in the current treatment era is not well established. We evaluated the prognostic significance of baseline heart rate variability in 1,757 ARTEMIS study patients with angiographically verified CAD. During an average follow-up time of 8.7 ± 2.2 years, a total of 285 (16.2%) patients died. Of the patients, 63 (3.6%) suffered sudden cardiac death or were resuscitated from sudden cardiac arrest (SCD/SCA), 60 (3.4%) experienced non-sudden cardiac death (NSCD), and death attributable to non-cardiac causes (NCD) occurred in 162 (9.2%) patients. For every 10 ms decrease in standard deviation of normal to normal intervals the risk for SCD/SCA, NSCD and NCD increased significantly: HR 1.153 (95% CI 1.075-1.236, p<0.001), HR 1.187 (95% CI 1.102-1.278, p<0.001) and HR 1.080 (95% CI 1.037-1.125, p<0.001), respectively. The natural logarithm of the low-frequency component of the power spectrum and the short-term scaling exponent of the detrended fluctuation analysis also had significant association with all modes of death (p<0.001). After relevant adjustment, standard deviation of normal-to-normal intervals retained its association with NSCD and NCD (p<0.01), the natural logarithm of the low-frequency component of the power spectrum with all modes of death (p from <0.05 to <0.01), and the short-term scaling exponent of the detrended fluctuation analysis with SCD/SCA (p<0.05) and NCD (p<0.001). In conclusion, impairment of many measures of heart rate variability predicts mortality but is not associated with any specific mode of death in patients with stable CAD during the current treatment era, limiting the clinical applicability of heart rate variability to targeting therapy.

Blood alcohol levels in Finnish victims of non-ischaemic sudden cardiac death.

INTRODUCTION: Non-ischaemic heart disease (NIHD) is the underlying pathology in∼20% of all sudden cardiac deaths (SCDs). Heavy drinking is known to be associated with SCD due to ischaemic heart disease, but studies on association of recent alcohol consumption and SCD in patients with NIHD are scarce. We evaluated the blood alcohol levels of autopsy verified non-ischaemic SCD victims. METHODS: Study population was derived from the Finnish Genetic Study of Arrhythmic Events (Fingesture) (n = 5869, mean age 65 ± 12, 79% males). All deaths occurred in Northern Finland during 1998-2017. All victims underwent a medico-legal autopsy. Subjects of SCD due to ischaemic heart disease were excluded. RESULTS: A total of 1301 (mean age 57 ± 12, 78% males) victims of SCD due to NIHD were included in the study. The blood ethanol level was elevated in 543 (42%) subjects, out of which the blood alcohol level was ≥0.10%in 339 (62%) subjects and ≥0.15%in 252 (46%) subjects. Male SCD victims had alcohol in blood more frequently compared to females (45% versus 31%, p < .001). CONCLUSION: Elevated blood alcohol level is common in SCD victims due to NIHD, especially in males. Recent alcohol consumption might contribute to the subsequent SCD in many non-ischaemic SCD victims.KEY MESSAGESElevated blood alcohol level is common in victims of sudden cardiac death due to non-ischaemic heart disease, especially in males.Recent alcohol consumption may contribute to the subsequent death in many nonischemic sudden cardiac death victims.

Genetic Variants Associated With Sudden Cardiac Death in Victims With Single Vessel Coronary Artery Disease and Left Ventricular Hypertrophy With or Without Fibrosis.

Objective: Cardiac hypertrophy with varying degrees of myocardial fibrosis is commonly associated with coronary artery disease (CAD) related sudden cardiac death (SCD), especially in young victims among whom patterns of coronary artery lesions do not entirely appear to explain the cause of SCD. Our aim was to study the genetic background of hypertrophy, with or without fibrosis, among ischemic SCD victims with single vessel CAD. Methods: The study population was derived from the Fingesture study, consisting of all autopsy-verified SCDs in Northern Finland between the years 1998 and 2017 (n = 5,869). We carried out targeted next-generation sequencing using a panel of 174 genes associated with myocardial structure and ion channel function in 95 ischemic-SCD victims (mean age 63.6 ± 10.3 years; 88.4% males) with single-vessel CAD in the absence of previously diagnosed CAD and cardiac hypertrophy with or without myocardial fibrosis at autopsy. Results: A total of 42 rare variants were detected in 43 subjects (45.3% of the study subjects). Five variants in eight subjects (8.4%) were classified as pathogenic or likely pathogenic. We observed 37 variants of uncertain significance in 39 subjects (40.6%). Variants were detected in myocardial structure protein coding genes, associated with arrhythmogenic right ventricular, dilated, hypertrophic and left ventricular non-compaction cardiomyopathies. Also, variants were detected in ryanodine receptor 2 (RYR2), a gene associated with both cardiomyopathies and catecholaminergic polymorphic ventricular tachycardias. Conclusions: Rare variants associated with cardiomyopathies, in the absence of anatomic evidence of the specific inherited cardiomyopathies, were common findings among CAD-related SCD victims with single vessel disease and myocardial hypertrophy found at autopsies, suggesting that these variants may modulate the risk for fatal arrhythmias and SCD in ischemic disease.