Ethical considerations for outcome-adaptive trial designs: a clinical researcher's perspective.

In a typical comparative clinical trial the randomization scheme is fixed at the beginning of the study, and maintained throughout the course of the trial. A number of researchers have championed a randomized trial design referred to as 'outcome-adaptive randomization.' In this type of trial, the likelihood of a patient being enrolled to a particular arm of the study increases or decreases as preliminary information becomes available suggesting that treatment may be superior or inferior. While the design merits of outcome-adaptive trials have been debated, little attention has been paid to significant ethical concerns that arise in the conduct of such studies. These include loss of equipoise, lack of processes for adequate informed consent, and inequalities inherent in the research design which could lead to perceptions of injustice that may have negative implications for patients and the research enterprise. This article examines the ethical difficulties inherent in outcome-adaptive trials.

Docetaxel or pemetrexed with or without cetuximab in recurrent or progressive non-small-cell lung cancer after platinum-based therapy: a phase 3, open-label, randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: Available preclinical and phase 2 clinical data suggest that the addition of cetuximab, a monoclonal antibody directed against the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), to chemotherapy might improve outcome in patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We aimed to assess whether the addition of cetuximab to chemotherapy improved progression-free survival in patients with recurrent or progressive NSCLC after platinum-based therapy. METHODS: In this unmasked, open-label randomised phase 3 trial we enrolled patients with metastatic, unresectable, or locally advanced NSCLC from 121 sites in Canada and the USA. Eligible patients were those aged 18 years or older who had experienced progressive disease during or after one previous platinum-based regimen. Initially, patients were randomly assigned to receive either pemetrexed (500 mg/m(2)) or docetaxel (75 mg/m(2)) and then randomly assigned within each group to receive their chemotherapy with or without cetuximab (400 mg/m(2) at first dose and 250 mg/m(2) weekly thereafter) until disease progression or unacceptable toxicity. However, after a change in the standard of care, investigators chose whether to treat with pemetrexed or docetaxel on a patient-by-patient basis. The primary analysis was changed to compare progression-free survival with cetuximab plus pemetrexed versus pemetrexed, on an intention-to-treat basis. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00095199. FINDINGS: Between Jan 10, 2005, and Feb 10, 2010, we enrolled 939 patients; data for one patient was accidentally discarded. Of the remaining 938 patients, 605 received pemetrexed (301 patients with cetuximab and 304 alone) and 333 received docetaxel (167 in combination with cetuximab and 166 alone). Median progression-free survival with cetuximab plus pemetrexed was 2·9 months (95% CI 2·7-3·2) versus 2·8 months (2·5-3·3) with pemetrexed (HR 1·03, 95% CI 0·87-1·21; p=0·76). The most common grade 3-4 adverse events with cetuximab plus pemetrexed were fatigue (33 [11%] of 292 patients), acneiform rash (31 [11%]), dyspnoea (29 [10%]), and decreased neutrophil count (28 [10%]), and with pemetrexed alone were dyspnoea (35 [12%] of 289 patients), decreased neutrophil count (26 [9%]), and fatigue (23 [8%]). A significantly higher proportion of patients in the cetuximab plus pemetrexed group (119 [41%] of 292 patients) experienced at least one serious adverse event than those patients in the pemetrexed group (85 [29%] of 289 patients; p=0·0054). Nine (3%) of 292 treated patients in the cetuximab and pemetrexed group died of adverse events compared with five (2%) of 289 treated patients in the pemetrexed alone group. INTERPRETATION: The use of cetuximab is not recommended in combination with chemotherapy in patients previously treated with platinum-based therapy. FUNDING: Eli Lilly and Company and ImClone Systems LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Eli Lilly and Company.

Postoperative concurrent radiotherapy and chemotherapy for high-risk squamous-cell carcinoma of the head and neck.

BACKGROUND: Despite the use of resection and postoperative radiotherapy, high-risk squamous-cell carcinoma of the head and neck frequently recurs in the original tumor bed. We tested the hypothesis that concurrent postoperative administration of cisplatin and radiotherapy would improve the rate of local and regional control. METHODS: Between September 9, 1995, and April 28, 2000, 459 patients were enrolled. After undergoing total resection of all visible and palpable disease, 231 patients were randomly assigned to receive radiotherapy alone (60 to 66 Gy in 30 to 33 fractions over a period of 6 to 6.6 weeks) and 228 patients to receive the identical treatment plus concurrent cisplatin (100 mg per square meter of body-surface area intravenously on days 1, 22, and 43). RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 45.9 months, the rate of local and regional control was significantly higher in the combined-therapy group than in the group given radiotherapy alone (hazard ratio for local or regional recurrence, 0.61; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.41 to 0.91; P=0.01). The estimated two-year rate of local and regional control was 82 percent in the combined-therapy group, as compared with 72 percent in the radiotherapy group. Disease-free survival was significantly longer in the combined-therapy group than in the radiotherapy group (hazard ratio for disease or death, 0.78; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.61 to 0.99; P=0.04), but overall survival was not (hazard ratio for death, 0.84; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.65 to 1.09; P=0.19). The incidence of acute adverse effects of grade 3 or greater was 34 percent in the radiotherapy group and 77 percent in the combined-therapy group (P<0.001). Four patients who received combined therapy died as a direct result of the treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Among high-risk patients with resected head and neck cancer, concurrent postoperative chemotherapy and radiotherapy significantly improve the rates of local and regional control and disease-free survival. However, the combined treatment is associated with a substantial increase in adverse effects.

Phase II clinical trial design: methods in translational research from the Genitourinary Committee at the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group.

Given the increase in novel agents and difficulty with planning and completing many phase III studies, various phase II trial design options should be considered to more effectively guide phase III trial plans. The need for novel phase II trial designs has increased, given the number of novel molecular targeted therapies now available for testing, an abundance of cytostatic agents, and limited resources to conduct phase III studies for all interesting agents or combinations. This review will focus on options for phase II trial designs. We review randomized phase II designs with placebo control, randomized selection designs, and randomized discontinuation designs. As agents become available for testing in the clinic, the strengths and weaknesses of different phase II trial designs should be considered to optimize a trial development plan that guides phase III trial decisions more effectively.

Population variations in the initial treatment of non-small-cell lung cancer.

PURPOSE: Dissemination of recommended therapies for non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) have not been described comprehensively. We report the patterns of initial therapy focusing on the investigation of differences in receipt of recommended therapies according to multiple clinical and nonclinical patient characteristics. METHODS: A population-based random sample of newly diagnosed NSCLC patients diagnosed in 10 separate geographic areas was collected in 1996 (n = 898). Data were obtained from medical records. Multiple logistic regression was used to assess the use of recommended therapies. RESULTS: Overall, 52% of NSCLC patients received recommended therapy. Approximately 69%, 48%, and 41% of patients with stages I and II, III, or IV NSCLC received recommended therapy, respectively. For all stages combined, the use of recommended therapy was significantly inversely associated with age and stage at diagnosis. Recommended therapy also was more common in white versus black patients, and in married versus single patients. Stage-specific analyses revealed a significant decline in the use of recommended surgery with increasing age at diagnosis for early-stage NSCLC only, and a significantly lower use of recommended therapy (primarily chemoradiotherapy) for stage III black and Hispanic patients compared with white patients. CONCLUSION: The overall use of recommended therapies for NSCLC is low. Large variations exist in the use of such therapies according to age, race or ethnicity, and marital status. Research combining medical record reviews with other sources of data is needed to better understand the contributions of both patient preferences and physician judgment to these treatment variations.

Soft tissue sarcomas of adults: state of the translational science.

Sarcomas--like leukemias, which are also mesodermal malignancies--carry biological significance disproportionate to their clinical frequency. Identification of mutations and translocations associated with these tumors has illuminated aberrant signaling pathways that cause these diseases, determine their behavior, and are therapeutic targets. Activated receptor-associated tyrosine kinase c-kit, mutated in most gastrointestinal stromal tumors, has proven a clinically effective target for enzyme inhibition. A translocation involving a single gene family, consisting of EWS and related genes, has been identified in five different sarcomas, and its chimeric protein products could prove similarly amenable to inhibitors. Resolution of the histopathological complexity is being aided by data from molecular and chromosomal characterization. Improvements in imaging, definition of prognostic factors, and surgical and radiotherapeutic treatment have resulted in improved local control. Continued progress will depend on further adapting the rapidly evolving technologies of genomics and proteomics. It will also depend upon accurate histopathological diagnosis based on validated reagents and consistent methodologies applied to adequate tissue samples derived from patients with complete clinical data. Finally, multicenter, coordinated trials, such as those that occurred with assessment of imatinib mesylate in metastatic gastrointestinal stromal tumors, will assure the most rapid reductions in morbidity and mortality.

Long-term follow-up of the RTOG 9501/intergroup phase III trial: postoperative concurrent radiation therapy and chemotherapy in high-risk squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck.

PURPOSE: Previous analysis of this Intergroup trial demonstrated that with a median follow-up among surviving patients of 45.9 months, the concurrent postoperative administration of cisplatin and radiation therapy improved local-regional control and disease-free survival of patients who had high-risk resectable head-and-neck carcinomas. With a minimum of 10 years of follow-up potentially now available for all patients, these results are updated here to examine long-term outcomes. METHODS AND MATERIALS: A total of 410 analyzable patients who had high-risk resected head-and-neck cancers were prospectively randomized to receive either radiation therapy (RT: 60 Gy in 6 weeks) or identical RT plus cisplatin, 100 mg/m(2)i.v. on days 1, 22, and 43 (RT + CT). RESULTS: At 10 years, the local-regional failure rates were 28.8% vs 22.3% (P=.10), disease-free survival was 19.1% vs 20.1% (P=.25), and overall survival was 27.0% vs 29.1% (P=.31) for patients treated by RT vs RT + CT, respectively. In the unplanned subset analysis limited to patients who had microscopically involved resection margins and/or extracapsular spread of disease, local-regional failure occurred in 33.1% vs 21.0% (P=.02), disease-free survival was 12.3% vs 18.4% (P=.05), and overall survival was 19.6% vs 27.1% (P=.07), respectively. CONCLUSION: At a median follow-up of 9.4 years for surviving patients, no significant differences in outcome were observed in the analysis of all randomized eligible patients. However, analysis of the subgroup of patients who had either microscopically involved resection margins and/or extracapsular spread of disease showed improved local-regional control and disease-free survival with concurrent administration of chemotherapy. The remaining subgroup of patients who were enrolled only because they had tumor in 2 or more lymph nodes did not benefit from the addition of CT to RT.

Treatment rationale and study design for a randomized trial of pemetrexed/carboplatin followed by maintenance pemetrexed versus paclitaxel/carboplatin/bevacizumab followed by maintenance bevacizumab in patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer of nonsquamous histology.

Herein we describe a companion ongoing randomized phase III study in patients with advanced nonsquamous non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Patients with chemotherapy-naive advanced disease will be randomized to receive either pemetrexed 500 mg/m2 plus carboplatin area under the curve (AUC) 6 for 4 cycles followed by maintenance pemetrexed (arm A) or paclitaxel 200 mg/m2 plus carboplatin AUC 6 plus bevacizumab 15 mg/kg for 4 cycles followed by maintenance bevacizumab (arm B). Cycles are 3 weeks. The primary endpoint is progression-free survival (PFS)without grade 4 toxicity (G4PFS) and will test the hypothesis that G4PFS is superior for the pemetrexed-containing combination. This type of endpoint has been used previously in clinical trials in which survival outcomes have been shown to be similar between treatment regimens; thus, a regimen that reduces the risk of toxicity is clinically relevant, particularly in the palliative setting. The study will enroll approximately 360 patients (180 per arm), allowing for a 10% drop-out. Assuming a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.75, this study will have an 80% statistical power to detect superiority of arm A over arm B with the use of a 1-sided log-rank test and a type I error of 0.05. If the true median G4PFS for arm B is 3 months, then the HR of 0.75 equals approximately 1 month of improvement in median G4PFS for arm A. A gatekeeper strategy will be used to sequentially test PFS. This strategy will preserve the overall type I error rate when conducting statistical tests on both G4PFS and PFS.

Chemoradiotherapy with or without AE-941 in stage III non-small cell lung cancer: a randomized phase III trial.

BACKGROUND AE-941 is a standardized aqueous shark cartilage extract with antiangiogenic properties that has previously been evaluated in phase I and II clinical trials. Our objective was to determine the effect of adding AE-941 to chemoradiotherapy on overall survival of patients with unresectable stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). METHODS A randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled, phase III clinical trial was designed to test the efficacy of AE-941 in unresectable stage III NSCLC patients who were treated with chemoradiotherapy. Between June 5, 2000, and February 6, 2006, 379 eligible patients were enrolled in community and academic oncology centers across the United States and Canada. In February 2006, the trial was closed to new patient entry before meeting the target sample size because of insufficient accrual. All subjects received induction chemotherapy followed by concurrent chemotherapy with chest radiotherapy. Each participating center administered one of the two chemotherapy regimens, either carboplatin and paclitaxel, or cisplatin and vinorelbine. The primary endpoint was overall survival, and secondary endpoints were time to progression, progression-free survival, tumor response rate, and toxic effects. Event-time distributions were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. All statistical tests were two-sided. RESULTS There was no statistically significant difference in overall survival between the chemoradiotherapy plus AE-941 group (n = 188; median survival = 14.4 months, 95% confidence interval = 12.6 to 17.9 months) and the chemoradiotherapy plus placebo group (n = 191; median survival = 15.6 months, 95% confidence interval = 13.8 to 18.1 months) (P = .73). Time to progression, progression-free survival, and tumor response rates were not statistically significantly different between the AE-941 and the placebo groups. No differences between the two groups were observed in common grade 3 or higher toxic effects attributable to chemoradiotherapy. CONCLUSIONS The addition of AE-941 to chemoradiotherapy did not improve overall survival in patients with unresectable stage III NSCLC. This study does not support the use of shark cartilage-derived products as therapy for lung cancer.

Meta-analysis of phase II cooperative group trials in metastatic stage IV melanoma to determine progression-free and overall survival benchmarks for future phase II trials.

PURPOSE: Objective tumor response rates observed in phase II trials for metastatic melanoma have historically not provided a reliable indicator of meaningful survival benefits. To facilitate using overall survival (OS) or progression-free survival (PFS) as an endpoint for future phase II trials, we evaluated historical data from cooperative group phase II trials to attempt to develop benchmarks for OS and PFS as reference points for future phase II trials. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Individual-level and trial-level data were obtained for patients enrolled onto 42 phase II trials (70 trial arms) that completed accrual in the years 1975 through 2005 and conducted by Southwest Oncology Group, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group, Cancer and Leukemia Group B, North Central Cancer Treatment Group, and the Clinical Trials Group of the National Cancer Institute of Canada. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify prognostic variables, and between-trial(-arm) variability in 1-year OS rates and 6-month PFS rates were examined. RESULTS: Statistically significant individual-level and trial-level prognostic factors found in a multivariate survival analysis for OS were performance status, presence of visceral disease, sex, and whether the trial excluded patients with brain metastases. Performance status, sex, and age were statistically significant prognostic factors for PFS. Controlling for these prognostic variables essentially eliminated between-trial variability in 1-year OS rates but not in 6-month PFS rates. CONCLUSION: Benchmarks are provided for 1-year OS or OS curves that make use of the distribution of prognostic factors of the patients in the phase II trial. A similar benchmark for 6-month PFS is provided, but its use is more problematic because of residual between-trial variation in this endpoint.

Proposal for the use of progression-free survival in unblinded randomized trials.

Progression-free survival is an attractive end point for clinical trials when an overall survival end point may be confounded by additional treatments administered after progression. When a trial is performed in an unblinded manner, however, there is the potential for bias between the treatment arms because of the subjective aspects of the progression end point. We discuss the magnitude of this potential bias and suggest methods for lessening it. We propose the carrying forward of any progression information to two designated time points for the statistical analysis for trials that are not blinded. This proposal, possibly combined with central review of progression scans for these two time points, essentially eliminates any bias, with little risk of major efficiency loss compared with using the reported progression times.

National survival trends of young adults with sarcoma: lack of progress is associated with lack of clinical trial participation.

BACKGROUND: Young adults with cancer in the U.S. have had less improvement in survival than either younger patients or older patients. The authors attempted to determine whether similar deficits have occurred in young adults with sarcomas and, if so, then why. METHODS: In 38,144 young adults with sarcoma who were diagnosed during 1975-1998 and were followed by the National Cancer Institute's (NCI) Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program, the average annual percent change in 5-year survival was derived as a function of patient age. National sarcoma treatment trial data were obtained on 3242 patients who were entered onto NCI-sponsored trials during 1997-2002. RESULTS: 1) For patients with bone and soft-tissue sarcomas, except Kaposi sarcoma (KS), the least survival improvement occurred between age 15 years and age 45 years. For patients with KS, the pattern was reversed, with the greatest survival increase occurring among patients ages 30-44 years. 2) The lowest participation rate in NCI-sponsored sarcoma treatment trials occurred in patients ages 20-44 years. For patients with KS, the highest accrual rate occurred in patients ages 35-44 years. 3) The age-dependent survival improvement and clinical-trial accrual patterns were correlated directly (soft-tissue sarcomas, P < 0.005; bone sarcomas, P < 0.05; KS, P = 0.06), regardless of whether the accrual profile demonstrated a decline or a peak (KS) during early adulthood. CONCLUSIONS: The lack of survival prolongation in patients age 15-44 years in the U.S. with non-KS sarcomas may have been a result of their relative lack of participation in clinical trials. If this is true, then reversing the shortfall in survival among young adults with sarcomas, as was accomplished among patients with KS, should benefit from increased clinical trial availability, access, and participation.

Twenty-five years of clinical research for patients with limited-stage small cell lung carcinoma in North America.

BACKGROUND: To determine the changes in clinical trials and outcomes of patients with limited-stage small cell lung carcinoma (SCLC) treated on Phase III randomized trials initiated in North America between 1972 and 1992. METHODS: Phase III trials from 1972 to 1992 for patients with limited-stage SCLC were identified. Patients with limited-stage SCLC treated during a similar time interval were also evaluated in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Trends were tested in the number of trials, in the number and gender of patients entered on trial, and in survival duration over time. RESULTS: Thirty trials involving 6564 patients were eligible for analyses. Nineteen trials (61%) involving 3626 patients were initiated within the first half of this time period (1972-1981). The median of median survival times of all patients treated on the control arms of the Phase III trials initiated between 1972 and 1981 and between 1982 and 1992 were 12.0 months (range, 10-16 months) and 17.0 months (range, 11-20 months), respectively (P < 0.001). Of 26 studies available for survival analysis, 5 (19%) showed a statistically significant survival prolongation in the experimental arm compared with the control arm with a median prolongation of 3.4 months (range, 1-5.2 months). All five evaluated some aspect of thoracic radiation therapy. Over a similar time period, there was a 6.4-month increase in the median survival of limited-stage SCLC patients listed in the SEER database (P < 0.0001) and a more than doubling of the 5-year survival from 5.2% to 12.1% (P = 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Analyses of the patients with limited-stage SCLC treated on Phase III trials in North America initiated between 1972 and 1992 and those listed in the SEER database show significant improvements in median survivals. Furthermore, the 5-year survival of patients with limited-stage SCLC listed in the SEER database has more than doubled over the last 25 years. Further research will be needed to determine the relative contribution of improved therapy, supportive care, and stage migration to this prolongation in survival.