Frailty and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Adults With CKD: Findings From the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Frailty is common in individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and increases the risk of adverse outcomes in adults with kidney failure requiring dialysis. However, this relationship has not been thoroughly evaluated among those with non-dialysis-dependent CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 2,539 adults in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study. EXPOSURE: Frailty status assessed using 5 criteria: slow gait speed, muscle weakness, low physical activity, exhaustion, and unintentional weight loss. OUTCOME: Atherosclerotic events, incident heart failure, all-cause death, and cardiovascular death. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cause-specific hazards models. RESULTS: At study entry, the participants' mean age was 62 years, 46% were female, the mean estimated glomerular filtration rate was 45.4mL/min/1.73m2, and the median urine protein was 0.2mg/day. Frailty status was as follows: 12% frail, 51% prefrail, and 37% nonfrail. Over a median follow-up of 11.4 years, there were 393 atherosclerotic events, 413 heart failure events, 497 deaths, and 132 cardiovascular deaths. In multivariable regression analyses, compared with nonfrailty, both frailty and prefrailty status were each associated with higher risk of an atherosclerotic event (HR, 2.03 [95% CI, 1.41-2.91] and 1.77 [95% CI, 1.35-2.31], respectively) and incident heart failure (HR, 2.22 [95% CI, 1.59-3.10] and 1.39 [95% CI, 1.07-1.82], respectively), as well as higher risk of all-cause death (HR, 2.52 [95% CI, 1.84-3.45] and 1.76 [95% CI, 1.37-2.24], respectively) and cardiovascular death (HR, 3.01 [95% CI, 1.62-5.62] and 1.78 [95% 1.06-2.99], respectively). LIMITATIONS: Self-report of aspects of the frailty assessment and comorbidities, which may have led to bias in some estimates. CONCLUSIONS: In adults with CKD, frailty status was associated with higher risk of cardiovascular events and mortality. Future studies are needed to evaluate the impact of interventions to reduce frailty on cardiovascular outcomes in this population. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Frailty is common in individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and increases the risk of adverse outcomes. We sought to evaluate the association of frailty status with cardiovascular events and death in adults with CKD. Frailty was assessed according to the 5 phenotypic criteria detailed by Fried and colleagues. Among 2,539 participants in the CRIC Study, we found that 12% were frail, 51% were prefrail, and 37% were nonfrail. Frailty status was associated with an increased risk of atherosclerotic events, incident heart failure, and death.

Adherence to Plant-Based Diets and Risk of CKD Progression and All-Cause Mortality: Findings From the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Studies have shown that generally healthy individuals who consume diets rich in plant foods have a lower risk of incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) and cardiovascular disease. This study investigated the prospective associations of plant-based diets with the risk of CKD progression and all-cause mortality in individuals with CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 2,539 participants with CKD recruited between 2003-2008 into the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study. EXPOSURE: Responses on the Diet History Questionnaire were used to calculate scores for the overall plant-based diet index, healthy plant-based diet index, and unhealthy plant-based diet index. OUTCOME: (1) CKD progression defined as≥50% estimated glomerular filtration rate decline from baseline or kidney replacement therapy (dialysis, transplant) and (2) all-cause mortality. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazards models to compute hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals adjusting for lifestyle, socioeconomic, and clinical covariates. RESULTS: There were 977 CKD progression events and 836 deaths during a median follow-up period of 7 and 12 years, respectively. Participants with the highest versus lowest adherence to overall plant-based diets and healthy plant-based diets had 26% (HR, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.62-0.88], P trend<0.001) and 21% (HR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.66-0.95], P trend=0.03) lower risks of all-cause mortality, respectively. Each 10-point higher score of unhealthy plant-based diets was modestly associated with a higher risk of CKD progression (HR, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.03-1.25) and all-cause mortality (HR, 1.11 [95% CI, 1.00-1.23). LIMITATIONS: Self-reported diet may be subject to measurement error. CONCLUSIONS: Adherence to an overall plant-based diet and a healthy plant-based diet is associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality among individuals with CKD. An unhealthy plant-based was associated with an elevated risk of CKD progression and all-cause mortality. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Plant-based diets are healthful dietary patterns that have been linked to a lower risk of chronic diseases. However, the impact of plant-based diets on clinical outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is not well established. In 2,539 individuals with CKD, we examined the associations of adherence to 3 different types of plant-based diets with the risks of CKD progression and all-cause mortality. We found that following an overall plant-based diet and a healthy plant-based diet was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality. By contrast, following an unhealthy plant-based diet was associated with a higher risk of CKD progression and all-cause mortality. These results suggest that the quality of plant-based diets may be important for CKD management.

Risk for Chronic Kidney Disease Progression After Acute Kidney Injury: Findings From the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Prior studies associating acute kidney injury (AKI) with more rapid subsequent loss of kidney function had methodological limitations, including inadequate control for differences between patients who had AKI and those who did not. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether AKI is independently associated with subsequent kidney function trajectory among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). DESIGN: Multicenter prospective cohort study. SETTING: United States. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with CKD (n = 3150). MEASUREMENTS: Hospitalized AKI was defined by a 50% or greater increase in inpatient serum creatinine (SCr) level from nadir to peak. Kidney function trajectory was assessed using estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) based on SCr level (eGFRcr) or cystatin C level (eGFRcys) measured at annual study visits. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 3.9 years, 433 participants had at least 1 AKI episode. Most episodes (92%) had stage 1 or 2 severity. There were decreases in eGFRcr (-2.30 [95% CI, -3.70 to -0.86] mL/min/1.73 m2) and eGFRcys (-3.61 [CI, -6.39 to -0.82] mL/min/1.73 m2) after AKI. However, in fully adjusted models, the decreases were attenuated to -0.38 (CI, -1.35 to 0.59) mL/min/1.73 m2 for eGFRcr and -0.15 (CI, -2.16 to 1.86) mL/min/1.73 m2 for eGFRcys, and the CI bounds included the possibility of no effect. Estimates of changes in eGFR slope after AKI determined by either SCr level (0.04 [CI, -0.30 to 0.38] mL/min/1.73 m2 per year) or cystatin C level (-0.56 [CI, -1.28 to 0.17] mL/min/1.73 m2 per year) also had CI bounds that included the possibility of no effect. LIMITATIONS: Few cases of severe AKI, no adjudication of AKI cause, and lack of information about nephrotoxic exposures after hospital discharge. CONCLUSION: After pre-AKI eGFR, proteinuria, and other covariables were accounted for, the association between mild to moderate AKI and worsening subsequent kidney function in patients with CKD was small. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, National Institutes of Health.

The Kidney Failure Risk Equation: Evaluation of Novel Input Variables including eGFR Estimated Using the CKD-EPI 2021 Equation in 59 Cohorts.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: The kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) uses age, sex, GFR, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) to predict 2- and 5-year risk of kidney failure in populations with eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 . However, the CKD-EPI 2021 creatinine equation for eGFR is now recommended for use but has not been fully tested in the context of KFRE. In 59 cohorts comprising 312,424 patients with CKD, the authors assessed the predictive performance and calibration associated with the use of the CKD-EPI 2021 equation and whether additional variables and accounting for the competing risk of death improves the KFRE's performance. The KFRE generally performed well using the CKD-EPI 2021 eGFR in populations with eGFR <45 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 and was not improved by adding the 2-year prior eGFR slope and cardiovascular comorbidities. BACKGROUND: The kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) uses age, sex, GFR, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) to predict kidney failure risk in people with GFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 . METHODS: Using 59 cohorts with 312,424 patients with CKD, we tested several modifications to the KFRE for their potential to improve the KFRE: using the CKD-EPI 2021 creatinine equation for eGFR, substituting 1-year average ACR for single-measure ACR and 1-year average eGFR in participants with high eGFR variability, and adding 2-year prior eGFR slope and cardiovascular comorbidities. We also assessed calibration of the KFRE in subgroups of eGFR and age before and after accounting for the competing risk of death. RESULTS: The KFRE remained accurate and well calibrated overall using the CKD-EPI 2021 eGFR equation. The other modifications did not improve KFRE performance. In subgroups of eGFR 45-59 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 and in older adults using the 5-year time horizon, the KFRE demonstrated systematic underprediction and overprediction, respectively. We developed and tested a new model with a spline term in eGFR and incorporating the competing risk of mortality, resulting in more accurate calibration in those specific subgroups but not overall. CONCLUSIONS: The original KFRE is generally accurate for eGFR <45 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 when using the CKD-EPI 2021 equation. Incorporating competing risk methodology and splines for eGFR may improve calibration in low-risk settings with longer time horizons. Including historical averages, eGFR slopes, or a competing risk design did not meaningfully alter KFRE performance in most circumstances.

A generalized covariate-adjusted top-scoring pair algorithm with applications to diabetic kidney disease stage classification in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

BACKGROUND: The growing amount of high dimensional biomolecular data has spawned new statistical and computational models for risk prediction and disease classification. Yet, many of these methods do not yield biologically interpretable models, despite offering high classification accuracy. An exception, the top-scoring pair (TSP) algorithm derives parameter-free, biologically interpretable single pair decision rules that are accurate and robust in disease classification. However, standard TSP methods do not accommodate covariates that could heavily influence feature selection for the top-scoring pair. Herein, we propose a covariate-adjusted TSP method, which uses residuals from a regression of features on the covariates for identifying top scoring pairs. We conduct simulations and a data application to investigate our method, and compare it to existing classifiers, LASSO and random forests. RESULTS: Our simulations found that features that were highly correlated with clinical variables had high likelihood of being selected as top scoring pairs in the standard TSP setting. However, through residualization, our covariate-adjusted TSP was able to identify new top scoring pairs, that were largely uncorrelated with clinical variables. In the data application, using patients with diabetes (n = 977) selected for metabolomic profiling in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study, the standard TSP algorithm identified (valine-betaine, dimethyl-arg) as the top-scoring metabolite pair for classifying diabetic kidney disease (DKD) severity, whereas the covariate-adjusted TSP method identified the pair (pipazethate, octaethylene glycol) as top-scoring. Valine-betaine and dimethyl-arg had, respectively, ≥ 0.4 absolute correlation with urine albumin and serum creatinine, known prognosticators of DKD. Thus without covariate-adjustment the top-scoring pair largely reflected known markers of disease severity, whereas covariate-adjusted TSP uncovered features liberated from confounding, and identified independent prognostic markers of DKD severity. Furthermore, TSP-based methods achieved competitive classification accuracy in DKD to LASSO and random forests, while providing more parsimonious models. CONCLUSIONS: We extended TSP-based methods to account for covariates, via a simple, easy to implement residualizing process. Our covariate-adjusted TSP method identified metabolite features, uncorrelated from clinical covariates, that discriminate DKD severity stage based on the relative ordering between two features, and thus provide insights into future studies on the order reversals in early vs advanced disease states.

Trends and perspectives for improving quality of chronic kidney disease care: conclusions from a Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) Controversies Conference.

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) affects over 850 million people globally, and the need to prevent its development and progression is urgent. During the past decade, new perspectives have arisen related to the quality and precision of care for CKD, owing to the development of new tools and interventions for CKD diagnosis and management. New biomarkers, imaging methods, artificial intelligence techniques, and approaches to organizing and delivering healthcare may help clinicians recognize CKD, determine its etiology, assess the dominant mechanisms at given time points, and identify patients at high risk for progression or related events. As opportunities to apply the concepts of precision medicine for CKD identification and management continue to be developed, an ongoing discussion of the potential implications for care delivery is required. The 2022 KDIGO Controversies Conference on Improving CKD Quality of Care: Trends and Perspectives examined and discussed best practices for improving the precision of CKD diagnosis and prognosis, managing the complications of CKD, enhancing the safety of care, and maximizing patient quality of life. Existing tools and interventions currently available for the diagnosis and treatment of CKD were identified, with discussion of current barriers to their implementation and strategies for improving the quality of care delivered for CKD. Key knowledge gaps and areas for research were also identified.

Prospective associations of health literacy with clinical outcomes in adults with CKD: findings from the CRIC study.

BACKGROUND: Limited health literacy is associated with significant morbidity and mortality in the general population but the relation of health literacy with long-term clinical outcomes among adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is less clear. METHODS: Prospective data from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study (n = 3715) were used. Health literacy was assessed with the Short Test of Functional Health Literacy in Adults (dichotomized as limited/adequate). Cox proportional hazards models were used to separately examine the relations of health literacy with CKD progression, cardiovascular event (any of the following: myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, stroke or peripheral artery disease), and all-cause, cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality. Poisson regression was used to assess the health literacy-hospitalization association. Models were sequentially adjusted: Model 1 adjusted for potential confounders (sociodemographic factors), while Model 2 additionally adjusted for potential mediators (clinical and lifestyle factors) of the associations of interest. RESULTS: In confounder-adjusted models, participants with limited (vs adequate) health literacy [555 (15%)] had an increased risk of CKD progression [hazard ratio (HR) 1.34; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06-1.71], cardiovascular event (HR 1.67; 95% CI 1.39-2.00), hospitalization (rate ratio 1.33; 95% CI 1.26-1.40), and all-cause (HR 1.54; 95% CI 1.27-1.86), cardiovascular (HR 2.39; 95% CI 1.69-3.38) and non-cardiovascular (HR 1.27; 95% CI 1.01-1.60) mortality. Additional adjustments for potential mediators (Model 2) showed similar results except that the relations of health literacy with CKD progression and non-cardiovascular mortality were no longer statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: In the CRIC Study, adults with limited (vs adequate) health literacy had a higher risk for CKD progression, cardiovascular event, hospitalization and mortality-regardless of adjustment for potential confounders.

Acute Kidney Injury Associates with Long-Term Increases in Plasma TNFR1, TNFR2, and KIM-1: Findings from the CRIC Study.

BACKGROUND: Some markers of inflammation-TNF receptors 1 and 2 (TNFR1 and TNFR2)-are independently associated with progressive CKD, as is a marker of proximal tubule injury, kidney injury molecule 1 (KIM-1). However, whether an episode of hospitalized AKI may cause long-term changes in these biomarkers is unknown. METHODS: Among adult participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study, we identified 198 episodes of hospitalized AKI (defined as peak/nadir inpatient serum creatinine values ≥1.5). For each AKI hospitalization, we found the best matched non-AKI hospitalization (unique patients), using prehospitalization characteristics, including eGFR and urine protein/creatinine ratio. We measured TNFR1, TNFR2, and KIM-1 in banked plasma samples collected at annual CRIC study visits before and after the hospitalization (a median of 7 months before and 5 months after hospitalization). RESULTS: In the AKI and non-AKI groups, we found similar prehospitalization median levels of TNFR1 (1373 pg/ml versus 1371 pg/ml, for AKI and non-AKI, respectively), TNFR2 (47,141 pg/ml versus 46,135 pg/ml, respectively), and KIM-1 (857 pg/ml versus 719 pg/ml, respectively). Compared with matched study participants who did not experience AKI, study participants who did experience AKI had greater increases in TNFR1 (23% versus 10%, P<0.01), TNFR2 (10% versus 3%, P<0.01), and KIM-1 (13% versus -2%, P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with CKD, AKI during hospitalization was associated with increases in plasma TNFR1, TNFR2, and KIM-1 several months after their hospitalization. These results highlight a potential mechanism by which AKI may contribute to more rapid loss of kidney function months to years after the acute insult.

Self-reported Physical Activity and Cardiovascular Events in Adults With CKD: Findings From the CRIC (Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort) Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: In the general population, there is an association between higher levels of physical activity and lower risk for cardiovascular events and mortality, but this relationship has not been well evaluated in chronic kidney disease (CKD). We investigated the association between self-reported physical activity and outcomes in a CKD cohort. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 3,926 participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study. EXPOSURE: Time-updated self-reported physical activity assessed by (1) quartile of moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) and (2) meeting guideline-recommended level of physical activity (categorized as active, meeting guidelines; active, not meeting guidelines; or inactive). OUTCOME: Atherosclerotic events (myocardial infarction, stroke, or peripheral artery disease), incident heart failure, and all-cause and cardiovascular death. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: At baseline, compared with the lowest MVPA quartile, those in the highest quartile were more likely to be younger, male, not have prevalent cardiovascular disease, and have higher estimated glomerular filtration rate. Overall, 51% met the physical activity guidelines; of those who did not, 30% were inactive. During the median follow-up period of 13.4 years, there were 772 atherosclerotic events, 848 heart failure events, and 1,553 deaths, and 420 cardiovascular deaths. Compared with the participants in the lowest MVPA quartile, the highest quartile had a lower risk of atherosclerotic events (HR, 0.64 [95% CI, 0.51-0.79]), incident heart failure (HR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.58-0.87]), and all-cause and cardiovascular death (HRs of 0.54 [95% CI, 0.46-0.63] and 0.47 [95% CI, 0.35-0.64], respectively). The findings were similar for analyses evaluating recommended level of physical activity. LIMITATIONS: Self-reported physical activity may result in some degree of misclassification. CONCLUSIONS: Higher self-reported physical activity was associated with lower risk of cardiovascular events and mortality in CKD patients, which may have important implications for clinical practice and the design of interventional studies. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: In this long-term study of 3,926 adults with chronic kidney disease, we found that individuals with higher levels of physical activity were less likely to experience an atherosclerotic event (for example, a heart attack, stroke, or peripheral arterial disease), new-onset heart failure, and death as compared with those with lower levels of physical activity. The findings were similar for the analyses evaluating adherence to guideline-recommended level of physical activity (that is, for more than 150 minutes per week), and they strengthen the evidence supporting the current guideline recommendations.

Plasma Kidney Injury Molecule 1 in CKD: Findings From the Boston Kidney Biopsy Cohort and CRIC Studies.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Plasma kidney injury molecule 1 (KIM-1) is a sensitive marker of proximal tubule injury, but its association with risks of adverse clinical outcomes across a spectrum of kidney diseases is unknown. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective, observational cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 524 individuals enrolled into the Boston Kidney Biopsy Cohort (BKBC) Study undergoing clinically indicated native kidney biopsy with biopsy specimens adjudicated for semiquantitative scores of histopathology by 2 kidney pathologists and 3,800 individuals with common forms of chronic kidney disease (CKD) enrolled into the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study. EXPOSURE: Histopathologic lesions and clinicopathologic diagnosis in cross-sectional analyses, baseline plasma KIM-1 levels in prospective analyses. OUTCOMES: Baseline plasma KIM-1 levels in cross-sectional analyses, kidney failure (defined as initiation of kidney replacement therapy) and death in prospective analyses. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Multivariable-adjusted linear regression models tested associations of plasma KIM-1 levels with histopathologic lesions and clinicopathologic diagnoses. Cox proportional hazards models tested associations of plasma KIM-1 levels with future kidney failure and death. RESULTS: In the BKBC Study, higher plasma KIM-1 levels were associated with more severe acute tubular injury, tubulointerstitial inflammation, and more severe mesangial expansion after multivariable adjustment. Participants with diabetic nephropathy, glomerulopathies, and tubulointerstitial disease had significantly higher plasma KIM-1 levels after multivariable adjustment. In the BKBC Study, CKD in 124 participants progressed to kidney failure and 85 participants died during a median follow-up time of 5 years. In the CRIC Study, CKD in 1,153 participants progressed to kidney failure and 1,356 participants died during a median follow-up time of 11.5 years. In both cohorts, each doubling of plasma KIM-1 level was associated with an increased risk of kidney failure after multivariable adjustment (hazard ratios of 1.19 [95% CI, 1.03-1.38] and 1.10 [95% CI, 1.06-1.15] for BKBC and CRIC, respectively). There was no statistically significant association of plasma KIM-1 levels with death in either cohort. LIMITATIONS: Generalizability and unmeasured confounding. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma KIM-1 is associated with underlying tubulointerstitial and mesangial lesions and progression to kidney failure in 2 cohort studies of individuals with kidney diseases.

Absence of long-term changes in urine biomarkers after AKI: findings from the CRIC study.

BACKGROUND: Mechanisms by which AKI leads to CKD progression remain unclear. Several urine biomarkers have been identified as independent predictors of progressive CKD. It is unknown whether AKI may result in long-term changes in these urine biomarkers, which may mediate the effect of AKI on CKD progression. METHODS: We selected 198 episodes of hospitalized AKI (defined as peak/nadir inpatient serum creatinine values ≥ 1.5) among adult participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study. We matched the best non-AKI hospitalization (unique patients) for each AKI hospitalization using pre-hospitalization characteristics including eGFR and urine protein/creatinine ratio. Biomarkers were measured in banked urine samples collected at annual CRIC study visits. RESULTS: Urine biomarker measurements occurred a median of 7 months before and 5 months after hospitalization. There were no significant differences in the change in urine biomarker-to-creatinine ratio between the AKI and non-AKI groups: KIM-1/Cr + 9% vs + 7%, MCP-1/Cr + 4% vs + 1%, YKL-40/Cr + 7% vs -20%, EGF/Cr -11% vs -8%, UMOD/Cr -2% vs -7% and albumin/Cr + 17% vs + 13% (all p > 0.05). CONCLUSION: In this cohort of adults with CKD, AKI did not associate with long-term changes in urine biomarkers.

Subtyping CKD Patients by Consensus Clustering: The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

BACKGROUND: CKD is a heterogeneous condition with multiple underlying causes, risk factors, and outcomes. Subtyping CKD with multidimensional patient data holds the key to precision medicine. Consensus clustering may reveal CKD subgroups with different risk profiles of adverse outcomes. METHODS: We used unsupervised consensus clustering on 72 baseline characteristics among 2696 participants in the prospective Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study to identify novel CKD subgroups that best represent the data pattern. Calculation of the standardized difference of each parameter used the cutoff of ±0.3 to show subgroup features. CKD subgroup associations were examined with the clinical end points of kidney failure, the composite outcome of cardiovascular diseases, and death. RESULTS: The algorithm revealed three unique CKD subgroups that best represented patients' baseline characteristics. Patients with relatively favorable levels of bone density and cardiac and kidney function markers, with lower prevalence of diabetes and obesity, and who used fewer medications formed cluster 1 (n=1203). Patients with higher prevalence of diabetes and obesity and who used more medications formed cluster 2 (n=1098). Patients with less favorable levels of bone mineral density, poor cardiac and kidney function markers, and inflammation delineated cluster 3 (n=395). These three subgroups, when linked with future clinical end points, were associated with different risks of CKD progression, cardiovascular disease, and death. Furthermore, patient heterogeneity among predefined subgroups with similar baseline kidney function emerged. CONCLUSIONS: Consensus clustering synthesized the patterns of baseline clinical and laboratory measures and revealed distinct CKD subgroups, which were associated with markedly different risks of important clinical outcomes. Further examination of patient subgroups and associated biomarkers may provide next steps toward precision medicine.

Sex Differences in Cardiovascular Outcomes in CKD: Findings From the CRIC Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Cardiovascular events are less common in women than men in general populations; however, studies in chronic kidney disease (CKD) are less conclusive. We evaluated sex-related differences in cardiovascular events and death in adults with CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 1,778 women and 2,161 men enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC). EXPOSURE: Sex (women vs men). OUTCOME: Atherosclerotic composite outcome (myocardial infarction, stroke, or peripheral artery disease), incident heart failure, cardiovascular death, and all-cause death. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 9.6 years, we observed 698 atherosclerotic events (women, 264; men, 434), 762 heart failure events (women, 331; men, 431), 435 cardiovascular deaths (women, 163; men, 274), and 1,158 deaths from any cause (women, 449; men, 709). In analyses adjusted for sociodemographic, clinical, and metabolic parameters, women had a lower risk of atherosclerotic events (HR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.57-0.88]), heart failure (HR, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.62-0.93]), cardiovascular death (HR, 0.55 [95% CI, 0.42-0.72]), and death from any cause (HR, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.49-0.69]) compared with men. These associations remained statistically significant after adjusting for cardiac and inflammation biomarkers. LIMITATIONS: Assessment of sex hormones, which may play a role in cardiovascular risk, was not included. CONCLUSIONS: In a large, diverse cohort of adults with CKD, compared with men, women had lower risks of cardiovascular events, cardiovascular mortality, and mortality from any cause. These differences were not explained by measured cardiovascular risk factors.

Adherence to Healthy Dietary Patterns and Risk of CKD Progression and All-Cause Mortality: Findings From the CRIC (Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort) Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Current dietary guidelines recommend that patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) restrict individual nutrients, such as sodium, potassium, phosphorus, and protein. This approach can be difficult for patients to implement and ignores important nutrient interactions. Dietary patterns are an alternative method to intervene on diet. Our objective was to define the associations of 4 healthy dietary patterns with risk for CKD progression and all-cause mortality among people with CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 2,403 participants aged 21 to 74 years with estimated glomerular filtration rates of 20 to 70mL/min/1.73m2 and dietary data in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study. EXPOSURES: Healthy Eating Index-2015, Alternative Healthy Eating Index-2010, alternate Mediterranean diet (aMed), and Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) diet scores were calculated from food frequency questionnaires. OUTCOMES: (1) CKD progression defined as≥50% estimated glomerular filtration rate decline, kidney transplantation, or dialysis and (2) all-cause mortality. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for demographic, lifestyle, and clinical covariates to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. RESULTS: There were 855 cases of CKD progression and 773 deaths during a maximum of 14 years. Compared with participants with the lowest adherence, the most highly adherent tertile of Alternative Healthy Eating Index-2010, aMed, and DASH had lower adjusted risk for CKD progression, with the strongest results for aMed (HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.62-0.90). Compared with participants with the lowest adherence, the highest adherence tertiles for all scores had lower adjusted risk for all-cause mortality for each index (24%-31% lower risk). LIMITATIONS: Self-reported dietary intake. CONCLUSIONS: Greater adherence to several healthy dietary patterns is associated with lower risk for CKD progression and all-cause mortality among people with CKD. Guidance to adopt healthy dietary patterns can be considered as a strategy for managing CKD.

Plasma Metabolomic Signatures of Healthy Dietary Patterns in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

BACKGROUND: In individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD), healthy dietary patterns are inversely associated with CKD progression. Metabolomics, an approach that measures many small molecules in biofluids, can identify biomarkers of healthy dietary patterns. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to identify known metabolites associated with greater adherence to 4 healthy dietary patterns in CKD patients. METHODS: We examined associations between 486 known plasma metabolites and Healthy Eating Index (HEI)-2015, Alternative Healthy Eating Index (AHEI)-2010, the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) diet, and alternate Mediterranean diet (aMED) in 1056 participants (aged 21-74 y at baseline) in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study. Usual dietary intake was assessed using a semiquantitative FFQ. We conducted multivariable linear regression models to study associations between healthy dietary patterns and individual plasma metabolites, adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics, health behaviors, and clinical factors. We used principal component analysis to identify groups of metabolites associated with individual food components within healthy dietary patterns. RESULTS: After Bonferroni correction, we identified 266 statistically significant diet-metabolite associations (HEI: n = 60; AHEI: n = 78; DASH: n = 77; aMED: n = 51); 78 metabolites were associated with >1 dietary pattern. Lipids with a longer acyl chain length and double bonds (unsaturated) were positively associated with all 4 dietary patterns. A metabolite pattern low in saturated diacylglycerols and triacylglycerols, and a pattern high in unsaturated triacylglycerols was positively associated with intake of healthy food components. Plasmalogens were negatively associated with the consumption of nuts and legumes and healthy fat, and positively associated with the intake of red and processed meat. CONCLUSIONS: We identified many metabolites associated with healthy dietary patterns, indicative of food consumption. If replicated, these metabolites may be considered biomarkers of healthy dietary patterns in patients with CKD.

Longitudinal Changes in Prorenin and Renin in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort.

INTRODUCTION: Prorenin, a precursor of renin, and renin play an important role in regulation of the renin-angiotensin system. More recently, receptor-bound prorenin has been shown to activate intracellular signaling pathways that mediate fibrosis, independent of angiotensin II. Prorenin and renin may thus be of physiologic significance in CKD, but their plasma concentrations have not been well characterized in CKD. METHODS: We evaluated distribution and longitudinal changes of prorenin and renin concentrations in the plasma samples collected at follow-up years 1, 2, 3, and 5 of the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study, an ongoing longitudinal observational study of 3,939 adults with CKD. Descriptive statistics and multivariable regression of log-transformed values were used to describe cross-sectional and longitudinal variation and associations with participant characteristics. RESULTS: A total of 3,361 CRIC participants had plasma available for analysis at year 1. The mean age (±standard deviation, SD) was 59 ± 11 years, and the mean estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, ± SD) was 43 ± 17 mL/min per 1.73 m2. Median (interquartile range) values of plasma prorenin and renin at study entry were 4.4 (2.1, 8.8) ng/mL and 2.0 (0.8, 5.9) ng/dL, respectively. Prorenin and renin were positively correlated (Spearman correlation 0.51, p < 0.001) with each other. Women and non-Hispanic blacks had lower prorenin and renin values at year 1. Diabetes, lower eGFR, and use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, statins, and diuretics were associated with higher levels. Prorenin and renin decreased by a mean of 2 and 5% per year, respectively. Non-Hispanic black race and eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2 at year 1 predicted a steeper decrease in prorenin and renin over time. In addition, each increase in urinary sodium excretion by 2 SDs at year 1 increased prorenin and renin levels by 4 and 5% per year, respectively. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSIONS: The cross-sectional clinical factors associated with prorenin and renin values were similar. Overall, both plasma prorenin and renin concentrations decreased over the years, particularly in those with severe CKD at study entry.

Change in ankle-brachial index and mortality among individuals with chronic kidney disease: findings from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) have an increased risk of peripheral arterial disease (PAD). The ankle-brachial index (ABI), a noninvasive measure of PAD, is a predictor of adverse events among individuals with CKD. In general populations, changes in ABI have been associated with mortality, but this association is not well understood among patients with CKD. METHODS: We conducted a prospective study of 2920 participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study without lower extremity revascularization or amputation at baseline and with at least one follow-up ABI measurement (taken at annual visits) during the first 4 years of follow-up. The ABI was obtained by the standard protocol. RESULTS: In Cox proportional hazard regression analyses, we found a U-shaped association of average annual change in ABI with all-cause mortality. After adjusting for baseline ABI and other covariates, compared with participants with an average annual change in ABI of 0-<0.02, individuals with an average annual change in ABI <-0.04 or ≥0.04 had multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.81 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.34-2.44) and 1.42 (95% CI 1.12-1.82) for all-cause mortality, respectively. Compared with the cumulative average ABI of 1.0-<1.4, multivariable-adjusted HRs for those with a cumulative average ABI of <0.9, 0.9-<1.0 and ≥1.4 were 1.93 (95% CI 1.42-2.61), 1.20 (0.90-1.62) and 1.31 (0.94-1.82), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This study indicates both larger decreases and increases in average annual changes in ABI (>0.04/year) were associated with higher mortality risk. Monitoring changes in ABI over time may facilitate risk stratification for mortality among individuals with CKD.

Association of elevated serum aminotransferase levels with chronic kidney disease measures: hispanic community health study/study of latinos.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown an association between non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and chronic kidney disease (CKD), but it is unclear whether the association is independent of metabolic syndrome. METHODS: Data from 13,006 participants aged 18 to 74 years in the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL) without viral hepatitis, excessive alcohol consumption, or high transferrin saturation levels were analyzed. Suspected NAFLD was defined as presence of sex-specific elevations in serum aminotransferase levels (aspartate aminotransferase (AST) > 37 U/L or alanine aminotransferase (ALT) > 40 U/L for men and AST or ALT > 31 U/L for women). Logistic regression was used to examine cross-sectional associations of elevated serum aminotransferase levels with low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 based on cystatin C), and with high urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) (> 17 mg/g in men and > 25 mg/ g in women) in separate models adjusting for demographic characteristics and metabolic syndrome. RESULTS: Mean (SD) age was 41 (0.27) years, and 45 % were male. Elevated serum aminotransferase levels were noted in 18.8 % of the population and were associated with greater odds of high UACR (OR = 1.31; 95 % CI = 1.10, 1.56) after adjusting for demographic characteristics; this association became non-significant after adjustment for metabolic syndrome (OR = 1.11, 95 % CI = 0.92, 1.33). In contrast, elevated serum aminotransferase levels were not associated with low eGFR (odds ratio (OR) = 0.73; 95 % confidence interval (CI) = 0.45, 1.18) after adjusting for covariates. CONCLUSIONS: In this sample of diverse U.S. Hispanic Latino adults, elevated serum aminotransferase levels were not independently associated with measures of CKD.

Incident Chronic Kidney Disease Risk among Hispanics/Latinos in the United States: The Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL).

BACKGROUND: Although Hispanics/Latinos in the United States are often considered a single ethnic group, they represent a heterogenous mixture of ancestries who can self-identify as any race defined by the U.S. Census. They have higher ESKD incidence compared with non-Hispanics, but little is known about the CKD incidence in this population. METHODS: We examined rates and risk factors of new-onset CKD using data from 8774 adults in the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos. Incident CKD was defined as eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 with eGFR decline ≥1 ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year, or urine albumin/creatinine ratio ≥30 mg/g. Rates and incidence rate ratios were estimated using Poisson regression with robust variance while accounting for the study's complex design. RESULTS: Mean age was 40.3 years at baseline and 51.6% were women. In 5.9 years of follow-up, 648 participants developed CKD (10.6 per 1000 person-years). The age- and sex-adjusted incidence rates ranged from 6.6 (other Hispanic/mixed background) to 15.0 (Puerto Ricans) per 1000 person-years. Compared with Mexican background, Puerto Rican background was associated with 79% increased risk for incident CKD (incidence rate ratios, 1.79; 95% confidence interval, 1.33 to 2.40), which was accounted for by differences in sociodemographics, acculturation, and clinical characteristics. In multivariable regression analysis, predictors of incident CKD included BP >140/90 mm Hg, higher glycated hemoglobin, lower baseline eGFR, and higher baseline urine albumin/creatinine ratio. CONCLUSIONS: CKD incidence varies by Hispanic/Latino heritage and this disparity may be in part attributed to differences in sociodemographic characteristics. Culturally tailored public heath interventions focusing on the prevention and control of risk factors might ameliorate the CKD burden in this population.

Slope of Kidney Function and Its Association with Longitudinal Mortality and Cardiovascular Disease among Individuals with CKD.

BACKGROUND: Slopes of eGFR have been associated with increased risks of death and cardiovascular events in a U-shaped fashion. Poor outcomes in individuals with rising eGFR are potentially attributable to sarcopenia, hemodilution, and other indicators of clinical deterioration. METHODS: To investigate the association between eGFR slopes and risks of death or cardiovascular events, accounting for multiple confounders, we studied 2738 individuals with moderate to severe CKD participating in the multicenter Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study. We used linear, mixed-effects models to estimate slopes with up to four annual eGFR assessments, and Cox proportional hazards models to investigate the association between slopes and the risks of death and cardiovascular events. RESULTS: Slopes of eGFR had a bell-shaped distribution (mean [SD], -1.5 [-2] ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year). Declines of eGFR that were steeper than the average decline associated with progressively increasing risks of death (hazard ratio [HR], 1.23; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.09 to 1.39; for a slope 1 SD below the average) and cardiovascular events (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.03 to 1.38). Rises of eGFR or declines lower than the average decline were not associated with the risk of death or cardiovascular events. CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of individuals with moderate to severe CKD, we observed steep declines of eGFR were associated with progressively increasing risks of death and cardiovascular events; however, we found no increased risks associated with eGFR improvement. These findings support the potential value of eGFR slopes in clinical assessment of adults with CKD.