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Intestinal epithelial expression of the tight junction protein claudin-2, which forms paracellular cation and water channels, is precisely regulated during development and in disease. Here, we show that small intestinal epithelial claudin-2 expression is selectively upregulated in septic patients. Similar changes occurred in septic mice, where claudin-2 upregulation coincided with increased flux across the paracellular pore pathway. In order to define the significance of these changes, sepsis was induced in claudin-2 knockout (KO) and wild-type (WT) mice. Sepsis-induced increases in pore pathway permeability were prevented by claudin-2 KO. Moreover, claudin-2 deletion reduced interleukin-17 production and T cell activation and limited intestinal damage. These effects were associated with reduced numbers of neutrophils, macrophages, dendritic cells, and bacteria within the peritoneal fluid of septic claudin-2 KO mice. Most strikingly, claudin-2 deletion dramatically enhanced survival in sepsis. Finally, the microbial changes induced by sepsis were less pathogenic in claudin-2 KO mice as survival of healthy WT mice injected with cecal slurry collected from WT mice 24 h after sepsis was far worse than that of healthy WT mice injected with cecal slurry collected from claudin-2 KO mice 24 h after sepsis. Claudin-2 upregulation and increased pore pathway permeability are, therefore, key intermediates that contribute to development of dysbiosis, intestinal damage, inflammation, ineffective pathogen control, and increased mortality in sepsis. The striking impact of claudin-2 deletion on progression of the lethal cascade activated during sepsis suggests that claudin-2 may be an attractive therapeutic target in septic patients.
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Claudina-2 , Sepse , Animais , Humanos , Camundongos , Claudina-2/genética , Claudina-2/metabolismo , Disbiose/genética , Disbiose/metabolismo , Função da Barreira Intestinal , Mucosa Intestinal/metabolismo , Permeabilidade , Sepse/metabolismo , Junções Íntimas/metabolismo , Regulação para CimaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Shock and organ damage occur in critically ill patients in the emergency department because of biological responses to invasion, and cytokines play an important role in their development. It is important to predict early multiple organ dysfunction (MOD) because it is useful in predicting patient outcomes and selecting treatment strategies. This study examined the accuracy of biomarkers, including interleukin (IL)-6, in predicting early MOD in critically ill patients compared with that of quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA). METHODS: This was a multicenter observational sub-study. Five universities from 2016 to 2018. Data of adult patients with systemic inflammatory response syndrome who presented to the emergency department or were admitted to the intensive care unit were prospectively evaluated. qSOFA score and each biomarker (IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, tumor necrosis factor-α, C-reactive protein, and procalcitonin [PCT]) level were assessed on Days 0, 1, and 2. The primary outcome was set as MOD on Day 2, and the area under the curve (AUC) was analyzed to evaluate qSOFA scores and biomarker levels. RESULTS: Of 199 patients, 38 were excluded and 161 were included. Patients with MOD on Day 2 had significantly higher qSOFA, SOFA, and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores and a trend toward worse prognosis, including mortality. The AUC for qSOFA score (Day 0) that predicted MOD (Day 2) was 0.728 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.651-0.794). IL-6 (Day 1) showed the highest AUC among all biomarkers (0.790 [95% CI: 0.711-852]). The combination of qSOFA (Day 0) and IL-6 (Day 1) showed improved prediction accuracy (0.842 [95% CI: 0.771-0.893]). The combination model using qSOFA (Day 1) and IL-6 (Day 1) also showed a higher AUC (0.868 [95% CI: 0.799-0.915]). The combination model of IL-8 and PCT also showed a significant improvement in AUC. CONCLUSIONS: The addition of IL-6, IL-8 and PCT to qSOFA scores improved the accuracy of early MOD prediction.
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Estado Terminal , Sepse , Adulto , Biomarcadores , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Insuficiência de Múltiplos Órgãos/diagnóstico , Escores de Disfunção Orgânica , Prognóstico , Curva ROC , Estudos Retrospectivos , Sepse/diagnósticoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Elderly patients have a blunted host response, which may influence vital signs and clinical outcomes of sepsis. This study was aimed to investigate whether the associations between the vital signs and mortality are different in elderly and non-elderly patients with sepsis. METHODS: This was a retrospective observational study. A Japanese multicenter sepsis cohort (FORECAST, n = 1148) was used for the discovery analyses. Significant discovery results were tested for replication using two validation cohorts of sepsis (JAAMSR, Japan, n = 624; SPH, Canada, n = 1004). Patients were categorized into elderly and non-elderly groups (age ≥ 75 or < 75 years). We tested for association between vital signs (body temperature [BT], heart rate, mean arterial pressure, systolic blood pressure, and respiratory rate) and 90-day in-hospital mortality (primary outcome). RESULTS: In the discovery cohort, non-elderly patients with BT < 36.0 °C had significantly increased 90-day mortality (P = 0.025, adjusted hazard ratio 1.70, 95% CI 1.07-2.71). In the validation cohorts, non-elderly patients with BT < 36.0 °C had significantly increased mortality (JAAMSR, P = 0.0024, adjusted hazard ratio 2.05, 95% CI 1.29-3.26; SPH, P = 0.029, adjusted hazard ratio 1.36, 95% CI 1.03-1.80). These differences were not observed in elderly patients in the three cohorts. Associations between the other four vital signs and mortality were not different in elderly and non-elderly patients. The interaction of age and hypothermia/fever was significant (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: In septic patients, we found mortality in non-elderly sepsis patients was increased with hypothermia and decreased with fever. However, mortality in elderly patients was not associated with BT. These results illuminate the difference in the inflammatory response of the elderly compared to non-elderly sepsis patients.
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Temperatura Corporal/fisiologia , Sepse/classificação , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Febre/complicações , Febre/epidemiologia , Febre/mortalidade , Geriatria/métodos , Humanos , Hipotermia/complicações , Hipotermia/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Sepse/epidemiologia , Sepse/mortalidadeRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Non-occlusive mesenteric ischemia (NOMI) has a high mortality rate, but the analyses of preoperative prognostic factors for improving survival in patients suspected of having NOMI are scarce. We aimed to analyze the prognostic factors of preoperative examinations for NOMI. METHODS: The clinical data of 224 patients with NOMI were retrospectively collected for a multicenter survey. Clinicophysiological factors were compared between the survivors and non-survivors (N = 107/117) and between the operative and non-operative cases (N = 180/44) by univariate analysis using chi-square test and multivariate analysis using Cox proportional hazard models. In the operative cases, the prognostic operative factors were also analyzed. RESULTS: The overall mortality rate for NOMI was 52.2%. There were 129 male and 95 female patients. The mean age was 71.23 (14-94) years. Univariate analysis showed that cardiovascular complication, shock, abdominal pain, average blood pressure, systemic inflammatory response syndrome, aspartic aminotransferase, alanine transaminase, creatine phosphokinase, lactate dehydrogenase, base excess, prothrombin time-international normalized ratio, D-dimer, and fibrinogen degradation products were independent prognostic factors. Multivariate analysis showed that average blood pressure and base excess were independent prognostic factors. Among patients undergoing surgery, those with bowel resection had better prognosis than those without bowel resection, but those with long bowel resection had worse prognosis than those with short resection. Additional postoperative treatment was not effective compared with operation alone (P = 0.011). CONCLUSIONS: Prognostic factors of preoperative examinations for NOMI were average blood pressure and base excess. Patients with long bowel resection should be carefully monitored owing to their poor prognosis.
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Isquemia Mesentérica , Cuidados Pré-Operatórios , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Medicina de Emergência , Feminino , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Isquemia Mesentérica/diagnóstico , Isquemia Mesentérica/cirurgia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Sociedades Médicas , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Exacerbated inflammatory response is considered one of the key elements of acute kidney injury (AKI). Interleukin-6 (IL-6) is an inflammatory cytokine that plays important roles in the inflammatory response and may be useful for predicting the clinical outcomes in patients with AKI. However, supporting evidence adapted to the current KDIGO criteria is lacking. METHODS: AKI patients admitted to the ICU between Jan 2011 and Dec 2015 were retrospectively screened. Patients were assigned to three groups by admission IL-6 tertiles. Associations between IL-6 on ICU admission and in-hospital 90-day mortality, short-term/long-term renal function were analyzed. RESULTS: Patients (n = 646) were divided into low (1.5-150.2 pg/mL), middle (152.0-1168 pg/mL), and high (1189-2,346,310 pg/mL) IL-6 on ICU admission groups. Patients in the high IL-6 group had higher in-hospital 90-day mortality (low vs. middle vs. high, P = 0.0050), lower urine output (low vs. middle vs. high, P < 0.0001), and an increased probability of persistent of anuria for ≥12 h (low vs. middle vs. high, P < 0.0001) within 72 h after ICU admission. In contrast, the high IL-6 group had a lower incidence of persistent AKI at 90 days after the ICU admission in survivors (low vs. middle vs. high, P = 0.013). CONCLUSIONS: Serum levels of IL-6 on ICU admission may predict short-term renal function and mortality in AKI patients and were associated with renal recovery in survivors.
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Injúria Renal Aguda , Inflamação , Interleucina-6/sangue , Injúria Renal Aguda/sangue , Injúria Renal Aguda/mortalidade , Injúria Renal Aguda/terapia , Estado Terminal/mortalidade , Estado Terminal/terapia , Testes Diagnósticos de Rotina/métodos , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Incidência , Inflamação/sangue , Inflamação/etiologia , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva/estatística & dados numéricos , Japão/epidemiologia , Testes de Função Renal/estatística & dados numéricos , Tempo de Internação/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prognóstico , Recuperação de Função Fisiológica , Estudos RetrospectivosAssuntos
Documentação/normas , Interface para o Reconhecimento da Fala/normas , Gravação em Fita/normas , Documentação/métodos , Documentação/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/métodos , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/normas , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Interface para o Reconhecimento da Fala/estatística & dados numéricos , Gravação em Fita/instrumentação , Gravação em Fita/estatística & dados numéricosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The onset of muscle loss in critically ill patients, known as intensive care unit-acquired weakness (ICU-AW), worsens their outcomes. Preventing muscle loss, which begins in the early phase of critical illness, is crucial in patient care. Adequate nutrition management may contribute to maintaining muscles; however, its evidence in patients with sepsis is insufficient. This study aimed to analyze the association between energy achievement rate in the first 7-days of critical care and muscle area changes evaluated by computed tomography (CT). METHODS: This was a retrospective observational study. Patients with sepsis admitted to the intensive care (ICU) of a tertiary care hospital in Japan were included. They were divided into three groups according to tertiles of the first 7-day energy achievement rate calculated using administered energy doses and basement energy expenditure. Skeletal muscle area (SMA) and changes in SMA were determined by CT on ICU admission and within days 7-10 of ICU admission. SMA maintenance was defined as SMA change ≥ 100%. Logistic regression analyses were performed to analyze the association of energy achievement rate with SMA changes (primary outcome) and in-hospital 28-day mortality (secondary outcome). RESULTS: Patients (n = 93) were classified into low, middle, and high groups according to their 7-day energy achievement rate (median rates, 16.8%, 38.8%, and 73.4%, respectively). The CT scans showed that SMA decreased between the CT scans in the low and middle groups, whereas it was maintained in the high group (median changes, -8.5%, -11.7%, and 2.8%, respectively). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that high energy achievement rate was significantly associated with SMA maintenance (reference, middle energy achieved group; univariate, odds ratio [95% confidence interval] 6.23 [2.04-19.10], P = 0.0013; multivariate, odds ratio [95% confidence interval] 5.92 [1.90-18.40], P = 0.0021). There was no significant difference in the association between energy achievement rate and mortality among the three groups. CONCLUSIONS: Our study found that a fulfillment of energy achievement in the first 7 days of hospitalization was associated with maintenance of muscle area. Thus, satisfying adequate energy should be considered even in patients with sepsis.
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Increased fluid overload (FO) is associated with poor outcomes in critically ill patients, especially in acute kidney injury (AKI). However, the exact timing from when FO influences outcomes remains unclear. We retrospectively screened intensive care unit (ICU) admitted patients with AKI between January 2011 and December 2015. Logistic or linear regression analyses were performed to determine when hourly %FO was significant on 90-day in-hospital mortality (primary outcome) or ventilator-free days (VFDs). In total, 1120 patients were enrolled in this study. Univariate analysis showed that a higher %FO was significantly associated with higher mortality from the first hour of ICU admission (odds ratio 1.34, 95% confidence interval 1.15-1.56, P < 0.001), whereas multivariate analysis adjusted with age, sex, APACHE II score, and sepsis etiology showed the association was significant from the 27th hour. Both univariate and multivariate analyses showed that a higher %FO was significantly associated with shorter VFDs from the 1st hour. The significant associations were retained during all following observation periods after they showed significance. In patients with AKI, a higher %FO was associated with higher mortality and shorter VFDs from the early phase after ICU admission. FO should be administered with a physiological target or goal in place from the initial phase of critical illness.
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Injúria Renal Aguda , Desequilíbrio Hidroeletrolítico , Humanos , Estado Terminal , Estudos Retrospectivos , Desequilíbrio Hidroeletrolítico/complicações , Cuidados Críticos , Injúria Renal Aguda/etiologia , Unidades de Terapia IntensivaRESUMO
This study aimed to determine whether obesity and disease outcomes are associated in patients with critically-ill coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) requiring invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). This retrospective observational study using Japanese multicenter registry data included COVID-19 patients who required IMV and were discharged between January and September 2020. The patients were divided into the obese (body mass index [BMI] ≥ 25 kg/m2) and nonobese (BMI < 25 kg/m2) groups. Logistic regression models were used to analyze the association between obesity and disease outcomes. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality; the secondary outcome was venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV-ECMO) implementation. Altogether, 477 patients were enrolled (obese, n = 235, median BMI, 28.2 kg/m2; nonobese, n = 242, median BMI, 22.4 kg/m2). Obesity was significantly associated with lower in-hospital mortality in the unadjusted logistic regression model (odds ratio 0.63; 95% confidence interval, 0.42-0.97; p = 0.033), but not with mortality in the adjusted logistic regression model using age, sex, and Charlson Comorbidity Index as covariates (p = 0.564). Obesity was not associated with VV-ECMO implementation in both unadjusted and adjusted models (unadjusted, p = 0.074; adjusted, p = 0.695). Obesity was not associated with outcomes in COVID-19 patients requiring IMV. Obesity may not be a risk factor for poor outcomes in these patients.
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COVID-19 , Respiração Artificial , Humanos , Estado Terminal , Obesidade , Mortalidade HospitalarRESUMO
ABSTRACT: Alcohol use disorder is associated with increased mortality in septic patients. Murine studies demonstrate that ethanol/sepsis is associated with changes in gut integrity. This study examined intestinal permeability after ethanol/sepsis and investigated mechanisms responsible for alterations in barrier function. Mice were randomized to drink either 20% ethanol or water for 12 weeks and then were subjected to either sham laparotomy or cecal ligation and puncture (CLP). Intestinal permeability was disproportionately increased in ethanol/septic mice via the pore, leak, and unrestricted pathways. Consistent with increased permeability in the leak pathway, jejunal myosin light chain (MLC) kinase (MLCK) expression and the ratio of phospho-MLC to total MLC were both increased in ethanol/CLP. Gut permeability was altered in MLCK -/- mice in water/CLP; however, permeability was not different between WT and MLCK -/- mice in ethanol/CLP. Similarly, jejunal IL-1ß levels were decreased while systemic IL-6 levels were increased in MLCK -/- mice in water/CLP but no differences were identified in ethanol/CLP. While we have previously shown that mortality is improved in MLCK -/- mice after water/CLP, mortality was significantly worse in MLCK -/- mice after ethanol/CLP. Consistent with an increase in the pore pathway, claudin 4 levels were also selectively decreased in ethanol/CLP WT mice. Furthermore, mRNA expression of jejunal TNF and IFN-γ were both significantly increased in ethanol/CLP. The frequency of CD4 + cells expressing TNF and IL-17A and the frequency of CD8 + cells expressing IFN-γ in Peyer's Patches were also increased in ethanol/CLP. Thus, there is an ethanol-specific worsening of gut barrier function after CLP that impacts all pathways of intestinal permeability, mediated, in part, via changes to the tight junction. Differences in the host response in the setting of chronic alcohol use may play a role in future precision medicine approaches toward the treatment of sepsis.
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Sepse , Junções Íntimas , Animais , Camundongos , Etanol , Imunidade , Mucosa Intestinal/metabolismo , Punções , Sepse/metabolismo , Junções Íntimas/metabolismoRESUMO
ABSTRACT: Increased epithelial permeability in sepsis is mediated via disruptions in tight junctions, which are closely associated with the perijunctional actin-myosin ring. Genetic deletion of myosin light chain kinase (MLCK) reverses sepsis-induced intestinal hyperpermeability and improves survival in a murine model of intra-abdominal sepsis. In an attempt to determine the generalizability of these findings, this study measured the impact of MLCK deletion on survival and potential associated mechanisms following pneumonia-induced sepsis. MLCK -/- and wild-type mice underwent intratracheal injection of Pseudomonas aeruginosa . Unexpectedly, survival was significantly worse in MLCK -/- mice than wild-type mice. This was associated with increased permeability to Evans blue dye in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid but not in tissue homogenate, suggesting increased alveolar epithelial leak. In addition, bacterial burden was increased in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid. Cytokine array using whole-lung homogenate demonstrated increases in multiple proinflammatory and anti-inflammatory cytokines in knockout mice. These local pulmonary changes were associated with systemic inflammation with increased serum levels of IL-6 and IL-10 and a marked increase in bacteremia in MLCK -/- mice. Increased numbers of both bulk and memory CD4 + T cells were identified in the spleens of knockout mice, with increased early and late activation. These results demonstrate that genetic deletion of MLCK unexpectedly increases mortality in pulmonary sepsis, associated with worsened alveolar epithelial leak and both local and systemic inflammation. This suggests that caution is required in targeting MLCK for therapeutic gain in sepsis.
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Pulmão , Quinase de Cadeia Leve de Miosina , Pneumonia , Sepse , Animais , Camundongos , Citocinas , Inflamação , Mucosa Intestinal , Pulmão/metabolismo , Pulmão/patologia , Camundongos Knockout , Quinase de Cadeia Leve de Miosina/genética , Permeabilidade , Pneumonia/complicações , Sepse/patologia , Junções Íntimas/fisiologiaRESUMO
Machine learning can predict outcomes and determine variables contributing to precise prediction, and can thus classify patients with different risk factors of outcomes. This study aimed to investigate the predictive accuracy for mortality and length of stay in intensive care unit (ICU) patients using machine learning, and to identify the variables contributing to the precise prediction or classification of patients. Patients (n = 12,747) admitted to the ICU at Chiba University Hospital were randomly assigned to the training and test cohorts. After learning using the variables on admission in the training cohort, the area under the curve (AUC) was analyzed in the test cohort to evaluate the predictive accuracy of the supervised machine learning classifiers, including random forest (RF) for outcomes (primary outcome, mortality; secondary outcome, length of ICU stay). The rank of the variables that contributed to the machine learning prediction was confirmed, and cluster analysis of the patients with risk factors of mortality was performed to identify the important variables associated with patient outcomes. Machine learning using RF revealed a high predictive value for mortality, with an AUC of 0.945 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.922-0.977). In addition, RF showed high predictive value for short and long ICU stays, with AUCs of 0.881 (95% CI 0.876-0.908) and 0.889 (95% CI 0.849-0.936), respectively. Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) was identified as a variable contributing to the precise prediction in machine learning for both mortality and length of ICU stay. LDH was also identified as a contributing variable to classify patients into sub-populations based on different risk factors of mortality. The machine learning algorithm could predict mortality and length of stay in ICU patients with high accuracy. LDH was identified as a contributing variable in mortality and length of ICU stay prediction and could be used to classify patients based on mortality risk.
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Algoritmos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Aprendizado de Máquina , Mortalidade , Área Sob a Curva , Humanos , Tempo de Internação , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
BACKGROUND Gastroesophageal intussusception (GEI) generally develops in patients with risk factors. However, intra-abdominal hypertension (IAH) rarely causes sudden GEI in patients without known risk factors. Endoscopic or surgical intervention is generally performed to reduce GEI. However, when GEI is induced by IAH, intra-abdominal pressure (IAP) decompression can contribute to GEI reduction. CASE REPORT An 81-year-old man who underwent transurethral resection of bladder tumor (TURBT) for hematuria from a bladder tumor located at the left lateral wall had a deteriorated general status and bladder perforation during surgery in February 2020. The perforated portion was coagulated and treated conservatively using a urinary tract catheter. He was admitted to our Intensive Care Unit (ICU) following surgery after undergoing computed tomography (CT). CT revealed free air, ascites, and intra/retroperitoneal edema due to perfusion fluid leakage, and a new GEI was documented. The GEI required reduction; however, since his IAP increased to 21 mmHg, IAH-induced GEI was diagnosed; ascites drainage for IAP decompression was performed. IAP decreased to 12 mmHg after drainage; on subsequent gastrointestinal endoscopy, the GEI had reduced. His condition improved with no recurrence of GEI, and he was discharged from the ICU on day 8. Since cystography findings on day 26 showed no leakage of the bladder, he was discharged from our hospital on day 31. CONCLUSIONS We report a case of IAH-induced GEI as a complication of perfusion fluid leakage during TURBT. GEI was reduced by IAP decompression by ascites drainage without endoscopic or surgical intervention.
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Hipertensão Intra-Abdominal , Intussuscepção , Neoplasias da Bexiga Urinária , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Humanos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Masculino , Recidiva Local de NeoplasiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Several inflammation markers have been reported to be associated with unfavorable clinical outcomes in critically ill patients. We aimed to elucidate whether serum interleukin-6 concentration considered with Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score can better predict mortality in critically ill patients. DESIGN: A prospective observational study. SETTING: Five university hospitals in 2016-2018. PATIENTS: Critically ill adult patients who met greater than or equal to two systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria at admission were included, and those who died or were discharged within 48 hours were excluded. INTERVENTIONS: Inflammatory biomarkers including interleukin (interleukin)-6, -8, and -10; tumor necrosis factor-α; C-reactive protein; and procalcitonin were blindly measured daily for 3 days. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score at day 2 according to 28-day mortality was calculated as baseline. Combination models of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and additional biomarkers were developed using logistic regression, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve calculated in each model was compared with the baseline. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Among 161 patients included in the study, 18 (11.2%) did not survive at day 28. Univariate analysis for each biomarker identified that the interleukin-6 (days 1-3), interleukin-8 (days 0-3), and interleukin-10 (days 1-3) were higher in nonsurvivors than in survivors. Analyses of 28-day mortality prediction by a single biomarker showed interleukin-6, -8, and -10 at days 1-3 had a significant discrimination power, and the interleukin-6 at day 3 had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.766 [0.656-0.876]). The baseline area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score predicting 28-day mortality was 0.776 (0.672-0.880). The combination model using additional interleukin-6 at day 3 had higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curve than baseline (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.844, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve improvement = 0.068 [0.002-0.133]), whereas other biomarkers did not improve accuracy in predicting 28-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Accuracy for 28-day mortality prediction was improved by adding serum interleukin-6 concentration to Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score.
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High precision is optimal in prehospital diagnostic algorithms for strokes and large vessel occlusions. We hypothesized that prehospital diagnostic algorithms for strokes and their subcategories using machine learning could have high predictive value. Consecutive adult patients with suspected stroke as per emergency medical service personnel were enrolled in a prospective multicenter observational study in 12 hospitals in Japan. Five diagnostic algorithms using machine learning, including logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, and eXtreme Gradient Boosting, were evaluated for stroke and subcategories including acute ischemic stroke with/without large vessel occlusions, intracranial hemorrhage, and subarachnoid hemorrhage. Of the 1446 patients in the analysis, 1156 (80%) were randomly included in the training (derivation) cohort and cohorts, and 290 (20%) were included in the test (validation) cohort. In the diagnostic algorithms for strokes using eXtreme Gradient Boosting had the highest diagnostic value (test data, area under the receiver operating curve 0.980). In the diagnostic algorithms for the subcategories using eXtreme Gradient Boosting had a high predictive value (test data, area under the receiver operating curve, acute ischemic stroke with/without large vessel occlusions 0.898/0.882, intracranial hemorrhage 0.866, subarachnoid hemorrhage 0.926). Prehospital diagnostic algorithms using machine learning had high predictive value for strokes and their subcategories.
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Serviços Médicos de Emergência/métodos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/diagnóstico , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos ProspectivosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Cellular patterns in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) are used to distinguish or rule out particular diseases in patients with acute respiratory failure (ARF). However, whether BALF cellular patterns can predict mortality or not is unknown. We test the hypothesis that BALF cellular patterns have predictive value for mortality in patients with ARF. METHODS: This was a retrospective single-center observational study conducted in a Japanese University Hospital. Consecutive patients (n = 78) with both pulmonary infiltrates and ARF who were examined by bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) between April 2015 and May 2018 with at least 1 year of follow-up were analyzed. Primary analysis was receiver operating characteristic curve-area under the curve (ROC-AUC) analysis for 1-year mortality. RESULTS: Among the final sample size of 78 patients, survivors (n = 56) had significantly increased lymphocyte and eosinophil counts and decreased neutrophil counts in BALF compared with non-survivors (n = 22). Among the fractions, lymphocyte count was the most significantly different (30 [12-50] vs. 7.0 [2.9-13]%, P <0.0001). In the ROC curve analysis of the association of BALF lymphocytes with 1-year mortality, the AUC was 0.787 (P <0.0001, cut-off value [Youden index] 19.0%). Furthermore, ≥20% BALF lymphocytes were significantly associated with increased survival with adjustment for baseline imbalances (1-year adjusted hazard ratio, 0.0929; 95% confidence interval, 0.0147-0.323, P <0.0001; 90-day P =0.0012). Increased survival was significantly associated with ≥20% BALF lymphocytes in both interstitial lung disease (ILD) and non-ILD subgroups (P =0.0052 and P =0.0033, respectively). In secondary outcome analysis, patients with ≥20% BALF lymphocytes had significantly increased ventilator-free days, which represents less respiratory dysfunction than those with <20% BALF lymphocytes. CONCLUSIONS: In the patients with ARF, ≥20% lymphocytes in BALF was associated with significantly less ventilatory support, lower mortality at both 90-day and 1-year follow-ups.
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BACKGROUND: Predicting multiple organ dysfunction (MOD) in the late phase of critical illnesses is essential. Cytokines are considered biomarkers that can predict clinical outcomes; however, their predictive value for late-phase MOD is unknown. This study aimed to identify the biomarker with the highest predictive value for late-phase MOD. METHODS: This observational study prospectively evaluated data on adult patients with systemic inflammatory response syndrome, those who presented to the emergency department or were admitted to intensive care units in five tertiary hospitals (nâ=â174). Seven blood biomarkers levels (interleukin-6 [IL-6], IL-8, IL-10, tumor-necrosis factor-α, white blood cells, C-reactive protein, and procalcitonin) were measured at three timepoints (days 0, 1, and 2). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was analyzed to evaluate predictive values for MOD (primary outcome, MOD on day 7 [late-phase]; secondary outcome, MOD on day 3 [early-phase]). RESULTS: Of the measured 7 biomarkers, blood IL-6 levels on day 2 had the highest predictive value for MOD on day 7 using single timepoint data (AUC 0.825, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.754-0.879). Using three timepoint biomarkers, blood IL-6 levels had the highest predictive value of MOD on day 7 (AUC 0.838, 95% CI 0.768-0.890). Blood IL-6 levels using three timepoint biomarkers had also the highest predictive value for MOD on day 3 (AUC 0.836, 95% CI 0.766-0.888). CONCLUSION: Of the measured biomarkers, blood IL-6 levels had the highest predictive value for MOD on days 3 and 7. Blood IL-6 levels predict early- and late-phase MOD in critically ill patients.
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Interleucina-6/sangue , Insuficiência de Múltiplos Órgãos/sangue , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Biomarcadores/sangue , Estado Terminal , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Estudos ProspectivosRESUMO
The blood lactate level is used to guide the management of trauma patients with circulatory disturbance. We hypothesized that blood lactate levels at the scene (Lac scene) could improve the prediction for immediate interventions for hemorrhage. We prospectively measured blood lactate levels and assessed retrospectively in 435 trauma patients both at the scene and on arrival at the emergency room (ER) of a level I trauma center. Primary outcome was immediate intervention for hemorrhage defined as surgical/radiological intervention and/or blood transfusion within 24 h. Physiological variables plus Lac scene significantly increased the predictive value for immediate intervention (area under the curve [AUC] 0.882, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.839-0.925) compared to that using physiological variables only (AUC 0.837, 95% CI 0.787-0.887, P = 0.0073), replicated in the validation cohort (n = 85). There was no significant improvement in predicting value of physiological variables plus Lac scene for massive transfusion compared to physiological variables (AUC 0.903 vs 0.895, P = 0.32). The increased blood lactate level per minute from scene to ER was associated with increased probability for immediate intervention (P < 0.0001). Both adding Lac scene to physiological variables and the temporal elevation of blood lactate levels from scene to ER could improve the prediction of the immediate intervention.
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Hemorragia/sangue , Hemorragia/diagnóstico , Ácido Láctico/sangue , Ferimentos e Lesões/sangue , Ferimentos e Lesões/diagnóstico , Adulto , Área Sob a Curva , Transfusão de Sangue/métodos , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/métodos , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Estudos Prospectivos , Curva ROC , Centros de Traumatologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: In vivo fluorescence imaging can quantify vascular permeability without requiring sacrifice of animals. However, use of this noninvasive approach for vascular permeability assessment in remote organ injury caused by systemic inflammatory disease has not been reported. METHODS: Evans blue (EB) and Genhance 750 fluorescent dye were mixed and injected into mice. The lung as a remote organ and the footpad as a noninvasive observational site were assessed in a cecal ligation and puncture (CLP)-induced systemic inflammation mouse model and compared with sham and hydrocortisone pretreated (CLPâ+âHC) mouse models. Extraction of EB in harvested tissues was assessed as a conventional indicator of vascular permeability. Fluorescent intensities in the footpad or harvested lung were assessed and their correlation was analyzed to investigate this novel, noninvasive approach for estimation of lung vascular permeability. RESULTS: Fluorescent intensity in the footpad and harvested lung in the CLP group was significantly higher than in the other groups (footpad, sham vs. CLP, Pâ<â0.0001; CLP vs. CLPâ+âHC, Pâ=â0.0004; sham vs. CLPâ+âHC, Pâ=â0.058; lung, sham vs. CLP, Pâ<â0.0001; CLP vs. CLPâ+âHC, Pâ<â0.0001; sham vs. CLPâ+âHC, Pâ=â0.060). The fluorescent intensity in the footpad was strongly correlated with that in the lung (râ=â0.95). CONCLUSIONS: This fluorescent technique may be useful for vascular permeability assessment based on EB quantification. Footpad fluorescent intensity was strongly correlated with that in the lung, and may be a suitable indicator in noninvasive estimation of lung vascular permeability.
Assuntos
Inflamação/diagnóstico por imagem , Inflamação/metabolismo , Lesão Pulmonar Aguda , Animais , Permeabilidade Capilar/efeitos dos fármacos , Ceco/lesões , Modelos Animais de Doenças , Fluorescência , Inflamação/induzido quimicamente , Ligadura/efeitos adversos , Pulmão/diagnóstico por imagem , Pulmão/metabolismo , Pulmão/patologia , Masculino , Camundongos , Camundongos Endogâmicos C57BL , Mostardeira/efeitos adversos , Óleos de Plantas/efeitos adversos , Punções/efeitos adversos , Sepse/diagnóstico por imagem , Sepse/metabolismoRESUMO
The role of autophagy in the maintenance of renal homeostasis during sepsis is not well understood. We therefore aimed to determine the influence of autophagy on kidney during sepsis using a murine sepsis model, i.e. cecal ligation and puncture (CLP). In CLP treated animals, the number of autolysosomes observed by electron microscopy increased over time. The number of autophagosomes in CLP animals decreased relative sham operated controls at 24 hrs after CLP, indicating that autophagy flux is already diminishing by that time. Moreover, CLP induced an increase in LC3-II/LC3-I ratio at 6-8 hrs, demonstrated in western blots, as well as an increase in GFP-LC3 dots at 6-8 hrs and 24 hrs, using immunofluorescence and anti-LC3 and LAMP1 antibodies on tissue sections from GFP-LC3 transgenic mice. LC3-II/LC3-I ratio and the number of co-localized GFP-LC3 dots and LAMP1 signals (GFP LC3 + LAMP1 dots) in CLP mice at 24 hrs were significantly reduced compared with data obtained at 6-8 hrs. Notably, acceleration of autophagy by rapamycin resulted in improvement of renal function that was associated with improvement in the histologic severity of tubular epithelial injury in CLP treated animals. Autophagy in the kidney was significantly slowed in the kidney during the acute phase of sepsis; nonetheless, autophagy in kidney appears to play a protective role against sepsis.