Effect of early tumor response on the health-related quality of life among patients on second-line chemotherapy for advanced gastric cancer in the ABSOLUTE trial.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated the association between early tumor response at 8 weeks, previously reported as a positive outcome prognosticator, and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in advanced gastric cancer (AGC) patients enrolled in the ABSOLUTE trial. METHODS: HRQOL was assessed using the EuroQol-5 Dimension (EQ-5D) utility index score in patients with complete response (CR) + partial response (PR) and progressive disease (PD) at 8 weeks, and time-to-deterioration (TtD) of the EQ-5D score, with the preset minimally important difference (MID) of 0.05, was compared between these populations. Among the enrolled patients, 143 and 160 patients were assessable in weekly solvent-based paclitaxel (Sb-PTX) arm and weekly nanoparticle albumin-bound paclitaxel (nab-PTX) arm, respectively. RESULTS: Changes of the EQ-5D score from baseline to 8 weeks in the nab-PTX arm were 0.0009 and - 0.1229 in CR + PR and PD patients, respectively; the corresponding values for the Sb-PTX arm were - 0.0019 and - 0.1549. For both treatments, changes of the EQ-5D score from baseline at 8 weeks were significantly larger in patients with PD than in those with CR + PR. The median TtD was 3.9 and 2.2 months in patients with CR + PR and PD, respectively, for nab-PTX [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.595, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.358-0.989]. For Sb-PTX, the corresponding values were 4.7 and 2.0 months (HR = 0.494, 95% CI 0.291-0.841). CONCLUSIONS: Early tumor shrinkage was associated with maintained HRQOL in AGC patients on the second-line chemotherapy with taxanes.

Peritoneal metastasis as a predictive factor for nab-paclitaxel in patients with pretreated advanced gastric cancer: an exploratory analysis of the phase III ABSOLUTE trial.

BACKGROUND: In the ABSOLUTE trial, weekly nanoparticle albumin-bound paclitaxel (w-nab-PTX) showed non-inferiority to weekly solvent-based paclitaxel (w-sb-PTX) for overall survival (OS). Thus, w-nab-PTX might be an option for second-line chemotherapy in advanced gastric cancer (AGC). However, predictive factors for efficacies of these agents have not been evaluated. METHODS: Patients previously enrolled in the ABSOLUTE trial were divided into apparent peritoneal metastasis group (PM group) and no apparent peritoneal metastasis group (no PM group) based on baseline imaging evaluated by RECIST ver. 1.1 criteria and amount of ascites. OS, progression-free survival, and overall response rate were compared between two arms in each group. RESULTS: This study included 240 and 243 patients in the w-nab-PTX and w-sb-PTX arms, respectively. In the PM group, the w-nab-PTX arm (n = 88) had longer OS than the w-sb-PTX arm (n = 103), and median survival time (MST) of 9.9 and 8.7 months [hazard ratio (HR) 0.63; 95% CI 0.45-0.88; P = 0.0060], respectively. In the no PM group, the w-nab-PTX arm (n = 140) had shorter OS than the w-sb-PTX arm (n = 152), and MST of 11.6 and 15.7 months (HR 1.40; 95% CI 1.06-1.86; P = 0.0180), respectively. After adjusting for prognostic factors, the HR for OS in the w-nab-PTX arm versus the w-sb-PTX arm was 0.59 (95% CI 0.42-0.83; P = 0.0023; PM group) and 1.34 (95% CI 1.01-1.78; P = 0.0414; no PM group), with significant interaction between treatment efficacy and presence of peritoneal metastasis (P = 0.0003). CONCLUSIONS: The presence of apparent peritoneal metastasis might be a predictive factor for selecting w-nab-PTX for pretreated AGC patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: JapicCTI-132059.

Reducing overestimation of the treatment effect by interim analysis when designing clinical trials.

WHAT IS KNOWN AND OBJECTIVE: Several researchers in the statistical and medical communities have noted the overestimation of the treatment effect when a trial is stopped early in the interim analysis for efficacy; however, methods to reduce this overestimation are rarely used because the overestimation mechanisms are not well understood by many in clinical trial practice. A trial design that leads to less overestimation is needed. METHODS: A computer simulation of hypothetical clinical trials is used to visually explain why the overestimation occurs. A quantitative evaluation of the magnitude of the overestimation is made according to the characteristics of the trial design, such as the total number of events, number of events in the interim analysis, proportion of the number of events to total events and the type of α-spending function. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: When the total number of events was more than or equal to 300 and the proportion of the interim events was larger than 50%, the overestimation was acceptable. Moreover, even if the total number of events was 150, the overestimation was sufficiently small when the proportion of the interim events was >70% and a Pocock type α-spending function was used. The overestimation decreased when the total number of events and the proportion of the number of events in the interim analysis increased. In addition, the overestimation of the Pocock type α-spending function was smaller in comparison with that of the O'Brien-Fleming type, which is widely accepted for confirmatory trials. WHAT IS NEW AND CONCLUSION: We recommend setting the proportion of events in the interim analysis at 50% when the O'Brien-Fleming type α-spending function is used in confirmatory trials to reduce the risk of overestimation. In contrast, the Pocock type boundary could be used in explanatory trials.

Conditional estimation using prior information in 2-stage group sequential designs assuming asymptotic normality when the trial terminated early.

Two-stage designs are widely used to determine whether a clinical trial should be terminated early. In such trials, a maximum likelihood estimate is often adopted to describe the difference in efficacy between the experimental and reference treatments; however, this method is known to display conditional bias. To reduce such bias, a conditional mean-adjusted estimator (CMAE) has been proposed, although the remaining bias may be nonnegligible when a trial is stopped for efficacy at the interim analysis. We propose a new estimator for adjusting the conditional bias of the treatment effect by extending the idea of the CMAE. This estimator is calculated by weighting the maximum likelihood estimate obtained at the interim analysis and the effect size prespecified when calculating the sample size. We evaluate the performance of the proposed estimator through analytical and simulation studies in various settings in which a trial is stopped for efficacy or futility at the interim analysis. We find that the conditional bias of the proposed estimator is smaller than that of the CMAE when the information time at the interim analysis is small. In addition, the mean-squared error of the proposed estimator is also smaller than that of the CMAE. In conclusion, we recommend the use of the proposed estimator for trials that are terminated early for efficacy or futility.

Efficacy of Trabectedin in Patients with Advanced Translocation-Related Sarcomas: Pooled Analysis of Two Phase II Studies.

BACKGROUND: Trabectedin is reported as effective, especially against translocation-related sarcomas (TRSs) after failure of or intolerance to standard chemotherapy. We conducted two phase II studies of TRS, confirming high efficacy of 1.2 mg/m2 trabectedin. The updated data of 66 patients in these studies was integrated to evaluate the efficacy of trabectedin against each histological subtype, and analyze final overall survival (OS). METHODS: Trabectedin was administered on day one of a 21-day cycle. Efficacy was assessed using progression-free survival (PFS), OS, and best overall response. An analysis of OS and PFS was performed for subgroups divided by baseline lymphocyte count (<1,000/µL, ≥1,000/µL) or number of previous chemotherapy regimens (0, 1, 2, ≥3 regimens), and a Weibull parametric model was used to estimate the numerical relationship between lymphocyte count and PFS and OS. RESULTS: Median PFS and OS in overall patients were 5.6 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.1-7.3) and 17.5 months (95% CI: 12.6-23.6), respectively. PFS in the myxoid and round-cell liposarcoma (MRCL) group (7.4 months [95% CI: 5.6-11.1]) was longer than in the other subtypes. The response rate was also highest in the MRCL group. Median OS was longer in patients with baseline lymphocyte counts ≥1,000/µL than in those with counts of <1,000/µL, but median PFS was not different between the two subgroups. CONCLUSION: Our updated and pooled data showed that trabectedin exerted prolonged disease control and antitumor effects in patients with advanced TRS, especially in MRCL. We consider that the subgroup analyses also provide important information for trabectedin treatment in patients with TRS. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: The progression-free survival (PFS) for the integrated data of 66 patients with translocation-related sarcomas (TRSs) in two phase II studies of trabectedin 1.2 mg/m2 was 5.6 months (95% confidence interval: 4.1-7.3). PFS and response rate in myxoid/round-cell liposarcoma was longer than that of other subtypes. The overall survival (OS) in all TRS subtypes was similar to previous data of TRS patients. In subgroup analysis, the patients with baseline lymphocyte count ≥1,000/µL exhibited better OS, although PFS was not different by baseline lymphocyte count. Our data are considered important information for trabectedin treatment in TRS patients.

Comparison of conditional bias-adjusted estimators for interim analysis in clinical trials with survival data.

Group sequential designs are widely used in clinical trials to determine whether a trial should be terminated early. In such trials, maximum likelihood estimates are often used to describe the difference in efficacy between the experimental and reference treatments; however, these are well known for displaying conditional and unconditional biases. Established bias-adjusted estimators include the conditional mean-adjusted estimator (CMAE), conditional median unbiased estimator, conditional uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator (CUMVUE), and weighted estimator. However, their performances have been inadequately investigated. In this study, we review the characteristics of these bias-adjusted estimators and compare their conditional bias, overall bias, and conditional mean-squared errors in clinical trials with survival endpoints through simulation studies. The coverage probabilities of the confidence intervals for the four estimators are also evaluated. We find that the CMAE reduced conditional bias and showed relatively small conditional mean-squared errors when the trials terminated at the interim analysis. The conditional coverage probability of the conditional median unbiased estimator was well below the nominal value. In trials that did not terminate early, the CUMVUE performed with less bias and an acceptable conditional coverage probability than was observed for the other estimators. In conclusion, when planning an interim analysis, we recommend using the CUMVUE for trials that do not terminate early and the CMAE for those that terminate early. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Safety Profile and Adverse Event Management for Futibatinib, An Irreversible FGFR1-4 Inhibitor: Pooled Safety Analysis of 469 Patients.

PURPOSE: Futibatinib, a covalently-binding inhibitor of fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR)1-4 gained approval for the treatment of refractory, advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) harboring an FGFR2 fusion/other rearrangement. An integrated analysis was performed to evaluate safety and provide guidance on the management of futibatinib-associated adverse events (AEs) in patients with unresectable/metastatic tumors, including iCCA. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data from three global phase I or II studies of futibatinib (NCT02052778; JapicCTI-142552) were pooled. AEs were graded per NCI CTCAE v4.03, where applicable. Safety was analyzed for patients receiving any futibatinib starting dose (overall population) and in those receiving the approved starting dose of 20 mg once every day. RESULTS: In total, 469 patients with one of 33 known tumor types were analyzed, including 318 patients who received futibatinib 20 mg every day. AEs of clinical interest (AECI; any grade/grade ≥3) in the overall population included hyperphosphatemia (82%/19%), nail disorders (27%/1%), hepatic AEs (27%/11%), stomatitis (19%/3%), palmar-plantar erythrodysesthesia syndrome (PPES; 13%/3%), rash (9%/0%), retinal disorders (8%/0%), and cataract (4%/1%). Median time to onset of grade ≥3 AECIs ranged from 9 days (hyperphosphatemia) to 125 days (cataract). Grade ≥3 hyperphosphatemia, hepatic AEs, PPES, and nail disorders resolved to grade ≤2 within a median of 7, 7, 8, and 28 days, respectively. Discontinuations due to treatment-related AEs were rare (2%), and no treatment-related deaths occurred. AE management included phosphate-lowering medication and dose adjustments. CONCLUSIONS: Futibatinib showed a consistent and manageable safety profile across patients with various tumor types. AECIs were mostly reversible with appropriate clinical management.

Assessment of Hazard Ratios in Oncology Clinical Trials Terminated Early for Superiority: A Systematic Review.

Importance: Group sequential designs allow potential early trial termination at the interim analysis, before study completion. Traditional maximum likelihood estimate is commonly used to quantify the treatment effect in group sequential design trials; however, in published clinical trials, a bias-adjusted estimator has rarely been reported. Objective: To emphasize the need for considering overestimation of treatment effect by applying 2 bias-adjusted estimators to previously published, early-terminated oncology clinical trials. Evidence Review: Trials published from 2013 to 2017 were identified by searching MEDLINE and Embase on February 23, 2018. This review was restricted to oncology clinical trials using group sequential designs with a single preplanned interim analysis as well as 2-arm randomized clinical trials that were subsequently stopped for efficacy reasons. Each article was independently reviewed by 3 biostatisticians during text screening, and differences in opinion were resolved by discussion. This report presents the unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) of an experimental arm to a reference arm and 2 bias-adjusted HRs calculated by using the conditional mean-adjusted estimator (CMAE) and weighted CMAE (WCMAE). Findings: In total, 198 abstracts were screened for eligibility, of which, 19 eligible clinical trials were identified as applicable to the bias-adjusted estimators. Unadjusted HRs ranged from 0.203 (95% CI, 0.150-0.276) to 0.71 (95% CI, 0.60-0.84), number of events at the interim analysis from 58 to 540, and information time from 48% to 82%. In each study, the HRs adjusted by CMAE and WCMAE were higher than the unadjusted HR. Bias-adjusted estimates in large trials (243 and 414 events at the interim analysis) were similar to the unadjusted HR. However, in small trials (eg, with 58 events at the interim analysis), bias-adjusted estimates were highly disparate from the unadjusted HR. In trials with large treatment effects (eg, HRs of 0.20 and 0.22), the difference between unadjusted and bias-adjusted HRs was small even though the number of events at the interim analysis was small; larger differences were observed when the unadjusted HR was greater than 0.5. Conclusions and Relevance: In this systematic review of oncology clinical trials that were stopped for efficacy at the interim analysis, relatively large differences were noted between the unadjusted and adjusted HRs when the number of events at the interim analysis was small or when the unadjusted HR was close to the boundaries. These findings suggest presenting the 2 bias-adjusted HRs along with the unadjusted HR in the data monitoring committee meeting.

The effect of geometry of the tibial polyethylene insert on the tibiofemoral contact kinematics in Advance Medial Pivot total knee arthroplasty.

BACKGROUND: In modern total knee arthroplasty (TKA), it is important to reproduce both medial pivot motion and posterior femoral rollback to obtain greater postoperative knee flexion. Several studies have reported the factors affecting knee motion and range of motion after TKA. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of the tibial insert geometry on the tibiofemoral contact kinematics, especially focusing on the medial pivot motion and posterior femoral rollback. METHODS: Seven cadaveric knees were replaced with the Advance Medial Pivot TKA, and two different geometries of polyethylene tibial insert, the standard medial pivot design (MP-design) and double high design (DH-design), were biomechanically compared. Four experimental configurations were evaluated in each specimen in this order: (1) the MP-design with posterior cruciate ligament (PCL) retaining, (2) the DH-design with PCL retaining, (3) the MP-design with PCL sacrificing, and (4) the DH-design with PCL sacrificing. RESULTS: Under the PCL-retaining condition, both designs showed no medial pivot but bicondylar femoral rollback more than 60 degrees of knee flexion. In the MP-design, tibiofemoral contact point (estimated contact point, ECP) of the medial compartment was located on the posterior lip of the ball-insocket structure while demonstrating greater than 120 degrees of knee flexion. The posterior translation was also the same in both designs. On the other hand, ECP of the MP-design and the DH-design showed only medial pivot pattern under the PCL-sacrificing condition. In the DH-design, ECP of the lateral compartment showed paradoxical anterior translation from 0 degrees to 60 degrees of knee flexion. Total posterior translation was significantly greater in the lateral compartment than that in the medial compartment. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study suggest that in this type of TKA system the ball-in-socket geometry in the MP-design has an advantage for reproducing medial pivot motion in the PCL-sacrificing condition, and the flexion path structure in the DH-design is considered to be both effective and safe for femoral rollback in the PCL-retaining condition. However, neither design is sufficient to reproduce medial pivot motion and posterior femoral rollback. Therefore, a different design of tibial insert is needed for more physiological kinematics after TKA.