Predicting Progression to Parkinson's Disease Dementia Using Multivariate Normative Comparisons.

OBJECTIVE: Parkinson's disease with mild cognitive impairment (PD-MCI) is a risk factor for progression to PD dementia (PDD) at a later stage of the disease. The consensus criteria of PD-MCI use a traditional test-by-test normative comparison. The aim of this study was to investigate whether a new multivariate statistical method provides a more sensitive tool for predicting dementia status at 3- and 5-year follow-ups. This method allows a formal evaluation of a patient's profile of test scores given a large aggregated database with regression-based norms. METHOD: The cognitive test results of 123 newly diagnosed PD patients from a previously published longitudinal study were analyzed with three different methods. First, the PD-MCI criteria were applied in the traditional way. Second, the PD-MCI criteria were applied using the large aggregated normative database. Last, multivariate normative comparisons (MNCs) were made using the same aggregated normative database. The outcome variable was progression to dementia within 3 and 5 years. RESULTS: The MNC was characterized by higher sensitivity and higher specificity in predicting progression to PDD at follow-up than the two PD-MCI criteria methods, although the difference in classification accuracy did not reach statistical significance. CONCLUSION: We conclude that MNCs could allow for a more accurate prediction of PDD than the traditional PD-MCI criteria, because there are encouraging trends in both increased sensitivity and increased specificity. (JINS, 2019, 25, 678-687).

Prevalence of mild cognitive impairment and dementia in older non-western immigrants in the Netherlands: a cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVE: In the Netherlands, persons of Turkish, Moroccan and Surinamese descent form the largest groups of non-western immigrants. A high prevalence of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia has been described in immigrant populations in the United States of America and the United Kingdom. We determined the prevalence of MCI and dementia in older community-dwelling adults from the largest non-western immigrant groups in the Netherlands. METHODS: Participants, aged 55 years and older, of Turkish, Moroccan (Arabic or Berber), Surinamese (Creole or Hindustani) or Dutch descent were recruited via their general practitioners. Cognitive deficits were assessed using the Cross-Cultural Dementia screening instrument, which was validated in poorly educated people from different cultures. Differences in prevalence rates of MCI and dementia between the immigrant groups and a native Dutch group were analysed using chi-square tests. RESULTS: We included 2254 participants. Their mean age was 65.0 years (standard deviation, 7.5), and 44.4% were male. The prevalence of MCI was 13.0% in Turkish, 10.1% in Moroccan-Arabic, 9.4% in Moroccan-Berber and 11.9% in Surinamese-Hindustani participants, compared to 5.9% in Surinamese-Creoles and 3.3% in native Dutch. The prevalence of dementia was 14.8% in Turkish, 12.2% in Moroccan Arabic, 11.3% in Moroccan Berber and 12.6% in Surinamese-Hindustani participants, compared to 4.0% in Surinamese-Creoles and 3.5% in native Dutch. CONCLUSIONS: MCI and dementia were three to four times more prevalent in the majority of non-western immigrant groups when compared to the native Dutch population. These differences are important for planning and improving healthcare facilities. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

[Validation of the Seven Minute Screen for use in a memory clinic]. / Validering van de Seven Minute Screen voor gebruik in de geheugenpolikliniek.

Cognitive tests play a crucial part in the assessment of dementia. In 1998 the Seven Minute Screen was developed by Solomon and colleagues. The test was originally designed to distinguish between Alzheimer's disease (AD) and normal ageing, and research showed that the instrument is highly sensitive to AD. Subsequent research also proved the diagnostic accuracy of the Seven Minute Screen in the detection of other common types of dementia, such as vascular dementia, frontotemporal dementia and dementia with Lewy bodies. This article reports new research on the predictive validity of the Seven Minute Screen using 289 cognitively intact subjects, 175 patients with MCI and 563 patients with dementia in the setting of a memory clinic. In addition, a comparison is made with the Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE). The study demonstrates that the Seven Minute Screen is a valuable screening instrument for all common types of dementia, and it has added value to the MMSE. The sensitivity for dementia is 96 % and the specificity 93 %, in comparison to 69 and 98 % for the MMSE (< 24). The sensitivity for the various types of dementia is consistently high, ranging from 92 % for a subcortical dementia to 97 % for AD. The Seven Minute Screen requires little training, and combines a short administration time with a high diagnostic accuracy. This makes the Seven Minute Screen useful for application in memory clinics.

Prose memory impairment in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis patients is related to hippocampus volume.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Thirty per cent of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) patients have non-motor symptoms, including executive and memory deficits. The in vivo anatomical basis of memory deficits in ALS has not been elucidated. In this observational study, brain atrophy in relation to memory function was investigated in ALS patients and controls. METHODS: Twenty-six ALS patients without dementia and 21 healthy volunteers matched for gender, age and education level underwent comprehensive neuropsychological evaluation and T1- and T2-weighted 3 T magnetic resonance imaging scanning of the brain. Grey and white matter brain volumes were analysed using voxel-based morphometry and age related white matter changes were assessed. The most frequently abnormal memory test (<2 SD below normative data corrected for age, gender and education) was correlated with regional brain volume variations by multiple regression analyses with age, gender and total grey matter volumes as covariates. RESULTS: Immediate and delayed story recall scores were abnormal in 23% of ALS patients and correlated to bilateral hippocampus grey matter volume (r = 0.52 for both memory tests; P < 0.05; corrected for age, gender and total grey matter volume). This correlation was not found in healthy controls with similar age, education, anxiety and depression levels and white matter changes. CONCLUSIONS: Prose memory impairment is a frequent finding in this cohort and is associated with hippocampus volume in ALS patients without dementia. These findings complement previous hippocampus changes in imaging studies in ALS and suggest involvement of the hippocampus in cognitive dysfunction of ALS.

The course of post-stroke apathy in relation to cognitive functioning: a prospective longitudinal cohort study.

Apathy is common after stroke and has been associated with cognitive impairment. However, causality between post-stroke apathy and cognitive impairment remains unclear. We assessed the course of apathy in relation to changes in cognitive functioning in stroke survivors. Using the Apathy Scale (AS) and cognitive tests on memory, processing speed and executive functioning at six- and 15 months post-stroke we tested for associations between (1) AS-scores and (change in) cognitive scores; (2) apathy course (persistent/incident/resolved) and cognitive change scores. Of 117 included participants, 29% had persistent apathy, 13% apathy resolving over time and 10% apathy emerging between 6-15 months post-stroke. Higher AS-scores were cross-sectionally and longitudinally associated with lower cognitive scores. Relations between apathy and cognitive change scores were ambiguous. These inconsistent relations between apathy and changes in cognition over time suggest that post-stroke apathy does not directly impact cognitive performance. Both these sequelae of stroke require separate attention.

Increased risk of mortality associated with social isolation in older men: only when feeling lonely? Results from the Amsterdam Study of the Elderly (AMSTEL).

BACKGROUND: Loneliness has a significant influence on both physical and mental health. Few studies have investigated the possible associations of loneliness with mortality risk, impact on men and women and whether this impact concerns the situation of being alone (social isolation), experiencing loneliness (feeling lonely) or both. The current study investigated whether social isolation and feelings of loneliness in older men and women were associated with increased mortality risk, controlling for depression and other potentially confounding factors. METHOD: In our prospective cohort study of 4004 older persons aged 65-84 years with a 10-year follow-up of mortality data a Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to test whether social isolation factors and feelings of loneliness predicted an increased risk of mortality, controlling for psychiatric disorders and medical conditions, cognitive functioning, functional status and sociodemographic factors. RESULTS: At 10 years follow-up, significantly more men than women with feelings of loneliness at baseline had died. After adjustment for explanatory variables including social isolation, the mortality hazard ratio for feelings of loneliness was 1.30 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04-1.63] in men and 1.04 (95% CI 0.90-1.24) in women. No higher risk of mortality was found for social isolation. CONCLUSIONS: Feelings of loneliness rather than social isolation factors were found to be a major risk factor for increasing mortality in older men. Developing a better understanding of the nature of this association may help us to improve quality of life and longevity, especially in older men.

Symptoms of apathy are associated with progression from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease in non-depressed subjects.

BACKGROUND: Apathy is a common symptom in various neuropsychiatric diseases including mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia. Apathy may be associated with an increased risk of cognitive decline. The objective of this study was to investigate if apathy predicts the progression from MCI to Alzheimer's disease (AD). METHODS: The Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative is a prospective multicentre cohort study. At baseline, 397 patients with MCI without major depression were included. Clinical data and the Geriatric Depression Scale at baseline were used. Apathy was defined based on the 3 apathy items of the 15-item Geriatric Depression Scale. The main outcome measure was the association of apathy with progression from MCI to AD. RESULTS: During an average follow-up of 2.7 years (SD 1.0), 166 (41.8%) patients progressed to AD. The presence of symptoms of apathy without symptoms of depressive affect increased the risk of progression from MCI to AD (hazard ratio = 1.85, 95% CI = 1.09-3.15). Apathy in the context of symptoms of depressive affect or symptoms of depressive affect alone, without apathy, did not increase the risk of progression to AD. CONCLUSIONS: Symptoms of apathy, but not symptoms of depressive affect, increase the risk of progression from MCI to AD. Apathy in the context of symptoms of depressive affect does not increase this risk. Symptoms of apathy and depression have differential effects on cognitive decline.

[Diagnosis of dementia in non-western elderly migrants in memory clinics: obstacles and solutions]. / Dementiediagnostiek bij oudere migranten op de geheugenpolikliniek: obstakels en oplossingen.

In the next decade the number of non-western elderly immigrants will double in the Netherlands. Because of specific risk factors (hypertension, diabetes), the number of elderly immigrants with dementia will probably increase. Memory clinics are not well prepared for these patients, because health professionals lack knowledge about important obstacles in intercultural dementia diagnostics. They should consider language barriers, cultural differences, low level of education and illiteracy, as well as ignorance about dementia, shame and special care expectations of patients and their families. We give recommendations to improve communication, (neuropsychological) testing and counseling in clinical practice.

[Screening of dementia in first generation migrants]. / Screening op dementie bij eerstegeneratiemigranten.

The number of patients with dementia is increasing over time. There is evidence that the prevalence in ethnic minority groups is even higher. Diagnosing dementia in first generation non-western migrants is often difficult due to language and cultural barriers, low education, and illiteracy. In this article we recommend the use of two validated screening tools (the RUDAS, Rowland Universal Dementia assessment scale and the IQCODE, Informant Questionnaire of Cognitive Decline in the elderly) elucidated by two case descriptions.

Meta-analysis of CSF and MRI biomarkers for detecting preclinical Alzheimer's disease.

BACKGROUND: Abnormal levels of biomarkers in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and atrophy of medial temporal lobe (MTL) structures on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) are being used increasingly to diagnose early Alzheimer's disease (AD). We evaluated the claim that these biomarkers can detect preclinical AD before behavioural (i.e. memory) symptoms arise. METHOD: We included all relevant longitudinal studies of CSF and MRI biomarkers published between January 2003 and November 2008. Subjects were not demented at baseline but some declined to mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or to AD during follow-up. Measures of tau and beta-amyloid in CSF, MTL atrophy on MRI, and performance on delayed memory tasks were extracted from the papers or obtained from the investigators. RESULTS: Twenty-one MRI studies and 14 CSF studies were retrieved. The effect sizes of total tau (t-tau), phosphorylated tau (p-tau) and amyloid beta 42 (a beta 42) ranged from 0.91 to 1.11. The effect size of MTL atrophy was 0.75. Memory performance had an effect size of 1.06. MTL atrophy and memory impairment tended to increase when assessed closer to the moment of diagnosis, whereas effect sizes of CSF biomarkers tended to increase when assessed longer before the diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Memory impairment is a more accurate predictor of early AD than atrophy of MTL on MRI, whereas CSF abnormalities and memory impairment are about equally predictive. Consequently, the CSF and MRI biomarkers are not very sensitive to preclinical AD. CSF markers remain promising, but studies with long follow-up periods in elderly subjects who are normal at baseline are needed to evaluate this promise.

Long-term neurologic and cognitive outcome and quality of life in adults after pneumococcal meningitis.

OBJECTIVES: To perform a cross-sectional cohort study on long-term neurologic, cognitive and quality-of-life outcome in adults surviving pneumococcal meningitis. METHODS: Adult survivors of community-acquired pneumococcal meningitis from a Dutch nationwide prospective cohort study were evaluated 1 to 5 years after acute illness. The control group consisted of partners or proxies of patients. Neurologic examination was performed and cognitive domains were tested with the Vienna Test System Cognitive Basic Assessment Test set (VTS COGBAT). The Research and Development (RAND)-36 and adapted Cognitive and Emotional Consequences of Stroke (CLCE)-24 questionnaires assessed perceived cognitive functioning and quality of life. Differences between group scores were tested with multivariate analyses of variance. RESULTS: A total of 80 pneumococcal meningitis patients and 69 controls were evaluated. After a median of 2 years (interquartile range, 2-3) after acute illness, 27 (34%) of 79 patients had persistent neurologic sequelae, most commonly hearing loss (21/79, 27%). On overall neuropsychologic evaluation, patients performed worse than the controls (MANCOVA; p 0.008), with alertness (z score -0.33, p 0.011) and cognitive flexibility (z score -0.33, p 0.027) as the most affected domains. Cognitive impairment was present in 11 (14%) of 79 patients. CLCE-24 questionnaires revealed cognitive impairment on all domains, most commonly for cognitive speed (53/75, 71%), attention (45/75, 60%) and memory (46/75, 61%). Patients had lower quality-of-life scores than controls (item physical functioning, (median) patients vs. controls, 80 vs. 95, p < 0.001; social functioning, (median) 81 vs. 100, p 0.003; perceived health, (mean) 59 vs. 70, p 0.005), which correlated with cognitive complaints (R = 0.66, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Adults after pneumococcal meningitis are at high risk of long-term neurologic and neuropsychologic deficits impairing daily life activities and quality of life.

Motor procedural learning in Parkinson's disease.

Functional neuroimaging research has repeatedly implicated the striatum in motor procedural learning, but attempts to explore this relation in patients with Parkinson's disease (PD) have yielded inconsistent results. Furthermore, the functional impact of procedural learning impairment is unknown. The present study sought to examine the effects of PD on procedural learning and to determine whether impaired procedural learning affects functional status. The performance of 95 non-demented PD patients on the serial reaction time task (SRTT) was compared with that of 44 demographically matched control subjects. The SRTT is a four-choice reaction time task in which visual stimuli are presented in six blocks of 100 trials either in a repeating sequence of 10 stimuli or randomly. Learning was inferred from the reduction of response times over five successive blocks of repeating sequence trials and from the increase in response times in the sixth random block. In addition, neuropsychological tests of declarative memory, executive and visuospatial functions were administered to all participants. Patients also received quantitative ratings of functional outcome. The two groups did not differ in the learning rate across blocks of repeating sequence trials. However, PD patients were significantly less efficient than controls in acquiring sequence-specific knowledge, although this impairment was relatively small (d = 0.38). Patients with more advanced clinical symptoms tended to show worse performance. Separate analyses of a subgroup of 24 non-medicated patients in the early stages of PD revealed no differences in SRTT performance relative to controls. Neuropsychological testing showed impairments in attention and executive functions, immediate and delayed explicit memory and visuospatial skills in the PD group, but none of the cognitive measures were related to procedural learning. Reduced motor sequence learning in PD patients did not influence their functional status. These findings indicate that procedural learning impairment is not an early feature of PD, but is likely to emerge with progression of the disease, independently of cognitive dysfunction or dopaminergic medication.

[Letter fluency: psychometric properties and Dutch normative data]. / Letterfluency: psychometrische eigenschappen en Nederlandse normen.

Normative data were collected for a Dutch version of the Controlled Oral Word Association Test (COWAT) in 200 healthy subjects between 17 and 89 years of age. The COWAT is a letterfluency task that is widely used in clinical neuropsychology. Fluency is an important aspect of executive functioning. The psychometric properties of the Dutch version of the test were largely comparable to those of the original COWAT. Its reliability is 0.80, and its scores are significantly related to level of education and/or vocabulary, but not to age or gender. A regression formula is provided by which the raw scores can be corrected for level of education.

Universal Scale of Intelligence Estimates (USIE): Representing Intelligence Estimated From Level of Education.

In clinical neuropsychology, it is often necessary to estimate a patient's premorbid level of cognitive functioning in order to evaluate whether his scores on cognitive tests should be considered abnormal. In practice, test results from before the onset of brain pathology are rarely available, and the patient's level of education is used instead as an estimate of his premorbid level. Unfortunately, level of education may be expressed on many different scales of education, which are difficult to use interchangeably. Here, we introduce a new scale that has the capacity to replace existing scales and can be used interchangeably with any of them: the Universal Scale of Intelligence Estimates (USIE). To achieve this, we propose to map all levels of existing educational scales to standard IQ scores. This USIE point estimate is supplemented with an estimation interval. We assert that USIE offers some important benefits for clinical practice and research.

Pathological gambling after bilateral subthalamic nucleus stimulation in Parkinson disease.

We describe a patient with advanced Parkinson's disease who developed pathological gambling within a month after successful bilateral subthalamic nucleus (STN) stimulation. There was no history of gambling. On neuropsychological testing, slight cognitive decline was evident 1 year after surgery. Stimulation of the most dorsal contact with and without medication induced worse performances on decision making tests compared with the more ventral contact. Pathological gambling disappeared after discontinuation of pergolide and changing the stimulation parameters. Pathological gambling does not seem to be associated with decision making but appears to be related to a combination of bilateral STN stimulation and treatment with dopamine agonists.

Cortical serotonin transporter density and verbal memory in individuals who stopped using 3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine (MDMA or "ecstasy"): preliminary findings.

BACKGROUND: Although the popular drug 3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine (MDMA or "ecstasy") has been shown to damage brain serotonin (5-HT) neurons in animals, the fate and functional consequences of 5-HT neurons after MDMA injury are not known in humans. We investigated the long-term effects of MDMA use on cortical 5-HT neurons in humans and memory function, because brain 5-HT has been implicated in memory function. METHODS: Twenty-two recent MDMA users, 16 ex-MDMA users who had stopped using MDMA for more than 1 year, and 13 control subjects. The effects of MDMA use on cortical 5-HT neurons was studied by means of single-photon emission computed tomography with iodine 123-labeled 2beta-carbomethoxy-3beta-(4-iodophenyl) tropane ([(123)I]beta-CIT) by quantification of brain 5-HT transporter densities. Verbal memory performance was assessed with the Rey Auditory Verbal Learning Test. RESULTS: Mean cortical [(123)I]beta-CIT-labeled 5-HT transporter density was significantly lower in recent MDMA users than in controls (1.17 vs. 1.28 [-9%]) but not in ex-MDMA users (1.24 vs. 1.28 [-3%]). Recent and ex-MDMA users recalled significantly fewer words than did controls on the immediate recall (47.0 and 48.0 vs 60.0, respectively; P =.001) as well as the delayed recall (9.8 and 10.1 vs. 13.1, respectively; P =.003). Greater use of MDMA was associated with greater impairment in immediate verbal memory. However, memory performance was not associated with [(123)I]beta-CIT binding to cortical 5-HT transporters or duration of abstinence from MDMA. CONCLUSION: The present study suggests that, while the neurotoxic effects of MDMA on 5-HT neurons in the human cortex may be reversible, the effects of MDMA on memory function may be long-lasting.

Prefrontal N-acetylaspartate is strongly associated with memory performance in (abstinent) ecstasy users: preliminary report.

BACKGROUND: 3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine (MDMA or "Ecstasy") is known to damage brain serotonin neurons in animals and possibly humans. Because serotonergic damage may adversely affect memory, we compared verbal memory function between MDMA users and MDMA-naïve control subjects and evaluated the relationship between verbal memory function and neuronal dysfunction in the MDMA users. METHODS: An auditory verbal memory task (Rey Auditory Verbal Learning Test) was used to study eight abstinent MDMA users and seven control subjects. In addition 1H-MRS was used in different brain regions of all MDMA users to measure N-acetylaspartate/creatine (NAA/Cr) ratios, a marker for neuronal viability. RESULTS: The MDMA users recalled significantly fewer words than control subjects on delayed (p =.03) but not immediate recall (p =.08). In MDMA users, delayed memory function was strongly associated with NAA/Cr only in the prefrontal cortex (R(2) =.76, p =.01). CONCLUSIONS: Greater decrements in memory function predicted lower NAA/Cr levels-and by inference greater neuronal dysfunction-in the prefrontal cortex of MDMA users.

Association between memory complaints and incident Alzheimer's disease in elderly people with normal baseline cognition.

OBJECTIVE: Results of previous studies suggest that memory complaints may predict cognitive decline and dementia among elderly people in whom cognitive impairment is already apparent. However, cognitive decline is often a gradual process, and elderly people may notice that their memory deteriorates before mental status tests are able to detect any change in cognitive functioning. Therefore, the authors hypothesized that memory complaints would predict incident Alzheimer's disease in elderly subjects with no signs of cognitive impairment. METHOD: In the community-based Amsterdam Study of the Elderly, a sample of 3,778 nondemented persons, 65 to 84 years old, was selected and divided into two cognitive categories: normal (Mini-Mental State scores of 26-30) and borderline and impaired (Mini-Mental State scores less than 26). At baseline, the presence or absence of memory complaints was assessed. At follow-up, incident cases of Alzheimer's disease were diagnosed in a two-step procedure. RESULTS: After an average of 3.2 years, 2,169 persons were reevaluated, of whom 77 had incident Alzheimer's disease. Multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that memory complaints were associated with incident Alzheimer's disease in subjects with normal baseline cognition but not in subjects with impaired baseline cognition. CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study suggest that memory complaints are a relatively strong predictor of incident Alzheimer's disease in older persons in whom cognitive impairment is not yet apparent. Furthermore, they suggest that older persons may be aware of a decline in cognition at a time when mental status tests are still unable to detect a decline from premorbid functioning.

Association between apolipoprotein E epsilon4 and the rate of cognitive decline in community-dwelling elderly individuals with and without dementia.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the apolipoprotein E epsilon4 allele (apoE epsilon4) is associated with cognitive decline in individuals with and without dementia, we conducted a 4-year longitudinal study of subjects with a range of cognitive function. SETTING: At baseline, respondents (n=511) were randomly selected according to age and Mini-Mental State Examination score from a community-based study of dementia among noninstitutionalized persons aged 65 to 84 years. Respondents were examined at baseline and followed up in 3 annual visits. At baseline, subjects were classified as having normal cognitive function, minimal dementia, or dementia, according to criteria from the Cambridge Examination for Mental Disorders of the Elderly (CAMDEX) and the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Revised Third Edition. Of the 511 respondents at baseline, 405 who were examined at least 2 times are included in this analysis. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Cognitive decline was determined by a slope estimating yearly change in score on the neuropsychological test, the CAMCOG (the cognitive section of the CAMDEX), and its sub-scales of memory and nonmemory functions. RESULTS: Among the subjects who had normal cognitive function at baseline, apoE epsilon4 carriers showed a significantly greater decline (P<.001) in score on the CAMCOG compared with noncarriers. Differences in decline on the memory and nonmemory subtests were also significant (P<.001). Rates of cognitive decline were not related to apoE epsilon4 status in the groups with minimal dementia and dementia. CONCLUSIONS: In our community-based sample, apoE epsilon4 was associated with the rate of cognitive decline prior to the clinically symptomatic phase of dementia. Knowing the apoE epsilon4 status of those already symptomatic for dementia may not improve knowledge about a patient's prognosis.

Subjective memory complaints may announce dementia.

Whether subjective memory complaints in the absence of objective memory decline can predict future dementia has been investigated only in highly selected clinical and volunteer cohorts. Our study examines this question in a subsample of AMSTEL (Amsterdam Study of the Elderly), a longitudinal population study on cognitive decline and dementia. Subjects (aged 65 to 84 years; n = 357) without dementia or other psychiatric disorders at baseline were followed for 3 years. After this interval, 16 of 203 re-examined patients developed a dementia. Logistic regression analyses indicated that memory complaints at baseline contributed a small but significant amount of diagnostic information. However, the most powerful predictor of future dementia was deficient memory performance. We conclude that subjective memory complaints may predict dementia within 3 years, particularly when there are objective signs of memory deterioration.