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1.
J Hosp Infect ; 59(4): 331-42, 2005 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15749322

RESUMO

Critically ill patients, eligible for admission into intensive care units (ICUs), are often hospitalized in other wards due to a lack of ICU beds. Differences in morbidity between patients managed in ICUs and elsewhere are unknown, specifically the morbidity related to hospital-acquired infection. Patients fitting ICU admission criteria were identified by screening five entire hospitals on four separate days. Hospital infections within a 30-day follow-up period were compared in ICU patients and in patients on other wards using Kaplan-Meier curves. Residual differences in the patients' case mix between ICUs and other wards were adjusted for utilizing multivariate Cox models. Of 13415 patients screened, 668 were critically ill. The overall infection rates (per 100 patient-days) were 1.2 for bloodstream infection (BSI) and 1.9 for urinary tract infection (UTI). The adjusted hazard ratios in ICU patients compared with patients on regular wards were 3.1 (P<0.001) for BSI and 2.5 (P<0.001) for UTI. This increased risk persisted even after adjusting for the disparity in the number of cultures sent from ICUs compared with ordinary wards. No interdepartmental differences were found in the rates of pneumonia, surgical wound infections and other infections. Minimizing the differences between characteristics of patients hospitalized in ICUs and in other wards, and controlling for the higher frequency of cultures sent from ICUs did not eliminate the increased risk of BSI and UTI associated with admission into ICUs.


Assuntos
Bacteriemia/mortalidade , Infecção Hospitalar/mortalidade , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva/estatística & dados numéricos , Admissão do Paciente , Medição de Risco , Infecções Urinárias/mortalidade , Idoso , Bacteriemia/etiologia , Bacteriemia/prevenção & controle , Estado Terminal/mortalidade , Infecção Hospitalar/etiologia , Infecção Hospitalar/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Controle de Infecções , Israel/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Quartos de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Fatores de Risco , Infecções Urinárias/etiologia , Infecções Urinárias/prevenção & controle
2.
Ann Epidemiol ; 2(3): 263-72, 1992 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1342277

RESUMO

In a prospective follow-up of 2846 patients who underwent hernia repair in 22 general surgery departments in Israel, factors affecting early or late infections were explored. Risk factors included inherent patient characteristics such as old age, ethnic group, and type of hernia prior to the surgery. Patient management factors included duration of the operation, use of urinary catheters, and use of drains. Of the 12 variables studied, only three had a constant effect during the entire 30-day follow-up. The other factors affected the occurrence of either early or late infections, but not both. For example, patients undergoing long operations, or from ethnic minorities, had a high rate of early infection, while those with special wound treatment (such as evacuation of hematomas) had high rates of late infection. It is postulated that factors present at the time of the operative incision tend to "cause" early infections, while factors that accumulate over time, or develop after leaving the operating theater, tend to affect late infections.


Assuntos
Herniorrafia , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/etiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Análise de Regressão , Fatores de Risco
3.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 45(10): 1155-63, 1992 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1474412

RESUMO

A multicenter study of 2846 consecutive hernia operations was conducted to identify risk factors for infections that occurred during the hospitalization and post-discharge from hospital. Operated patients were followed-up for 30 days after surgery, whether at home or still hospitalized, and half the wound infection episodes were found to occur at home. Risk factors for both in-hospital and post-discharge infections seemed to be influenced by; (a) the selective nature of discharge, (b) the differential effect some risk factors had on either early or late infections. On any given day, patients selected by the clinical team to remain in hospital were more "at risk" for infection than those who left. As a result, they had a better chance of being diagnosed as infected during hospitalization. By contrast, those who were discharged home were perceived as low risk for complications. Subsequent infections in these patients occurred either due to factors "causing" late infections, therefore, unappreciated at the time of discharge, or unknown risk factors. More study risk factors were associated with in-hospital than with post-discharge infections, especially those associated with "early" infections. The implications of these findings for future evaluations of medical care in hospitalized patients are discussed.


Assuntos
Alta do Paciente , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica , Feminino , Humanos , Israel , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Alta do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco
4.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 46(2): 133-40, 1993 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8437029

RESUMO

Risk factors for wound infection in operations involving the opening of the gastrointestinal (GI) tract, were explored in a prospective study. There were 813 consecutive operations performed during a period of 9-14 months in 11 Israeli hospitals. The total crude infection rate was 21.6%, and the respective rates for operations on the stomach, small bowel and colon were 14.8, 21.4 and 25.4%. Of 17 putative risk factors, the strongest predictor was the performance of 2 or more operations during the same admission. Other significant risk factors were: a diagnosis of intestinal obstruction or perforation, introduction of an open drain, emergency admission, age over 40, hospital stay prior to surgery 7 or more days, urinary catheter and infection on admission. Adjustment for these factors in a logistic regression model reduced the effect of the anatomical site of the operation (i.e. large bowel vs stomach) to a non-significant level.


Assuntos
Procedimentos Cirúrgicos do Sistema Digestório , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/etiologia , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Emergências , Feminino , Humanos , Obstrução Intestinal/complicações , Perfuração Intestinal/complicações , Israel/epidemiologia , Tempo de Internação , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Análise Multivariada , Estudos Prospectivos , Reoperação , Fatores de Risco , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/epidemiologia
5.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 49(9): 1003-7, 1996 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8780608

RESUMO

The objective of this study was to develop a method for analyzing differences in the performance of hospitals with respect to outcome by separating patient factors from procedural factors. The setting included a prospective follow-up of a sample of 5571 patients undergoing all types of surgical procedures in general surgery departments of 11 hospitals (20 surgical departments) across Israel. Of these, 769 underwent surgery involving the opening of the bowel, and they are the subjects of this report. Our method consisted of a prospective follow-up by a nurse epidemiologist, including detailed clinical data from the day of admission to hospital discharge. Analysis was directed at identifying reasons for the observed variability in wound infections among departments. Observed rates were compared with "expected" rates calculated from a logistic model pooled over departments. An attempt was made to separate patient-inherent characteristics, such as age, sex, and diagnosis, from procedural factors, depicting the patient's experience during his hospitalization. Results indicated that the marked interdepartmental differences in the observed infection rates were not accounted for by differences in the "case mix" among departments. Procedural risk factors in this data set played the main role in explaining the observed variability among surgical departments. We conclude that the simple method presented here used the data pooled over departments to define the main risk determinants for infection in this data set. It separated intrinsic patient factors from procedural characteristics, and could be used in studies where the main interest is to compare institutions, and point at reasons behind the differences in outcomes.


Assuntos
Procedimentos Cirúrgicos do Sistema Digestório , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Centro Cirúrgico Hospitalar/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/epidemiologia , Adulto , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Israel/epidemiologia , Análise Multivariada , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Centro Cirúrgico Hospitalar/normas
6.
J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg ; 121(5): 909-19, 2001 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11326234

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: We sought to examine the effect of sociodemographic characteristics and perioperative clinical factors 1 year after coronary bypass operations on low health-related quality of life. We also sought to assess the usefulness of an additional single question on overall health for identifying patients with low health-related quality of life. METHODS: This report is part of the Israeli coronary artery bypass study of 1994, in which every patient undergoing isolated coronary bypass grafting in Israel was included. The target population for this report comprised all survivors beyond 1 year who were 45 to 65 years of age. Patients were interviewed before the operations. Self-administered questionnaires regarding health-related quality of life (SF-36) were sent to 1724 patients who were successfully located 1 year postoperatively, and 1270 questionnaires were completed. Low health-related quality of life was defined as the lowest tertile of the distribution of scores for the 2 summary components of the SF-36 and the single question on overall health. Logistic models were constructed for each of the 3 outcomes. RESULTS: Female sex and low socioeconomic background were associated with low health-related quality of life in the logistic models. Other significant factors were symptoms of angina, sleep disturbances, hypertension, high severity of illness scores, hospital readmission, no rehabilitation, and hospitals with high perioperative mortality. Of the 3 study outcomes, the model for the single question on overall health was the most discriminating (C statistic = 0.76 vs 0.70 and 0.70, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The study identifies patients who would most benefit from posthospitalization community support after bypass operations. Under circumstances of limited resources, these disadvantaged groups should be targeted as a priority. Encouraging participation in existing rehabilitation programs or introducing telephone hotlines could improve health-related quality of life after coronary bypass grafting without large investments.


Assuntos
Ponte de Artéria Coronária , Qualidade de Vida , Idoso , Feminino , Nível de Saúde , Humanos , Israel , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Inquéritos e Questionários
7.
Int J Epidemiol ; 20(4): 1081-7, 1991 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1800407

RESUMO

In an epidemic of Shigella sonnei gastroenteritis, probably waterborne, 1216 people were affected within three weeks, 302 of them members of communal settlements, the kibbutzim. A descriptive study of the epidemic in six affected kibbutzim in the area showed that the highest rates of diarrhoea occurred in a kibbutz that received its drinking water solely from the allegedly contaminated well. People at high risk within the kibbutzim were temporary visitors from Europe and the US (the volunteers), children aged 1 to 5 years, adult women, and children and their mothers in kibbutzim where the sleeping arrangements for the children was in 'children's houses'.


Assuntos
Surtos de Doenças , Disenteria Bacilar/epidemiologia , Gastroenterite/epidemiologia , Shigella sonnei , Microbiologia da Água , Adolescente , Adulto , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Gastroenterite/microbiologia , Humanos , Lactente , Israel/epidemiologia , Masculino , Fatores de Risco , Saúde da População Rural
8.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 9(6): 241-9, 1988 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-3403935

RESUMO

In a study of 5,571 patients from the general surgery departments of 11 Israeli hospitals, the crude overall wound infection rates showed interhospital heterogeneity. The rates ranged from 6.3% to 12.4% (P(chi 2) = 0.039). Controlling for the different distributions of procedures performed in the various institutions did not reduce this variability. None of the hospitals had either consistently high or consistently low infection rates. A hospital could have low rates for one procedure and high rates for another. Therefore, the decision was made to proceed with procedure-specific analyses. This article details results of the analysis of 1,487 hernia operations. Four variables (old age, infection at another site, incarceration, and introduction of drains) accounted for almost all the differences in infection rates among the institutions. Of the four, presence of drains had the strongest association with infection (P derived from the logistic model less than 0.001). The risk was consistent in all hospitals and was unconfounded by other measurable factors. In contrast, the pattern of using drains seemed arbitrary and inconsistent, ranging from 9% of patients in one hospital to 41% in another. These findings were used as a basis for discussion with the surgical teams and for the initiation of a randomized clinical trial on the use of drains in hernia operations.


Assuntos
Herniorrafia , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/epidemiologia , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Colo/cirurgia , Drenagem/efeitos adversos , Vesícula Biliar/cirurgia , Hospitais Gerais , Humanos , Israel , Masculino , Vigilância da População , Recidiva , Fatores de Risco , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/etiologia
9.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 19(5): 317-22, 1998 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9613691

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To assess the utility of postoperative antibiotic exposure as an indicator of postoperative infection after coronary artery bypass graft surgery. DESIGN: We determined an optimal antibiotic exposure threshold by creating receiver operating characteristic curves. SETTING: Tertiary healthcare institution (United States); national sample (Israel). PATIENTS: 5,887 patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery. RESULTS: Postoperative antibiotic exposure with at least 9 days between the first and last dates of antibiotic administration, excluding the first postoperative day, had a sensitivity of 95% (261/276) and specificity of 85% (3,944/4,628) for identifying surgical-site infection, using as a gold standard surgical-site infections identified by conventional prospective surveillance or extrapolated from review of a sample of medical records. In contrast, using the same gold standard for surgical-site infections, the sensitivity of routine prospective surveillance alone was only 60%. The predictive value positive of the defined antibiotic exposure was 28% (261/945) for surgical-site infection and 60% (563/945) for any nosocomial infection. In the Israeli cohort, the sensitivity was 87% (74/85) and the specificity was 82% (735/898). CONCLUSION: Antibiotic exposure of sufficient duration and timing was more sensitive than conventional methods in detecting nosocomial infection and required substantially less effort to collect. Although the predictive value positive for surgical-site infection was only moderate, the majority of individuals identified this way had a nosocomial infection.


Assuntos
Antibioticoprofilaxia , Ponte de Artéria Coronária , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica , Infecção Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Infecção Hospitalar/prevenção & controle , Hospitais com mais de 500 Leitos , Hospitais de Ensino , Humanos , Israel , Massachusetts , Período Pós-Operatório , Curva ROC , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/epidemiologia , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/prevenção & controle
10.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 9(6): 232-40, 1988 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-3403934

RESUMO

The postoperative wound infection experience in 11 Israeli hospitals was investigated with two objectives: (1) to utilize the variability among hospitals for a better understanding of the determinants of these infections, and (2) to present surgeons and infection control teams with information upon which they can take action. This article summarizes the methods that were applied to maximize the uniformity of information obtained from hospitals. (1) The same kind of patients were sampled in every hospital. (2) The data collection system was standardized, and analyzed for errors. The overall error rate was small (2%) but there were potential problem areas, such as missing information on underlying diagnoses (12%). Few errors (1%) were found in the nurses' observations of the wounds. (3) All wound infections were diagnosed in a uniform manner by convening a panel of four specialists at the central Israeli Study of Surgical Infections (ISSI) office. (4) The definition of infection that was finally chosen for this multicenter study had to be broadened to include, in addition to pus, "discharge other than pus," because of the higher reliability among panel members. This definition was also clinically valid in terms of morbidity. (5) The rate of postdischarge infections was estimated and was not found to be related to the discharge policies in the various hospitals.


Assuntos
Vigilância da População , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/epidemiologia , Coleta de Dados/normas , Hospitais Gerais , Humanos , Israel , Tempo de Internação , Alta do Paciente , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/diagnóstico , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/etiologia
11.
Ann Thorac Surg ; 66(4): 1254-62; discussion 1263, 1998 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9800816

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Investigation of observed differences in outcomes among medical centers is of major interest to the medical community and the public and has a substantial impact on efforts to improve the quality of medical care. METHODS: This study analyzed data from consecutive patients who underwent isolated coronary artery bypass grafting at 14 medical centers. Data included demographic and clinical information, comorbidity, cardiac catheterization results, and 30-day postoperative vitality status. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify variables associated with mortality. An outlier hospital was defined as one having an observed mortality outside the 95% confidence interval boundaries around the expected mortality rate calculated, given the patient risk factors. RESULTS: The overall crude 30-day mortality rate for isolated coronary artery bypass grafting among the 4,835 patients in this study was 3.1%. The rate varied among centers, ranging from 0.85% to 7.05%. Predictors of 30-day mortality included advanced age, female sex, diabetes mellitus, poor left ventricular function, high creatinine level, high priority of operation, and three-vessel disease (with or without left main coronary artery disease). After adjustment for risk factors, two hospitals were defined as outliers. CONCLUSIONS: The observed disparity in early mortality among patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting is not due solely to differences in case mix.


Assuntos
Ponte de Artéria Coronária/mortalidade , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Israel/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde/métodos , Curva ROC , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco
12.
J Hosp Infect ; 5(2): 137-46, 1984 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-6205053

RESUMO

In a prospective study of 376 orthopaedic patients, the relative contribution of host factors and patient-care variables to the risk of postoperative wound infection was evaluated. Host factors studied were age, sex, ethnic origin and diagnosis. The number of operations, the insertion of an open drain, the use of prophylactic antibiotics and the length of the operation were the patient-care variables studied. Of the risk factors identified, the performance of more than one operation during an admission had the highest risk coefficient, followed by the presence of an open drain, internal fixation of a fracture, and spine fusion. Within the group of operations for internal fixation, those for fractures of the femur had the highest risk of infection. In spine fusions those operations lasting 5 or more hours were associated with a high risk of infection. The length of stay of infected patients was on average 17.9 days longer than that of their individually-matched non-infected controls.


Assuntos
Infecção Hospitalar/etiologia , Ortopedia , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/etiologia , Idoso , Análise de Variância , Drenagem/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Fraturas do Fêmur/complicações , Seguimentos , Fixação Interna de Fraturas/efeitos adversos , Humanos , Israel , Tempo de Internação , Masculino , Estudos Prospectivos , Reoperação/efeitos adversos , Risco , Fusão Vertebral/efeitos adversos
13.
J Hosp Infect ; 8(3): 283-95, 1986 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-2878034

RESUMO

A randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind and sequentially analysed clinical trial to determine the efficacy of intra-operative parenteral gentamicin and vancomycin (with streptomycin in the irrigating solution) in preventing infection at the operative site following neurosurgical procedures is described. Patients receiving prophylaxis had a significantly (P = 0.046) lower operative site infection rate (2/71 = 2.8%) than those receiving placebo (9/77 = 11.7%). This difference was most apparent during an epidemic, the source of which was not evident. Moreover, a total of 13 infections (two operative site, five pneumonia and six urinary tract) occurred among 12 patients receiving prophylaxis, whereas there was a total of 31 infections (nine operative site, nine pneumonia, 10 urinary tract and three septicaemia) among 24 patients receiving placebo. A smaller quantity of antimicrobial drugs was administered postoperatively to patients receiving prophylaxis (3.96 'antibiotic-days' per patient) than to those receiving placebo (6.87 'antibiotic-days' per patient).


Assuntos
Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Infecções Bacterianas/prevenção & controle , Neurocirurgia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/prevenção & controle , Derivações do Líquido Cefalorraquidiano , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto , Método Duplo-Cego , Feminino , Gentamicinas/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Período Intraoperatório , Masculino , Meningite/prevenção & controle , Pneumonia/prevenção & controle , Distribuição Aleatória , Sepse/prevenção & controle , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/prevenção & controle , Infecções Urinárias/prevenção & controle , Vancomicina/uso terapêutico
14.
Isr Med Assoc J ; 3(6): 399-403, 2001 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11433629

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To explore the putative effect of cardiac rehabilitation programs on the 'health-related quality of life' and 'return to work' in pre-retirement patients one year after coronary artery bypass grafting. METHODS: Of the 2,085 patients aged 45-64 who survived one year after CABG and were Israeli residents, 145 (6.9%) had participated in rehabilitation programs. Of these, 124 (83%) who answered QOL questionnaires were individually matched with 248 controls by gender, age within 5 years, and the time the questionnaire was answered. All patients had full clinical follow-up including a pre-operative interview. The Short Form-36 QOL questionnaire as well as a specific questionnaire were mailed to surviving patients one year after surgery. Study outcomes included the scores on eight scales and two summary components of the SF-36, as well as 'return to work' and 'satisfaction with medical services' from the specific questionnaire. Analysis was done for matched samples. RESULTS: Cardiac rehabilitation participants had significantly higher SF-36 scores in general health, physical functioning, and social functioning. They had borderline significant higher scores in the physical summary component of the SF-36. The specific questionnaire revealed significantly better overall functioning, higher satisfaction with medical care, and higher rate of return to work. While participants in cardiac rehabilitation and their controls were similar in their socio-demographic and clinical profiles, participating patients tended to be more physically active and more fully employed than their controls. CONCLUSIONS: Rehabilitation participants had a self-perception of better HRQOL, most significantly in social functioning. Our findings of more frequent return to work and higher satisfaction with medical care should induce a policy to encourage participation in cardiac rehabilitation programs after CABG.


Assuntos
Ponte de Artéria Coronária , Doença das Coronárias/reabilitação , Emprego/estatística & dados numéricos , Participação do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Qualidade de Vida , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Distribuição de Qui-Quadrado , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Israel , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Satisfação do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Resultado do Tratamento
15.
Mil Med ; 156(10): 520-7, 1991 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1749494

RESUMO

The development of post-surgical wound infection was compared in two groups of soldiers who sustained fractures or amputations on the battlefield during the first month of the 1982 and 1973 wars. Risk factors for the development of post-surgical wound infection were sought. In the 1982 group, numbering 184, the four variables independently associated with infection were multiple operations during the follow-up period; drains inserted in the first operation; extensive tissue loss; and blood transfusion during the first operation. For the 1973 group, numbering 130, the significant variables were multiple operations; amputations (highly correlated with extensive tissue loss); injury involving other body systems in addition to the fracture; and open drains. The high risk associated with open drains in both wars raises doubt about their usefulness. The main distinction between injuries of the two wars was the high prevalence (72.3%) of multi-system injuries in 1973 versus low prevalence (29.2%) in 1982. Overall infection rates were similar (30.5% and 31.5%), but infections at the site of the fracture were twice as high in 1982. Pseudomonas was the most common single species of bacteria isolated from infected wounds (26% in 1982, 33.6% in 1973). It appeared in the wounds relatively late, 10-14 days after admission.


Assuntos
Fraturas Ósseas/cirurgia , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/epidemiologia , Guerra , Adulto , Amputação Cirúrgica , Fraturas Ósseas/complicações , Humanos , Israel , Pseudomonas/isolamento & purificação , Fatores de Risco , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/microbiologia , Ferimentos Penetrantes/complicações , Ferimentos Penetrantes/cirurgia
19.
Stat Med ; 24(12): 1933-45, 2005 Jun 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15806618

RESUMO

In the last decade, many statistics have been suggested to evaluate the performance of survival models. These statistics evaluate the overall performance of a model ignoring possible variability in performance over time. Using an extension of measures used in binary regression, we propose a graphical method to depict the performance of a survival model over time. The method provides estimates of performance at specific time points and can be used as an informal test for detecting time varying effects of covariates in the Cox model framework. The method is illustrated on real and simulated data using Cox proportional hazard model and rank statistics.


Assuntos
Modelos Estatísticos , Análise de Sobrevida , Humanos , Israel , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Curva ROC , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes
20.
Ann Surg ; 182(6): 754-61, 1975 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1190879

RESUMO

The development of infections in 420 wounded soldiers, admitted to the Hadassah University Hospital in Jerusalem between October 7, 1973 and November 31, 1973, was studied. An attempt was made to relate the development of infection to the type of injury. The overall infection rate was 22%, but varied with the type of injury. Three "risk factors" were found to be associated with infection regardless of the number of injuries: 1)penetrating abdominal wounds involving the colon; 2) fractures involving the femur; 3) burns involving more than 25% of body surface. In patients with comparable injuries, the presence of infection was found to prolong the duration of hospitalization. Pseudomonas was the most common single pathogen. There were no cases of myonecrosis (gas gangrene). Of the 8 soliders who died, 5 died with or because of infection.


Assuntos
Medicina Militar , Infecção dos Ferimentos , Adulto , Infecções Bacterianas/etiologia , Bacteroides , Humanos , Israel , Infecções por Klebsiella/epidemiologia , Tempo de Internação , Infecções por Pseudomonas/epidemiologia , Sepse/etiologia , Sepse/microbiologia , Vietnã , Infecção dos Ferimentos/classificação , Infecção dos Ferimentos/etiologia , Infecção dos Ferimentos/microbiologia , Infecção dos Ferimentos/mortalidade
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