Associations of combined physical activity and body mass index groups with colorectal cancer survival outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Physical activity and BMI have been individually associated with cancer survivorship but have not yet been studied in combinations in colorectal cancer patients. Here, we investigate individual and combined associations of physical activity and BMI groups with colorectal cancer survival outcomes. METHODS: Self-reported physical activity levels (MET hrs/wk) were assessed using an adapted version of the International Physical Activity Questionnaire (IPAQ) at baseline in 931 patients with stage I-III colorectal cancer and classified into 'highly active' and'not-highly active'(≥ / < 18 MET hrs/wk). BMI (kg/m2) was categorized into 'normal weight', 'overweight', and 'obese'. Patients were further classified into combined physical activity and BMI groups. Cox-proportional hazard models with Firth correction were computed to assess associations [hazard ratio (HR), 95% profile HR likelihood confidence interval (95% CI) between individual and combined physical activity and BMI groups with overall and disease-free survival in colorectal cancer patients. RESULTS: 'Not-highly active' compared to 'highly active' and 'overweight'/ 'obese' compared to 'normal weight' patients had a 40-50% increased risk of death or recurrence (HR: 1.41 (95% CI: 0.99-2.06), p = 0.03; HR: 1.49 (95% CI: 1.02-2.21) and HR: 1.51 (95% CI: 1.02-2.26), p = 0.04, respectively). 'Not-highly active' patients had worse disease-free survival outcomes, regardless of their BMI, compared to 'highly active/normal weight' patients. 'Not-highly active/obese' patients had a 3.66 times increased risk of death or recurrence compared to 'highly active/normal weight' patients (HR: 4.66 (95% CI: 1.75-9.10), p = 0.002). Lower activity thresholds yielded smaller effect sizes. CONCLUSION: Physical activity and BMI were individually associated with disease-free survival among colorectal cancer patients. Physical activity seems to improve survival outcomes in patients regardless of their BMI.

Piperacillin-Tazobactam Compared With Cefoxitin as Antimicrobial Prophylaxis for Pancreatoduodenectomy: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Despite improvements in perioperative mortality, the incidence of postoperative surgical site infection (SSI) remains high after pancreatoduodenectomy. The effect of broad-spectrum antimicrobial surgical prophylaxis in reducing SSI is poorly understood. Objective: To define the effect of broad-spectrum perioperative antimicrobial prophylaxis on postoperative SSI incidence compared with standard care antibiotics. Design, Setting, and Participants: Pragmatic, open-label, multicenter, randomized phase 3 clinical trial at 26 hospitals across the US and Canada. Participants were enrolled between November 2017 and August 2021, with follow-up through December 2021. Adults undergoing open pancreatoduodenectomy for any indication were eligible. Individuals were excluded if they had allergies to study medications, active infections, chronic steroid use, significant kidney dysfunction, or were pregnant or breastfeeding. Participants were block randomized in a 1:1 ratio and stratified by the presence of a preoperative biliary stent. Participants, investigators, and statisticians analyzing trial data were unblinded to treatment assignment. Intervention: The intervention group received piperacillin-tazobactam (3.375 or 4 g intravenously) as perioperative antimicrobial prophylaxis, while the control group received cefoxitin (2 g intravenously; standard care). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was development of postoperative SSI within 30 days. Secondary end points included 30-day mortality, development of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula, and sepsis. All data were collected as part of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program. Results: The trial was terminated at an interim analysis on the basis of a predefined stopping rule. Of 778 participants (378 in the piperacillin-tazobactam group [median age, 66.8 y; 233 {61.6%} men] and 400 in the cefoxitin group [median age, 68.0 y; 223 {55.8%} men]), the percentage with SSI at 30 days was lower in the perioperative piperacillin-tazobactam vs cefoxitin group (19.8% vs 32.8%; absolute difference, -13.0% [95% CI, -19.1% to -6.9%]; P < .001). Participants treated with piperacillin-tazobactam, vs cefoxitin, had lower rates of postoperative sepsis (4.2% vs 7.5%; difference, -3.3% [95% CI, -6.6% to 0.0%]; P = .02) and clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (12.7% vs 19.0%; difference, -6.3% [95% CI, -11.4% to -1.2%]; P = .03). Mortality rates at 30 days were 1.3% (5/378) among participants treated with piperacillin-tazobactam and 2.5% (10/400) among those receiving cefoxitin (difference, -1.2% [95% CI, -3.1% to 0.7%]; P = .32). Conclusions and Relevance: In participants undergoing open pancreatoduodenectomy, use of piperacillin-tazobactam as perioperative prophylaxis reduced postoperative SSI, pancreatic fistula, and multiple downstream sequelae of SSI. The findings support the use of piperacillin-tazobactam as standard care for open pancreatoduodenectomy. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03269994.

Hospital Costs Following Surgical Complications: A Value-driven Outcomes Analysis of Cost Savings Due to Complication Prevention.

OBJECTIVE: Surgical complications have substantial impact on healthcare costs. We propose an analysis of the financial impact of postoperative complications. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Both complications and preoperative patient risk have been shown to increase costs following surgery. The extent of cost increase due to specific complications has not been well described. METHODS: A single institution's American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program data was queried from 2012 to 2018 and merged with institutional cost data for each encounter. A mixed effects multivariable generalized linear model was used to estimate the mean relative increase in hospital cost due to each complication, adjusting for patient and procedure-level fixed effects clustered by procedure. Potential savings were calculated based on projected decreases in complication rates and theoretical hospital volume. RESULTS: There were 11,897 patients linked between the 2 databases. The rate of any American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program complication was 11.7%. The occurrence of any complication resulted in a 1.5-fold mean increase in direct hospital cost [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.49-1.58]. The top 6 most costly complications were postoperative septic shock (4.0-fold, 95% CI 3.58-4.43) renal insufficiency/failure (3.3-fold, 95% CI 2.91-3.65), any respiratory complication (3.1-fold, 95% CI 2.94-3.36), cardiac arrest (3.0-fold, 95% CI 2.64-3.46), myocardial infarction (2.9-fold, 95% CI 2.43-3.42) and mortality within 30 days (2.2-fold, 95% CI 2.01-2.48). Length of stay (6.5 versus 3.2 days, P < 0.01), readmission rate (29.1% vs 3.1%, P < 0.01), and discharge destination outside of home (20.5% vs 2.7%, P < 0.01) were significantly higher in the population who experienced complications. CONCLUSIONS: Decreasing complication rates through preoperative optimization will improve patient outcomes and lead to substantial cost savings.

Decompositions of the Contribution of Treatment Disparities to Survival Disparities in Stage I-II Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Higher socioeconomic status (SES) and non-Hispanic White (NHW) race/ethnicity are associated with higher treatment rates and longer overall survival (OS) among US patients with stage I-II pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. The proportion of OS disparities mediated through treatment disparities (PM) and the proportion predicted to be eliminated (PE) if treatment disparities were eliminated are unknown. METHODS: We analyzed 2007-2015 data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) census tract-level database and the National Cancer Database (NCDB) using causal mediation analysis methods to understand the extent to which treatment disparities mediate OS disparities. In the first set of decompositions, race/ethnicity was controlled for as a covariate proximal to SES, and lower SES strata were compared with the highest SES stratum. In the second set, an intersectional perspective was taken and each SES-race/ethnicity combination was compared with highest SES-NHW patients, who had the highest treatment rates and longest OS. RESULTS: The SEER and NCDB cohorts contained 16,921 patients and 44,638 patients, respectively. When race/ethnicity was controlled for, PMs ranged from 43 to 48% and PEs ranged from 46 to 50% for various lower SES strata. When separately comparing each SES-race/ethnicity combination with the highest SES-NHW patients, results were similar for lower SES-NHW patients but differed markedly for non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic patients, for whom PMs ranged from 60 to 80% and PEs ranged from 55 to 75% for most lower SES strata. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that efforts to reduce treatment disparities are worthwhile, particularly for NHB and Hispanic patients, and simultaneously point to the importance of non-treatment-related causal pathways.

County-level Variation in Use of Surgery and Cancer-specific Survival for Stage I-II Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to describe county-level variation in use of surgery for stage I-II pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and the association between county surgery rates and cancer-specific survival (CSS). BACKGROUND: The degree of small geographic area variation in use of surgery for stage I-II PDAC and the association between area surgery rates and CSS remain incompletely defined. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of patients aged 18 to 80 years in the 2007 to 2015 Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database with stage I-II PDAC without contraindications to surgery or refusal. Multilevel models were used to characterize county-level variation in use of surgery and CSS. County-specific risk- and reliability-adjusted surgery rates and CSS rates were calculated. RESULTS: Of 18,100 patients living in 581 counties, 10,944 (60.5%) underwent surgery. Adjusted county-specific surgery rates varied 1.5-fold from 49.9% to 74.6%. Median CSS increased in a graded fashion from 13 months [interquartile range (IQR) 13-14] in counties with surgery rates of 49.9% to 56.9% to 18 months (IQR 17-19) in counties with surgery rates of 68.0% to 74.6%. Results were similar in multivariable analyses. Adjusted county 18-month CSS rates varied 1.6-fold from 32.7% to 53.7%. Adjusted county surgery and 18-month CSS rates were correlated (r = 0.54; P < 0.001) and county surgery rates explained approximately half of county-level variation in CSS. Only 18 (3.1%) counties had adjusted surgery rates of 68.0% to 74.6%, which was associated with the longest CSS. CONCLUSIONS: County-specific rates of surgery varied substantially, and patients living in areas with higher surgery rates lived longer. These data suggest that increasing use of surgery in stage I-II PDAC could lead to improvements in survival.

Size and Importance of Socioeconomic Status-Based Disparities in Use of Surgery in Nonadvanced Stage Gastrointestinal Cancers.

BACKGROUND: The size and importance of socioeconomic status (SES)-based disparities in use of surgery for non-advanced stage gastrointestinal (GI) cancers have not been quantified. METHODS: The exposure in this study of patients age 18-80 with one of nine non-advanced stage GI cancers in the 2007-2015 SEER database was a census tract-level SES composite. Multivariable models assessed associations of SES with use of surgery. Causal mediation analysis was used to estimate the proportion of survival disparities in SES quintiles 1 versus 5 that were mediated by disparities in use of surgery. RESULTS: Lowest SES quintile patients underwent surgery at significantly lower rates than highest quintile patients in each cancer. SES-based disparities in use of surgery were large and graded in esophagus adenocarcinoma, intrahepatic and extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, and pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Smaller but clinically relevant disparities were present in stomach, ampulla, and small bowel adenocarcinoma, whereas disparities were small in colorectal adenocarcinoma. Five-year all-stage overall survival (OS) was correlated with the size of disparities in use of surgery in SES quintiles 1 versus 5 (r = - 0.87; p = 0.003). Mean OS was significantly longer (range 3.5-8.9 months) in SES quintile 5 versus 1. Approximately one third of SES-based survival disparities in poor prognosis GI cancers were mediated by disparities in use of surgery. The size of disparities in use of surgery in SES quintiles 1 versus 5 was correlated with the proportion mediated (r = 0.98; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Low SES patients with poor prognosis GI cancers are at substantial risk of undertreatment. Disparities in use of surgery contribute to diminished survival.

Hospital-level Variation in Utilization of Surgery for Clinical Stage I-II Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: To (1) evaluate rates of surgery for clinical stage I-II pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), (2) identify predictors of not undergoing surgery, (3) quantify the degree to which patient- and hospital-level factors explain differences in hospital surgery rates, and (4) evaluate the association between adjusted hospital-specific surgery rates and overall survival (OS) of patients treated at different hospitals. BACKGROUND: Curative-intent surgery for potentially resectable PDAC is underutilized in the United States. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of patients ≤85 years with clinical stage I-II PDAC in the 2004 to 2014 National Cancer Database. Mixed effects multivariable models were used to characterize hospital-level variation across quintiles of hospital surgery rates. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the effect of adjusted hospital surgery rates on OS. RESULTS: Of 58,553 patients without contraindications or refusal of surgery, 63.8% underwent surgery, and the rate decreased from 2299/3528 (65.2%) in 2004 to 4412/7092 (62.2%) in 2014 (P < 0.001). Adjusted hospital rates of surgery varied 6-fold (11.4%-70.9%). Patients treated at hospitals with higher rates of surgery had better unadjusted OS (median OS 10.2, 13.3, 14.2, 16.5, and 18.4 months in quintiles 1-5, respectively, P < 0.001, log-rank). Treatment at hospitals in lower surgery rate quintiles 1-3 was independently associated with mortality [Hazard ratio (HR) 1.10 (1.01, 1.21), HR 1.08 (1.02, 1.15), and HR 1.09 (1.04, 1.14) for quintiles 1-3, respectively, compared with quintile 5] after adjusting for patient factors, hospital type, and hospital volume. CONCLUSIONS: Quality improvement efforts are needed to help hospitals with low rates of surgery ensure that their patients have access to appropriate surgery.

Lineage tracing reveals the dynamic contribution of Hes1+ cells to the developing and adult pancreas.

Notch signaling regulates numerous developmental processes, often acting either to promote one cell fate over another or else to inhibit differentiation altogether. In the embryonic pancreas, Notch and its target gene Hes1 are thought to inhibit endocrine and exocrine specification. Although differentiated cells appear to downregulate Hes1, it is unknown whether Hes1 expression marks multipotent progenitors, or else lineage-restricted precursors. Moreover, although rare cells of the adult pancreas express Hes1, it is unknown whether these represent a specialized progenitor-like population. To address these issues, we developed a mouse Hes1(CreERT2) knock-in allele to inducibly mark Hes1(+) cells and their descendants. We find that Hes1 expression in the early embryonic pancreas identifies multipotent, Notch-responsive progenitors, differentiation of which is blocked by activated Notch. In later embryogenesis, Hes1 marks exocrine-restricted progenitors, in which activated Notch promotes ductal differentiation. In the adult pancreas, Hes1 expression persists in rare differentiated cells, particularly terminal duct or centroacinar cells. Although we find that Hes1(+) cells in the resting or injured pancreas do not behave as adult stem cells for insulin-producing beta (ß)-cells, Hes1 expression does identify stem cells throughout the small and large intestine. Together, these studies clarify the roles of Notch and Hes1 in the developing and adult pancreas, and open new avenues to study Notch signaling in this and other tissues.

Tumour eradication using synchronous thermal ablation and Hsp90 chemotherapy with protein engineered triblock biopolymer-geldanamycin conjugates.

PURPOSE: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) suffers high tumour recurrence rate after thermal ablation. Heat shock protein 90 (Hsp90) induced post-ablation is critical for tumour survival and progression. A combination therapy of thermal ablation and polymer conjugated Hsp90 chemotherapy was designed and evaluated for complete tumour eradication of HCC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A thermo-responsive, elastin-like polypeptide (ELP)-based tri-block biopolymer was developed and conjugated with a potent Hsp90 inhibitor, geldanamycin (GA). The anti-cancer efficacy of conjugates was evaluated in HCC cell cultures with and without hyperthermia (43 °C). The conjugates were also administered twice weekly in a murine HCC model as a single treatment or in combination with single electrocautery as the ablation method. RESULTS: ELP-GA conjugates displayed enhanced cytotoxicity in vitro and effective heat shock inhibition under hyperthermia. The conjugates alone significantly slowed the tumour growth without systemic toxicity. Four doses of thermo-responsive ELP-GA conjugates with concomitant simple electrocautery accomplished significant Hsp90 inhibition and sustained tumour suppression. CONCLUSION: Hsp90 inhibition plays a key role in preventing the recurrence of HCC, and the combination of ablation with targeted therapy holds great potential to improve prognosis and survival of HCC patients.

Wilderness Medical Society practice guidelines for the treatment of acute pain in remote environments.

The Wilderness Medical Society convened an expert panel to develop evidence-based guidelines for the management of pain in austere environments. Recommendations are graded based on the quality of supporting evidence as defined by criteria put forth by the American College of Chest Physicians.

Wilderness Medical Society practice guidelines for the treatment of acute pain in remote environments: 2014 update.

The Wilderness Medical Society convened an expert panel to develop evidence-based guidelines for the management of pain in austere environments. Recommendations are graded on the basis of the quality of supporting evidence as defined by criteria put forth by the American College of Chest Physicians. This is an updated version of the original WMS Practice Guidelines for the Treatment of Acute Pain in Remote Environments published in Wilderness & Environmental Medicine 2014;25(1):41-49.

Does travel distance influence length of stay in elective pancreatic surgery?

BACKGROUND: Length of stay (LoS) following elective surgery is being reported as an outcomes quality measure. Regional referral centres may care for patients travelling significant distances. The effect of travel distance on LoS in pancreatic surgery patients was examined. METHODS: National Surgical Quality Improvement Program data on pancreatic surgery patients, operated during the period from 2005 to 2011, were reviewed. Demographics, surgical variables and distance travelled were analysed relative to LoS. The LoS was log-transformed in general linear models to achieve normality. RESULTS: Of the 243 patients, 53% were male. The mean ± standard deviation (SD) age of the total patient sample was 60.6 ± 14 years. The mean ± SD distance travelled was 203 ± 319 miles (326.7 ± 513.4 km) [median: 132 miles (212.4 km); range: 3-3006 miles (4.8-4837.7 km)], and the mean ± SD LoS was 10.5 ± 7 days (range: 1-46 days). Univariate analysis showed a near significant increase in LoS with increased distance travelled (P = 0.05). Significant variables related to LoS were: age (P = 0.002); relative value units (P < 0.001), and preoperative American Society of Anesthesiologists class (P = 0.005). In a general linear model, for every 100 miles (160.9 km) travelled there is an associated 2% increase in LoS (P = 0.031). When the distance travelled is increased by 500 miles (804.7 km), LoS increases by 10.5%. CONCLUSIONS: Increased travel distance from a patient's home to the hospital was independently associated with an increase in LoS. If LoS is a reportable quality measure in pancreatic surgery, travel distance should be considered in risk adjustments.

Serum IGFBP2 and MSLN as diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers for pancreatic cancer.

BACKGROUND: Identification of diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers is a research priority for the improved management of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Insulin-like growth factor binding protein 2 (IGFBP2) and mesothelin (MSLN) have shown potential as serum biomarkers in other cancers, but have not been adequately studied in PDAC. METHODS: Serum IGFBP2 and MSLN levels were quantified by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) in a cohort of 84 PDAC patients, 84 healthy control subjects and 40 chronic pancreatitis (ChPT) patients. Regression models related IGFBP2 and MSLN levels to diagnosis, gender, age, stage and survival. RESULTS: IGFPB2 and MSLN serum levels were diagnostic for PDAC in age-adjusted models (P = 0.032 and P = 0.002, respectively) when compared with ChPT and healthy control samples. At a 95% specificity threshold, the sensitivity for IGFBP2 was 22% and the sensitivity for MSLN was 17%. Neither protein approached the diagnostic accuracy of CA 19-9. However, IGFBP2 or MSLN or both correctly identified 18 of the 28 samples misidentified by CA 19-9. In age-adjusted models, neither serum IGFBP2 (P = 0.36) nor MSLN (P = 0.29) were significant predictors of survival. DISCUSSION: Serum IGFBP2 and MSLN are weak diagnostic classifiers individually, but may be useful in a diagnostic biomarker panel.

Comparison of intraoperative versus delayed enteral feeding tube placement in patients undergoing a Whipple procedure.

BACKGROUND: The intraoperative placement of an enteral feeding tube (FT) during pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) is based on the surgeon's perception of need for postoperative nutrition. Published preoperative risk factors predicting postoperative morbidity may be used to predict FT need and associated intraoperative placement. METHODS: A retrospective review of patients who underwent PD during 2005-2011 was performed by querying the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database with specific procedure codes. Patients were categorized based on how many of 10 possible preoperative risk factors they demonstrated. Groups of patients with scores of ≤ 1 (low) and ≥ 2 (high), respectively, were compared for FT need, length of stay (LoS) and organ space surgical site infections (SSIs). RESULTS: Of 138 PD patients, 82 did not have an FT placed intraoperatively, and, of those, 16 (19.5%) required delayed FT placement. High-risk patients were more likely to require a delayed FT (29.3%) compared with low-risk patients (9.8%) (P = 0.026). The 16 patients who required a delayed FT had a median LoS of 15.5 days, whereas the 66 patients who did not require an FT had a median LoS of 8 days (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In this analysis, subjects considered as high-risk patients were more likely to require an FT than low-risk patients. Assessment of preoperative risk factors may improve decision making for selective intraoperative FT placement.

Association between postoperative complications and clinical cancer outcomes.

INTRODUCTION: The treatment for a majority of solid organ tumors is surgical resection; 10-20 % of patients suffer a perioperative complication. Perioperative complications may contribute to cancer recurrence. This study examined the relationship between postoperative complications and risk-adjusted patient overall survival. METHODS: Data from 2003 to 2009 were linked from our clinical cancer registry, the National Surgery Quality Improvement Project (NSQIP), and medical records. Patients who had tumor extirpation for cure were included. The NSQIP was used to identify complications. Patients with a complication were matched to patients without a complication. χ (2) tests and Cox proportional hazard regression models were used. RESULTS: A total of 415 patients were included for survival analysis. The hazard ratio (HR) for mortality associated with having a complication was 2.17. The HR for mortality after 200 days postoperatively was 2.47. Infectious complications were associated with the highest association with increased mortality (HR = 3.56). Noninfectious complications were not associated with an increased risk of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: This study investigated the relationship of surgical infectious complications in cancer patients with long-term survival for patients who had a number of different types of cancer. After taking into account the site, histology, and stage of the cancer, we found that patients with infectious complications had earlier death.

Does travel distance influence length of stay in elective colorectal surgery?

BACKGROUND: Length of stay following elective colorectal surgery is being reported as a quality measure in surgical outcome registries, such as the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program. Regional referral centers with large geographic catchment areas attract patients from significant distances. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to examine the effect of patient distance traveled, from primary residence to a tertiary care hospital, on length of stay in elective colorectal surgery patients. DESIGN: Retrospective population-based cohort study uses data obtained from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. SETTINGS: This study was conducted at a tertiary referral hospital. PATIENTS: Data on 866 patients undergoing elective colorectal surgery from May 2003 to April 2011 were reviewed. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Demographics, surgery-related variables, and distance traveled were analyzed relative to the length of stay. RESULTS: Of the 866 patients, 54% were men, mean age was 57 years, mean distance traveled was 145 miles (range, 2-2984 miles), and mean length of stay was 8.8 days. Univariate analysis showed a significant increase in length of stay with increased distance traveled (p = 0.02). Linear regression analysis revealed a significant association between increased length of stay and male sex (p = 0.006), increasing ASA score (p = 0.000), living alone (p = 0.009), and increased distance traveled (p = 0.028). For each incremental increase in log distance traveled, the length of stay increases by 2.5%. LIMITATIONS: This is a retrospective review that uses National Surgical Quality Improvement Program data. It is not known how many patients left the hospital and did not return to their primary residence. CONCLUSIONS: In a model that controlled for variables, increased travel distance from a patient's residence to the surgical hospital was associated with an increase in length of stay. If length of stay is a reportable quality measure in patients undergoing colorectal surgery, significant travel distance should be accounted for in the risk adjustment model calculations.

Multianalyte Serum Biomarker Panel for Early Detection of Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma.

PURPOSE: We determined whether a large, multianalyte panel of circulating biomarkers can improve detection of early-stage pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We defined a biologically relevant subspace of blood analytes on the basis of previous identification in premalignant lesions or early-stage PDAC and evaluated each in pilot studies. The 31 analytes that met minimum diagnostic accuracy were measured in serum of 837 subjects (461 healthy, 194 benign pancreatic disease, and 182 early-stage PDAC). We used machine learning to develop classification algorithms using the relationship between subjects on the basis of their changes across the predictors. Model performance was subsequently evaluated in an independent validation data set from 186 additional subjects. RESULTS: A classification model was trained on 669 subjects (358 healthy, 159 benign, and 152 early-stage PDAC). Model evaluation on a hold-out test set of 168 subjects (103 healthy, 35 benign, and 30 early-stage PDAC) yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.920 for classification of PDAC from non-PDAC (benign and healthy controls) and an AUC of 0.944 for PDAC versus healthy controls. The algorithm was then validated in 146 subsequent cases presenting with pancreatic disease (73 benign pancreatic disease and 73 early- and late-stage PDAC cases) and 40 healthy control subjects. The validation set yielded an AUC of 0.919 for classification of PDAC from non-PDAC and an AUC of 0.925 for PDAC versus healthy controls. CONCLUSION: Individually weak serum biomarkers can be combined into a strong classification algorithm to develop a blood test to identify patients who may benefit from further testing.

Integrated Molecular Characterization of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms: An NCI Cancer Moonshot Precancer Atlas Pilot Project.

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) are cystic precursor lesions to pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). IPMNs undergo multistep progression from low-grade (LG) to high-grade (HG) dysplasia, culminating in invasive neoplasia. While patterns of IPMN progression have been analyzed using multiregion sequencing for somatic mutations, there is no integrated assessment of molecular events, including copy-number alterations (CNA) and transcriptional changes that accompany IPMN progression. We performed laser capture microdissection on surgically resected IPMNs of varying grades of histologic dysplasia obtained from 23 patients, followed by whole-exome and whole-transcriptome sequencing. Overall, HG IPMNs displayed a significantly greater aneuploidy score than LG lesions, with chromosome 1q amplification being associated with HG progression and with cases that harbored co-occurring PDAC. Furthermore, the combined assessment of single-nucleotide variants (SNV) and CNAs identified both linear and branched evolutionary trajectories, underscoring the heterogeneity in the progression of LG lesions to HG and PDAC. At the transcriptome level, upregulation of MYC-regulated targets and downregulation of transcripts associated with the MHC class I antigen presentation machinery as well as pathways related to glycosylation were a common feature of progression to HG. In addition, the established PDAC transcriptional subtypes (basal-like and classical) were readily apparent within IPMNs. Taken together, this work emphasizes the role of 1q copy-number amplification as a putative biomarker of high-risk IPMNs, underscores the importance of immune evasion even in noninvasive precursor lesions, and reinforces that evolutionary pathways in IPMNs are heterogenous, comprised of both SNV and CNA-driven events. SIGNIFICANCE: Integrated molecular analysis of genomic and transcriptomic alterations in the multistep progression of IPMNs, which are bona fide precursors of pancreatic cancer, identifies features associated with progression of low-risk lesions to high-risk lesions and cancer, which might enable patient stratification and cancer interception strategies.