An ordinal model to predict the risk of symptomatic liver failure in patients with cirrhosis undergoing hepatectomy.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Selection criteria for hepatectomy in patients with cirrhosis are controversial. In this study we aimed to build prognostic models of symptomatic post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: This was a cohort study of patients with histologically proven cirrhosis undergoing hepatectomy in 6 French tertiary care hepato-biliary-pancreatic centres. The primary endpoint was symptomatic (grade B or C) PHLF, according to the International Study Group of Liver Surgery's definition. Twenty-six preoperative and 5 intraoperative variables were considered. An ordered ordinal logistic regression model with proportional odds ratio was used with 3 classes: O/A (No PHLF or grade A PHLF), B (grade B PHLF) and C (grade C PHLF). RESULTS: Of the 343 patients included, the main indication was hepatocellular carcinoma (88%). Laparoscopic liver resection was performed in 112 patients. Three-month mortality was 5.25%. The observed grades of PHLF were: 0/A: 61%, B: 28%, C: 11%. Based on the results of univariate analyses, 3 preoperative variables (platelet count, liver remnant volume ratio and intent-to-treat laparoscopy) were retained in a preoperative model and 2 intraoperative variables (per protocol laparoscopy and intraoperative blood loss) were added to the latter in a postoperative model. The preoperative model estimated the probabilities of PHLF grades with acceptable discrimination (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve [AUC] 0.73, B/C vs. 0/A; AUC 0.75, C vs. 0/A/B) and the performance of the postoperative model was even better (AUC 0.77, B/C vs. 0/A; AUC 0.81, C vs. 0/A/B; p <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: By accurately predicting the risk of symptomatic PHLF in patients with cirrhosis, the preoperative model should be useful at the selection stage. Prediction can be adjusted at the end of surgery by also considering blood loss and conversion to laparotomy in a postoperative model, which might influence postoperative management. LAY SUMMARY: In patients with liver cirrhosis, the risk of a hepatectomy is difficult to appreciate. We propose a statistical tool to estimate this risk, preoperatively and immediately after surgery, using readily available parameters and on online calculator. This model could help to improve the selection of patients with the best risk-benefit profiles for hepatectomy.

Persistent perineal sinus after abdominoperineal resection.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Persistent perineal sinus (PPS) defined as a perineal wound remaining unhealed more than 6 months after abdominoperineal resection (APR) is a well-known complication. The aim of our study was (1) to evaluate the incidence of PPS after APR for Crohn's disease (CD) in the era of biotherapy, (2) to determine long-term outcome of PPS, (3) to study risk factors associated with delayed perineal healing, and (4) to compare the results in this CD patient group with patients without CD. METHODS: From 1997 to 2013, the records of patients who underwent APR for CD and for non-CD rectal cancer with or without radiochemotherapy at two French university hospitals were studied retrospectively. Perineal healing was evaluated by clinical examination at 1, 6, and 12 months after surgery. RESULTS: The cumulative probability of perineal wound unhealed at 6 and 12 months after surgery was 85 and 48%, respectively, for 81 patients who underwent APR for CD patients in contrast to 21 and 13%, respectively, for 25 non-CD patients with rectal cancer. Eight patients with CD (10%) remained with PPS after a median follow up of 4 years and spontaneous perineal healing occurred with time for all non-CD patients. Factors associated with delayed perineal healing in CD included age at surgery < 49 years (p = 0.001) and colonic-only Crohn's disease location (p = 0.045). Medical treatments had no significant impact on perineal healing. CONCLUSIONS: PPS beyond 6 months post-APR remains a frequent complication but mostly resolves over time. CD is a risk factor for developing PPS and factors associated with higher incidence of PPS were age at surgery < 49 years and colonic-only Crohn's disease location. Prevention of PPS in this population with muscle flap during APR deserves to be evaluated.

Prognostication algorithm for non-cirrhotic non-B non-C hepatocellular carcinoma-a multicenter study under the aegis of the French Association of Hepato-Biliary Surgery and liver Transplantation.

Background: Liver resection and local ablation are the only curative treatment for non-cirrhotic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Few data exist concerning the prognosis of patients resected for non-cirrhotic HCC. The objectives of this study were to determine the prognostic factors of recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) and to develop a prognostication algorithm for non-cirrhotic HCC. Methods: French multicenter retrospective study including HCC patients with non-cirrhotic liver without underlying viral hepatitis: F0, F1 or F2 fibrosis. Results: A total of 467 patients were included in 11 centers from 2010 to 2018. Non-cirrhotic liver had a fibrosis score of F0 (n=237, 50.7%), F1 (n=127, 27.2%) or F2 (n=103, 22.1%). OS and RFS at 5 years were 59.2% and 34.5%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, microvascular invasion and HCC differentiation were prognostic factors of OS and RFS and the number and size were prognostic factors of RFS (P<0.005). Stratification based on RFS provided an algorithm based on size (P=0.013) and number (P<0.001): 2 HCC with the largest nodule ≤10 cm (n=271, Group 1); 2 HCC with a nodule >10 cm (n=176, Group 2); >2 HCC regardless of size (n=20, Group 3). The 5-year RFS rates were 52.7% (Group 1), 30.1% (Group 2) and 5% (Group 3). Conclusions: We developed a prognostication algorithm based on the number (≤ or >2) and size (≤ or >10 cm), which could be used as a treatment decision support concerning the need for perioperative therapy. In case of bifocal HCC, surgery should not be a contraindication.

Impact of sarcopenia on outcomes of patients undergoing pancreatectomy: A retrospective analysis of 107 patients.

To evaluate the prevalence of sarcopenia in patients undergoing pancreatic surgery and to examine its impact on the surgical outcomes and survival of patients.Skeletal muscle index (SMI) was measured on preoperative CT. A patient was considered sarcopenic if SMI was <38.5 cm/m for a female or <52.4 cm/m for a male. Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) and severe morbidity (Clavien≥3) were analyzed. Survival of patients with cancer was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method.In total, 107 consecutive patients were included. Among them, 50 (47%) patients were sarcopenic and 65 (60%) were undernourished. The rates of severe morbidity and mortality were comparable between sarcopenic and nonsarcopenic groups. However, all POPF grade B or C and deaths occurred in the sarcopenic or nonsarcopenic overweight group (BMI > 25) with significantly lengthened hospital stays (P = .003). After pancreatectomy for cancer, 31 (40.2%) patients showed postoperative recurrence and 23 (29.9%) died after a median follow-up of 15 ±â€Š13.5 months. Despite comparable histological types and stages, the median overall and disease-free survivals were lower in sarcopenic patients (16 months vs not reached, P = .02 and 11.1 months vs 22.5 months; P = .04, respectively). The multivariate analysis revealed that, sarcopenia trended to increase the risk of death (HR = 2.04, P = .07).Sarcopenia negatively impacted short- and long-term outcomes in patients undergoing pancreatectomy.