The Natural History of Asymptomatic Gallstones: A Longitudinal Study and Prediction Model.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Despite the high prevalence of asymptomatic gallstones (AGs), there are limited data on their natural history. We aimed to determine the rate of symptom development in a contemporary population, determine factors associated with progression to symptomatic gallstones (SGs), and develop a clinical prediction model. METHODS: We used a retrospective cohort design. The time to first SG was shown using Kaplan-Meier curves. Multivariable competing risk (death) regression analysis was used to identify variables associated with SGs. A prediction model for the development of SGs after 10 years was generated and calibration curves were plotted. Participants were patients with AGs based on ultrasound or computed tomography from the general medical population. RESULTS: From 1996 to 2016, 22,257 patients (51% female) with AGs were identified; 14.5% developed SG with a median follow-up period of 4.6 years. The cumulative incidence was 10.1% (±0.22%) at 5 years, 21.5% (±0.39%) at 10 years, and 32.6% (±0.83%) at 15 years. In a multivariable model, the strongest predictors of developing SGs were female gender (hazard ratio [HR], 1.50; 95% CI, 1.39-1.61), younger age (HR per 5 years, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.14-1.16), multiple stones (HR, 2.42; 95% CI, 2.25-2.61), gallbladder polyps (HR, 2.55; 95% CI, 2.14-3.05), large stones (HR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.80-2.29), and chronic hemolytic anemia (HR, 1.90; 95% CI, 1.33-2.72). The model showed good discrimination (C-statistic, 0.70) and calibration. CONCLUSIONS: In general medical patients with AGs, symptoms developed at approximately 2% per year. A predictive model with good calibration could be used to inform patients of their risk of SGs.

Application of optical character recognition with natural language processing for large-scale quality metric data extraction in colonoscopy reports.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Colonoscopy is commonly performed for colorectal cancer screening in the United States. Reports are often generated in a non-standardized format and are not always integrated into electronic health records. Thus, this information is not readily available for streamlining quality management, participating in endoscopy registries, or reporting of patient- and center-specific risk factors predictive of outcomes. We aim to demonstrate the use of a new hybrid approach using natural language processing of charts that have been elucidated with optical character recognition processing (OCR/NLP hybrid) to obtain relevant clinical information from scanned colonoscopy and pathology reports, a technology co-developed by Cleveland Clinic and eHealth Technologies (West Henrietta, NY, USA). METHODS: This was a retrospective study conducted at Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, and the University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota. A randomly sampled list of outpatient screening colonoscopy procedures and pathology reports was selected. Desired variables were then collected. Two researchers first manually reviewed the reports for the desired variables. Then, the OCR/NLP algorithm was used to obtain the same variables from 3 electronic health records in use at our institution: Epic (Verona, Wisc, USA), ProVation (Minneapolis, Minn, USA) used for endoscopy reporting, and Sunquest PowerPath (Tucson, Ariz, USA) used for pathology reporting. RESULTS: Compared with manual data extraction, the accuracy of the hybrid OCR/NLP approach to detect polyps was 95.8%, adenomas 98.5%, sessile serrated polyps 99.3%, advanced adenomas 98%, inadequate bowel preparation 98.4%, and failed cecal intubation 99%. Comparison of the dataset collected via NLP alone with that collected using the hybrid OCR/NLP approach showed that the accuracy for almost all variables was >99%. CONCLUSIONS: Our study is the first to validate the use of a unique hybrid OCR/NLP technology to extract desired variables from scanned procedure and pathology reports contained in image format with an accuracy >95%.

Comparative Effectiveness of Commercial Bowel Preparations in Ambulatory Patients Presenting for Screening or Surveillance Colonoscopy.

BACKGROUND: Inadequate bowel preparation (IBP) is associated with reduced adenoma detection. However, limited research has examined the impact of different commercial bowel preparations (CBPs) on IBP and adenoma detection. We aim to determine whether type of CBP used is associated with IBP or adenoma detection. METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated outpatient, screening or surveillance colonoscopies performed in the Cleveland Clinic health system between January 2011 and June 2017. IBP was defined by the Aronchick scale. Multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression was performed to assess the association between CBP type and IBP and adenoma detection. Fixed effects were defined as demographics, comorbidities, medication use, and colonoscopy factors. Random effect of individual endoscopist was considered. RESULTS: Of 153,639 colonoscopies, 75,874 records met inclusion criteria. Median age was 54; 50% were female; 17.7% had IBP, and adenoma detection rate was 32.6%. In adjusted analyses, compared to GoLYTELY, only NuLYTELY [OR 0.66 (95% CI 0.60, 0.72)] and SuPREP [OR 0.53 (95% CI 0.40, 0.69)] were associated with reduced IBP. Adenoma detection did not vary based on the type of bowel preparation used. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients referred for screening or surveillance colonoscopy, choice of CBP was not associated with adenoma detection. Decisions about CBP should be based on other factors, such as tolerability, cost, or safety.

Trends and risk factors for 30-day readmissions in patients with acute cholangitis: analysis from the national readmission database.

INTRODUCTION: Acute cholangitis (AC) can be associated with significant mortality and high risk of readmissions, if not managed promptly. We used national readmission database (NRD) to identify trends and risk factors associated with 30-day readmissions in patients with AC. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients admitted with AC from 2010-2014 and Q1-Q3 of 2015 by extracting data from NRD. Initial admission with a primary diagnosis of acute cholangitis (ICD-9 code: 576.1) was considered as the index admission and any admission after index admission was considered a readmission regardless of the primary diagnosis. Multivariable regression analyses were performed to assess the association. RESULTS: From 52,906 AC index admissions, overall 30-day readmission rate was 21.48% without significant differences in the readmission rates across the study period. There was significant increase in the overall hospital charges for readmissions, while a significant reduction in the death rate was observed during the first readmission. Recurrent cholangitis (14%), septicemia (6.4%), and mechanical complication of bile duct prosthesis (3%) were the most common reasons for readmissions. The risk of readmission was significantly higher in patients with pancreatic neoplasm (OR 1.6, 95% CI 1.4-1.8), those who underwent percutaneous biliary procedures (OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.2-1.6), and who had an acute respiratory failure (OR 1.2, 95% CI 1.0-1.15). Other factors contributing to increased risk of readmissions included patients with Charleston comorbidity index > 3, diabetes, and length of stay > 3 days. Readmission risk was significantly lower in patients who underwent ERCP (OR 0.80, 95% CI 0.73-0.88) or cholecystectomy (OR 0.54, 95% CI 0.43-0.69). CONCLUSIONS: AC is associated with a high 30-day readmission rate of over 21%. Patients with malignant biliary obstruction, increased comorbidities, and those who undergo percutaneous drainage rather than ERCP seem to be at the highest risk.

Venous Thromboembolism in Sickle Cell Disease is Associated with Neutrophilia.

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) in individuals with sickle cell disease is common and portends a poor prognosis. The role of leukocyte count and its subsets on risk of VTE in sickle cell disease are not known. We conducted a retrospective case-control study and analyzed for leukocyte count at the time of VTE and 3 months prior. Leukocyte and neutrophil counts were elevated at the time of VTE (p = 0.003 and p = 0.0006, respectively) and 3 months prior (p = 0.001 and p = 0.0096, respectively) when compared to controls. Baseline leukocytosis and neutrophilia may be associated with subsequent risk for thrombosis in sickle cell disease.

Surveillance for pathology associated with cancer on endoscopy (SPACE): criteria to identify high-risk gastric polyps in familial adenomatous polyposis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Gastric cancer is an extracolonic manifestation of familial adenomatous polyposis (FAP) and is associated with high-risk gastric polyps. There are no known endoscopic criteria to identify these high-risk polyps. Our aim was to develop endoscopic criteria to identify high-risk polyps on endoscopy in FAP. METHODS: We prospectively collected 150 gastric polyps in consecutive patients undergoing surveillance EGD at the Cleveland Clinic. Pictures were taken of each polyp under narrow-band imaging and high-definition white light. In an exploratory phase, 5 endoscopists developed consensus criteria using the images to distinguish high-risk (pyloric gland adenoma, tubular adenoma, hyperplastic) from low-risk (fundic gland with low-grade or no dysplasia) polyps. In the assessment phase, endoscopists were blinded to polyp pathology and used the criteria to predict the individual polyp risk category. To measure diagnostic accuracy, we reported the mean sensitivity, specificity, and interrater agreement (κ). RESULTS: Consensus criteria were developed based on 16 low-risk and 9 high-risk polyps. The final 149 polyps consisted of 128 low-risk and 22 high-risk polyps (1 polyp was excluded from analysis). Using the criteria, the 5 endoscopists distinguished high- from low-risk polyps with a mean sensitivity and specificity of 79% (16.3%) and 78.8% (10.8%), respectively. The κ coefficient was .45, indicating moderate agreement. CONCLUSIONS: We developed endoscopic criteria to distinguish between high- and low-risk polyps associated with gastric cancer in FAP. The criteria provide guidance to endoscopists in targeting high-risk polyps while surveying the stomach of patients with proximal gastric polyposis.

Colonic Decompression Reduces Proximal Acute Colonic Pseudo-obstruction and Related Symptoms.

BACKGROUND: Colonoscopic decompression is performed in inpatients for management of acute colonic pseudo-obstruction. Evidence for its efficacy is limited to small descriptive studies published before the use of neostigmine for acute colonic pseudo-obstruction. Furthermore, therapeutic end points were not defined. OBJECTIVE: The aim was to compare the effectiveness of colonic decompression with standard medical therapy (supportive and pharmacologic therapy) to standard medical therapy alone. DESIGN: This is a retrospective, propensity-matched study. SETTING: The study was conducted at a tertiary care center. PATIENTS: Inpatients with first diagnosis of acute colonic pseudo-obstruction between 2000 and 2016 were selected. INTERVENTIONS: The intervention group received colonic decompression as well as supportive and/or pharmacologic therapy. The control group did not receive colonic decompression. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was the resolution of overall colonic dilation on imaging 48 hours following colonic decompression or the initiation of standard medical therapy alone. Secondary outcomes included symptom improvement, colonic segment diameter percentage change, perforation, 30-day readmission, and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: The standard medical therapy and colonic decompression groups included 61 and 83 patients. Of the patients who underwent colonic decompression, 47.7% had complete resolution of acute colonic pseudo-obstruction versus 19.9% of patients who underwent standard medical therapy (p < 0.001). There were no significant differences in mid or distal colon diameter reduction between groups. The 30-day readmission rate was 15.7% in the colonic decompression group versus 26.2% in the standard medical therapy group. No immediate adverse events were noted in either group. Thirty-day all-cause mortality was 8.4% for the colonic decompression group and 14.8% in the standard medical therapy group. LIMITATIONS: The study was a retrospective review on a highly comorbid population. CONCLUSIONS: Colonic decompression is effective compared to standard medical therapy alone for proximal colonic dilation or symptoms associated with acute colonic pseudo-obstruction. On segmental analysis, colonic decompression does not provide any additional benefit over standard medical therapy in improving transverse or distal colonic dilation. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B32. LA DESCOMPRESIÓN COLÓNICA REDUCE LA PSEUDOOBSTRUCCIÓN COLÓNICA AGUDA PROXIMAL Y LOS SÍNTOMAS RELACIONADOS.: La descompresión colonica se realiza en pacientes hospitalizados para el tratamiento de la pseudoobstrucción colónica aguda. La evidencia de su eficacia se limita a pequeños estudios descriptivos antes del uso de neostigmina para la pseudoobstrucción colónica aguda. Además, los puntos finales terapéuticos no se definieron.El objetivo fue comparar la efectividad de la descompresión colónica mas el tratamiento médico estándar (tratamiento de apoyo y farmacológico) contra el tratamiento médico estándar solamente.Este es un estudio retrospectivo de propensión coincidente.El estudio se realizó en un centro de atención de tercer nivel.Pacientes hospitalizados con diagnóstico de pseudoobstrucción colónica aguda entre 2000 y 2016.El grupo de intervención recibió descompresión colónica, así como tratamiento de apoyo o farmacológica. El grupo control no recibió descompresión colónica.La medida de resultado primaria fue la resolución de la dilatación colónica general en la imagen 48 horas después de la descompresión colónica o el inicio del tratamiento médico estándar solo. Los resultados secundarios incluyeron mejoría de los síntomas, cambio porcentual en el diámetro del segmento colónico, perforación, reingreso a los 30 días y mortalidad por cualquier causa.La terapia médica estándar y los grupos de descompresión colónica incluyeron 61 y 83 pacientes, respectivamente. El 47,7% de los pacientes con descompresión colónica tuvieron una resolución completa de la pseudoobstrucción colónica aguda frente al 19,9% de los pacientes con terapia médica estándar (p < 0,001). No hubo diferencias significativas en la reducción del diámetro del colon medio o distal entre los grupos. La tasa de reingreso a los 30 días fue del 15,7% en el grupo de descompresión colónica frente al 26,2% en el grupo de tratamiento médico estándar. No se observaron eventos adversos inmediatos en ninguno de los dos grupos. La mortalidad por cualquier causa a los 30 días fue del 8.4% para la descompresión del colon y del 14.8% en los grupos de terapia médica estándar.El estudio fue una revisión retrospectiva en una población altamente comórbida.La descompresión colónica es efectiva en comparación con el tratamiento médico estándar solo para la dilatación del colon proximal o los síntomas asociados con la pseudoobstrucción colónica aguda. En el análisis segmentario, la descompresión colónica no proporciona ningún beneficio adicional sobre el tratamiento médica estándar para mejorar la dilatación colónica transversal o distal. Vea el resumen del video en http://links.lww.com/DCR/B32.

Assessment of Gastric Emptying Times Between Pediatrics and Adults With Cyclic Vomiting Syndrome.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Cyclic vomiting syndrome (CVS) is characterized by episodes of nausea and vomiting separated by symptom-free intervals. Rome IV guidelines have now distinguished CVS from other disorders such as cannabinoid hyperemesis. The pathogenesis of CVS, however, is poorly understood. Limited data exist on gastric emptying (GE) in patients with CVS. Therefore, the authors aim to measure the GE profile in pediatrics and adults with CVS. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with the diagnosis of CVS (per NASPGHAN and Rome IV) between December 1998 and March 2017 who underwent gastric emptying study (GES) and without documented cannabis use were included. Clinical features including demographics, medication use, and comorbidities were also recorded. Frequency of rapid, normal, and delayed emptying was reported, and multinomial univariate logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with each type of emptying. KEY RESULTS: Sixty-seven subjects were included (50.7% female individuals, pediatrics n=15, adults n=52). At 2-hour retention, 40% of pediatric patients met criteria for rapid, 33.3% for normal, and 26.7% for delayed GE. In adults, 50% met criteria for rapid, 46.2% for normal, and 3.8% for delayed GE. For every 5-year increase in age, odds of rapid emptying on GES increased. CONCLUSIONS: (1) GE is predominantly rapid at 2 hours in pediatrics and adults with CVS. (2) Rapid GE seems to increase with age. (3) Current guidelines do not recommend GE in the initial management, however, further studies may play a role to help differentiate CVS from other functional gastric disorders.

Clostridium difficile Infection in the Emergency Department.

INTRODUCTION: Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is associated with substantial emergency department (ED) and inpatient burden. To date, few studies have evaluated the ED burden of CDI. Using the Nationwide Emergency Department Sample, we evaluated trends in ED use, ED and inpatient charges, admission and mortality rates, length of stay, and independent risk factors for hospital admission and mortality after an ED visit. METHODS: Using Nationwide Emergency Department Sample for 2006 through 2014, we identified all patients with the primary diagnosis of CDI (using diagnostic codes). We determined the trends in ED visits and used survey logistic regression analysis to identify factors associated with hospital admission. RESULTS: Overall, 909,236 ED visits for CDI resulted in 817,935 admissions (90%) to the hospital. The number of visits increased from 76,709 in 2006 to 106,869 in 2014, and the admission rate decreased from 92.4% to 84.4%. ED charges adjusted for inflation went up from US$1433.0 to 2900, a significant rise even accounting for inflation. The overall length of hospital stay decreased from 7 to 5.8 days. Independent predictors of admission after ED visits included smoking, use of alcohol, and presence of multiple comorbidities. Independent risk factors for mortality in admitted patients include increasing age and presence of comorbidities. CONCLUSIONS: Although ED use for CDI increased, rates of hospital admission decreased over 9 years. Identification of predictors of admission and in-hospital mortality will help guide policies and interventions to reduce the burden on health care resources.

Manometric Esophageal Length to Height (MELH) Ratio Predicts Hiatal Hernia Recurrence.

INTRODUCTION: The shortened esophagus is poorly defined and is determined intraoperatively, as there exists no objective test to identify a shortened esophagus before surgical hiatal hernia repair. We devised a unique manometric esophageal length to height (MELH) ratio to define the presence of a shortened esophagus and examined the role of esophageal length in hiatal hernia recurrence. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective review identified 254 patients with hiatal hernia who underwent preoperative esophageal manometry and either an open hernia repair with Collis gastroplasty and fundoplication (with Collis) or laparoscopic repair and fundoplication without Collis gastroplasty (without Collis) from 2005-2016. The MELH ratio was calculated by measuring the upper to lower esophageal sphincter distance divided by the patient's height. RESULTS: Of 245 patients, 157 underwent repair with Collis, while 97 underwent repair without Collis. The Collis group had a shorter manometric esophageal length (20.2 vs. 22.4 cm, P<0.001) and lower MELH (0.12 vs. 0.13, P<0.001). The Collis group had fewer hernia recurrences (18% vs. 55%, log-rank P<0.001) and fewer reoperations for recurrence (0% vs. 10%, log-rank P<0.001) at 5 years. A 33% decrease in risk of hernia recurrence was seen for every 0.01 U increment in MELH ratio (hazard ratio: 0.67; 95% confidence interval: 0.55-0.83, P<0.001) while repair without Collis (hazard ratio: 6.1; 95% confidence interval: 3.2-11.7, P<0.001) was associated with increased risk of hernia recurrence. CONCLUSION: MELH ratio is an objective predictor of a shortened esophagus preoperatively. Lower MELH is associated with increased risk of recurrence and the risk associated with shortened esophagus can be mitigated with an esophageal lengthening procedure such as Collis gastroplasty.

National trends in healthcare outcomes and utilization of endoscopic and surgical interventions in patients hospitalized with esophageal foreign body and food impaction.

The incidence and number of emergency room visits for esophageal foreign body and food impaction (EFB) are on the rise. However, its impact on the rate of inpatient admissions, utilization of endoscopic and surgical interventions, and healthcare outcomes is poorly understood. We conducted a study to analyze these outcomes using the national inpatient sample (NIS) database. Data on all adult patients (≥18 years) admitted with EFB was extracted from the NIS database from 1998 to 2013. The temporal trends in discharge rates as well as in length of stay (LOS), hospital charges, and in-hospital mortality rates were assessed by linear and polynomial regression. Average age, gender, and race of inpatients with EFB were not significantly different between 1998 and 2013. The rate of EFB admissions increased significantly from 1998 to 2005 followed by a decline thereafter (p = 0.01). LOS and hospital charges significantly increased by 0.02 days/year (p = 0.015) and $1,547/year (p < 0.001), respectively. There was a trend towards less utilization of overall esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) over the last decade with significant lower use of EGD within 24 hours in 2013 as compared to 1998 (p = 0.026). The rates of surgical intervention and inpatient mortality did not change significantly over the study period. The rate of inpatient admissions for EFB is on the decline in recent years, suggesting the modern-day practice of cost-effective medicine. Hospitalization costs for EFB have increased, whereas rates of surgical intervention and inpatient mortality have not changed significantly over the study period.

Hospital Utilization in Patients With Gastric Cancer and Factors Affecting In-Hospital Mortality, Length of Stay, and Costs.

INTRODUCTION: Although gastric cancer (GC) rates have been declining in the United States, it continues to be a major cause of morbidity. This study examined trends in hospital admissions, in-hospital mortality, length of stay (LOS), and inpatient costs related to GC. In addition, various factors associated with in-hospital mortality, LOS, and inpatient costs were examined. METHODS: National inpatient sample-the largest publicly available all-payer inpatient care database-was interrogated to obtain information about various demographic and hospital-related factors (including those mentioned above) in patients who were primarily admitted for GC between the years 1998 to 2013. These trends were analyzed. Multivariate analysis was also performed to identify risk factors associated with LOS, costs, and mortality. RESULTS: A total of 679,330 hospital discharges with the principal diagnosis of GC were obtained. Hospital stays increased by approximately 340 stays per year (±110; P=0.00079). However, inpatient mortality rate and LOS declined by 0.36% per year (±0.024%; P<0.0001), and 0.11 days per year (±0.01; P<0.0001), respectively. The inpatient charges have increased at the rate of $3241 per year (±133.3; P<0.0001). Differences in mortality rate, LOS, and inpatient costs were affected by multiple factors. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the overall decline in GC incidence, the incidence of hospitalizations per 100,000 US population related to GC did not change significantly. Although LOS and mortality declined, inpatient charges increased over the study period.

Incidence, Admission Rates, and Predictors, and Economic Burden of Adult Emergency Visits for Acute Pancreatitis: Data From the National Emergency Department Sample, 2006 to 2012.

INTRODUCTION: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is the most common gastroenterology-related reason for hospital admission, and a major source of morbidity and mortality in the United States. This study examines the National Emergency Database Sample, a large national database, to analyze trends in emergency department (ED) utilization and costs, risk factors for hospital admission, and associated hospital costs and length of stay (LOS) in patients presenting with AP. METHODS: The National Emergency Database Sample (2006 to 2012) was evaluated for trends in ED visits, ED charges, hospitalization rates, hospital charges, and hospital LOS in patients with primary diagnosis of AP (further subcategorized by age and etiology). A survey logistic-regression model was used to determine factors predictive of hospitalization. RESULTS: A total of 2,193,830 ED visits were analyzed. There was a nonsignificant 5.5% (P=0.07) increase in incidence of ED visits for AP per 10,000 US adults from 2006 to 2012, largely driven by significant increases in ED visits for AP in the 18 to <45 age group (+9.2%; P=0.025), AP associated with alcohol (+15.9%; P=0.001), and AP associated with chronic pancreatitis (+59.5%; P=0.002). Visits for patients aged ≥65 decreased over the time period. Rates of admission and LOS decreased during the time period, while ED and inpatient costs increased (62.1%; P<0.001 and 7.9%; P=0.0011, respectively). Multiple factors were associated with increased risk of hospital admission from the ED, with the strongest predictors being morbid alcohol use [odds ratio (OR), 4.53; P<0.0001], advanced age (age>84 OR, 3.52; P<0.0001), and smoking (OR, 1.75; P<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Despite a relative stabilization in the overall incidence of ED visits for AP, continued increases in ED visits and associated costs appear to be driven by younger patients with alcohol-associated and acute on chronic pancreatitis. While rates of hospitalization and LOS are decreasing, associated inflation-adjusted costs are rising. In addition, identified risk factors for hospitalization, such as obesity, alcohol use, and increased age, should be explored in further study for potential use in predictive models and clinical improvement projects.

Incidence, Admission Rates, and Economic Burden of Adult Emergency Visits for Chronic Pancreatitis: Data From the National Emergency Department Sample, 2006 to 2012.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is a common reason for emergency department (ED) visits, but little research has examined ED use by patients with CP. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The Nationwide Emergency Department Sample (2006 to 2012) was interrogated to evaluate trends in adult ED visits for a primary diagnosis of CP (International Classification of Disease, 9th revision, Clinical Modification code: 577.1), the rates of subsequent hospital admission, and total charges. A survey logistic regression model was used to determine factors associated with hospitalization from the ED. RESULTS: We identified 253,753 ED visits with a primary diagnosis of CP. No significant trends in annual incidence were noted. However, the ED-to-hospitalization rates decreased by 3% per year (P<0.001) and mean ED charges after adjusting for inflation increased by 11.8% per year (P<0.001). Higher Charlson comorbidity index, current smoker status, alcohol use, and biliary-related CP were associated with hospitalization. In hospitalized patients, length of stay decreased by 2.2% per year (P=0.003) and inpatient charges increased by 2.9% per year (P=0.004). CONCLUSIONS: Patient characteristics associated with higher risk of hospitalization from the ED deserve further attention.

Incidence and Risk Factors Associated With 30-Day Readmission for Alcoholic Hepatitis.

BACKGROUND: Alcohol abuse and liver disease are associated with high rates of 30-day hospital readmission, but factors linking alcoholic hepatitis (AH) to readmission are not well understood. We aimed to determine the incidence rate of 30-day readmission for patients with AH and to evaluate potential predictors of readmission. METHODS: We used the Nationwide Readmissions Database to determine the 30-day readmission rate for recurrent AH between 2010 and 2014 and examined trends in readmissions during the study period. We also identified the 20 most frequent reasons for readmission. Multivariate survey logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with 30-day readmission. RESULTS: Of the 61,750 index admissions for AH, 23.9% were readmitted within 30-days. The rate of readmission did not change significantly during the study period. AH, alcoholic cirrhosis, and hepatic encephalopathy were the most frequent reasons for readmission. In multivariate analysis female sex, leaving against medical advice, higher Charlson comorbidity index, ascites, and history of bariatric surgery were associated with earlier readmissions, whereas older age, payer type (private or self-pay/other), and discharge to skilled nursing-facility reduced this risk. CONCLUSIONS: The 30-day readmission rate in patients with AH was high and stable during the study period. Factors associated with readmission may be helpful for development of consensus-based expert guidelines, treatment algorithms, and policy changes to help decrease readmission in AH.

Patient-Initiated Colonoscopy Scheduling Effectively Increases Colorectal Cancer Screening Adherence.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: We identified patients without medical record evidence of up-to-date colorectal cancer (CRC) screening and sent an invitation letter to self-schedule a colonoscopy without requiring prior primary care or gastroenterologist consultation. The aim of the study was to evaluate the response rate to the letter and factors associated with colonoscopy completion. METHODS: A computer algorithm invited patients not up to date with CRC screening, with an INR < 1.5, and living within 300 miles of the Cleveland Clinic main campus through a letter. Patients scheduled a colonoscopy through a dedicated phone line without any prior physician consultation. Clinical, demographic, and socioeconomic variables were extracted from the EMR through natural language algorithms. We analyzed the percentage of patients who completed a colonoscopy within 6 months of sending the letter and factors associated with colonoscopy completion. RESULTS: A total of 145,717 letters were sent. 1451 patients were deceased and excluded from analysis. 3.8% (5442) of letter recipients completed a colonoscopy. The strongest factors associated with colonoscopy completion on multivariate analysis included family history of polyps (OR 3.1, 95% CI 2.3, 4.2) or CRC (OR 2.1, 95% CI 1.7, 2.5). Other factors included younger age, male gender, married status, closer distance to endoscopy center, number of visits in the year prior, statin use, and diabetes. There were no immediate procedural complications. CONCLUSIONS: Patient-initiated colonoscopy in response to letter invitation for CRC screening is effective and safe with safeguards established a priori. Consultation with a gastroenterologist or primary care physician is not necessary prior to colonoscopy. To our knowledge, this is the first study to evaluate patient-initiated colonoscopy for CRC cancer screening.

Web-Based Model for Predicting Time to Surgery in Young Patients with Familial Adenomatous Polyposis: An Internally Validated Study.

INTRODUCTION: The timing of prophylactic colorectal surgery in patients with familial adenomatous polyposis (FAP) is based on the immediacy of the colorectal cancer risk. The ability to predict the need for surgery may help patients and their families plan in the context of life events and CRC risk. We created a model to predict the likelihood of surgery within 2 and 5 years of first colonoscopy at our institution. METHODS: A single institution hereditary colorectal syndrome (Cologene™) database was interrogated for all patients with FAP having a deleterious APC mutation. Patients with first colonoscopy after age 30 and before year 2000 were excluded. Cox regression analysis was done to assess multiple factors associated with surgery, followed by stepwise Cox regression analysis to select an optimal model. Receiver operator curve (ROC) analysis was performed to assess the model. RESULTS: A total of 211 (53% female) patients were included. Forty-five percent underwent surgery after an average of 3.8 years of surveillance. The final model was created based on initial clinical characteristics (age, gender, BMI, family history of desmoids, genotype-phenotype correlation), initial colonoscopic characteristics (number of polyps, polyp size, presence of high-grade dysplasia); and on clinical events (chemoprevention and polypectomy). AUC was 0.87 and 0.84 to predict surgery within 2 and 5 years, respectively. The final model can be accessed at this website: http://app.calculoid.com/#/calculator/29638 . CONCLUSION: This web-based tool allows clinicians to stratify patients' likelihood of colorectal surgery within 2 and 5 years of their initial examination, based on clinical and endoscopic features, and using the philosophy of care guiding practice at this institution.

Natural history of colonic polyposis in young patients with familial adenomatous polyposis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Proctocolectomy prevents colorectal cancer in familial adenomatous polyposis (FAP). Colorectal polyp progression is one of the indications for surgery. No data exist regarding the natural history of colorectal polyposis in young patients with FAP. This study examined the rate of polyposis progression and factors associated with it. METHODS: Patients with FAP <30 years old who had undergone ≥2 colonoscopies since 2000 were identified. Rate of polyposis progression was calculated by review of polyp counts obtained from baseline and last colonoscopy, accounting for any polyps removed during the observation period. Endoscopic and non-endoscopic factors affecting the rate of polyposis progression were evaluated. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify factors associated with rate of polyposis progression. RESULTS: One hundred sixty-eight patients (52% female; median age, 13.5 years) were included. Median rate of polyposis progression was 25.4 polyps/year (interquartile range, 9.5-69.8). Highest median rate of polyposis progression (89 polyps/year) was associated with mutation in codon 1309. The rate of polyposis progression was independently associated with the location of mutation in the adenomatous polyposis coli gene, the number of polyps at the initial colonoscopy, and exposure to chemoprevention. Of the 39.9% of patients who underwent surgery, an increase in polyp number was the most common indication (53.7%). CONCLUSIONS: The rate of polyposis progression in young patients with FAP varies with a median of about 25 new polyps per year. Progression is associated with distinct factors, which can be used in discussion with patients regarding the need for and timing of prophylactic colorectal surgery.

Association of prophylactic endotracheal intubation in critically ill patients with upper GI bleeding and cardiopulmonary unplanned events.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Prophylactic endotracheal intubation (PEI) is often advocated to mitigate the risk of cardiopulmonary adverse events in patients presenting with brisk upper GI bleeding (UGIB). However, the benefit of such a measure remains controversial. Our study aimed to compare the incidence of cardiopulmonary unplanned events between critically ill patients with brisk UGIB who underwent endotracheal intubation versus those who did not. METHODS: Patients aged 18 years or older who presented at Cleveland Clinic between 2011 and 2014 with hematemesis and/or patients with melena with consequential hypovolemic shock were included. The primary outcome was a composite of several cardiopulmonary unplanned events (pneumonia, pulmonary edema, acute respiratory distress syndrome, persistent shock/hypotension after the procedure, arrhythmia, myocardial infarction, and cardiac arrest) occurring within 48 hours of the endoscopic procedure. Propensity score matching was used to match each patient 1:1 in variables that could influence the decision to intubate. These included Glasgow Blatchford Score, Charleston Comorbidity Index, and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation scores. RESULTS: Two hundred patients were included in the final analysis. The baseline characteristics, comorbidity scores, and prognostic scores were similar between the 2 groups. The overall cardiopulmonary unplanned event rates were significantly higher in the intubated group compared with the nonintubated group (20% vs 6%, P = .008), which remained significant (P = .012) after adjusting for the presence of esophageal varices. CONCLUSIONS: PEI before an EGD for brisk UGIB in critically ill patients is associated with an increased risk of unplanned cardiopulmonary events. The benefits and risks of intubation should be carefully weighed when considering airway protection before an EGD in this group of patients.