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A substantial number of United States (U.S.) hospitals have closed in recent years. The trend of closures has accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic, as hospitals have experienced financial hardship from reduced patient volume and elective surgery cases, as well as the thin financial margins for treating patients with COVID-19. This trend of hospital closures is concerning for patients, healthcare providers, and policymakers. In this current opinion piece, we first describe the challenges caused by hospital closures and discuss what policymakers should know based on the existing research. We then discuss unique opportunities for researchers to inform policymakers by conducting careful studies that can shed light on different implications, trade-offs, and consequences of various strategies that can be followed.
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COVID-19 , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Eletivos , Fechamento de Instituições de Saúde , Pessoal de Saúde , Humanos , Pandemias , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To compare existing algorithms for classifying screening vs diagnostic colonoscopies and to quantify the increase in screening colonoscopy rates when Medicare began reimbursement in 2001 and when the Affordable Care Act (ACA) eliminated cost-sharing. DATA SOURCES: Twenty percent random sample of fee-for-service (FFS) Medicare claims, 2000-2012. STUDY DESIGN: Using recent administrative codes as tarnished gold standards, we examined the sensitivity and specificity of five published algorithms for classifying colonoscopies and calculated annual screening colonoscopy rates. We estimated the change in rates after Medicare began reimbursement and used difference-in-differences analysis to estimate the effects of eliminating cost-sharing by comparing states with and without a mandate to cover screening colonoscopy prior to the ACA. FINDINGS: Model-based algorithms have higher sensitivity (0.53-0.99) than expert-based algorithms (0.35-0.39), but lower specificity (0.43-0.65 vs 0.79-0.88). All algorithms detected increases in screening from both Medicare's reimbursement change (range: 24-93/10 000) and the 2011 cost-sharing change (range: 1.1-34/10 000). Difference-in-difference estimates of the ACA's effect varied from 51 to 155 tests per 10 000 depending on the algorithm. CONCLUSIONS: Screening colonoscopy rates increased after eliminating cost-sharing in 2011, but the increase's size varied depending on the algorithm used to classify the indication. Improvements are needed in Medicare coding for screening.
Assuntos
Algoritmos , Colonoscopia/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico , Custo Compartilhado de Seguro/estatística & dados numéricos , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Colonoscopia/economia , Custo Compartilhado de Seguro/economia , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/economia , Reações Falso-Positivas , Feminino , Humanos , Reembolso de Seguro de Saúde , Masculino , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act/legislação & jurisprudência , Estados UnidosRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Open-angle glaucoma (OAG) imposes high disease burden in South Korea. Although various effective interventions are available to manage the progression of OAG, there is limited data on the cost-effectiveness of these treatment strategies in South Korea. METHODS: Using a Markov cohort model, we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of 3 major treatment strategies (medication, laser trabeculoplasty, and trabeculectomy) for South Korean patients with OAG. We projected a 25-year time horizon to study a hypothetical cohort of 10,000 patients of age 40 with mild OAG. The outcome measures were quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained, cost from the societal perspective, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of medication, laser trabeculoplasty, and trabeculectomy. Interventions were evaluated at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of 30,000,000 KRW ($29,152) per QALY gained. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to address the model uncertainty. RESULTS: The mean costs for medication, laser trabeculoplasty, and trabeculectomy were 29,661,740 KRW, 17,34,1342 KRW, and 22,275,438 KRW, respectively. The mean QALYs gained were 15.7, 15.3, and 14.8 for medication, laser trabeculoplasty, and trabeculectomy, respectively. Surgery was strongly dominated because it generated fewer expected QALYs but incurred greater expected cost than laser. The ICER was 30,885,179 KRW per QALY for medication versus laser trabeculoplasty. Laser was cost-effective, however, at a lower WTP threshold of 21,000,000 KRW per QALY gained or below. The results were most sensitive to the progression rates from mild to moderate glaucoma under laser treatment. CONCLUSION: Under the WTP threshold of 30,000,000 KRW per QALY, medication was cost-effective compared with laser trabeculoplasty and trabeculectomy for treating mild OAG in South Korean population. Laser, however, can be a cost-effective alternative in more resource-limited settings.
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Glaucoma de Ângulo Aberto/economia , Glaucoma de Ângulo Aberto/terapia , Terapia a Laser/economia , Fármacos Neuroprotetores/economia , Trabeculectomia/economia , Adulto , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Terapia a Laser/métodos , Cadeias de Markov , Modelos Teóricos , Fármacos Neuroprotetores/uso terapêutico , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , República da Coreia , Trabeculectomia/métodosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Interventions that can facilitate early diagnosis of age-related macular degeneration (AMD) will facilitate early treatment and improve clinical outcomes but there has been concerns about additional medical costs to the health care system. An examination through a retina fundus photography by a non-specialist has been suggested as a potential cost-effective alternative to a direct examination by a specialist, but limited scientific data exists on the cost-effectiveness of screening strategies for AMD. Our objective is to conduct an economic evaluation of various population-wide screening strategies for AMD among the South Korean population. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Using a Markov cohort model, we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of four AMD screening strategies (opportunistic examination, opportunistic treatment, systematic photography, and systematic examination) in comparison with status quo (no screening) for South Korean adults. We projected a life time horizon to study a hypothetical cohort of 100,00 persons of age 40 with and without AMD at baseline. The outcome measures were quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained, cost from the societal perspective, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of each strategy. Interventions were evaluated at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of 30,000,000 KRW ($27,538) per QALY gained. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to address the model uncertainty. Opportunistic examination was strongly dominated because it generated fewer expected QALYs but incurred greater expected cost than the other screening strategies. The mean lifetime expected costs were 289,013 KRW, 363,692 KRW, 9,351,964 KRW, and 12,309,783 KRW, and the mean QALYs gained were 37.73, 37.75, 40.47, 40.68, for no screening, opportunistic treatment, systematic photography, and systematic examination, respectively. The results were most sensitive to the utility weight of mild AMD, the probability of complication from treatment, the cost of being in mild AMD, and the probability of recovery from complication. After eliminating the two weakly dominated strategies, systematic photography was cost-effective at the ICER of 3,310,448 KRW per QALY in comparison to status quo. CONCLUSIONS: Under the WTP threshold of 30,000,000 KRW per QALY, systematic photography is cost-effective for screening AMD in South Korean adults. Systematic examination by ophthalmologists generates more expected QALY and cost compared to systematic photography.
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Degeneração Macular/diagnóstico , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Adulto , Idoso , Análise Custo-Benefício , Feminino , Humanos , Degeneração Macular/economia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Econômicos , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , República da CoreiaRESUMO
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0206690.].
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[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0206690.].