Austerity Policies and Mortality in Spain After the Financial Crisis of 2008.

OBJECTIVES: To analyze mortality in Spain and the United States before and after these countries implemented divergent policies in response to the financial crisis of 2008. METHODS: We examined mortality statistics in both countries in the years 2000 to 2015. Spain started austerity policies in 2010. We compared differences in mortality ratios, on the basis of trends and effect size analysis. RESULTS: During 2000 to 2010, overall mortality rates (r = 0.98; P < .001; Cohen's d = -0.228) decreased in both countries. In 2011, this trend changed abruptly in Spain, where observed mortality surpassed expected mortality by 29% in 2011 and by 41% in 2015. By contrast, observed mortality surpassed expected mortality in the United States by only 8% in 2015. As the mortality statistics diverged, the effect size greatly increased (d = 7.531). During this 5-year period, there were 505 559 more deaths in Spain than the expected number, while in the United States the difference was 431 501 more deaths despite the 7-fold larger population in the United States compared with Spain. CONCLUSIONS: The marked excess mortality in 2011 to 2015 in Spain is attributable to austerity policies.

Resistin as a risk factor for all-cause (and cardiovascular) death in the general population.

Serum resistin is a pro-inflammatory cytokine that has been described as a risk factor associated with mortality in several clinical sets including type 2 diabetes. Mortality studies in the general population are needed to find out the risk of death associated to this cytokine. In a follow-up study of a cohort of adult population (n = 6636) in Spain over a period of fifteen years (447 deaths/102,255 person-years), serum resistin measurements and death records were obtained. The risks of all-cause deaths, and deaths from cardiovascular and oncological diseases were estimated. Hazard ratios (HR) and its confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using multivariable Cox models, adjusting the effect of 11 traditional risk factors. The risk of all-cause mortality among participants exposed to the highest quintile of resistin was always higher than among those in the lowest quintile (HR varied between 1.55 when smoking was the adjusted factor [95% CI 1.17-2.05], and 1.68 when the adjusted factor was physical activity [95% CI 1.27-2.21]). The maximally adjusted model, accounting for the effect of all traditional factors, corroborated this higher risk of all-cause mortality among people in the highest resistin quintile (HR = 1.52; 95% CI 1.13-2.05). The effect of resistin was even higher for cardiovascular deaths (HR = 2.14; 95% CI 1.13-4.06), being exceeded only by suffering diabetes (HR = 3.04; 95% CI 1.98-4.69) or previous acute coronary syndrome (HR = 3.67; 95% CI 2.18-6.18). This findings corroborate the role of resistin as a risk factor for all-cause (and cardiovascular) death in the general population.

Strategies to improve the efficiency of celiac disease diagnosis in the laboratory.

The demand for testing to detect celiac disease (CD) autoantibodies has increased, together with the cost per case diagnosed, resulting in the adoption of measures to restrict laboratory testing. We designed this study to determine whether opportunistic screening to detect CD-associated autoantibodies had advantages compared to efforts to restrict testing, and to identify the most cost-effective diagnostic strategy. We compared a group of 1678 patients in which autoantibody testing was restricted to cases in which the test referral was considered appropriate (G1) to a group of 2140 patients in which test referrals were not reviewed or restricted (G2). Two algorithms A (quantifying IgA and Tissue transglutaminase IgA [TG-IgA] in all patients), and B (quantifying only TG-IgA in all patients) were used in each group, and the cost-effectiveness of each strategy was calculated. TG-IgA autoantibodies were positive in 62 G1 patients and 69 G2 patients. Among those positive for tissue transglutaminase IgA and endomysial IgA autoantibodies, the proportion of patients with de novo autoantibodies was lower (p=0.028) in G1 (11/62) than in G2 (24/69). Algorithm B required fewer determinations than algorithm A in both G1 (2310 vs 3493; p<0.001) and G2 (2196 vs 4435; p<0.001). With algorithm B the proportion of patients in whom IgA was tested was lower (p<0.001) in G2 (29/2140) than in G1 (617/1678). The lowest cost per case diagnosed (4.63 euros/patient) was found with algorithm B in G2. We conclude that opportunistic screening has advantages compared to efforts in the laboratory to restrict CD diagnostic testing. The most cost-effective strategy was based on the use of an appropriate algorithm.