Association of air pollution with acute ischemic stroke risk in Singapore: a time-stratified case-crossover study.

BACKGROUND: Air quality is an important determinant of cardiovascular health such as ischemic heart disease and acute ischemic stroke (AIS) with substantial mortality and morbidity reported across the globe. However, associations between air quality and AIS in the current literature remain inconsistent, with few studies undertaken in cosmopolitan cities located in the tropics. OBJECTIVES: We evaluated the associations between individual ambient air pollutants and AIS. METHODS: We performed a nationwide, population-based, time-stratified case-crossover analysis on all AIS cases reported to the Singapore Stroke Registry from 2009 to 2018. We estimated the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of AIS across different concentrations of each pollutant by quartiles (referencing the 25th percentile), in single-pollutant conditional Poisson models adjusted for time-varying meteorological effects. We stratified our analysis by predetermined subgroups deemed at higher risk. RESULTS: A total of 51,675 episodes of AIS were included. Ozone (O3) (IRR4th quartile: 1.05, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-1.08) and carbon monoxide (CO) (IRR2nd quartile: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.02-1.08, IRR3rd quartile: 1.07, 95% CI: 1.04-1.10, IRR4th quartile: 1.07, 95% CI: 1.04-1.11) were positively associated with AIS incidence. The increased incidence of AIS due to O3 and CO persisted for 5 days after exposure. Those under 65 years of age were more likely to experience AIS when exposed to CO. Individuals with atrial fibrillation (AF) were more susceptible to exposure from O3, CO, and PM10. Current/ex-smokers were more vulnerable to the effect of O3. CONCLUSION: Air pollution increases the incidence of AIS, especially in those with AF and in those who are current or ex-smokers.

Association of ambient air pollution with risk of hemorrhagic stroke: A time-stratified case crossover analysis of the Singapore stroke registry.

BACKGROUND: Haemorrhagic stroke (HS) is a major cause of mortality and disability. Previous studies reported inconsistent associations between ambient air pollutants and HS risk. OBJECTIVE: We evaluated the association between air pollutant exposure and the risk of HS in a cosmopolitan city in the tropics. METHODS: We performed a nationwide, population-based, time-stratified case-crossover analysis on all HS cases reported to the Singapore Stroke Registry from 2009 to 2018 (n = 12,636). We estimated the risk of HS across tertiles of air pollutant concentrations in conditional Poisson models, adjusting for meteorological confounders. We stratified our analysis by age, atrial fibrillation and smoking status, and investigated the lagged effects of each pollutant on the risk of HS up to 5 days. RESULTS: All 12,636 episodes of HS were included. The median (1st-to 3rd-quartile) daily pollutant levels from 22 remote stations deployed across the island were as follows: (PM2.5 = 15.9 (12.7-20.5), PM10 = 27.3 (22.7-33.4), O3 = 22.5 (17.3-29.8), NO2 = 23.3 (18.8-28.4), SO2 = 10.2 (5.6-14.4), CO = 0.5 (0.5-0.6). The median (1st-to 3rd-quartile) temperature (°C) was 27.9 (27.1-28.7), that of relative humidity (%) was 79.4 (75.6-83.2), and that of total rainfall (mm) was 0.0 (0.0-4.2). Higher levels of CO were significantly associated with an increased risk of HS (3rd tertile vs 1st tertile: Incidence Rate Ratio (IRR) = 1.06, 95% CI = 1.01-1.12). The increased risk of HS due to CO persisted for at least 5 days after exposure. Individuals under 65 years old and non-smokers had a higher risk of HS when exposed to CO. O3 was associated with increased risk of HS up to 5 days (3rd tertile vs 1st tertile: IRRday 1 = 1.07, 95% CI = 1.02-1.12; IRRday 5 = 1.07, 95% CI = 1.02-1.13). CONCLUSION: Short-term exposure to ambient CO levels was associated with an increased risk of HS. A reduction in CO emissions may reduce the burden of HS in the population.

Ambient Air Pollution and Acute Ischemic Stroke-Effect Modification by Atrial Fibrillation.

Acute ischemic strokes (AIS) are closely linked with air pollution, and there is some evidence that traditional cardiovascular risk factors may alter the relationship between air pollution and strokes. We investigated the effect of atrial fibrillation (AF) on the association of AIS with air pollutants. This was a nationwide, population-based, case-only study that included all AIS treated in public healthcare institutions in Singapore from 2009 to 2018. Using multivariable logistic regression, adjusted for time-varying meteorological effects, we examined how AF modified the association between AIS and air pollutant exposure. A total of 51,673 episodes of AIS were included, with 10,722 (20.7%) having AF. The odds of AIS in patients with AF is higher than those without AF for every 1 µg/m3 increase in O3 concentration (adjusted OR [aOR]: 1.005, 95% CI 1.003-1.007) and every 1 mg/m3 increase in CO concentration (aOR: 1.193, 95% CI 1.050-1.356). However, the odds of AIS in patients with AF is lower than those without AF for every 1 µg/m3 increase in SO2 concentration (aOR: 0.993, 95% CI 0.990-0.997). Higher odds of AIS among AF patients as O3- and CO concentrations increase are also observed in patients aged ≥65 years and non-smokers. The results suggest that AF plays an important role in exacerbating the risk of AIS as the levels of O3 and CO increase.