Fast track triage for COVID-19 based on a population study: The soda score.

BACKGROUND: Healthcare systems are under prominent stress due to the COVID-19 pandemic. A fast and simple triage is mandatory to screen patients who will benefit from early hospitalization, from those that can be managed as outpatients. There is a lack of all-comers scores, and no score has been proposed for western-world population. AIMS: To develop a fast-track risk score valid for every COVID-19 patient at diagnosis. METHODS: Single-center, retrospective study based on all the inhabitants of a healthcare area. Logistic regression was used to identify simple and wide-available risk factors for adverse events (death, intensive care admission, invasive mechanical ventilation, bleeding > BARC3, acute renal injury, respiratory insufficiency, myocardial infarction, acute heart failure, pulmonary emboli, or stroke). RESULTS: Of the total healthcare area population, 447.979 inhabitants, 965 patients (0.22%), were diagnosed with COVID-19. A total of 124 patients (12.85%) experienced adverse events. The novel SODA score (based on sex, peripheral O2 saturation, presence of diabetes, and age) demonstrated good accuracy for adverse events prediction (area under ROC curve 0.858, CI: 0.82-0.98). A cut-off value of ≤2 points identifies patients with low risk (positive predictive value [PPV] for absence of events: 98.9%) and a cut-off of ≥5 points, high-risk patients (PPV 58.8% for adverse events). CONCLUSIONS: This quick and easy score allows fast-track triage at the moment of diagnosis for COVID-19 using four simple variables: age, sex, SpO2, and diabetes. SODA score could improve preventive measures taken at diagnosis in high-risk patients and also relieve resources by identifying very low-risk patients.

Secreted Phospholipase A2-IIA Modulates Transdifferentiation of Cardiac Fibroblast through EGFR Transactivation: An Inflammation-Fibrosis Link.

Secreted phospholipase A2-IIA (sPLA2-IIA) is a pro-inflammatory protein associated with cardiovascular disorders, whose functions and underlying mechanisms in cardiac remodelling are still under investigation. We herein study the role of sPLA2-IIA in cardiac fibroblast (CFs)-to-myofibroblast differentiation and fibrosis, two major features involved in cardiac remodelling, and also explore potential mechanisms involved. In a mice model of dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) after autoimmune myocarditis, serum and cardiac sPLA2-IIA protein expression were found to be increased, together with elevated cardiac levels of the cross-linking enzyme lysyl oxidase (LOX) and reactive oxygen species (ROS) accumulation. Exogenous sPLA2-IIA treatment induced proliferation and differentiation of adult rat CFs. Molecular studies demonstrated that sPLA2-IIA promoted Src phosphorylation, shedding of the membrane-anchored heparin-binding EGF-like growth factor (HB-EGF) ectodomain and EGFR phosphorylation, which triggered phosphorylation of ERK, P70S6K and rS6. This was also accompanied by an up-regulated expression of the bone morphogenic protein (BMP)-1, LOX and collagen I. ROS accumulation were also found to be increased in sPLA2-IIA-treated CFs. The presence of inhibitors of the Src/ADAMs-dependent HB-EGF shedding/EGFR pathway abolished the CF phenotype induced by sPLA2-IIA. In conclusion, sPLA2-IIA may promote myofibroblast differentiation through its ability to modulate EGFR transactivation and signalling as key mechanisms that underlie its biological and pro-fibrotic effects.

Institutional experience and outcomes of transcatheter aortic valve replacement: Results from an international multicentre registry.

BACKGROUND: Despite rapidly increasing use of TAVR across institutions, limited data is available for the effect of procedural experience on TAVR outcomes. We investigate the relationship between institutional experience and TAVR outcomes. METHODS: 1953 patients undergoing TAVR at 8 international sites were grouped into chronological quantiles (Q) to assess temporal changes on procedural and clinical outcomes and multivariate logistic regression performed to determine predictors of device success, early safety and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: The mean age of patients was 81±7years and 991 (51%) were female. The quantiles comprised of first 62 cases for Q1, 63-133 for Q2, 134 to 242 for Q3 and 243 to 476 for Q4. Device success increased from Q1 to Q4 (78% vs 89%, p<0.001) with significant improvement in the early safety endpoint (19% vs 10%, p<0.001). All cause mortality reduced by half in Q4 compared to Q1 (8% vs 4%, p=0.01) and rates of major vascular complications, major bleeding and valve embolization decreased with increasing experience. The multivariate analysis identified TAVR in Q3 and Q4 to be independently associated with higher device success and lower risk of complications. TAVR in Q4 was independently associated with lower mortality (OR 0.36 95% CI 0.19-0.70, p=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Greater institutional experience with TAVR procedures improves device success and clinical outcomes. An experience of >242 cases is independently associated with lower mortality. These findings have important implications for defining minimum volume criteria for institutions and training standards for TAVR procedure.